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Chapter 6
Chapter 6
CONTENTS PAGE
be able to apply the mass curve in determining the storage capacity for a
reservoir
be aquainted with the Muskingum method in routing a flood wave through a river
reach
In South Africa the main water source is water from rivers. Because the flow in all
our rivers are such that the demand for water usually exceeds the average flow in
the river, the shortfall needs to be supplied from storage. The appropriate response
is the construction of reservoirs, followed later by more reservoirs and as is the case
at this stage in South Africa - filling in our needs by using the water resources of
nearby countries.
The mass curve technique appears to have been the first rational method for
estimating the size of storage required to meet a given draw-off (outflow) (Rippl,
1883). This method indicates the degree of fullness of the reservoir with time over
the whole period of record. When the rate of flow (m 3/s) in a river which was
measured by the measurement structure is plotted against time (t), a hydrograph is
formed. If, at each time the flow rate and time are multiplied with each other, values
of volumes (m3) are created. If these volumes are plotted against time by adding
each new volume to the previous total, a cumulative mass curve of run-off is
obtained. This is then a curve showing the accumulative average inflow to the
reservoir, in other words a pictorial view of the capacity of the stream or river to
provide water to the future reservoir.
Lines, which present average future draw-off, can now be drawn on the mass curve
in order to identify the largest volume of water that would be needed in order to
supply the water demand. This, obviously, would be in the driest periods - as would
be seen later in this section. The draw-off demand consists of:
water for industrial use
water for irrigation
water for domestic use
A typical mass curve is shown in figure 6.1 with accumulative volume of measured
run-off against time. The time period is usually months, although weeks can also be
used. The procedure to find the maximum required reservoir capacity is explained
below.
70 SV3 j k
i
60
S
T
50
40 g SV2
Accumulated
f
Inflow 30
( 106m3)
S
T
e
20 d
SV1
C x
10
S
a
T b
JAN FEB MRT APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Figure 6.: Typical mass curve, illustrating method to be followed
Step 2
Determine the expected draw-off from the reservoir. This is the demand users will
place on the reservoir (e.g. domestic, industrial, irrigation) at some time in the future.
In Chapter 9 the method used to determine future demand is explained. This is
normally a difficult and uncertain task for which much information is needed. The
Departments of Water Affairs and Forestry and Agriculture and Fisheries would be
able to supply information on probable future irrigation activities, agricultural needs,
farming activities, land use and afforestation which will add to the average demand.
The government would be able to supply information on future activities in the area
such as stimulation of the specific economy of that area which might stimulate
population growth above the growth rates applied to those areas. Based on
historical water consumption in the municipal area, future needs per household can
be estimated. The sum of all these values are called draw-off and should be done
accurately.
Line a to x in figure 6.1 represents the accumulated average draw-off at the reservoir
site and excludes evaporation in the mass curve technique.
It can now clearly be seen when the reservoir would be at its emptiest and when it
would be full again. At a, c, d, f, g, i and j the reservoir is just full and at the tangents
(turning points from a flat to steep or from a steep to flat slope) which are at b, d, e,
g, h and j the inflow equals the draw-off.
In the sections where the inflows exceeded the draw-offs, b to c, e to f and h to i, the
reservoir water level was rising (filling up) up to where it was full again. (Where the
inflows kept on exceeding the draw-offs from c to d, f to g and i to j) the reservoir
stayed full the whole time with a lot of water being spilled. This water was carried
over the dam wall outlet (e.g. spillway) and was of course not stored and it flowed
downstream. Each spilled volume of water (SV) during the time period of the mass
curve can be added up to form the total volume of spilled water as follows:
Step 4
Measure each intercept between the mass inflow curve and the superimposed draw-
off line (ST). These values would be at the point when the dam was at its emptiest,
just before inflow from the river started exceeding the draw-off again. In other words
at the end of “dry periods” when the water level in the dam was falling (from a to b, d
to e, g to h and j onwards). The maximum value of ST is the maximum required
reservoir capacity to ensure draw-off. This is then the volume of water that should
be stored in the reservoir to ensure that there would always be water available to all
the users.
As could be seen, this method is simple to apply when the necessary information is
available.
A possible dam site near a gauging structure in a river is to be investigated for the
purpose of building a small dam (reservoir). The information from the measurement
structure revealed the following average flows for each month of the year:
Assume 30-day months and that the dam was full on 1 July. Draw the mass curve
on graph paper and determine the dam capacity required to ensure maintenance of
average flow for the year. Also calculate the amount of water spilled during such a
year.
Solution
In order to draw the mass curve, one needs to find the accumulative inflow into the
reservoir first. Starting with July, each next month’s run-off is added to the run-off
from the previous month (s) and so on. The accumulated values are tabulated
below:
Average flow during the twelve month period equals the total accumulated value,
divided by twelve giving the run-off per month. The line is shown on the graph. The
dam capacity is found by the longest vertical line at the bottom of the straight
average line, to the actual mass curve.
On the graph it is seen to be line AB (end of April) measuring 12,24 106m3 or
calculated as 90 106 – 77,76 106 = 12,24 106m3.
An existing reservoir having a capacity of 2,4 106m3 received the following inflow
from a river during the period between 1 October 1990 and 31 March 1992.
At 1 October 1990 the dam was at half of its capacity. The draw-off from the dam
was determined to be at a uniform rate of 4 000 103m3/ annum.
Solution
The mass curve is first drawn (see graph on next page) by using the accumulated
values, which are tabulated below.
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Technikon SA Engineering
Month Inflow Accumulated inflow
(x 103 (x 103 m3/month)
m3/month)
October 1990 310 310
November 620 930
1990 770 1 700
December 845 2 545
1990 760 3 305
January 1991 435 3 740
February 1991 240 3 980
March 1991 160 4 140
April 1991 85 4 225
May 1991 20 4 245
June 1991 0 4 245
July 1991 0 4 245
August 1991 210 4 455
September 445 4 900
1991 1 120 6 020
October 1991 560 6 580
November 735 7 315
1991 910 8 225
December
1991
January 1992
February 1992
March 1992
The average line, depicting the average draw-off from the dam is now plotted from
1 October 1990 at 1 200 103m3 to 31 March 1992 at a uniform rate of
4 000 m3/annum. The point at 31 March 1992 is calculated as follows:
4000 10 3
number of months between 1 October 1990 and 31March 1992
12
4000 10 3 18
12
6000 10 3 m 3
This value should be added to the 1 200 103m3 at 1 October 1990. It adds up to
7 200 103m3 and the two points are connected with the broken line as shown on
the graph.
a) From the graph it is seen that spillage occurred from about 31 January 1991 and
again from about the end of January 1992.
By projecting the average draw-off line upwards (parallel to the existing one) to
position AB, it is seen that the dam was full from 31 January 1991 to point A, from
where the drawdown started. The total spillage is now found as follows (refer to
graph):
Total spillage = AR + BS
= (3 740 - 3 200) + (8 225 - 7 740)
= 540 + 485
= 1 025
which is of course 1 025 103m3
The assumptions being made in the mass curve method, are: (McMahon, J.A.,
Mein, R.G. 1986).
a) The reservoir is full at time zero and consequently at the beginning of each “dry
period”.
b) In using historical inflow data for the river it is assumed that future inflow
sequences will not contain a more severe drought than the historical flow
sequence.
There are, however, a few limitations of this method that renders itself impractical in
many cases. According to McMahon and Mein, some limitations are:
a) The draw-off is taken to be constant while we know that in summer much
more water is being used for gardening purposes, etc.
b) The method of analysis does not take into account net evaporation
losses.
c) It is not possible to compute a storage size for a given probability of
failure.
To conclude with the mass curve it is important to say that almost all the well
documented text book procedures seem to neglect or take little account of
evaporation losses from storage reservoirs (Middleton, B.J., Pitman, W.V., Midgley,
D.C. 1981). In the method explained by Middleton, Pitman and Midgley the storage
size is determined from a sequence (or sequences) of flows during which demand
(draw-off) exceeds inflow to storage. Nowadays this method has been computerised
and is available on CD ROM.
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Technikon SA Engineering
6.3 FLOOD ROUTING
Once the floodwaters of a rain are flowing in a channel, stream or river, the flood
wave soon passes the area over which the rain has fallen. This time is actually the
time of concentration from the hydraulic most remote point of the catchment to the
low point under consideration. The analysis of the flow of a flood wave in a channel
is called flood routing. Routing of a flood means the determination of the variation of
the discharge at the downstream end of a certain length of river, stream or channel
(called a reach) if the upstream variation is known. In other words it is a process that
shows how a flood wave can be reduced in magnitude (peak) and lengthened in time
(attenuated) by the use of storage in the reach between the two points (Wilson, E.M.
1983). From another practical viewpoint, through this method the exact time the
flood wave from a catchment will reach a certain point downstream (perhaps
200 km) in a river, can be calculated and the people living in the areas near the river
warned, or it can show us when to open up the sluices of a dam and by how much.
Many different methods of routing a flood exist, as shown in Figure 6.2. As seen,
one has to differentiate between hydrologic and hydraulic routing techniques, as well
as river- or reservoir routing.
The hydraulic routing methods are much more complex and also more accurate than
the more simple hydrologic routing methods. Hydraulic routing is based on the
solution of the continuity equation and the momentum equation for unsteady flow in
open channels. These differential equations are usually solved by explicit or implicit
numerical methods on a computer and are known as the St. Venant equations, first
derived in 1871, for which no closed-form solutions exist. (Bedient, P.B., Huber,
W.C. 1992). Only a few computer models exist to solve these equations.
In this chapter a method to do routing through a river reach will be looked at. In
applying the routing techniques, the upstream hydrograph should be known which is
called the inflow hydrograph into a reservoir or into the reach of river to be analysed.
This hydrograph will then be routed through the reservoir to the spillway or through
WEN361FE -204- Chapter 6
Technikon SA Engineering
the river reach to the downstream point under consideration, where it is called the
outflow hydrograph that will then become the inflow hydrograph to the downstream
portion to be analysed thereafter. The outflow hydrograph looks different from the
inflow hydrograph, as shown in figure 6.3.
tc lag
Inflow Peak
attenuation
Outflow
Q
(m3/s)
Time(hours)
As can be seen in the figure, firstly the peak of the inflow hydrograph has been
reduced (attenuated) which will then reduce flood hazards. Secondly the time from
the start of the storm in the catchment to the peak of the inflow hydrograph (tc) has
been lagged so that the time to peak for the outflow hydrograph is then longer than
its upstream counterpart. For convenience, triangular shaped hydrographs were
used. The rate of change of storage can be written as the continuity equation:
S
IO ......................................................................................(6.1)
t
where
I = inflow in m3/s
O = outflow in m3/s
S = change in storage (m3) over t
t = change in time (seconds)
t
11 12 t 01 0 2 S 2 S1 ....................................................(6.2)
2 2
Where subscripts 1 and 2 denote values at the beginning and end respectively of the
time t.
McCarthy (1938), in what has become known as the Muskingum method, proposed
that storage in a river reach should be expressed as a function of both inflow and
outflow (discharge) in the form:
where
S = storage (m3)
K = travel time constant for the reach with units of time (e.g. day)
x = dimensionless weighting factor for a certain river reach.
The K in Muskingum’s method, is usually estimated from travel time for a flood wave
through the reach (Bedient, P.B., Huber, W.C. 1992). The value of x varies from
zero in a reservoir where S depends only on outflow to 0,5 in smooth uniform
channels. However, if both inflow and outflow hydrographs are available (which
would be if the river reach has got measurement structures), K and x can be
estimated through graphical methods.
Q2 = C0 I2 + C1 I1 + C2 O1.................................................................(6.5)
where
Kx 0,5t
C0 ............................................................................................(6.6)
D
Kx 0,5t
C1 ...............................................................................................(6.7)
D
K Kx 0,5t
C2 ........................................................................................(6.8)
D
D = K - Kx + 0,5t.........................................................................................(6.9)
t = t as defined before
It is important to remember that t and K must have the same units and as a check
procedure the coefficients above sum to 1,0 as shown:
C0 + C1 + C2 = 1............................................................................................(6.10)
1 84,9 9 707,5
2 169,8 10 650,9
3 311,3 11 537,7
4 481,1 12 424,5
5 622,6 13 254,7
6 764,1 14 198,1
7 849,0 15 127,4
8 792,4 16 84,9
Route the given hydrograph through a river reach for which x = 0,3 and K = 2 days.
Use a routing period t = 1 day and assume that inflow equals outflow for the first day.
Assume that I stays constant from t = 16 days and continue the calculation until the
outflow falls to 85 m3/S again.
Solution
We start by determining the coefficients C0, C1, and C2 by using equations (6.6 to
6.9). For K = 2 days, t = 1 day and x = 0,3
C
20,3 0,51
0
1,900
0,053
C1
20,3 0,51
1,900
0,579
C2
2 20,3 0,51
1,900
0,474
If the coefficients did not sum to one, a mistake has been made and should be
sorted out before continuing. Now we can continue by substituting the values of the
coefficients into equation (6.5) to get:
The values for the outflow hydrograph are now calculated by starting with t = 1 day
through to t = 16 days.
For t = 2 days,
I1 = 84,9m3/s (given)
I2 = 169,8m3/s (given in table)
O1 = 84,9m3/s (given)
Thus
For t = 3 days, I1 becomes the inflow at day two which is on the day before the third
day and subsequently I2 becomes I3 and Q1 becomes Q2. The formula can be
rewritten and the calculation done as:
2. What assumptions are being made and limitations exist in the mass curve
technique?
3. The average discharges measured for each month of an average year for a river,
is as follows:
Assume that the reservoir receiving the given inflow, had 5 106m3 of water stored
at 1 January. The existing average draw-off (1980) is 155 667 m3/day and it is
expected that it would increase up to 181 667m 3/month in 1995. Assume 30-day
months, plot the above data in the form of a mass curve, and determine the
following:
(a) The accumulative volume of flow into the reservoir at the end of
December.
[82,41 106 m3 ]
4. The flow in a river, flowing into a reservoir, was measured and the average flow
for each month of the year over a period of 32 years is as presented below:
At 1 January the reservoir contained 4,53 106m3 of water. Determine the capacity
of reservoir required (and to provide a reserve of 5,66 106m3 ) when the draw-
off equals the average of the river flow during the average year.
[22,5 106 m3 ]
Assume the outflow at t = 0 to be 31 m 3/s and let x = 0,25 and K = 1,5 days. Use a
routing period (t) equal to the time increments of the inflow hydrograph. Use the
given information and determine the outflow hydrograph by making use of the
Muskingum method, and answer the following questions:
(b) What is the magnitude of the outflow peak, at what time did it occur,
what time lag was there related to the inflow peak and what is the
attenuation in the inflow- and outflow peaks respectively?
[191,720 m3/s; 14 hours; 4 hours; 18,280 m3/s]
1. McCarthy, G.T. 1928. The unit hydrograph and flood routing. Unpublished
paper presented at the Conference of the North Atlantic Division, Corps of
Engineers, US Army, New London, Connecticut, June 1938.
2. McMahon, T.A., Mein, R.G. 1986. River and reservoir yield. Water Resources
Publications. Colorado.
3. Middleton, B.J., Pitman, W.V., Midgley, D.C. 1981. Surface Water Resources
of South Africa. Volume II, Drainage region C, The Vaal Basin. Part 1 (Text).
Report no. 8/81. Hydrological Research Unit. Johannesburg.