Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Journal: Senate
Journal: Senate
Pasay City
Journal I
SESSION NO. 46
Tuesday, December 14,2004
THIRTEENTH CONGRESS
FIRST REGULAR SESSION
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 109
SESSION NO. 46
Tuesday, December 14,2004
FPJ was probably the only presidential That, to me, was sufficient guarantee
candidate who turned down contributions that here was a person who would lead
by the millions even as he needed the the country not by his personal executive
money, whenever he perceived them to be fiat but by democratic consultation with
“investments” in his presidency. others. And more important, that he
would listen to views that may not
Again, that meant a plus point for him necessarily coincide with his.
in my political score sheet.
And during the campaign, when for
Short on words
whatever reasons tensions run high even
among his colleagues in the opposition
FPJ was probably the only national
slate, I found Fernando Poe Jr. a beacon
politician who was perennially short on
words but long on undiluted love for of integrity and courage who could say
“No” even to his closest advisers.
welfare of the people. Again, despite my
innumerable lapses into the world of
wordy politicians, I thought that was one No patsy
virtue politicians like me should emulate.
That facet of his character demolished
When I met him shortly before the
in my book the criticisms that others
start of the campaign, I suggested to him
had leveled against him that he would be
that even if he would win the presidency
a patsy in the hands of Senators Ed
because of his popularity, he still needed
Angara, Tito Sotto, Greg Honasan, Tessie
a platform to run the country well.
Oreta or Jojo Binay, the big guns who ran
FREEDOM his campaign.
Also availing himself of the privilege hour, Marami sa ating kababayan ang
Senator Ejercito Estrada (J) delivered the following nakakaalam at nakakabalita ng mga
speech: kagandahang loob ni FPJ. In life, he
was larger than the characters he had
Today, the Filipino nation mourns the portrayed. In death, he has become even
passing of a great and honorable man, larger.
Fernando Poe Jr. or FPJ as we fondly
know him. He was ninong, counsel and advisor to
me. I have known him in my growing
I take this opportunity to join our years. And today, as I learned his
beloved countrymen in expressing our legacies, I would like to believe that I
common and collective grief over the know him even better now. He inspired
untimely death of this distinguished man me like many other Filipinos of my
who had served as a model and an generation. He was a dear friend of
inspiration to many generations of Filipinos, my father, and this friendship has
mine included. engendered between these two great
men the same goal, the same vision,
He inspired his people not only in his resolute determination - to be a humble
many films that extolled the triumph of instrument in leading the masses from the
good over evil, of integrity over deceit, quagmire of poverty and hopelessness
of honor above all, of fortitude over into the path towards the life they truly
crisis, and of other outstanding values deserve, a life of hope.
that many of us have forgotten, but which
we, today, must continue to cherish and He is also a friend of my family. But
observe. most of all, an even dearer friend of the
masses. This is why we mourn his
FPJ lived his life the way he lived passing deeply today. He had left and
his screen role. He was the champion of bequeathed to us the true meaning and
the oppressed - the good, God-fearing, value of honor, of integrity, of a life well
112 TUESDAY. DECEMBER 14. 2004
to address the urgent need of improving the To the Committee on Cultural Communities
government’s capacity to finance its cash
disbursement program and achieve its annual ADDITIONAL REFERENCE OF BUSINESS
budget deficit targets by instituting a special
reward system for exemplary service and The Secretaty of the Senate read Proposed
accountability reform system in the Bureau Senate Resolution No. 146 which the Chair
of Internal Revenue (BIR) and the Bureau referred to the Committee on Rules:
of Customs (BOC).
Proposed Senate Resolution No. 146, entitled
To the Committee on Rules
RESOLUTION EXPRESSING THE
BILL ON FIRST READING PROFOUND CONDOLENCE OF
THE SENATE ON THE UNTIMELY
Senate Bill No. 1873 DEMISE OF FERNANDO POE
JR. “FPJ” AND HONORING HIS
AN ACT INCREASING THE RATE CONTRIBUTION TO PHILIPPINE
OF THE VALUE-ADDED TAX, SOCIO-CULTURAL AND
AMENDING FOR THE PURPOSE POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT
SECTIONS 106, 107, 108 AND 114
OF THE NATIONAL INTERNAL Introduced by Senator Jinggoy Ejercito Estrada
REVENUE CODE OF 1997, AS
AMENDED, AND FOR OTHER COAUTHOR
PURPOSES
Senator Pangilinan manifested that Senator
Introduced by Senators Drilon, Flavier and Revilla is a coauthor of Proposed Senate Resolution
Pangilinan No. 146.
friends, adoring fans and supporters but also in the Southern Tagalog Region, the Bicol
culture, heritage and history of the Philippines. Region and throughout the Philippines,
even in the smallest town of the Republic,
Senator Revilla stated that these were the I was with him as the others in the
reasons that he manifested his desire to be a Opposition were with him, and we were
coauthor of Proposed Senate Resolution No. 146. witness to a political phenomenon unseen
by us in the past.
REMARKS OF SENATOR ENRILE
Now, he is gone. He belongs to the
Requesting that he be made coauthor of Opposition. He is a mortal man leaving
Proposed Senate Resolution No. 146, Senator Enrile this scene. Perhaps, the Lord was kind to
made the following remarks: him in not blessing him the good fortune
to be the leader of this nation at a time
I met this man casually over the when this country is beset by so many
last two years starting in 2003 when problems, almost insurmountable. He is
the Opposition was searching for a gone~fromus. Physically, he is gone. Yet, I
candidate for the presidency. Along with a think time will tell whether, indeed, the
distinguished member of this Chamber, expectation of others that he will be
the honorable senator from Cavite, Panfilo forgotten will materialize.
M. Lacson, he was one of those names
and personalities who were brought For my part, I daresay that his name,
into the minds ..of the Opposition for his image and his aura as a person will live
consideration. In the end, he was chosen in the hearts and in the minds and in the
as the candidate of our part of the psyche of our people and this nation.
Opposition at that time.
REMARKS OF SENATOR LAPID
I would like.to say that this man was
probably one of the rarest persons that
I have ever met in my life, both as a Expressing his desire to coauthor the same
private citizen and as a functionary. He was resolution, Senator Lapid made the following
a very simple person, yet he was very remarks:
difficult to fathom. He was genial and
,
friendly, yet distant. He seemingly appeared Tulad ng sinabi ni Senador Revilla,
to be weak, yet very easy to make hard Senador Estrada at Senador Enrile, lagi
decisions. ko pong sinasabi na walang Lapid
sa pelikula kung hindi kay Fernando
I have joined him in the campaign. Poe Jr. Naging double PO ni Fernando
He campaigned tirelessly and was Poe Sr. ang tatay ko sa pelikula at ng
overwhelmed by crowds far beyond my naging double din PO si Jess Lapid Sr.
ability to describe. I have been in many ni Fernando Poe Jr. At -ako PO ay
political campaigns all my 80 years on this nakasama niya ng ilang beses, naging
earth, before martial law, during martial extra, stuntman, hanggang sa naging
law, after martial law. I have yet to find bida na rin PO ako sa pelikula, hanggang
a man that drew crowds as I have seen naging pantay na ang pangalang
him draw them in a political campaign. I Fernando Poe Jr. at Lit0 Lapid sa
accompanied him in a very small mining "Kalibre .45."
town in the Cordilleras and we could
hardly pass through the streets because Nalulungkot P O ako, kasama ko
the people blocked his way. Everywhere ang mga artista sa pulitika. Iyong
in the country, whether it was in the sinasabi PO nila. ako na PO mismo ang
North, in the Cagayan Valley, in the Ilocos
Region, in Central Luzon, in Metro Manila,
. magpapatunay na napakabait na tao
niyan.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 115
"P
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 117
Gat Andres Bonifacio si Dr. Jose Rizal na Eddie Garcia came. I knew Eddie Garcia
masasabi nating uliran sa karunungan because he is a Bicolano. So Mr. Poe
dahil napakarami po niyang titulo. At dit0 greeted me first and, of course, he knew
ko na sasabihin na ang aming kaihigang that I was one of the principal proponents
si Fernando Poe Jr, ay katulad din ni for the proclamation of Gloria Macapagal
Gat Andres Bonifacio. Siguro yan ang Arroyo. We had a 15-minute conversation.
kanyang naging idolo, ang bayani ng It was inanities, but he was polite enough
hayan, na kahit siya ay umabot lamang just to maintain the conversation. ‘When
ng pangalawang baytang sa high school, the cameras, the photographers came in,
ay sinabi niya sa kanyang sarili at he took it upon himself to suggest that
pinagsigawan ng kanyang puso, ng I should go because it would be
kanyang damdamin, ng kanyang isipan embarrassing perhaps for me to be seen
na kaya niyang pamunuan ang ating bayan, with him. So I agreed and I left.
kaya PO siya kumandidato bilang pangulo.
Sa sinamaang-palad Po, alam na nating And I think that is the measure
lahat kung an0 ang nangyari. of the man, that he took the initiative of
saving me from the embarrassment of
Kaya ang masasahi ko lamang PO, being photographed at the height of the
sana magkaroon pa ng maraming Fernando canvassing with the very person whose
Poe Jr. dit0 sa ating bayan at sana proclamation I was fighting.
1
naman doon sa ibang taong lumilibak sa
1 . kanyang kakulangan sa karunungan ay So with that, we parted. And as
mag-isip-isip muna bag0 humusga, bago everybody knows, the difference between
menosin ang kapwa nila. President Arroyo and Mr. Poe is only
r
I
1 Kaya kami PO ay nakikiramay ng taos-
about a million votes. That he got that
number of votes is a measure again of
pus0 sa kanyang asawa, si Mrs. Susan the esteem with which he is held by
Roces, sa kanyang pamilya, mga kapatid, the public. That is why I would find it an
~ at lahat PO ng ating mga kababayan ay honor to be included as coauthor of the
I nakikiisa rin sa pagdadalamhati sa pagyao
resolution.
I ni Fernando Poe Jr., isang magiting
na bayani ng bayan sa larangan ng
REMAKS OF SENATOR EJERCITO
I paghibigay ng kasiyahan at kaligayahan
ESTRADA (L)
sa ating mga kababayan.
1 REMARKS OF SENATOR ARROYO Senator Ejercito Estrada (L) made the following
i remarks:
Senator Arroyo made the following remarks:
My husband lost a brother. As we
I did not know Mr. Fernando Poe Jr. know, the relationship between the two
In the past, we met each other, we smiled are more than brothers. They had been
each to other but we really did not know friends for 40 years. And permit me to
each other. But I would like to share with recall that during parties, kung
my colleagues a real incident. The time nagkakasayahan a t nagkakatuksuhan
was at the height of the canvassing of sila, pupuntahan ni Fernando Poe Jr. si
the Presidential and Vice-presidential Erap, yayakapin niya, hahalikan niya.
contest in Congress. Nene Pimentel asked Kung minsan nga, ang sabi ko sa
me, “Can you attend the oath-taking of kanilang dalawa: “Sino ba ang bubae sa
Jojo Binay?” They belong to this struggling inyong dalawa? Sino ba ang lalaki?“
little PDP-Laban. I said, “Yes.” So Kaya napakalalim ang kanilang
I went. Before long, Mr. Poe and pagkakaibigan. At saka kung minsan,
“i”
118 TVeSDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
i
of Philippine movies, Fernando Poe Jr.
entered the movie industq at a young Resolved, further, That the Senate
age of 15 with his first movie “Anak also honor the contributions of Fernando
ni Palaris.” This film paved the way Poe Jr., former standard bearer of the
for his more than 200 movie titles donning Koalisyon ng Nagkakaisang Pilipino (KNP),
the role of actor, director, writer and to the socio-cultural and political
producer; development of the country.
At 3:55 p.m., the session was resumed. Senator Enrile explained that while it would
appear that the proposed rate of increase for
PROPOSED AMENDMENTS low-class cigarettes was very high at 168%,
OF SENATOR ENRILE the magnitude on which the rate would be
applied was very low. He maintained that if there
Using the clean copy of the bill as of December should be equity in the treatment of the various
13, 2004, Senator Enrile proposed the following classes of cigarettes and for a well-ordered
amendments: and uniform rates which would set a level playing
field, the proposed starting rate of P3.00 for 2005
1. On page 16, -bracket the words and and the adjustments thereafter would be reasonable
figures after the date “JANUARY 1, and just.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 121
Thereafter, Senator Enrile asked that the Body because Fortune Tobacco has 55% of the market
vote on the matter. but would be paying 66% of the tax, while
Philip Morris which has 37% of the market would
Senator Roxas stated that some Members pay 25%.
would be voting on the proposed amendments
as a package and not on a per category basis as Senator Enrile said that he would assume the
the latter would be difficult. He wondered if the political responsibility for his proposed amendment
Majority Leader, Minority Leader and the Senate precisely because he would like to stop people
President could discuss the matter. from smoking cigarettes for health reasons.
He clarified that he was dealing with interclass
Senator Enrile stated that there was a tacit taxation, not inter-company tax burden.
agreement with the Majority to maintain the gaps
between each category. He said that his proposed INQUIRY OF SENATOR ANGARA
starting rate of P3.00 for the low cigarettes
would maintain the gap at P3.75 between the low Asked by Senator Angara how much revenues
and the medium classes, and between the medium would be raised as a result of the amendment,
and the high classes, at least for 2005. Senator Enrile said that the incremental revenue
for government would be between P3 billion to
For an easy, orderly procedure, the Chair P4 billion, on top of the P5 billion assumed by the
believed that it would be best to vote on each committee report. Inclusive of the liquor tax of P5
proposed amendment as the Body could always billion, he said that the total sin taxes would
reconsider the approved rate should problems approximate P13 billion.
arise later on.
The Chair stated that the Committee Report
SUSPENSION OF SESSION would raise an increment of P5 billion and the
Enrile amendment would add another P3 billion
Upon motion of Senator Roxas, the session was to P4 billion to the cigarette tax, or a contribution
suspended. of P8 billion to the total sin taxes. On the other
hand, it said, the House version would raise
It was 4:06 p.m. approximately P7 billion.
Senator Recto reiterated that he was declining Senator Angara manifested his affirmative
the amendment because the bill already increased vote for the measure.
the taxes of low-end cigarettes by loo%,
medium-priced cigarettes by 17%, and premium VOTING ON THE ENRILE AMENDMENT
cigarettes by 30%. The Enrile amendment, he said,
would be unfair to low-end consumers who Submitted to a vote, and with the majority of the
would pay such a large tax 'burden, and that Members voting in favor, the Enrile amendment
the proposal was not market-sharing neutral was approved.
122 TUESDAY. DECEMBER 14, 2004
1. On page 3, between lines 22 and 23, Senator Defensor Santiago pointed out that as
insert another paragraph to read a general rule, earmarking revenues is undesirable
because it introduces inflexibility in the rational
WILLFUL UNDERSTATEMENT OF allocation of budget resources as the earmarked
THE SUGGESTED NET RETAIL revenues become an entitlement difficult to
BY AS MUCH AS FIFTEEN discontinue even if the justification no longer exists
PERCENT (15%) OF THE ACTUAL or higher priority programs remain under-funded
NET RETAIL PRICE SHALL for lack of financing. She pointed out that if
RENDER THE MANUFACTURER earmarking is to be done, the Body should instead
LIABLE FOR ADDITIONAL put a specific peso value rather than a percentage
EXCISE TAX EQUIVALENT of the incremental value to allow for more
TO THE TAX DUE ON THE transparency; or, if the Committee is not amenable
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE to putting a specific peso value, a sunset provision
UNDERSTATED SUGGESTED for the earmarked fund be inserted to allow for
NET RETAIL PRICE AND THE flexibility should the purpose for which the funds
ACTUAL NET RETAIL PRICE; were earmarked cease to exist or higher priority
programs arise. Thus, she proposed the following
2. On page 5, line 1, between the words amendment which the Body approved
“EVERY” and “MONTH,” insert the 5. On page 23, line 11, after the period (.)
word THIRD; and delete the word following the word “HEALTH,” insert
“THEREAFTER”; another sentence to read: THE
EARMARKING PROVIDED UNDER
Senator Defensor Santiago explained that the THIS PROVISION SHALL BE
amendment would avoid redundancy in the OBSERVED FOR FIVE ( 5 ) YEARS
information to be submitted to the BIR and would STARTING FROM JANUARY 2005.
make compliance with the law easier.
Senator Recto said that he accepted the
3. On the same page, line 9, after the amendment because Congress could increase the
word “UPON,” delete the word budget for the Department of Health during the
“DISCOVERY” and in lieu thereof, budget deliberations.
insert the phrase A FINAL FINDING
BY THE COMMISSIONER Relative to the sunset provision of Senator
THAT THE VIOLATION WAS Defensor Santiago, Senator Enrile suggested that
COMMITTED KNOWINGLY AND the amount earmarked for health be directly remitted
WILLFULY, to the Department of Health.
which is what the Enrile bill wants to For another, we see that there were five
achieve, using other means. Right now, for cigarette manufacturing firms responsible
example, without the poison pill provision, for manufacturing those cigarette brands:
there would be very few, if any, cigarette Fortune Tobacco, La Suerte, Sterling
brands that would be classified under the Tobacco, Anglo American, and Mighty
P1.12 specific tax bracket (i.e., those Corp.
whose average net retail price is at most
P5). But now we see the light. Among these
five manufacturers, one of them produces
So there is nothing wrong, and almost one-half (25) of the 52 brands listed
everything right, with removing that poison Fortune Tobacco. It stands to reason that
pill provision. It will create an even playing Fortune would have the most to gain from
field in the cigarette industry. It will bring keeping the poison pill provision, or
government the much needed revenues and conversely, the most to lose if the provision
in really meaningful amounts. There will be were deleted.
no need to argue anymore about the effect
of increased taxes on the poor (the tax So now it seems the fight boils down to
levels will be the same as they were in Fortune Tobacco versus the Filipino people.
1997, for heaven’s sake). And it could be The House of Representatives, whether it
passed in the blink of an eye. realizes it or not, has made its choice. Now
it is the Senate’s return.
And yet neither HB 3174 nor the Recto
bill even adverted to it. Neither does the Senator Lim said that he could not see any
Enrile bill for that matter, but there is a reason why the measure is being railroaded on the
profound difference: this bill ensures that pretext that government needs additional revenues
the same end is achieved as by removing the in the light of the fiscal crisis when what the
poison pill, except he uses different means. Sponsor wants is a reduction of the revenues that
would be generated with the deletion of the poison
But now we have to ask Why do the pill provision. He asked whether the senators
two bills pretend that the poison pill in. are working for the interest of the country and
the 1997 law does not exist? Or better still, its people, or for certain vested interests who will
having identified the losers because of the profit P22 billion.
poison pill insertion, we must now ask,
who were the winners? Identifying them MANIFESTATION OF SENATOR MADRIGAL
would also show who would lose the
most if the poison pill provision were Senator Madrigal stated that she would like to
deleted, and who therefore would have insert into the Record a study she has made
worked (obviously with marked success in support of Senator Lacson’s contention that
thus far) to keep the provision in. cigarette removals have continued to increase.
She explained that she wanted the study entitled
In order to get a clue, we have to look “Incremental Tax Effects on Consumption of
at the Annex D referred to in the poison Low-Priced Cigarettes,” reflected in the Journal
pill provision. It is a listing of all the and Record of the Senate because it is an
cigarette brands as of Oct. 31, 1996, and empirical study that shows the increasing demand
their average net retail prices (exclu2jve of of low-priced cigarettes, demand elasticity,
~
VAT and the excise taxes) at that time. the plot of the demand curve which shows the
What do we find there? income effect and the demand elasticity effect
on low-priced cigarettes, and additional revenue
For one, we see the Annex D lists 52 of each of the bills proposed by Senators Recto
brands, although it says the. grand total and Enrile and in between, a point called the
of brands is only 50, an indication of how zero-volume effect which shows that government
hastily that list was included in the law. can raise revenues much higher than what the
i
126 TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
Recto bill proposed and still not have an effect on legislators would not be able to finish before the
low-priced manufacturers. year ends.
Senator Recto stated that the Chamber would Senator Enrile explained that he had wanted to
not be amending the law if it did not have any do away with the provision on reclassification so
flaw. He pointed out that in the existing law that that there will be a migration of products from one
increased rates only once in 2000, there is an level to a higher level and let the tax operate.
unlevel playing field with regard to those in the accordingly. Unfortunately, he lamented, in the law
Annex, and the new brands and variants. He said enacted in 1997, this provision with annexes for
that in 1996, the growth rate of the revenue cigarettes was inserted.
collection was roughly 18% based on an ad
valorem tax system while the growth rate in the He disclosed that in'the committee hearings, he
last seven to eight years under the specific tax presented his position to delete that provision to the
system has only been 5%, so the problem could officials of the DOF, but he realized that he can
lie with the system, the loopholes in the law or only attain much. Nevertheless, he declared that
the economic difficulties which the government he was not abandoning his position for a single
faces at present. rate.
Further, Senator Recto stated that he thought Senator Enrile, however, warned that the
ir' best to continue with the specific tax system proposal to delete Section 145 would reopen the
and have rate increases until 2011 because entire field of sin taxes and would have to leave the
Congress had already decided in the past that it whole problem of handling the characterization of
was difficult to implement an ad valorem tax one product, one kind against another kind
system. He added that if Congress would go under one classification or another to the Bureau
back to the issue of the ad valorem tax system,
rebracketing the tiers, and adjusting the rates,
.. of Internal Revenue. For this to be implemented,
he underscored the need to conduct a resurvey.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 127
Realizing that this is not possible, upon Upon resumption, Senator Pangilinan informed
invitation, he said that he met with the Senate the Body that the parliamentary status was the
President and Senators Recto, Pangilinan, Pimentel period of individual amendments, and that Senator
and Angara, and they agreed on certain terms Lacson was positing his proposed amendments
upon which a consensus was arrived at. with clarificatory questions.
Senator Enrile agreed with Senator Recto to To the observation that the drop in 1997 was
i write new annexes. caused by an overproduction in 1996 in anticipation
of a higher tax rate the following year,
SUSPENSION OF SESSION Senator Recto conceded that such- .was .. possible.
However, he pointed out that Yolume still’diopped
With the permission of the Body, the Chair to 3.2 billion packs in 1997 from 3.5 billion packs
suspended the session. in 1995 because of the 30% increase in tax rate.
.,
Compared to a 435% adjustment, he said that he
It was 6t47p.m. suggested a 48% increase, the highest at any other
time in the country’s history, to capture the
RESUMPTION OF SESSION “downtrading,” but he accepted the 170% increase
proposed by Senator Enrile on the assumption of
At 7 5 8 p.m., the session was resumed. constant volume.
128 TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
Senator Recto clarified that there was a rate To Senator Lacson’s argument that the rule of
increase of 12% in 2000 as provided for by law, taxation must be uniform and equitable as the
based on the assumption of an annual 4% inflation Constitution mandates, Senator Recto replied that
rate since 1998 but the BIR can reclassify new there is nothing in the bill that is not uniform,
brands and variants at any given time. He disclosed equitable and progressive.
that the last reclassification was done in 2003
At this juncture, the Chair noted that
which affected a few new brands and variants of
Senators Recto and Lacson have an honest
alcohol and tobacco. He cited La Suerte products,
difference of opinion and it pointed out that in a
Astro and Memphis, that were reclassified from
debate, no one can compel another to accept
a low-tier classification at P1.60 to a medium-tier
any position. In order to dispose of the matter,
classification at P5.60, or a rate increase of
it requested Senator Lacson to propose his
more than 400%, which consequently resulted in
amendments for the Body to consider.
an 80% drop in volume.
Asked by Senator Lacson why the Senate is
As to where the 80% went, Senator Recto hard pressed to pass the bill, the Chair replied
expressed the view that consumers of these that if Congress would not be able to pass the
low-brand cigarettes did not upgrade because of measure, it would appear that the Philippine
their limited purchasing power. government is not serious in bridging the gap
between its expenses and revenues. Consequently,
But Senator Lacson noted that the market it said that the credit rating of the Philippines would
remained intact in spite of a drop of 80% on be downgraded which would also mean a P20
the consumption of the two brands because other billion more price tag on the country’s interest rates.
competitors were not reclassified. Senator Recto It stated that this measure, which is expected to
clarified that only the new brands and variants were generate P16 billion to P18 billion, would be the
reclassified because the old brands existing as first major test for the government. The
of October 1 , 1996 cannot be reclassified. However, acceptability of this projection as well as the
he pointed out that Congress adopted a specific validity of Moody’s assessment was a matter
tax because the ad valorem tax system was hard addressed to the judgment and conscience of each
to administer. He argued that ‘if reclassification senator, it stressed.
would be allowed every year, Congress, in effect,
would be passing to BIR the task of reclassifying At this juncture, Senator Lacson read into the
all alcohol and tobacco products, impose a tax rate record the November 17, 2004 IMF Mission
and count the volumes every year. He said that Statement at the conclusion of the 2004 Article IV .
under the amended committee report, the BIR consultation and post-program monitoring
would reclassify new brands and variants discussions with the Philippines, to wit:
only once, that is, within three months upon Since taking office in July, the new
product launch. administration has formulated a package of
reforms to address fiscal, power, and
Senator Lacson agreed that the task of banking sector issues. The authorities are to
reclassifying should remain with Congress. be commended for their initial focus on
Nonetheless, he proposed the deletion of Section legislative tax measures and efforts to bring
145, so that cigarette manufacturers would pay this quickly for congressional approval ...
higher taxes. Senator Recto commented that its However, the legislative process for
deletion would mean that the BIR would have to the administration’s proposed tax measures
look at prices every six months or every year, and is still at an early stage and some of these
if the price increases, it has to reclassify and collect measures are proving to be contentious.
the taxes based on the volume. He explained This has led to signs of impatience in
that under the bill, tax rates would be increased financial markets with sovereign spreads
every two years to ensure predictable, stable edging up and ratings agencies warning of
revenues. possible downgrades.. ..
.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 129
The mission recommends that strong 11, 2004 issue of the Philippine Star as he noted
up-front fiscal adjustment be taken in 2005. that public interest is being sacrificed, as follows:
A large initial reduction in the deficit would
send a strong signal to the markets of the CODE NGO:
authorities’ commitment to balancing the Let the Public Interest Prevail
budget. However, while the authorities’
goal of raising P80 billion in new tax At this crucial time when we are faced
revenues is key to fiscal effort, only a small with a fiscal crisis, we are dismayed at
fraction of this amount so far appears government’s inability to prevail over
assured. To date, only one tax measure with vested interests and come up with
a clear revenue impact - higher alcohol meaningful revenue measures. For decades,
and tobacco taxes with an estimated yield of factions of the political, economic elite have
P7 billion - (House version) has been avoided bearing their share of the burden of
passed by the House. Given how lightly uplifting this nation and they have done so
these products are taxed in the, Philippines, by exploiting the weaknesses in our public
the revenue impact of this version of the institutions.
measure seems fairly small. The mission
looks forward to a further strengthening of This really is demonstrated once again
this measure as well as the passage of more in the ongoing legislative debate on sin
substantive revenue-raising measures in the taxes. The current cigarette tax system
coming nonths. which classifies cigarettes into four price
categories, each with the corresponding
Senator Lacson informed the Body that the tax rate, has allowed cigarette manufacturers
IMF Executive Board will receive the mission’s to effectively evade taxes for years by
findings on February 2005. He urged the Body to getting their cigarettes classified into the
pass a reasonable and substantive bill. lowest possible category even as cigarette
prices moved up over the years. Over an
Senator Recto expressed the view that the 8-year period since 1996, this has amounted
IMF, World Bank and the credit ratings agencies to billions of lost revenue for government
want to see the Philippine Congress act on many and huge profits for specific tobacco
companies.
tax measures as one industry cannot bear the
onus alone. He said that he would hear, next
The House of Representatives version
week, the fiscal incentives bill on the expansion of
of the sin tax bill, which only prescribes
the value-added tax, and hopefully, by January next
tax rate increases on sin products but
year, a committee report can be filed on the VAT
leaves the current four-tier cigarette tax
and fiscal incentives bills. He expressed the hope
system and the existing tax rates intact,
that Congress can pass all the measures within the
can only be interpreted as a huge concession
first three months of next year.
to particular tobacco firms. This only
lends credence to the candid remark of
On the comment that the Senate might as
Congressman Herminio Teves that money
well start right by passing a reasonable, substantive
flowed from the cigarette lobby during the
tax measure on the sin taxes, Senator Recto
House deliberations on sin taxes. Already
maintained that the present bill is reasonable and
maligned for stubbornly holding on to
substantive.
their entire pork barrel against the tide of
public opinion, the House of
REMARKS OF SENATOR LIM Representatives is once more appearing
like a collection of opportunists willing to
At this juncture, Senator Lim read into the put aside self-interest in favor of the
record a column which appeared in the September common good.
130 TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
our taxation &em-a system that market are taxed more heavily. Finally, he contend-
penalizes the poor and rewards the rich, ed that the provision sends a clear signal that the
and fails to generate enough money to government has no political will in improving
support national development. revenue collection and to design good policies
“Compromise” legislation that retains the
current cigarette tax framework will Senator Recto rejected the proposed amendment
fail to achieve the revenue and reform as the same provision applies to all manufacturers
objectives of the sin tax. The Filipino or importers. He said that the same system and
people cannot be expected to support procedures are imposed on new brands.
national efforts to address the crisis if
government does not provide the political DIVISION OF THE HOUSE
and moral leadership.
Submitted to a vote, and with majority of
Let the public interest prevail! the senators voting against, the proposed amendment
of Senator Lacson was lost.
Senator Lim said that the following were in
accord with the contents of this column: People’s At this juncture, the Chair thanked the Members
Campaign for Agrarian Reform Now (AR-NOW!); for their patience in listening to all the arguments.
Manindigan!; Philippine Community Organizers
Society (PhilCOS); Local Governance Citizens EXPLANATION OF VOTE
Network (LGCNet); Institute for Popular BY SENATOR ENRILE
Democracy (IPD); Institute for Political and
Electoral Reform (IPER); Social Democratic Explaining his abstention, Senator Enrile said
Caucus (SDC); Pambansang Samahan ng Kilusang that although his bill carried the same amendment,
Magsasaka (PAKISAMA); Federation of Free he had already submitted to Senator Recto his
Workers (FFW); Ateneo Office for Social Concern proposed amendments which would rectify the
and Involvement (OSCI); and Konsiyensyang imbalance between the brands that were listed in
Pilipino (KF’). Annex “D” and to those that were not.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 131
the company introduced a San Miguel premium believed that the provision could be used as a
which proved to be a mistake because San Miguel loophole because companies like San Miguel could
was seen as a medium-priced beer such that produce a hundred types of beer.
the premium brand did not catch on the market,
precisely because the brand identifies the type of Thereafter, on page 3, as proposed by
consumer that it wants to capture. Senator Osmefia and accepted by the Sponsor,
there being no objection, the Body approved
Thereafter, he proposed the deletion of lines 11 the deletion of the phrase starting with the
to 15 on page 3 and of all similar paragraphs words “AND/OR” on line 18 up to the word
in order to allow any variant to be classified “BRAND” on line 19.
according to its new net retail price.
On the same page, asked why the word
Senator Recto conceded that if a variant “INITIALLY” was inserted on line 21 and
is introduced to cater to low-end consumers, then the word “CURRENT” was deleted on line 22,
it should not pay the higher tax. However, Senator Enrile explained that the bill requires that
he believed that it would be best not to touch after three months, there would be a validation of
the provision in the existing law because it would the suggested price for the product’s permanent
favor the State. classification which could not be revised except
by Congress.
SUSPENSION OF SESSION
On the reason for the initial classification,
With the permission of the Body, the Chair Senator Enrile said that a new brand that is being
suspended the session. launched in the market could not yet be classified,
thus, a suggested retail price is assigned to it.
It was 9:03 p.m. He said that after three months, a survey would be
done according to the number of retail outlets in
RESUMPTION OF SESSION Metro Manila and the provinces and the net retail
price, as found in the survey, would become the
At 9:04 p.m., the session was resumed. permanent classification.
On page 3, as proposed by Senator Osmefia and Asked why new brands that were classified by
accepted by the Sponsor, there being no objection, the BIR in the lowest tier, such as Astro and
the Body approved the deletion of lines 12 to 15. Memphis, were reclassified to a higher category,
Senator Enrile replied that they were launched in
On the same page, Senator Osmeila asked the market after 1997 with a net retail price below
why lines 16 to 19 were included in the bill. P5; however, the prices were subsequently raised
Senator Recto replied that the same definition by the manufacturers.
could be found in the existing law. He explained
that if a variant of San Miguel, for instance, would Senator Recto affirmed that under the proposed
use the logo of the holding company, then taxes measure, the BIR could not bring prices up to a
have to be paid accordingly. But Senator Osmefia higher tax bracket, so a company would launch
-.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 133
an existing brand at the lowest tier and raise the Senator Osmefia suggested that the BIR be
price later since the BIR could not reclassify it. allowed to validate the net retail price annually in
He conceded that it might be another loophole order to capture the same percentage of taxes should
in the law. the retail price be increased.
On whether manufacturers would be willing to At this juncture, the Chair suggested that
take losses in the beginning of its operations, an amendment be proposed to address Senator
Senator Osmefia believed that a $30 billion-$40 Osmelia’s concern.
billion corporation like Altria, which is the new
name for Philip Morris, would take a PlOO million SUSPENSION OF SESSION
or P200 million beating.
With the permission of the Body, the Chair
Senator Recto said that he would welcome suspended the session.
refinements to the provision.
It was 9:23 p.m
Senator Osmefia said that the prevailing
RESUMPTION OF SESSION
sentiment during the several days of debate was
that proper taxes were not collected vis-a-vis the At 9:41 p.m., the session was resumed.
total sales of the tobacco industry which,
at present, stands at P80 billion because of the Upon resumption, Senator Osmefia withdrew
tax categories such that a brand with a net his proposed amendment to delete lines 12 to 15 on
retail price of P4 in 1997 and paid P1.12 in tax page 3 subject to the rewording of the existing
would still pay the same amount of tax even if provision.
its net retail price had already gone up to P10 or
to P20 ten years hence. On page 4, line 22, Senator Osmelia proposed
the substitution .of the word “PRODUCTS” with
To Senator Osmefia’s opinion that the DISTILLED SPIRITS. On the same page, line 24,
measure was actually a modified ad valorem bill, he asked whether there should only be one cut-off
Senator Recto agreed that there is indeed a date that determines the classification of existing
combination of ad valorem and specific taxes brands, and new brands and variants.
only with regard to new brands and variants,
but purely specific tax for classified brands and Senator Recto said that during the period of
variants. He agreed that the ad valorem is the interpellations, it was pointed out that certain brands
fair tax system except for the attendant loopholes. commercially produced even before 1996 were
He affirmed that the ad valorem was modified omitted in 1994 so the measure seeks to capture
into four tiers so that all that had to be done was these brands that fell through the cracks. He said
to validate the net retail price and count the that a list of these brands would be included as an
removals. amendment to Annex “A.” He agreed to hmish
Senator Osmefia with a copy of the list.
As to why the BIR could not be allowed to
capture the net retail price every year when in At this point, Senator Enrile said that he applied
reality it is the manufacturer that classifies its new the same provision as regards machine-packed
product by raising its net retail price, Senator Recto cigarettes to distilled spirits covered by Annex “A,”
maintained that in that case, the ad valorem wines covered by Annex “B,” and fermented liquors
system would be a better tax system even as he covered by Annex “C.”
acknowledged that no tax system is a perfect
one. Senator Osmefia concurred, saying that Senator Osmefia suggested that these products
precisely the Chamber is trying to make the measure be validated by the BIR as some might have been
closer to perfect by captnring any increase in net previously registered but might have stopped
retail prices of the manufacturers. production in the Philippines at that time.
134 TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
2. On the same page, same line, after the THE CORRECT TAX BRACKET
word “CLASSIFICATION,” insert WHICH A NEW BRAND OF
the phrase OF NEW BRANDS FERMENTED LIQUOR SHALL
INTRODUCED BETWEEN JANUARY BE CLASSIFIED; PROVIDED,
1, 1997 AND DECEMBER 31,2003.; HOWEVER, THAT THE BRANDS
OF DISTILLED , SPIRITS
3. On page 7, line 7, between the words INTRODUCED IN THE DOMESTIC
“THE” and “HIGHEST,” insert the MARKET BETWEEN JANUARY 1,
phrase PROPER CLASSIFICATION 1997 AND DECEMBER 31, 2003
THEREOF BASED ON THEIR NET SHALL NO LONGER BE SUBJECT
RETAIL PRICE; PROVIDED, TO THE INITIAL VALIDATION
MO WE VER, THAT SUCH AND REVALIDATION HEREIN
CLASSIFICATION SHALL NOT REQUIRED BUT SHALL
IN ANY CASE BE LOWER THAN CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN THE
THE; and CLASSIFICATION UNDER WHICH
THE BUREAU OF INTERNAL,
4. On the same page, line 11, delete the REVENUE HAS DETERMINED
phrase “AND/OR A DIFFERENT THEM TO BELONG AS OF
BRAND WHICH CARRIES THE DECEMBER 3 1, 2003;
SAME LOGO OR DESIGN OF THE
EXISTING BRAND.” 4. On the same page, line 13, after the
word “CLASSIFICATION,” insert
i!
As proposed by Senator Osmefia and accepted the phrase OF NEW BRANDS
by the Sponsor, there being no objection, the Body AND BRANDS INTRODUCED
approved the following omnibus amendments: BETWEEN JANUARY 1, 1997 AND
DECEMBER 31, 2003;
1. On page 10, line 9, between the words
“the” and “highest,” insert the phrase 5 . On page 18, line 14, after the word
PROPER CLASSIFICATION “the,” insert the phrase PROPER
THEREOF BASED ON THEIR CLASSIFICATION THEREOF
NET RETAIL PRICE; PROVIDED, BASED ON THEIR NET RETAIL
HOWEVER, THAT SUCH PRICE; PROVIDED, HOWEVER,
CLASSIFICATION SHALL NOT IN THAT SUCH CLASSIFICATION
ANY CASE BE LOWER THAN THE; SHALL NOT IN ANY CASE
BE LOWER THAN THE;
2. On the same page, delete the phrase
beginning with the words “AND/OR” 6. On the same page, delete the phrase
on line up to the “BRAND on line 14; beginning with “AND/OR” on line 18
up to the word “BRAND” on line 19;
3. On page 11, line 12, between the word
“CLASSIFIED and the period (.), insert 7. On page 19, line 26, after the word
the following phrase: AFTER THE “CLASSIFIED,” insert the following
END OF EIGHTEEN (18) MONTHS phrase: AFTER THE END OF
FROM SUCH VALIDATION, EIGHTEEN (18) MONTHS FROM
THE BUREAU OF INTERNAL SUCH VALIDATION, THE BUREAU
REVENUE SHALL REVALIDATE OF INTERNAL REVENUE SHALL
THE INITIALLY VALIDATED NET REVALIDATE THE INITIALLY
RETAIL PRICE AGAINST THE VALIDATED NET RETAIL PRICE
NET RETAIL PRICE AS OF THE AGAINST THE NET RETAIL
TIME OF REVALIDATION IN PRICE AS OF THE TIME OF
ORDER TO FINALLY DETERMINE REVALIDATION IN ORDER TO
“P
136 . TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
Senator Osmefia replied in the negative, stating The Chair stated that as an omnibus amendment,-
that his amendment would make the date October 1, it would be applied to other similar provisions. l
I
1996 as the takeoff date.
TERMINATION OF THE PERIOD
Senator Enrile proposed an amendment to the OF AMENDMENTS
amendment by using the words ON OR AFTER
OCTOBER 1, 1996. There being no other individual amendment,
upon motion of Senator Pangilinan, there being no
Senator Osmefia recalled that his amendment objection, the Body closed the period of
on line 24 of page 4 used the dates October 1, 1996 amendments.
and January 1, 1997, to capture cigarette brands
that were excluded from Annexes “A,” “B,” “C,” APPROVAL OF SENATE BILL NO. 1854
and “D.” ON SECOND READING
However, Senator Enrile argued that under Submitted to a vote and with 17 senators voting
’ Republic Act No. 8240, all brands that were in favor, three against, and no abstention, Senate
introduced after January 1, 1977, were considered Bill No. 1854 was approved on Second Reading.
new but registered brands produced on or before
January 1, 1997 and which continue to be
9
commercially produced thereafter would he *As corrected by Senator Enrile on December 16, 2004.
k
I
, , . , .,,, _..i . . . .“,( ,. ,.
,. .,.;.
, . ,, .
,, , , , ,
, ~
Senator Pimentel manifested that he voted in the 1. The proposed sin taxes are anti-poor
affirmative but with reservation.
The discourses we made on the floor
Senator Lacson stated that he need not explain focused solely on the wisdom of the
his negative vote. different scenarios on the proposed tax
rates on the low-end or low-tiered cigarettes
Senator Ejercito Estrada (J) waived the due to the nonavailability of data on
explanation of his negative vote. alcohol at the time of interpellation.
Notwithstanding, the Sponsor failed to
Senator Madrigal requested that the written convince me to adopt the proposed tax
explanation of her negative vote he entered into the rates because the provisions on tobacco
record. were not balanced. It did not validate the
need to address the sumptuary purpose of
Hereunder is the written explanation of vote of health, which is as important as the revenue
I
Senator Madrigal: purpose as well as the protection of the
tobacco farmers. Since it was purportedly
Overview drafted only as a purely revenue measure,
it lost sight of the true nature of a “sin lax,”
The object of taxation is not simply which is a tax imposed for luxury goods
to raise revenues for the government, with adverse effects on health [Source:
hut also to correct market failures by European Observatory on Health Care
restricting the conduct of certain activities Systems). Further, my assessment of the
and by encouraging particular courses of correlative effects of the proposed tax rates
action by providing higher taxes or by the Sponsor on low-end cigarettes
incentives through the tax structure, depended on an econometric model which
respectively. showed that the level of consumption and
demand will not decrease, thus, it will
Further, the case of imposing a tax on not be an effective deterrent to smoking.
sin products is an expression of the The health costs will go as far if the said
government’s policy to restrict the rates are passed. On the other hand, the
consumption of commodities like tobacco sponsor never showed a study or an
and alcohol. Simply stated, when a econometric model from which he based his
government imposes “sin taxes,” its ideal proposal but only mere projections.
I and primary aim should be to discourage
smoking and alcohol consumption to Studies made by the World Health
t minimize the health effects to society, Organization (WHO) and the World Bank
the increase of revenue being merely will show that tobacco consumption only
secondary. increases the poverty of individuals and
families:
To summarize, the reason for my
negative vote is based on the following - Together, tobacco and poverty create
general points: a vicious circle. In most countries,
tobacco use tends to he higher among
1. The proposed sin taxes are anti-poor; the poor.
2. The social cost far outweighs the - Poor families, in turn, spend a larger
purported economic benefits to be derived proportion of their income on tobacco.
from imposing the said taxes, and Money spent on tobacco cannot be
spent on basic human needs such
3. The proposed sin taxes shall not deter as food, shelter, education and health
cigarette and alcohol consumption. care.
138 , TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
- Tobacco can also worsen poverty laborers, family members and other
among users and their families since part-time workers.
tobacco users are at much higher risk
of falling ill and dying prematurely of - While the tobaoco industry often boasts
cancers, heart attacks, respiratory diseases of the positive economic benefits of
or other tobacco-related diseases, . growing tobacco, it fails to mention that
depriving families of much-needed the overwhelming majority of the profits
income and imposing additional costs go to the large companies, while many
for health care. tobacco farmers find themselves poor
and in debt.
- Although the tobacco industry provides
jobs for thousands of people, the vast 2. The social cost far outweighs the
majority employed in the tobacco sector purported economic benefits to be derived
earn very little, while the big tobacco from imposing the said taxes
companies reap enormous profits.
As fully discussed in the study
il
- It is the poorer and the poorest who tend entitled “Incremental Tax Effects on
Consumption of Low-Priced Cigarettes” !i
to smoke the most.
conducted by our Senate office, in close
- Globally, 84% of smokers live in consultation with Prof. Victor Abola of
developing and transitional economy the University of Asia and the Pacific and
countries. At the country level, tobacco other economists, which was manifested
consumption varies by socioeconomic on the floor on 14 December 2004, the
group. proper tax rate that should be imposed
for low-tiered cigarettes that will achieve
- In many countries, at all levels of the maximum revenue the government
development and income, it is the poor could raise without affecting the market’s
who smoke ‘the most and who bear demand for the said classification of
the most of the economic and disease cigarettes is the imposition of a 356%
burden of tobacco use. excise tax rate which would redound to an
increase of Php 3.99. 1
- The smokers’ addiction to nicotine drives
them to spend money on tobacco, The bill failed to consider the health ,
diverting critical resources that could deficit that would be incurred due to the
otherwise be spent on vital necessities. “health costs” which would necessarily
111 the case of the poorest, where a result from government’s duty to provide
significant portion of their meager social services in the form of treatments that
income is required to buy food, would be afforded to the poor people who
expenditures on tobacco may make the would be inflicted with cigarette-caused
difference between an adequate diet and diseases.
malnuhition.
Simple arithmetic would easily show
- Countries suffer huge economic losses that with the accepted amount of
duc to high healthcare costs and lost health costs being incurred, conservatively
productivity as a result of tobacco- pegged at Php 27 Million per day or
related illnesses and premature deaths. a translated Php 9.8 Billion per year,
the government could possibly incur a
- The tobacco industry claims that it loss of approximately Php 1.8 billion.
employs 33 million people, but this That is, given that Senator Recto’s
number includes farmers who grow other optimistic projections of Php 8 billion are
crops in addition to tobacco, seasonal correct.
I TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 139
I
~
3. The proposed sin tuxes shall not deter AND TOBACCO PRODUCTS,
cigarette and alcohol consumption AMENDING FOR THE PURPOSE
SECTIONS 141, 142, 143, 144, 145
Though the present tax rate of 353% AND 288 OF THE NATIONAL
would not negatively affect the demand INTERNAL REVENUE CODE OF
of the current market, it does, however, 1997, AS AMENDED.
serve as a deterrent for the youth who
will not be able to afford to even take to address the urgent need of raising
up smoking in the first place. Thus, a much-needed revenues for the government
win-win situation would be attained and address the social concerns arising
as the government would thereby be from the harmful effects of alcohol and
able to generate such so-called "much- tobacco products by instituting the timely
i needed" revenues to address the current
fiscal crisis and at the same time, decrease
adjustment of their tax rates.
AN ACT INCREASING THE EXCISE TAX Secretary Yabes called the roll for nominal
RATES IMPOSED ON ALCOHOL voting.
140 TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004
Senator Roxas stated that he bad hoped to Upon nomination by Senator Pimentel, on the
address more revenues from the measure but part of the Minority, there being no objection,
substantial iniprovement had been attained by the Senate President designated Senators Enrile,
committee amendments and those set forth by Angara and Ejercito Estrada (J) as members of
the Chair, Senator Enrile and other Members. the Senate panel in the Bicameral Conference
He manifested, however, his reservations on the Committee on the disagreeing provisions of
structure of the measure even as he realized Senate Bill No. 1854 and House Bill No. 3174.
that it was the best that the political tactical
terrain would allow at present. He commended SUSPENSION OF SESSION
Senator Recto his vigorous defense of the bill
as well as the Body for its passage. He voted Upon motion of Senator Pangilinan, there being
in favor of the measure. no objection, the session was suspended.
“P
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 141
Thereafter, upon nomination by Senator Recto, adjourned until three o'clock in the afternoon of the
on the part of the Majority, there being no following day.
objection, the Senate President designated
Senators Recto, Arroyo, Villar, Revilla and Lapid It was 11:18 p.m.
. as members of the Senate panel in the Bicameral
Conference Committee on the disagreeing
provisions of Senate Bill No. 1854 and its
counterpart House hill. I hereby certify to : correctness of --:
foregoing.
I COAUTHORS
ANNEX
"A"
The study investigates the impact of a price increase as a result of a tax increase on
the demand for low-priced cigarettes under the different scenarios as proposed Senate
Bill 1815 (Recto Bill) & Senate Bill 1854 (Enrile Bill).
The study also looked into the effects of an increase in personal consumption expenditure/
income on the demand for low-priced cigarettes given an increase in price due to tax
increase.
However, the study does not consider the change in demand for low-priced cigarettes due
to down-trading or shifting from mediumlhigh-priced brands to low-priced brands as a
result of a price increase.
To develop a model or formula that will estimate the maximum rate of increase in tax on
low-priced cigarettes such that the present demand for the low-priced cigarettes will not
decrease nor increase. Through this, we would be able to maximize the collectible
revenues.
We want to identify the exact rate of tax increase where the effect on demand is zero so
as to maintain the present volume of cigarette consumption at least in the low-priced
category so as to contain the social cost of smoking at its present level.
It must be noted that smoking causes some inevitable cost to the health of smokers and
to the society as a whole. The Government inevitably incurs cost in the treatment of poor
people with cigarette-caused diseases. Thus, a sound tax policy on cigarette should
consider both the revenue that will be generated and the costs that will be incurred by the
government due to such "health costs."
-.
TUESDAY. DECEMBER 14, 2004 143
STUDY PROPER
What are the effects of the different Senate bills on the prices of low-priced cigarette brands?
Estimates show that the Recto Bill will raise prices by around 7% while the Enrile Bill will increase prices by 60%.
i
(i.e. Given Brand X = P10.00 ti Recto Bill: P10.70 / Enrile Bill: P16.00)
i
eI
Table 1: Gross Price Changes of Senate Bills (in pesos)
ti (A) (B) (A)+ (3)= (C) ( C ) x 10% = (0) (C) + (0)= (E) % change
Case Net Price Excise Tax Rate Base VAT VAT Gross Price from present
Present* 6.97 1.12 8.09 0.81 8.90 0.00
Recto bill 6.97 1.65 (47.32%) 8.62 0.86 9.48 6.55
Enrile bill 6.97 6.00 (433.74%) 12.97 1.30 14.27 60.31
* Assumes gross price of P8.90 for low-priced brands (weighted average in 2003)
Given thest price increases, what are their effects on cigarette demand? By how much?
As cigarettes are defined as normal goods, its demand is expected to fall when price increase,
According to estimates, the sensitivity of cigarette demand to prices is ahout -0.32 assuming that incomes remain
the same. This estimate of price elasticity mean that for every 1% increase in prices, demand for cigarettes will fall
by 0.32%. When applied to the Senate tax proposals, the Recto bill will decrease sales volumes by about 2%; while
the Enrile bill will lessen demand by 19%.
I
Table 2: Demand Effects of Proposed New Taxes
i Recto bill
Enrile bill
6.55
60.31
-0.32
-0.32
-2.11
-19.42
Estimates show that the sensitivity of cigarette demand to income - or income elasticity - is 2.97. This means that
for every 1% increase in incomes, cigarette demand rises by 2.97%. When applied to a projected 5% increase in
incomes, this translates to an expected demand increase for cigarettes by 14.84%.
What is the net change in demand for cigarettes vis-A-vis the different Senate Bills?
*HB 1185 (Rector Bill): Cigarette demand will continue to rise by approximately 13% with low end cigarette
manufacturers earning an additional P2.4 billion in sales revenue or about P1.256 billion in additional revenues for
the government;
*HB 1584 (Enrile Bill): Demand for cigarettes shall lower by approximately 5% and would create sales revenue
loss of P869 million or about P10.4 billion in additional revenues for the government.
What is the maximum excise tax increase that will leave demand unchanged assuming the given price and income
effects (ZERO EFFECT POINT)?
The estimated price increase to completely offset the projected income effect is about 46.1%. This translates to a new
I
excise tax of P3.99 from the present P1.12 rate, or tax rate increase of approximately 356%.
I % Demand Change
from Income Effect
Price
Elasticitv
% Price
-
Chanee
New
Gross Price*
New
Excise Tax
Additional
Excise Increase
Zero Sales 14.84 -0.32 46.01 13.00 5.10 3.99 356%
* Assumes present gross price of P8.90 for low-priced brands (weighted average in 2003) 1
.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 145
How does the price and income effect discussed earlier look in graphical form?
The price and income effects can also be expressed in terms of the chart at
right.
Explanation:
a. The horizontal axis is the % change in cigarette demand. The right
(positive) side shows the income effect of +14.84% on cigarette demand
due to a 5% in real incomes (disregarding inflation). This demand change
is due to an increase in income so the right side of the vertical axis refers
% change in income. So for example, a higher % income change
translates to higher % change in cigarette sales.
h. The left side of the vertical axis refers to the negative effect of price
increases (due to tax increase) on cigarette demand. In this case the
vertical axis refers to the % change in price. So in our estimates, a
corresponding 14.84% decline in cigarette demand will occur if prices
rise (with higher taxes) by 46%.
c. The Recto bill leads to a 6.55% price increase which in turn allows a
12.7% increase in sales. (See Table 1)
d. The Enrile bill which translates to 60% price increase leads to a decline
in demand by 4.6%. (See Table 1)
e. To offset the 14.84% income effect, a price effect amounting to 46% is
necessary. % change in demand
19
17
5 15
m
2 13
11
'C
p 9
RESOURCE PERSONS
Annex 2:
1. The OLS method employs using a line that best fits the data points which in this case consists of the
quantities of cigarettes as the dependent variable Y when using average cigarette prices, real personal
consumption (Le. the latter is a proxy for personal disposable incomes) and average prices of substitutes
as factors or independent variables affecting cigarette sales volumes. When expressed as a function, it
becomes:
Qty Demand = f (Real Consumption Spending, Ave Price for category, Ave price of substitute category)
Y (computed) = d + a X,+ b X, + c X,
2. Through the OLS method, the derived line for cigarette demand has the lowest possible sum of the squares
of the vertical deviations from the actual cigarette demand. In the OLS method the first step obtains the
vertical distances between the actual Y’s and the computed Y’s. This individual differences are squared to
eliminate sign (Le. + or -) differences (i.e. expressing them in absolute figures). The next step is to get the
sum of all these squared differences. This final figure is then minimized while trying out different
combinations of X’s.
3. This concept is better explained using the diagram below. In this case, a sample difference between the
actual Y and the computed Y is seen in Y, - Yc when X = 4.
.
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2004 147
yI I
Unexplained difference <= Y4 Yc -
C V
Y c - Yave =>
Explained
- difference
4. The total difference for each actual point and computed Y is then:
(Actual Y - average Y) = (Actual Y - computed Y ) + (computed Y - average Y)
Total = Unexplained + Explained
When each point is squared and summed up, the equation becomes:
S (actual Y - ave r)’ = S (actual Y - camp y)’ + S ( campy - ave r)’
Total Sum of Squares = Error Sum of Squares + Regression Sum of Squares
TSS -
- ESS + RSS
5. In the case of OLS, the unexplained portion (defined as ESS) is minimized such that the computed line
for Y is now closer to all the actual Y s as a whole.
6. The “goodness of fit” of the computed Y equation to the actual Y can he measured by the indicator R2
which is the ratio of RSS to TSS so that ( 0 < R2 < 1) where Rz = 1 denotes a perfect fit.
Explained Diff RSS
Rl -
-
Total Diff TSS
3. Note that the above equation though multiplicative can be transformed to an additive equation via log
transformations in order to use OLS.
Y=d (x;) (X’b) ( 4.)
Log Y . = d+a(logXJ + b(1ogXJ + c ( l o g X J
Y (computed) = d + a4 + b X, + cxc