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Toys R Us LBO Model Blank
Toys R Us LBO Model Blank
Toys R Us LBO Model Blank
Case #5-107-002.
©2007 by the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University. This case was
prepared by Professor David Stowell and Matthew Raino ’07. Cases are developed solely
as the basis for class discussion. Cases are not intended to serve as endorsements,
sources of primary data, or illustrations of effective or ineffective management. To order
copies or request permission to reproduce materials, call 847-491-5400 or e-mail
cases@kellogg.northwestern.edu. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored
in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means
—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission
of the Kellogg School of Management.
Instructions
1. Review the assumptions in the "Static Model Assumptions" section of the model
Do not change any of the assumptions on these worksheets
Become familiar with the sources and uses of the transaction
This model assumes the transaction closed on January 29, 2005 (Toys' fiscal year-end). The actual closing date was July 21, 2005
The case manager section on the bottom of the "Case Manager" worksheet allows you to store 5 operating models in the model at once
Cell "G65" is the trigger to drive which operating case is currently running through the model
3. Analyze "Model Outputs" Section to understand how operating assumptions impact the LBO model
Do not change any cells within the "Model Outputs" section - all outputs are from operating model assumptions
Analyze credit statistics and returns to evaluate the risk / return profile of the transaction
4. Based on outputs from model - use the "Exhibits for Presentation" section to complete your PowerPoint Analysis of the transaction
The exhibits in this section do not need to be altered however feel free to add other outputs you deem relevant
Key Inputs
Units in Model ($ in millions)
Fiscal Year Ending For the FYE January 31
First Year in Model 2003
Other Assumptions
Tax Rate 35.0%
Assumed Annual Dividends 0
Model Assumptions
For Simplicity - model assumes deal close at end of FYE 2005 - no stub period calculation for July 21, 2005 close
Only sponsors invest in the equity at close - e.g., no co-invest from management
10% option pool for new management - options strike at sponsor purchase price (proxy for restricted stock given to mgmt)
Sponsors take no management fees during investment hold
All equity invested in deal is common - no preferred equity (or associated dividends)
All debt is cash pay - no PIK option
All transaction fees are expensed at close
Existing Debt & Senior Credit Facility is prepaid - excess cash flow generated will accumulate on balance sheet
No Changes in long-term assets or long-term liabilities (workings capital changes on current assets and current liabilities)
For inventory turn calculation - turns based on COGS & SG&A to reconcile with disclosure by segment
No amortization of old or new goodwill
No use of deferred taxes - for simplicity, one tax rate is used
Transaction Assumptions
Case Manager
Base Case 1
Upside Case 2
Downside Case 3
Open Case #1 4
Open Case #2 5
(1) Based on cash on bal sheet at end of FY 2005 and cash used in deal.
Assumption is this is adequate level of cash to support business
Page 3 11/03/2021 / 17:43:44
Sources & Uses
($ in millions)
Sources Uses
Cash on Balance Sheet $956 Purchase of Common Stock $5,900
Senior Secured Credit Facility 700 Purchase of Stock Options and Restricted Stock 227
Unsecured Bridge Loan 1,900 Settlement of Equity Security Interests 114
Secured European Bridge Loan 1,000 Purchase of all Warrants 17
Mortgage Loan Agreements 800 Transaction Fees 362
Sponsor Equity 1,300 Severance and Bonus Payments 36
Total $6,656 $6,656
Summary of Fees
Advisory Fees & Expenses $78
Financing Fees 135
Sponsor Fees 81
Other 68
Total $362
Stockholders' Equity
Common Stock $30 $30
Additional Paid-in Capital 407 405
Retained Earnings 5,308 5,560
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss (64) (7)
Restricted Stock 0 (5)
Treasury Shares, at cost (1,707) (1,658)
Total Stockholders' Equity $3,974 $4,325
Base Case
Average Stores 693 685 683 681 681 681 681 681
Sales per Store $9.7 $9.2 $8.9 $8.9 $8.9 $8.9 $8.9 $8.9 0.0%
Sales Growth per Store -5.3% -3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ending Balance of Owned Stores 315 315 315 315 315 315
Proceeds from Store Sales (Pre-Tax) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Proceeds from Store Sales (After-Tax) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Sales $6,755 $6,326 $6,104 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 -0.1%
Growth -6.4% -3.5% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
COGS & SG&A $6,308 $6,062 $5,782 $5,765 $5,765 $5,765 $5,765 $5,765 -0.1%
Growth -3.9% -4.6% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 93.4% 95.8% 94.7% 94.7% 94.7% 94.7% 94.7% 94.7%
EBITDA $447 $264 $322 $321 $321 $321 $321 $321 -0.1%
Growth -40.9% 22.0% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 6.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3%
D&A 191 194 200 199 199 199 199 199 -0.1%
EBIT $256 $70 $122 $122 $122 $122 $122 $122 -0.1%
Growth -72.7% 74.3% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 3.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Note 1: EBITDA for FY 2005 adjusted by adding back $132 million in inventory markdowns and excluding a $14 million related to a lawsuit settlement - $118M net add back in FY 2005.
Base Case
COGS & SG&A $1,951 $2,243 $2,444 $2,444 $2,444 $2,444 $2,444 $2,444 0.0%
Growth 15.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 90.3% 90.8% 89.2% 89.2% 89.2% 89.2% 89.2% 89.2%
EBITDA $210 $227 $295 $295 $295 $295 $295 $295 0.0%
Growth 8.1% 30.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8%
D&A 52 61 75 75 75 75 75 75 0.0%
EBIT $158 $166 $220 $220 $220 $220 $220 $220 0.0%
Growth 5.1% 32.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 7.3% 6.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Base Case
COGS & SG&A $1,398 $1,515 $1,601 $1,601 $1,601 $1,601 $1,601 $1,601 0.0%
Growth 8.4% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 87.6% 87.2% 85.9% 85.9% 85.9% 85.9% 85.9% 85.9%
EBITDA $197 $223 $262 $262 $262 $262 $262 $262 0.0%
Growth 13.2% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 12.4% 12.8% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1%
D&A 28 31 38 38 38 38 38 38 0.0%
EBIT $169 $192 $224 $224 $224 $224 $224 $224 0.0%
Growth 13.6% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 10.6% 11.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0%
Base Case
COGS & SG&A $373 $387 $365 $365 $365 $365 $365 $365 0.0%
Growth 3.8% -5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 109.7% 104.3% 99.7% 99.7% 99.7% 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
D&A 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
EBIT ($37) ($18) $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 0.0%
Growth -51.4% -105.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin -10.9% -4.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Base Case
D&A 18 40 5 0 0 0 0 0
EBIT ($28) ($67) ($25) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 -100.0%
Growth 139.3% -62.7% -100.0% NM NM NM NM
Margin -6.2% -16.1% -89.3% NM NM NM NM NM
Base Case
Corporate / Other Expenses $29 $23 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 $80 -0.1%
Growth -20.7% 247.8% -0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Other D&A $46 $40 $36 $36 $36 $36 $36 $36 -0.1%
Growth -13.0% -10.0% -0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Net Capex $395 $262 $269 $268 $268 $268 $268 $268 -0.1%
Growth -33.7% 2.7% -0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 3.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Base Case
EBITDA by Segment
Toys R Us Domestic $447 $264 $322 $321 $321 $321 $321 $321 -0.1%
Toys R Us International 210 227 295 295 295 295 295 295 0.0%
Babies R Us 197 223 262 262 262 262 262 262 0.0%
Toys R Us.com (33) (16) 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.0%
Kids R Us (Discontinued) (10) (27) (20) 0 0 0 0 0 -100.0%
EBITDA by Segment $811 $671 $860 $879 $879 $879 $879 $879 0.4%
Growth -17.3% 28.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Base Case
Net Capex $395 $262 $269 $268 $268 $268 $268 $268 -0.1%
Margin 3.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Proceeds from Store Sales (After-Tax) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
$1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000 $1.00000
Base Case
COGS & SG&A $10,494 $10,649 $10,240 $10,175 $10,175 $10,175 $10,175 $10,175 -0.1%
Growth 1.5% -3.8% -0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 92.8% 94.1% 92.3% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0%
EBITDA $811 $671 $860 $879 $879 $879 $879 $879 0.4%
Growth -17.3% 28.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
D&A $293 $328 $318 $312 $312 $312 $312 $312 -0.4%
Other D&A 46 40 36 36 36 36 36 36 -0.1%
Restructuring Charges 0 63 4 0 0 0 0 0 -100.0%
Consolidated EBIT $443 $217 $422 $451 $451 $451 $451 $451 1.3%
Growth -51.0% 94.5% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 3.9% 1.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
Net Capex $395 $262 $269 $268 $268 $268 $268 $268 -0.1%
Margin 3.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Value
$5,900.0
227.0
114.0
17.0
362.0
36.0
$6,656.0
2,312
$8,968.0
y Down
Stockholders' Equity
New Preferred Stock $0 $0 $0
Sponsor Equity 0 0 1,300 1,300
Retained Earnings 3,974 4,325 (4,325) 0
Total Stockholders' Equity $3,974 $4,325 ($3,025) $1,300
Income Statement
($ in millions)
Base Case
COGS & SG&A $10,494.0 $10,649.0 $10,240.0 $10,175.1 $10,175.1 $10,175.1 $10,175.1 $10,175.1 $10,175.07 $10,175.07 $10,175.07 $10,175.07
Margin 92.8% 94.1% 92.3% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0% 92.0%
EBITDA $811.0 $671.0 $860.0 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1 $879.1
Margin 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Corporate / Other Expenses 29.0 23.0 80.0 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7 79.7
Margin 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Consolidated EBITDA $782.0 $648.0 $780.0 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4 $799.4
Growth -17.1% 20.4% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 6.9% 5.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%
D&A 293.0 328.0 318.0 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4 312.4
Margin 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Other D&A 46.0 40.0 36.0 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9 35.9
Margin 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Restructuring Charges 0.0 63.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Consolidated EBIT $443.0 $217.0 $422.0 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1 $451.1
Growth -51.0% 94.5% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 3.9% 1.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
Interest Expense
Assumed Debt $149.9 $149.0 $147.9 $146.5 $144.8 $142.9 $140.5 $137.9 $135.1
Senior Secured Credit Facility 47.3 50.8 54.3 57.8 61.3 64.8 66.5 66.5 66.5
Unsecured Bridge Loan 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0 209.0
Secured European Bridge Loan 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0 90.0
Mortgage Loan Agreements 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0
Total Interest Expense $560.2 $562.8 $565.1 $567.3 $569.1 $570.6 $570.0 $567.4 $564.6
Interest Income on Cash Balance 40.5 46.8 53.0 59.2 65.5 71.7 77.9 77.9 77.9
Pre-Tax Income ($68.5) ($64.9) ($61.0) ($56.9) ($52.5) ($47.8) ($41.0) ($38.3) ($35.5)
Use of NOLs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Taxes 35.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Income ($68.5) ($64.9) ($61.0) ($56.9) ($52.5) ($47.8) ($41.0) ($38.3) ($35.5)
Growth -5.3% -6.0% -6.8% -7.7% -9.0% -14.3% -6.5% -7.4%
Margin -0.6% -0.6% -0.6% -0.5% -0.5% -0.4% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3%
Proceeds from Store Sales (After-Tax) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Retained Earnings ($68.5) ($64.9) ($61.0) ($56.9) ($52.5) ($47.8) ($41.0) ($38.3) ($35.5)
2015
$11,054.1
0.0%
$10,175.07
92.0%
$879.1
8.0%
79.7
0.7%
$799.4
0.0%
7.2%
312.4
2.8%
35.9
0.3%
0.0
$451.1
0.0%
4.1%
$132.0
66.5
209.0
90.0
64.0
$561.5
77.9
($32.5)
0.0
0.0
($32.5)
-8.5%
-0.3%
0.0
0.0
($32.5)
Base Case
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital ($0.4) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
(Increase) / Decrease in Other LT Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase / (Decrease) in Other LT Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash Taxes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash on Balance Sheet in Excess of Minimum Balance 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Sources / (Uses) of Cash ($0.4) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Proceeds from Store Sales (After-Tax) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash Available for Debt Service $531.1 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5 $531.5
Total Interest Expense $560.2 $562.8 $565.1 $567.3 $569.1 $570.6 $570.0 $567.4 $564.6
Interest Income on Cash Balance 40.5 46.8 53.0 59.2 65.5 71.7 77.9 77.9 77.9
Cash Available for Debt Amortization / Repayment $11.5 $15.5 $19.4 $23.5 $27.9 $32.6 $39.4 $42.1 $44.9
Assumed Debt ($11.5) ($15.5) ($19.4) ($23.5) ($27.9) ($32.6) ($39.4) ($42.1) ($44.9)
Senior Secured Credit Facility $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Excess Cash After Debt Repayment $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Minimum Cash Balance 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0 1,247.0
Ending Cash Balance $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0 $1,247.0
Credit Statistics
Total Debt / EBITDA 8.61x 8.38x 8.36x 8.34x 8.31x 8.27x 8.23x 8.18x 8.13x 8.08x
Net Debt / EBITDA 7.01x 6.82x 6.80x 6.78x 6.75x 6.71x 6.67x 6.62x 6.57x 6.52x
EBITDA / Interest Expense 1.43x 1.42x 1.41x 1.41x 1.40x 1.40x 1.40x 1.41x 1.42x
(EBITDA-Capex) / Interest Expense 0.95x 0.94x 0.94x 0.94x 0.93x 0.93x 0.93x 0.94x 0.94x
2015
$799.4
267.9
$531.5
$0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$0.0
0.0
$531.5
$561.5
77.9
$47.9
($47.9)
$0.0
$0.0
1,247.0
$1,247.0
8.02x
6.46x
1.42x
0.95x
$466.4
32.5
0.0
$498.9
Balance Sheet
($ in millions)
Base Case
Net, PP&E 4,339.0 $4,258.6 $4,178.2 $4,097.9 $4,017.5 $3,937.1 $3,856.7 $3,776.4 $3,696.0 $3,615.6
Goodwill, net 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Goodwill 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0 2,684.0
Other Assets 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0 669.0
Total Assets $11,143.0 $11,049.4 $10,969.0 $10,888.6 $10,808.2 $10,727.8 $10,647.5 $10,567.1 $10,486.7 $10,406.3
Assumed Debt $2,312.0 $2,300.5 $2,285.0 $2,265.7 $2,242.2 $2,214.3 $2,181.7 $2,142.3 $2,100.3 $2,055.4
Senior Secured Credit Facility 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0 700.0
Unsecured Bridge Loan 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0 1,900.0
Secured European Bridge Loan 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 1,000.0
Mortgage Loan Agreements 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0 800.0
Total Debt $6,712.0 $6,700.5 $6,685.0 $6,665.7 $6,642.2 $6,614.3 $6,581.7 $6,542.3 $6,500.3 $6,455.4
Deferred Income Taxes 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0 485.0
Other Liabilities 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0 497.0
Total Liabilities $9,843.0 $9,817.9 $9,802.4 $9,783.0 $9,759.5 $9,731.7 $9,699.1 $9,659.7 $9,617.6 $9,572.7
Stockholders' Equity
New Preferred Stock $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Sponsor Equity 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0 1,300.0
Retained Earnings 0.0 (68.5) (133.4) (194.4) (251.3) (303.8) (351.6) (392.6) (430.9) (466.4)
Total Stockholders' Equity $1,300.0 $1,231.5 $1,166.6 $1,105.6 $1,048.7 $996.2 $948.4 $907.4 $869.1 $833.6
Total Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity $11,143.0 $11,049.4 $10,969.0 $10,888.6 $10,808.2 $10,727.8 $10,647.5 $10,567.1 $10,486.7 $10,406.3
Check $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000
2015
$1,247.0
152.4
1,872.1
166.3
$3,437.7
$3,535.2
0.0
2,684.0
669.0
$10,326.0
$1,016.5
1,118.9
$2,135.4
$2,007.5
700.0
1,900.0
1,000.0
800.0
$6,407.5
485.0
497.0
$9,524.9
$0.0
1,300.0
(498.9)
$801.1
$10,326.0
$0.000
Base Case
Interest Earned on Cash 2.75% 3.25% 3.75% 4.25% 4.75% 5.25% 5.75% 6.25% 6.25% 6.25%
Merchandise Inventories $2,094.0 $1,884.0 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1 $1,872.1
Turns 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4
Other Current Assets $486.0 $167.0 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3 $166.3
Days Outstanding 15.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
Accounts Payable $1,022.0 $1,023.0 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5 $1,016.5
Days Outstanding 35.0 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5 36.5
Accrued Expenses & Other Current Liabilities $1,185.0 $1,126.0 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9 $1,118.9
Days Outstanding 40.6 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1 40.1
Total Current Assets $2,726.0 $2,204.0 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7 $2,190.7
Total Current Liabilities 2,207.0 2,149.0 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4 2,135.4
Working Capital $519.0 $55.0 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4 $55.4
(Increase) / Decrease in Accounts and Other Receivables ($7.0) $0.6 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
(Increase) / Decrease in Merchandise Inventories 210.0 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
(Increase) / Decrease in Other Current Assets 319.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts Payable 1.0 (6.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Expenses & Other Current Liabilities (59.0) (7.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
(Increase in) Reduction of Working Capital $464.0 ($0.4) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
(Increase) / Decrease in Long-Term Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase / (Decrease) in Long-Term Liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015
6.00%
6.25%
6.50%
9.50%
11.00%
9.00%
8.00%
$152.4
5.0
$1,872.1
5.4
$166.3
5.5
$1,016.5
36.5
$1,118.9
40.1
$2,190.7
2,135.4
$55.4
$0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
$0.0
0.0
0.0
Returns Summary
($ in millions)
Base Case Exit Enterprise Less: Plus: Net Equity Sponsor Mgmt Total Option Adj. Equity
Multiple Value Debt Cash Debt Value Ownership Ownership Ownership Proceeds Value
Assumed Exit Year 2010 7.00x $5,595.7 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $228.4 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% $0.0 $228.4
EBITDA $799.4 7.50x 5,995.4 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $628.1 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 628.1
8.00x 6,395.1 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $1,027.8 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 1,027.8
8.50x 6,794.8 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $1,427.5 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 1,427.5
9.00x 7,194.5 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $1,827.2 90.0% 10.0% 100.0% 144.4 1,971.6
9.50x 7,594.2 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $2,226.9 90.0% 10.0% 100.0% 144.4 2,371.3
10.00x 7,993.9 ($6,614.3) $1,247.0 ($5,367.3) $2,626.6 90.0% 10.0% 100.0% 144.4 2,771.0
Sponsor Return
Exit Mult. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ROI Gains
7.00 x ($1,300.0) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $228.4 -29.4% ($1,071.6)
7.50 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 628.1 -13.5% (671.9)
8.00 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,027.8 -4.6% (272.2)
8.50 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,427.5 1.9% 127.5
9.00 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,774.5 6.4% 474.5
9.50 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,134.2 10.4% 834.2
10.00 x (1,300.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,493.9 13.9% 1,193.9
Net Value
of Options
$0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
52.7
92.7
132.7
Base Case
Margin by Segment
$322 37% 7% 4% 5%
$295 34% 10% 9% 11%
$262 30% 12% 13% 14%
$1 0% -10% -4% 0%
($20) -2% -2% -7% -71%
$860 100% 7% 6% 8%
Toys R Us Domestic Toys R Us International
($ in millions) ($ in millions)
Base Case Base Case
For the FYE January 31 Actual Projected CAGR For the FYE January 31 Actual Projected
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 '05-'10 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net Sales $6,104 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 $6,086 -0.1% Net Sales $2,739 $2,739 $2,739 $2,739 $2,739 $2,739
Growth -3.5% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Growth 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
% of Total Sales 55.1% 55.1% 55.1% 55.1% 55.1% 55.1% % of Total Sales 24.7% 24.8% 24.8% 24.8% 24.8% 24.8%
EBITDA $322 $321 $321 $321 $321 $321 -0.1% EBITDA $295 $295 $295 $295 $295 $295
Growth 22.0% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Growth 30.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Margin 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% Margin 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8%
% of Segment EBITDA 36.6% 36.5% 36.5% 36.5% 36.5% 36.5% % of Segment EBITDA 33.5% 33.6% 33.6% 33.6% 33.6% 33.6%
Note: % of total sales & % of total EBITDA excludes Kids R Us in 2005 Note: % of total sales & % of total EBITDA excludes Kids R Us in 2005
For the FYE January 31 Actual Projected CAGR For the FYE January 31 Actual Projected
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 '05-'10 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net Sales $1,863 $1,863 $1,863 $1,863 $1,863 $1,863 0.0% Net Sales $366 $366 $366 $366 $366 $366
Growth 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Growth -1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
% of Total Sales 16.8% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% % of Total Sales 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
0.0%
CAGR
'05-'10
0.0%
0.0%
Returns
(Including Sponsor Fee)
EBITDA ROI
Multiple ROI Gain w/Fee Gain
7.00x -29.4% ($1,071.6) -28.5% ($990.6)
7.50x -13.5% (671.9) -12.4% (590.9)
8.00x -4.6% (272.2) -3.4% (191.2)
8.50x 1.9% 127.5 3.2% 208.5
9.00x 6.4% 474.5 7.8% 555.5
9.50x 10.4% 834.2 11.9% 915.2
10.00x 13.9% 1,193.9 15.4% 1,274.9