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LAS Q4 W1 STAT AND PROBCabudsanSNHS
LAS Q4 W1 STAT AND PROBCabudsanSNHS
Department of Education
REGION VIII – EASTERN VISAYAS
SCHOOLS DIVISION OF CATBALOGAN CITY
Office of the Schools Division Superintendent
In the earlier lessons, you have learned about the importance of the
random sampling as well as the properties of the normal curve and how to
compute the proportions of areas under it. This time, you will learn another important
aspect of Inferential Statistics which is the decision-making. We usually follow
processes in decision-making such as weighing alternatives, collecting evidences, making
a decision and making appropriate interpretation or undertaking an action. We follow
these basic processes in testing hypothesis in Statistics.
Try to do the following exercise to determine your readiness for this
lesson.
A. Determine whether each statement is true or false.
1) The area under the normal curve is 1.
2) The Central Limit Theorem states that as the sample size n increases, the
shape of the distribution of the sample means taken with replacement from a
population will approach a skewed distribution.
3) A sampling distribution of sample means is consists of means derived from all
possible random samples of specific size obtained from a population.
4) The percentage of the area under the normal distribution lies within 1
standard deviation below and 1 standard deviation above the mean is 90%.
If your answers in statements 1,3 and 5 are true ;and false for statements for 2
and 4; then, you are ready for this lesson.
Here are the examples of questions you can answer with a hypothesis test:
• Does the mean height of Grade 12 students differ from 66 inches?
• Do male and female Grade 7 and Grade 12 students differ in height on
average?
• Is the proportion of senior male students’ height significantly higher than that
of senior female students?
• The null hypothesis is an initial claim based on previous analyses, which the
researcher tries to disprove, reject, or nullify. It shows no significant difference
between two parameters. It is denoted by 𝐻𝑜.
• The alternative hypothesis is contrary to the null hypothesis, which shows that
observations are the result of a real effect. It is denoted by 𝐻𝑎.
You can think of the null hypothesis as the current value of the population
parameter, which you hope to disprove in favor of your alternative hypothesis.
Illustrative Example 1:
The school record claims that the mean score in Math of the incoming Grade
11 students is 81. The teacher wishes to find out if the claim is true. She tests if
there is a significant difference between the batch mean score and the mean score of
students in her class.
Solution:
You may select any of the following statements as your null and alternative
hypothesis as shown in Option 1 and Option 2.
Option 1:
Illustrative Example 2:
The owner of the factory that sells a particular bottled juice fruit claims that
the average capacity of a bottle of their product is 250 ml. State the null and
alternative hypotheses.
Answer:
Level of Significance
Notice that the most common levels of significance used are 1%, 5%, or 10%.
Illustrative Example 3:
𝛼 = 0.05 is actually the area under the normal curve within the
rejection region.
When the alternative hypothesis is two-sided like 𝐻𝑎: 𝜇 ≠ 𝜇0, it is called two-tailed
test. It is also called non-directional test.
When the given statistics hypothesis assumes a less than or greater than value, it is
called one-tailed test. It is also called directional test.
Illustrative Example 4:
Answer :
In problems that involve hypothesis testing, there are words like greater,
efficient, improves, effective, increases, and so on that suggest a directional test
particularly a right-tailed test. Words like decrease, less than, smaller, and the like
suggest also a directional test but a left-tailed test.
Rejection Region
• The rejection region or critical region is the set of all values of the test statistic
that causes us to reject the null hypothesis.
• The non-rejection region or acceptance region is the set of all values of the
test statistic that causes us to fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Now, let’s take a look at Sofia’s claim. She assumed that the average
online usage of her friends is the same as the global usage ().
She computed for the t -value using the formula 𝑡 = 𝑥̅−�𝜇 where 𝜇 = 142, 𝑥̅
√��
= 152, s = 19.855, and n=10. �
𝑥̅− 𝜇
𝑡= 𝑠
√𝑛 Use a scientific
The t-- test formula calculator to
is used since n 152− 142 verify the
𝑡=
is less than 30 19.855 computed- t
√10 value.
𝑡 = 10
6.278
00
𝑡 = 017
1.593
0
This t-test formula is actually for z-values for the data for sample means in the
normal distribution but since the number of n is less than 30, which is actually just
10, so we can use it for t-test. This is our t-statistic formula.
The table of
- t
can be found at the
-values
last part of this
LAS..
Therefore, we accept now the null hypothesis. The average online usage of her
friends same as the global usage.
Illustrative Example 6:
Do not Reject H0
Reject
(or Accept H0)
If the null hypothesis is true and accepted, or it is false and rejected, the
decision is correct. If the null hypothesis is true and rejected, the decision is
incorrect and this is Type I error. If the null hypothesis is false and accepted,
the decision is incorrect and this is Type II error.
Illustrative Example 7:
a. Maria insists that she is 30 years old when, in fact, she is 32 years old.
What error is she committing?
Answer: Hunting Philippine eagle is prohibited by law. Thus, it is not a good sport. It
is Type II error since it is against the law and he may find himself in jail if he goes out
hunting this bird.
Illustrative Example 8 :
Analyze the possibilities of Sofia’s conclusion. Identify if it is a Type I Error, Type II
Error, or a Correct Decision.
If Sofia finds out that her null hypothesis is …
1. true and she fails to reject it, then she commits a ____________________.
2. true and she rejects it, then she commits a _____________________.
Illustrative Examples 9:
1. The average height of adult Filipinos 20 years and older is 163 cm for males.
2. A Grade 11 researcher reported that the average allowance of Senior High School
students is ₱100. A sample of 40 students has mean allowance of ₱120. At 𝛼 = 0.01
test, it was the claimed that the students had allowance of ₱ 100. The standard
deviation of the population is ₱50.
Parameters: the average allowance of Senior High School students is ₱100 or 𝝁
= ₱𝟏𝟎𝟎
3. According to a survey, 63% of the parents are willing to spend extra money for their
children’s health and education matters.
Parameter: the percentage/proportion of parents willing to spend extra money
in their children’s health and education matter or 𝒑 =
𝟎. 𝟔𝟑
Practice Exercises/Activity
I. State the null and the alternative hypotheses of the following statements.
1. We want to test whether the general average of students in Math is different from
80%.
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
𝐻𝑎: ____________________________________________________
3. We want to test if it takes less than 60 minutes to answer the quarterly test in
Calculus.
𝐻𝑜: ____________________________________________________
𝐻𝑎: ____________________________________________________
II. Illustrate the rejection region given the critical value and identify if the t-values lie
in the rejection region or acceptance region.
IV. Determine the notation of the given parameter, inequality symbol, or value of the
parameter.
This activity will enable you to reflect about the topic and activities you underwent. Reflect on the
activities you have done by wring a short paragraph. Write your answers on your journal
notebook. The beginning sentences are as follows:
I learned that _____________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________________.
I discovered that __________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________________.
I was surprised that I _____________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________________.
I was pleased that I _______________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________________________.
I. Cite a situation in your community where you can apply hypothesis testing. Then,
just choose one situation and:
II. List down two (2) different real-life situations where hypothesis testing can be
done. Identify the parameter to be tested in each situation.
1. ________________________________________________________________________
2. ________________________________________________________________________
Post Test
10. Anna wants to estimate the average shower time of teenagers. From the sample of
50 teenagers, she found out that it takes 5 minutes for teenagers to shower. What is the
parameter?
A. sample of 50 teenagers C. average shower time of teenagers
B. 50 teenagers in 5 minutes D. took 5 minutes for teenagers to shower