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Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Heliyon
journal homepage: www.cell.com/heliyon

Research article

Study on the LNG distribution to mobile power plants utilizing small-scale


LNG carriers
Muhammad Arif Budiyanto a, *, Achmad Riadi a, I.G.N. Sumanta Buana b, Gita Kurnia c
a
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Universitas Indonesia, Kampus Baru UI Depok, Jawa Barat 16424, Indonesia
b
Department of Marine Transportation and Logistics, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Surabaya, Jawa Timur 60111, Indonesia
c
Department of Logistics Engineering, Universitas Pertamina, Kebayoran Lama, Jakarta 12220, Indonesia

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: In recent years, the use of small-scale liquefied natural gas (LNG) has grown alongside demand from industrial
Energy users of natural gas. Small-scale LNG is an alternative to the supply of natural gas to remote areas with a cost-
Energy sustainability effectiveness challenge. To address this challenge, five mobile power plants located in remote areas with
Urban energy consumption
limited depth of water level in western Indonesia are used here as a case study. The objective of this paper is to
Industrial energy consumption
Natural resource economics
optimize LNG distribution using small-scale LNG carriers and carry out an economic analysis in this region. The
Energy economics capacitated vehicle routing problem model was used to optimize the maritime routing of a small-scale LNG supply
LNG distribution chain. The maximization of the volume cargo with a given LNG vessel capacity set as the objective function was
Small-scale LNG carriers therefore provided with the optimum inventory routing and economic analysis of the transport of LNG. Cluster 1
Route optimization serves three power plants with a total demand of 966 m3/day and a distance is 913 Nautical Miles, while cluster 2
serves two power plants with a total demand of 690 m3/day and distance of 1,483 Nautical Miles. Economic
analysis of the two clusters shows that there is a minimum difference in the margin rate needed to make it worth
the investment, which is 3 USD/MMBTU for cluster 1 and 4 USD/MMBTU for cluster 2. Thus, this paper concludes
that the cost of LNG transportation depends on the amount of cargo demand and shipping distances.

1. Introduction The LNG supply chain can be described as a network of natural gas
from the gas field to the liquefaction plant to turn the gas phase into
Liquid natural gas (LNG) has become a new major clean energy source liquid that is then stored in the refinery of the LNG storage tank and
for electricity generation. Globally traded LNG volumes increased by delivered to gas consumers, referred to as end users [13]. LNG trans-
28.2 million tonnes in 2018 [1]. In recent years, many developing portation using small-sized LNG ships is still rare, with the demand for
countries have increased their investment in LNG infrastructure projects gas from small plants between locations scattered at several points [14,
to meet LNG demands [2]. The LNG supply system is in a rapid devel- 15]. Small-scale LNG carriers rely on importer-exporter market shares, it
opment stage in many countries, but it is not yet complete [3]. To manage is mainly designed for inland applications in addition to large-scale LNG
the dynamic supply-demand structure of the network, an optimum sup- power generationsystems for peak demands or secondary cycles. The use
ply chain for LNG remains to be determined [4]. Therefore, a minimum of small-scale LNG will provide operational ease because its smaller
production schedule that addresses market demands must be developed vessel dimensions meet water depth requirements on shipping routes
to allow a both cost-effective and secure LNG supply network [5]. There [16].
are difficulties in optimizing the supply chain network for LNG, such as Small-scale LNG routing is a special case of the maritime inventory
price and demand uncertainty [6], multiple gas production options [7], routing problem combined with several additional conditions, such as
variable distribution modes [8], versatile navigation paths [9], yearly variable production and consumption rates and port terminal limitations
fluctuating demands [10], and the simultaneous need to optimize [17]. The problem of vehicle routes or vehicle routing problems has been
infrastructure development and inventory routing [11]. There is some widely examined by researchers to solve maritime distribution problems
difficulty in optimizing the LNG supply system due to the complexity of [18]. Vehicle routing problems involve determining the optimal route for
the LNG supply chain, so solving this problem will be challenging [12]. problems involving more than one vehicle with a certain capacity in

* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: arif@eng.ui.ac.id (M.A. Budiyanto).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e04538
Received 24 June 2019; Received in revised form 25 March 2020; Accepted 20 July 2020
2405-8440/© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-
nc-nd/4.0/).
M.A. Budiyanto et al. Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

XX ( 
order to serve a certain number of customers in accordance with their Xijk ¼ 1; 8j ¼ 0; 1; …; n (5)
requests [19]. There are several types of vehicle routing problems and k2K j2R;j6¼i
several methods used to solve these problems [20]. One method of
vehicle routing that has been widely used to solve capacity-based The limits in Eqs. (4) and (5) aim to ensure that each receiving ter-
transportation cases is the branch-cut-and-price method [21], widely minal is serviced exactly once by a ship of a certain capacity.
used to solve land transportation problems [22]. Furthermore, the X ( 
development of this method is the capacitated vehicle routing problem; X0jk ¼ 1; 8k ¼ 1; 1; …; n (6)
j2R
this method is one variant of the vehicle routing problem, with each
vehicle having the same limited capacity for all vehicles that have to X ( 
service requests from depots with a single type of goods from the Xi0k ¼ 1; 8k ¼ 1; 1; …; n (7)
i2R
distributor, which generates minimum distance travel [23]. Despite the
many studies of capacitated vehicle routing problems, not many have The limitations contained in Eqs. (6) and (7) ensure that each route
applied it to the case of small-scale LNG carriers. This study aims to find with a particular ship starts from the LNG source and then, after serving
the optimum capacity of LNG ships by providing variations in the results the LNG distribution, returns to LNG source h.
of the route with the capacitated vehicle routing problem method. This 
X X (
study has twofold contributions: firstly, we report the optimum route Xihk  Xhjk ¼ 0; 8h ¼ 1; 8k ¼ 1; 1; …; n (8)
combines with the maximum capacity of small scale LNG distribution for i2R;i6¼h j2R;j6¼h

mobile power plants with limited depth of water level in the receiving
The limit in Eq. (8) ensures the continuation of the route of the LNG
terminal facilities. Secondly, we estimate preliminary transportation
distribution, meaning that every ship that has finished servicing a
costs for small scale LNG that combines the economic value of LNG
receiving terminal will leave the receiving terminal to continue distrib-
transportation with the shipping distance and volume of the cargo. This
uting LNG or return to the LNG source.
work also will provide an overview of the optimal small-scale LNG dis-
tribution allocation for small-scale power plants and a real case study in Xhjk 2 f0; 1g; 8i;j ¼ f0; 1; 2; …; ng; i; j 2 R; i 6¼ j; 8k ¼ f1; …; ng (9)
Indonesia, which is an island nation.
The limit in Eq. (9) ensures that the decision variable only uses in-
2. Research methods tegers 0 or 1.

2.1. Capacitated vehicle routing problem 2.2. Case study: LNG distribution in Sumatera, Indonesia

The problem of LNG distribution in this study is categorized as a The CVRP model was used in this case study to optimize the maritime
capacitated vehicle routing problem (CVRP). The capacity of LNG car- routing of a small-scale LNG supply chain in western Indonesia. There are
riers will be a limitation in LNG transportation. The difference in LNG currently many mini-LNG terminal projects in this region to satisfy the
ship capacity will provide variations in route results and transportation needs of mobile power plant (MPP) gas suppliers for remote areas [24,
costs. The input parameter of the CVRP calculation using following data: 25]. Today, power generation in western Indonesia is mainly based on oil
the distance between location i and location j (Sij), the demand of each and coal. Renewable sources have recently been introduced, and focus
receiving terminal (Di), the type of LNG vessel (k) based on loading ca- has also been given to natural gas. During this transition between fossil
pacity (Q), transportation costs for each route (boat rental, fuel, port fee) energy sources and renewables, natural gas appears to be the natural
(Cijk). The decision variable in this study is symbolized as Xijk, where bridge, with its economic, safer, more efficient, and more environmen-
ship k will transport LNG on a route (R) from location i to location j. If tally friendly features. We selected the existing floating storage and
ship k will transport LNG from location i to location j, then Xijk is worth 1 regasification unit (FSRU) as a potential LNG supply terminal by a
and in other conditions will be worth 0, with i, j ¼ {0, 1, 2, … , n}, i, j 2 R state-owned gas company, PGN, in Lampung, Sumatera. PGN's Lampung
i 6¼ j and k ¼ {1, 2, … , n}, k 2 {1, … , K}. FSRU is capable of storing up to 170,000 cubic meters of LNG and
 regasifying 240 million standard cubic feet (MMSCFD) per day [26].
1; if the carriers k transport LNG from i to location j Considering LNG demand, there are five mobile power plants with mini
Xijk ¼ (1)
0; if others receiving terminals located on different islands. Two are existing mobile
The objective function in this study is to maximize the volume cargo power plants located in the Pontianak 4  25 Megawatt (MW) and
with a specified LNG vessel capacity so that the LNG transportation costs Tarahan 4  25 MW. The other three are currently under construction
can be minimized. To obtain the maximum total cargo volume, an and are scheduled for commissioning in the near future [27, 28, 29]. The
optimal route is sought by minimizing the remaining cargo transported demands used for the power plant are estimations based on the
by the LNG vessel using the following equation: megawatt-hours conversion into cubic feet of natural gas. For power
plants, it is assumed that every 1 MW of power output will require an
XX X
min Xijk Sij Cijk (2) average supply of natural gas of 0.12 MMCFD; thus, 1 MMSCFD is
k2K i2R j2R;j6¼i equivalent to 46 m3 of LNG. Table 1 displays the demands used for daily
consumption for each power plant. For the sake of brevity, the following
With the limiting function as follows: location abbreviations for the mobile power plants are used: FSRU
X X (  Lampung (A0), MPP Belitung (A1), MPP Bangka (A2), MPP Pontianak
Di Xijk  Q; 8k ¼ 1; 1; …; n (3) (A3), MPP Lampung (A4), and MPP Nias (A5).
i2R j2R;j6¼i
Two sizes of small-scale LNG (SSLNG) carriers were taken into
Eq. (3) sets limits to ensure that the number of receiving terminal consideration: Kakurei Maru (2500 m3) and Akebono Maru (3500 m3).
requests served on each ship must be less than or equal to the loading These vessels were selected since they have a draft of below 5 m and
capacity of the ship serving the route. currently operate on the Japan LNG supply chain [30, 31]. These vessels
 also have a propulsion system with dual-fuel engine, which is can use in
XX (
Xijk ¼ 1; 8i ¼ 0; 1; …; n (4) diesel or gas fuel-mode [32], this engine is considered to be more envi-
k2K i2R;j6¼i ronmentally friendly and has greater efficiency [33]. Particular di-
mensions and capacities of SSLNG carriers were obtained from the
classifications under which they are registered; the data are shown in

2
M.A. Budiyanto et al. Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

Table 1. LNG demands of mobile power plants in western Indonesia.

Mark Location Capacity LNG Demands Coordinates Data Source


(MW) (m3/day) (Latitude, Longitude)
A0 FSRU Lampung* - - (-5.61, 105.94) Ref. [26]
A1 MPP Belitung 1  25 138 (-2.89, 107.56) Refs. [24, 25]
A2 MPP Bangka 2  25 276 (-2.08, 106.14) Refs. [24, 25]
A3 MPP Pontianak 4  25 552 (0.02, 109.26) Refs. [24, 25]
A4 MPP Lampung 4  25 552 (-5.52, 105.34) Refs. [24, 25]
A5 MPP Nias 1  25 138 (1.21, 97.67) Refs. [24, 25]
*
LNG Source.

Table 2. The draft of the vessel, in this case, is very important because the 3. Results and discussion
location of several power plants is on the coast, which has a limited
depth, even during extreme tides. Table 3 shows that the distances be- The results of the case study for route optimization and economic
tween the point locations differ in the range of 93–1,097 Nautical Miles analysis, which includes financial parameters associated with trans-
(NM), which corresponds to trips of 1.3–5.7 days with the smallest vessel. portation costs of small-scale LNG distribution, are analyzed in this
The sea distance was calculated using Searoutes historical vessel data section.
[34].
In addition, the route optimization differs according to sizes of LNG
carriers in the delivery path and the solution is determined using the 3.1. Route optimization
Greedy algorithm, which takes into consideration the load, service speed,
supply point reach, transportation costs, and demand variables. Many The results of calculations with the capacitated vehicle routing
assumptions were used to reduce the sophistication of the optimization problem method there are 93 possible shipping routes. From 93 possible
phase, and load-unloading time was constant at 6 h for all forms of car- routes, two optimum routes were selected, based on criteria, distance and
riers. To address uncertain shipping conditions, each delivery will delivery time. The optimum value was the smallest difference between
receive an additional 3 h of buffer time from one terminal point to freight loads and LNG specifications for every voyage. Two optimal
another [15]. routes are shown in Table 4, and the route map is shown in Figure 1. The
term boil-off gas in Table 4 is an LNG cargo in the form of liquid which
changes phase to gas due to environmental influences. LNG tank

Table 2. The particular dimensions of small-scale LNG carriers.

Type of Ship SSLNG-X SSLNG-Y

Name of Ship Unit KAKUREI MARU [35] AKEBONO MARU [36]


Capacity m3 2536 3587
Overall Length m 86.290 99.37
Breadth m 15.1 17.2
Draft m 4.31 4.6
Maximum Speed knot 14.6 15.8
Average Speed knot 13.2 14.1

Table 3. Distance matrix (nautical miles).

A0 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5
A0 0 188 248 381 93 725
A1 188 0 118 213 260 893
A2 248 118 0 226 327 960
A3 381 213 226 0 460 1097
A4 93 260 327 460 0 665
A5 725 893 960 1097 665 0

Table 4. Two optimum routes based on distance and delivery time.

Optimum route Ship Type Sea Distance Round Trip Total Demand/Trip Boil-off gas
(NM) (Days) (m3) (m3)
Cluster 1 A0 - A1 - A2 - A3 - A0 SSLNG-Y 913 3.3 3,191.7 25.5
(Green)
Cluster 2 A0 - A4 - A5 - A0 SSLNG-Y 1,483 5.0 3,433.8 27.5
(Yellow)

3
M.A. Budiyanto et al. Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

Figure 1. The LNG distribution route for mobile power plants in western Indonesia.

insulation is designed in such a way as to keep LNG cargo at the tem- where PPI is the producer price index and DWT is the deadweight volume
perature of around -160  Celsius at atmospheric pressure, but due to the for each ship. The suggested PPI index is 163.1. Based on the optimiza-
heat from the environment, the penetration into the tank causes the tion results of route selection with minimum investment cost, it has been
temperature of the charge to rise, and change the phase to gas [37]. This estimated that the total investment cost for new ship construction is
gas from phase change then used as fuel from the LNG Tanker. Boil-off 177,394,660 USD.
gas on LNG Tanker ships generally ranges from 0.1% of the total ship- OPEX is all costs incurred to support the operational distribution of
load per day [38]. The use of boil-off gas as fuel will value added to the LNG, including the operational costs of the receiving terminal and the
operational economic value of the ship. transportation costs for transporting LNG from the refinery to the
receiving terminal. The operational costs of the receiving terminal consist
3.2. Economic analysis of ship rental fees, ship fuel costs, port costs, operational costs of the
receiving terminal, electricity costs and fuel costs of the receiving ter-
The financial feasibility parameters for costs incurred by distribution minal, maintenance costs, and payments to receiving terminal workers.
activities of the LNG ships, including investment in new building ships of The total operational costs are estimated to be USD 6,062,931.64 for
SSLNG, have been included in the economic analysis conducted in this cluster 1 per annum based on optimization results of route selection with
study. Economic analyzes are carried out by using the revenue derived the minimum investment cost.; thus, total operational costs for cluster 2
from the payment of LNG services to power plants based on the financial are 6,443,731.55 USD annually. Details of operational costs from LNG
feasibility parameters. This payment for the transport service is often ship transportation are shown in Table 5.
called the price margin for the LNG selling. Practically, this selling price From the total CAPEX and OPEX, the amount of revenue obtained
margin can be analogous to the costs that gas buyers must pay to LNG from LNG transportation and regasification services up to the mouth of
supplier companies that buy LNG from LNG producers and then send it to the engine in the power plant can be calculated. The benefit derives from
gas buyers. Two variables, capital expenditure (CAPEX) and operational the difference between the buying price for LNG and the selling price for
expenditure (OPEX), are considered in the economic calculation. The LNG, or the sales margin for LNG. In order to detect the LNG market
internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV) are parameters margin sensitivity, at the end of the 20-year period, a difference in LNG
or criteria for financial feasibility used in the economic analysis. sales prices was observed in the LNG sales unit (MMBTU), i. e. in USD/
CAPEX is all initial costs of investment in the new SSLNG vessel MMBTU, or in this research. In this study, six margin variations are used,
construction. In this paper, a simple model for estimating new building from a margin of 3.0–7 USD per MMBTU with an increase of 1 USD. The
costs for LNG tankers proposed by Mulligan was used, as shown in Eq. sales margin was subsequently multiplied by the LNG sell in one year to
(10) [39]. earn sales margin revenue. For variations in LNG sales margins, the total
calculation for revenue can be found in Table 6.
CLNG ¼ ¼ 253:012 þ 2:6PPI þ 1:8053DWT  0:01009 DWT 2 After the income is known, the next step is to calculate the investment
eligibility criteria in the form of IRR and NPV. This value is calculated to
þ 0:0000189DWT 3 (10)
make LNG investment from financial parameters feasible. Figures 2 and 3

4
M.A. Budiyanto et al. Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

Table 5. Details of operational expenditures.

Item Cost (USD) Reference


Fuel and lubricating oil Cluster 1 4,883,371.64 Calculated based on fuel cost 26 USD/km  48.2 USD/NM [14]
Cluster 2 5,264,171.55
Ship's crew 426,000.00 Estimated based on Marine Labor Convention [40]
Fresh water 1,560.00 Estimated based on fresh water cost on local port data 5 USD/ton [41]
Port local agent expenses 480,000.00 Assumption based on local port data [42]
Ship repair costs 4,000.00 Assumption based on literature study [43]
Ship docking cost 188,000.00 Assumption based on literature study [43]
Survey and maintenance costs 40,000.00 Assumption based on literature study [43]
Overhead cost 40,000.00 Assumption based on literature study [43]
Total Operational Expenditure Cluster 1: 6,062,931.64
Cluster 2: 6,443,731.55

Table 6. Variation of margin rate.

Cluster 1 Cluster 2

Cargo demands (MMBTU) 7,726,320 5,518,800


Margin Rate 3 USD/MMBTU 16,929,836.02 10,010,516.43
4 USD/MMBTU 24,563,440.18 15,463,090.83
5 USD/MMBTU 32,197,044.34 20,915,665.23
6 USD/MMBTU 39,830,648.50 26,368,239.63
7 USD/MMBTU 47,464,252.66 31,820,814.03

Figure 2. Discount rate and net present value for economic analysis of cluster 1.

display the result of the economic analysis on the LNG investment esti- 45]. If the cost of transporting LNG is compared with the results of the
mate for Western Indonesia with differing revenue margins. The graph calculation of this study, there will be a slight difference, which makes it
shows that the greater the LNG sales margin, the faster the return on interesting to discuss. The results of this study indicate that the economic
investment, the greater the investment return, and the greater the NPV feasibility of LNG distribution with SSLNG vessels is different from
value. To see a profit, the NPV value must be positive in the 20th year, large-scale LNG vessels. In LNG distribution using SSLNG vessels, it is
where the IRR value must be greater than the discount rate value. If the possible that the transportation costs are greater than the LNG price itself,
government's discount rate is set at 10%, then the economic analysis in where the current spot LNG price dropped into the range of 4
cluster 1 will be worth investing when the margin rate is above 3 USD; in USD/MMBTU [46]. When that occurs, attention should be given to a
cluster 2, it will be worth investing when the margin rate is above 4 USD. robust LNG supply chain so that the economic measure is beneficial
The margin rate in this calculation is interpreted as the minimum value of relative to other energy use. Investment calculations need to be made not
LNG transportation costs. According to some references, the trans- only in terms of sea transportation but also in terms of infrastructure
portation cost of LNG with large-scale LNG vessels varies greatly, from readiness and advances in LNG technology, such as high-efficiency mini
0.65 USD/MMBTU to 2 USD/MMBTU, depending on the distance [44, power plants, mini regasification terminals, and low-draft LNG vessels.

5
M.A. Budiyanto et al. Heliyon 6 (2020) e04538

Figure 3. Discount rate and net present value for economic analysis of cluster 2.

Another thing that needs to be considered based on the results of this the amount of cargo demand and shipping distance, so a stakeholder
calculation is margin line differences between clusters 1 and 2. It shows policy is needed so that the SSLNG transportation business is attractive to
that the economic value of LNG transportation depends on the distance investors. The policy implications are aimed at the government and
and volume of the cargo. This can be considered by the government to shipping operators. From the government's perspective, the minimum
implement a standard system of minimum costs for each cluster. transportation cost policy for each cluster can be implemented, as can the
The results obtained from this study may be different from the results provision of incentives for clusters that have small cargo demands with
conducted by other researchers. This is because the optimization prob- long shipping distances. In terms of shipping operators, the policy of
lems in real life are very complex, there are many factors that need to be using boil-off-gas as secondary fuel can be implemented in order to save
addressed. Specifically, in this case, the distribution of small-scale LNG in on fuel costs.
Indonesia has several challenges, namely maritime access to receiving
terminals that could trigger major investment, arbitration of the distri- Declarations
bution of shipping costs among customers, and lack of consistency in
policy and regulations [47]. Author contribution statement

4. Conclusion Muhammad Arif Budiyanto: Conceived and designed the experi-


ments; Performed the experiments; Analyzed and interpreted the data;
In this paper, a capacitated vehicle routing problem for the optimal Contributed reagents, materials, analysis tools or data; Wrote the paper.
design of a supply chain has been presented for LNG distribution using Achmad Riadi: Analyzed and interpreted the data; Contributed re-
SSLNG carriers in western Indonesia. This case study was deliberately agents, materials, analysis tools or data; Wrote the paper.
chosen because it has a unique case of receiving facilities in a remote area I. G. N. Sumanta Buana & Gita Kurnia: Analyzed and interpreted the
with limited depth of water level. The maximized volume cargo with a data; Wrote the paper.
specified LNG vessel capacity was set as the objective function; thus, the
optimal inventory routing and economic analysis of transporting LNG
were presented as the result. From various possible routes, two optimal Funding statement
routes were determined, cluster 1 and cluster 2, where each cluster uses
SSLNG vessels with a capacity of 3,587 m3. Determined routes have The authors would like to express our gratitude to Directorate
different characteristics; cluster 1 serves three MPPs with a total demand Research and Development (DRPM) Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia in
of 966 m3/day and a cruise distance of 913 NM for a round trip, while publication support by PUTI Q1 NKB-1390/UN2.RST/HKP.05.00/2020.
cluster 2 serves two MPPs with a total demand of 690 m3/day with a
shipping distance of 1,483 NM for a round trip. From the two cluster Competing interest statement
cases, an economic analysis was then performed, including the invest-
ment eligibility criteria in the form of IRR and NPV. The results show that The authors declare no conflict of interest.
the two clusters have different economies of scale: cluster 1 is feasible for
investment if the margin rate is above 3 USD/MMBTU, while cluster 2 is
feasible for investment if the margin rate is above 4 USD/MMBTU. This Additional information
amount is still relatively high compared to the current transportation
costs, each of which is considered reasonable because the LNG trans- No additional information is available for this paper.
portation business model is currently being carried out for huge cargo
volumes with very long shipping distances between countries. The results References
of the calculation show that the cost of LNG transportation depends on
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