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    Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Xi Xi - Yi

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    Marthinus Walum Ohoilulin
    The document contains sales data from 1999 to 2020 including the year, sales, and a variable X. It then splits the data into two groups and calculates the average sales for each group. The least squares method is applied to determine the coefficients a and b to estimate the linear regression equation Y=a+bX that best fits the sales data. The estimated regression equation is Y=823.393563+3.87X with an estimated sales value for 2022 of 815.65.

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    Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Xi Xi - Yi

    Uploaded by

    Marthinus Walum Ohoilulin
    9 views6 pages
    The document contains sales data from 1999 to 2020 including the year, sales, and a variable X. It then splits the data into two groups and calculates the average sales for each group. The least squares method is applied to determine the coefficients a and b to estimate the linear regression equation Y=a+bX that best fits the sales data. The estimated regression equation is Y=823.393563+3.87X with an estimated sales value for 2022 of 815.65.

    Original Description:

    THE BUDGETING

    Original Title

    PENGANGGARAN

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    The document contains sales data from 1999 to 2020 including the year, sales, and a variable X. It then splits the data into two groups and calculates the average sales for each group. The least squares method is applied to determine the coefficients a and b to estimate the linear regression equation Y=a+bX that best fits the sales data. The estimated regression equation is Y=823.393563+3.87X with an estimated sales value for 2022 of 815.65.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    9 views6 pages

    Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Xi Xi - Yi

    Uploaded by

    Marthinus Walum Ohoilulin
    The document contains sales data from 1999 to 2020 including the year, sales, and a variable X. It then splits the data into two groups and calculates the average sales for each group. The least squares method is applied to determine the coefficients a and b to estimate the linear regression equation Y=a+bX that best fits the sales data. The estimated regression equation is Y=823.393563+3.87X with an estimated sales value for 2022 of 815.65.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 6

    Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Xi Xi.

    Yi
    1999 605 0 0
    2000 650 1 650
    2001 680 2 1360
    2002 690 3 2070
    2003 670 4 2680
    2004 650 5 3250
    2005 680 6 4080
    2006 690 7 4830
    2007 710 8 5680
    2008 700 9 6300
    2009 750 10 7500
    2010 780 11 8580
    2011 740 12 8880
    2012 790 13 10270
    2013 780 14 10920
    2014 780 15 11700
    2015 760 16 12160
    2016 750 17 12750
    2017 800 18 14400
    2018 760 19 14440
    2019 770 20 15400
    2020 800 21 16800
    Jumlah 15985 231 174700

    Kelompok Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Total Average X


    1999 605 -5
    2000 650 -4
    2001 680 -3
    2002 690 -2
    2003 670 -1 a = avarage I
    1 2004 650 7475 679.5454545455 0 a=
    2005 680 1
    2006 690 2
    2007 710 3
    2008 700 4
    2009 750 5

    2010 780 6
    2011 740 7
    2012 790 8
    2013 780 9
    2014 780 10 b = (Average II-Average I) / n
    2 2015 760 8510 773.6363636364 11 b=
    2016 750 12
    2017 800 13
    2018 760 14
    2019 770 15
    2020 800 16
    2021 17
    2022 680 18
    Persamaan (Y=a+bX)
    Y = 679,545455 + 711,859504(18)
    Y = 680.020661
    Y= 680.0

    METODE LEAST SQUARE

    Tahun Penjualan (Yi) Xi Xi.Yi Xi Kuadrat


    1999 605 -21 -12705 441
    2000 650 -19 -12350 361
    2001 680 -17 -11560 289
    2002 690 -15 -10350 225
    2003 670 -13 -8710 169
    2004 650 -11 -7150 121
    2005 680 -9 -6120 81
    2006 690 -7 -4830 49
    2007 710 -5 -3550 25
    2008 700 -3 -2100 9
    2009 750 -1 -750 1
    2010 780 1 780 1
    2011 740 3 2220 9
    2012 790 5 3950 25
    2013 780 7 5460 49
    2014 780 9 7020 81
    2015 760 11 8360 121
    2016 750 13 9750 169
    2017 800 15 12000 225
    2018 760 17 12920 289
    2019 770 19 14630 361
    2020 800 21 16800 441
    ∑ 15985 0 13715 3542
    2021 23 529
    2022 823.3935629588 25 529

    a = ∑Y/n
    Formula a dan b
    b = ∑XY/∑X^2

    a= 726.59
    b= 3.87

    Persamaan Y = a +bX
    Y= 823.393563 815.65
    Xi Kuadrat
    0
    1
    4
    9
    16
    25
    36
    1
    49
    64
    81
    2
    100
    121
    144
    169
    196
    225
    256
    289
    324
    361 3
    400
    441
    3311

    a = avarage I
    679.5454545
    b = (Average II-Average I) / n
    8.553719008
    Y = a + bx

    untuk mencari nilai a dan b menggunakan metode substitusi dan eliminasi


    ∑Y = a.n + b∑X (1)
    ∑XY = a∑X + b∑X2 (2)

    22a + 231b = 15.985 (x21)


    231a + 3.311b = 174.700 (x2)

    462a + 483b = 335.685


    462a + 6.622b = 349.400
    _______________________ -
    -6139b = -13.715

    b = -13.715/-6.139
    b = 2,2

    22a + 231(2,2341) =
    22a + 516,1 =
    22a = -516,1
    a = -516,1/22
    a = 23,5
    2.2
    516.1
    23.5

    Y2022 = a + bx
    Y2022 = 23,5 + 2,2(22)
    Y2022 = 72,6

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