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Session 21-22

Global Strategies & Emerging Markets:


India

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 1
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Emerging Markets

As business origin

As business destination

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 2
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Emerging Market Features

Income level GDP, population


Price level Cost of living, demand/supply factors
Price sensitivity Purchasing power, disparities
Supply bottlenecks Infrastructure, regulations
Socio-cultural factors Risk appetite, corruption
External factors Globalization, international agreements

Random factors Geopolitical, environmental

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 3
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Global Product Life Cycle

Domestic
(Developed)
Market

International
Unit Sales

Developed Markets

Emerging
Markets

Introduction Growth Maturity Decline

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 4
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India: Growth &
Business Constraints

Social constraints:
Lack of consistent
Corruption, caste-politics
forward-looking policies
& trust issues

Slow absorption of
Conservative approach
technologies: Agriculture
to investment & informal sectors

Constraints to labour
Constraints to supply:
productivity: Education &
Infrastructure & logistics
health

Institutional &
informational constraints

©2019-2021 P Rameshan
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 5
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Indian Market: Metro’s Experience

Highly fragmented wholesale market without global


competition
International companies accounting for a tiny fraction of grocery
retail market relative to China, Russia & other emerging markets

Almost full traditional markets served by unorganized sector


while in Brazil it was nearly half
Retail market expected to grow rapidly

Lack of cold-storage infrastructure leading to wastage of fresh food

Mom-and-pop stores with limited unpredictable assortments

Strong growth, urban migration, rising living standards,


westernization urban practices & habits, & a fast rising consumer
spending suited Metro’s business

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 6
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India as Global Business Destination: Perceptions*
Democracy is vibrant, govt. is highly bureaucratic; corruption is
rampant in state & local governments

A dynamic press & vigilant NGOs act as checks on politicians & companies

Restrictions on green-field investments & acquisitions in some sectors


make joint ventures necessity

Red tape hinders companies in sectors where the govt. allows foreign
investment

Some local design capability is available in product markets; IPR problems


exist with US in some sectors; regulatory bodies monitor product quality &
fraud
Suppliers are available; but their quality & dependability varies greatly

* Strategies That Fit Emerging Markets, HBR, June 2005, pp.9-10

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 7
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India as Global Business Destination: Perceptions*
Roads are in poor condition; ports & airports are underdeveloped

Consumers buy both local & global brands; global ad agencies are present,
but they have been less successful than the local ad agencies

The country has a highly liquid pool of English-speaking management


talent fueled by business & technical schools; local hires are preferred
over expatriates

TU movement is active & volatile, although it’s becoming less important;


TUs have strong political connections

Local banking system is well-developed; MNCs can rely on local banks for
local needs

Equity is available to local & foreign entities

* Strategies That Fit Emerging Markets, HBR, June 2005, pp.9-10

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 8
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India as Global Business Destination: Perceptions*

VC is available in some cities & from the Indian diaspora

Financial reporting is based on common-law system; it functions well

Bankruptcy processes exist, but are inefficient; promoters find it difficult


to sell off or shut down sick companies

PSUs do not any more have a significant role in the economy unlike in
China

India is wary of FDI even by its diaspora; but it has many globally-
competitive private organizations

Private companies succeed on their own despite the govt., unlike in


China (where success is linked to govt. connection)

* Strategies That Fit Emerging Markets, HBR, June 2005, pp.9-10

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 9
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India’ Business Environment: EY Survey 2014
Fourth largest FDI recipient in projects started in 2012

FDI diversification: Middle-east & Southeast Asia as new sources

FDI still focused on major traditional cities in India

Technology, media & telecom most attractive; infrastructure emerging

Wave of competition from China, Indonesia, Philippines & Vietnam

High expectations of 2020 about Indian economy (? Covid disruption!!!)

Six steps of improvement: operating environment, development of


infrastructure, boosting production, improving taxation system, easing
FDI regulations, & increasing awareness about emerging cities

Additional factors (other sources): Democracy, demography,


demand; Make-in-India; improved policies; improved
procedures; refined bureaucracy
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 10
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Positive Changes in India’s International Business
Environment (1991-2015)

Strong business clusters & local suppliers

Growth of middle class & large urban centres

Buyer sophistication & conspicuous consumption

Well-educated, highly skilled, English-speaking workforce

Financial market sophistication

Rising innovations & patents

Institutional development

Evolution of independent media

* The Business Environment of India: A New Mandate for Reforms

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 11
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Gaps in Indian Brand
“Negative press covering India’s corruption, inadequate infrastructure, and
fractured government has done far greater damage to Indian companies,
than those companies have done defending their brand, counteracting
negative public opinion, and ultimately building rock solid strategies to
expand abroad.”

“only 30% [of companies] invested 10% or more of their annual revenue on
innovation related R&D, while 33% of Indian companies invested 5% or less”

www.marketingjournal.org/the-5-biggest-global-challenges-for-
indian-brands, 2017
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 12
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India’s Global Competitiveness Rank
Year No. of Overall Basic Efficiency Innovation &
Countries Rank Requirements Enhancers Sophistication

2005-06 117 45
2006-07 125 42 60 41 26
2007-08 131 48
2008-09 134 50 80 33 27
2009-10 133 49 79 35 28
2010-11 139 51 81 38 42
2011-12 142 56 91 37 40
2012-13 144 59 85 39 43
2013-14 148 60 96 42 41
2014-15 144 71 92 61 52
2015-16 140 55 80 58 46
2017-18 137 39 63 42 30
2018 58
2019 141 68
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 13
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India’s Global Competitiveness: Basic Requirements
Year No. of Institutio Infrastru Macro Health &
Countries ns cture Stability Prim. Edu.

2006-07 125 34 62 88 93
2007-08 131
2008-09 134 53 72 109 100
2009-10 133 54 76 96 101
2010-11 139 58 86 73 104
2011-12 142 69 89 105 101
2012-13 144 70 84 99 101
2013-14 148 72 85 110 102
2014-15 144 70 87 101 98
2015-16 140 60 81 91 84
2017-18 137 39 66 80 91

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 14
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India’s Global Competitiveness: Efficiency Enhancers
Year No. of Higher Goods Labour Financial Techno. Market
Countries Edu. & Market Market Market Readine Size
Traing. Efficien. Efficien. Sophistic. ss
2006-07 125 49 21 55
2007-08 131
2008-09 134 63 47 89 34 69 5
2009-10 133 66 48 83 16 83 4
2010-11 139 85 71 92 17 86 4
2011-12 142 87 70 81 21 93 3
2012-13 144 86 75 82 21 96 3
2013-14 148 91 85 99 19 98 3
2014-15 144 93 95 112 51 121 3
2015-16 140 90 91 103 53 120 3
2017-18 137 75 56 75 42 107 3
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 15
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
India’s Global Competitiveness: Innovation & Sophistication

Year No. of Business Innovation


Countries Sophistication

2006-07 125 25 26
2007-08 131
2008-09 134 27 32
2009-10 133 27 30
2010-11 139 44 39
2011-12 142 43 38
2012-13 144 40 41
2013-14 148 42 41
2014-15 144 57 49
2015-16 140 52 42
2017-18 137 39 29
PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global
September 6, 2021 16
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Case 10
House of Tata

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 17
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Case Significance

A large group globalizing out of India

A case of sudden audacious globalization


after prolonged conservatism & focus on
home market

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 18
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Tata as Pioneer

India’s first luxury hotel 1903

India’s first private steel company 1907

India’s first airline in 1932

India’s first software firm 1968

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 19
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Discussion Question

Was Tata’s globalization process driven more by external


environment than by internal compulsions?

If yes, how?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 20
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Catalysts of Tata’s Internationalization Process

Changes in the Group’s thinking under Ratan Tata

Dramatic reforms of Indian economy since 1991

Rise of foreign competition since 1991

Learning global capabilities from partnerships

Market-diversification triggers of Asian crisis of 1997

Expansion of domestic operations into global scale

Persistent operating challenges in India

Liberalization of forex & overseas investment norms

Expansion of foreign funding possibilities

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 21
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Discussion Question

Did Group Center play any role in Tata’s globalization process


that was driven by individual companies?

If yes, how?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 22
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Group Center’s Role in Tata Companies’ Globalization
A Group ED to coordinate globalization

Group operations in key markets for government & media


coordination, brand promotion & procurement

Group coordination of business development efforts in less-


developed markets

Coordination among executives of different group companies in


a market to facilitative mutually beneficial initiatives

Group assistance on common business processes such as HR &


finance & Group guidelines on M&A

Group financial support for M&A for topping up where M&A


was important from company & Group angles

Group intranet for all companies to help share information &


coordinate common initiatives

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 23
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Discussion Question

Was Tata Motors well-positioned around 2007 as a successful


company to undertake major global acquisitions?

If yes, how?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 24
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Tata Motors Around 2007 & Before
Significant share in domestic car market

Domination in domestic commercial truck market

Reputation for producing sturdy vehicles

First ever loss in 2000-01

Efforts to de-risk by diversifying away from cyclical commercial


truck business
Intensifying foreign competition

Refocus on key priority markets abroad

Failure of MG Rover partnership in UK in 2003

Acquisition of Daewoo commercial division in 2004

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 25
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Tata Motors Around 2007
Stake in Spanish bus-maker Hispano Carrocera in 2005

JV with Marcopolo in Brazil for bus-making

JV Thai pickup maker AAP in 2006

Agreements with Fiat of Italy

A technical centre in US for product development support

Successful introduction of small truck Ace in 2005

Development project of small passenger car Nano

Decline in domestic sales of commercial vehicles in 2007-08

Negative overall free cash flow & lowest margins in 5 years

Absence of senior executives except Ratan Tata with global vision

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 26
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Provoking Question

Was Tata Motor's proposed acquisition of Jaguar and Land Rover


consistent with Tata's strategic priorities?

If yes, why & how?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 27
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Provoking Question

Was acquiring ‘Jaguar and Land Rover’ a right strategic


decision for Tata Motors?

If yes, why?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 28
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Provoking Question

Is acquiring Jaguar-Land Rover a good strategy for Tata


Motors?

If yes, why?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 29
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Solution Question

Should Tata Motors acquire Jaguar-Land Rover?

If yes, why?

If no, why?

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 30
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
JLR Acquisition

Ratan Tata’s Desire Premium Stretch

High D-E Ratio


New Technology & Markets Financial Stretch Perilous Cash-flow
Longer Payback

Ishaat Hussain:
Group Backing Loss-making Jaguar May not touch a
sick company

Industry Experience Bidding War

70% acquisitions
Past Acquisitions New Market Risk do not gain share-
holder value

Constraints to
Financing Options Trade Union Posture restructuring

Prestige of the Targets Performance Issues at TM

Yes No

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 31
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
JLR Acquisition

Leadership Backing Risky New Segment

Part of Globalization Ford’s Losses

Past Acquisitions Working High Cost Acquisition

Funding Possibilities Tata Motors’ Problems

Leverage of Reputed Brands Labour Issues at JLR

Strategic Insights JLR’s Rigid Structure

New Technology & Distribution Earlier UK Failure

Risk Diversification Other Planned Projects

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
32
JLR Acquisition

Do we want an acquisition-based growth? Yes/No

Do we want to enter the developed markets? Yes/No

Do we want to acquire a developed-country business? Yes/No

Do we want to acquire a premium brand? Yes/No

Is the target brand consistent with our current positioning? Yes/No

Is this acquisition consistent with our strategic priorities? Yes/No

Do we have the necessary competence to manage the target brand? Yes/No

Will the acquisition target be comfortable in our stewardship? Yes/No

Can we add value to our company through this acquisition? Yes/No

Is the valuation of the acquisition target right? Yes/No


33
©2019-2021 P Rameshan
JLR Acquisition

Do we want an acquisition-based growth? Yes

Do we want to enter the developed markets? Yes

Do we want to acquire a developed-country business? Yes

Do we want to acquire a premium brand? Yes

Is the target brand consistent with our current positioning? No

Is this acquisition consistent with our strategic priorities? ?

Do we have the necessary competence to manage the target brand? ?

Will the acquisition target be comfortable in our stewardship? ?

Can we add value to our company through this acquisition? ?

Is the valuation of the acquisition target right? ?


34
©2019-2021 P Rameshan
Decision

It’s highly risky to acquire JLR

If acquired (by determination or gut-


feeling), success may be uncertain

unless TM has a special strategy

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 35
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Recent Tata Motors
(Rs. billion) 2018-19 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12
Revenue TM 692 381 469 549
TM Group 3019 2366
JLR £24.2 b £19.4 b

EBITDA TM 79 33.7 38.1 47.5


TM Group 22 382.5
JLR £2 b £3.4 b

PAT TM 20 3.3 3.0 12.4


TM Group (-)289 141.0
JLR (-)£3.3 b £2.5 b

2018-19
JLR Units 0.579 m↓ TM Group Units 1.258 m↑
JLR Revenue £24.2 b TM Group Revenue ₹3019 b
JLR PBT (-)£3.6 b TM Group PBT (-)₹314 b

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 36
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India
Recent Tata
Global revenue 2014-15 $109 billion 2018-19 $113 b

Market Capitalization (30 cos.) $134 billion $160 b

Employment 600,000 720,000

Total assets $118 billion

Profits $6.7 billion

Tata Starbucks (84 stores in India, Rs.171 cr. revenue, still


losses) extends partnership beyond India

Tata Group financials to be seriously affected by Brexit

PGP 24 IB-E 2021-22 S21-22: Global


September 6, 2021 37
Strategies & Emerging Markets: India

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