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6 Key Considerations and Recommendations - Compress
6 Key Considerations and Recommendations - Compress
March 2012
Marcel&Conrad for Team B
Wytch Farm Field development Project
March 2012
Mohammed Alshawaf
Lanray Hammed Bakare
Francisco J. Barroso Viseras
Aristeidis Karamessinis
Ha Nguyen
Shi Su
Marcel&Conrad for Team B
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Marcel&Conrad’s Health and Safety Policy Statement complies with the Health and
Safety at Work etc. Act 1974.
to provide adequate control of the health and safety risks arising from our work
activities;
to consult with our employees on matters affecting their health and safety;
to ensure no negative impact of our activities on the environment;
to provide and maintain safe facilities and equipment;
to ensure safe handling and use of substances;
to provide information, instruction and supervision for employees;
to ensure all employees are competent to do their tasks, and to give them adequate
training;
to prevent accidents and cases of work-related ill health;
to maintain safe and healthy working conditions; and
to review and revise this policy as necessary at regular intervals.
Signed by:
Field Development
Environmental constraints
Project economics
Environmental regulations
upheld
practices planned
designed
Contents
7,492 words
Introduction 9
1. Characterising the reservoir 11
Petroleum system 12
Reservoir structure 12
Description of heterogeneities 14
Rock and fluid properties 16
Reservoir modeling 19
Volumetric estimation and associated uncertainties 22
3. Engineering design 35
Well performance 36
Surface facilities 39
Hydrocarbon export 43
4. Economic evaluation 47
Expenditures 48
Cash flows and economic evaluation 49
$735 million
Net Present Value of the project
318 million
Stock tank barrels of recoverable oil
23 years
Production plan
Marcel&Conrad for Team B
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Introduction
The scope of the report is to demonstrate and justify the development proposal for
Wytch Farm field.
The integrity of the project will be ensured by meeting both HSE and economic
constraints while optimising the reservoir management and the surface facility strategies.
This is the third in a series of studies focused on Wytch Farm field. Appraisal,
characterisation and modelling as well as simulation and optimisation were previously
carried out.
The Wytch Farm field is located in the southern coast of the United Kingdom. It
lies beneath Poole Harbour and the surrounding Purbeck region of Dorset, and extends
eastward towards Bournemouth. The reservoir, the Sherwood Sandstone, a Triassic
fluvial sandstone, is approximately located at 1,600 m beneath the surface.
Figure 1
Location of the Wytch Farm Field and appraisal wells
10
The field extends from onshore blocks PL089 and PL259, to offshore block 98/6.
As part of the exploration programme, a dataset was acquired to appraise and ultimately
define the recoverable assets of the Sherwood sandstone reservoir.
Environmental considerations are a key aspect in this project. The onshore areas are
designated as an Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty and a Heritage Coast, and the area
have statutory National Nature Reserves and Sites of Special Scientific Interest.
Consequently, any development strategy proposed will assess and try to minimise
any potential adverse impact on this particularly sensitive environment. Specifically, the
location and the size of the surface facilities, the number of wells and their location will
be carefully considered in order to minimise the environmental, economic (tourism),
aesthetic and noise impact among others.
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Petroleum system
Figure 2
Wytch Farm petroleum system map showing hydrocarbon migration and traps
Reservoir structure
The structure of the Sherwood reservoir is a fault sealed, 3-way dip closed anticlinal
structure, cut by a series of west-east trending normal faults. The reservoir is
characterised into four zones based upon fluid flow properties for application within a
reservoir model. From the depositional point of view this corresponds to the seven zones
presented in Table 1.
1
Reference 7
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Table 1
Depositional characteristics of the zones
Zone Characteristics
Thick, laterally extensive low-permeability, low-porosity,
1 Lacustrine lacustrine/playa deposits of the Upper-Sherwood. In outcrop, seen
as gradational transition into Mercia Mudstone.
Multi-storey A maximum 40 m thick multi-storey channel deposits with thinner
2
channel deposits interbedded floodplain muds, within the oil-pay zone.
3 Floodplain Laterally extensive low-permeability, low-porosity flooding events.
Multi-Lateral Multi-lateral stacked braided channel system of high net-to-gross
4
braided Channels sand, part of principal reservoir within pay-zone.
5 Floodplain Laterally extensive low-permeability, low-porosity flooding events.
A reliable top reservoir map (Figure 3) was derived using the following 2-step
approach. First, the 3D seismic survey was processed in order to be zero-phase and to
allow the top reservoir horizon picking. Secondly, based on the geological history of the
area and the checkshots data, time to depth conversion was used to build a velocity
model. The top reservoir horizon picked in the time domain was therefore converted into
the final depth map.
Figure 3
Top Sherwood map from geophysical interpretation
14
Description of Heterogeneities
Table 2
Hierarchy and impact of structural and stratigraphic reservoir heterogeneities
Compartmentalisation
Laterally extensive
Flow tortuosity
Barrier
Baffle
Heterogeneity Scale
Structural
Abandoned channel
Macro
Sedimentological
mudstone
Laminations Macro/Micro
Mineralogical Micro
Structural heterogeneity
In Wytch Farm field two types of fault seals are expected: juxtaposition seals and
fault rock seals. Fault rock seal is expected to be phyllosilicate-framework fault rocks.
Juxtaposition seal would result from juxtaposition of the Mercia formation (mudstone
sequence, low permeability rock) and the Alyesbeare formation (mudstone sequence, low
permeability rock) against the Sherwood sandstone (reservoir unit). These juxtapositions
will seal and act as barriers to fluid flow due to the high clay percentage of 60 and 70%
found in the Mercia and Alyesbeare formations.
Figure 4
Fault surfaces of the major faults within the Wytch Farm field
Sedimentological heterogeneity
According to the reservoir zonation scheme established, lacustrine and flood deposit
mudstones can be recognised as shale intervals which are laterally extensive across the
reservoir. These laterally extensive shale layers are expected to act as barriers to vertical
flow, severely restricting kv and thus resulting in stratigraphic compartmentalisation
within the reservoir.
Depending on their horizontal continuity, heterogeneities within the reservoir can
act as permeability baffles by impeding kh. Examples include mud plugs and cemented
channel lag deposits. Despite this, vertical connectivity and kv within the multi-storey,
multilateral sandstone units is expected to be good.
Abandoned channel mudstones and mud plugs are features synonymous with the
multi-storey and multilateral channel found in the Lower Sherwood. These features
represent local baffles to fluid flow due to their discontinuous nature.
16
Three appraisal wells were initially drilled and two producing wells followed. They
were used to characterise the reservoir and evaluate its properties by using the following
methods:
Table 3
Tests performed on the exploration wells
Production
Wireline
RCAL
SCAL
RFT
PVT
DST
test
Well
1K-01
Appraisal
1F-11
98/6-8
Production
1D-02
1X-02
Table 4
Reservoir initial conditions
Initial conditions
OWC 1620 m
Temperature 66°C
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Borehole logging was used to make a detailed record of the geologic formations
penetrated by the five exploration wells mentioned above. The results were analysed and
provided valuable information about the rock properties of the reservoir.
Also, RCAL and SCAL were performed in order to quality check the results
obtained from the well logging interpretation but also to derive the relationships between
porosity, permeability and water saturation. Furthermore, the sandstone reservoir was
found to be water-wet.
Finally, RFTs were used on three wells so as to confirm the OWC location. As it
can be inferred from Figure 5, the pressure across the field is not the same for every well
and suggests that the field might be compartmentalised. However, the uncertainties
associated to these measurements being important, this assumption cannot be validated
and the pressure behaviour might be the result of the surrounding producing wells.
Figure 5
Repeat formation tester as a quality check for the OWC
The following table summarises the main parameters obtained from these analysis
and the method(s) used to derive them:
18
Table 5
Summary of reservoir rock parameters
The bubble point pressure was determined at 76.5 bar. Because of the large
differential between the bubble point pressure and the reservoir pressure, the oil
behaviour and the production strategy were optimised for a dead oil model.
Composition of the crude, viscosity, formation volume factor and gas-oil ratio were
also determined and are summarised in Table 6.
Table 6
Summary of fluid properties
Fluid properties2
API gravity 38.1° @ 15°C
2
At reservoir conditions: 165 bar, 66°C
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Reservoir modeling
Static model
The reservoir model integrates the geological, geophysical and petrophysical results
obtained from the parts above. The production of a robust reservoir model requires the
integration of core and outcrop observations in collaboration with more stringent
petrophysical, seismic and well test analysis interpretations.
Figure 6
Sand-shale model within the zone 6 after petrophysical modeling
Figure 7
Permeability model within the zone 6 after petrophysical modeling
Parameters such as channels porosity and permeability are only known in a first
step around the wells locations. In our case, as the channels follow a common spatial
pattern through the reservoir, some geostatistical tools were used and the results are
shown in Figure 6 and Figure 7.
20
Dynamic model
Understanding the flow properties of the reservoir being the final purpose, the
detailed static model was coarsened for simulation purposes. The following table
summarises the process:
Table 7
Building a dynamic model
Parameter / Static
Constraint Dynamic model
Property model
value Capture geological and
Grid dimensions 100x100 390x270
petrophysical hetereogeneities
Zonation and 7 zones, 140 Capture vertical
7 zones, 50 layers
layering layers hetereogeneities
The consistency of both dynamic and static models was a key aspect through the
whole coarsening process and many quality checks were performed in order to ensure it:
Figure 8
Horizontal permeability3 in zone 1: fine (left) and coarse model (right) consistency
3
Water breakthrough is expected to occur later for the coarse model as the upscaling process averages
out high permeability streaks, reducing their contribution to the phenomenon. However, at later times,
water production rates for both models converge.
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Figure 9
QC of upscaled volumetric properties
8,000
6,000
4,000
Figure 10
Coarse model consistency: history match
To ensure that the model is representative of the real field, production rates have to
match with existing production data. The history match process allows calibrating the
model and fitting parameters coming from incomplete data.
22
The values of STOIIP were derived from the static model. The P50 case will be set
as base case and the development strategy presented in the next section is optimised for it.
Table 8
Static model volumetrics: STOIIP and reserves
The key uncertainties affecting the STOIIP estimate were assessed using a
statistical approach4. The varying key parameters were:
GRV: the uncertainty associated with the total volume is explained by two
parameters: the OWC position and the top Sherwood position derived by seismic
interpretation;
Water saturation: each cell of the model has an associated value of water
saturation and this value was assumed to be equal to one below the OWC;
Net/Gross and porosity: the net/gross uncertainty is included in the uncertainty
associated with the porosity. Indeed, each cell of the model has a value of porosity
that is assumed to be nil for the shale cells;
Formation volume factor: the uncertainty comes from the lab experiments and
from the lack of information available to characterise the oil.
Figure 11
STOIIP sensitivity analysis
Variation parameter
GRV -65% 77%
Sw -22% 11%
PHIE -7% 9%
Bo -4% 3%
4
Monte Carlo repeated random sampling method
Marcel&Conrad for Team B 23
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Producing oil needs energy and that is why the drive mechanism has to be
determined before adopting a production strategy. Material balance was used to determine
whether some of this required energy is supplied by nature.
Before presenting the results, it is important to emphasise that only two data points
were available. Thus, whatever the initial assumption on the drive mechanism may be, it
will be validated5. The two combinations considered are presented in Figure 12: aquifer
with solution gas drive and solution gas with compaction drive.
Figure 12
Drive mechanism determination
800 1.6
600 1.2
N=645 MMstb
400 0.8
N=277 MMstb
200 0.4
y = 0.004x + 644.55 y = 276.81x + 0.3409
0 0.0
0 30,000 60,000 90,000 0 0.002 0.004 0.006
ΔP/Eo [psi.stb/rb] Eo + Ef [rb/stb]
The mechanism that combines the aquifer and the solution gas drive gives initial oil
in place closer to the STOIIP estimate (645 MMstb compared to 795 MMstb for the P50
case). Thus, oil expansion and aquifer drive will be considered as the most plausible
mechanism.
Following that assumption, the size of the aquifer is around 20%6 of the STOIIP
estimate. However, the aquifer does not provide enough energy as the primary recovery
estimates are as low as 4.6%. Consequently, secondary recovery methods are needed and
the presence of the aquifer makes water injection the preferred option7.
5
There is always a straight line between two points
6
Water compressibility is assumed to be equal to 3.10 -6 Pa-1 at reservoir conditions
7
This option will be discussed further in the Production strategy
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Production strategy
The production will be supported by water injection below the oil water contact in
order to push the oil out and maintain the reservoir pressure (see Figure 13).
Figure 13
Using water injection to maintain the reservoir pressure
Reservoir pressure profile throughout the field life
Reservoir pressure (bar)
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40 With injection
20 Without injection
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Time Elapsed (year)
Figure 14
Water injection strategy: water source
Initially, the strategy is optimised for a 25-year production period due to the lease’s
duration. However, as shown in the economic evaluation section, the field becomes
uneconomic after 23 years of production and, hence, the abandonment is considered.
The injection of water will start 14 months after the first oil. Injection water will be
a mixture between the produced water after treatment and the sea water. This solution
was adopted as the produced water is not sufficient to cover the required injection rate, as
shown in Figure 14. The injection is limited to 63,000 bbl/d and is injected at a pressure
that will not fracture the reservoir.
Work-overs will be made at a later stage of the production to detect and shut
perforations producing too much water. Work-over operations will also allow improving
the well performance by replacing the artificial lift systems installed (see Engineering
design section).
The Buckley-Leverett analysis shows a sweep efficiency of 92% reached after 23 years.
Figure 15
Water injection results: high sweep efficiency
Dimensionless pore
volume produced (NpD)
Theoretical Buckley Leverett
0.6
One-to-one line
1-Swc-Sor
0.5
Simulation
0.4
0.3
0.2
Water breakthrough
0.1
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Dimensionless time (tD)
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Drilling strategy
To ensure protection of the natural heritage, the well sites were placed at strategic
locations that will not affect the sensitive ecological environment.
Since offshore drilling is not permitted, extended reach wells are considered to
efficiently maximise production of the field, which will help reducing footprint on land of
production and save cost as platforms offshore will not be required. Directional drilling
gives access to reservoir several kilometres away from the well site. This has also reduced
number of satellite wells, hence conserving the outstanding beauty of the harbour. All the
areas under special protection such as the UNESCO’S world heritage situated on top of
the Jurassic coast have been isolated.
Figure 16
Environmental constraints and well site locations
Figure 17
Well configuration within the reservoir
Marcel&Conrad for Team B 29
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Drilling schedule
The target is to get the first oil produced on the 1st January 2017. The drilling
schedule is as follows:
Figure 18
Detailed drilling schedule based on the highest rates
Year
Drilling 2016 2017 2018
Oil production Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Water injection J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
1P-01
1P-02
1P-03
1P-04
1P-05
1P-06
1I-01
1I-02
2P-01
2P-02
2P-03
2P-04
2P-05
2I-01
2I-02
2I-03
Some of the highest rate wells are drilled first to get a quick production build up,
then lower rates and higher rates wells are drilled to maintain the plateau for a total
duration of 3 years. Injectors are drilled to start injecting 14 months after the first oil.
The following mud has been used with a weight high enough to withstand the pore
pressure but low enough so that the formation is not fractured. The completions have
been set to get an optimum well performance; all these parameters are justified in the
engineering section.
Table 10
Drilling and completion specifications
With the aforementioned production strategy, the following results were achieved for our
three scenarios (optimistic, base case and conservative).
Figure 19
Development strategy results: 3-year plateau achieved
Oil: expected rates and prodcution
Oil produced
Oil rate (stb/d) cumulative (MMbbl)
80,000 450
70,000 400
350
60,000
300
50,000 P90
250 P50
40,000
200 P10
30,000
150
20,000
100
10,000 50
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Time Elapsed (years)
Figure 20
Development strategy results: 3-year plateau achieved
Gas: expected rates and production
Gas produced
Gas rate (Mscf/d) cumulative (Bscf)
30,000 140
25,000 120
100
20,000
80 P90
15,000
P50
60
P10
10,000
40
5,000 20
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Time Elapsed (years)
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
The development strategy estimates a relatively high recovery factor of 40% for the
base case. Moreover, it has to be mentioned that only water injection methods were used.
The results for the optimistic and conservative case also give high recovery factors.
Table 11
Development strategy results: recovered oil
The sizing of the surface facilities was optimised based upon a 3-year production
plateau of 76,000 stb/d.
The fluids will be transported from the well heads through a set of pipelines to the
surface facilities. The oil, water and gas mixture is separated in various stages so as to
meet the market requirements. Finally, the export is split as follows:
Oil: delivered to the Fawley Refinery;
Natural gas: sent to the high pressure National Grid network pipeline at the
vicinity of Iwerne Courtney;
LPG: exported by railway, by developing a gathering and loading station aside the
national rail route next to Corfe Castle;
Water: treated and re-injected.
8
Refer to the engineering section for further details
32
HSE policy
The development plan for Wytch farm field is subject to compliance with several
environmental conventions, i.e. the Purbeck Heritage, Jurassic coast heritage and various
national and scientific interest parks of prominent natural beauty. Hence an in-depth
location planning was developed in conjunction with directional multilateral drilling,
aiming to hide the facilities from the landscape and minimise any environmental impact.
Figure 21
Health risk management workflow: hazard prevention
Figure 23
Environmental risk management workflow: hazard prevention
34
Proper field abandonment plans are set in place to ensure surface facilities
decommissioning, and well abandonment are executed in a safe and environment friendly
fashion bearing in mind cost effectiveness after 23 years of production.
Following the plans and working closely with the UK authorities will ensure a
successful abandonment of the Wytch Farm field. Permission to decommission and
abandon will be sought by submitting three documents: Cessation of Production
document, Well Abandonment Programme document and Facility Abandonment Plan
document to the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) and the Department
of Trade and Industry (DTI). An approval for all three documents must be obtained to
implement the abandonment plan.
Funds are allocated upfront for field abandonment to guarantee the authorities that
the company is committed to clean up and restore the land and properties to the original
set up and thus imposing no financial burden on the government. Moreover, all wells in
the field will be completely plugged and abandoned from top to bottom using cement to
ensure no seepage from the reservoirs to the surface. In addition, before
decommissioning, the facilities will be depressurised, drained and cleaned prior to surface
facilities dismantlement. Consequently, surface facilities and associated pipelines will be
dismantled in a strictly safe manner fostering an injury-free work environment in line
with authority guidelines and regulations. After all abandoning operations have been
performed the lands will be restored by means of reforestation.
Project lifecycle
Figure 24
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 > 2038 2039 2040 2041
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 > Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Company approval
Planning FDP
Governmental approval
Project management
Engineering
Procurement
Construction
Commisioning
Drilling
Production
3. Engineering design
36
Well performance
Objective
In order to meet the production rates targeted (76,000 stb/day distributed between
11 wells during the plateau), the downhole technology performance was carefully chosen.
The casing is designed to have a 7” OD at the bottomhole. Taking this into account,
the intermediate casings are determined based on the traversed formations in order to put
the casing shoes in the consolidated formation: see Figure 25.
Figure 25
Design of the casing and the tubing with the formations
Depth
Formation
(mTVD)
0 ----------------------------------
Unconsolidated sandstone
80 ----------------------------------
Limestone
480 ----------------------------------
Unconsolidated sandstone
503 ----------------------------------
Mudstone
898 ----------------------------------
Sandstone
933 ----------------------------------
Mudstone
1,567 ----------------------------------
Sandstone
1,747 ----------------------------------
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
These casing specifications are then adapted to the measured depth of each well,
keeping in mind that the 7” casing goes all the way through the horizontal section.
A sensitivity analysis on the perforation density was performed and the optimum
value was 8 SPF9.
The completion report of the appraisal well 1F-11 indicates that the pore pressure
follows a pressure gradient of 1.04 sg without variations along depth. The RFT data from
the appraisal wells match with this assumption. The reports also mention leak off tests
which are used to estimate the fracture pressure. Knowing this information, the mud
weight is chosen to be higher enough than the pore pressure to take into account the
measurements imprecisions and lower enough than the formation fracture pressure in
order not to fracture the formation. A mud weight of 1.15 sg is chosen as shown in
Figure 26.
Figure 26
Determination of the optimum mud weight
Depth (mTVD) Pressure (bar)
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
9
Shots per foot (vertical length). Please refer to Appendix 2
38
Artificial lift
With the completion design presented above, at the beginning of production when
the reservoir is pressurised, there is no need for artificial lift. However, as the reservoir is
depleted, the differential pressure between the reservoir and the bottomhole decreases and
the reservoir liquids cannot flow to the surface anymore (see Figure 27).
Figure 27
Tubing flow optimisation within the tubing: ESP
Tubing performance without ESP Tubing performance with ESP
Bottomhole Bottomhole
pressure (bara) pressure (bara)
180 IPR, Pr=160 bar 160
IPR, Pr=124 bar
160 IPR, Pr=124 bar 140
IPR, Pr=103 bar
140 IPR, Pr=103 bar
120 TPC, ESP 10 stages
120 TPC, No ESP
100 TPC, ESP 90 stages
100
80 TPC, ESP 170 stages
80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000
Bottomhole flowrate (stb/d) Bottomhole flowrate (stb/d)
Electrical submersible pumps were preferred to gas lift for three reasons:
Limited gas availability (would incur an overall higher cost);
ESP has a better performance in deviated wells;
Gas specific facilities are more complex from an HSE perspective.
The number of stages of the centrifugal pump was selected in order to achieve the
desired production rates as shown above.
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Surface facilities
The surface facilities will ensure the transport, separation and storage of the fluids
produced in each one of the two wellsites. The facilities will be mainly10 empowered by
an independent electricity supplier but a back-up power station (gas turbines) will be
installed to ensure the continuity of the production in a blackout scenario. They will be
located 2km southeast of wellsite 2 and a forestation programme is contemplated to
reduce the visual impact.
The fluid transport11 between the wellheads and the gathering station is ensured by
a system of pipelines12.
Figure 28
Surface facilities design (plateau rates)
10
Some of the produced oil (C6+) will also be used as a fuel
11
Assumed isothermal at T=55ºC
12
Refer to Appendix 5 for further details on the design
40
Liquid-gas separation
The pressure at the entrance of the 3-stage separator is set to 14 bar. The number of
stages and the associated pressures were determined so as to maximise the API gravity of
the out coming oil as well as to maximise the volumes produced. The pressure of the oil-
water mixture at the exit of the separator is kept above the bubble point pressure (1.5 bar
at 55ºC) to avoid gas release during the later stages.
Oil-water separation
A mechanical and an electrostatic separator are used to separate the oil and the
water. Like the rest of the facilities, they were dimensioned to support the plateau
production rates13. The processed crude will be sent to a storage tank (2 days of
production capacity) and the water removed from the liquid will be treated to be re-
injected in the wells.
Table 12
Handling of the products
Table 13
Use of chemicals in the surface facilities
Chemical product Effect
Anticorrosion Flow assurance
Common
Antifoam hinders the formation of foam
Demulsifiers Separate oil and water
Avoid formation of asphaltenes /
Oil Asphaltene / WAX inhibitors
WAX
Hydrate inhibitors Reduce formation of hydrates
13
Refer to Appendix 3 for further details on the design
14
Flaring is not an acceptable option
15
The salinity of the sea water being lower than the one of the water of reservoir, there is no need for
desalting
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
The surface facilities are designed to handle the fluid produced during the plateau.
In the optimistic and conservative cases, the rates are the same but the length of the
plateau is longer and shorter, respectively.
Table 14
Daily fluid flow rates in the surface facilities
P50
Flow assurance
The bottomhole temperature (68oC) is quite accurately measured and verified from
various well data. The flow in the wellbore till the bubble point pressure indicates a
respective bubble point temperature of around 56oC. This process can be confidently
considered clear of asphaltenes.
However, as fluid pressure and temperature decrease, it nears the Wax and Hydrates
curves, which are subject to larger uncertainty. Two options are considered for reducing
the chance of Wax and Hydrates creation: heating and chemical treatment. The heating
option is dropped, as the fluid will cool down along the pipeline in any case and would
initiate the formation of wax and hydrates. Therefore the proposed solution is injection of
chemical additives (inhibitors) that would set the wax and hydrates's limits far from the
operating conditions region.
42
Figure 29
Phase envelope of the reservoir fluid: flow assurance between reservoir and surface
SOURCE: PVT simulation based on the reservoir fluid composition from well 1X-02
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Hydrocarbon export
Table 15
Oil, gas and LPG market requirements
H2S ≤ 5 mg/m 3
H2S ≤ 5 mg/m3
S content ≤ 50 mg/m
17 3
H2 ≤ 0.1% (molar)
O2 ≤ 0.2% (molar)
Salt < 6.0 PTB18
WN19 ≤ 52.85 MJ/m3
ICF20 ≤ 0.48
Conditions
While designing the pipeline path, four main constraints were taken into account:
To avoid environmentally sensitive areas;
To avoid urban areas in order to minimise hazards for the local population;
To ensure smoothest and smallest elevation changes occur in order to minimise
losses and ensure a stable flow along the pipeline;
To follow the public road path as much as possible in order to ensure the least
number of private stakeholders impeding the project progress.
16
Base Sediment and Water
17
Including H2S
18
Pounds of salt per Thousand Barrels of crude oil
19
Wobbe number
20
Incomplete Combustion Factor
21
To ensure that all transported HC components are in liquid phase
44
The total length of pipeline proposed for crude oil delivery to the Fawley Refinery
is 74.5 km with a maximum elevation difference of 74 meters.
Considering the relatively short distance and small elevation changes, a single
pumping system will be installed at the output of the surface facilities. A pump with a
nominal differential pressure of 10 bar and a 18” OD pipeline will be used for that
purpose22.
Figure 30
Oil pipeline design path
The nearest high pressure National Grid network pipeline point was detected at the
vicinity of Iwerne Courtney, north of Blandford Forum23.
The pipeline designed has a length of 34.1 km and shares common path with the oil
pipeline for more than half of its length (20 km), in order to reduce digging costs and
building time and it similarly follows mainly public roads and rural state properties path
due to licensing concerns. The maximum elevation difference is 110 m, however due to
the low density of gas, the hydraulic head pressure loss is considerably lower than for the
oil pipeline. It will be built according to the regulation T/SP/SSW/22 August 2007 by
National Grid. A compressor with a nominal differential pressure of 78 bar and a 8” OD
pipeline will be used for that purpose and a pressure regulating station will be built at the
tie-in point14.
22
Please refer to Appendix 4
23
Please refer to Appendix 4
Marcel&Conrad for Team B 45
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Figure 31
Gas pipeline design path
24
126 tonnes are the equivalent of 6 trucks which is not economically and environmentally viable.
46
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
4. Economic evaluation
48
Expenditures
The economic analysis on the Wytch Farm FDP was run using P50 case parameters
shown in Table 16.
Table 16
Main assumptions: market and costs
Parameter Value
Discount Rate 15%
Inflation Rate 2%
Price of Oil ($/STB) 15
Price of Gas ($/Mscf) 1.7
Price of LPG ($/Mscf) 12.4
Average Drilling Cost/Well (USD millions) 14.2
Average Drilling Cost/ft 700
First Oil (Year) 2016
GOR scf/STB 320
Part of methane (%) 40%
Part of LPG (%) 52%
All values shown in this analysis are nominal unless otherwise indicated. The
capital expenditure of this project includes infrastructure, pipelines, drilling expenditure
and surface facility which all amounts to $455 million:
Figure 33
Summary of expenditures over the field lifetime: CAPEX
Marcel&Conrad for Team B 49
Wytch Farm Field development Project
Figure 34
Summary of expenditures over the field lifetime: OPEX
As in any project, investment will cause the cash flow to be negative, however,
once production is commenced revenues are gained thus making the cash flow positive.
Figure 35 shows the non-discounted nominal cash flow for the FDP alongside the
discounted cumulative net cash flow.
50
Figure 35
Economic viability of the project: cash flows
Cash flows throughout the field lifetime (non discounted)
USD millions
800
600
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
OPEX
CAPEX Year
(200)
Total Revenue
Abondonment allocation
Abandonment
(400) Return on Abandonment Investment
Cummulative Discounted Net Cashflow
Net cash flow
Utilising the economic model, the pre-tax NPV15% for the base case amounts to
$734 million with an internal rate of return of 39.7% indicating a commercially viable
project. The breakeven price for the project was found to be $6.19.
Moreover, with a price of oil at $15 the payback period is in 5.48 years calculated
from the start of the project. The field will be abandoned after 23 years of production, due
to incurred losses the consequent years. Table 17 below shows a summary of P10, P50,
P90 economic analysis.
Table 17
Economic facts: optimistic, base case and pessimistic cases
P10 P50 P90
Reserves (MMstb) 412 318 219
NPV15%(USD millions) 928 735 442
IRR (%) 41.5 39.7 34.0
Payback in years from start of
5.4 (Q2 2018) 5.4 (Q2 2018) 5.6 (Q3 2018)
project (Date)
Breakeven Oil Price (S/stb) 5.2 6.19 8.35
Production duration (Year of
25 years (2041) 23 years (2039) 19 (2035)
Abandonment)
B/C 2.1 1.7 1
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Sensitivity analysis
The spider plots displayed in Figure 36 and Figure 37 exhibits the parameters that
impact both NPV and IRR. The higher the slope of a particular parameter the more
impact it has on NPV or IRR.
For example, from Figure 36, it is evident that discount rate that the company sets
has the highest impact on NPV, followed by oil prices which can be unpredictable due to
frequent fluctuations. However, in the case of IRR, fluctuating oil price have the highest
impact and is the parameter that IRR is mostly sensitive to. Moreover, NPV and IRR are
both sensitive to rate of the plateau as seen in the figure, the sharp curvature observed can
be explained by the effects of time value of money.
Figure 36
Parameters affecting the Net Present Value
Sensitivity analysis on the Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV (USD million)
2,000 Oil Price
1,800 CAPEX
1,600 Plateau
1,400 Discount Rate
1,200
OPEX
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Variation from basecase
Figure 37
Parameters affecting the Rate of Return
Sensitivity analysis on the Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR (%)
60%
50%
40%
Oil Price
30% CAPEX
Plateau
20% Discount Rate
OPEX
10%
-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Variation from basecase
52
Marcel&Conrad for Team B 53
Wytch Farm Field development Project
It is fundamental to keep in mind that the process of building both a static and a
dynamic model was done with the final objective of defining a field development strategy
and to estimate its performances. However, the uncertainties are inherently associated
with each step of this process because:
the available data are never enough to fully characterise the reservoir;
the interpretation process adds errors;
a model cannot fully represent the reality.
Thus, it was decided to run a sensitivity analysis that would capture both the static
and dynamic uncertainties. Figure 38 shows for each realisation (dot), the variation with
respect to the base-case cumulative production estimate. Each parameter can be assessed
by looking at the spread of the realisations as well as to the maximum and minimum
values.
Figure 38
Static and dynamic uncertainty assessment
Sensitivity analysis on the cumulative production
Cumulative Base case
production (MMbbl)
GRV
450
Porosity
Kv
400
Sw
Kh
350
Corey O/W
Corey W
300
Sorw
Swcr
250
Swmin
Faults
200 transmissivity
Variation parameter
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
The tornado chart (Figure 39) presents the parameters according to their impact
into the final volume estimate. Three parameters stand out:
GRV: as explained in the first section, this error comes from the difficulty to
estimate the exact position of the top of the reservoir as well as the OWC;
Oil relative permeability: this dynamic parameter has a great impact on the oil
recovery and was poorly estimated because of the available data;
Horizontal permeability.
Figure 39
Tornado chart presenting the main uncertainties
Variation parameter
GRV -31% 15%
Porosity -4% 3%
This uncertainty analysis justifies the use of different scenarios (optimistic, base
case, and conservative) as a decision making tool. Moreover, a mitigation scheme based
on a data acquisition plan will be presented in the next section.
The tornado chart shown in the figure above echoes the results seen in the spider
plots. However, even though the tornado chart does not display the non-linearity of the
economic model, it can outright show the highest parameter with the most impact on the
NPV or IRR, thus it is usually utilised in tandem with spider plots to assess risks and
uncertainty. Discount rate is has the highest impact on NPV followed fluctuation in oil
prices.
56
Figure 40
NPV uncertainty analysis
Variation parameter
Downside
Production -30% 8% Upside
CAPEX -25% 3%
-100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Variation from basecase
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
Seismic data will be reprocessed to reduce the uncertainty in the estimated GRV.
This is achieved by carefully picking the tops and bottoms of the reservoir and fluid
contacts.
The first three wells in three different reservoir locations will be cored. Extensive
RCAL and SCAL will be run on the retrieved cores to have more accurate measurements
of relative permeabilities and capillary pressure curves for both drainage and imbibition
to improve the geological flow model for a more confident history matching and
prediction.
Moreover, full suite logs will be run on the aforementioned three wells including
NMR and PNL to have independent sources for porosity, permeability and fluid
saturations. The calculated permeabilities from NMR will be used alongside
permeabilities measured from cores to improve and calibrate the permeability model.
Fluid samples will be taken from the first two drilled wells to have a detailed PVT
analysis that will go into the geological flow model.
Furthermore, RFTs will be run on all the wells to evaluate reservoir connectivity,
faults transmissibility, aquifer strength and will be utilised as a tool to aid in history
matching.
Figure 41
Data acquisition plan
Year
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 To 2039
Reprocess Seismic Data
Coring
Fluid Sampling
RFT
Data Acquistion
SBHP/T
Separator/Wellhead Samples
PLT
PNL
Oil Production
Further down the road in the life of the field, shut-in bottomhole pressures and
temperatures will be acquired on a real-time basis using SCADA system. A multiphase
flow meter will be installed on each drillsite to aid in a monthly rate testing of producers
58
to ensure an accurate production allocation system and to aid in material balance analysis.
PLTs will be utilised on producers that have water production to identify the perforations
that needs to be squeezed to reduce that amount of water produced and optimise oil
production.
Finally, wells that are unexpectedly underperforming will be shut-in for pressure
measurements which in turn will be utilised in pressure transient analysis to evaluate
possible problems that could hinder the subject wells and then treat them accordingly.
Following the data acquisition scheme presented above will ensure that the model can
behave as closely as possible to the actual reservoir and it will also ensure that the
reservoir is monitored closely during the production period, thus guaranteeing that the
reservoir is being efficiently optimised for oil production.
The risks for development and operation of the Wytch Farm oil field have been
assessed and split into three main categories:
Operational: include possible accidents and production related risks throughout
the operational lifecycle of the field;
Regulatory & Commercial: mainly focused on political and market changes that
may affect the profitability of the operation
Communal: refer to pressure by local groups and society, as well as workforce
related issues
Figure 42
Risk assessment chart
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
An in depth planning and risk analysis is required in order to mitigate the potential
threats to the field development and operation. Main threats have been detected and
preventive actions are proposed in Table 18.
Table 18
Risk mitigation scheme
Regulatory Oil & Gas Prepare production plans with reduced production
& Commercial Price during low price periods.
The development team throughout the planning phase have demonstrated that:
risks and uncertainties have been assessed and subsequent mitigation schemes
have been designed;
Thus, the team strongly recommends the development of the field and that the
company should go ahead with the project.
Finally, this team following company values, will always produce this field safely,
reliably and cost-effectively.
62
References
2. Ayoade MA. Disused Offshore Installations and Pipelines, Kluwer Law International,
2002.
3. BP. Wytch farm Sherwood development Reasons why it was developed as it is, BP for
Imperial College, 2012.
7. Johnson, H.D. A Field Guide to the Geological Evolution & Controls on Petroleum
Occurrences in the Wessex Basin (southern England), 2011
Appendices
64
List of figures
Figure 1 - Location of the Wytch Farm Field and appraisal wells ...................................... 9
Figure 2 - Wytch Farm petroleum system map showing hydrocarbon migration ............. 12
Figure 3 - Top Sherwood map from geophysical interpretation ........................................ 13
Figure 4 - Fault surfaces of the major faults within the Wytch Farm field ....................... 15
Figure 5 - Repeat formation tester as a quality check for the OWC .................................. 17
Figure 6 - Sand-shale model within the zone 6 after petrophysical modeling................... 19
Figure 7 - Permeability model within the zone 6 after petrophysical modeling ................ 19
Figure 8 - Horizontal permeability in zone 1 ..................................................................... 20
Figure 9 - QC of upscaled volumetric properties............................................................... 21
Figure 10 - Coarse model consistency: history match ...................................................... 21
Figure 11 - STOIIP sensitivity analysis ............................................................................. 22
Figure 12 - Drive mechanism determination ..................................................................... 24
Figure 13 - Using water injection to maintain the reservoir pressure ................................ 25
Figure 14 - Water injection strategy: water source ............................................................ 25
Figure 15 - Water injection results: high sweep efficiency ............................................... 26
Figure 16 - Environmental constraints and well site locations .......................................... 27
Figure 17 - Well configuration within the reservoir .......................................................... 28
Figure 18 - Detailed drilling schedule based on the highest rates ..................................... 29
Figure 19 - Development strategy results: 3-year plateau achieved (Oil) ......................... 30
Figure 20 - Development strategy results: 3-year plateau achieved (Gas) ........................ 30
Figure 21 - Health risk management workflow: hazard prevention .................................. 32
Figure 22 - Safety risk management workflow: hazard prevention ................................... 33
Figure 23 - Environmental risk management workflow: hazard prevention ..................... 33
Figure 24 - Project lifecycle ............................................................................................... 34
Figure 25 - Design of the casing and the tubing with the formations ................................ 36
Figure 26 - Determination of the optimum mud weight .................................................... 37
Figure 27 - Tubing flow optimisation within the tubing: ESP .......................................... 38
Figure 28 - Surface facilities design (plateau rates)........................................................... 39
Figure 29 - Phase envelope of the reservoir fluid: flow assurance .................................... 42
Figure 30 - Oil pipeline design path .................................................................................. 44
Figure 31 - Gas pipeline design path ................................................................................. 45
Figure 32 - LPG plant location and pipeline path .............................................................. 45
Figure 33 - Summary of expenditures over the field lifetime: CAPEX ............................ 48
Figure 34 - Summary of expenditures over the field lifetime: OPEX ............................... 49
Figure 35 - Economic viability of the project: cash flows ................................................. 50
Figure 36 - Parameters affecting the Net Present Value .................................................... 51
Figure 37 - Parameters affecting the Rate of Return ......................................................... 51
Figure 38 - Static and dynamic uncertainty assessment .................................................... 54
Figure 39 - Tornado chart presenting the main uncertainties ............................................ 55
Figure 40 - NPV uncertainty analysis ................................................................................ 56
Figure 41 - Data acquisition plan ....................................................................................... 57
Figure 42 - Risk assessment chart ...................................................................................... 58
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Wytch Farm Field development Project
List of tables
List of abbreviations
°C Degrees Celsius
ΔP Pressure difference
Φ (or PHIE) Porosity
API American Petroleum Institute
bar / bara 105 Pa / 14.7 psi (absolute pressure)
barg 105 Pa / 14.7 psi (pressure)
bbl Barrel of liquid (volume)
BHT Bottomhole Temperature
Bo Oil formation volume factor
bopd Barrel of oil per day
bpd Barrel of liquid per day
BS&W Basic Sediments and Water
BTU British Thermal Unit
CAPEX Capital Expenditure
CCTV Closed Circuit Television
cP Centipoise (10-3 Pa∙s)
Csg Casing
DECC Department of Energy and Climate Change
DST Drill Stem Test
ESD / ESV Emergency Shutdown Valve
ESP Electric Submersible Pump
FWL Free Water Level
GOR Gas to Oil Ratio
GRV Gross Rock Volume
h Hours
HSE Health Safety Environment
ICF Incomplete Combustion Factor
ID Inner diameter (for circular pipes)
in Inches
IRR Internal Rate of Return
ISO International Organization for Standardization
kh Horizontal permeability
kv Vertical permeability
LPG Liquefied Petrol Gas
m Metres
M Thousand (in front of fluid volume units)
MD Measured Depth
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The perforation density chosen is 8 SPF. A higher density would not increase the
production significantly enough.
Oil/Gas separation
Oil/Gas separation was performed in such a way that the API gravity and the
volumes were maximised. The incoming and out coming compositions were:
No of Mass No of No of
Liq Vol of Vol of Vol of
Com- moles of of moles of mols of
density liq liq gas
ponent liq liquid liq gas
(lb/ft3) (ft3) (ft3) (scf)
(lbmol) (lb) (lbmol) (lbmol)
In order to separate oil and water, two consecutive processes will be used:
Mechanical separation
Electrostatic separation
The equipment is sized to receive a maximum liquid rate of 95,000 stb/d (maximum
combined oil and water rate reached).
The mechanical separator’s volume is determined considering the fluid stays 10 min in
the separator.
70
10
𝑉 = 95000 ∗ = 660 𝑏𝑏𝑙 = 105 𝑚3
24 ∗ 60
10
1
0 50 100 150 200 250
Temperature (deg C)
95000
𝐴= = 792 𝑓𝑡 2 = 74 𝑚2
120
The constraints over the operational pressure leaded to the choice of a pressure of 1.5 bar.
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15 Minimum required
pressure
10 Operational pressure
0
40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Temperature (deg C)
For contingency reasons, the separators are designed 10% larger than required.
Designed Chosen
Mechanical separator
105 116
volume (𝒎𝟑 )
Electrostatic separator area
74 81
(𝒎𝟐 )
72
The gas pipeline has been designed to provide a delivery outlet pressure of 75 bar
with a pump outlet pressure of 78 bar. As a result, a pipeline outer diameter of 8” which
delivers a slightly higher pressure has been chosen, knowing that the pressure can be
easily decreased using a pressure control device.
The oil pipeline has been designed to deliver oil at stock tank conditions (1.03 bar).
An outer diameter of 18” has been chosen to minimise the cost while targeting our
specifications. The higher pressure delivered can also be controlled by the same means as
the gas one.
The pressure at the gathering station is 14 bar and a multiphase booster is used in
the last flowline to ensure this objective is reached.
74
This figure presents the high pressure pipeline of National Grid near the Dorset
region. The selected tie-in location is north of Blandford Forum, at Iwerne Courtney.
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Abandonment Allocation
600 Abandonment
Return on Abandonment
400 Investment
Cummulative Discounted Net
Cashflow
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
(200) Year
(400)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
(100)
(200)
Year
(300)
(400)
76