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IT Doesnt Matter
IT Doesnt Matter
Doesn't
Matter by Nicholas C.Carr
MAY 2003 41
HBR AT LARGE • IT Doesn't Matter
calculators-best relegated to low level panies to gain real advantages. But as rights to a new packaging material that
employees like secretaries, analysts, and tbeir availability increased and their gives its product a longer shelf life than
technicians. It was the rare executive cost decreased-as they became ubiqui- competing brands. As long as they re-
who would let his fingers touch a key- tous-they became commodity inputs. main protected, proprietary technolo-
board, much less incorporate informa- From a strategic standpoint, they be- gies can be the foundations for long-
tion technology into his strategic think- came invisible; they no longer mattered. term strategic advantages, enabling
ing. Today, that has changed completely. Tbat is exactly what is happening to in- companies to reap higher profits than
Chief executives now routinely talk formation technology today, and the tbeir rivals.
aboutthe strategic value of information implications for corporate IT manage- InfrastiTJctural technologies, in con-
technology, about how they can use IT ment are profound. trast, offer far more value when shared
to gain a competitive edge, about the than when used in isolation. Imagine
"digitization" of their business models. Vanishing Advantage yourself in the early nineteenth century,
Most have appointed chief information Many commentators have drawn paral- and suppose that one manufacturing
officers to their senior management lels between the expansion of IT, par- company held the rights to all the tech-
teams, and many bave hired strategy ticularly the Internet, and the rollouts nology required to create a railroad. If it
consulting firms to provide fresh ideas of earlier technologies. Most of the wanted to, that company could just
on how to leverage their IT investments comparisons, though, have focused on build proprietary lines between its sup-
for differentiation and advantage. either the investment pattern associ- pliers, its factories, and its distributors
Behind the change in thinking lies a ated with the technologies-the boom- and run its own locomotives and railcars
simple assumption: that as lT's potency to-bust cycle-or tbe tecbnologies' roles on tbe tracks. And it might well operate
and ubiquity have increased, so too has in resbaping the operations of entire in- more efficientiy as a result. But, for tbe
its strategic value. It's a reasonable as- dustries or even economies. Little has broader economy, the value produced
sumption, even an intuitive one. But it's
mistaken. What makes a resource truly
strategic - what gives it the capacity to When a resource becomes essential to competition but
be the basis for a sustained competitive
advantage-is not ubiquity but scarcity. inconsequential to strategy, the risks it creates become
You only gain an edge over rivals by
having or doing something that they more important than the advantages it provides.
can't bave or do. By now, tbe core func-
tions of IT - data storage, data process-
ing, and data transport - have become been said about the way the technolo- by such an arrangement would be triv-
available and affordable to all.^ Tbeir gies influence, or fail to influence, com- ial compared with the value that would
very power and presence have begun to petition at the firm level. Yet it is here he produced by building an open rail
transform them from potentially strate- that history offers some of its most im- network connecting many companies
gic resources into commodity factors of portant lessons to managers. and many buyers. The characteristics
production. They are becoming costs A distinction needs to be made be- and economics of infrastructural tech-
of doing business that must be paid by tween proprietary technologies and nologies, whether railroads or telegraph
all but provide distinction to none. what might be called infrastructural lines or power generators, make it inev-
IT is best seen as the latest in a series technologies. Proprietary technologies itable tbat they will be broadly shared-
of broadly adopted technologies that can be owned, actually or effectively, that they will become part of the gen-
have reshaped industry over the past by a single company. A pbarmaceutical eral business infrastructure.
two centuries - from the steam engine firm, for example, may hold a patent on In the earliest phases of its buildout,
and the railroad to the telegraph and a particular compound that serves as however, an infrastructural technology
the telephone to the electric generator the basis for a family of drugs. An in-can take the form of a proprietary tech-
and the internal combustion engine. dustrial manufacturer may discover an nology. As long as access to the technol-
Eor a brief period, as they were being innovative way to employ a process ogy is restricted-through physical lim-
built into the infrastructure of com- technology that competitors find hard itations, intellectual property rights,
merce, all tbese technologies opened to replicate. A company tbat produces high costs,or a lack of standards-a com-
opportunities for forward-looking com- consumer goods may acquire exclusive pany can use it to gain advantages over
rivals. Consider the period between the
Nicholas G. Carr is HBR's editor-at-large. He edited The Digital Enterprise, a collec- construction of the first electric power
tion of HBR articles published by Harvard Business School Press in 2001, and has stations, around 1880, and the wiring of
written for the Einancial Times, Business 2.0, and the Industry Standard in addition the electric grid early in the twentieth
to HBR. He can be reached at ncarr@hbsp.harvard.edu. century. Electricity remained a scarce
resource during this time, and those the railroads fundamentally changed the
manufacturers able to tap into it - by, structure of American industry. It sud-
for example, building their plants near denly became economical to ship fin-
generating stations - often gained an ished products, rather than just raw
important edge. It was no coincidence materials and industrial components,
that the largest U.S. manufacturer of over great distances, and the mass con-
nuts and bolts at tbe turn of the century. sumer market came into being. Compa-
Plumb, Burdict, and Barnard, located its nies that were quick to recognize the
factory near Niagara Falls in New York, broader opportunity rushed to build
the site of one of the earliest large-scale large-scale, mass-production factories.
bydroelectiic power plants. Tbe resulting economies of scale al-
Companies can also steal a march on lowed them to crush the small, local
their competitors by baving superior in- plants that until tben had dominated
sight into the use of a new technology. manufacturing.
The introduction of electric power again The trap tbat executives often fall
provides a good example. Until the end into, however, is assuming that oppor-
of the nineteenth century, most man- tunities for advantage will be available
ufacturers relied on water pressure or indefinitely. In actuality, the window for
steam to operate their machinery. Power gaining advantage from an infrastruc-
in those days came from a single, fixed tural technology is open only briefly.
source - a waterwheel at the side of a Wben the technology's commercial po-
mill, for instance-and required an elab- tential begins to be broadly appreciated,
orate system of pulleys and gears to huge amounts of cash are inevitably in-
distribute it to individual workstations vested in it, and its buildout proceeds
throughout the plant. When electric witb extreme speed. Railroad tracks,
generatorsfirstbecame available, many telegraph wires, power lines - all were
manufacturers simply adopted them as laid or strung in a frenzy of activity (a
a replacement single-point source, using frenzy so intense in the case of rail lines
them to power the existing system of tbat it cost hundreds of laborers tbeir
pulleys and gears. Smart manufacturers, lives). In the 30 years between 1846 and
however, saw that one of the great ad- 1876, reports Eric Hobsbawm in The
vantages of electiic power is that it is eas- Age of Capital, the world's total rail
ily distributable-tbat it can be brought trackage increased from 17,424 kilome-
directly to workstations. By wiring tbeir ters to 309,641 kilometers. During tbis
plants and installing electric motors in same period, total steamship tonnage
tiieir machines, they were able to dis- also exploded,from139,973 to 3,293,072
pense with tbe cumbersome, inflexible, tons. The telegraph system spread even
and costly gearing systems, gaining an more swiftly. In Continental Europe,
important efficiency advantage over there were just 2,000 nules of telegraph
their slower-moving competitors. wires in 1849; 20 years later, there were
In addition to enabling new, more ef- 110,000, The pattern continued witb
ficient operating metbods, infrastruc- electrical power. The number of central
tural technologies often lead to broader stations operated by utilities grew from
market changes. Here, too, a company 468 in 1889 to 4,364 in 1917, and the av-
that sees what's coming can gain a step erage capacity of eacb increased more
on myopic rivals. In the mid-i8oos, wben than tenfold. (Eor a discussion of the
America started to lay down rail lines in dangers of overinvestment, see the side-
earnest, it was already possible to trans- bar "Too Mucb of a Good Thing.")
port goods over long distances - bun- By tbe end of the buildout phase, tbe
dreds of steamships plied the country's opportunities for individual advantage
rivers. Businessmen probably assumed are largely gone. The rush to invest leads
that rail transport would essentially fol- to more competition, greater capacity,
low the steamship model, with some in- and falling prices, making the technol-
cremental enhancements. In fact, the ogy broadly accessible and affordable.
greater speed, capacity, and reach of At the same time, the buildout forces
MAY 2003
HBR AT LARGE • IT Doesn't Matter
trol the provision of a diverse range of times." (See the exhibit "The Sprint to introduced in 1976 an innovative system
business applications over what is now Commoditization.") called Analytic Systems Automated
called, tellingly, "the grid." Again, the As with earlier infrastructural tecb- Purcbasing, or ASAP, that enabled hos-
upshot is ever greater homogenization nologies, IT provided forward-looking pitals to order goods electronically. De-
of IT capabilities, as more companies companies many opportunities for com- veloped in-house, the innovative system
replace customized applications with petitive advantage early in its buildout, used proprietary software running on
generic ones. (Eor more on the chal- when it could still be "owned"like a pro- a mainframe computer, and hospital
lenges facing IT companies, see the side- prietary technology. A classic example purchasing agents accessed it through
bar "What About the Vendors?") is American Hospital Supply. A leading terminals at their sites. Because more
Finally, and for all tbe reasons already distributor of medical supplies, AHS efficient ordering enabled hospitals to
discussed, IT is subject to rapid price de-
flation. Wben Gordon Moore made his
famously prescient assertion that the
density of circuits on a computer chip What About the Vendors?
would double every two years, he was Just a few months ago, at the 2003 World Economic Forum in Davos,
mailing a prediction about the coming Swiuerland, Bill Joy, the chief scientist and cofounder of Sun Micro-
explosion in processing power. But he systems, posed what for him must have been a painful question: "What
was also making a prediction about the
if the reality is that people have already bought most ofthe stuff they want
coming free fall in the price of computer
to own?" The people he was talking about are, of course, businesspeople,
functionality. The cost of processing
and the stuffis information technology. With the end ofthe great buildout
power has dropped relentlessly, from
ofthe commercial IT infrastructure apparently at hand Joy's question is
$480 per million instructions per sec-
ond (MIPS) in 1978 to $50 per MIPS in one that all IT vendors should be asking themselves. There is good reason
1985 to $4 per MIPS in 1995, a trend tbat to believe that companies'existing IT capabilities are largely sufficient for
continues unabated. Similar declines their needs and, hence, that the recent and widespread sluggishness in
have occurred in the cost of data storage IT demand is as much a structural as a cyclical phenomenon.
and transmission. The rapidly increas- Even if that's true, the picture may not be as bleak as it seems for ven-
ing affordability of IT functionality has dors, at least those with the foresight and skill to adapt to the new environ-
not only democratized the computer ment. The importanceof infrastructural technologies to the day-to-day
revolution, it has destroyed one of the
operations of business means that they continue to absorb large amounts
most important potential barriers to
of corporate cash long after they have become commodities-indefinitely,
competitors. Even the most cutting-
in many cases. Virtually all companies today continue to spend heavily
edge IT capabilities quickly become
on electricity and phone service, for example, and many manufacturers
available to all.
continue to spend a lot on rail transport. Moreover, the standardized
It's no surprise, given these charac-
teristics, that IT'S evolution has closely natureof infrastructural technologies often leads to the establishment
mirrored that of earlier infrastructural of lucrative monopolies and oligopolies.
tecbnologies. Its buildout has been every Many technology vendors are already repositioning themselves and
bit as breathtaking as tbat of the rail- their products in response to the changes in the market. Microsoft's
roads (albeit with considerably fewer push to turn its Office software suite from a packaged good into an annual
fatalities). Consider some statistics. Dur- subscription service is a tacit acknowledgment that companies are losing
ing the last quarter of the twentieth their need-and their appetite-for constant upgrades. Dell has succeeded
century, the computational power of by exploiting the commoditization ofthe PC market and is now extending
a microprocessor increased by a factor
that strategy to servers, storage, and even services. (Michael Dell's essen-
of 66,000. In the dozen years from 1989
tial genius has always been his unsentimental trust in the commoditiza-
to 2001, the number of host computers
tion of information technology.) And many ofthe major suppliers of
connected to the Internet grew from
corporate IT, including Microsoft, IBM, Sun, and Oracle, are battling to
80,000 to more than 125 million. Over
the last ten years, the number of sites position themselves as dominant suppliers of "Web services" - to turn
on the World Wide Web bas grown themselves, in effect, into utilities. This war for scale, combined with the
from zero to nearly 40 million. And continuing transformation of IT into a commodity, will lead to the further
since the 1980s, more than 280 million consolidation of many sectors ofthe IT industry. The winners will do very
miles of fiber-optic cable bave been in- well; the losers will be gone.
stalled - enough, as BusinessWeek re-
cently noted, to "circle the earth 11,320
MAY 2003 45
HBR AT LARGE • IT Doesn't Matter
pany needs evidence of the kind of Some managers may worry that be- IDEAS IN ACTION
money that might be saved, it need only ing stingy witb IT dollars will damage
look at Microsoft's profit margin. tbeir competitive positions. But studies
In addition to being passive in tbeir of corporate IT spending consistently WHAT'S
purcbasing, companies bave been sloppy show that greater expenditures rarely
in their use of IT. Tbat's particularly tme translate into superior financial results.
witb data storage, which has come to In fact, tbe opposite is usually tme. In CREATING AND CAPITALIZING
ON THE BEST
account for more than half of many 2002, tbe consulting firm Alinean com- MANAGEMENT THINKING !
companies' IT expenditures. The bulk of pared the IT expenditures and the fi-
wbat's being stored on corporate net- nancial results of 7,500 large U.S. com-
works has little to do witb making prod- panies and discovered that the top
ucts or serving customers ~ it consists performers tended to be among tbe rHOMAS H. DAVENPORr
LAURENCE PRUSAK
of employees' saved e-mails and files. most tightfisted. The 25 companies that
WITH H JAMtS WILSON
including terabytes of spam, MP3s, and delivered the highest economic retums,
video clips. Computerworld estimates for example, spent on average just 0.8%
that as mucb as 70% of tbe storage ca- of their revenues on IT, while the typical
pacity of a typical Windows network is company spent 3.7%. A recent study by
wasted - an enormous unnecessary ex- Forrester Researcb showed, similarly,
pense. Restricting employees' ability to tbat the most lavish spenders on IT Bringing Innouatidritn
save files indiscriminately and indefi- rarely post the best results. Even Oracle's rtptinarotdWld
nitely may seem distasteful to many Larry Ellison, one of tbe great technol-
managers, but it can bave a real impact ogy salesmen, admitted in a recent in-
on tbe bottom Une. Now tbat IT bas terview that "most companies spend too
become the dominant capital expense much [on IT] and get very little in re-
for most businesses, there's no excuse tum." As the opportunities for IT-based An innovator's
for waste and sloppiness. advantage continue to narrow, the pen- playbook for shaping
Given the rapid pace of technology's alties for overspending will only grow. the market endgame.
advance, delaying IT investments can be IT management sbould, frankly, be-
another powerful way to cut costs - come boring. Tbe key to success, for the
while also reducing a firm's chance of vast majority of companies, is no longer
being saddled witb buggy or soon-to- to seek advantage aggressively but to HENRY CHE5BR0UGH
be-obsolete tecbnology. Many compa- manage costs and risks meticulously. If,
nies, particularly during tbe 1990s, like many executives, you've begun to
mshed their IT investments either be-
cause tbey hoped to capture a first-
mover advantage or because tbey feared
take a more defensive posture toward IT
in the last two years, spending more fru-
gally and thinking more pragmatically,
OPEN
being left bebind. Except in very rare you're already on the right course. The
cases, both the hope and the fear were challenge will be to maintain that disci- The New Imperative
For Creating and ProFiting
unwarranted. The smartest users of pline when the business cycle strength- From Technology
technology - here again. Dell and Wal- ens and the choms of hype about IT's
Mart stand out-stay well back from tbe strategic value rises anew. ^
cutting edge, waiting to make purchases
1."Information technology" is a fuzzy term. In this How to ieverage ideas
until standards and best practices solid- article, it is used in its common current sense, as de-
ify. Tbey let their impatient competitors noting the technologies used for processing, storing, from inside and out.
and transporting information in digital form.
shoulder the bigh costs of experimenta-
tion, and then tbey sweep past them, Reprint R0305B; HBR OnPoint 3566 H A R V A R D B U S I N E S S
spending less and getting more. To order, see page 131. S C H O O L P R E S S