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Cygnus Energy LNG News Weekly 23rd April 2021
Cygnus Energy LNG News Weekly 23rd April 2021
Cygnus Energy LNG News Weekly 23rd April 2021
Sandp@cygnus-energy.com Gas@cygnus-energy.com
(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
first of these ships. But market talk has been swirling as to whether all four berths are now being marketed to other companies,
with Sinokor offering out the later-delivering trio of berths and SHI marketing the first slot. But Jensen denied that Celsius was
looking at these newbuilding slots. Celsius broke into LNG in 2018, contracting four 180,000-cbm X-DF vessels at SHI during
a wave of speculative ordering in the sector. In August, the company locked away a first ship to trader Gunvor’s Clearlake
Shipping on private terms. Brokers later said the period hire on the vessel was 12 to 14 months at a rate of about $60,000
per day. In December, the company announced that it had fixed the remaining three vessels to US-based LNG producer
Cheniere Energy on charters of up to 13.5 years. To date, two of the ultra-eco design vessels, the Celsius Copenhagen (built
2020) and Celsius Canberra (built 2021), have been delivered. A third, the Celsius Charlotte, is scheduled for hand-over in
May, with the fourth due to be delivered to Cheniere in August. Speaking in December shortly after the fixtures were announced,
the Celsius chairman said that ordering uncommitted vessels had not earned the company any particular credit from charterers.
He added that while Celsius would not rule out repeating this move it would be more careful in what it does next time. source :
www.tradewindsnews.com
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NEW FORTRESS SET ON FIRST FLNG UNIT AND BRAZIL TERMINALS
New Fortress Energy is prioritising a search for a gas source for its first fast-tracked floating LNG unit and the build-out of
planned terminals in Brazil. The plans come in the wake of its completion of a $5.1bn buyout of Hygo Energy Transition and
Golar LNG Partners last week. On a call, New Fortress chairman and chief executive Wes Edens told analysts the company
took a final investment decision on its FLNG project on 8 March. He said it will take 16 months to complete and will be ready
to install by the fourth quarter of 2022. Edens, who revealed he has a daily 8am call on the company’s FLNG plans, said
securing gas for the unit is his “highest priority” and reiterated his call to anyone who would like to get in touch on this. “My
goal is to have a gas source identified in the next 90 days or so,” he said. “That’s the big one.” Edens called the Hygo-Golar
LNG Partners buyouts a “transformative event” for New Fortress.
Building out terminals
He said the company now needs to focus on building out the four new terminals in Brazil, converting commercial LNG volumes
under discussion to committed ones, and getting a gas contract in place for the FLNG unit. Aside from the seven floating
storage and regasification units and six LNG carriers acquired under the buyouts, he revealed that the company is also taking
on “one leased ship” in Indonesia. This is believed to be the 125,000-cbm FSRU Nusantara Regas Satu (built 1977). New
Fortress has four LNG terminals in operation — two in Jamaica, one in Puerto Rico and the large FSRU-based facility for the
Sergipe power plant in Brazil Edens said the company expects to complete its La Paz terminal in Mexico at the end of May
and its Nicaragua facility a month later. He said the Barcarena terminal in the north of Brazil should be online by January,
with a facility at Suape operational in the first quarter of 2022. The Santa Catarina terminal in the south will follow in the
second quarter. All three will use FSRUs. In addition, the company expects to bring a first terminal onstream in Ireland in the
second half of 2022. source : www.tradewindsnews.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
2
NEW AWILCO LNG CHARTER EXPECTED TO BOOST EBITDA
The 12-month deal is expected to provide $18m in Ebitda, or as much as Awilco had in all of 2020. Awilco LNG has inked a
lucrative new charter for one of its two gas carriers. The Oslo-listed company said on Friday that it had fixed the 156,000-
cbm WilForce (built 2013) to an unnamed counterparty for "about 12 months". The company did not disclose the rate, but said
the charter would provide $18m in Ebitda to its balance sheet. In 2020, Awilco LNG reported $18.1m in Ebitda for the entire
year. "The contract is expected to commence at the end of April 2021 in direct continuation from the present charter party,"
Awilco said. The WilForce — half of the company's fleet alongside the 156,000-cbm WilPride (built 2013) — had been trading
in the spot market according to Awilco's fourth quarter 2020 report. The WilPride had been on a two- to three-month time
charter contract following delivery in February. The WilForce's new contract will begin at the end of the month. LNG rates have
firmed since the winter rally cooled off in February. Brokers said a 160,000-cbm, tri-fuel diesel electric carrier heading west
was earning an average of $81,313 per day this year, while the same ship heading east would earn $74,375 per day. Both
the WilFoce and the WilPride have TFDE propulsion systems. Last week, John Fredriksen-backed Flex LNG pushed into the
period market, fixing four ships to Cheniere Energy for as long as three and a half years, with an option for a fifth. Expanding
on the rationale for the move, Flex chief executive Oystein Kalleklev said low inventories in Europe were supporting rates,
while Chineses customers looked to secure cargoes early for winter. www.tradewindsnews.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
3
JAPAN AND FRENCH BANKS DOMINATE LNG FINANCING
LNG project finance funds doubled year-on-year to almost $24bn in 2020 from a total of 74 lenders in 20 countries. Japanese
and French banks dominated LNG project finance last year.Mizuho, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp (SMBC) and Bank of Tokyo
Mitsubishi (MUFG) occupied the top three places in Poten’s latest rankings. Mizuho moved up to the top spot from second last
year lending a total of $1.82bn, SMBC which was in first place last year lent $1.81bn. Report said MUFG had “come up through
the ranks” after slipping to 22nd in the LNG financing league table last year, from its second place in 2019. Three French
banks – Societe Generale, Credit Agricole and BNP Paribas – occupied fourth, fifth and sixth place. Rounding out the top 10
were Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Italy’s Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP) and Dutch bank ING tied for 8th place,
with Spain’s Santander in tenth. Report said most of the top places in the ranking were taken by banks that supplied large
quantities of funding for the Mozambique LNG project and refinancing deals for Australia’s Ichthys LNG and for Cheniere
Energy and Freeport LNG Train 3 in the US, which attracted a combined $6.1bn in funds.
Mozambique LNG
“All the top places, with the exception of CDP, are taken up by lenders which typically have a big presence in LNG project
finance”.. CDP’s high position in the rankings is understood to have been due to a big contribution to Mozambique LNG for
the tranche covered by Italian export credit (ECA) agency Sace. “Some of the top ten banks supplied ‘tickets’ of over $500m
to the two biggest deals which were concluded for Mozambique which attracted at total of $15.4bn of debt from banks and
ECAs and for Ichthys LNG which attracted $8.2bn for its refinancing of both ECA-covered and uncovered debt,”. Other deals
influencing the 2021 rankings were said to include Nigeria LNG’s Train 7 – which is a corporate-project finance hybrid, Indian
regasification projects and LNG ships structured as limited recourse project finance. “Import projects and LNG ships tend to
have a smaller impact on the rankings because capital expenditure is lower than for liquefaction projects,”. “Also, import and
LNG-to-power projects are typically supported by development banks and ECAs. They usually attract only small amounts of
commercial bank funding, if they can get it at all.” Last year a total of 74 lenders from 20 countries provided the LNG project
finance funds of almost $24bn, which was double the previous years’ totals. source : www.tradewindsnews.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
4
fuel efficient dual-fuel 4-stroke engines available. Integrated with the propulsion plant is an Energy Storage System (ESS)
with a lithium-ion battery bank that allows for engine load optimisation with reduced methane slip. The batteries also provide
all of the power required during cargo transfer, resulting in no emissions or exhaust in way of the ship being bunkered, an
especially important feature for passenger vessels. Boil-off gas from the cargo tanks is captured and consumed in the dual-
fuel engines and the energy surplus generated can be stored in the batteries. Waste heat from the engine cooling water is
converted to electric and thermal power through a number of Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) waste heat units. As a novel
approach, wasted energy captured during operation can be stored in accumulators and released as required to drive absorption
chiller and reduce the electrical load onboard. This approach boosts energy efficiency to a very high level. Another unique
feature of the design is an aft ‘energy bay’ that allows the vessel to provide containers loaded with fuel or stored electrical
power to a receiving vessel. It also allows the vessel to provide fully charged battery banks to remote locations ashore, where
current infrastructure does not allow sufficient power to be provided. source : www.lngindustry.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
5
CONTINUING EVOLUTION: THE LNG CARRIER OF 2030
The design of LNG carriers has responded to market changes; next it will need to reflect dramatic increases in efficiency,
details Peter Fitzpatrick, VP, Strategy and Development, ABS. While LNG carriers have a relatively short history, they have
been subject to a continuous evolution in their design and operational parameters over the last decade. Many of the design
changes reflect the natural maturity of the industry, others have come in response to technical, operational and regulatory
changes. With vessel sizes having standardised to serve installed terminal infrastructure and with a choice of containment and
propulsion systems, it could be that the sector is set for a period of smaller, incremental changes. In fact, the LNG carrier of
2030 will need to evolve further, reflecting prevailing industry trends around the adoption of new technologies and more efficient
operations to drive lower carbon emissions. Using LNG as fuel puts gas carriers on a clean fuel pathway but by 2030, in
anticipation of required improvements in EEDI that whole marine industry will have to address, we may see some ideas coming
to the fore. So, will the LNG ship of 2030 still have the design speed we see today? For an answer, it is necessary to look
first at what we can expect from the key areas of the LNG vessel design and operation.
Emerging technologies
The first of these key areas concerns the cargo containment system, as the continued need to reduce boil-off gas (BOG) will
be ever present as new ideas make the propulsion plant more efficient. Many owners have already adopted some sort of
reliquefaction capability but this concept will be essential in the LNG carrier of 2030, as dramatic improvements in insulation
materials are not expected.Although slow speed engines may still be the most efficient option available we can expect to see
increased adoption of shaft generators, batteries and even fuel cells that all look to reduce the overall energy demand. Electric
propulsion may again come back into favour on certain routes as the ability to plug and play batteries, fuel cells, gas turbines
into the ships power system will provide additional flexibility, mitigating obsolescence risks, having the ability to upgrade a
component without major changes to the ships power train.Though hull forms may not change radically in the next decade,
new ships will have to demonstrate compliance with the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI). While improvements in the
traditional areas of naval architecture may be limited we will see ideas such as air lubrication, advanced antifouling and even
wind propulsion becoming more common. As with other vessel types, future gas carriers will be more connected, with increased
use of smart technologies to collect and process data. This will enable a more efficient operation of ‘just in time shipping’ from
loading to discharge that looks to maximise cargo delivery with the least amount of fuel consumed across the whole operation.
With further growth in spot trading, ships will need to be better connected and make greater use of operational data, voyage
and fleet management technology. Connectivity of operational technology will also increase to provide more inputs to optimise
performance and maintenance schedules. A future gas carrier is also likely to experience reduced methane slip as engine-
makers increase mitigation measures. A more radical approach to efficiency could be active reduction of boil off gas with
proactive insulation or sub-cooling of cargo.
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
6
Regulatory drivers
While there is little need for efficiency improvements on new LNG orders before 2030, a large improvement – perhaps as
much 30% – will be needed to comply with tightened EEDI requirements after 2030. To meet IMO emissions reduction targets
requires a downwards trajectory arriving to 70% reduction by 2050, though some parts of the industry will go further.This
implies that in 2030 CO2 emissions will need to be reduced by 21% compared with today. This might be achieved using an
advanced waste heat recovery system, a power take-off system, and a 10% reduction of the power requirement. This suggests
that designers will have no option but to reduce design speed to meet the expected EEDI requirements, but other alternative
technologies are emerging. Interpreting these changes in terms of LNG carrier design, if we believe that the minimum practical
BOR rate of 0.07 - 6% per day has been reached, LNG carriers will generate more BOG than is required by the engines. The
result may be that a full reliquefaction system or a sub-cooling unit could be fitted as standard in future vessels. Another
option could be to store the BOG energy in batteries and use it during the ballast journey. Either way, it is possible that BOG
handling will be fully decoupled from the propulsion process. Even if the pace of change in LNG vessel design is slower in the
next 10 years than it was in the previous decade, the pace at which technology is changing, combined with the increasing
number of options becoming available over coming years means owners must still be prepared to evaluate and incorporate
new techniques and technologies into future designs. These need to be managed with the same focus on safety that has
defined the LNG carrier market until now. By doing so, it should be possible to unleash a new wave of innovation that supports
the industry’s trajectory towards further increases in efficiency and more sustainable operations. source : www.lngindustry.com
“The utilisation of Klaipeda LNG terminal correlates with the development of natural gas transmission systems in the region
and increases the interest of market participants. Therefore, we aim to ensure equal conditions to use LNG terminal services
for all current and potential clients. The Baltic connector, natural gas transmission connection between Estonia and Finland,
which started operating last year, and the GIPL connection between Lithuania and Poland, which will start operating next year,
Sandp@cygnus-energy.com Gas@cygnus-energy.com
(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
7
encourage us to evaluate how to make the most efficient use of LNG terminal capacity and review current pricing model. We
also seek to assess the scope for methodological changes that could contribute to further reduction of the security supplement
for gas consumers. In parallel with the study, KN will present this project to stakeholders, current and potential LNG terminal
users. We strive for close cooperation with the market participants, transparent methodology and later on – the process of
changing tariffs,” emphasises Mindaugas Navikas, KN’s Chief Sales Officer. “AFRY is delighted to have been awarded this
contract to help develop the long-term capacity allocation mechanism for the Klaipeda LNG terminal. Working alongside KN
and other stakeholders, we will be able to utilise our expertise on natural gas markets, global and European LNG trends, and
the regional market design to formulate the most efficient capacity allocation and tariff design. This will be an important
development in the evolution of the Lithuanian and the wider regional market,” says Matt Brown, Vice President of AFRY
Management Consulting. Based on the study results, the rules of the LNG terminal will be amended accordingly, they will be
co-ordinated with the National Energy Regulatory Council (VERT) and market participants during a public consultation. Changes
to the LNG terminal rules will be presented to LNG terminal users and other stakeholders. This year, the LNG terminal capacity
allocation procedure for the new 2022 gas year, scheduled for April, will follow the current methodology and pricing. source :
www.lngindustry.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
8
and flag states. “Seaspan is proud to collaborate and partner with Vard and Bureau Veritas for the Approval in Principle of this
advanced and highly manoeuvrable 7600 m3 LNG bunker vessel which is designed specifically for our business areas,” says
Harly Penner, Director of Fleet Engineering and Vessel Development. “Seaspan is committed to bringing clean LNG bunkers
to the West Coast of North America through our LNG bunkering business, in order to assist ship owners in meeting their
IMO2030 targets,” says Gord Miller, Vice President. “Vard Marine is pleased to once again be partnering with Seaspan on
environmental innovation in ship design with the Vard 9 511 LNG Bunker Vessel. Environmental stewardship is one of Vard’s
core values, pursued in facilities management, internal process, and product development. With this AIP, the Vard 9 511 is the
ideal solution to solve the gap in LNG bunkering infrastructure in the Asia Pacific Gateway. We look forward to working again
with the Seaspan Ferries team,” says Wade Carson, CEO, Vard Marine Inc. “This comprehensive AIP now enables a detailed
design to be developed addressing classification, statutory and operational requirements. The development of LNG bunkering
vessels is still relatively new, and Bureau Veritas has built considerable experience through multiple projects with different
containment and gas handling systems - from the smallest to the very largest LNG bunkering vessels. Bureau Veritas is
delighted to support the vision and leadership of Seaspan and Vard towards decarbonisation of the marine industry on the
West Coast of North America,” says Tim Protheroe, Regional Chief Executive for North America, Bureau Veritas. source :
www.lngindustry.com
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9
Last month, NextDecade announced its wholly owned subsidiary, NEXT Carbon Solutions, is developing one of the largest
carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects in North America at Rio Grande LNG. NEXT Carbon Solutions’ CCS project at Rio
Grande LNG is expected to enable the capture and permanent geologic storage of more than 5 million tpy of carbon dioxide
(CO2). Combining responsibly sourced gas with the anticipated CO2 emissions reduction associated with NEXT Carbon
Solutions’ CCS project is expected to enable Rio Grande LNG to produce the lowest lifecycle GHG LNG on a free-on-board
basis and to be the greenest LNG project in the world.“The differentiated market for responsibly sourced gas is expanding
rapidly on a global scale as customers, investors and regulators seek, push for, and reward energy produced with the highest
environmental standards,” said Chris Romer, Project Canary Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer. “We’re proud of the
important and growing role we’re playing in putting our independent technologies to work to help our customers and look
forward to supporting NextDecade and the companies involved in its natural gas value chain in enhancing environmental
performance, ensuring compliance with regulatory standards, and delivering on commercial commitments.” A Denver-based B-
Corp, Project Canary provides emissions monitoring data and related technologies across the energy value chain – from the
production, transmission, and marketing of responsibly sourced natural gas. Project Canary’s TrustWell certification is the
premium standard for responsibly sourced gas. Trustwell certification, which scores across four primary categories of
responsibility – air, water, land, and community – assigns ratings based on independent review and rigorous data analysis and
has been involved in over 85% of responsibly sourced gas transactions in the US to date. Project Canary has completed more
than 5500 TrustWell certifications, with over 1000 in process, and by mid-year 2021 will have approximately 400 real-time
emissions monitoring units deployed. source : www.lngindustry.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
10
and the population of the region,” it said. “They are added to the mobilisation of more than 37,000 citizens who support the
project in the Sag-Lac LNG group on Facebook.”GNL Quebec said it intends to announce other commitments addressing the
BAPE’s concerns, concluding that “in light of recent developments and ongoing negotiations with potential customers” it is
“more than convinced” that its project has a role to play in the global natural gas market and in global efforts to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. “Natural gas is and will be a key energy source in the global energy transition, especially as
policies around the world are pushing the industry to be increasingly efficient at the environmental level, with Canada leading
through its regulatory standards,” it said. source : www.naturalgasworld.com
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
11
The spike in Asian LNG prices caused a rise in European gas benchmarks, highlighting the growing influence of global LNG
prices on European gas markets, which will only grow as domestic European output declines over coming years and LNG
import capacity rises. Then, in late January and into February, Europe had a similar dose of low temperatures and high
demand. But a rise in LNG deliveries as Asian demand eased, along with record stock levels, steady pipeline flows and high
wind power generation prevented European gas and power prices spiking to the same extent as they had in Asia. Prices
nevertheless were well supported, after record lows last summer. The situation led European stocks to fall sharply from the
record highs seen through much of last year. By mid-February, stock levels had dropped to around 37% full compared to 60%
full at the same time last year (see chart 2). By March 1 they were 406 TWh (close to the lows seen at the end of winter
2018), down from 667 TWh a year earlier and 457 TWh on March 1, 2019. This large gap will require filling, helping to support
prices this summer as gas is bought up to replenish the depleted stocks before the 2021/2022 winter season.
Extensive deferred maintenance from last year due to Covid-19 restrictions, and the delay to finishing the Nord Stream 2
pipeline from Russia to Europe, should also help provide support for European prices and LNG demand this summer. But
LNG supply will have to compete with pipeline supplies to secure space in European storage, particularly early in the
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summer – when oil-linked pipeline supplies are likely to be cheaper given crude’s recent rise and the three- to six-month
lag in term pricing.
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(Sale and Purchase) (Gas projects)
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now Europe’s most liquid hub have also risen sharply since the lows of the summer. Forward quarters, which start the month
following the month of assessment, have risen steadily since September 2019 (see Table 1). EU carbon prices rose above
€42/metric ton in early March – their highest ever – with gains attributed to continued bullish sentiment in energy and equity
markets, as well as tightening EU environmental policies. This sharp increase is supporting gas as well as power prices, as it
encourages the switch from coal to gas for power generation. The gas price outlook is generally firm, with some analysts
pointing to the beginning of a commodities ‘super-cycle’ fuelled by strong economic growth. Shell predicts global LNG demand
will reach 700mn mt by 2040, as demand continues to grow strongly in Asia and gas extends its use into hard-to-electrify
sectors. This anticipated growth means there is room for much more liquefaction capacity and could result in several quick
final investment decisions if the pandemic loses its potency this spring/summer.
Spot price volatility sees buyers turn to term.
The recent spot gas price volatility has made many buyers and sellers much more wary of relying heavily on the spot market
and could threaten the move toward more spot trade (which expanded to about one-third of the total LNG traded in Asia last
year), and away from the traditional model of long-term, crude-linked LNG contracts. As they seek to avoid price risk, buyers
could be more inclined to sign up to the longer-term deals required to get LNG liquefaction plants off the ground. Some
importers have already reacted to the spot volatility and changes in crude prices by increasing the volume taken under term
deals – for example, China maximised term flow from Russia this winter as LNG prices spiked, while oil-linked Algerian
deliveries to Italy reached 8.81bn m³ in October-February, compared with 9.32bn m³ for the full 2019-20 gas year. Alternatively,
the market may seek a compromise in shorter, more flexible term deals, which could be priced against a variety of benchmarks.
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and do not necessarily reflect the views of any other associated company. NEWS AND SOURCE: LNGWORLDNEWS, LNG INDUSTRY, THE HINDU BUSINESS, ARGUS MEDIA, PETROWATCH, REUTERS, IGU LNG REPORT 2018, TRADEWINDS, MONEYCONTROL
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