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BMO Commodity Products Group

Daily Market Summary Report New York: (212) 605-1570


Chicago: (312) 845-2163
Houston: (713) 546-9782
Calgary: (403) 515-3682 & 1-888-432-0222
April 8, 2011 http://www.bmocm.com/products/marketrisk/commodity/

NYMEX Crude Oil ($USD/BBL) NYMEX Natural Gas ($USD/MMBTU) Alberta Natural Gas - AECO/NIT ($CAD/GJ) AECO Basis ($USD/MMBTU) Exchange Rates
Price Change Price Change Fixed Price Change Basis Change BofC Noon Rate 0.9566 -0.0027
Prompt $112.79 $2.49 Prompt $4.04 -$0.02 May 2011 $3.31 -$0.02 ($0.40) $0.00 CAD (CAD/USD) 0.9575 -0.0014
May 11 - Dec 11 $114.07 $2.40 May 11 - Dec 11 $4.30 -$0.02 May 11 - Dec 11 $3.44 -$0.02 ($0.52) $0.00 EUR (USD/EUR) 1.4438 0.0130
Zero-Cost Collar $100.00/$130.77 Zero-Cost Collar $4.00/$4.72 Zero-Cost Collar $3.25/$3.66 GBP (USD/GBP) 1.6349 0.0027
Zero-Cost Collar $95.00/$137.76 Zero-Cost Collar $3.75/$5.15 Zero-Cost Collar $3.00/$4.03 JPY (JPY/USD) 84.88 -0.0100
Calendar 2012 $111.54 $2.23 Calendar 2012 $4.86 -$0.04 Calendar 2012 $3.89 -$0.04 ($0.64) $0.00 $CAD Crude Oil
Zero-Cost Collar $100.00/$122.10 Zero-Cost Collar $4.50/$5.33 Zero-Cost Collar $3.50/$4.32 Q3 2011 $109.76 $2.16
Zero-Cost Collar $95.00/$127.13 Zero-Cost Collar $4.25/$5.72 Zero-Cost Collar $3.25/$4.68 Q4 2011 $109.89 $2.06
Q3 2011 $114.28 $2.42 May 11 - Oct 11 $4.19 -$0.02 May 11 - Oct 11 $3.35 -$0.02 ($0.51) $0.00 May 11 - Dec 11 $109.62 $2.14
Q4 2011 $114.07 $2.31 Nov 11 - Mar 12 $4.76 -$0.03 Nov 11 - Mar 12 $3.82 -$0.03 ($0.59) $0.00 Calendar 2012 $108.31 $2.02
Q1 2012 $113.29 $2.28 Apr 12 - Oct 12 $4.78 -$0.04 Apr 12 - Oct 12 $3.81 -$0.04 ($0.64) -$0.01 AESO Power ($CAD)
Q2 2012 $112.20 $2.24 Nov 12 - Mar 13 $5.29 -$0.04 Nov 12 - Mar 13 $4.30 -$0.04 ($0.64) -$0.01 May-Dec 11 Flat $66.56 $0.07
Q3 2012 $110.87 $2.22 Apr 13 - Oct 13 $5.20 -$0.03 Apr 13 - Oct 13 $4.21 -$0.03 ($0.67) $0.00 Calendar 2012 Flat $59.78 -$0.37
The US President and Congress are working about Natural gas continued its trek back to $4.00 today as Current Storage Levels Refined Products
as well as Jen, Brad, and Angelina would on a bearish fundamentals continue to dominate the
movie, and what that spells is a potential US landscape. Mild weather forecasts and abundance Current Change Last Year 5 Yr. Avg. NYMEX Heating Oil $3.320 $0.114
government shutdown. Why should we care? of supplies will most likely spurn another battle at US Natural Gas (BCF) 1,579 -45 1,665 1,569 HO Q3 2011 $3.365 $0.106
Probably because the US dollar is about a valuable $4.00 by Monday. Don't be surprised if we see sub
as a Greek promissory note to pay of existing debt. $4.00 prices by the end of trading. If we get below CAN Natural Gas (BCF) 195.44 -5.05 319.2 N/A RBOB Gasoline $3.261 $0.074
A weakened dollar + bullish geopolitical fundaments $3.96 the next key level looks to be $3.78. Below Crude Oil (MBbls) 357,664 1,952 354,189 341,654 RBOB Q3 2011 $3.153 $0.073
+ technical resistant levels falling by the wayside that well, I don't think bulls don’t want to go there at
equals a market above $112 in the front. this point. Motor Gasoline (MBbls) 216,679 -357 224,872 216,672 Fuel Oil (NYH 1%) $108.63 $1.250
Distillates (MBbls) 153,520 195 144,606 127,608 Fuel Oil (NYH 3%) $106.38 $0.750
Natural Gas at Various Basis Locations ($USD/MMBTU) Other Markets
NYMEX Natural Gas
$8 Location May 2011 May 11 - Oct 11 May 11 - Dec 11 Cal 12 Prompt IPE Brent $126.61 $4.16
$7 ANR Okla. ($0.24) ($0.24) ($0.24) ($0.27) Dated Brent $128.05 $4.22
Chicago Citygate $0.04 $0.01 $0.03 $0.02 NBP Front Month $10.04 $0.13
$6
CIG, Rockies ($0.43) ($0.44) ($0.41) ($0.40) OPEC Basket $117.65 $0.03
$5 El Paso, Permian ($0.25) ($0.24) ($0.25) ($0.31) Edm Par (USD) $107.77 $9.54
El Paso, San Juan ($0.25) ($0.25) ($0.25) ($0.34) Lloyd Edm (USD) $99.11 $2.17
$4
Houston Ship Channel ($0.04) ($0.05) ($0.07) ($0.09) Mt. Belvieu Propane $1.4000 $0.010
$3 Malin ($0.17) ($0.23) ($0.23) ($0.31) NYMEX Coal $74.13 -$1.17
NW Rockies ($0.40) ($0.41) ($0.39) ($0.36) Gold (London PM Fix) $1,469.50 $10.00
$2
Panhandle ($0.27) ($0.27) ($0.27) ($0.31) CRB Futures Index 368.70 4.22
NYMEX Crude Oil PG&E Citygate $0.12 $0.08 $0.09 ($0.01) USD Index 75.06 -0.50
$100
$90 SoCal Gas ($0.05) ($0.05) ($0.07) ($0.16) Contact Information
$80 Sumas ($0.38) ($0.37) ($0.24) ($0.29) New York Chicago
$70 TCO $0.11 $0.08 $0.12 $0.06 (212) 605-1570 (312) 845-2163
$60 Tennessee 500 ($0.06) ($0.05) ($0.05) ($0.05) George Ellis Mark Mathews
$50 Tetco M3 $0.27 $0.28 $0.42 $0.64 Christopher Coyne
$40 Transco Zone 3 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 Houston Calgary
$30 Transco Zone 6 $0.35 $0.35 $0.66 $1.13 (713) 546-9782 (403) 515-3682
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Waha ($0.13) ($0.15) ($0.16) ($0.21) Renee Morgan 1-888-432-0222


Commodity Value Per MMBTU Richard Kieval Scott DeBusschere
Prompt Calendar 2011
Crude Oil Heating Oil Fuel Oil (NYH 1%) Fuel Oil (NYH 3%) Coal Jenn Ross Marielle James
All prices are mid-market indications as of the close of NYMEX . $19.38 $24.60 $17.28 $16.92 $3.09 Tim Holtby
*Canadian natural gas storage data based on the Enerdata survey

The information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein are provided as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Some of the information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein have been obtained from numerous sources and Bank of Montreal (“BMO”) and its affiliates make every effort to ensure that the contents thereof have been compiled or derived from sources
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