Lampiran Perhitungan Kelompok

LAMPIRAN
PERHITUNGAN MANUAL
A. Forecast
 Single Exponential Smoothing
{(0,1)362 + (0,9) 373} = 371,9 ≈ 372
{(0,1)329 + (0,9) 371,9} = 367,61 ≈ 368
{(0,1)377 + (0,9) 367,61} = 368,549 ≈ 369
{(0,1)374 + (0,9) 368,549} = 369,0941 ≈ 370
{(0,1)382 + (0,9) 369,0941} = 370,3847 ≈ 371
{(0,1)364 + (0,9) 370,3847} = 369,7462 ≈ 370
{(0,1)347 + (0,9) 369,7462} = 367,4716 ≈ 368
{(0,1)349 + (0,9) 367,4716} = 365,6244 ≈ 366
{(0,1)337 + (0,9) 365,6244} = 362,762 ≈ 363
{(0,1)359 + (0,9) 362,762} = 362,3858 ≈ 363
{(0,1)367 + (0,9) 362,3858} = 362,8472 ≈ 363
 Moving Average
(329+362+373)/3 = 354,6667 ≈ 355
(377+329+362)/3 = 356
(374+377+329)/3 = 360
(382+374+377)/3 = 377,6667 ≈ 378
(364+382+374)/3 = 373,3333 ≈ 374
(347+364+382)/3 = 364,3333 ≈ 365
(349+347+364)/3 = 353,3333 ≈ 354

(337+349+347)/3 = 344,3333 ≈ 345
(359+337+349)/3 = 348,3333 ≈ 349
(367+359+337)/3 = 354,3333 ≈ 355
 Metode Past Data
 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 373
 Verifikasi
a) Yi-Ẏi
 Yi-Ẏi = 362-373 = -11
 Yi-Ẏi = 329-371,9 = -42,9
 Yi-Ẏi = 377-367,61 = 9,39
 Yi-Ẏi = 374-368,549 = 5,451
 Yi-Ẏi = 382-369,0941 = 12,9059
 Yi-Ẏi = 364-370,3847 = -6,3847

 Yi-Ẏi = 347-369,7462 = -22,7462
 Yi-Ẏi = 349-367,4716 = -18,4716
 Yi-Ẏi = 337-365,6244 = -28,6244
 Yi-Ẏi = 359-362,762 = -3,762
 Yi-Ẏi = 367-362,3858 = 4,6142
b) ̅
M̅ ̅
̅R̅
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |329 − 371,9| − (362 − 373)
= -11
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |377 − 367,61| − (329 − 371,9)
= -42,9
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |374 − 368,549| − ( 377 − 367,61)
= 9,39
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |382 − 369,0941| − ( 374 − 368,549)
= 5,451
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |364 − 370,3847| − (382 − 369,0941)
= 19,2906
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |347 − 369,7462| − ( 364 − 370,3847)
= 16,3615
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |349 − 367,4716| − ( 347 − 369,7462)
= 4,2746
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |337 − 365,6244| − (349 − 367,4716)
= 10,1528
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |359 − 362,762| − (337 − 365,6244)
= 24,8624
̅M̅ ̅
̅R̅ = |𝑑′𝑡 − 𝑑′𝑖| − ( 𝑑′𝑡−1 − 𝑑′𝑖−1)
= |367 − 362,3858| − ( 359 − 362,762)
= 8,3762
 Hasil Kesalahan Single Exponential Smoothing
a) Yi-Ẏi
 Yi-Ẏi = 362 – 373 = -11
 Yi-Ẏi = 329 - 371,9 = -42,9
 Yi-Ẏi = 377 - 367,61 = 9,39
 Yi-Ẏi = 374 - 368,549 = 5,451
 Yi-Ẏi = 382 - 369,0941 = 12,9059
 Yi-Ẏi = 364 - 370,3847 = -6,3847
 Yi-Ẏi = 347 - 369,7462 = -22,7462
 Yi-Ẏi = 349 - 367,4716 = -18,4716
 Yi-Ẏi = 337 - 365,6244 = -28,6244
 Yi-Ẏi = 359 - 362,762 = -3,762

 Yi-Ẏi = 367 - 362,3858 = 4,6142
b) 100 x (Yi−Ẏi)
( )
𝑦𝐼
 100 (362−373)
( ) = -3,038674033
x 362
 100 x
(329−371,9)
( ) = -13,03951368
329
 100 x
(377−367,61)
( ) = 2,49071618
377
 100 x
(374−368,549)
( ) = 1,457486631
374
 100 x
(382−369,0941)
( ) = 3,378507853
382
 100 x
(364−370,3847)
( ) = -1,754038462
364
 100 x
(347−369,7462)
( ) = -6,555100865
347
 100 x
(349−367,4716)
( ) = -5,292722063
349
 100 x
(337−365,6244)
( ) = -8,49388724
337
 100 x (359− 362,762)

( ) = -1,047910864
359
 100 x
(367−362,3858)
( ) = 1,257275204
367
 Hasil Kesalahan Single Exponential Smoothing
a) Yi-Ẏi
 Yi-Ẏi = 377 - 354,6667= 22,3333
 Yi-Ẏi = 374 - 356 = 18
 Yi-Ẏi = 382 - 360 = 22
 Yi-Ẏi = 364 - 377,6667 = -13,6667
 Yi-Ẏi = 347 - 373,3333 = -26,3333

 Yi-Ẏi = 349 - 364,3333 = -15,3333
 Yi-Ẏi = 337 - 353,3333 = -16,3333
 Yi-Ẏi = 359 - 344,3333 = 14,6667
 Yi-Ẏi = 367 - 348,3333 = 18,6667
b) 100 x (Yi−Ẏi)
( )
𝑦𝐼
 100 x (377−354,6667)
( ) = 5,923952255
377
 100 x
(374−356)
( ) = 4,812834225
374
 100 x
(382−360)
( ) = 5,759162304
382
 100 x (364−377,6667)
( ) = -3,754587912
364
 100 x (347−373,3333)
( ) = -7,588847262
347
 100 x
(349−364,3333)
( ) = -4,393495702
349
 100 x (337−353,3333)
( ) = -4,846676558
337
 100 x
(359− 344,3333)
( ) = 4,085431755
359
 100 x
(367− 348,3333)
( ) = 5,086294278
367
 Hasil Kesalahan Past Data
a) Yi-Ẏi
 Yi-Ẏi = 362 – 373 = -11
 Yi-Ẏi = 329 - 362 = -33
 Yi-Ẏi = 377 - 329 = 48
 Yi-Ẏi = 374 - 377 = -3
 Yi-Ẏi = 382 - 374 = 8
 Yi-Ẏi = 364 - 382 = -18

 Yi-Ẏi = 347 - 364 = -17
 Yi-Ẏi = 349 - 347 = 2
 Yi-Ẏi = 337 - 349 = -12
 Yi-Ẏi = 359 - 337 = 22
 Yi-Ẏi = 367 - 359 = 8
b) 100 x (Yi−Ẏi)
( )
𝑦𝐼
 100 (362−373)
( ) = -3,038674033
x 362
 100 x
(329 − 362 )
( ) = -10,03039514
329
 100 (377−329)
( ) = 12,73209549
x 377
 100 x (374−3377)
( ) = -0,802139037
374
 100 x
(382−374)
( ) = 3,378507853
382
 100 (364−382)
( ) = 2,094240838
x 364
(347−364)
( ) = -4,899135447
 100 347
x (349−347)
 100
x ( ) = 0,573065903
349
 100 (337−349)
( ) = -3,560830861
x 337
 100 x
(359− 337)
( ) = 6,128133705
359
 100 (367−359)
( ) = 2,179836512
x 367
B. Master Requirement Planning (MRP)
1) MRP Meja Troli Level 0
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
- Project on hand = (project on hand sebelumnya – gross requirement)
= (600 – 363)
= 237
b. Planned order receipts = 0
c. Net requirements = 0
d. Schedule Receipt = 0
e. Planned Order Release = 410
 Bulan Ke-2
a. Project on hand
- Project on hand = (project on hand sebelumnya – gross requirement +
lot sizing) (digunakan apabila Project On Hand tidak memenuhi)
= (237 – 363 + 410)
= 284
b. Planned order receipts = lot size (jika project on hand tidak memenuhi)
= 410
c. Net requirements = (gross requirement + safety stock) – (schedule receipt +
project on hand sebelumnya)
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 237)
= 156
 Bulan Ke-3
a. Project on hand
= (284 – 363 + 410)
= 331
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 284)
= 109
 Bulan Ke-4
a. Project on hand
= (331 – 363 + 410)
= 378
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 331)
= 62
 Bulan Ke-5
a. Project on hand
= (378 – 363 + 410)
= 425
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 378)
= 15
 Bulan Ke-6
a. Project on hand
= (425 – 363)
= 62
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 425)
= -32 ≈ 0 (Karena bernilai negatif, diubah menjadi 0)
 Bulan Ke-7
a. Project on hand
= (62 – 363 + 410)
= 109
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 62)
= 331
 Bulan Ke-8
a. Project on hand
= (109 – 363 + 410)
= 156
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 109)
= 284
 Bulan Ke-9
a. Project on hand
= (156 – 363 + 410)
= 203
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 156)
= 237
 Bulan Ke-10
a. Project on hand
= (203 – 363 + 410)
= 250
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 203)
= 190
 Bulan Ke-11
a. Project on hand
= (250 – 363 + 410)
= 297
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 250)
= 143
 Bulan Ke-12
a. Project on hand
= (297 – 363)
= 344
= 410
= (363 + 30) – (0 + 297)
= 96
2) MRP Pegangan Level 1
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (700 – 410)
= 290
 Bulan Ke-2
a. Project on hand
= (290 – 410 + 600)
= 480
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 290)
= 370
 Bulan Ke-3
a. Project on hand
= (480 – 410 + 600)

= 670
= 600
c. Net requirements = Net requirements = (gross requirement + safety stock) –
(schedule receipt + project on hand sebelumnya)
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 480)
= 180
 Bulan Ke-4
a. Project on hand
= (670 – 410)
= 260
 Bulan Ke-5
a. Project on hand
= (260 – 0)
= 260
 Bulan Ke-6
a. Project on hand
- Project on hand = (project on hand sebelumnya – gross requirement
+ lot sizing) (digunakan apabila Project On Hand tidak memenuhi)
= (260 – 410 + 600)
= 450
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 260)
= 400
 Bulan Ke-7
a. Project on hand
= (450 – 410 + 600)
= 640
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 450)
= 210
 Bulan Ke-8
a. Project on hand
= (640 – 410 + 600)
= 830
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 640)
= 20
 Bulan Ke-9
a. Project on hand
= (830 – 410) = 420
 Bulan Ke-10
a. Project on hand
+ lot sizing) (digunakan apabila Project On Hand tidak memenuhi
= (420 – 410 + 600)
= 240
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 420)
= 240
 Bulan Ke-11
a. Project on hand
(digunakan apabila Project On Hand tidak memenuhi)

= (610 – 410 + 600)
= 800
= 600
= (410 + 250) – (0 + 610)
= 50
 Bulan Ke-12
a. Project on hand
= (800 – 0)
= 800
3) MRP Pipa Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (4000 – 3000)
= 1000
4) MRP Tutup Pipa Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (2000 – 1200)
= 800
5) MRP Siku Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (9500 – 2400)
= 7100
6) MRP Badan Meja Level 1
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (700 – 410)
= 290
7) MRP Triplek Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1650 – 1200)
= 450
8) MRP Tiang Penyangga Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (2000 – 600)
= 1400
9) MRP Tutup Pipa Level 3
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1500 – 0)
= 1500
10) MRP Mur Level 3
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1590 – 0)
= 1590

11) MRP Baut Level 3
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1590 – 0)
= 1590
12) MRP Pipa Level 3
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1590 – 0)
= 1590
13) MRP Sambungan T Level 3

 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (1590 – 0)
= 1590
14) MRP Roda Level 1
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
= (700 – 410)
= 290
15) MRP Roda Penggerak Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
lot sizing) (Digunakan jika on hand tidak memenuhi)

= (700 – 1200 + 1500)
= 1000
= 1500
16) MRP Roda Statis Level 2
 Bulan Ke-1
a. Project on hand
lot sizing) (Digunakan jika on hand tidak memenuhi)
= (700 – 1200 + 1500)
= 1000
= 1500

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LAMPIRAN

 Single Exponential Smoothing

{(0,1)362 + (0,9) 373} = 371,9 ≈ 372

{(0,1)329 + (0,9) 371,9} = 367,61 ≈ 368

{(0,1)377 + (0,9) 367,61} = 368,549 ≈ 369

{(0,1)374 + (0,9) 368,549} = 369,0941 ≈ 370

{(0,1)382 + (0,9) 369,0941} = 370,3847 ≈ 371

{(0,1)364 + (0,9) 370,3847} = 369,7462 ≈ 370

{(0,1)347 + (0,9) 369,7462} = 367,4716 ≈ 368

{(0,1)349 + (0,9) 367,4716} = 365,6244 ≈ 366

{(0,1)337 + (0,9) 365,6244} = 362,762 ≈ 363

{(0,1)359 + (0,9) 362,762} = 362,3858 ≈ 363

{(0,1)367 + (0,9) 362,3858} = 362,8472 ≈ 363

(329+362+373)/3 = 354,6667 ≈ 355

(382+374+377)/3 = 377,6667 ≈ 378

(364+382+374)/3 = 373,3333 ≈ 374

(347+364+382)/3 = 364,3333 ≈ 365

(349+347+364)/3 = 353,3333 ≈ 354

(359+337+349)/3 = 348,3333 ≈ 349

(367+359+337)/3 = 354,3333 ≈ 355

 Metode Past Data

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 373

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 362

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 329

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 377

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 374

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 382

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 364

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 347

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 349

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 337

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 359

 Forcast = Produksi Aktual t-1 = 367

 Yi-Ẏi = 362-373 = -11

 Yi-Ẏi = 329-371,9 = -42,9

 Yi-Ẏi = 377-367,61 = 9,39

 Yi-Ẏi = 374-368,549 = 5,451

 Yi-Ẏi = 382-369,0941 = 12,9059

 Yi-Ẏi = 364-370,3847 = -6,3847

 Yi-Ẏi = 349-367,4716 = -18,4716

 Yi-Ẏi = 337-365,6244 = -28,6244

 Yi-Ẏi = 359-362,762 = -3,762

 Yi-Ẏi = 367-362,3858 = 4,6142

= |329 − 371,9| − (362 − 373)

= |377 − 367,61| − (329 − 371,9)

= |374 − 368,549| − ( 377 − 367,61)

= |382 − 369,0941| − ( 374 − 368,549)

= |364 − 370,3847| − (382 − 369,0941)

= |347 − 369,7462| − ( 364 − 370,3847)

= |349 − 367,4716| − ( 347 − 369,7462)

= |337 − 365,6244| − (349 − 367,4716)

= |359 − 362,762| − (337 − 365,6244)

= |367 − 362,3858| − ( 359 − 362,762)

 Hasil Kesalahan Single Exponential Smoothing

 Yi-Ẏi = 362 – 373 = -11

 Yi-Ẏi = 329 - 371,9 = -42,9

 Yi-Ẏi = 377 - 367,61 = 9,39

 Yi-Ẏi = 374 - 368,549 = 5,451

 Yi-Ẏi = 382 - 369,0941 = 12,9059

 Yi-Ẏi = 364 - 370,3847 = -6,3847

 Yi-Ẏi = 347 - 369,7462 = -22,7462

 Yi-Ẏi = 349 - 367,4716 = -18,4716