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NEA Title
NEA Title
HYPOTHESIS
Sub Question 1
I hypothesise that Borehamwood’s Employment will have most workers in the tertiary sector. This is
due to Borehamwood being an economically developed town and as a result this implies to me
that’s Borehamwood’s workers are earning more money and as a result are spending it on the
economy. Thus, resulting in a developed town.
Sub Question 2
I hypothesise that the main cause of the decline of the shopping sector, is due to a rise in
Unemployment, if correct then this could cause huge economic problems for Borehamwood because
if people are not working and earning money then they cannot spend their money on the economy
and especially the shopping sector.
Sub Question 3
I hypothesise that the Pandemic has negatively affected the economy and especially the Retail
sector, this is since I live in Borehamwood and have seen first-hand the effect on Shops over the
pandemic and thus, I believe the impacts of the pandemic have been overwhelmingly negative for
Borehamwood’s economy
Location and Context:
Furthermore, Borehamwood has a huge socio -economic divide with 6110 out of a
population of 32000, having universal credits. which equates to over 19 percent of the
population but, However Borehamwood’s average home income is 20 percent higher than
the national average. This huge divide in wealth will help me understand and to find out my
objective.
Population from 2011 census
THEORETICAL CONTEXT
LINK TO SPECIFICATION
This aim links to 3.2.2.4 Changing Places of the specification under the section of Local Place
study exploring change of a place – Economic change of a local place. This area of the
specification explores how place is affected through economic change and what factors
affect economic change. I will investigate what factors impact the local economy. This will
come form the perspective of someone who has lived in Borehamwood all their life. As
Alfred Marshall stated that ‘science should aim to understand economic change and not
simply the forces moulding it together. It will be exciting to attempt to understand what
factors have impacted Borehamwood’s economy.
Rationale behind my investigation
Structural make up of employment in Borehamwood and how does it affect the economy?
In this sub question I will attempt to find the structural employment of Borehamwood. I chose this
question because finding out about the employment structure of Borehamwood will help me
understand how developed Borehamwood is as a town and thus show what the economy is like. For
example, if most workers in Borehamwood are in the secondary sector then one can assume that
Borehamwood’s is run down and underdeveloped opposingly if the tertiary sector has most of the
the Borehamwood’s work force then there would be more money circulating in the economy which
will increase the multiplier effect and result in Borehamwood becoming a more developed town. In
this sub question I am hoping to find what percentage of Borehamwood’s work force fit into each
category of primary, secondary, and tertiary sector for me to find out if the type of sector that
Borehamwood’s workers work in is affecting the economy. By using quantitative data and asking 50
members of the public, I will be able to find out percentages of what sector workers in
Borehamwood work in. Although I recognise that 100 people does not represent a whole town, I will
ask 100 random members of public what type of job they have and draw up my statistics from that.
SUB QUESTION 2
The shopping sector is arguably the largest contributor in growing of Borehamwood’s economy.
Through this sub question I will conduct qualitive data- We can define qualitative data as that
which is non-numerical [5] (and therefore quantitative data as that which has numerical
values). By using qualitative data such as surveys, e.g., asking shopkeepers what their
profits are. If the data shows that shops are in fact losing money then they could be forced to
shut down which could cause unemployment which would result in a positive feedback loop,
of more of Borehamwood’s population losing jobs due to shops shutting which results in
unemployment and hence less money to spend on shops which could result in further shops
shutting down. If correct this factor could be a huge key player in why Borehamwood’s
economy is experiencing an economic slowdown.
Closed shops on Borehamwood high street
SUB QUESTION 3
This circular flow diagram shows how Borehamwood’s economy runs, however due to the pandemic
and lockdown, shops were shut, and people were unable to spend in the economy. As a result, in
theory the economy should have been hit hard from the pandemic because households weren’t
spending and firms’ wont ‘factors. To find the impacts I will use both primary and secondary data to
help me find differences in the economy- especially in the retail market - between pre-pandemic and
post pandemic to help give me an understanding of what happened to the economy during those
periods of lockdowns. In addition, linking to SUB QUESTION 2 this data which I will collect from sub
question 3 will determine if the cause of the decline of the shopping sector could be caused from the
pandemic. Or from other factors such as unemployment.
ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS
The main ethical issue is that trying to keep a safe distance when obtaining primary data from
members of the public and keeping with the current guidelines of the COVID-19 set by the
government. This means that some people might feel uneasy about face-to-face interviewing and
opportunity sampling. As a result, when interviewing members of the public I maintained a safe
distance away. Furthermore, other methods I used to obtain primary data was an online survey I
conducted. When doing online surveys if one asks personal details such as age or wage, then it is
critical for the survey to remain anonymous and confidential which can be achieved by not asking for
names on the survey form. Also, when taking pictures of Borehamwood’s High street, it is of
paramount importance not to include faces but when not possible, one should ask permission from
that member of public. Furthermore, in my interviews I asked shopkeepers about their average
number of customers and therefore it is important to allow people to opt out of their answers being
used in my survey.
In an ideal world I would use face to face interviews for primary data because they are much more
reliable and accurate than an online survey. However due to COVID-19 being ever present and
people unwillingness to take part. I had to settle for online survey for majority of my primary data.
METHODOLOGY
Primary sector: jobs involve getting raw materials from the natural environment e.g., Mining, farming, and fishing.
Secondary sector: Jobs involve making things (manufacturing) e.g., making cars and steel.
Tertiary Sector: Jobs involve providing a service e.g., teaching and nursing
Below is a Pie chart portraying what the employment structure of Borehamwood looks like
This pie chart portrays that the vast majority (80 percent) of Borehamwood’s
workforce is in the Tertiary sector. Tertiary sector generally has the highest
pay, and we can see this through the fact that Borehamwood’s average
earning is 20 percent higher than the national average. This will help boost the
economy because people will have higher disposable income and as a result
will spend money in Borehamwood’s economy. This will then create a
‘multiplier effect ‘which will benefit the economy greatly. However, I must
acknowledge the accuracy of this data because I obtained this data by using
primary convenience sampling. I asked 50 people what job they had and then
categorised the type of Job into primary, secondary, or tertiary sector. So,
because I used convenience sampling there could be unintended biases in my
results. However due to 80 percent of workers working in the tertiary sector
and Borehamwood average income is 20 percent higher than national average
I feel confident about the accuracy of this data.
Furthermore, there is another Sector called quaternary sector however in my primary data, not one person was part of the
quaternary sector, this could be since my questionnaire was conducted on Bank Holiday at 2pm, some people who work in
the quaternary sector could have been working at the time my questionnaire was conducted and hence could be why there
were 0 people who worked in the field at that time
This Graph shows us the Universal credit statistics for Borehamwood. I was unable to find the exact
Unemployment number for Borehamwood due to the government stopped releasing unemployment
data. Instead from this graph we can see that Borehamwood’s Universal credit is below average with
the Mean being 11973.75 for Hertfordshire, this shows that unemployment is relatively low, and this
could be due to Borehamwood having a relatively educated population as seen below where 30 percent of
Borehamwood has the highest qualification.
High education and Low unemployment will greatly boost the economy and as a result
Borehamwood’s economy has created lots of opportunities, with Sky studios set to open in 2022
which will bring 30000 jobs along with it. This form of Secondary data on both graphs above are very
accurate because they are both taken from the 2011 Census where it is a crime to lie. However due
to the Census being 10 years old, some results from the census could be outdated.
To evaluate this question, I will find out why the shopping sector has declined over the recent years
and why more and more shops are shutting down on the high street. This will be completed by using
primary and secondary data as seen below.
I interviewed 3 shopkeepers on the High street to understand if the shopping sector is on the
decline.
The Three Shops are called ORLI and CEX and Pure Gym, the first one is a Restaurant, whereas the
second shop is an Electronics store, and the third shop is a Gym
Both these Hierarchy charts convey that the Shopping sector in Borehamwood has declined over the
last few years. This is an integral part of Borehamwood’s economy. It would be easy for me to blame
it on the Pandemic; However, I will look deeper to see if there are any other factors to why people
aren’t visiting shops as much as they used to.
Average house prices in Borehamwood using systematic sampling on Zoopla where every 3 rd house
on sale I would write down and after 10 houses I would find the mean and determine that integer as
the average house prices.
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From this Line graph we can see that the Mean house price in Borehamwood is £1,397,000, This
shows that it is relatively expensive to purchase a house in Borehamwood, perhaps showing that
most of Borehamwood’s workers are spending their money on rent in oppose to spending in the
local economy and especially shops, which negatively impacts the local economy.
However, to check the Validity of the mean and to find out the spread of the data, can work out the
standard deviation. the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion
of a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean
of the set, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider
range. By using the formula, the standard deviation of house prices in Borehamwood was
1,670,000. This High standard deviation shows us the huge spread of house prices in Borehamwood
with the Highest house value was 6 million pounds and the lowest value was 125 thousand pounds.
This could explain why the shopping sector is on the decline because of the huge spread of house
prices, as a result many people will be forced to pay much higher than the average 1.397 million for
a house and therefore won’t have as much disposable income left from paying the rent to spend in
the shopping sector and as a result the shopping sector has seen a decline in customers.
However, the accuracy of the results could be flawed due to the use of systematic sampling to find
out the average house price of Borehamwood. Systematic data has a higher chance of data
manipulated which could skew the results.
This newspaper article shows how Unemployment is at its highest levels for more than 4 years. This
results in people not able to spend money in the economy due to a rise in people being unemployed
and not earning money to spend on the economy. This article could link to the previous Graph about
why house prices being so spread out.
because even though Borehamwood’s national average income is 20 percent higher there is rising
unemployment which could explain why houses are either very cheap or very expensive and thus
shows a huge socioeconomic divide between Borehamwood’s population. Furthermore, this rise in
unemployment will result in a positive feedback loop, where if people are unemployed then they
won’t have money to spend on the shops. If the shops are losing customers, then they might have to
close and result in further unemployment. This cycle will keep on going and getting worse and each
change will be amplified further. This could suggest why the shopping sector is declining because if
more people are unemployed then they wont any money to spend, and that positive feedback loop
will just get worse and worse.
A major flaw in this article is that it could be over exaggerated for a political gain. Borehamwood
times is known to be pro-labour and because of the current council having a conservative majority
the editor could deliberately over-exaggerate the unemployment situation to deter people from
voting conservative.
SUB QUESTION 3
For this Sub question I will compare Data from 2019 (pre pandemic) and 2021 (post pandemic) to
see what impacts the pandemics have had on Borehamwood’s local economy by using qualitive and
567gtquantitative data.
The accuracy of this Land use survey is reliable because the data is primary and therefore will have
no biases.
This Contrast shows the impact the pandemic has had on the economy. Both pictures are both
taken from google maps on the 11th September, just 4 years apart by using Google timeline. what we
can immediately see is that the image taken in 2021 is much less busy than the photo in 2017. And
this is due to the pandemic because people are less willing to go outside and spend on the economy
due to fear of contracting the Virus. Furthermore, we can also see that the names of the stores are
vastly different with Almost every shop in 2017 ceasing to exist in 2021. We can infer from this that
the pandemic has caused all these shops to shut due the Shops losing customers over the pandemic
and ending up shutting down. Furthermore, we can also see that much bigger firms have taken over
the shops in 2021 rather than small business that owned the stores in 2017 such as Clarks that has
now been taken over by Aldi. This could be due to the pandemic and that small independent firms
have struggled to survive and therefore has been forced to closed, whereas the bigger firm such as
Aldi have been able to use retained profits to survive the pandemic.
This shows the huge impact the pandemic has had on the economy and especially local shops since
many small shops were forced to closed and only the Bigger shops could remain open. In the future
this trend could intensify with taxes rising due to the pandemic, smaller independent shops on the
High street could go out of business and they could be replaced by a bigger firm that can afford to
pay the higher taxes. And hence could create a clone effect where all the High streets in England
have the same ‘big’ shops with smaller independent shops ceasing to exist.
The accuracy of this Image can be questioned due to the small scope of the image. Because we can
only see a small proportion of Borehamwood’s shopping sector, we might not be able to see the
fullest extent the pandemic has had on smaller shops.
Article showing how a small shop was closed due to the pandemic and bigger firms are set to buy the
shop afterwards.
CONCLUSION
Hypotheses: I predict that most workers will work in the tertiary sector.
I have concluded through my data presentation that hypothesis is correct. Through my primary and
secondary data, I am very confident that most workers, work in the tertiary sector and through my
results I found out that the number was 80 percent thus making my hypothesis correct.
Furthermore, in the census that I used to find out about the levels of education in Borehamwood it
stated that over 30 percent of Borehamwood’s population had the highest-level qualification that is
attainable. This could result in a shift in sectors with many highly educated workers living in
Borehamwood potentially could start working in the quaternary sector in the future. This would
even more greatly benefit Borehamwood’s economy as on average, the quaternary sector has the
highest base pay, and this increased income will be reflected through more spending, which will
cause the multiplier effect and thus help the economy.
Sub Question 2: What’s threatening the shopping sector and how can that impact the economy?
HYPOTHESIS: The rise in Unemployment is the main reason as why the shopping sector is on the
decline
From My Data we can clearly see that the Shopping sector is currently struggling, through my
interview I conducted with 3 shopkeepers. In both questions the overwhelming response was that
they are losing customers and their profits are going down. Now I partially agree with my Hypothesis
because through the Article by Borehamwood times, it stated ‘Unemployment is soaring and the
highest point in 4 years’ as previously discussed Unemployment can cause a positive feedback group
that will cause further unemployment that will have a ripple effect on shops that will lose customers
due to them not being able to spend money in those shops. However, in sub question 1 we found
out that universal credits were relatively low in Hertfordshire and thus showing that Unemployment
is below average in Borehamwood. These statistics would disagree with my Hypothesis and thus
showing that my Hypothesis is wrong. Furthermore, the main reason for the decline of the Shopping
sector would be rising House prices. From my secondary data I concluded that the average house
price is £1.37 million. Moreover, the average income in Borehamwood is £ 378,000 (to 3sf) and as a
result people who buy a house in Borehamwood would have to spend a very considerable amount of
there income repaying the mortgage in oppose to spending their income on the local economy. This
reason is why we saw CEX and Pure Gym both ‘luxury goods and services’ see a decline in profits and
customers, because people can’t afford to spend as much money on luxury goods due to the rising
house prices. This decline in the Shopping sector will negatively impact Borehamwood’s economy
because if less people are spending money on shops then shops will have to close, and this will
further perpetuate the unemployment cycle and result in Borehamwood’s economy declining.
Sub Question 3; How has the pandemic affected the Retail economy?
Hypothesis, I believe that the pandemic has negatively affected the economy.
EVALUATION
Using primary and secondary data I was able to draw the conclusions I needed for my
investigation to explore the questions I posed and prove or disprove my hypothesis.
However, when looking at my primary data it is important to look at its limitations and
reliability. For example, when doing a questionnaire, it relies on people answering truthfully
and getting a scenario where this form of opportunity and voluntary sampling gives you a
large enough variation of people and different demographics taking place. Although the
likelihood is because of the way it was advertise only a certain demographic with people in
similar demographic categories being the ones completing the questionnaire.
This has especially been the case due to the COVID-19 pandemic as People might feel
uncomfortable with doing face – face questionnaires they could say shorter answers than I
would have hoped for, which may reduce the reliability of people’s answers as well as
people not being able to say their further thoughts as it became quite closed, in addition to
this it has stopped me from conducting larger amounts of primary research. For example, my
plan was to Interview 10 Shop keepers to find out the impact the Pandemic has had on there
stores. However, I found out that only 3 were comfortable to give me answers for my
interview Finally, another impact of the pandemic is with transport being reduced and the
need to need to reduce movement I was not able to go to a secondary location to properly
compare the two regions. In this case the plan would have been to go to Bournemouth and a
and do a land use survey to compare the impacts of the pandemic on the High street.
Therefore, my reliance on secondary data had to increase.
Using secondary data, I was able to obtain some of the data I would have been able to in
person through websites such as google maps which could replace a land use survey in
person, yet it makes it less accurate as the street view may not be up to date
In addition, when looking at secondary data it is important to measure the reliability of it as it
may be outdated or written trying to project an opinion or bias. To counteract this, I tried to
find similar articles with the same opinion before using a source in this investigation to avoid
these biases, however I’m sure some still exist within.