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    Mapdis Juni 2018

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    YolandaMutiaraTondang
    The document is a weather forecast report for July 2018 from the Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport in Deli Serdang, Indonesia. It contains the following key points: 1. The southwest monsoon will remain active in July and convergence lines are likely to form in the South China Sea and Philippines Sea. 2. There is a probability of tropical disturbances developing in the Bay of Bengal and Philippines Sea. 3. Sea surface temperatures will be warmer in parts of the South China Sea, Philippines Sea, southeast Indian Ocean, and western Pacific. 4. Rainfall intensity in July is expected to be slight to moderate. Global and regional factors are not expected to significantly impact rainfall amounts

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    Mapdis Juni 2018

    Uploaded by

    YolandaMutiaraTondang
    14 views26 pages
    The document is a weather forecast report for July 2018 from the Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport in Deli Serdang, Indonesia. It contains the following key points: 1. The southwest monsoon will remain active in July and convergence lines are likely to form in the South China Sea and Philippines Sea. 2. There is a probability of tropical disturbances developing in the Bay of Bengal and Philippines Sea. 3. Sea surface temperatures will be warmer in parts of the South China Sea, Philippines Sea, southeast Indian Ocean, and western Pacific. 4. Rainfall intensity in July is expected to be slight to moderate. Global and regional factors are not expected to significantly impact rainfall amounts

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    MAPDIS JUNI 2018

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    The document is a weather forecast report for July 2018 from the Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport in Deli Serdang, Indonesia. It contains the following key points: 1. The southwest monsoon will remain active in July and convergence lines are likely to form in the South China Sea and Philippines Sea. 2. There is a probability of tropical disturbances developing in the Bay of Bengal and Philippines Sea. 3. Sea surface temperatures will be warmer in parts of the South China Sea, Philippines Sea, southeast Indian Ocean, and western Pacific. 4. Rainfall intensity in July is expected to be slight to moderate. Global and regional factors are not expected to significantly impact rainfall amounts

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
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    14 views26 pages

    Mapdis Juni 2018

    Uploaded by

    YolandaMutiaraTondang
    The document is a weather forecast report for July 2018 from the Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport in Deli Serdang, Indonesia. It contains the following key points: 1. The southwest monsoon will remain active in July and convergence lines are likely to form in the South China Sea and Philippines Sea. 2. There is a probability of tropical disturbances developing in the Bay of Bengal and Philippines Sea. 3. Sea surface temperatures will be warmer in parts of the South China Sea, Philippines Sea, southeast Indian Ocean, and western Pacific. 4. Rainfall intensity in July is expected to be slight to moderate. Global and regional factors are not expected to significantly impact rainfall amounts

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    of 26

    June 22nd, 2018

    Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika


    Stasiun Meteorologi Kelas I Kualanamu
    Jl. Tengku Heran Desa V Kebun Kelapa Kecamatan Beringin
    Deli Serdang 20552 Telp. (061) 7953011, 7954811 Fax. (061) 7953511
    CURAH HUJAN (data CH hingga 19 Juni 2018)
    :: Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport, DeliSerdang, Indonesia ::
    RELATIVE HUMIDTY
    SOI IOD

    SOI IOD
    -4.3 >> -2.1 0.14 >> -0.55

    Sumber data:http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt Sumber data: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/iod_1.txt


    OLR/ MJO

    Sumber :
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjo.shtml
    TROPICAL DISTURBANCE

    Tropical Storm Ewiniar (02-07 Jun) Tropical Depression Five (02-05 Jun)
    Ocean : West Pacific Ocean : West Pacific
    Max Winds : 35mph Max Winds : 25mph

    SUMBER: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/
    SST value

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml
    SST ANOMALY

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/sst.shtml
    MSLP ANALYSIS

    http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/archive/index.shtml
    Streamline Analysis 00.00 utc

    http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/archive/index.shtml
    Streamline Analysis 12.00 utc

    http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/archive/index.shtml
    Satellite images
    SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS

    05-20kt
    04-20kt

    05-26kt
    05-20kt
    Upper wind ANALYSIS

    04-22kt
    06-25kt

    05-25kt 05-30kt

    05-45kt 15-35kt

    08-60kt 10-40kt
    WEATHER FORECAST
    JULY 2018

    :: Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport, DeliSerdang, Indonesia ::


    1. South West monsoon still active
    2. Convergences line will form in South China Sea and Philippines Sea
    3. Probability of tropical disturbances at Bay of Bengal and Philippines Sea
    4. SST warmer in South China Sea, Philippines Sea, South East Indian Ocean, and West Pasific
    5. The Air mass on July is little bit humid
    6. The intensity of rainfall is slight to moderate
    PRESSURE SYSTEM
    ENSO FORECAST

    IRI Probabilistic ENSO Prediction for NINO3.4 Region

    Sumber: http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/currentinfo/figure3.html
    INDEX OCEAN DIPOLE

    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/model-summary/#tabs=Indian-Ocean

    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/model-summary/#tabs=Indian-Ocean
    DOMINANT FACTORS
    PRESSURE CONSTANT
    TROPICAL DISTURBANCE

    SST Ano Warm


    PRESSURE INCERASE
    MJO
    FORECAST SST

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2seasonal.shtml
    SYNOPTIC FORECAST FOR JULY 2018

    02-20kt 05-20kt

    10-25kt
    04-24kt

    WIND SYNOPTIC FORECAST FOR JULY 2018


    The conclusion of weather forecast on July
    2018:

    • Based on the dynamic forecasts, no global or


    regional factors will have significant impacts on the
    increase or decrease of rainfall values in North
    Sumatra. More rainfall will caused by local factors.
    However, when compared to June, rainfall is
    predicted to increase slightly in July.
    THANK YOU

    :: Meteorological Service Kualanamu International Airport, DeliSerdang, Indonesia ::

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