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Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441

Published online 6 September 2018 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com). DOI: 10.1002/uog.19117

Predictive accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio for adverse


perinatal and neurodevelopmental outcomes in suspected
fetal growth restriction: systematic review and meta-analysis
A. CONDE-AGUDELO1 , J. VILLAR2,3 , S. H. KENNEDY2,3 and A. T. PAPAGEORGHIOU2,3
1 Perinatology Research Branch, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development/National Institutes of

Health/Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD, and Detroit, MI, USA; 2 Nuffield Department of Obstetrics &
Gynaecology, University of Oxford, Women’s Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK; 3 Oxford Maternal & Perinatal Health
Institute, Green Templeton College, Oxford, UK

K E Y W O R D S: cerebroplacental ratio; Doppler; fetal growth restriction; neurodevelopmental outcomes; perinatal outcome;
predictive accuracy

ABSTRACT ranging from 1.1 to 2.5 and 0.3 to 0.9, respectively.


An abnormal CPR result had moderate accuracy for
Objective The cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) has been
predicting small-for-gestational age at birth (summary
proposed for the routine surveillance of pregnancies
positive LR of 7.4). CPR had a higher predictive accuracy
with suspected fetal growth restriction (FGR), but the
in pregnancies with suspected early-onset FGR. No study
predictive performance of this test is unclear. The aim
provided data for assessing the predictive accuracy of
of this study was to determine the accuracy of CPR
CPR for adverse neurodevelopmental outcome.
for predicting adverse perinatal and neurodevelopmental
outcomes in suspected FGR. Conclusion CPR appears to be useful in predicting
perinatal death in pregnancies with suspected FGR.
Methods PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL and Lilacs
Nevertheless, before incorporating CPR into the routine
were searched from inception to 31 July 2017 for
clinical management of suspected FGR, randomized
cohort or cross-sectional studies reporting on the
controlled trials should assess whether the use of
accuracy of CPR for predicting adverse perinatal and/or CPR reduces perinatal death or other adverse perinatal
neurodevelopmental outcomes in singleton pregnancies outcomes. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John
with FGR suspected antenatally based on sonographic Wiley & Sons Ltd.
parameters. Summary receiver–operating characteristics
(ROC) curves, pooled sensitivities and specificities, and
summary likelihood ratios (LRs) were generated. INTRODUCTION
Results Twenty-two studies (including 4301 women) met Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is a major clinical
the inclusion criteria. Summary ROC curves showed that and public health challenge around the world1,2 .
the best predictive accuracy of CPR was for perinatal Small-for-gestational age (SGA) at birth, based on
death and the worst was for neonatal acidosis, with different cut-off values, is a commonly used proxy
areas under the summary ROC curves of 0.83 and measure of FGR3 . FGR is associated with an increased risk
0.57, respectively. The predictive accuracy of CPR was of short- and long-term morbidity and mortality, as well
moderate to high for perinatal death (pooled sensitivity as impaired neurological and cognitive development4–11 .
and specificity of 93% and 76%, respectively, and Suspected FGR is defined in the antenatal period by
summary positive and negative LRs of 3.9 and 0.09, sonographic estimation of fetal anthropometric measures
respectively) and low for composite of adverse perinatal using a wide range of seldom validated definitions and
outcomes, Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal cut-off values12–16 . The clinical management of suspected
status, 5-min Apgar score < 7, admission to the neonatal FGR is challenging and no consensus exists for the best
intensive care unit, neonatal acidosis and neonatal way to monitor fetal wellbeing in these pregnancies;
morbidity, with summary positive and negative LRs consequently, clinical practice varies considerably around

Correspondence to: Prof. J. Villar, Nuffield Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, University of Oxford, Women’s Centre, John Radcliffe
Hospital, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK (e-mail: jose.villar@obs-gyn.ox.ac.uk)
Accepted: 23 May 2018

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW
CPR predicts perinatal death in suspected FGR 431

the world17–19 . The use of umbilical artery (UA) Doppler results separately for pregnancies with suspected FGR;
velocimetry in high-risk pregnancies, including those with (3) assessed CPR in the general population as a screen-
suspected FGR, has been shown to be associated with ing tool; (4) were case–control studies without complete
a significant reduction in perinatal mortality and fewer information for cases with suspected FGR, case series or
Cesarean deliveries and inductions of labor20 . reports, editorials, comments, reviews or letters without
In 1987, Arbeille et al.21 reported that the cerebropla- original data; (5) reported data for CPR only as mean or
cental ratio (CPR), a measure of cerebral centralization median values; (6) did not publish test accuracy estimates,
of fetal blood flow, appeared to be superior to either or sufficient information to calculate them could not be
fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) or UA Doppler indices retrieved.
alone in predicting SGA among women with gestational One reviewer (A.C.-A.) screened titles and abstracts
hypertension. CPR is calculated by dividing the Doppler of all identified citations and selected potentially eligible
index (pulsatility index (PI), resistance index (RI), or sys- studies. Then, these studies were retrieved and assessed by
tolic/diastolic ratio (S/D)) of the MCA by that of the UA. the same reviewer for inclusion and data extraction, and
Physiologically, CPR represents the interaction of alter- a 10% sample of the papers was examined by a second
ations in blood flow to the brain, as manifest by increased independent reviewer (J.V.). Disagreements were resolved
diastolic flow as a result of cerebrovascular dilatation through consensus. In cases of duplicate publication, only
due to hypoxia and increased placental resistance, lead- the most recent or complete version was included.
ing to decreased diastolic flow in the UA22 . Integrating
CPR into the clinical management of suspected FGR Reference standard outcomes
has been proposed recently22–27 , but the test’s ability
to predict adverse perinatal outcome in this entity has The reference standard outcomes included the following:
been questionned28,29 . Hence, we carried out a system- perinatal death; any composite of adverse perinatal
atic review and meta-analysis to assess the accuracy of outcomes (as defined in the original study and regardless
CPR to predict adverse perinatal and neurodevelopmental of its individual components); Cesarean delivery for
outcomes in FGR suspected antenatally. fetal distress/non-reassuring fetal status; 5-min Apgar
score < 7; admission to the neonatal intensive care unit
(NICU); neonatal acidosis; neonatal brain lesion; neona-
METHODS tal morbidity other than brain lesion; use of mechanical
ventilation; SGA at birth (birth weight < 10th , < 5th or
This systematic review was conducted following
< 3rd percentile or > 2 SD below the mean adjusted for
a prospectively prepared protocol and reported in
gestational age (GA) based on local population values),
accordance with recommended methods for system-
and adverse neurodevelopmental outcome (suspected or
atic reviews of diagnostic test accuracy30,31 . The
diagnosed developmental delay, cerebral palsy, intellec-
protocol was registered with PROSPERO in March
tual disability, vision impairment, hearing loss, cognitive
2016 (CRD42016036488; available from: http://
and behavioral impairment, and motor, communication
www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?
or learning disorder at any age in childhood).
ID=CRD42016036488).

Assessment of risk of bias


Literature search
Risk of bias in each included study was evaluated
We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL and Lilacs by at least one investigator using a modified version
from inception to 31 July 2017 using a combination of the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy
of keywords and text words related to ‘cerebroplacental Studies (QUADAS)-2 tool32 . The following domains were
ratio’ and ‘fetal growth restriction’, without language assessed: study design, description of the test, selection of
restrictions (Appendix S1). test cut-off value, blinding of clinicians to CPR results,
inclusion in the analysis of participants recruited into the
Eligibility criteria study, and use of interventions aimed to prevent adverse
perinatal outcome based on CPR results. Each domain was
We included cohort or cross-sectional studies reporting scored as ‘low’, ‘high’ or ‘unclear’ risk of bias (Appendix
on the accuracy of CPR for predicting adverse perinatal S2). We did not calculate a summary score estimating the
and/or neurodevelopmental outcomes in singleton preg- overall quality of each study because of the well-known
nancies with FGR suspected antenatally based on sono- problems associated with such scores33 .
graphic parameters, and provided the necessary informa-
tion to generate 2 × 2 tables. Studies were excluded if they: Data extraction
(1) assessed retrospectively the predictive accuracy of CPR
in infants categorized as SGA or FGR based on postnatal Data were extracted from each article using a specially
parameters such as birth weight or other anthropometric designed form for capturing information on study
measures, and/or placental histopathology; (2) assessed characteristics (authors, setting, year of publication,
CPR in a mix of high-risk pregnancies but did not report method of recruiting women, design, prospective or

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
432 Conde-Agudelo et al.

retrospective data collection, blinding to test results, flow from meta-analyses for positive and negative test results
diagram, completeness of follow-up and reporting of and a global prevalence (pretest probability) of these
withdrawals, and use of interventions after performing reference standard outcomes across the studies39 .
the test), patient characteristics (inclusion and exclusion Prespecified subgroup analyses were carried out
criteria, sample size, and demographic characteristics), to assess the predictive accuracy of CPR for any
how the test was carried out (GA at testing, frequency composite of adverse perinatal outcome according
of test, method of performance of test, type of Doppler to GA at diagnosis or delivery (early-onset (< 32
and route, site of measurement, plane in which images or < 34 weeks) or late-onset (≥ 32 or ≥ 34 weeks), as
were obtained, Doppler index used (PI, RI or S/D), cut-off defined by the authors), definition of abnormal CPR
value used, and interval from Doppler examination to result (MCA-PI/UA-PI ≤ 1.08, MCA-PI/UA-PI < 5th
delivery), and reference standard outcomes assessed and percentile, or MCA-RI/UA-RI < 1 or < 1.05), interval
their prevalence. from CPR measurement to delivery (≤ 7 or > 7 days)
For each study and for all cut-off values defining and definition of suspected FGR used (estimated fetal
an abnormal CPR result, we extracted the number weight (EFW) < 10th percentile for GA, or EFW < 10th
of true-positive, false-positive, true-negative and false- percentile for GA and abnormal UA Doppler). In addition,
negative test results. When predictive accuracy data a post-hoc subgroup analysis according to the use (yes
were not available, we recalculated them from the or no) of the CPR results for managing pregnancies with
reported results, including scatterplots and bar graphs. suspected FGR was performed. We also assessed the effect
The corresponding authors of primary studies were of risk of bias of the included studies on the predictive
contacted to obtain additional information on methods accuracy of CPR by performing a sensitivity analysis,
used and/or relevant unpublished data. Only three authors including only studies with a low risk of bias in at least
supplied additional data. five of the six domains evaluated.
As is common in diagnostic accuracy studies, we
anticipated that there would be substantial between-study
Data synthesis
variation in reported pairs of sensitivity and specificity
Data extracted from each study were used to construct values. As forest plots, which display both sensitivity
2 × 2 contingency tables. When any single cell in these and specificity, depict estimates with associated CIs, it
tables contained a zero, we added 0.5 to each cell is possible to discern the presence of high levels of
to enable calculation of predictive values34 . Sensitivity heterogeneity when there is little overlap in the CIs from
and specificity with 95% CIs were calculated separately different studies. In order to investigate formally potential
for all Doppler indices and cut-off values used, as sources of heterogeneity, we used subgroup analysis and
well as reference standard outcomes reported. Then, meta-regression by including covariates defined a priori
summary receiver–operating characteristics (ROC) curves (Doppler indices and cut-off values used, definition of
were constructed for each predefined reference standard suspected FGR used, GA at diagnosis or delivery, interval
outcome using the hierarchal summary ROC model, from CPR to delivery and study’s risk of bias) in the
regardless of Doppler indices and cut-off values used bivariate model, which enabled us to assess the effect of
to define abnormality35 . Variation in cut-off values across various factors on the predictive accuracy of CPR40,41 . If
studies is taken into account by using this model. Pooled there were at least 10 studies included in a meta-analysis,
estimates and 95% CIs of sensitivity and specificity were we planned to assess publication and related biases by
generated using random-effects bivariate meta-regression examining the symmetry of funnel plots using Deeks’
models36 . For studies that reported results for more than test42 . A P-value of < 0.1 for the slope coefficient indicated
one Doppler index and/or cut-off value, we selected the significant asymmetry of the funnel plot.
most commonly used. We also calculated areas under the We used SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary,
summary ROC curves with their corresponding 95% CIs, NC, USA) for the analyses and Review Manager 5.3.5
which allowed for comparison of the predictive accuracy (The Nordic Cochrane Centre, Copenhagen, Denmark)
of CPR for different outcomes37 . to generate forest plots and summary ROC curves.
Thereafter, summary likelihood ratios (LRs) with 95%
CIs were calculated from the pooled sensitivities and
specificities38 . A guide for the interpretation of LRs RESULTS
suggests that LRs > 10 for a positive test result and Selection, characteristics and quality of studies
LRs < 0.1 for a negative test result generate large changes
from pretest to post-test probabilities of disease; LRs Of 1191 citations identified initially, 22 studies43–64 ,
of 5–10 and 0.1–0.2 generate moderate changes in including a total of 4301 women/fetuses, met the inclusion
probability; LRs of 2–5 and 0.2–0.5 generate small (but criteria (Figure 1). Two studies were performed using the
sometimes important) changes in probability; and LRs of same cohort60,61 , one reporting results for all cases of
1–2 and 0.5–1 generate minimal (and rarely important) suspected FGR60 and the other for cases of suspected
changes in probability39 . Finally, we planned to calculate early-onset FGR61 . We included the results of the latter
the post-test probabilities of the most important reference study only in the subgroup analysis according to GA at
standard outcomes by combining summary LRs obtained diagnosis or delivery.

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
CPR predicts perinatal death in suspected FGR 433

Citations identified through Additional citations identified median interval between CPR measurement and delivery
search of databases (n = 1191) through other sources (n = 0) was < or ∼48 h in five studies46,48,50,51,62 , ≤ 7 days in six
studies49,53,56,57,59,64 , 7–14 days in three studies44,47,58 ,
Citations screened after duplicates removed (n = 821) > 14 days in five studies45,54,55,60,61 , 1–30 days in one
study52 and unreported in two studies43,63 . Most studies
References excluded after screening of (n = 16) used the last CPR result before delivery in
titles/abstracts (n = 669) analyses44,46–55,57–59,62,64 . Sixteen studies reported
that the CPR results were not used to manage the
Full-text articles assessed for eligibility (n = 152) pregnancies43–45,47,48,50–53,56,58–63 , one reported that
they were used to manage the pregnancies54 and
Excluded (n = 130) the remaining five studies did not report on this
• No data on predictive accuracy of CPR (n = 28)
issue46,49,55,57,64 . Eleven studies provided data on the
• CPR assessed in mix of high-risk pregnancies
without separate data for suspected FGR (n = 24)
predictive accuracy of CPR for a composite of adverse
• CPR assessed in infants categorized as SGA or perinatal outcomes43,44,47,53,54,56–60,62 , nine for admis-
FGR based on postnatal parameters (n = 23) sion to the NICU43–45,51,56,58–60,62 , seven for Cesarean
• Not a test accuracy study (n = 15)
delivery for non-reassuring fetal status43,45,50,58–60,62 ,
• CPR assessed in unselected pregnancies (n = 13)
• Review, letter, commentary or editorial (n = 13)
six for perinatal death45,52,55,56,58,60 and 5-min
• Duplicate publication (n = 4) Apgar score < 743,44,51,58,59,64 , five each for neonatal
• Insufficient data to construct 2 × 2 tables (n = 4) acidosis50,51,59,62,64 and neonatal brain lesions45,48,52,
• Case–control study (n = 3) 55,63
, four for neonatal morbidities other than brain
• Other reason (n = 3)
lesions43,45,46,49 , two for SGA at birth43,59 and one for
use of mechanical ventilation55 . No study provided data
Included in qualitative synthesis (n = 22) on adverse neurodevelopmental outcome.
The risk of bias in each included study is shown
Included in meta-analysis (n = 22) in Figure 2. Eight studies (36%) fulfilled ≥ 5 criteria,
whereas the remaining 14 studies (64%) had ≥ 2
Figure 1 Study selection process. CPR, cerebroplacental ratio;
methodological flaws. The most common deficiencies
FGR, fetal growth restriction; SGA, small-for-gestational age. were related to blinding of clinicians to CPR results and
inclusion in the analyses of participants recruited into the
study.
The main characteristics of the included studies are
displayed in Table 1. All but two studies44,52 were
Predictive accuracy for adverse perinatal outcomes
performed in European or North American countries.
The sample size ranged from 2948 to 88156 (median, Summary ROC curves of CPR for predicting adverse
159). The definitions of suspected FGR used in the perinatal outcome in pregnancies with suspected FGR are
studies were as follows: EFW < 10th percentile for GA (11 shown in Figure 3. The best predictive accuracy was for
studies)44,45,47,50,54,56–59,62,64 , EFW < 10th percentile for perinatal death and the worst was for neonatal acidosis,
GA and/or abdominal circumference (AC) < 5th percentile with areas under the summary ROC curves of 0.83
(two studies)60,61 , EFW < 10th percentile for GA and (95% CI, 0.74–0.92) and 0.57 (95% CI, 0.51–0.63),
abnormal UA Doppler indices (two studies)53,63 , AC < 5th respectively. Similar summary ROC curves were obtained
percentile for GA and abnormal UA Doppler indices for the prediction of any composite of adverse perinatal
(two studies)46,49 , AC < 10th percentile for GA (one outcomes, Cesarean delivery for non-reassuring fetal
study)43 , AC < 10th percentile for GA on at least two status and admission to the NICU (areas under the
consecutive measurements, 2 weeks apart (one study)55 , summary ROC curves between 0.71 and 0.74). The
EFW < 10th percentile for GA with growth rate slower sensitivity and specificity of CPR to predict adverse
than normal and abnormal UA Doppler indices (one perinatal outcome in suspected FGR in the individual
study)48 , EFW or AC < 10th percentile for GA and studies are shown in Figure S1.
abnormal UA Doppler indices (one study)52 , and EFW Table 2 presents the pooled estimates of the predictive
below the GA-adjusted mean value minus 2 SD (2.3rd accuracy of CPR for adverse perinatal outcomes. Overall,
percentile) or a fall of ≥ 10% weight deviation from CPR showed a moderate-to-high predictive ability for
the mean weight between two ultrasound examinations perinatal death with pooled sensitivity and specificity of
(one study)51 . Ten studies reported results for suspected 93% and 76%, respectively, and summary positive and
late-onset FGR47,50,51,54,56–59,62,63 , four for suspected negative LRs of 3.9 and 0.09, respectively (six studies
early-onset FGR47,56,58,61 and 14 for suspected FGR at all including 1495 fetuses with 29 perinatal deaths). CPR had
GAs43–49,52,53,55,56,58,60,64 . a low predictive performance for any composite of adverse
The most common definitions of an abnormal perinatal outcomes, Cesarean delivery for non-reassuring
CPR result were MCA-PI/UA-PI < or ≤ 1.08 (eight fetal status, 5-min Apgar score < 7, admission to the
studies43,47,51–53,56,60,61 ) and MCA-PI/UA-PI < 5th percen- NICU, neonatal acidosis, neonatal brain lesion, neonatal
tile for GA (six studies47,50,54,56,58,62 ). The mean or morbidity other than brain lesion and use of mechanical

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
Table 1 Main characteristics of studies included in systematic review reporting on predictive accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) for adverse perinatal outcome in singleton pregnancy with fetal
434

growth restriction (FGR) suspected antenatally

GA at diagnosis
Definition of of suspected Abnormal test Interval between
Study (country) Design n suspected FGR FGR (weeks) result definition CPR and delivery Reference standard outcome

Gramellini (1992)43 Retro 45 AC < 10th percentile Range, 30–41 MCA-PI/UA-PI Unreported Adverse perinatal outcome (CD for fetal
(Italy) for GA ≤ 1.08 distress or admission to NICU) and its
individual components, 5-min Apgar
score < 7, neonatal complications
(any of: RDS, intracerebral
hemorrhage, seizures, patent ductus
arteriosus, polycythemia)
Makhseed (2000)44 Prosp 70 EFW < 10th percentile Range, 29–42 MCA-RI/UA-RI Mean, 8.6 and 3.8 days Adverse perinatal outcome (any of: CD
(Kuwait) for GA < 1.05 in normal and for fetal distress, 5-min Apgar
abnormal CPR score < 7 or admission to NICU),
groups, respectively 5-min Apgar score < 7, admission to
NICU
Sterne (2001)45 Prosp 53 EFW < 10th percentile Range, MCA-S/D / Mean, 3.9 and CD for fetal distress, NICU admission,
(USA) for GA 22.9–38.9; UA-S/D ≤ 1.0 2.8 weeks in normal RDS requiring intubation, intracranial
mean, 30.3 and abnormal CPR hemorrhage, perinatal death
groups, respectively

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.


Makh (2003)46 Prosp 70 AC < 5th percentile for Unreported* MCA-PI/UA-PI Median, 6 h; range, Neonatal anemia (hemoglobin
(USA) GA and UA-PI > 2 SD below 1–19 h < 13 g/dL)
> 2 SD above mean mean for GA
for GA
Odibo (2005)47 Retro 183 EFW < 10th percentile < 34 and ≥ 34 MCA-PI/UA-PI Mean, 9.8 days; range, Adverse perinatal outcome (any of:
(USA) for GA < 1.08 and 0–32 days perinatal death, CD for NRFS,
MCA-PI/UA-PI umbilical artery pH < 7.0, 5-min
< 5th percentile Apgar score < 7, grade 3 or 4 IVH,
for GA PVL, RDS)
Jugović (2007)48 Prosp 29 EFW < 10th percentile > 28† MCA-RI/UA-RI < 1.0 < 48 h Neonatal brain lesion (severe
(Croatia) for GA with growth periventricular echodensities and/or
rate slower than moderate/severe intracranial
normal and hemorrhage)
increased UA-RI
for GA
Manogura (2008)49 Prosp 404 AC < 5th percentile for Unreported§ MCA-PI/UA-PI < 1 week NEC
(Multinational‡) GA and increased > 2 SD below
UA Doppler indices mean for GA
Cruz-Martı́nez (2011)50 Prosp 210 EFW < 10th percentile > 37 MCA-PI/UA-PI ∼48 h CD for NRFS, neonatal metabolic
(Spain) for GA < 5th percentile acidosis (UA pH < 7.15 and base
for GA excess > 12 mEq/L)

Continued over
Conde-Agudelo et al.

Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.


Table 1 Continued

GA at diagnosis
Definition of of suspected Abnormal test Interval between
Study (country) Design n suspected FGR FGR (weeks) result definition CPR and delivery Reference standard outcome
51
Fu (2011) Prosp 126 EFW below GA-adjusted ≥ 36 MCA-PI/UA-PI Median, ≤ 1 day; CD, 5-min Apgar score < 7, umbilical
(Sweden) mean value minus 2 SD < 1.08 range, 0–21 days cord arterial pH < 7.10 at birth,
(2.3rd percentile), or admission to NICU, positive oxytocin
fall of ≥ 10% weight challenge test
deviation from mean
weight between two
ultrasound
examinations
Marsoosi (2012)52 Prosp 43 EFW or AC < 10th Range, 23–40; MCA-PI/UA-PI Range, 1–30 days Perinatal death, IVH
(Iran) percentile for GA median, 31 < 1.08 and
and UA-PI and MCA-RI/
UA-RI > 2 SD above UA-RI < 1.0
mean for GA
Odibo (2014)53 Prosp 66 EFW < 10th percentile Range, 26–36; MCA-PI/UA-PI Adverse perinatal outcome (any of:
CPR predicts perinatal death in suspected FGR

≤ 1 week
(USA) for GA and mean, 31.1 < 1.08 perinatal death, 5-min Apgar
abnormal UA score < 3, cord arterial pH < 7.2,
Doppler (PI >95th seizures, NEC, grade 3 or 4 IVH,

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.


percentile for GA or PVL)
absent/reversed
end-diastolic flow)
Lobmaier (2014)54 Prosp 198 EFW < 10th percentile Median, 34.0; MCA-PI/UA-PI 2–3 weeks Adverse perinatal outcome (operative
(Spain) for GA IQR, < 5th percentile delivery for NRFS or neonatal
32.9–36.3 metabolic acidosis (UA pH < 7.15
and base excess > 12 mEq/L))
Spinillo (2014)55 Prosp 176 AC < 10th percentile Mean, 32.6 and MCA-PI/UA-PI Mean, 21.5 and Perinatal death, mechanical ventilation,
(Italy) for GA on at least 30.6 in ≤10th percentile 17.7 days in normal neonatal brain lesion (severe IVH or
two consecutive normal and and abnormal CPR cystic PVL), CD
measurements, abnormal groups, respectively
2 weeks apart CPR groups,
respectively
Flood (2014)56 Prosp 881 EFW < 10th percentile Range, 24–36; MCA-PI/UA-PI Mean, 7 days; IQR, Adverse perinatal outcome (any of:
(Ireland) for GA mean, 30.1 and MCA-RI/ 2–15 days IVH, PVL, hypoxic ischemic
UA-RI < 1.0, encephalopathy, NEC, BPD, sepsis,
< 1.08, and death), admission to NICU, perinatal
< 5th percentile death
for GA
Crimmins (2015)57 Retro 192 EFW < 10th percentile > 32 MCA-PI/UA-PI ≤ 7 days Adverse perinatal outcome (arterial
(USA) for GA > 2 SD below pH < 7.0, base excess > −12 mEq/L
mean for GA or fetal death)
Babic (2015)58 Prosp 88 EFW < 10th percentile < 34 and ≥ 34 MCA-PI/UA-PI Median, 11.5 and Adverse perinatal outcome (any of: CD
(Canada) for GA < 5th percentile 14 days in normal for NRFS, 5-min Apgar score < 7,
and abnormal CPR NICU admission, perinatal death) and
groups, respectively its individual components, NICU stay

Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.


435

> 24 h

Continued over
Table 1 Continued
436

GA at diagnosis
Definition of of suspected Abnormal test Interval between
Study (country) Design n suspected FGR FGR (weeks) result definition CPR and delivery Reference standard outcome
59 th
Figueras (2015) Prosp 509 EFW < 10 percentile > 32 MCA-PI/UA-PI ≤ 7 days Adverse perinatal outcome (CD for
(Spain) for GA < 10th percentile NRFS or neonatal metabolic acidosis
(UA pH < 7.15 and base excess
> −12 mEq/L)) and its individual
components, admission to NICU,
5-min Apgar score < 7, SGA at birth
Regan (2015)60 Retro 270 EFW < 10th percentile Mean, 31.2 and MCA-PI/UA-PI Mean, 5.7 and Adverse perinatal outcome (any of:
(USA) and/or AC < 5th 27.1 in ≤ 1.08 3.6 weeks in normal NICU admission, 5-min Apgar
percentile for GA normal and and abnormal CPR score < 5, UA pH < 7.10, meconium
abnormal groups, respectively passage, perinatal death), NICU
CPR groups, admission, perinatal death, CD for
respectively NRFS
Warshak (2015)61 Retro 154 EFW < 10th percentile < 32 MCA-PI/UA-PI Mean, 9.0 and Adverse perinatal outcome (any of:
(USA) and/or AC < 5th ≤ 1.08 4.0 weeks in normal NICU admission, 5-min Apgar
percentile for GA and abnormal CPR score < 5, UA pH < 7.10, meconium
groups, respectively passage, perinatal death), CD for
NRFS

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.


Garcia-Simon (2015)62 Prosp 164 EFW < 10th percentile > 37 MCA-PI/UA-PI ∼48 h Adverse perinatal outcome (CD for fetal
(Spain) for GA < 5th percentile distress, neonatal metabolic acidosis
for GA (UA pH < 7.15 and base excess
> −12 mEq/L)) and its individual
components, CD, admission to NICU
Starčević (2016)63 Prosp 60 EFW < 10th percentile > 34 MCA-RI/UA-RI Unreported Neonatal brain lesion (PVL or peri/IVH)
(Croatia) for GA and increased ≤ 1.0 and ≤ 1.13 within 7 days after birth, and
UA-RI for GA abnormal functional neurological
status (as assessed by ATNAT
instrument) within 48 h of birth
Sirico (2018)64 Retro 310 EFW < 10th percentile Median, 37.3; Unreported Median, 4.2 days; IQR, UA pH < 7.1, 5-min Apgar score < 7,
(Germany) for GA IQR, 2.1–14.7 days pathological cardiotocograph trace,
35.4–39.0 presence of meconium-stained
amniotic fluid

Only first author of each study is given. *Median gestational age (GA) at delivery, 30 (range, 24–39) weeks. †GA at delivery, 31–40 weeks. ‡USA, Germany and UK. §Median GA at delivery, 31.2
(range, 24–36) weeks. AC, abdominal circumference; ATNAT, Amiel–Tison Neurological Assessment at Term; BPD, bronchopulmonary dysplasia; CD, Cesarean delivery; EFW, estimated fetal
weight; IQR, interquartile range; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; MCA, middle cerebral artery; NEC, necrotizing enterocolitis; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; NRFS, non-reassuring fetal
status; PI, pulsatility index; Prosp, prospective; PVL, periventricular leukomalacia; RDS, respiratory distress syndrome; Retro, retrospective; RI, resistance index; S/D, systolic/diastolic; UA, umbilical
artery.
Conde-Agudelo et al.

Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.


CPR predicts perinatal death in suspected FGR 437

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Study design
Description of the test
Selection of test cut-off value
Blinding of clinicians to test result
Inclusion of participants in the analysis
Use of interventions based on test results

Figure 2 Risk of bias of included studies reporting on prediction of adverse perinatal outcome by cerebroplacental ratio in singleton
pregnancy with fetal growth restriction suspected antenatally, according to Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2)
tool. Only first author of each study is given. , low risk of bias; , high risk of bias; , unclear risk of bias.

1.0 estimated pretest probabilities and summary positive and


negative LRs, we calculated that an abnormal CPR result
0.9 would increase the pretest probability of the composite
of adverse perinatal outcomes, perinatal death and SGA
0.8
at birth from 25% to 45%, 2% to 7.4% and 90% to
0.7 98.5%, respectively, whereas a normal CPR result would
decrease the pretest probability to 17%, 0.2% and 84%,
0.6 respectively.
Sensitivity

Visual assessment of both forest plots (Figure S1) and


0.5
summary ROC curves (Figure 3) suggested substantial
0.4
between-study heterogeneity, mainly for perinatal death,
any composite of adverse perinatal outcomes, Cesarean
0.3 delivery for non-reassuring fetal status and admission to
the NICU. Meta-regression analyses showed that none of
0.2 the prespecified covariates explained the heterogeneity
(Table S1). Sensitivity analyses revealed that pooled
0.1
predictive accuracy estimates obtained from studies with
0
low risk of bias in ≥ 5 domains did not differ significantly
1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 from those obtained in the overall analysis (data not
Specificity shown). The funnel plot of the meta-analysis that included
at least 10 studies showed no significant asymmetry
Figure 3 Summary receiver–operating characteristics curves of (Deeks’ test P = 0.19).
cerebroplacental ratio for predicting composite of adverse perinatal
outcomes ( , ), perinatal death ( , ), Cesarean delivery
for non-reassuring fetal status ( , ), admission to neonatal
Subgroup analyses
intensive care unit ( , ), 5-min Apgar score < 7 ( , ) and
neonatal acidosis ( , ) in singleton pregnancies with fetal
Subgroup analyses of the accuracy of CPR to predict any
growth restriction suspected antenatally.
composite of adverse perinatal outcomes are depicted
in Table 3. CPR had a significantly higher predictive
ventilation, with summary positive and negative LRs that accuracy for any composite of adverse perinatal outcomes
varied between 1.1 and 2.5, and 0.3 and 0.9, respectively. among pregnancies with suspected early-onset FGR than
An abnormal CPR result had moderate accuracy for among those with suspected late-onset FGR. Moreover,
predicting SGA at birth (summary positive LR of 7.4; the accuracy of CPR for predicting any composite
two studies including 554 fetuses). Based on all included of adverse perinatal outcomes was lower when using
studies, we estimated that fetuses with suspected growth MCA-PI/UA-PI < 5th percentile as the definition of an
restriction had a prevalence rate (pretest probability) of abnormal result compared with other definitions, and
25% for the composite of adverse perinatal outcomes, when the CPR results were used to manage pregnancies
2.0% for perinatal death and 90% for SGA at birth compared with when they were not. There were no dif-
(birth weight < 10th percentile for GA). Then, based on ferences in the predictive ability of CPR between studies

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
438 Conde-Agudelo et al.

Table 2 Accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio for predicting adverse perinatal outcome in singleton pregnancy with fetal growth restriction
suspected antenatally

Pooled Pooled
sensitivity specificity LR+ LR−
Outcome Studies (n) Women (n) (% (95% CI)) (% (95% CI)) (95% CI) (95% CI)

Perinatal death 645,52,55,56,58,60 1495 93 (78–98) 76 (74–78) 3.9 (3.4–4.5) 0.09 (0.0–0.3)
Any composite of 1143,44,47,53,54,56–60,62 2658 57 (53–61) 77 (75–79) 2.5 (2.3–2.8) 0.6 (0.5–0.6)
adverse perinatal
outcomes
CD for NRFS 743,45,50,58–60,62 1339 59 (54–64) 74 (72–77) 2.3 (2.0–2.6) 0.6 (0.5–0.6)
5-min Apgar score < 7 643,44,51,58,59,64 1148 54 (42–66) 72 (69–74) 1.9 (1.5–2.4) 0.6 (0.5–0.8)
Admission to NICU 943–45,51,56,58–60,62 2206 45 (41–49) 79 (77–81) 2.2 (1.9–2.5) 0.7 (0.6–0.8)
Neonatal acidosis 550,51,59,62,64 1283 48 (38–58) 70 (68–73) 1.6 (1.3–2.0) 0.7 (0.6–0.9)
Neonatal brain lesion 545,48,52,55,63 352 56 (43–67) 48 (43–54) 1.1 (0.8–1.4) 0.9 (0.7–1.2)
Neonatal morbidity 443,45,46,49 547 78 (67–86) 33 (29–37) 1.2 (1.0–1.3) 0.7 (0.4–1.1)
other than brain
lesion
Use of mechanical 155 176 90 (77–96) 39 (31–47) 1.5 (1.2–1.7) 0.3 (0.1–0.7)
ventilation
SGA at birth* 243,59 554 43 (39–47) 94 (84–98) 7.4 (2.5–22.4) 0.6 (0.5–0.7)

*Birth weight < 10th percentile. CD, Cesarean delivery; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; NRFS, non-reassuring fetal status; LR−,
negative likelihood ratio; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; SGA, small-for-gestational age.

Table 3 Subgroup analyses of predictive accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) for any composite of adverse perinatal outcome in
singleton pregnancy with fetal growth restriction (FGR) suspected antenatally

Pooled Pooled
Women sensitivity specificity LR+ LR−
Subgroup Studies (n) (n) (% (95% CI)) (% (95% CI)) (95% CI) (95% CI)

All studies 1143,44,47,53,54,56–60,62 2658 57 (53–61) 77 (75–79) 2.5 (2.3–2.8) 0.6 (0.5–0.6)
Onset of FGR
Early (< 32 or < 34 weeks 347,56,61 784 64 (56–71) 85 (82–88) 4.2 (3.4–5.3) 0.4 (0.3–0.5)
at diagnosis or delivery)
Late (≥ 32 or ≥ 34 weeks at 647,54,56,57,59,62 1915 56 (51–61) 76 (74–78) 2.3 (2.0–2.6) 0.6 (0.5–0.7)
diagnosis or delivery)
Definition of abnormal CPR
MCA-PI/UA-PI ≤ 1.08 543,47,53,56,60 1445 59 (52–65) 81 (79–83) 3.1 (2.7–3.6) 0.5 (0.4–0.6)
MCA-PI/UA-PI < 5th percentile 454,56,58,62 1323 63 (56–69) 62 (59–65) 1.7 (1.5–1.9) 0.6 (0.5–0.7)
MCA-RI/UA-RI < 1 or < 1.05 244,56 942 63 (53–73) 84 (81–86) 3.9 (3.1–4.8) 0.4 (0.3–0.6)
Interval from CPR to delivery
≤ 7 days 553,56,57,59,62 1812 62 (56–67) 76 (73–78) 2.5 (2.2–2.9) 0.5 (0.4–0.6)
> 7 days 544,47,54,58,60 801 53 (47–58) 82 (78–85) 2.9 (2.4–3.6) 0.6 (0.5–0.7)
Definition of suspected FGR
based on:
Only EFW < 10th percentile 844,47,54,56–59,62 2277 60 (56–65) 75 (73–77) 2.4 (2.2–2.7) 0.5 (0.5–0.6)
for GA
EFW < 10th percentile for GA 153 66 59 (36–78) 76 (62–85) 2.4 (1.3–4.5) 0.5 (0.3–1.0)
and abnormal UA Doppler
Management of pregnancy
Not using CPR results 943,44,47,53,56,58–60,62 2268 58 (54–62) 80 (78–82) 2.9 (2.5–3.2) 0.5 (0.5–0.6)
Using CPR results 154 198 49 (38–61) 74 (66–81) 1.9 (1.3–2.8) 0.7 (0.5–0.9)
Low risk of bias in 643,53,56,58,59,62 1745 61 (56–66) 78 (76–80) 2.8 (2.5–3.2) 0.5 (0.4–0.6)
≥ 5 domains

EFW, estimated fetal weight; GA, gestational age; LR−, negative likelihood ratio; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; MCA, middle cerebral
artery; PI, pulsatility index; RI, resistance index; UA, umbilical artery.

in which the interval from CPR measurement to delivery DISCUSSION


was ≤ 7 days and those in which it was > 7 days, and
Main findings
between studies using EFW < 10th percentile for GA as the
definition of suspected FGR and those using EFW < 10th The results of this systematic review indicate that CPR
percentile for GA and abnormal UA Doppler as the has moderate-to-high predictive accuracy for perinatal
definition. death, the most important outcome measure in relation to

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
CPR predicts perinatal death in suspected FGR 439

uteroplacental insufficiency in suspected FGR. In partic- including subgroup and sensitivity analyses; and (8)
ular, a normal CPR result had high accuracy to identify exploration of potential sources of heterogeneity.
which fetuses with suspected growth restriction are at low Limitations include lack of blinding to CPR results or
risk of dying in the perinatal period, decreasing the pretest omission of information on this subject in approximately
probability of perinatal death from 2% to 0.2%. Overall, two-thirds of the included studies. Although most studies
CPR had low predictive accuracy for the other adverse reported that the CPR results were not used to manage
perinatal outcomes considered, several of which are less pregnancies with suspected FGR, it is possible that
well correlated with uteroplacental insufficiency in sus- women with an abnormal CPR result were followed
pected FGR. Notwithstanding, the presence of an abnor- up more closely or received interventions, which could
mal CPR result increased the pretest probability of adverse have introduced bias in the assessment of the test’s
perinatal outcome from 25% to 45%. In addition, sub- predictive accuracy. However, sensitivity analyses that
group analyses suggest that the predictive accuracy of CPR were restricted to studies at low risk of blinding bias
is higher in pregnancies with suspected early-onset FGR showed no significant differences in the results obtained
and when MCA-PI/UA-PI ≤ 1.08 or MCA-RI/UA-RI < 1 in overall meta-analyses.
or < 1.05 is used as the definition of abnormal CPR. There were considerable differences among stud-
Previously, it has been suggested that CPR is a stronger ies in the definition of suspected FGR and Doppler
predictor of adverse perinatal outcome in suspected indices/cut-off values used for defining abnormal CPR,
late-onset FGR than in suspected early-onset FGR23,25–27 . which limit the generalizability of our findings. More-
Unexpectedly, our subgroup analysis showed the oppo- over, prespecified variables did not explain the substantial
site; there was a higher predictive accuracy for heterogeneity and, therefore, pooled estimates of predic-
adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies with suspected tive accuracy should be interpreted cautiously. Finally, the
early-onset FGR. Usually, suspected late-onset FGR is statistical power of some of our meta-analyses was limited
characterized by abnormal Doppler indices involving the by the small number of studies within each subgroup and
MCA, with normal or minimally elevated resistance in the relatively small number of outcome events in some
the UA22 . In contrast, suspected early-onset FGR is char- included studies.
acterized by abnormal Doppler indices of both the UA
and MCA22 . Abnormality in both vessels being included
Interpretation in light of previous systematic reviews
in the calculation of CPR, in particular high values of
UA Doppler indices, could explain the better predictive We identified three systematic reviews on the predictive
accuracy of CPR in suspected early-onset FGR in com- accuracy of CPR for adverse perinatal outcome70–72 .
parison with suspected late-onset FGR in which there are Nassr et al.70 included seven studies, and reported
abnormal indices in only one vessel. that abnormal CPR in pregnancies at high risk for
It is noteworthy that no included study provided data FGR or with a diagnosis of FGR increased the risk
to assess the predictive ability of CPR for adverse neuro- for adverse perinatal outcome. Summary ROC curves
developmental outcome in pregnancies with suspected showed that CPR had a better predictive accuracy
FGR. A secondary analysis of the TRUFFLE study65 for neonatal complications and NICU admission. Dunn
reported that CPR was not associated with neurodevelop- et al.71 reported that CPR was predictive of Cesarean
mental impairment at 2 years’ corrected age in fetuses with section for intrapartum fetal compromise, SGA and
suspected early-onset growth restriction66 . Two studies NICU admission in pregnancies at term. These reviews
reported similar results for decreased MCA-PI in sus- did not report pooled estimates of predictive accuracy.
pected FGR67,68 . A systematic review reported that SGA Finally, Vollgraff Heidweiller-Schreurs et al.72 assessed
or growth-restricted fetuses with cerebral redistribution the accuracy of CPR to predict adverse perinatal outcome
may be at higher risk of adverse neurodevelopmental in singleton pregnancies of all risk profiles. CPR was
outcome69 . However, none of the studies included in this significantly superior to UA and MCA Doppler in
review used CPR for defining cerebral redistribution. predicting a composite of adverse perinatal outcomes
and emergency delivery for fetal distress. No differences
Strengths and limitations were found between CPR and either UA Doppler or MCA
Doppler in the prediction of perinatal death, low Apgar
The reliability and robustness of our systematic review score or NICU admission. Overall, our estimates of the
are supported by: (1) adherence to guidelines for predictive accuracy of CPR for adverse perinatal outcome
the conduct and reporting of systematic reviews of among pregnancies with suspected FGR were lower than
predictive test accuracy; (2) use of a prospective protocol those reported in this review among pregnancies of all
designed to address a highly specific research question; risk profiles.
(3) comprehensive literature search without language CPR has been hypothesized to be a more accurate
restrictions; (4) inclusion of a relatively large number test for predicting adverse perinatal outcome than its
of studies, mostly published in recent years; (5) strict individual components, UA and MCA Doppler. When
study quality assessment; (6) quantitative synthesis of the comparing the estimates obtained in our study with
evidence; (7) use of contemporary statistical methods those reported in two meta-analyses that assessed the
to obtain summary measures of predictive accuracy accuracy of UA73 and MCA74 Doppler to predict adverse

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
440 Conde-Agudelo et al.

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SUPPORTING INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET

The following supporting information may be found in the online version of this article:
Appendix S1 Search strategy for studies on predictive accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio for adverse perinatal
and neurodevelopmental outcomes in suspected fetal growth restriction
Appendix S2 Assessment of risk of bias in included studies
Table S1 Metaregression analyses to identify sources of between-study heterogeneity in meta-analyses of
predictive accuracy of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) for adverse perinatal outcome in singleton pregnancy with
fetal growth restriction suspected antenatally
Figure S1 Forest plots of cerebroplacental ratio to predict adverse perinatal outcome in suspected fetal growth
restriction.

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2018; 52: 430–441
Published online 6 September 2018 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com). DOI: 10.1002/uog.19117

Precisi ón en la predicci ón de la relaci ón cerebroplacentaria para los resultados adversos perina-
tales y del desarrollo neurol ógico en embarazos con sospecha de restricci ón del crecimiento fetal:
revisi ón sistem ática y metaan álisis
RESUMEN
Objetivo La relación cerebroplacentaria (RCP) se ha propuesto como el método para vigilar de forma sistemática
los embarazos con sospecha de restricción del crecimiento fetal (RCF), pero el rendimiento predictivo de esta prueba
es incierto. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar la precisión de la RCP para predecir los resultados adversos
perinatales y del desarrollo neurológico en casos con sospecha de RCF.
Métodos Se realizaron búsquedas en PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL y Lilacs desde su inicio hasta el 31 de julio de 2017,
en busca de estudios de cohortes o transversales que informasen sobre la precisión de la RCP para predecir resultados
adversos perinatales y/o del desarrollo neurológico en embarazos únicos con sospecha prenatal de RCF, a partir de
parámetros ecográficos. Se generaron curvas resumen de las caracterı́sticas operativas del receptor (ROC, por sus siglas
en inglés), de las sensibilidades y especificidades combinadas, y de los cocientes de verosimilitud (LRs).
Resultados Veintidós estudios (4 301 mujeres) cumplieron los criterios de inclusión. Las curvas resumen ROC mostraron
que la mejor precisión predictiva de la RCP fue para la muerte perinatal y la peor fue para la acidosis neonatal, con áreas
por debajo de las curvas resumen ROC de 0,83 y 0,57, respectivamente. La precisión predictiva de la RCP fue entre
moderada a alta para la muerte perinatal (sensibilidad y especificidad combinadas del 93% y el 76%, respectivamente, y
LRs positivos y negativos resumen del 3,9 y 0,09, respectivamente) y baja para la combinación de resultados perinatales
adversos, cesárea por riesgo de pérdida de bienestar fetal, puntuación de Apgar a los 5 minutos <7, ingreso a la unidad
de cuidados intensivos para neonatos, acidosis neonatal y morbilidad neonatal, con un resumen de LRs positivos y
negativos de 1,1 a 2,5 y de 0,3 a 0,9, respectivamente. Un resultado anómalo de RCP tuvo una precisión moderada
para predecir los nacimientos pequeños para la edad gestacional (resumen LR positivo 7,4). La RCP tuvo una mayor
precisión predictiva en los embarazos con sospecha de RCF de aparición temprana. Ningún estudio proporcionó datos
para evaluar la precisión predictiva de la RCP para resultados adversos del desarrollo neurológico.
Conclusión La RCP parece ser útil para predecir la muerte perinatal en embarazos con sospecha de RCF. Sin embargo,
antes de incorporar la RCP en el tratamiento clı́nico habitual de casos con sospecha de RCF, se deberı́a evaluar
mediante ensayos controlados aleatorizados si el uso de la RCP reduce la muerte perinatal u otros resultados perinatales
adversos.

Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW

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