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COT 2-Simple Probability
COT 2-Simple Probability
I.OBJECTIVES
The learners are able to demonstrate understanding of the
A. Content Standards
key concepts of simple probability.
The learners are able to solve the probability of simple
B. Performance Standards
events and form conclusions using probability line.
C. Learning Illustrate and solve the probability of simple events using
Competencies/Objectives the probability formula. ( M7SP-IIIf-1)
Write the LC code for each
II. CONTENT SIMPLE PROBABILITY (Statistics)
III. LEARNING RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide Pages 285-288
2. Learner’s Material Pages 328-329
3. Textbook Pages
http:///lrmds.deped.lpossibilities%20and
4. Additional Material from
Learning Resource Portal
%20probabilities.pdf
www.sparknotes.com/math/algebra1/probability/section1/
Advance Algebra, Trigonometry and Statistics
5. Other Learning Materials
By: Soledad Jose- Dilao et.al.
6. Contextualization/Localizatio
n
IV. PROCEDURES
Integration of literacy, PE, Science, and Real Life Situations
Lesson Presentation through a drill/game.
Instruction: Use the following signals to respond to the
prompts.
Certain: stand
Likely: clap
Unlikely: jump
Impossible: sit
Prompts:
A. Reviewing previous lesson or All people will die.
presenting the new lesson A dog will walk into the classroom.
ELICIT A dog will give birth to a cat.
You will have recess tomorrow.
A woman will have twins.
Finding a person capable of running 500km per
second.
The event that it will snow in the Philippines.
Someone from your family will be sick tomorrow.
It will be daylight in Manila at midnight.
At least 30 students from your class is present
tomorrow.
Reflect on the class responses.
Ask students how they landed at their prediction. What
B. Establishing a purpose for
factors did they consider?
the lesson
C. Presenting examples/
instances of the new lesson Explain that one area of Mathematics that they likely don’t
ENGAGE know much about is called probability. It is the science of
predicting the future based on possible outcomes and past
events.
Simple Probability- are those events where there is
occurrence of a single event (events where one experiment
happens at a time and it will be having a single outcome).
The probability of single events can be calculated as the
ratio of number of favorable events and a number of sample
space:
n ( s ) number of ways the event can occur
D. Discussing new concepts and P ( E )= or
n ( S ) number of all possible outcomes
practicing new skills #1
E. Discussing new concepts and P ( E )= n( s) ∗100
practicing new skills #2 n(S)
EXPLORE
Probability Line
\ \ \ \ \
Impossible Unlikely Fair Event Likely Certain
0 0.5 1
0% 50% 100%
Group activity:
Students will be grouped into two.
Instruction: Construct a real life scenario where you can
extensively use and apply probability within and across
other learning areas.
G. Finding practical applications Group 1: Science
of concepts and skills in daily Group 2: MAPEH- Recreational Activities
living (Output Presentation)
H. Making generalization and
abstractions about the lesson Guide questions for Generalization
ELABORATE
What is simple probability?
How to solve for the probability of simple events?
What are the five division of the probability line?
How you can use your knowledge about probability
in forming conclusions and making wise decisions?
I. Evaluating Learning Short quiz
EVALUATION Directions: Solve for the probability of the following event
and determine the likelihood that it will happen using the
probability line. Write only the letter of the correct answer
on the space provided before each number.
Probability Line
A B C D E
\ \ \ \ \
Impossible Unlikely Fair Event Likely Certain
0 0.5 1
0% 50% 100%
VI. REFLECTION
K. No. of learners who earned
80% in the evaluation.
L. No. of learners who require
additional activities for
remediation
M. Did the remedial lesson
work? No. of learners who
have caught up with the
lesson.
N. No. of learners who continue
to require remediation.
O. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well? Why
did these work?
P. What difficulties did I
encounter which my principal
or supervisor can help me
solve?
Q. What innovation or localized
materials did I use/discover
which I wish to share with
other teachers?