Contoh Soal Gumbel & Log Pearson

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No Tahun mm No X Log X

1 1998 85 1 52 1.716
2 1999 92 2 69 1.839
3 2000 115 3 85 1.929
4 2001 116 4 92 1.964
5 2002 122 5 95 1.978
6 2003 52 6 96 1.982
7 2004 69 7 105 2.021
8 2005 95 8 115 2.061
9 2006 96 9 116 2.064
10 2007 105 10 122 2.086
Jumlah 19.641
Rerata 1.964
52 S 0.114
69 Cs -1.256
85
92
95
96 Kala Pr
Cs
105 ulang (%)
115 5 20 -1.256
116 10 10 -1.256
122 25 4 -1.256
50 2 -1.256

Cs
-1.2 -1.3 -1.256
5 0.844 0.838 0.841
10 1.086 1.064 1.074
25 1.282 1.24 1.258
50 1.379 1.324 1.348
Peluang % Log X- Log Xrt (Log X- Log Xrt)2 (Log X- Log Xrt)3

9.091 -0.248 0.062 -0.015


18.182 -0.125 0.016 -0.002
27.273 -0.035 0.001 0.000
36.364 0.000 0.000 0.000
45.455 0.014 0.000 0.000
54.545 0.018 0.000 0.000
63.636 0.057 0.003 0.000
72.727 0.097 0.009 0.001
81.818 0.100 0.010 0.001
90.909 0.122 0.015 0.002
0.117 -0.013

G Log Xrt S Log X X(mm)

0.841 1.964 0.114 2.060 114.748


1.074 1.964 0.114 2.086 121.971
1.258 1.964 0.114 2.107 128.020
1.348 1.964 0.114 2.117 131.063
Hujan maksimum (x-X)^3
Tahun
(m3/dt)
1 1998 85 -912.67
2 1999 92 -19.68
3 2000 115 8365.43
4 2001 116 9663.60
5 2002 122 20346.42
6 2003 52 -77854.48
7 2004 69 -16974.59
8 2005 95 0.03
9 2006 96 2.20
10 2007 105 1092.73
Q rerata 94.7 -56291.04
s 21.87 27104.65
Yn 0.4952
Sn 0.9497

Kala ulang (Tr) YT X atau Q


5 1.500 117.84
10 2.250 135.12
25 3.199 156.95
50 3.902 173.15

Rekap Hujan Rancangan


Kala ulang (Tr) Metode Gumbel Metode Log pearson
Tipe III
5 117.84 114.75
10 135.12 121.97
25 156.95 128.02
50 173.15 131.06
Skew 1.0101 1.053 1.1111 1.25 2 5 10 25
Coef. Percent Change
(Cs) 99 95 90 80 4
50 20 10
3.0 -0.667 -0.665 -0.66 -0.636 -0.396 0.42 1.18 2.278
2.9 -0.69 -0.688 -0.681 -0.651 -0.39 0.44 1.196 2.277
2.8 -0.714 -0.711 -0.702 -0.666 -0.384 0.46 1.21 2.275
2.7 -0.74 -0.736 -0.724 -0.681 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272
2.6 -0.769 -0.762 -0.747 -0.695 -0.368 0.499 1.238 2.267
2.5 -0.799 -0.79 -0.771 -0.711 -0.36 0.518 1.25 2.262
2.4 -0.832 -0.819 -0.795 -0.725 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256
2.3 -0.867 -0.85 -0.819 -0.739 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248
2.2 -0.905 -0.882 -0.844 -0.752 -0.33 0.574 1.284 2.24
2.1 -0.946 -0.914 -0.869 -0.765 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.23
2.0 -0.99 -0.949 -0.896 -0.777 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219
1.9 -1.037 -0.984 -0.92 -0.788 -0.294 0.627 1.31 2.207
1.8 -1.087 -1.02 -0.945 -0.799 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193
1.7 -1.14 -1.056 -0.97 -0.808 -0.268 0.66 1.324 2.179
1.6 -1.197 -1.093 -0.994 -0.817 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163
1.5 -1.256 -1.131 -1.018 -0.825 -0.24 0.69 1.333 2.146
1.4 -1.318 -1.163 -1.041 -0.832 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128
1.3 -1.388 -1.206 -1.064 -0.838 -0.21 0.719 1.339 2.108
1.2 -1.449 -1.243 -1.086 -0.844 -0.195 0.732 1.34 2.087
1.1 -1.518 -1.28 -1.107 -0.848 -0.18 0.745 1.341 2.066
1.0 -1.588 -1.317 -1.128 -0.852 -0.164 0.758 1.34 2.043
0.9 -1.66 -1.353 -1.147 -0.854 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018
0.8 -1.733 -1.388 -1.166 -0.856 -0.132 0.78 1.336 1.993
0.7 -1.806 -1.423 -1.183 -0.857 -0.116 0.79 1.333 1.967
0.6 -1.88 -1.458 -1.2 -0.857 -0.099 0.8 1.328 1.939
0.5 -1.965 -1.491 -1.216 -0.856 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.91
0.4 -2.029 -1.524 -1.231 -0.855 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.88
0.3 -2.104 -1.555 -1.245 -0.853 -0.05 0.824 1.309 1.849
0.2 -2.175 -1.586 -1.258 -0.85 -0.033 0.83 1.301 1.818
0.1 -2.225 -1.616 -1.27 -0.846 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785
0 -2.326 -1.645 -1.282 -0.842 0 0.842 1.282 1.751
Skew 1.0101 1.0526 1.1111 1.25 2 5 10 25
Coef. Percent Change
(Cs) 99 95 90 80 4
50 20 10
0 -2.336 -1.645 -1.282 -0.824 0 0.842 1.282 1.75
-0.1 -2.4 -1.673 -1.292 -0.836 0.017 0.846 1.27 1.716
-0.2 -2.472 -1.7 -1.301 -0.83 0.033 0.85 1.258 1.68
-0.3 -2.544 -1.762 -1.309 -0.824 0.05 0.853 1.245 0.163
-0.4 -2.615 -1.75 -1.317 -0.816 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606
-0.5 -2.686 -1.774 -1.323 -0.808 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567
-0.6 -2.755 -1.797 -1.328 -0.8 0.099 0.857 1.2 1.528
-0.7 -2.824 -1.819 -1.333 -0.79 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488
-0.8 -2.891 -1.839 -1.336 -0.78 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.484
-0.9 -2.957 -1.858 -1.339 -0.769 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407
-1.0 -3.022 -1.877 -1.34 -0.758 0.164 0.852 1.108 1.366
-1.1 -3.087 -1.894 -1.341 -0.745 0.18 0.848 1.107 1.324
-1.2 -3.149 -1.91 -1.34 -0.732 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282
-1.3 -3.211 -1.925 -1.339 -0.719 0.21 0.838 1.064 1.24
-1.4 -3.271 -1.938 -1.337 -0.705 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.196
-1.5 -3.33 -1.961 -1.333 -0.69 0.24 0.825 1.018 1.157
-1.6 -3.388 -1.962 -1.329 -0.675 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116
-1.7 -3.444 -1.972 -1.324 -0.66 0.268 0.808 0.97 1.075
-1.8 -3.499 -1.981 -1.318 -0.643 0.282 0.799 0.945 1.035
-1.9 -3.533 -1.989 -1.31 -0.627 0.294 0.788 0.92 0.996
-2.0 -3.605 -1.996 -1.302 -0.609 0.307 0.777 0.895 0.969
-2.1 -3.656 -2.001 -1.294 -0.592 0.319 0.765 0.869 0.923
-2.2 -3.705 -2.006 -1.284 -0.574 0.33 0.732 0.849 0.888
-2.3 -3.753 -2.009 -1.274 -0.555 0.341 0.739 0.819 0.855
-2.4 -3.8 -2.011 -1.262 -0.537 0.351 0.725 0.795 0.823
-2.5 -3.845 -2.012 -1.25 -0.518 0.36 0.711 0.771 0.793
-2.6 -3.889 -2.013 -1.238 -0.499 0.368 0.696 0.747 0.764
-2.7 -3.932 -2.011 -1.224 -0.479 0.376 0.681 0.724 0.738
-2.8 -3.973 -2.01 -1.21 -0.46 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712
-2.9 -4.013 -2.007 -1.195 -0.44 0.33 0.651 0.681 0.683
50 100 200

2 1 0.5

3.152 4.061 4.97


3.134 4.013 4.909
3.114 3.973 4.847
3.097 3.932 4.783
3.071 3.889 4.718
3.048 3.845 4.652
3.029 3.8 4.584
2.997 3.753 4.515
2.97 3.705 4.454
2.942 3.656 4.372
2.912 3.605 4.298
2.881 3.553 4.223
2.848 3.499 4.147
2.815 3.444 4.069
2.78 3.388 3.99
2.745 3.33 3.91
2.706 3.271 3.828
2.666 3.211 3.745
2.626 3.149 3.661
2.585 3.087 3.575
2.542 3.022 3.489
2.498 2.967 3.401
2.453 2.891 3.312
2.407 2.824 3.223
2.359 2.755 3.123
2.311 2.686 3.041
2.261 2.615 2.949
2.211 2.544 2.856
2.159 2.472 2.763
2.107 2.4 2.67
2.064 2.064 2.576
50 100 200

2 1 0.5

2.054 2.326 2.576


2 2.252 2.482
1.945 2.178 2.388
1.89 2.104 2.294
1.834 2.029 2.201
1.777 1.955 2.108
1.72 1.88 2.016
1.633 1.8 1.936
1.608 1.733 1.837
1.549 1.66 1.749
1.492 1.588 1.664
1.435 1.518 1.581
1.379 1.449 1.501
1.324 1.383 1.424
1.27 1.316 1.351
1.217 1.256 1.282
1.168 1.197 1.216
1.116 1.14 1.155
1.069 1.087 1.097
1.023 1.037 1.044
0.98 0.99 0.995
0.939 0.346 0.949
0.9 0.905 0.907
0.864 0.867 0.869
0.83 0.832 0.833
0.796 0.799 0.8
0.767 0.769 0.769
0.74 0.74 0.741
0.714 0.734 0.714
0.689 0.69 0.69
n Yn Sn n Yn Sn n Yn
8 0.4843 0.9043 39 0.543 1.1388 70 0.5548
9 0.4902 0.9288 40 0.5436 1.1413 71 0.555
10 0.4952 0.9497 41 0.5442 1.1436 72 0.5552
11 0.4996 0.9676 42 0.5448 1.1458 73 0.5555
12 0.5035 0.9833 43 0.5453 1.148 74 0.5557
13 0.507 0.9972 44 0.5458 1.1499 75 0.5559
14 0.51 1.0095 45 0.5463 1.1519 76 0.5561
15 0.5128 1.0205 46 0.5486 1.1538 77 0.5563
16 0.5157 1.0316 47 0.5473 1.1557 78 0.5565
17 0.5181 1.0411 48 0.5477 1.1574 79 0.5567
18 0.5202 1.0493 49 0.5481 1.159 80 0.5569
19 0.522 1.0566 50 0.5485 1.1607 81 0.557
20 0.5235 1.0628 51 0.5489 1.1623 82 0.5572
21 0.5252 1.0696 52 0.5493 1.1638 83 0.5574
22 0.5268 1.0754 53 0.5497 1.1658 84 0.5576
23 0.5283 1.0811 54 0.5501 1.1667 85 0.5578
24 0.5296 1.0864 55 0.5504 1.1681 86 0.558
25 0.5309 1.0915 56 0.5508 1.1696 87 0.5581
26 0.532 1.0961 57 0.5511 1.1708 88 0.5583
27 0.5332 1.1004 58 0.5515 1.1721 89 0.5585
28 0.5343 1.1047 59 0.5518 1.1734 90 0.5586
29 0.5353 1.1086 60 0.5521 1.1747 91 0.5587
30 0.5362 1.1124 61 0.5524 1.1759 92 0.5589
31 0.5371 1.1159 62 0.5527 1.177 93 0.5591
32 0.538 1.1193 63 0.553 1.1782 94 0.5592
33 0.5388 1.1226 64 0.5533 1.1793 95 0.5593
34 0.5396 1.1255 65 0.5535 1.1803 96 0.5595
35 0.5402 1.1285 66 0.5538 1.1814 97 0.5595
36 0.541 1.1313 67 0.554 1.1824 98 0.5598
37 0.5418 1.1339 68 0.5543 1.1834 99 0.5559
38 0.5424 1.1363 69 0.5545 1.1844 100 0.56
Sn
1.1854
1.1863
1.1873
1.1881
1.189
1.1898
1.1906
1.1915
1.1923
1.193
1.1938
1.1945
1.1953
1.1959
1.1967
1.1973
1.198
1.1987
1.1994
1.2001
1.2007
1.2013
1.202
1.2026
1.2032
1.2038
1.2044
1.2049
1.2055
1.206
1.2065

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