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Lec 2 Merged
Lec 2 Merged
Introduction
Petroleum reservoir management is a dynamic process that recognizes the
uncertainties in reservoir performance resulting from our inability to fully
characterize reservoirs and flow processes. It seeks to mitigate the effects
of these uncertainties by optimizing reservoir performance through a
systematic application of integrated, multidisciplinary technologies. It
approaches reservoir operation and control as a system, rather than as a set
of disconnected functions. Reservoir management has advanced through
various stages in the past 30 years. The techniques are better, the
background knowledge of reservoir conditions has improved, and the
automation using mainframe computers and personal computers has helped
data processing and management.
reservoir management process consists of three stages:
1 .Reservoir description;
2 .Reservoir model argument;
3. Reservoir performance, well performance and field development
The primary objective in a reservoir management study is to determine the
optimum conditions needed to maximize the economic recovery of
hydrocarbons from a prudently operated field.
Reservoir
Engineer
Reservoir
Operations &
Facilities Management Geophysicist
Team
Production Drilling
Engineer Engineer
Economist
Fig. 1.2 Example of an integrated reservoir modeling of a slope channel system. (a) An integrated
display of the reservoir model, along with the 3D seismic data and geological and reservoir
properties. (b) Three cross sections of sand probability. (c) One layer of the 3D lithofacies model.
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Using Geostatistics in Modeling
Just decades ago, statistics was a narrow discipline, used mostly by
specialists. The explosion of data and advances in computation in the last
several decades have significantly increased the utilization of statistics in
science and engineering. Despite the progress of quantitative analysis of
geosciences, there is still a lack of using statistics in quantitative
multidisciplinary integration. Many geoscience problems are at the core of
statistical inference. Traditional probability and statistics are known for
their frequency interpretation and analysis. Most statistical parameters and
tools, such as mean, variance, histogram, and correlation, are defined using
frequentist probability theory. Geostatistics, a branch of spatial statistics,
concerns the characterization and modeling of spatial phenomena based on
the descriptions of spatial properties. The combination of using both
traditional statistics and geostatistics is critical for analyzing and modeling
reservoir properties. In big data, we are often overwhelmed by information.
In fact, what is important is not information itself, but the knowledge of
how to deal with information. Data analytics and integration of the
information are the keys. Data cannot speak for itself unless data analytics
is employed. In big data, everything tells us something, but nothing tells us
everything. We should not completely focus on computing capacities;
instead, we should pay more attention to data analytics, including queries
of data quality, correlation analysis of various data, causal inference, and
understanding the linkage between data and physical laws.
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Data Analytics 2
1
Fig. 2.1 Histogram of porosity from well logs in a fluvial sandstone reservoir
Mean
The mean has several variants, including arithmetic mean (the basic,
default connotation), geometric mean, and harmonic mean.
The arithmetic mean is defined as
1 𝑛
𝑚𝑎 = ∑ 𝑥𝑖
𝑛 𝑖=1
The geometric mean is defined as
𝑛 1⁄
𝑛
𝑚𝑔 = (∏ 𝑥𝑖 ) = 𝑛√𝑥1 𝑥2 . . . 𝑥𝑛
𝑖=1
The harmonic mean is defined as
𝑛
𝑚ℎ =
1 1 1
+ +. . .
𝑥1 𝑥2 𝑥𝑛
2
Weighted Mean/Average
The weighted mean is commonly used in geosciences and reservoir data
analyses. In weighted averaging, the mean is expressed as a linear
combination of data with weighting coefficients. Only the relative weights
are relevant in such a linear combination and the weighting coefficients
sum to one (termed a convex combination). The weighted mean of a dataset
of n values, xi, is
𝑤1 𝑥1 + 𝑤2 𝑥2 +. . . +𝑤𝑛 𝑥𝑛
𝑚𝑥 =
𝑤1 + 𝑤2 +. . . +𝑤𝑛
3
Fig. 2.2 (a) Uneven sampling scheme with 3 samples (can be a horizontal or vertical well, or any
1D sampling scheme). (b) Illustration of upscaling 4 grid cells into 1 large cell
Example:
Solution:
𝑳 × (𝟏/𝟐) 𝑳 × (𝟏/𝟔)
L
The sample of Vdolomite 0.1 should have a weight twice as much as the
weight for the sample of Vdolomit 0.9 in estimating the target fraction for
the map because it should represent not only the central area, but also the
western area as no sample is available there. Therefore, the following
weighted average should be used for estimating the target Vdolomite:
Let L = 1
1 1 1 1
0.1 × ( + ) + 0.9 × ( + )
2 6 6 6
2 1
→ 0.1 × + 0.9 × = 0.367.
3 3
4
Averaging Permeability Data
Consider the permeability distributions shown in Figure 2.3. Each
geometry requires a different expression to determine the average
permeability, as outlined below. For horizontal flow through layered
permeability, use the arithmetic average (also called the mean):
∑ 𝑘 𝑖 ℎ𝑖
𝑘𝑎𝑣𝑔 = 𝑘𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑡ℎ =
∑ ℎ𝑖
The unweighted arithmetic average permeability k is determined from:
∑ 𝑘𝑖
𝑘̅𝐴 =
𝑛
For vertical flow through layers, use the harmonic average:
∑ ℎ𝑖
𝑘𝑎𝑣𝑔 = 𝑘ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑖𝑐 =
∑ ℎ𝑖 /𝑘𝑖
The unweighted harmonic average permeability k is determined from:
𝑛
𝑘̅𝐻 =
1
∑𝑛𝑖=1( )
𝑘𝑖
For flow in any direction through a disorganized permeability distribution,
use the geometric average:
The above formula for 𝑘𝑔𝑒𝑜𝑚 is a simplified version of the full form, which
includes the volume 𝑉𝑖 of region 𝑖 and the total system volume 𝑉𝑡 :
𝑉 ⁄𝑉𝑡 𝑉2 ⁄𝑉𝑡 𝑉 ⁄𝑉𝑡
𝑘𝑎𝑣𝑔 = 𝑘𝑔𝑒𝑜𝑚 = 𝑘11 𝑘2 … 𝑘𝑛𝑛 .
For the same set of data, 𝑘ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑚 ≤ 𝑘𝑔𝑒𝑜𝑚 ≤ 𝑘𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑡ℎ , and they are equal only
in a homogeneous reservoir. These formulas apply for any scale of
heterogeneity. That is, the averages apply equally whether the
heterogeneities are in the form of cm-thick laminations, meter-scale beds,
or km-size regions
5
Fig. 2.3 Averaging permeability for different permeability distributions: (a) layered permeability and horizontal flow; (b)
layered permeability and vertical flow; (c) rando permeability. Case (c) assumes the regions are roughly equal in size.
𝜎𝑘2
𝑘𝑒 = (1 + ) × 𝑒 𝑘̅𝐺
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where 𝑘̅𝐺 is the geometric mean of the natural log of permeability, i.e.:
and 𝜎𝑘2 is the variance of the natural log of the permeability estimates:
2
∑𝑛𝑖=1(𝑙𝑛𝑘𝑖 − 𝑙𝑛𝑘̅)2
𝜎 =
𝑛−1
Where
∑ 𝑙𝑛𝑘𝑖
𝑙𝑛𝑘̅ =
𝑛
6
Example:
Solution:
1)
∑ 𝑘𝑖 120 + 213 + ⋯ + 117
𝑘̅𝐴 = = = 165 mD
𝑛 14
14
𝑘̅𝐺 = √𝑘1 𝑘2 … 𝑘𝑛 = √120 × 213 × … × 117 = 158.7 𝑚𝐷
𝑛
𝑛 14
𝑘̅𝐻 = = = 151.4 mD
1 1 1 1
∑𝑛𝑖=1( ) (120) + (213) + ⋯ + (117)
𝑘𝑖
∑ 𝑙𝑛𝑘𝑖 70.938
𝑙𝑛𝑘̅ = = = 5.067 𝑚𝐷
𝑛 14
2
∑𝑛𝑖=1(𝑙𝑛𝑘𝑖 − 𝑙𝑛𝑘̅)2 1.2171
𝜎 = = = 0.093623
𝑛−1 14 − 1