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Chapter 1
Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION
1. Sales Forecasting
Sales Forecasting is the process
of using a company’s sales records over the past years to predict the
short-term or long-term sales performance of that company in the
future. This is one of the pillars of proper financial planning. As with any
prediction-related process, risk and uncertainty are unavoidable in
Sales Forecasting too.
Hence, it’s considered a good practice for Sales forecasting teams to
mention the degree of uncertainties in their forecast. Sales Forecasting
is a globally-conducted corporate practice where a number of objectives
are identified, action-plans are chalked out as well as budgets and
resources are allotted to them.
The first step to proper Sales Forecasting is to know the things that fall
within your domain directly as a salesperson. This usually relates to
your sales staff, clients and prospects. Other factors to consider during
the setup of a forecast are the negative ones like − uncertainty, abrupt
changes in consumer shopping patterns, etc.
One of the most common yet basic challenges that the management of
companies face in making business sales forecasts is that their usual
approach is a “top to down” one. This approach leaves very little scope
for interaction with the sales manager and the salespersons during the
data collection process.
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2. PREPARING A FORECAST OF INDUSTRY SALES:- Small firms
often rely on industry estimates available from trade
associations and government sources. In other cases more
sophisticated quantitative techniques are used to determine.
Large organizations have economist and analysts who provides
support and information for sales forecasts
3. PREPARING A FORECAST OF THE PRODUCT OR A COMPANY
SALES:- Forecasting methods can be classified as either
qualitative or quantitative. Qualitative methods rely upon
subjective opinions or judgments, where as Quantitative
technique applies statistical methods.
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2. Demand Forecasting
Demand forecasting is a combination of two words; the first one is
Demand Demand forecasting is a combination of two words; the
first one is Demand and another forecasting. Demand means
outside requirements of a product or service. In general,
forecasting means making an estimation in the present for a
future occurring event. Here we are going to discuss demand
forecasting and its usefulness. another forecasting. Demand
means outside requirements of a product or service. In
general, forecasting means making an estimation in the present
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for a future occurring event. Here we are going to discuss demand
forecasting and its usefulness.
It is a technique for estimation of probable demand for a product or
services in the future. It is based on the analysis of past demand for
that product or service in the present market condition. Demand
forecasting should be done on a scientific basis and facts and events
related to forecasting should be considered.
For example, suppose we sold 200, 250, 300 units of product X in the
month of January, February, and March respectively. Now we can
say that there will be a demand for 250 units approx. of product X in
the month of April, if the market condition remains the same.
Demand is the most important aspect for business for achieving its
objectives. Many decisions of business depend on demand like
production, sales, staff requirement, etc. Forecasting is the necessity
of business at an international level as well as domestic level.
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Types of Forecasting
There are two types of forecasting:
Based on Economy
Based on the time period
1. Based on Economy
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information for major strategic decisions of the firm. For example,
expansion of plant capacity, opening a new unit of business, etc.