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Market Outlook 2021 Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021
Market Outlook 2021 Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021
Market Outlook 2021 Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021
com
Indonesia Property
South
Serpong 12% Rp12,000,000
Tangerang
100
South
Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Pamulang
Tangerang
19% Rp9,500,000
5 Conclusion
at 2020
Looking back at 2020
80
60
40
20
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
100
50
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
However, the optimism soon cooled due to the Meanwhile, supply was down, as with other regions
pandemic spreading throughout the world and of Indonesia. For West Java, the RIPMI-S for the
affecting Indonesia since March. The impact of the quarter was 102.6, or a drop of 95.5% quarter-on-
pandemic on the national property market was quarter and 10.9% year-on-year. The fall off of
reflected in a drop in the property supply during supply was spread evenly throughout the region.
the first quarter of 2020. As developers held back Quarter-on-quarter, for example, Bogor was down
from new property launches, supply dropped by 8.3%, while Bekasi dropped 4.3%.
significantly (RIPMI-S down by 5.4%) while prices
rose (RIPMI-H up by 0.3%). In a normal year, by
contrast, supply usually goes up in the first
quarter.
160
120
80
40
0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali
Q1 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q1 2020 supply index QoQ YoY
Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com
Supply Index
160
120
80
40
0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali
Q2 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q2 2020 supply index QoQ YoY
The RIPMI Price Index) in the third quarter of 2020 RIPMI-S (supply) in the fourth quarter of 2020
reached 111.2, up by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. The showed a positive trend [in line with] increases over
rise in national RIPMI Price Index in this quarter was the two previous quarters. The index was at 144.7,
caused by the increase of property supply in big up 9.9% for the quarter and 24.9% for the year.
regions, such as Central Java, Banten, and East
Java.
160
120
80
40
0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali
Q3 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q3 2020 supply index QoQ YoY
Tourism
As an example, the 40 km Serpong-
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Balaraja Toll Road will connect Jakarta
with areas immediately to the west. The
road links the municipality of South Infrastructure budget in APBN
Tangerang (e.g., Serpong) with
500
Tangerang recency, which is known as
423.3* 413.8
an industrial region. Meanwhile, the 400
381.2 394.0 394.1
haipuR noillirT
Jakarta-Cikampek II Toll Road was
300
developed to reduce the load on the 269.1
Jakarta-Cikampek I Toll Road and 200
Meanwhile, the Cinere-Serpong toll road links A number of sub-districts in Tangerang Selatan
Depok -- immediately to the south of South which are located near the Cinere-Serpong Toll
Jakarta – to Tangerang Selatan, another satellite Road also showed increases, such as Pondok Cabe
area, via a relatively seamless route. Cinere- (6%), Serpong (12%), and Pamulang (19%).
Serpong will also be connected to the Serpong-
Kunciran-Cengkareng toll road, which facilitates
access to Sukarno-Hatta Airport. Going in the
opposite direction, Cinere links up with Bekasi JORR 2 section ready to
through the Cinere-Cimanggis-Cibitung-Cilincing-
operate in 2020
Tanjung Priok Toll Road.
This connectivity also directly affects the property Section Ready to operate on
actually rose, such as Cimanggis (up 9%), Limo (up Cengkareng-Kunciran December 2020
4%), and Cinere (up 3%). Meanwhile, Cinangka in
Sawangan sub-district, rose by an impressive 35%.
Tangerang
Cipondoh 14% Rp15,925,925
City
South
Serpong 12% Rp12,000,000
Tangerang
South
Pamulang 19% Rp9,500,000
Tangerang
Bantar
Bekasi 13% Rp6,388,889
Gebang
Tambun
Bekasi 12% Rp6,416,667
Utara
The Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) and Light Rail This move by Adhi Commuter followed the success
Transit (LRT) developments are still underway. The of state-owned Perumnas which, in collaboration
Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Bekasi (Jabodebek) LRT with PT. Kereta Api Indonesia (KAI), previously
Development is approaching 80% completion. The developed TOD concept houses along the KRL
Transportation Ministry expects all civil route, namely Prasada Mahata Margonda (Depok),
construction of mainline routes to be completed by Prasada Mahata Tanjung Barat (South Jakarta),
year-end 2020. Meanwhile, as of October 2020, due and Prasada Mahata Rawa Buntu (South
to delays related to the pandemic, the second Tangerang).
phase of the MRT project was merely at a 10%
stage of completion. “In the past few years, DKI Jakarta’s urban
planning has grown rapidly. Public transportation
Regardless of the slow pace of development, the has become more convenient and connected, both
MRT, LRT and KRL Commuterline remain very in the city and surrounding areas, such as Bogor,
important to property buyers in Jabodetabek. Well Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi. The public has
ahead of the time when the LRT will be fully begun to look at public transportation as
operational, state-owned Adhi Commuter is moving convenient and practical. This also affects property
ahead with apartment building developments purchases. People no longer mind being further
situated at stops along the route. As of 2020, the away from the center, as long as they are close to
company had commenced work on 10 LRT cities public transportation, such as KRL, TransJakarta,
throughout Jabodetabek. LRT or MRT
Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com
81-beF
81-rpA
81-nuJ
81-guA
81-tcO
81-ceD
91-beF
91-rpA
91-nuJ
91-guA
91-tcO
91-ceD
02-beF
02-rpA
02-nuJ
02-guA
02-tcO
KPA KPA BI7DRR
Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com
Based on the price range, if combined, the amount In other words, property searches in Rumah.com
of total property searches in the under-Rp1.5 billion today come from middle and middle-high groups
range accounted for 61% of all searches on who do not take issue with the distance that may
Rumah.com. separate their property and the city center or
major business centers.
Our data shows several internal factors that shape As regards external factors, nearly all respondents
real estate purchases, with the type of property put importance on location (85%), while 60% also
rights (lease versus purchase) being the most took security into consideration. Just under half
significant. This factor was chosen by 63% of were incorporating the availability of public
respondents, followed by price (48%), and the facilities around the housing area (48%) and public
house’s facilities (41%). transportation (47%) into their decision.
Investment
0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60%
Size of unit
Subsidies or promotions
Layout
N/A
Amenities in the area*
N/A
Public transportation facilities in the area*
Maturity of area
in 2021
Big property bets in 2021
DKI Jakarta
The region with the brightest future in DKI Jakarta Large-scale integrated residential areas like JGC
is East Jakarta, due to prices which are the most enjoy middle-high tier public facilities such as
affordable of any quadrant of the city (also a shopping centers, hospitals, and schools. The RIPMI-
province). Today, the average price in DKI Jakarta H shows that the presence of these integrated
is around Rp27 million per square meter. residential areas has seen prices in Cakung go up
Meanwhile, the average price in East Jakarta is by 4% each year. Meanwhile, already-established
Rp16 million per square meter, or around 45% areas around JGC, e.g., Pulo Gebang, have shot up
lower. by 10% quarterly and 15% yearly.
50
West Jakarta Central Jakarta South Jakarta East Jakarta North Jakarta
Bekasi
During the first quarter, Bekasi drove the West Finally, the distance between Jakarta and East
Java property price index. While other cities in Bekasi becomes no longer an issue once the
West Java showed an increase of no more than 2% connecting infrastructure is improved. For property
(QoQ), the property price index for Bekasi saw an searchers, both for residency or investment, East
increase of up to five percent for landed houses. Bekasi can become a suitable option.
Jatiasih and East Bekasi were the areas with the
highest increases.
Supply Index
140
120
100
80
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
Jatisampurna 5% Rp10,000,000
Greater Tangerang
Tangerang and Cipondoh are among the sub- Meanwhile, Tangerang sub-district has become the
districts that show the most promise in the center of Tangerang City and enjoys full public
Tangerang City region in 2020. Based on facilities and complete infrastructure. There are
Rumah.com’s analysis, these two areas have access two KRL commuter line stations (the Tangerang
to public facilities and various options for public and Tanah Tinggi stations) providing direct access
and private transportation. to West Jakarta. The Tangerang sub-district also
provides easy access to the airport and the Jakarta
As far as malls, shopping centers, and middle-high outer ring toll road. This sub-district can even spoil
hospitals, to the extent they are lacking in its residents with five malls, including the famous
Cipondoh proper, residents have plenty to choose TangCity Mall and Lippo Karawaci.
from in adjacent West Jakara. Cipondoh also has a
reservoir and green space at Setu Cipondoh, which In addition, the Cinere-Serpong toll road, slated to
makes it ideal for property searchers who are begin operating at the end of 2020 or early 2021,
looking for a house away from the frenetic will lift surrounding areas such as Pondok Cabe,
atmosphere of the capital city. Serpong, and Pamulang.
150
141.1
135
119.6 116.8 114
100
50
Depok
Property development in Depok in 2021 will center
Price and supply index
around these three areas: Cimanggis, Cinere, and
Sawangan. Again, new toll roads, namely the
of Depok
Cimanggis-Cibitung, Cimanggis-Cinere, and 140
100
7102 1Q
7102 4Q
7102 2Q
7102 3Q
8102 1Q
8102 2Q
8102 3Q
8102 4Q
9102 1Q
9102 2Q
9102 3Q
9102 4Q
0202 1Q
0202 2Q
0202 3Q
Limo 4% Rp9,139,785
Beji 5% Rp10,546,875
For buyers
For property seekers, 2021 will generally still be a “buyer’s market”. Buyers will be served
various choices of the latest property with special offers, discounts, and an abundance
of gifts. However, the Rumah.com Property Market Index saw the price index rise
towards recovery. This indicates that the special offers, discounts, and gifts will continue
to reduce. With that, property seekers who are financially ready are encouraged to
make a purchase as soon as possible.
For sellers
The Rumah.com search data and the Rumah.com Consumer Sentiment Study showed
that property searches are still relatively high during the pandemic. Those who have
postponed their property purchase in 2020 are predicted to continue their purchase in
2021. Property purchases will still be dominated by seekers for residence. Consumers’
interests are still based on “value for money”. They also no longer take issue in houses
far from the city center, as long as they are supported with complete public facilities
and proper public transportation.
The Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Index Connectivity and price will still be the main
saw a yearly decline in the price index (RIPMI-H) in attraction in the property market in 2021. Distance
the third quarter of 2020. The yearly drop in price to the city center will no longer be a main concern
index is the first in the past five years. However, the as long as the route is easy to take and traffic free.
quarterly increase can be seen as a positive sign of That’s why, areas around the integrated
the national property sector recovering. residential areas (planned community), new toll
roads, and public transportation routes are still the
The positive sign towards the end of the year can target for property consumers.
also be seen in the RIPMI-S, which reached a new
high in the past five years. For developers, the focus on developing new
projects should be directed at areas near
integrated residential areas or areas around public
transportation routes and new toll roads. The
combination between affordable prices and
convenient mobilization will become the main
attraction for consumers.
Contact
For media or press enquiries, or to understand more about the PropertyGuru’s
[Country] Property Market Outlook Q4 2020, please email
mediaenquiry@propertyguru.com.sg.
With Thanks
Special thanks to Dr Tan Tee Khoon and Stuart Chng for their contributions to the
PropertyGuru [Country] Property Market Outlook 2021.
Disclaimer
This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only
and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information
contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No
representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or
completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent
permitted by law, PropertyGuru Group does not accept or assume any liability,
responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or
refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for
any decision based on it.