Market Outlook 2021 Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021

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Rumah.

com
Indonesia Property

Market Outlook 2021


Introduction
2020 has been a dynamic year as well as a test of As of the third quarter of 2020, the price
perseverance for national property industry component of the Rumah.com Indonesia Property
players. Initially hyped as a year of recovery, the Market Index (RIPMI-H) rested at 111.2, a year-on-
optimism faded in the face of the unfolding COVID- year drop of 0.6% and the first stumble in five
19 pandemic. However, clear signs of recovery were years of price as computed on an annual basis
evident by year end. (YoY).

On a quarterly basis, however, the third quarter


was a step in the right direction, with the RIPMI
Price Index up by 0.53%. This was a positive sign,
especially following a second quarter drop of
0.34%.

Positive trends were similarly reflected in the


supply component of the Rumah.com Indonesia
Property Market Supply Index (RIPMI-S), as of
year-end. The supply index in the third quarter of
2020 reached 144.7, or a 24.9% yearly increase
(YoY) and the highest level seen during the
previous five-year period. However, reasons for
concern were already present by the first quarter
of 2020, when the supply index dropped by 7%
with the onset of the pandemic.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


2020: The year in review
Price index drops for the first time in five years Connectivity and price are the main considerations
However, the quarterly rise was a positive sign showing that for purchasing property in 2021
the national property market is getting back on track.
Distance from the city center is no longer the main concern, as
long as the commute is easy and less traffic. Property searchers
Indeks harga nasional (Year-on-year) will target areas near the new toll roads or mass transportation
routes. Here are the districts most affected by the infrastructure
development in 2020:
110
Q3 2020 price Median price
District City
-0.55% index (YoY) (per sqm)

105 Year-on-year Cipondoh Tangerang City 14% Rp15,925,925

South
Serpong 12% Rp12,000,000
Tangerang
100
South
Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Pamulang
Tangerang
19% Rp9,500,000

Sawangan Depok 36% Rp9,836,066

Limo Depok 4% Rp9,139,785


Property Demand in 2021
Cinere Depok 3% Rp13,333,333

Beji Depok 5% Rp10,546,875

Cimanggis Depok 9% Rp10,248,804

Bantar Gebang Bekasi 13% Rp6,388,889

As many as 3 of 5 respondents to the Rumah.com Consumer Cibitung Bekasi 1% Rp5,910,448


Sentiment Survey say they’ll postpone property transactions --
North Tambun Bekasi 12% Rp6,416,667
yet they intend to resume the process in the immediate future.
Babelan Bekasi 2% Rp5,583,333

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Contents
1 Looking back at 2020

2 Key trends in 2021

3 Big property bets in 2021

4 Should you buy or sell property in 2021?

5 Conclusion

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking Back

at 2020
Looking back at 2020

National price index


100

80

60

40

20

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020

National supply index


150

100

50

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

First quarter of 2020:


beginning of the pandemic

A sense of optimism pervaded the property


industry going into 2020, with the sentiment
clearly linked to the government’s focus on
facilitating property ownership. After
implementing policies for the low-to-middle
income segment with subsidized homes and
programs like the Housing Financing Liquidity
Facility (FLPP), and Million Homes program, the
government switched its focus to the middle-to-
high market. The new aim was to stimulate
investment through a relaxation of luxury tax
(PPnBM) as well as Loan To Value (LTV) relaxations
for purchases of second or third homes. These
policies came into effect at the end of 2019.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

However, the optimism soon cooled due to the Meanwhile, supply was down, as with other regions
pandemic spreading throughout the world and of Indonesia. For West Java, the RIPMI-S for the
affecting Indonesia since March. The impact of the quarter was 102.6, or a drop of 95.5% quarter-on-
pandemic on the national property market was quarter and 10.9% year-on-year. The fall off of
reflected in a drop in the property supply during supply was spread evenly throughout the region.
the first quarter of 2020. As developers held back Quarter-on-quarter, for example, Bogor was down
from new property launches, supply dropped by 8.3%, while Bekasi dropped 4.3%.
significantly (RIPMI-S down by 5.4%) while prices
rose (RIPMI-H up by 0.3%). In a normal year, by
contrast, supply usually goes up in the first
quarter.

Price wise, West Java seemed to be the most


resistant to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
For West Java, the price component of the
Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Index
(RIPMI-H) for the first quarter of 2020 was 118.2, up
3.3% quarter-on-quarter and 7.5% year-on-year.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

Q1 2020 price and supply index of Java and Bali


240 Price Index

200 Supply Index

160

120

80

40

0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali

Q1 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q1 2020 supply index QoQ YoY

DKI Jakarta -1.34% 0.55% DKI Jakarta -4.23% 2.08%

Banten 0.65% 6.01% Banten -3.35% -3.94%

Jawa Barat 3.32% 7.55% Jawa Barat -4.56% -10.86%

Jawa Tengah 0.00% -0.86% Jawa Tengah -2.97% -0.74%

DI Yogyakarta 8.94% 13.84% DI Yogyakarta -14.81% -23.05%

Jawa Timur -5.13% -5.61% Jawa Timur -10.04% -15.61%

Bali -2.59% -0.61% Bali 34.55% 77.89%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

Second quarter of 2020:


new normal

The COVID-19 pandemic was starting to be taken


seriously in the second quarter of 2020. The first of
the government’s Large Scale Social Restriction
(PSBB) interventions came in April. This quarter hit
the national economy hard. The government
restricted almost all activities of business and
offices, except activities deemed related to
essential needs.

The RIPMI-H (price) for the second quarter hit 110.6,


a 1.7% drop from the previous quarter. On a yearly
basis, the price index for this quarter was up by
2.3%, yet it remained below 5%, the yearly
average since 2018.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

By the third quarter of the year, developers and


property suppliers seemed more optimistic about
the new market, as shaped by the pandemic. As of
this quarter, suppliers began to put more homes
on the market. This can be seen from the increase Adapting to the new normal went
in available supply between the second and third
smoothly. A number of developers
quarters, as reflected in the supply component of
the Rumah.com index (RIPMI-S).
were able to record profits, while
some even went ahead with launch
The RIPMI-S for the second quarter of 2020 closed
of new residential projects. That
at 131.6, or a 20.8% increase compared to the
previous quarter. This rise in the second quarter explains the increased property
seems to be a compensation for supply which was supply in this quarter.
held back in the previous quarter. The supply
occurred in numerous large supplying provinces,
such as West Java with an increase of 22.3%, DKI
Jakarta (13%), Banten (18.5%), and East Java
(33%).

Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

Q2 2020 price and supply index of Java and Bali


200 Price Index

Supply Index
160

120

80

40

0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali

Q2 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q2 2020 supply index QoQ YoY

DKI Jakarta 1.82% 1.82% DKI Jakarta 13.08% 43.74%

Banten -1.86% -1.86% Banten 18.49% 44.24%

Jawa Barat -0.93% -0.93% Jawa Barat 22.32% 22.80%

Jawa Tengah -2.43% -2.43% Jawa Tengah 30.88% 34.45%

DI Yogyakarta 6.24% 6.24% DI Yogyakarta 22.38% -8.65%

Jawa Timur -1.08% -1.08% Jawa Timur 33.40% 11.40%

Bali 1.02% 1.02% Bali -19.48% 41.82%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

Third quarter of 2020: optimism


increased in the property sector

Gains in the Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market


Index (RIPMI in respect of the quarterly price for
the third quarter reflect the promise of recovery in
the national property industry. Meanwhile, the
property consumers care mostly about ‘value for
money’, and are most interested in properties in
integrated residential areas or established
residential areas.

Entering the fourth quarter of 2020, an increase in


supply in key regions such as Central Java, Banten
and East Java was interpreted as optimism on the
part of developers and a hint of market recovery.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

The RIPMI Price Index) in the third quarter of 2020 RIPMI-S (supply) in the fourth quarter of 2020
reached 111.2, up by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. The showed a positive trend [in line with] increases over
rise in national RIPMI Price Index in this quarter was the two previous quarters. The index was at 144.7,
caused by the increase of property supply in big up 9.9% for the quarter and 24.9% for the year.
regions, such as Central Java, Banten, and East
Java.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Looking back at 2020

Q3 2020 price and supply index of Java and Bali


240 Price Index

200 Supply Index

160

120

80

40

0
DKI Jakarta Banten Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DI Yogyakarta Jawa Timur Bali

Q3 2020 price index QoQ YoY Q3 2020 supply index QoQ YoY

DKI Jakarta 1.43% 1.88% DKI Jakarta 5.26% 17.83%

Banten 1.14% 0.09% Banten 11.07% 28.10%

Jawa Barat 3.25% 5.68% Jawa Barat 12.27% 31.68%

Jawa Tengah 2.67% -2.12% Jawa Tengah 15.23% 54.17%

DI Yogyakarta 0.00% 24.51% DI Yogyakarta -0.53% -11.58%

Jawa Timur 1.75% -5.86% Jawa Timur 13.30% 23.57%

Bali 3.14% 1.19% Bali 10.10% 31.61%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that

will impact 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Connectivity become the main


selling point

President Joko Widodo’s focus on infrastructure as


the key to developing the national economy will
carry over into 2021. For 2021, the State Budget is
Rp413.8 trillion, up 47.2% from the 2020 budget of
Rp281.1 trillion (after adjustments for the
pandemic).

Infrastructure spending for 2021 was to account for


24% of the budget as a whole, the third largest
expense after education and social security. It is
hoped that new infrastructure projects will help aid
economic recovery, as well as providing basic
services and improving transport connectivity.

Better infrastructure connectivity means more


efficient routes for goods and services. The Trans
Java toll road, for example, reduces travel time by
car between Jakarta and Surabaya (800km) to 10-
12 hours, instead of around 20 hours previously.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

In Jabodetabek, road infrastructure


development focuses on improving
2021 State Budget (APBN)
connectivity between DKI Jakarta and Education
satellite areas like Bogor, Depok, Social Protection
Tangerang and Bekasi. The aim is to Infrastructure
support cross-region business activities,
Health
as well as making life easier for people
Food Security
who commute.
ICT Development

Tourism
As an example, the 40 km Serpong-
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Balaraja Toll Road will connect Jakarta
with areas immediately to the west. The
road links the municipality of South Infrastructure budget in APBN
Tangerang (e.g., Serpong) with
500
Tangerang recency, which is known as
423.3* 413.8
an industrial region. Meanwhile, the 400
381.2 394.0 394.1

haipuR noillirT
Jakarta-Cikampek II Toll Road was
300
developed to reduce the load on the 269.1
Jakarta-Cikampek I Toll Road and 200

provide a dedicated route for


100
commuters, free from most industrial
traffic. 0

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

*budget adjustment due to the pandemic: Rp281.1 trillion

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Plans for road infrastructure development to improve connectivity


in the Jabodetabek region

Meanwhile, the Cinere-Serpong toll road links A number of sub-districts in Tangerang Selatan
Depok -- immediately to the south of South which are located near the Cinere-Serpong Toll
Jakarta – to Tangerang Selatan, another satellite Road also showed increases, such as Pondok Cabe
area, via a relatively seamless route. Cinere- (6%), Serpong (12%), and Pamulang (19%).
Serpong will also be connected to the Serpong-
Kunciran-Cengkareng toll road, which facilitates
access to Sukarno-Hatta Airport. Going in the
opposite direction, Cinere links up with Bekasi JORR 2 section ready to
through the Cinere-Cimanggis-Cibitung-Cilincing-
operate in 2020
Tanjung Priok Toll Road.

This connectivity also directly affects the property Section Ready to operate on

development in satellite areas. RIPMI-H showed an Depok-Antasari Section 2 3 July 2020


increase in areas serviced by toll roads, such as Cimanggis-Cibitung Section 1 10 November 2020
Depok. During the third quarter of 2020, when the
Cibitung-Cilincing Section 2 December 2020
price index for Depok fell by 2.62% yearly, Depok
sub-districts immediately adjacent to the toll roads Serpong-Cinere Section 1 December 2020

actually rose, such as Cimanggis (up 9%), Limo (up Cengkareng-Kunciran December 2020
4%), and Cinere (up 3%). Meanwhile, Cinangka in
Sawangan sub-district, rose by an impressive 35%.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Areas affected by the JORR 2


development plan
Median
Q3 2020 Price
District City Price (per
Index (YoY)
sqm)

Tangerang
Cipondoh 14% Rp15,925,925
City

South
Serpong 12% Rp12,000,000
Tangerang

South
Pamulang 19% Rp9,500,000
Tangerang

Sawangan Depok 36% Rp9,836,066

Limo Depok 4% Rp9,139,785

Cinere Depok 3% Rp13,333,333

Beji Depok 5% Rp10,546,875

Cimanggis Depok 9% Rp10,248,804

Bantar
Bekasi 13% Rp6,388,889
Gebang

Cibitung Bekasi 1% Rp5,910,448

Tambun
Bekasi 12% Rp6,416,667
Utara

Babelan Bekasi 2% Rp5,583,333

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Transit Oriented Development (TOD) property becoming


increasingly popular

The Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) and Light Rail This move by Adhi Commuter followed the success
Transit (LRT) developments are still underway. The of state-owned Perumnas which, in collaboration
Jakarta, Bogor, Depok, Bekasi (Jabodebek) LRT with PT. Kereta Api Indonesia (KAI), previously
Development is approaching 80% completion. The developed TOD concept houses along the KRL
Transportation Ministry expects all civil route, namely Prasada Mahata Margonda (Depok),
construction of mainline routes to be completed by Prasada Mahata Tanjung Barat (South Jakarta),
year-end 2020. Meanwhile, as of October 2020, due and Prasada Mahata Rawa Buntu (South
to delays related to the pandemic, the second Tangerang).
phase of the MRT project was merely at a 10%
stage of completion. “In the past few years, DKI Jakarta’s urban
planning has grown rapidly. Public transportation
Regardless of the slow pace of development, the has become more convenient and connected, both
MRT, LRT and KRL Commuterline remain very in the city and surrounding areas, such as Bogor,
important to property buyers in Jabodetabek. Well Depok, Tangerang, and Bekasi. The public has
ahead of the time when the LRT will be fully begun to look at public transportation as
operational, state-owned Adhi Commuter is moving convenient and practical. This also affects property
ahead with apartment building developments purchases. People no longer mind being further
situated at stops along the route. As of 2020, the away from the center, as long as they are close to
company had commenced work on 10 LRT cities public transportation, such as KRL, TransJakarta,
throughout Jabodetabek. LRT or MRT

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

The government seems to be serious


about transportation infrastructure.
In turn, this creates the impression
that property located close to public
transportation has a bright future.

Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

BI 7 Day Reverse Repo Rate KPR, KPA, and Bank Indonesia 7


Bank Indonesia cut the Bank Indonesia 7-Day Days Reverse Repo Rate interest
Reverse Repo Rate (BI7DRR) interest rate to 3.75% rate trends
on 19 November 2020. The decision was a follow-up
10
step to push the recovery of the national economy.

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Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Cutting the BI7DRR signals concerns about inflation


and external stability, according to Rumah.com
country manager Marine Novita. If the BI7DRR rate
is kept where it is, or cut even further, in December,
we can expect the economic situation to be more We found that for 73% of those
stable in 2021,” she said.
responding to the Rumah.com
Consumer Sentiment Survey 2020,
Marine said that the BI7DRR rate cut would be
followed by a similar drop in KPR interest rates. As interest was the major concern for
of August 2020, 8.75% is the average of the those planning to buy or lease. KPR
mortgage rate since January 2019, while the
interest rates, which are lower will
average BI7DRR rate for the same period is 5.15%.
However, the KPR/KPA rate is not as dynamic as give consumers confidence to go
the BI7DRR: While the BI7DRR interest rate had ahead with plans to buy property.
fallen 25% by September 2020 compared to the
beginning of the year, the mortgage rate fell only
by around 5.3% for the same period.

Marine Novita
Country Manager
Rumah.com

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Property searches increase in


satellite areas

Property search trends on the Rumah.com platform


continue show continued growth in search activity,
to rise despite the pandemic, , especially in thefor
the Jabodetabek arearegion.

Property searches in West Java in the third quarter


of 2020 increased by 88.8% compared to the
previous quarters. On a yearly basis, property
searches in West Java increased were up by 239%.

The most frequently search target in West Java


was Bekasi, where searches were up by 115%
quarter-on-quarter and 265% year-on-year. After
Bekasi, Bogor was the most popular in West Java,
with search activity up 94.3% quarter-on-quarter
and 275% year-on-year.

Meanwhile, property searches in Banten province


increased by 54.1% for the quarter and 171% for the
year. In Banten, the city attracting the most
interest was Tangerang City with searches up 64%
for the quarter and 174% for the year.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

DKI Jakarta also saw an increase, albeit


not as large as West Java or Banten. Property Search Index of Bodetabek
Online property search activity for the
400
Capital region was up 59% for the
quarter and 143% for the year. 300

The popularity of Bogor, Bekasi, and 200


Tangerang City may be explained in
terms of new infrastructure development 100

and the perception that outlying areas


0
with more affordable prices aren’t “too
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
far,” as long as there is reasonable
transportation connectivity.
Tangerang Regency Tangerang City South Tangerang

Bekasi Bogor Depok

Q3 Property Search Index QoQ YoY

Tangerang Regency 42.3% 140.9%

Tangerang City 64.1% 173.5%

South Tangerang 43.9% 174.0%

Bekasi 115.2% 265.6%

Bogor 94.3% 274.6%

Depok 81.5% 186.2%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends
Property
thatconsumer
will impact
trends
2021

Property Searches in Rumah.com based on Price

Smaller than 300 million

300 - 750 million

750 million - 1 billion

1 billion - 1.5 billion

1.5 billion - 4 billion

Greater than 4 billion

0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Based on the price range, if combined, the amount In other words, property searches in Rumah.com
of total property searches in the under-Rp1.5 billion today come from middle and middle-high groups
range accounted for 61% of all searches on who do not take issue with the distance that may
Rumah.com. separate their property and the city center or
major business centers.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Demand expected to increase next year


Of those responding to the Rumah.com Consumer Sentiment
Survey, three out of five said they were postponing property
transactions. Not to worry, however, based on evidence, the
clear indication is that they will reengage in the market in 2021.

The main effect of the COVID-19 pandemic according to the


majority (60%) of respondents is the postponement of
property transactions. In addition, around 25% of respondents
indicated they would avoid areas flagged as red zones (high
COVID-19 case count).

The Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) had the result of


making people spend more time at home. Meanwhile, the
Rumah.com Consumer Sentiment Survey data showed that
34% of respondents are now more aware of the need to own a
house. The insight is that people’s attitudes toward their living
arrangements are changing and families now place more
value on owning a home that is suitable for spending long
periods of time, whether for work, study or other activities.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Our data shows several internal factors that shape As regards external factors, nearly all respondents
real estate purchases, with the type of property put importance on location (85%), while 60% also
rights (lease versus purchase) being the most took security into consideration. Just under half
significant. This factor was chosen by 63% of were incorporating the availability of public
respondents, followed by price (48%), and the facilities around the housing area (48%) and public
house’s facilities (41%). transportation (47%) into their decision.

Changing attitudes towards future property purchases


Own-stay

Investment

0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60%

Impact of spending more time at home

Now I think more about owning a home

Now I want to renovate or repurpose certain


areas of my home

Now I am thinking about moving out of my


current location

I don't want to change anything, I'm just


feeling more grateful

0 10% 20% 30%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Important Factors Considered for Buying a Property - Internal

Tenure of the property (freehold or leasehold)

Price per sqm/sq ft

Facilities within the property

Design & construction

Size of unit

Subsidies or promotions

Readiness for occupation

Property type (i.e. landed, apartment,


mixed-use etc.)

House scheme/programs eligibility

Facing and view

Potential rental yield/Rentability

Layout

0 20% 40% 60%

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Key trends that will impact 2021

Important Factors Considered for Buying a Property - External

Location of the home

Security & safety of the area

N/A
Amenities in the area*

N/A
Public transportation facilities in the area*

Future developments in the area

Maturity of area

Home loan/Financial eligibility

Future rental yield/expected appreciation of


the home

Real estate agent's recommendations

0 20% 40% 60% 80%

H1 2020 H2 2020 *New factor added in H2’20

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets

in 2021
Big property bets in 2021

Price and connectivity will continue to drive


consumer decisions about whether or not to
engage in the property market in 2021. Distance to
the city center is no longer the main concern, as
long as the route is reasonable and traffic
congestion stays to a minimum. These
considerations help explain the popularity of
housing located in proximity to integrated
residential areas (planned communities), new toll
roads, and public transportation routes.

With that, Rumah.com analyzed a number of areas


predicted to be targets for consumers in 2021.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

DKI Jakarta
The region with the brightest future in DKI Jakarta Large-scale integrated residential areas like JGC
is East Jakarta, due to prices which are the most enjoy middle-high tier public facilities such as
affordable of any quadrant of the city (also a shopping centers, hospitals, and schools. The RIPMI-
province). Today, the average price in DKI Jakarta H shows that the presence of these integrated
is around Rp27 million per square meter. residential areas has seen prices in Cakung go up
Meanwhile, the average price in East Jakarta is by 4% each year. Meanwhile, already-established
Rp16 million per square meter, or around 45% areas around JGC, e.g., Pulo Gebang, have shot up
lower. by 10% quarterly and 15% yearly.

Besides that, some areas in East Jakarta show


potential as “sunrise” area, meaning the first rays
have been seen but the real dazzle is still several
years down the road. New infrastructure
development and the emergence of integrated
areas have also begun to push prices up in some
areas.

The emergence of integrated areas are evidence of


the confidence that developers and suppliers have
as regards targeting higher-income consumers.
One such area is Jakarta Garden City (JGC) in
Cakung. Despite being an area avoided by many
as overly industrial and poorly planned, new
middle-high class houses are mushrooming in the
the 370 hectare district.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Q3 2020 price and supply index of cities in DKI Jakarta


Price Index
159.3
150 153.9
148.5 Supply Index
144.2
129.6
115.7 114.8
106.9 109.7
100 102.6

50

West Jakarta Central Jakarta South Jakarta East Jakarta North Jakarta

Top districts in DKI Jakarta


District City Price index (YoY) Median price (per sqm)

Cakung East Jakarta 28% Rp12,820,513

Cempaka Putih Central Jakarta 17% Rp22,480,620

Pulo Gadung East Jakarta 15% Rp18,823,529

Pesanggrahan South Jakarta 13% Rp18,750,000

Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta 11% Rp31,407,035

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Bekasi
During the first quarter, Bekasi drove the West Finally, the distance between Jakarta and East
Java property price index. While other cities in Bekasi becomes no longer an issue once the
West Java showed an increase of no more than 2% connecting infrastructure is improved. For property
(QoQ), the property price index for Bekasi saw an searchers, both for residency or investment, East
increase of up to five percent for landed houses. Bekasi can become a suitable option.
Jatiasih and East Bekasi were the areas with the
highest increases.

West Bekasi, the district closest to DKI Jakarta, is


the area with the highest average property price
per square meter. While East Bekasi, the furthest
from DKI Jakarta, has the lowest.

For consumers, property prices in East Bekasi are


still pretty affordable and there is the promise
they will continue to climb in the future. This is
supported by the government’s efforts to tidy up
the situation for commuters through a number of
infrastructure projects, such as Bekasi-Cawang
LRT, various elevated roads, as well as the more
long-term Balaraja-Cikarang MRT project.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Price and supply index of Bekasi


160 Price Index

Supply Index
140

120

100

80

Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020

Top districts in Bekasi


District Price index (YoY) Median price (per sqm)

Tarumajaya 13% Rp7,856,944

Jatiasih 10% Rp8,750,000

West Bekasi 8% Rp11,006,289

North Bekasi 7% Rp7,954,545

Jatisampurna 5% Rp10,000,000

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Greater Tangerang
Tangerang and Cipondoh are among the sub- Meanwhile, Tangerang sub-district has become the
districts that show the most promise in the center of Tangerang City and enjoys full public
Tangerang City region in 2020. Based on facilities and complete infrastructure. There are
Rumah.com’s analysis, these two areas have access two KRL commuter line stations (the Tangerang
to public facilities and various options for public and Tanah Tinggi stations) providing direct access
and private transportation. to West Jakarta. The Tangerang sub-district also
provides easy access to the airport and the Jakarta
As far as malls, shopping centers, and middle-high outer ring toll road. This sub-district can even spoil
hospitals, to the extent they are lacking in its residents with five malls, including the famous
Cipondoh proper, residents have plenty to choose TangCity Mall and Lippo Karawaci.
from in adjacent West Jakara. Cipondoh also has a
reservoir and green space at Setu Cipondoh, which In addition, the Cinere-Serpong toll road, slated to
makes it ideal for property searchers who are begin operating at the end of 2020 or early 2021,
looking for a house away from the frenetic will lift surrounding areas such as Pondok Cabe,
atmosphere of the capital city. Serpong, and Pamulang.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Q3 2020 price and supply index of Greater Tangerang


Price Index

200 202.7 Supply Index

150
141.1
135
119.6 116.8 114
100

50

Tangerang City Tangerang Regency South Tangerang

Top districts in Greater Tangerang


District City Price Index (YoY) Median Price (per sqm)

Cipondoh Tangerang City 14% Rp15,000,000

Tangerang Tangerang City 10% Rp9,419,048

Cikupa Tangerang Regency 5% Rp8,484,848

Ciputat South Tangerang 4% Rp11,666,667

Serpong South Tangerang 4% Rp16,666,667

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Big property bets in 2021

Depok
Property development in Depok in 2021 will center
Price and supply index
around these three areas: Cimanggis, Cinere, and
Sawangan. Again, new toll roads, namely the
of Depok
Cimanggis-Cibitung, Cimanggis-Cinere, and 140

Cinere-Serpong will be the main key factors.


Cimanggis and Sawangan will become new an
alternatives for house seekers in Depok, who have
120
always in the past focused gone directly to around
the Margonda area.

100

Top districts in Depok


80
Price Index Median Price
District
(YoY) (per sqm)

Sawangan 36% Rp9,836,066


60
Cimanggis 9% Rp10,248,804

7102 1Q

7102 4Q
7102 2Q

7102 3Q

8102 1Q

8102 2Q

8102 3Q

8102 4Q

9102 1Q

9102 2Q

9102 3Q

9102 4Q

0202 1Q

0202 2Q

0202 3Q
Limo 4% Rp9,139,785

Beji 5% Rp10,546,875

Cinere 3% Rp13,333,333 Price Index Supply Index

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Should you buy or sell
property in 2021?
Should you buy or sell property in 2021?

For buyers
For property seekers, 2021 will generally still be a “buyer’s market”. Buyers will be served
various choices of the latest property with special offers, discounts, and an abundance
of gifts. However, the Rumah.com Property Market Index saw the price index rise
towards recovery. This indicates that the special offers, discounts, and gifts will continue
to reduce. With that, property seekers who are financially ready are encouraged to
make a purchase as soon as possible.

For sellers
The Rumah.com search data and the Rumah.com Consumer Sentiment Study showed
that property searches are still relatively high during the pandemic. Those who have
postponed their property purchase in 2020 are predicted to continue their purchase in
2021. Property purchases will still be dominated by seekers for residence. Consumers’
interests are still based on “value for money”. They also no longer take issue in houses
far from the city center, as long as they are supported with complete public facilities
and proper public transportation.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


Conclusion
Conclusion

The Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Index Connectivity and price will still be the main
saw a yearly decline in the price index (RIPMI-H) in attraction in the property market in 2021. Distance
the third quarter of 2020. The yearly drop in price to the city center will no longer be a main concern
index is the first in the past five years. However, the as long as the route is easy to take and traffic free.
quarterly increase can be seen as a positive sign of That’s why, areas around the integrated
the national property sector recovering. residential areas (planned community), new toll
roads, and public transportation routes are still the
The positive sign towards the end of the year can target for property consumers.
also be seen in the RIPMI-S, which reached a new
high in the past five years. For developers, the focus on developing new
projects should be directed at areas near
integrated residential areas or areas around public
transportation routes and new toll roads. The
combination between affordable prices and
convenient mobilization will become the main
attraction for consumers.

For consumers, 2021 will still be a buyer’s market,


where consumers are pampered with more choices
and affordable prices. However, these conditions
will not last long. The supplier’s optimism is starting
to recover and property prices are predicted to
gradually return to rise.

Rumah.com Indonesia Property Market Outlook 2021


About Rumah.com
Rumah.com is a leading property portal in Indonesia
and a part of PropertyGuru Group, a leading
property technology company in Asia. PropertyGuru
Group is the favourite destination for 23 million
residential seekers in Singapore, Malaysia,
Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam. As a part of the
Group, Rumah.com helps property hunters in
Indonesia by providing wide-range of relevant
choices, thorough information, and solutions for
making confident decisions.

Rumah.com launched in 2011 and revolutionized


Indonesia property market by making it transparent
and accessible online. PropertyGuru Group
launched in 2007 and keeps growing from the
biggest property media to a rapidly growing
technology company. The company is proud with its
strong portfolios, from the No. 1 portal company,
award-winning mobile application FastKey; the best
platform to empower developers’ sales, and a
number of renown property activities such as
awards, events, and publications, in 11 countries in
Asia.
For more information, visit Rumah.com;
linkedin.com/company/rumah-com
PropertyGuru Group
REG PropertyGuruGroup.com | Asia.PropertyAwards.com | AsiaRealEstateSummit.com
SG PropertyGuru.com.sg | CommercialGuru.com.sg
MY PropertyGuru.com.my
ID Rumah.com | RumahDijual.com
TH DDproperty.com
VN Batdongsan.com.vn

Contact
For media or press enquiries, or to understand more about the PropertyGuru’s
[Country] Property Market Outlook Q4 2020, please email
mediaenquiry@propertyguru.com.sg.

With Thanks
Special thanks to Dr Tan Tee Khoon and Stuart Chng for their contributions to the
PropertyGuru [Country] Property Market Outlook 2021.

Disclaimer
This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only
and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information
contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No
representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or
completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent
permitted by law, PropertyGuru Group does not accept or assume any liability,
responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or
refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for
any decision based on it.

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