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NAME :

STUD. ID NO :

Quiz 1
QMT533

QUESTION 1

State with reason whether the following statements are true, false, or uncertain. Be precise.

a. The t test of significance discussed in this chapter requires that the sampling
distributions of estimators ^β 1 and ^β 2 follow the normal distribution. ( T )
b. Even though the disturbance term in the Classical Linear Regression Model not normally
distributed, the OLS estimators are still unbiased. ( T )
c. The p value and the size of a test statistic mean the same thing. ( T )
d. In a regression model that contains the intercept, the sum of the residuals is always
zero. ( T )
e. The conditional and unconditional means of a random variable are the same things. (
F )
2
f. The conditional variance, Var ( Y i| X i ¿=σ , and the unconditional variance of Y,
Var (Y i )=σ 2Y , will be the same if X had no influence on Y. ( F )

QUESTION 2

Demand for Cell Phones. Letting Y = number of cell phone subscribers and X = purchasing-
power-adjusted per capita income, we obtained the following regression.

Y^ i=14.4773+ 0.0022 X i
Se ( ^β 1 )=6.1523; Se ( β^ 2 ) =0.0032 r 2=0.6023

a) Is the estimated intercept coefficient significant at the 5 percent level of significance? What
is the null hypothesis you are testing?
(4 marks)

b) Is the estimated slope coefficient significant at the 5 percent level? What is the underlying
null hypothesis?
(4 marks)

c) Establish a 95 percent confidence for the true slope coefficient. Interpret.


(5 marks)

d) What is the mean forecast value of cell phones demanded if the per capita income is
$9,000? What is the 95 percent confidence interval for the forecast value?
(6 marks)

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