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How To Calculate The Value of A Customer
How To Calculate The Value of A Customer
How To Calculate The Value of A Customer
Customer
Measuring customer satisfaction:
A platform for calculating,
predicting and increasing
customer profitability
Received (in revised form): 30th November, 2001
Călin Gurău
is lecturer in marketing in the School of Management, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh. He is a Junior Fellow of the World
Academy of Art and Science, Minneapolis, USA. He worked as marketing manager in two Romanian companies and he has
received degrees and distinctions for studies and research from University of Triest, Italy, University of Vienna, Austria, Duke
University, USA, University of Angers, France and Oxford University, UK. His present research interest focuses on the
marketing strategy of biotechnology firms and marketing strategies on the Internet.
Ashok Ranchhod
is Professor and Head of Marketing at Southampton Business School, UK and a Visiting Professor in Marketing at the
University of Angers in France. He has also worked at the Nottingham, Sheffield and Open University Business Schools.
Before working in academia, he ran a plant biotechnology company. He is now the Senior Examiner at the Chartered Institute
of Marketing for the case study paper (analysis and decision). He has run senior manager programmes for several
multinational companies and published widely on marketing subjects in various journals such as The International Journal of
Advertising, The Journal of Information Technology and The Journal of Global Information Technology. His current interests
surround marketing strategies for biotechnology companies and effective market orientation with the use of technology.
䉷 Henry Stewart Publications 0967-3237 (2002) Vol. 10, 3, 203-219 Journal of Targeting, Measurement and Analysis for Marketing 203
Gurău and Ranchhod
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Measuring customer satisfaction
1. Recurring
Revenues
䉴 3. Net
2. Recurring Margin
Costs 䉴 5. Cumulated
4. Lifespan of Margin
a Customer 䉴 7. Customer
6. Acquisition Lifetime
Costs Value
competitive offers on the market; this and take care of customers now.29
analysis is as important for the In mathematical terms, CLV consists in
acquisition of new customers, as for taking into account the total financial
the retention of the existing ones. contribution, ie revenues minus costs,
over the entire life of a customer’s
In spite of the increasing evidence business relationship with a company.
regarding the positive relation between Despite its simplicity, the measurement of
customer satisfaction and business CLV requires great care. All cash flows
results,26 no clear models have been involved in the process have to be
proposed for the evaluation of this identified and measured on a very
influence at microeconomic level. A detailed level, and allocated precisely to
study conducted by the Juran Institute27 each customer or type of customer.
has shown that only 2 per cent of the Figure 1 represents a concise seven-step
surveyed managers are able to measure approach to measuring CLV. 30
and stress the financial impact resulting Translating Figure 1 into mathematical
from increased customer satisfaction formulae:
levels. This paper attempts to introduce
and describe a possible method for CLV ⫽ (RR ⫺ RC) Y ⫺ AC (1)
calculating customer profitability in P ⫽ CLV ⫻ C (2)
relation to the level of perceived P ⫽ [(RR ⫺ RC) ⫻ Y ⫺ AC] ⫻ C (3)
satisfaction in a competitive market
environment. where CLV ⫽ customer lifetime value
(profitability); RR ⫽ recurring revenues;
Y ⫽ lifespan of a customer, or number of
CUSTOMER LIFETIME VALUE transactions; RC ⫽ recurring costs;
In calculating customer profitability, most AC ⫽ acquisition costs; P ⫽ total profits;
methods start from customer lifetime C ⫽ number of customers.
value. Customer lifetime value (CLV) is a The mathematical expression of the
controversial concept among business CLV can represent a sound basis for
specialists. Some consider it ‘an elaborate analysing the existing situation, and for
fiction of presumed precision’,28 while identifying possible strategies to increase
other analysts declare that companies customer profitability. Analysing formula
should abandon lifetime value theories (3), five levers of customer value creation
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Gurău and Ranchhod
Table 1: The operational requirements for implementing customer-oriented strategies based on customer
lifetime value analysis
Increase the number Improve the existing offer in Improve: product Research
of customers (C) order to attract potential price Segmentation
customers close to the existing distribution Investment
customer segments promotion
Diversify the offer in order to Increase the product/service Research
attract new segments of portfolio Segmentation
customers Investment
Increase recurring Increase the volume of sales Diversification Research
revenues (RR) Stimulate demand Segmentation
Investment
Increase the value of sales Upgrade the offer Research
Segmentation
Investment
Increase both the volume and Diversification Research
value of sales Stimulate demand Segmentation
Upgrade the offer Investment
Reduce recurring Reduce general costs Increased efficiency Research
costs (RC) (administration, maintenance, Segmentation
etc.) Investment
Reduce the cost of: Cheaper supplies Research
product/service Cheaper outsourcing Segmentation
distribution Increased efficiency Investment
communication
Retain and increase Increase customers’ loyalty by Improve present offer Research
the lifespan of a maintaining and/or increasing Better targeting Segmentation
customer or number customer satisfaction Score better than the Investment
of transactions (Y) competition
Reduce acquisition Better targeting of potential Improve offer Research
costs (AC) customers Improve targeting Segmentation
Use the same resources more Investment
efficiently
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Measuring customer satisfaction
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Gurău and Ranchhod
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Measuring customer satisfaction
Perceived Satisfaction
PSC
Figure 2 The relationship between the levels of perceived satisfaction and costs
In order to predict the revenues obtained in relation to its own offer and to
by the company, the relationship between competitors’ offers). The research costs
cost, revenues and customer satisfaction will represent a part of the total cost
can be further represented graphically (see represented in the graph.
Figure 3). This method can help The authors consider customer
companies predict the necessary costs for profitability to be a more accurate
obtaining a certain level of revenue, and concept than customer lifetime value. The
finally, the profitability of a particular lifetime expression creates pressure to
segment of customers (with a specific predict the duration of the entire
satisfaction profile). company–customer relationship, which is
Figure 3 is only an arbitrary example. almost impossible considering market
In reality, the graphical representation of dynamics. The only possibility is to
the relationship between cost, revenue extrapolate the results of historical data,
and satisfaction can be very different. For which sometimes are non-existent and
example, it is possible that, in the case of sometimes inaccurate because they refer
some clients/customer segments, the costs to past market conditions. In these
to achieve a necessary level of customer conditions, most companies use a three to
satisfaction are larger than the potential five-year interval as a prediction
revenues. In such a case that particular horizon.48
client/customer segment would be The measurement of customer
considered unprofitable and eliminated profitability focuses on the level of
from the company’s target market (see satisfaction of specific segments of existing
Figure 4). or potential customers. The concept is
In this way, the organisation can more accurate and complex because it
significantly simplify the research process, takes into consideration the dynamics of
focusing on the correlation between cost, the market environment and its influence
revenue and perceived satisfaction (both on customers’ needs and perceptions. The
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Gurău and Ranchhod
Perceived Satisfaction
Revenue
Cost
PSC
Figure 3 The relationship between the levels of perceived satisfaction, costs and revenues
210 Journal of Targeting, Measurement and Analysis for Marketing Vol. 10, 3, 203–219 䉷 Henry Stewart Publications 0967-3237 (2002)
Measuring customer satisfaction
Perceived Satisfaction
Cost
Revenue
PSC
Figure 4 The relationship between the levels of perceived satisfaction, costs and revenues for an
unprofitable segment of customers
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Measuring customer satisfaction
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Gurău and Ranchhod
Research
Customer Segmentation
Satisfaction Measurement
(Segment specific)
Figure 5 The use of customer segmentation and customer satisfaction measurement for designing and
implementing targeted marketing mix strategies
usage and service levels. This way the — robust transaction data, properly
company can have a complete mapping collected and updated
of the ‘wells’ of value creation and ‘pits’ — data warehousing capabilities for
of value destruction of the business and capturing and storing the data
an understanding of why they are such. (databases)
Making clear connections between — an associated retrieval and data
customer behaviour and customer delivery system
demographic profiles is critical for a — data mining tools that reflect the
company interested in keeping customers unique nature of the business
and increasing their profitability. The — detailed costing information, including
implementation of an efficient the process cost, as well as the
profiling/segmentation methodology has physical product or service cost
to address the following issues:77,78 — a meaningful business model that
214 Journal of Targeting, Measurement and Analysis for Marketing Vol. 10, 3, 203–219 䉷 Henry Stewart Publications 0967-3237 (2002)
Measuring customer satisfaction
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Measuring customer satisfaction
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Measuring customer satisfaction
purpose, and findings’, Journal of Marketing, Vol. 70 SMART (2001) ‘Customer satisfaction measurement’,
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66 Fornell, C. (1992) ‘A national customer satisfaction 71 Chisnall, P. (2001) ‘Marketing research’, Sixth
barometer: The Swedish experience’, Journal of edition, McGraw-Hill, Maidenhead.
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67 Meyer, A. and Dornach, F. (1995) ‘Nationale 73 Chisnall (2001) op. cit.
Barometer zur Messung von Qualitat und 74 Ibid.
Kundenzufriedenheit bei Dienstleistungen’, in Bruhn, 75 Bacuvier et al. (2001) op. cit.
M. and Strauss, B. (eds) Dienstleistungsqualitat 76 Doyle, P. (2000) ‘Value-based marketing’, John
(Wiesbaden), pp. 429–453. Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
68 Eklof, J. A., Hackl, P. and Westlund, A. (1999) ‘On 77 Thearling, K. (1999) ‘Increasing customer value by
measuring interactions between customer satisfaction integrating data mining and campaign management
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pp. 514–523. ~kht/text/integration/integration.htm.
69 Gronholdt, L., Martensen, A. and Kristensen, K. 78 Wundermann, C. J. (2001) ‘Unlocking the true
(2000) The relationship between customer value of customer relationship management’,
satisfaction and loyalty: Cross-industry differences’, http://www.crm-forum.com/crm_vp/utv/sld01.htm.
Total Quality Management, 11th July, pp. 79 Chambers (2000) op. cit.
509–515. 80 Hill (2001) op. cit.
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