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Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) by DR Linda Long (Pen-TAG)
Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) by DR Linda Long (Pen-TAG)
• STEP 2
“Downgrade” or “upgrade” initial ranking
It is common for randomized controlled trials and observational studies to be
downgraded because they suffer from identifiable bias. Also, observational
studies can be upgraded when multiple high-quality studies show consistent
results
Using GRADE
• Reasons to “downgrade”
• Risk of bias
– Lack of clearly randomized allocation sequence
– Lack of blinding
– Lack of allocation concealment
– Failure to adhere to intention-to-treat analysis
– Trial is cut short
– Large losses to follow-up
• Inconsistency
When there is significant and unexplained variability in results from different trials
Using GRADE
• Reasons to “downgrade”
• Indirectness of evidence
can refer to several things:
– An indirect comparison of two drugs.
– An indirect comparison of population, outcome or intervention
• Imprecision
when wide confidence intervals mar the quality of the data
• Publication bias
when studies with “negative” findings remain unpublished
Using GRADE
• Reasons to “upgrade”
• Large effect
When the effect is so large that bias common to observational studies cannot
possibly account for the result
• Dose-response relationship
When the result is proportional to the degree of exposure
Very low ⊕ The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the
estimated effect
Using GRADE
STEP 4
• Consider other factors that impact on the strength of recommendation
for a course of action
Strong for
using
Downgrade for:
Risk of bias Balance of
Inconsistency desirable and Weak for
Indirectness using
Imprecision High undesirable
Publication bias Moderate effects
H Strong
Upgrade for: Low Cost-effectiveness against
Large consistent Very low using
effect Preference of
Dose response
patients
Confounders only Weak
reducing size of effect
against
using
Using GRADE
A practical overview
Basic steps:
• (1) Choose outcomes of interest
• (2) GRADE the evidence
• (3) Present statistical results
• (4) Use GRADE-pro to create Summary of Findings tables
What is the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of conservative interventions
for tendinopathy: an overview of systematic reviews of clinical effectiveness and
systematic review of economic evaluations
Objectives
This systematic review aims to summarise the evidence concerning the clinical and
cost effectiveness of conservative interventions for lateral elbow tendinopathy
.
GRADE-pro
www.ims.cochrane.org/revman/gradepro
The Summary of Findings Table
• Presents:
– The quality of the evidence
– The magnitude of the effect
– Reasons behind decisions (records the judgements that are being made to
evaluate the quality of the evidence)
ESWT vs placebo for lateral elbow tendinopathy
Bibliography: Buchbinder, R. (2006) Systematic review of the efficacy and safety of shock wave therapy for lateral elbow pain
Summary
(studies) (GRADE) (95% CI)
Follow up
Pain (short term) 446 ⊕⊕⊕⊝ The mean pain (short term) in the
VAS (100 mm) (3 studies) MODERATE1 intervention groups w as
4-6 w eeks due to inconsistency 9.42 low er
CI, confidence interval; NR, not reported; O/C, outcome; OR, odds ratio; RR, risk ratio; VAS, visual analogue scale
Bibliography: Buchbinder, R (2006). Systematic review of the efficacy and safety of shock wave therapy for lateral elbow pain
Quality Im portance
Shock w ave
No of Other Relative
Design Risk of bias Inconsistency Indirectness Im precision therapy Placebo Absolute
studies considerations (95% CI)
(ESWT)
Pain (short term) (follow-up 4-6 w eeks; m easured with: VAS (100 m m); range of scores: -3.6--19; Better indicated by lower values)
3 randomised no serious serious 1 no serious no serious none 224 222 - MD 9.42 low er (20.7 CRITICAL
trials risk of bias indirectness imprecision low er to 1.86 higher) MODERATE
Pain (intermediate term) (follow-up 12 w eeks; m easured with: resisted wrist extension (Thomsen test); Better indicated by lower values)
3 randomised no serious serious 1 no serious no serious none 226 229 - MD 9.04 low er (19.37 CRITICAL
trials risk of bias indirectness imprecision low er to 1.28 higher) MODERATE
Function (intermediate term) (follow-up 12 w eeks; m easured w ith: Mean grip strength ; Better indicated by lower values)
3 randomised no serious serious 2 no serious no serious none 221 227 - SMD 0.05 higher (0.13 CRITICAL
trials risk of bias indirectness 2 imprecision low er to 0.24 higher) MODERATE
0 - - - - - - - - - - CRITICAL3
0 - - - - - - - - - - CRITICAL3
0 - - - - - - - - CRITICAL3
“Review of reviews”: Quality of evidence across studies for the outcome
Information on how to create Summary of Findings Tables using the information from Cochrane systematic reviews and
GRADEing the evidence.
Chapter 11: Presenting results and ‘Summary of findings’ tables
Chapter 12: Interpreting results and drawing conclusions
Additional materials
A series of articles freely available and published in the Journal of Clinical Epidemiology about GRADE and Summary of Findings Tables. Each article explains key issues in
GRADE (e.g. choosing outcomes).
Other articles
Guyatt et al. What is "quality of evidence" and why is it important to clinicians? BMJ 2008; 336: 995-998
Guyatt et al. GRADE: An emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations. BMJ 2008; 336: 924-926.
GRADE Working Group. Grading quality of evidence and strength of recommendations. BMJ 2004; 328: 1490-1494.
Schunemann, et al. An official ATS statement: Grading the quality of evidence and strength of recommendations in ATS guidelines and recommendations. American Journal of
Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 174(5):605-14, 2006.
Guyatt G, Gutterman D, Baumann M, Adrizzio-Harris D, Hylek E, Phillips B, Raskob G, Schünemann H. Grading Strength of Recommendations and Quality of Evidence in Clinical
Guidelines - Report from an ACCP working group. Chest 129(1):182-187, 2006.