2.

Metode moment (Barang Y)

Tahu Unit (Y) X X2 X.Y

n
2013 12.300 0 0 0
2014 13.600 1 1 13.600
2015 14.100 2 4 28.200
2016 15.200 3 9 45.600
2017 15.700 4 16 62.800
2018 16.900 5 25 84.500
2019 18.300 6 36 109.800
Jumlah (Σ) 106.100 21 91 344.500

ΣY = a.n + bΣX
ΣXY = a.ΣX + b. ΣX2

106.100 = 7a + 21b (x3) 318.300 = 21a + 63b

344.500 = 21a + 91b (x1) 344.500 = 21a + 91b –

-26.200 = -28b
b = -26.200
-28
b = 935,71

ΣY = a.n + bΣX Rumus :

106.100 = 7a + 935,71 (21) Y = a + bX

106.100 = 7a + 19.649,91 Y = 12.350,01 + 935,71 (7)

106.100 - 19.649,91 = 7a Y2020 = 12.350,01 + 6.549,97

86.450,09 = 7a Y = 18.899,98

a = 86.450,09

7 Jadi, penjualan perkiraan ( forecast penjualan ) tahun

a = 12.350,01 2020 sebesar 18.899,98 unit
  Metode moment (Barang Y)

Tahu Harga (Y) X X2 X.Y

n
2013 2.50 0 0 0
0
2014 2.60 1 1 2.600
0
2015 2.80 2 4 5.600
0
2016 3.00 3 9 9.000
0
2017 3.40 4 16 13.600
0
2018 3.50 5 25 17.500
0
2019 3.70 6 36 22.200
0
Jumlah (Σ) 21.500 21 91 70.500

ΣY = a.n + bΣX
ΣXY = a.ΣX + b. ΣX2

21.500 = 7a + 21b (x3) 64.500 = 21a + 63b

70.500 = 21a + 91b (x1) 70.500 = 21a + 91b

-6.000 = - 28b
b = -6.000
-28
b = 214,29

ΣY = a.n + bΣX Rumus :

21.500 = 7a + 214,29 (21) Y = a + bX

21.500 = 7a + 4.500 Y = 2.428,57 + 214,29 (7)

21.500 - 4.500 = 7a Y2020 = 2.428,57 + 1.500

17.000 = 7a Y = 3.928,57

a = 17.000

7 Jadi, penjualan perkiraan ( forecast penjualan ) tahun

a = 2.428,57 2020 seharga 3.928,57
2. Metode Moment (Barang Z)

Tahun Unit (Y) X X2 X.Y

2013 18.200 0 0 0
2014 18.800 1 1 18.800
2015 19.700 2 4 39.400
2016 20.500 3 9 61.500
2017 22.800 4 16 91.200
2018 23.100 5 25 115.500
2019 25.000 6 36 150.000
Jumlah (Σ) 148.100 21 91 476.400

ΣY = a.n + bΣX
ΣXY = a.ΣX + b. ΣX2

148.100 = 7a + 21b (x3) 444.300 = 21a + 63b

476.400= 21a + 91b (x1) 476.400 = 21a + 91b

-32.100 = - 28b
b = -32.100
-28

b = 1.146,43

ΣY = a.n + bΣX Rumus :

148.100 = 7a + 1.146,43 (21) Y = a + bX

148.100 = 7a + 24.075 Y = 17.717,86+ 1.146,43 (7)

148.100 - 24.075= 7a Y2020 = 17.717,86+ 8.025

124.025 = 7a Y = 25.742,86

a =124.025

7 Jadi, penjualan perkiraan ( forecast penjualan ) tahun

a = 17.717,86 2020 sebesar 25.742,86 unit
  Metode moment (Barang Z)

Tahu Harga (Y) X X2 X.Y

n
2013 3.00 0 0 0
0
2014 3.20 1 1 3.200
0
2015 3.90 2 4 7.800
0
2016 4.50 3 9 13.500
0
2017 5.00 4 16 20.000
0
2018 5.40 5 25 27.000
0
2019 5.60 6 36 33.600
0
Jumlah (Σ) 30.600 21 91 105.100
ΣY = a.n + bΣX
ΣXY = a.ΣX + b. ΣX2

30.600 = 7a + 21b (x3) 91.800 = 21a + 63b

105.100 = 21a + 91b (x1) 105.100 = 21a + 91b

-13.300 = - 28b

b = -13.300

-28
b = 475

ΣY = a.n + bΣX Rumus :

30.600 = 7a + 475 (21) Y = a + bX

30.600 = 7a + 9.975 Y = 2.946,43 + 475 (7)

30.600 - 9.975 = 7a Y2020 = 2.946,43 + 3.325

20.625 = 7a Y = 6.271,43

a = 20.625

7 Jadi, penjualan perkiraan ( forecast penjualan ) tahun

a = 2.946,43 2020 seharga 6.271,43