Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Baby Care 2014
Baby Care 2014
Baby Care 2014
Overview of Maternity Care and Baby Care Products Market by product type
Market Analysis
Known Names
Author : Suyash Tripathi
India’s Demographic
Dividend
• In the near future India will be the largest individual contributor to the global demographic transition
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• India’s young and burgeoning working age population is a competitive edge that sets Asia’s third largest economy apart from other
countries across the world
• Its workforce, those between 15 and 64, is expected to rise from almost 64 percent of its population in 2009 to 67 percent in 2020.
Meanwhile, China's is expected to start declining from 2014 resulting in a labor shortfall by 2050
• India’s long term growth relies on two factors: demographics and rising wealth. Its population of 1.2billion will reach 1.7billion in
October 2014
2050
India – Macroeconomic Factors
GDP Growth Rate of India and other major economies
India’s Demographic
Dividend
• Its population of 1.2billion will reach 1.7billion in 2050India’s per capita income has risen to INR 5,729 per month in FY’2013 from
INR 2,200 per month in FY’2001, recording a CAGR of 8.3% during the period.
• There are 50 Million babies in the age group of 0-2 years and 304.8 Million children are in the age group of 0-12 years
• The spending power of Y generation who spend a considerable proportion of their income on discretionary items, constitute a large
part of maternity and baby care products’ consumer base in the country.
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• The western countries are struggling to overcome from the declining birth rates and the baby care industry has reached a saturation
point in these countries.
• India has 25% more baby population when compared to China, thus highlighting the massive growth potential in baby care industry
in India
• Product innovation and development, deeper penetration in urban and rural areas and key focus on individual baby care product
October 2014
segments shall remain focal point of growth for existing and potential new players in this industry in the coming few years
Indian E-Commerce Sector Overview
E-Commerce Industry
Segmentation
504
Online retail market size and growth (INR Billion)
Author : Suyash Tripathi
Rs Billions 334
224
CAGR ~56%
139
91
58
24 38
15
October 2014
the CG peers
100.00% 0.96%
2.11%
0.91%
2.25%
0.84%
2.43%
0.78%
2.60%
0.74%
2.81%
0.72%
3.06%
Growth factors:
95.00% 4.04% 4.39% 4.32% Hair Care
4.24% 4.18% 4.24%
Convenience
90.00% 6.00%
Products Changing attitude of working
6.17% 6.43% 6.69% 6.96% 7.33%
Bath Care mothers towards baby care drives
Toiletries
growth
85.00%
6.17%
6.38% 6.52% Skin Care
7.03%
7.69%
7.92%
80.00% Baby Food
80.71% 79.90% 79.46% Population of 0-4 years is growing,
78.65%
75.00%
77.62% 76.73% providing tremendous opportunities
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013P
300.0
Metropolitan cities see large
200.0 spending due to dynamic, time
October 2014
• Indian Maternity & Baby Care Market ~INR 710 Million (USD 11.12 Bn)
• India Toy Industry is estimated to be growing at a CAGR of ~20%, catering to about 40 million kids across the country
• Change in spending pattern of the parents due to high disposable income and change in lifestyle
• Baby Food
• Skin Care
• Toiletries
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Bath Care
• Convenience Products
• Hair Care
• Maternity Products are overlaps with the Baby Care as well as Mother Care category.
October 2014
Maternity Care Category
Matrnity Care Products Market Size on Basis of Revenue in INR
Key Points Million, 2008-2013
12,000.00 11,184.40
9897
• Alongwith quality of life for the baby, the new generation is also 10,000.00 8451.9
beginning to understand and spend on quality life for expecting 8,000.00 7070.3
mother 5943.5
6,000.00 5323.6
• Preference of Indian consumers is from low quality–low price to
‘value for money’ and superior quality goods in the domestic 4,000.00
market
2,000.00
• New age maternity benefits from employers
0.00
• Grew from INR 5,328.6 million in 2008 to INR 11,184.4 million in
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2013
• Recorded a CAGR of 16.0% from 2008-2013
• A tremendous growth of nearly 19.0% from 2009-2010 Segmentation by Product Category
• Few prominent BM retailers are enjoying a major share -
Mothercare, Mom & Me, Nine etc
Pillows &
• Majorly divided into Maternity Apparels, Pillows and Cushions, Maternity Cushions
Books and CD’s, Creams &Lotions, Maternity Belts etc Apparels 5%
91%
Growth obstacles Books & CDs
Others 3%
• Unorganised sector working population has no access to 1%
maternity benefits
• Concentrated in Tier-I Cities
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Low penetration in Tier – II Cities Indian Maternity Products Market Future Projections (INR
Millions)
Growth Drivers 30
Thousands 24.7863
• Expected to remain niche segment, but huge growth potential 25 20.759
• Market majorly driven by mothers/women between 24-49 years 20 17.498
14.9493
• Women are becoming more fashion and quality conscious 15 12.9708
• The products are now spreading through all channels – special 10
October 2014
46291.9
• Market size reached INR 46,291.9 Million in
42068.2
50000
2013, compared to 27, 898.4 Million in 2008
37759.8
45000
33965.9
• Baby food industry saw a CAGR of 10.7% from 40000
30699.4
27898.4
35000
2008 - 2013
30000
• Slow growth rate in 2009 and 2010
25000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013P
• Parents do not compromise on the spending on
babies’ nutrition diet
Segments Speciality
Food
Author : Suyash Tripathi
2% Dried baby
• Dried baby food segment contributes to 61.3% of Food
Infant Milk 61%
total baby food market, Formula
37%
• Infant milk formula contributes 36.8%
28,375.00
• Increasing Baby Nutrition awareness combined with Revenue in INR Million, 2008-2013
25,000.00
rising personal disposable income 30,000.00
21,815.00
18,936.60
25,000.00
• Rising of Working Women population - from 9% in
16,267.20
13,890.50
2011 to 14% in 2012. Inadequate time to breastfeed 20,000.00
Key Points
Indian Infant Milk Formula Market Size on Basis of
Revenue in INR Million, 2008-2013
17,055.00
• Tier I and Tier II cities are preferred locations for
15,000.00
20,000
13,227.50
product launches
11,747.30
Author : Suyash Tripathi
10,475.60
15,000
9,375.00
• Baby Food products are affordable by only 1/4th of
population, hence pricing is a growth deterrent 10,000
2,350.60
• Market valued at INR 4,777.7 million in 2013,
2,083.90
in contrast to INR 2,134 million in 2008
1,728.50
Author : Suyash Tripathi
1,447.50
• Massage oils – approx 50%, creams and
1,281.40
1,261.30
1,165.70
1,151.70
1,075.30
1,008.60
moisturizers – 25%
850.80
796.70
688.90
652.60
585.30
583.30
500.00
482.30
1396.3
bathing additives such as bath oil 1500
1000
•Baby bath products except soap is
500
relatively low in India 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013P
•Valued at INR 2,556.4 million in 2013
1846.7
• Categories - 1000
1523.2
•Toys 800
1250.3
1036.6
600
865.4
•Baby Strollers
730.8
400
•Baby Cots 200
•Baby Furniture 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013P
•Car Seats
•Others (Baby Wipes, Feeding Bottles, Devices,
Health etc) Percentage Contribution of Convenience category subsegments
Others
Growth Drivers 2%
Car Seat
• Increasing population and consumerism 3% Bay Toys
43%
Author : Suyash Tripathi
Furniture
• Increasing count of dual income parents 11%
• Increased spending on safe and branded
convenience products Baby Cot
14%
• Easy accessibility to imported convenience
products
Baby Strollers
• Entry of international convenience product 27%
manufacturers in the Indian market
October 2014
436
401.5
• Low penetration in Rural and Urban areas 350
376.3
357
349
300
332.4
• Expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.8% from 250
2013-2018 as compared to moderate 200
growth of 5.6% during 2008-2013 150
100
Growth Drivers 50
0
• Marketing and advertising getting 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013P
aggressive
• Educated and vigilant parents India Baby Hair Care Products Sub-
• Advent of shopping mall culture segmentation by Revenue in INR Million,
2013
• Increasing penetration of CG companies in
rural areas Baby Shampoo
83%
Author : Suyash Tripathi
Growth Obstacles
• Orthodox beliefs in traditional, homemade
oils
Baby Hair Oil
• Use of massage oil as hair oil 12%
• Low sales of shampoo leads to lower sales Baby
of other haircare products
October 2014
Conditioners
5%
Indian Online Baby Care Products Market
Excitement Ahead! India Online Baby Care Market Size, INR Million 2008-13
2000
• Internet Penetration is rising
1800
• Population growth is huge 1600
• Ease of transactions is growing 1400
• Last mile delivery methods are evolving are 1200
1846.7
improving 1000
1523.2
800
1250.3
• Household incomes are rising
1036.6
600
865.4
• Consumer attitude are changing
730.8
400
• The E-retail of baby Care in India is expected 200
to transpire as one of the world’s fastest 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
growing baby care markets
• Strategic product innovation and
development shall remain key focus areas Product Categories - Contribution Percentage to Online Retail of Baby
Care Products
• Penetrating deep into urban areas, especially
rural areas shall remain the focal growth Other Toiletries
2% 33%
point of these companies
Author : Suyash Tripathi
Hair Care
• The online baby care products market was 2%
valued at INR 605 million in 2008, growing to Bath
Care Baby Apparels
INR 1,879.0 million in 2013 2%
Skin
32%
Care Convenience
• CAGR of 25.4% for the review period, 2008- 4% Products
2013! Baby Food 21%
• Toiletries – highest contribution (33.5%) 4%
October 2014
• Firstcry.com
• Babyoye.com
• Hopscotch.com
• Redlily.com
• Flipkart.com
• Snapdeal.com
• Amazon.com
• Momandmeshop.in
• Healthkart.com
• Ebay.in
• Shopclues.com
• Sunbabyindia.com
• Kidloo.com
• Myntra.com (apparels)
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Littlesindia.com (Only
listing)
• In.pamper.com (Only
listing)
• Huggies.co.in (Only
listing)
October 2014
Indian Online Baby Care Products Market
Popular Brands in India
# of
Players Best Sellers Average Order Size/day Sourcing Methods
Orders/day
• Customers in online
Author : Suyash Tripathi
together
Known Names
• Founded in 2012, brainchild of ex Diaper.com executives Rahul Anand and Lisa Kennedy
• Model – Flash Boutique Sales, International Brands, Pre-booking on flash sales
• Raised seed investment from unknown investors; received $2Million in Feb 2014 from Lionrock, Nisa Godrej, Skype co-founder Toivo Annus and
Diapers CTO Wei Yan
• 400 odd niche brands – domestic and international
• Premise – Access to modern Indian mom to international brands and products
• Store everything in Mumbai warehouse, ship and deliver within 2-5 business days
• Acquired school supplies e-tailer SkoolShop, in a stock and cash deal in May 2014
• Target revenue goal for 2014 is $3.5-4 million (Rs 25 crore)
• Price range – Rs 79 to Rs 15000.
• Average Ticket Size – Rs 1500 – Rs 2000.
• Positives –
o Flash Sales model – attractive for high ticket value customers
o Flash Sales models help in keeping inventory low, hence low carrying cost
o Chirpy UI on the website
o Pre-order – plus point in inventory and order management
Author : Suyash Tripathi
o Low funding
Known Names
• Founded in 2010, by husband-wife duo of Sanjay Nadkarni and Arunima Singhdeo under Nest Childcare Services Pvt Ltd.
• Range of 4,000 products including Pampers diapers, Chicco food, Johnson’s skin care range and cycle-maker BSA’s prams and walkers. Babyoye.com
delivers to 20,000 cities and towns in India.
• Targeting about Rs 250 crore in revenue in two years – CY 2013 and 2014
• Undisclosed funding by actress Karishma Kapoor in Dec 2011; $2.5 Million from Accel Partners and Tiger Global in April 2011;
• Acquired hoopos in an all stock deal in Apr 2013,; merged entity has raised $12 Million from Helion , Accel and Tiger Global.
• Has joined hands with Umang Foundation who will help them to donate clothes to needy babies and children
• TVC Campaign - http://www.adforum.com/creative-work/ad/player/34481051
• Positives –
o Huge product assortment
o Easy and simple to use category assortment on website
o Lesser clicks to reach the product page
• Negatives -
o Reportedly running low on funding
o Poor customer reviews on products, delivery as well as returns
o Zero marketing after initial TVC
Author : Suyash Tripathi
Feature Comparison
Firstcry.com Momandmeshop.in Hopscotch.in Babyoye.com Amazon.in Flipkart.com Snapdeal.com
Brands 550+ 70+ 400+ 400+ 500+ 400+ ~400
Shops/ Stores Yes No No Yes No Yes Yes
*Categories taken by the count of categories on the website serving babycare/babywear produts, subject to individual opinion
The Baby Care online market is growing
30.00%
25.40% 24.90%
25.00% CAGR
20.40%
20.00% 16.40%
15.30% 16%
15.00% 11.80% 12.90% 11.80%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
Baby Food Skin Care Toiletries/Diaper Bath Care Convenience Hair Care Maternity Care Online Baby Care Toys
Products Market
• The online baby care products market was grew to INR 1,879.0 million in 2013 with a CAGR of 25.4% from 2008-2013.
• Accel estimates predict that the Annualized GMV of online shopping in India (including all categories) will reach $8.52 Bn in 2016!
9000 8519
8000
Author : Suyash Tripathi
7000
6000
5000 Annualised Online Shopping GMV (USD Mn)
4000
3000
1983
2000
816
1000
October 2014
0
CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2016P
… but there is a long way to go
Current estimates
suggest that But the category
although Baby Care accounts to only 3%
contributes to 8% of the GMV
online retail
October 2014
transactions
Looking Forward – Take 1
Opportunity for Snapdeal
The online baby care products market grew to INR 1,879.0 million in 2013 with a CAGR of 25.4% from 2008-2013
Considering 2 growth rates – 10% (conservative) and 20% (aggressive), within which Snapdeal’s share to be assumed 5% (conservative), 25%
(aggressive) to 40% (overpowering)
Baby Care in 2013 Baby Care in 2014 @ 10% Growth Baby Care in 2014 @ 20% Growth
E-tail Category Size – INR Bn. 1.89 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.27 2.27 2.27
E-tail Category share in
5% 5% 25% 40% 5% 25% 40%
Market
Market Share – INR Bn 94,500,000 103,950,000 520,000,000 832,000,000 113,400,000 567,000,000 907,200,000
USD Mn (@60 INR /USD) 1.89 2.079 10.4 16.640 2,268 11,340 18,144
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Under the assumption of Conservative or Aggressive growth of the market, Snapdeal can look towards its future steps and determine
the extent of involvement in this category using promotions, sales, category and product catalogue expansion , strategic tie-ups and
new avenues to target a Conservative, Aggressive or Overpowering share in the online baby care industry market
• Revenue targets can be anywhere between INR 100 Million to INR 500 Million, with superpowered growth coming from Aggressive
estimates pointing to INR 900 Million
October 2014
• This converts to ~$2 million to $10 Million in moderate estimates and 2.25 to 18.14 Mn in superpowered growth
Looking Forward – Take 2
Taking the market estimates from Accel reports, the current E-Retail industry revenues were estimated to be $1.983 Bn in 2013
The predicted E-Retail revenue in 2014 is ~$2.5 Bn, and for 2016 the revenues are predicted to be $8.519 Bn, owing to growing internet
penetration, increasing adoption of technology by Generation Y , higher conversion rates for online shoppers and increase in the organised
retail sector in India
• Under the assumptions of this alternate methodology, the market to target in 2014 is approx 75 Million, and at 5% to 40% share of
market in 2014, the revenues can touch the tune of ~$3.8 Mn to ~$30 Mn.
• For a future outlook, the same methodology gives an estimated revenue of ~$12 Mn to ~ $102 Mn , for 5% to 40% market share
when the predicted Market Size is $8.5 Billion
• If we consider the category to grow at 5%, there is a potential of growing the revenues from this category to the tune of 3-10 times
October 2014
• With the modern day access to corporate funding, the entry barriers (in financial context) are low
• However, more than the expertise in website, technology, and financial management, the online baby care segment needs expertise
• Government policies prohibit foreign retailers to start e-shops, however this rule is easily circumvented by using a marketplace model
• Cost disadvantages are independent of size, and in the long run only the horse with large feed can keep on running
• A new competitor might not achieve the economies of scale and scope, both of which are important to have in this segment
• Product, delivery and service levels differentiation matters a lot, and its difficult to achieve all these at the entry level
• A sensitive category, hence the brand equity matters. A new mother will trust a known brand over a new one, and same goes for the
online seller.
• The category has lesser players, and hence there is usually no threat of retaliation to a new entrant
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Access to distribution and operational efficiency is important, and it grows with experience
• The customers tend to switch between websites for their requirements, hence there is low loyalty and easy switching, making the
• Industry profitability is moderate to low, esp. since ticket sizes are smaller, there are more CG products involved (which usually have
October 2014
lower margins) and fixed delivery costs per product are higher than other bigger products
.... for all factors
Competition and available sources of
access to end customers
• The Indian Baby care products market is still in nascent stage, with low points of sale of good
quality, reliable products
• The population still considers some primitive products (cloth nappy, home made oils) to be better
for baby care
• The major web players are not big enough. Competing is relatively easier as compared to categories
like Books, Mobiles etc
• It is easy for consumers to switch to another website if they have a bad experience
• There is a high propensity of the customer to substitute and switch, with almost no switching cost
• Product differentiation matters, since its easy to substitute between lower end, easily available
Author : Suyash Tripathi
products
• Long tail of the category can serve as a profitable business, esp. with rare items like bassinets, baby
care devices, training materials for mothers etc
• Customers have more buying power, esp. in the Indian e-retail scenario, where all players are
October 2014
focused towards improving the service level and outpacing the competition at any cost
Author : Suyash Tripathi
October 2014
Observations/Suggestions
Marketing
Strategies
• Put the marketing spend on TV and Digital, but also reach out to customers through traditional channels
• Employ sales force to set up app and website demo camps in malls, RWA Society campus, Fairs, Events
• Market Snapdeal to Analysts by more frequent interactions and highlight the baby care category
• Traffic increases with app install count increase, so educate the customers and let the sales force do it for them through
• Content marketing will be the new SEO, grab on to it – Snapdeal should work more on Content Marketing.
• Learn from global Retailers like Williams Sonoma, and Woolworths’ websites
• Helps in increasing traffic, conversion of viewers into customers and retention/repeat visit to website
• Contests like ‘Smart SD Kid ‘should have more Social Media buzz and Home page presence on the website
October 2014
• Survey the users, reward them for completion, use the data
• Make/Offer weekly/monthly baskets for them to fill in, and send mail/SMS reminders – helps in retention/loyalty
• More emphasis on predictive analysis for to give out tailored deals and alerts to customers
• Pre-order is the buzz word – ask the users to register and then pre-order exclusive merchandise
• Bundle the pre delivery and post delivery products, either as a combo, on in a phased sale/discount (a part of the discount can be
availed on products before child delivery and a part to be availed for post delivery products). This will increase reach, repeated
• Add a dedicated ‘Services ‘catalogue – Nannies on call, Exercise trainers and Yoga teachers, Caretakers etc
• Make ‘Baby Gifting’ a more prominent category – Gifts for Baby Showers, Post delivery celebrations, 1st birthdays - potentially big market
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Customers should be able to see on the website how the gift will look in packed condition
• Products missing from the catalog –Devices for Baby lights n music, CDs n Media (mostly longtail products)
• Make the UI more colorful and use rich content – 85% product decisions are made at the visual appearance and colours are the best way
October 2014
• Tie ups with Yoga practitioners – Yoga and exercises for expecting mothers and new mothers to keep them healthy.
• To be a helping hand and guide when they might be looking for advice
• To market specialty products and give them a bundle of products+services (for pre delivery or post delivery care)
• Tie-ups for exclusive merchandise and pre-ordering them will lead to increased traffic and sales
Growth
Planning
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Strategic Tie Ups for exclusive offers and products (with emphasis on a long term relationship)
• Market is expanding and hence its advised to keep a foresight into the consolidation that should happen after a boom
October 2014
• Important to remember that end customer doesn't look at only the product, price or delivery, but also looks at the facts like
product quality, usage and convenience related to it. Hence product landing page should have more informational features
• In strategic partnerships with trainers/maternity and infant care advisors, it is important to have a thorough background and
eligibility check. Same goes for domestic baby care products suppliers, esp. for non-branded items
Technology
• Alt texts important for features like 'Register your baby' - The customer has to know about the feature and what to expect from it
Author : Suyash Tripathi
• Use ‘Gamification’ to help attract the customer and keep their interest in the product profile
• Use of mobile technology in portable kiosks, pop-up stores etc should be incorporated
• Use clickable videos on kiosks and pop-up stores
• Adopt SMAC for competitive advantage over peers
• Bring in shopping assistance. For a category like Baby Care, customers welcome suggestions and help
October 2014
Thanks