CHURA APAZA HERNAN RUBEN CI:6887482

P-1
tabla 1 tabla de datos ejecicio
n Xi Yi Xi*Yi Xi² Yi²
1 189 402 75978 35721 161604
2 190 404 76760 36100 163216
3 208 412 85696 43264 169744
4 227 425 96475 51529 180625
5 239 429 102531 57121 184041
6 252 436 109872 63504 190096
7 257 440 113080 66049 193600
8 274 447 122478 75076 199809
9 293 458 134194 85849 209764
10 308 469 144452 94864 219961
11 316 469 148204 99856 219961
∑ 2753 4791 1209720 708933 2092421

a) lineal
𝑛 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖− 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖 11∗1209720−2753∗4791
b= = =0,535
𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)² 11∗708933−(2753)²
r=
𝑋𝑖² 𝑌𝑖− 𝑋𝑖 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖 708933∗4791−2753∗1209720
[
a= = = 301,654
𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)² 11∗708933−(2753)²
r=
Ý=a+b*x

Ý= 301.654 + 0.535X

a) exponencial

n Xi Yi Yi*=Ln yi Xi Yi* Xi² Y*²

1 189 402 5.9965 1133.3294 35721 35.9574
2 190 404 6.0014 1140.2688 36100 36.0170
3 208 412 6.0210 1252.3729 43264 36.2527
4 227 425 6.0521 1373.8242 51529 36.6278
5 239 429 6.0615 1448.6882 57121 36.7413
6 252 436 6.0776 1531.5658 63504 36.9377
7 257 440 6.0868 1564.3011 66049 37.0488
 8 274 447 6.1026 1672.1011 75076 37.2412
9 293 458 6.1269 1795.1727 85849 37.5385
10 308 469 6.1506 1894.3857 94864 37.8299
11 316 469 6.1506 1943.5905 99856 37.8299
∑ 2753 66.8275 16749.6004 708933 406.0223

𝑛 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖∗ 11∗16749,6004−2753∗66,8275

b= = =0,001229
𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)² 11∗708933−(2753)²

𝑋𝑖² 𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖∗ 708933∗66,8275−2753∗16749,6004

a*= = = 5,76760
𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)² 11∗708933−(2753)²

Y* = a* + b X y* = 5.76760 + 0.001229 X
𝑛
r=
[𝑛
a* = lna 𝑎 = 𝑒 𝑎∗ 𝑋

r=
𝑎 = 𝑒 𝑎∗ = 𝑒 5,76760 =319,7694

a=319.7694 b=0.001229

𝑦 = 𝑎 ∗ 𝑒 𝑏𝑥

𝑦 = 319,7694 ∗ 𝑒 0,001229 𝑥

a) potencial
n Xi Yi Xi*=LogXi Yi*=LogYi Xi *Yi* Xi*²
1 189 402 2.2765 2.6042 5.9284 5.1823
2 190 404 2.2788 2.6064 5.9393 5.1927
3 208 412 2.3181 2.6149 6.0615 5.3734
4 227 425 2.3560 2.6284 6.1926 5.5509
5 239 429 2.3784 2.6325 6.2610 5.6568
6 252 436 2.4014 2.6395 6.3385 5.7667
7 257 440 2.4099 2.6435 6.3705 5.8078
 8 274 447 2.4378 2.6503 6.4608 5.9426
9 293 458 2.4669 2.6609 6.5640 6.0854
10 308 469 2.4886 2.6712 6.6473 6.1929
11 316 469 2.4997 2.6712 6.6771 6.2484
∑ 26.3119 29.0228 69.4410 62.9999

𝑛 𝑋𝑖∗𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖∗ 𝑌𝑖∗ 11∗69,4410−26,3119∗29,0228

b= = =0,30167
𝑛 𝑋𝑖∗2 −( 𝑋𝑖∗)² 11∗62,9999−(26,3119)²

𝑋𝑖∗² 𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖∗ 𝑋𝑖∗𝑌𝑖∗ 62,9999∗29,0228−26,3119∗69,4410

a*= = =1,9168
𝑛 𝑋𝑖 ∗2 −( 𝑋𝑖∗)² 11∗62,9999−(26,3119)²

𝑌 ∗= 𝑎 ∗ +𝑏 𝑋 ∗

𝑌 ∗= 1,9168 + 0,30167 𝑋 ∗ 𝑛 𝑋𝑖
aplicando la propiedad de logaritmos r=
[𝑛 𝑋
𝑎 ∗= log 𝑎
𝑎 = 10𝑎∗

r=
𝑎∗ 1,9168
𝑎 = 10 = 10 = 82,5658

𝒂 = 82,5658 𝒃 = 𝟎, 𝟑𝟎𝟏𝟔𝟕

y= 𝑎 ∗ 𝑥 𝑏

y= 82,5658 ∗ 𝑥 0,30167

a) Cuadratica 𝒚 = 𝒂 + 𝒃𝒙 + 𝒄 𝒙²
n Xi Yi Xi² Xi³ Xi⁴ Xi Yi
1 189 402 35721.0 6751269.0 1275989841.0 75978.0
2 190 404 36100.0 6859000.0 1303210000.0 76760.0
3 208 412 43264.0 8998912.0 1871773696.0 85696.0
4 227 425 51529.0 11697083.0 2655237841.0 96475.0
5 239 429 57121.0 13651919.0 3262808641.0 102531.0
6 252 436 63504.0 16003008.0 4032758016.0 109872.0
7 257 440 66049.0 16974593.0 4362470401.0 113080.0
8 274 447 75076.0 20570824.0 5636405776.0 122478.0
 9 293 458 85849.0 25153757.0 7370050801.0 134194.0
10 308 469 94864.0 29218112.0 8999178496.0 144452.0
11 316 469 99856.0 31554496.0 9971220736.0 148204.0
∑ 2753 4791 708933.0 187432973.0 50741104245.0 1209720.0

𝑦𝑖 = 𝑎 ∗ 𝑛 + 𝑏 𝑥𝑖 + 𝑐 𝑥𝑖²
𝑥𝑖𝑦𝑖 = 𝑎 𝑥𝑖 + 𝑏 𝑥𝑖 2 + 𝑐 𝑥𝑖³
𝑥𝑖²𝑦𝑖 = 𝑎 𝑥𝑖² + 𝑏 𝑥𝑖 3 + 𝑐 𝑥𝑖⁴
reemplazando datos

𝟒𝟕𝟗𝟏 = 𝟏𝟏𝒂 + 𝟐𝟕𝟓𝟑𝒃 + 𝟕𝟎𝟖𝟗𝟑𝟑𝒄

𝟏𝟐𝟎𝟗𝟕𝟐𝟎 = 𝟐𝟕𝟓𝟑𝒂 + 𝟕𝟎𝟖𝟗𝟑𝟑𝒃 + 𝟏𝟖𝟕𝟒𝟑𝟐𝟗𝟕𝟑𝒄
314124542 = 𝟕𝟎𝟖𝟗𝟑𝟑𝒂 + 𝟏𝟖𝟕𝟒𝟑𝟐𝟗𝟕𝟑𝒃 + 𝟓𝟎𝟕𝟒𝟏𝟏𝟎𝟒𝟐𝟒𝟓𝒄
resolviendo ecuaciones

𝒂 = 𝟐𝟗𝟖, 𝟗𝟓𝟑𝟎

𝒃 = 𝟎, 𝟓𝟓𝟕𝟏

𝒄 = - 0,000044137

𝒚 = 𝒂 + 𝒃𝒙 + 𝒄 𝒙²
𝒚 = 𝟐𝟗𝟖, 𝟗𝟓𝟑𝟎 + 𝟎, 𝟓𝟓𝟕𝟏𝒙 − 𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟒𝟒𝟏𝟑𝟕 𝒙²

C) Cuadratica
n Xi Yi LINEAL
1 189 402 480
2 190 404 470
3 208 412 y = 0.535x + 301.65
460
4 227 425
450
R² = 0.9969
5 239 429
6 252 436 440
7 257 440 430
8 274 447 420
9 293 458 410
 410
10 308 469 400
11 316 469
390
0 50 100 150 200

EL MEJOR FUNCION DE CORRELACION EL EL DE LINEAL

𝒓= 𝟎, 𝟗𝟗𝟔𝟗 = 𝟎, 𝟗𝟗𝟖𝟒
 Lineal
480

470 y = 0.535x + 301.65

R² = 0.9969
460

450

440

430

420

410

400

390
180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300

𝑛 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖− 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖 11∗1209720−2753∗4791
r= = =0,9984
[𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)²][𝑛 𝑌𝑖 2 − 𝑌𝑖 2 ] [11∗708933−(2753)²][11∗2092421−(4791)²]

0.998425 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION EN EXCEL

Exponencial
480

470
y = 319.76e
460
R² = 0.9963
 450

440

430

420

410

400

390
0 50 100 150 200

𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖∗ 11∗16749,6004−2753∗66,8275

= = 1,0001
𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)²][𝑛 𝑌𝑖∗2 − 𝑌𝑖∗ 2 ] [11∗708933−(2753)²][11∗406,0223−(66,8275)²]

0.9981659 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION EN EXCEL

Y*² POTENCIAL
6.7820 480
6.7932
6.8377 470
6.9084
6.9298
6.9669
460
y = 82.382x0.3021
6.9878 450
R² = 0.9946
 y = 82.382x
7.0241
450
R² = 0.9946
7.0802 440
7.1352
7.1352 430
76.5806
420

410

400

390
0 50 100 150 200 250

𝑋𝑖∗𝑌𝑖∗− 𝑋𝑖∗ 𝑌𝑖∗ 11∗69,4410−26,3119∗29,0228

= =0,98784
𝑋𝑖 ∗2 −( 𝑋𝑖∗)²][𝑛 𝑌𝑖∗2 − 𝑌𝑖∗ 2 ] [11∗62,9999−(26,3119)²][11∗76,5806−(29,0228)²]

0.9973 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION EN EXCEL

Xi²Yi Yi²
POLINOMICA
14359842.0 161604
14584400.0 163216 480

17824768.0 169744
21899825.0 180625 470
24504909.0 184041 y = -4E-05x2 + 0.5571x +
27687744.0 190096 460 R² = 0.9969
29061560.0 193600
33558972.0 199809 450
 450
39318842.0 209764
44491216.0 219961
440
46832464.0 219961
314124542.0 2092421.0
430

420

410

400

390
0 50 100 150

𝑛 𝑋𝑖𝑌𝑖− 𝑋𝑖 𝑌𝑖 11∗1209720−2753∗4791
r= = =
[𝑛 𝑋𝑖 2 −( 𝑋𝑖)²][𝑛 𝑌𝑖 2 − 𝑌𝑖 2 ] [11∗708933−(2753)²][11∗2092421−(4791)²]

r= 0.998424604
250 300 350
 Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.9984246
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.99685169
R^2 ajustado 0.99650188
Error típico 1.41487795
310 320 330 Observaciones 11

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresión 1 5704.71036 5704.71036
Residuos 9 18.0169165 2.00187961

Total 10 5722.72727

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t

Intercepción 301.653986 2.54417987 118.566297
Variable X 1 0.53498226 0.0100217 53.3823664

onencial

= 319.76e0.0012x
R² = 0.9963
 200 250 300 350

0001
 250 300 350

0,98784

POLINOMICA

+ 0.5571x + 298.95
R² = 0.9969
150 200 250 300 350

=0,9984
]
 F Valor crítico de F
2849.67704 1.4279E-12

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

1.0967E-15 295.898651 307.40932 295.898651 307.40932
1.4279E-12 0.51231159 0.55765293 0.51231159 0.55765293