JOINT STRATEGIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT (JSNA)

ETHNIC GROUPS AND TRENDS IN ETHNICITY 2018

November 2018
Business Performance
Ethnicity in Hillingdon
According to the Greater London Authority in 2018, in Hillingdon 41.7% of the population
are White British, 8.3% are White Other and 50% are from Black & Minority Ethnic
groups. The following graphs show the current ethnic group percentages in Hillingdon
and the projected percentages in 2023 (all ages):

(source: GLA Ethnic Group Projections, 2016 based, published November 2017).

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Population Numbers 2018 and 2023

Ethnic group 2018 2023 Hillingdon London

2018 2018

White British 129,360 122,200 41.7% 39.4%

White Other 31,640 35,200 10.2% 17.4%

Mixed 15,010 17,070 4.8% 5.6%

Asian 94,420 106,050 30.5% 20.1%

Black 27,130 30,320 8.8% 13.3%

Other 12,340 14,330 4.0% 3.9%

Total 309,900 325,140

Source: GLA, Ethnic Group Projections 2016

Population estimates for Hillingdon suggest that BAME groups are increasing as a
proportion of the population, with the corresponding reduction in the White ethnic
groups.

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Changes in ethnicity in Hillingdon

The following graphs show the projected changes in ethnicity between 2018 and 2023 in
the borough. The biggest changes between those years can be seen in the White
(decreasing) and Asian (increasing) ethnic groups:

Source: GLA Ethnic Group Population Projections, based on mid-2016 population estimates (released November
2017)

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groups: Trends in Ethnicity
Census 2011

The 2011 Census is still the current source of ethnicity data at ward level.

Ethnic group Size of Hillingdon Hillingdon London England

population

White British 143,000 52% 45% 80%

White Other 23,000 8.4% 15% 6.0%

All Mixed 10,000 3.8% 5.0% 2.3%

All Asian 69,000 25% 18% 7.8%

All Black 20,000 7.3% 13% 3.5%

All Other 8,000 3.0% 3.0% 1.0%

Source: Census 2011, table KS201

Pyramid graphs
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The graphs that follow show the population pyramid for Hillingdon, London and England
from the 2011 Census.
The population pyramids show the size of the population by:
 5-year age-band
o 0-4, 5-9 etc, on to 80-84, and finally 85+
 sex
o bars representing the size of the male population are left of centre
o bars representing the size of the female population are right of centre
 ethnic group
o 18 ethnic groups are shown
The lines around the outside of the population pyramid show the distribution of the
population if the population graphed followed the age and sex distribution of the
Hillingdon population.

The population pyramids follow the same

colour coding with regards to ethnic group.
The bars representing the male population
size are a shade darker than the bars
representing the female population size;
hence bars to the left of centre are slightly
darker than the bars to the right of centre.

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The population of Hillingdon has a different age structure when compared with London.
In general, Hillingdon has a higher proportion of 5-19 and 50+ year olds, but a smaller
proportion of 25-39 year olds. In London 55% of the population are from Black and
minority ethnic (BME) communities; in Hillingdon 48% of the population are from BME
communities.

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The population of Hillingdon has a different age structure when compared with England.
In general, Hillingdon has a higher proportion of 0-39 year olds, but a smaller proportion
of 45+ year olds.
The proportion of the population in Hillingdon from BME communities (48%) is much
larger than the proportion found in England (20% BME).

Hillingdon Ward Populations

The proportion of ward populations from different ethnic groups varies throughout the
Borough. The chart on the following page shows the proportions of ethnic groups in
Hillingdon’s wards.

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Ethnic groups: by Locality