Professional Documents
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RESEARCH PROJECT Work
RESEARCH PROJECT Work
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CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the Research Project titled as “Factors Influencing Consumers
Buying Towards Gold” is an academic work done by Ms. Snigdha Dhupal and Mr.
Jitesh Kadam submitted in the partial fulfilment of the requirement for the award of
Degree of Masters of Business Administration in Business Analytics at University
School of Management and Entrepreneurship, Delhi Technological University under
my guidance and direction. To the best of my knowledge and belief, the data and
information present by her in the project has not been submitted anywhere.
Signature
Dr. Pallavi Gupta
Guest Faculty
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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CHAPTER 1:
INTRODUCTION
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1.1 Introduction
Gold is rare among metals. But it can be seen everywhere, from jewellery to
technology. Unlike any other metals sometimes gold, the shiny precious yellow metal
creates some emotional attachments among people. Gold also plays a huge position in
the economy of a country .The year 2019 fired up discussions on ‘Gold’, the yellow
metal or rather a costly non-essential item for many in India. Gold’s unique demand
and supply dynamics ensures its role as a true diversifier for investors.
India witnessed a sharp 35 per cent drop in demand for gold in 2020. The country saw
demand for 446.4 tonnes of gold compared to 690.4 tonnes in 2019 as Covid-19-
induced lockdowns and high prices disrupted the business. This is the lowest demand
for gold since 1995. Total jewellery demand in India for 2020 was down by 42 per
cent at 315.9 tonnes as compared to 544.6 tonnes in 2019. The value of jewellery
demand in 2020 was Rs 1.33 lakh crore, down by 22 per cent from 2019 (Rs 1.71 lakh
crore), according to the World Gold Council (WGC). Total investment demand for
2020 was down by 11 per cent at 130.4 tonnes in comparison to 145.8 tonnes in 2019.
In value terms, gold investment demand was Rs 55,020 crore, up by 20 per cent from
2019 (Rs 45,980 crore.
Prior to the emergence of behavioural finance, the general thinking was that traditional
finance theory is accurate because it states that investors think rationally and make
deliberate decisions, based on various estimations or using economic models.
Traditional finance theory assumes that each person has stable, well-defined
preferences and that agents rationally maximise those preferences. The concept of the
rational man has dominated economics and finance theories for more than 50 years.
The rational man is assumed to be economical, rational, knowledgeable, and skilful in
calculating the probabilities of each alternative, and then to choose the best alternative
that maximizes his utility for the lowest cost (Simon 1955).
Normal investors do not make decisions as a computer program does; they are subject
to cognitive psychology. Normal investors have limitations in processing a
tremendous amount of financial information, thus they rely on heuristics (problem-
solving method that uses shortcuts to produce good-enough solutions given a limited
time frame or deadline). This could lead to bias or less-than-optimal decisions. The
bias decisions made by individuals influence their portfolio performance at the
personal level and at the market level, as well as influence stock prices and the market
(Alsedrah & Noryati, 2014).
The realities and conclusions put forward by prospect and cumulative prospect theory
is that loss aversion, disposition effect, reference point, mental accounting and
behavioural/heuristic biases play important role in shaping the cognitive behaviour of
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investors in financial market rather than the rationalism provided by the traditional
finance theories. There is a huge psychology literature documenting that people make
systematic errors in the way that they think; they are over confident, they see past
events as having been predictable, they put too much weight on recent experience etc.
this preference may create distortion. The field of behavioural finance attempts to
investigate the psychological and sociological issues that influence investment
decisions making process of individual and institutional investors.
The gold market in India is predominantly a market for buying and selling physical
gold and gold in the form of ornaments. Gold in India serves many functions and
wearing it, has several implications. It is considered as a status symbol. India is
considered to be the fastest growing market in the world for gold jewellery. It is
valued in India as a savings and investment vehicle and is the second preferred
investment option after deposits and mutual funds. Its consumption is much higher in
India than in other countries. Consumer buying behaviour has changed dramatically in
the past few years and they are being influenced by family, friends, reference groups
and society in general. Indian consumers are becoming more aware and quality
conscious. Understanding the consumers is not an easy task as it is very difficult to
infer what is going on in consumers mind. Hence, this study deals with the purchase
behaviour of jewellery buyers in New Delhi city.
Even if the nature of the research has not been clear to the layperson from the
hypotheses, s/he should be able to understand the research from the objectives. Setting
objectives is important for each and every study. Without the determination of the
objectives there is no sense of conducting a study, so there are certain objectives for
each and every study conducted. Some of the objectives of two different studies can be
same but not all the objectives should be same.
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1.3 Review of Literature
A literature survey or a literature review in a project report is that section which shows
the various analyses and research made in the field of your interest and the results
already published, taking into account the various parameters of the project and the
extent of the project.
It is the most important part of your report as it gives you a direction in the area of
your research. It helps you set a goal for your analysis - thus giving you your problem
statement.
Once the problem is formulated, the researcher undertakes an extensive
literature survey also known as review of literature connected with the problem. The
literature survey undertaken here includes the papers and different websites from the
internet.
The research project was to examine factors influencing consumer buying behaviour
towards gold like purpose factors and influencing factors.
The new discipline – behavioural finance has begun to develop after gathering enough
information that confirm particular human behaviour which is contrary to traditional
finance theory. Behavioural finance can be defined as “a subject that
attempts to explain the behaviour of investors through psychology” (Baddeley
2012). It attempts to better understand and explain how emotions and cognitive errors
influence investors (Shefrin, 2011).
The large field can be subdivided into Micro Behavioural Finance (MIBF) and Macro
Behavioural Finance (MABF). MIBF examines the biases (irrationality) of individual
investors’ behaviour and decision-making. On the other hand, MABF attempts to
explain anomalies in the stock market that contradict the efficient market hypothesis
(Pompian 2012). Behavioural finance assumes that not all investors are rational.
Investors are human, thus, the decision made can be influenced by cognitive
psychology and emotion (Aigbovo & Ezuem, 2018). This type of investor represents
most of us, the “normal” investors (Statman, 2014).
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1.4 Research Methodology
Research is a process in which the researcher wishes to find out the end result for a
given problem and thus the solution helps in future course of action.
The procedure using, which researchers go about their work of describing, explaining
and predicting phenomena, is called Methodology. Methods compromise the
procedures used for generating, collecting, and evaluating data. Methods are the ways
of obtaining information useful for assessing explanation.
Qualitative research is empirical research where the data are not in the form of
numbers. Qualitative research is multimethod in focus, involving an interpretive,
naturalistic approach to its subject matter. This means that qualitative researchers
study things in their natural settings, attempting to make sense of, or interpret,
phenomena in terms of the meanings people bring to them. An interest in qualitative
data came about as the result of the dissatisfaction of some psychologists (e.g., Carl
Rogers) with the scientific study of psychologists such as the behaviourists (e.g.,
Skinner).
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The aim of qualitative research is to understand the social reality of individuals,
groups and cultures as nearly as possible as its participants feel it or live it. Thus,
people and groups, are studied in their natural setting.
Since psychologists’ study people, the traditional approach to science is not seen as an
appropriate way of carrying out research, since it fails to capture the totality of human
experience and the essence of what it is to be human. Exploring the experience of
participants is known as a phenomenological approach (re: Humanism).
Quantitative Research
Quantitative research is empirical research where the data is in the form of numbers.
Quantitative research gathers data in a numerical form which can be put into
categories, or in rank order, or measured in units of measurement. This type of data
can be used to construct graphs and tables of raw data.
In exploratory research design, the researcher’s ideas and thoughts are key as it is
primarily dependent on their personal inclination about a particular topic. Explanation
about unexplored aspects of a subject is provided along with details about what, how
and why related to the research questions.
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It relies on both secondary data, particularly existing databases that are reanalysed to
shed light on a different problem than the original one for which they were constituted,
and primary research, or data specifically gathered for the current study.
Analytical research is a specific type of research that involves critical thinking skills
and the evaluation of facts and information relative to the research being conducted. A
variety of people including students, doctors and psychologists use analytical research
during studies to find the most relevant information. From analytical research, a
person finds out critical details to add new ideas to the material being produced.
In a server consolidation project, data collection would include not just a physical
inventory of all servers, but also an exact description of what is installed on each
server - the operating system, middleware and the application or database that the
server supports.
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1.4.4 Data Collection Method
The major source for the data collection for the study is the primary source of
collection of data, i.e., with the help of the questionnaire but at the same time some of
the data collected for the purpose of analysis and interpretation is also collected from
the secondary source of collection of data, i.e., data available on the internet, collected
by some other person for some other study with some similar kind of objective.
1. Primary Data
Primary data are those, which are collected for the first time, and they are original in
character. A suitable combination of Questionnaire techniques. Primary data gives
higher accuracy and facts, which is very helpful for any research and its findings. I
have collected primary data from questionnaire (online forms).
2. Secondary Data
The secondary data are those, which are already collected by someone for some
purpose and are available for the present study. Secondary data was collected from the
websites, and other such sources.
Sampling Design
It includes size of sample and the technique that we use for selecting the different
items from the sample. A sampling design is a definite plan for obtaining a sample
from a given population. It refers to the technique that the researcher adopts in
selecting items for the sample.
It should be ensured in the sampling process itself that the sample selected id the true
representative of the population.
Sample Size
By sample size we mean that the number of people to be selected to make a sample. A
sample size should be sufficient enough that can serve our purpose of the study. It
should have Efficiency, Flexibility, and Reliability.
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Sample Size 400
Sampling Unit Individual Persons
Sampling Procedure Simple Random Sampling
Sampling Method Questionnaire
Type of Data Primary
Area of Survey Delhi
Although sincere efforts have been made to collect the maximum information from the
respondents, but even then the report is subject to some limitations.
1. Study was confined only to the people of Delhi city. So, the study may not be
justified for all.
2. There is a chance of marking wrong answers or making incorrect choices in the
questionnaire as some of the respondents may have misread the questions.
3. The data and information may not be the good representative of the wider
population.
4. The quality of the data cannot be ascertained.
5. The data may not be specific to the one’s need.
6. Some people did not take interest in providing information so some of them
provides information just as a formality.
7. Lack of time and other resources as it was not possible to conduct survey on a
large scale.
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CHAPTER 2:
INDUSTRY PROFILING
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India's obsession with gold is well known around the world. To most Western
commentators, this obsession seems irrational, and Indian people seem like incurable
gold bugs.
However, on closer examination, gold ownership in India is neither excessive nor
irrational. In fact, when religious, cultural, and historical perspectives are considered,
India's appetite for gold seems rather matter of fact indeed. Nonetheless, it is not lost
on any Indian worth his or her salt that gold is the asset that best protects wealth and
freedom.
When my father, a pediatric surgeon, wanted to buy land to construct his clinic and
supplement his meager government income, he purchased the land by mortgaging my
mother's jewelry. Similarly, millions of people in India have capitalized their
businesses or farms, or secured their basic necessities after severe business reversals,
by pledging their gold jewelry. As we shall see below, were it not for gold, the average
Indian's lot through history could've been a lot worse.
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issued by one king could serve as money under any other king as long as the weight
and purity of the issued coin could be assessed. Therefore, gold was the preferred
medium of exchange and store of wealth.
The history of dowry in India is almost as old as the Hindu religion itself. Dowry,
before the negative connotations of today, was a gift from the bride's family to a newly
married couple. It was to compensate the groom for the additional expenses he would
incur taking care of his stay-at-home bride and eventually their family.[1]
Although different commodities were used to pay dowry, gold was the preferred
option simply because it was easily safeguarded and widely accepted. The practice of
giving gold and jewels as dowry continues to this day.
Another offshoot of the rich tradition of gold in the Hindu religion explains why
Indians mark every auspicious and festive occasion with the purchase of a token
amount of gold. Parents with daughters begin accumulating gold in small quantities
yearly on these occasions, in anticipation of their daughters' weddings.
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Further, in 1969, the Indian government under Indira Gandhi nationalized the banks
and mandated licenses for almost everything. This was the beginning of the "License
Raj" in India, which instituted rampant corruption in all levels of the bureaucracy.
Since the state controlled all the banks, loans were made to special sectors just to buy
votes.
The 1970s were an even more tumultuous period politically in India. A state of
emergency was declared from 1975 to 1977, giving almost dictatorial powers to Indira
Gandhi. When democracy was restored in 1977, Ms. Gandhi was ousted by Morarji
Desai. However, the common man still couldn't catch a break, as marginal tax rates hit
a scarcely believable 95 percent and the rupee's value declined steadily.
In light of these circumstances, gold was the average Indian's best friend. Due to a ban
on gold, the value of gold in relation to other commodities and the rupee soared. The
high marginal tax rate gave rise to a huge black market. Citizens needed a way to hide
and protect their assets from the taxman, and gold was one of the two asset classes that
proved effective for doing so (the other being real estate).
One last reason why extensive gold holdings are prudent in today's context is the
paltry level of insurance provided to bank deposits. A fractional reserve banking
system is inherently insolvent and needs government insurance to prevent a run on
deposits. In India, the amount covered under deposit insurance is just Rs100,000,
which is only $2,170. In contrast, federal deposit insurance in the United States was
recently increased from $100,000 to $250,000.
To put things in perspective, Rs100,000 is about 5 months rent for a decent, three-
bedroom apartment in Bangalore, whereas $250,000 US is four or five year's worth of
living expenses for a couple in Chicago, including a mortgage or rent. In other words,
Rs100,000 is an insignificant sum of money.
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CHAPTER 3:
ANALYSIS AND
INTERPRETATION OF
DATA
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Demographic Profile of the Consumers
The above table indicates the general profile of the 400 consumers who have
purchased gold jewellery. About 79.8 % of the respondents are female, 39.8 % of the
respondents are between 36-45 years of age, 86.8 % of them are married, 39.8 of them
are educated upto school level, 34.5% of them are unemployed. 42.8% of the
consumers earn less than Rs. 2,50,000 annually and save less than Rs.5,000 for a
month.
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Factors Influencing to Purchase Gold Jewellery
The above table reveals that, majority of the consumers purchase gold jewellery for
the purpose of investment and necessity is the main factor influencing them to
purchase gold jewellery.
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Demographic Factors and Frequency of Jewellery Purchase
Chi square test is applied to find the significant association between frequency of
jewellery purchase and Demographic factors
Chi square test reveals that, there is no significant association between gender, age,
marital status, educational qualification with frequency of jewellery purchase and
there is significant association between occupational status, monthly income and
monthly savings with frequency of purchase.
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Purchase Behaviour of the Consumers
Consumers have been asked to rate their level of agreement regarding the statements
relating to purchase of jewellery. These statements reflect the purchase behaviour of
the consumers. The consumers have been asked to express their opinion on a five-
point Likert scale given as Strongly Agree to Strongly Disagree. The ratings were
assigned as Strongly Agree – 5, Agree – 4 etc. to Strongly Disagree – 1 for all the
statements. These ratings indicate that, higher the rating more is the level of
agreement. Mean ratings are found out for each item and are displayed in the
following table.
S.
Statements
N. N Minimum Maximum Mean S. D.
1 I buy jewellery even when
there is an increase in price 400 1 5 3.0550 1.2291
2 I prefer to buy jewels
because it is easy to sell in
case of emergency 400 1 5 3.8350 0.9618
3 I always love to go for
buying jewels 400 1 5 3.5800 1.0277
4 I have strong interest in
jewellery 400 1 5 3.5325 1.0328
5 I like self-selection while
shopping 400 1 5 3.5750 1.1347
6 I believe high price means
high quality 400 1 5 2.9175 1.1955
7 I always purchase what my
friends/relatives purchase 400 1 5 2.6400 1.2667
8 I like to suggest the shops for
my friends 400 1 5 3.5175 1.0404
9 Using jewellery helps me
expressing personality 400 1 5 3.4775 1.0110
10 I prefer to purchase
jewellery, when offered with
free gifts 400 1 5 3.1200 1.1017
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11 Promotional offers do not
influence me in purchase of
jewellery 400 1 5 3.3700 1.0516
12 I buy jewels only during
“special sale” or "festive
seasons" 400 1 5 3.2175 1.0758
13 Location of the shop is more
important than the products
for me. 400 1 5 3.1100 1.1516
14 I don't mind coming to the
shop which is located far
away from my home 400 1 5 3.4150 1.1318
15 I would always prefer to go
for buying jewels in shops
with large space 400 1 5 3.3350 1.1296
16 I usually do lot of comparing
prices when I go for
shopping jewels 400 1 5 3.5550 0.9997
17 I will always buy jewels
from a particular shop only 400 1 5 3.5950 1.0386
18 I enjoy taking chances in
buying jewels from
unfamiliar shops 400 1 5 2.9525 1.1974
19 Display of product in store
attracts me to buy jewellery 400 1 5 3.1725 1.2068
20 The showroom’s
advertisement encourages me
to visit the store 400 1 5 3.3050 1.0582
21 Advertisement for the store
room gives all the
information about the
jewellery 400 1 5 3.3525 1.0845
22 The celebrity used in the
advertisement makes me
buying the product 400 1 5 2.9950 1.2881
The above table shows that, consumers purchase jewellery because it is easy to sell in
case of emergency (highest mean rating 3.835) followed by their preference to
purchase from a particular shop. The lowest mean rating is given by the consumers for
their opinion on high price means high quality. Hence, it is inferred that, most of the
consumers purchase gold jewellery because it helps them at the time of emergency.
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CHAPTER 4:
CONCLUSION &
RECOMMENDATIONS
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Conclusion
In India, gold always has been preferred more than just a precious metal. It is part of
our culture and an inseparable part of our belief system. The study has concluded that,
most of the consumers are female as jewellery is mainly preferred and worn by
women consumers. Consumers have purchased gold jewellery for the purpose of
investment and most of the consumers purchase gold jewellery because it helps them
at the time of emergency.
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Bibliography
1. Srinivas Rao, Padma charan sahu, Sathya priya and Deepa (2014), “A study of
customers’ attitude and behaviour on purchase of gold jewellery in Chennai city”.
International Journal of Research in Management and Technology, vol.4, no.1, 54-60.
2. Richa Misra and Gaurav khatri (2012), “Consumer buying behaviour for branded
and non-branded jewellery in India”, an unpublished thesis, Delhi.
4. Balaji and Maheswari, “A Paradigm shift in the buying behaviour of Indian towards
gold jewellery – A theoretical approach with reference to the growth of branded
retailers”, Indian Journal of Applied Research, Vol – 4, Issue -2, Feb 2014, 11-13.
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Annexure
Questionnaire
1. Name -
2. Gender -
Male
Female
Transgender
3. Age -
Less than 25
26-35
36-45
46-55
Above 55
4. Marital Status -
Married
Unmarried
5. Educational Qualification –
No Formal Education
School Level
College Level
Professional Level
6. Occupational Status –
Student
Professional
Salaried
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Business
Unemployed
Purpose:
Investment
Fashion
Gift
Influencing Factors:
Disposable Income
Easy Finance
Past Experience
Necessity
Comfort Wearing
Social Status
Customized Jewelleries
Whenever Gold Price Falls
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Strongly agree – 5
Agree – 4
Undecided – 3
Disagree – 2
Strongly disagree – 1
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