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Entrepreneurship I - Laying The Foundation - Mod 2
Entrepreneurship I - Laying The Foundation - Mod 2
The image on the left is a square titled Value Map that shows a
gift box icon in the middle. The square is divided into three
sections with smaller icons. One section shows a serving tray
and a barcode, one shows a pill, and one shows a line graph
with an arrow pointing up and to the right.
Transcript
Transcript
Make a sale
Produce a product
Comply with a regulation
Find information
Impress their friends
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Expensive
Time consuming
Risky
Unpleasant
Not socially acceptable
The slide contains the Customer Profile circle presented in Slide
2 - Why Do Customers Buy? (1 of 2) with the sad face section
highlighted.
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When do they have the pain? That’s when they’re willing to pay
the most!
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Profits
Free time
Comfort
Social status/prestige
The last piece of the customer profile is the list of the benefits
that he or she is seeking. If the job is to make a sale, the benefit
may be to earn a profit. The benefit of a simpler solution to an
existing problem may be more free time to spend on other
things. Again, the benefits that business customers are seeking
may be very different from the benefits that consumers are
seeking. Consumers may be looking for a solution that provides
more comfort or one that enhances their status in some way. I
don't mean to imply that businesses never seek these benefits,
after all, business customers are people too.
B2B
Make money
Save money
Save time
Reduce risk
B2C
Save money
Save time
Enhance status
Personal fulfillment
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Physical
Digital
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Price
Speed
Safety
Discreetness
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Time spent
Expense
Risk
Discomfort
Negative emotions or reactions
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Another way to think of this is that pain killing attributes are ones
that allow the customer to accomplish a job while reducing or
eliminating something negative. They could help the customer
reduce the amount of time spent or the expense of the job. They
could eliminate or at least reduce some risk that's inherent in the
job. They could make the job less unpleasant or uncomfortable. I
could have used some odor-reducing technology while building
those hog barns. Or, there could be attributes that reduce the
negative emotions or reactions that customers experience.
Transcript
On the other side of the value map are the features or attributes
of the solution that allow the customer to achieve certain
benefits. They could stem from the simplicity of the solution or its
comprehensiveness, depending on the job. They could include
the credibility or prestige that they bestow on the customer. An
example of this last feature might be a brand name. I'm often
asked by students whether a brand name is a value proposition
by itself. In my opinion, a brand name is important because of
the benefit that it provides to the customer. It could just be
something that suggests that the customer has good taste or
fashion sense. Or, it could be the credibility that comes from
having a respected brand name attached to the customer's
project. You've probably heard the phrase, "nobody ever got
fired for choosing IBM." I'll let you be the judge of whether the
brand name provides a gain or reduces a pain, in that example.
Gain Creating Solutions - Slide 13
Free time
Money or profitability
Comfort
Positive emotions or feelings
Transcript
Painkillers:
Vitamins:
Now let's zoom back out to the full value proposition canvas.
When you've identified the customer's jobs, pains and gains, and
designed a solution that's lined up with them, you've achieved
product-market fit. This is the price of admission for a startup.
—Steve Blank
You
Your investors
Your other stakeholders
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Now, let's define the terms that you'll use when you estimate
your market size. The acronyms are TAM, SAM, and SOM.
Total Available Market - Slide 25
Transcript
TAM stands for Total Available Market. This is the total market
demand for a product or service. This is the amount of sales
revenue that you could theoretically achieve if you had access to
all of the customers in the world and you had no competition.
You could call it your total potential market if that's any clearer.
This has to be a really high number.
Serviceable Available Market - Slide 26
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Your Target Market (SOM) must be big enough for you to build a
viable business—even if you never grow beyond it
Expanding beyond your initial Target Market by capturing more
of your SAM should result in attractive investor returns
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There are two ways to look at your market size, from the top-
down and from the bottom-up. Top-down involves using a broad
market size figure, like 198 billion for total fast food sales, and
then determining the percentage of that market that the target
market represents. Bottom-up comes at it from the opposite
direction. By adding up the relevant spending or purchases of
participants in the target market. Top-down is quicker and easier,
but bottom-up is a more valid approach if the information is
available. Hopefully, the two approaches will lead to numbers
that are in the same ballpark.
Secondary research:
Web searches
Articles and press releases
SEC filings
Trade associations
Subscription-based or syndicated research (often available
through business libraries)
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Primary research:
Telephone interviews
On-site interviews
Trade shows
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Step 2 - Slide 35
Step 3 - Slide 36
Step 4 - Slide 37
Now, you can calculate the size of the target market. The
potential market volume is equal to the number of target
customers times the penetration rate. The potential market value
is equal to the potential volume times the average purchase
amount or the price.
Example - Slide 38
Hair salon:
Note that the Target Market will be shared with other salons in
town. This will be factored into revenue forecasts
Transcript
Let's say you want to open a hair salon for women, you find that
there are 20,000 women in your targeted age range in your city.
Your average price is 50 dollars, and on average your target
customers can be expected to return for six appointments per
year. You estimate the market penetration rate to be 90 percent.
Some women don't cut their hair at all and others do it
themselves. In this example, the target market size is 5.4 million
dollars, that's 20,000 women, times $300 per year, times 90
percent. Note that this is the size of the entire target market. If
there are other hair salons in town, you can't expect to get a 100
percent market share. This will be factored into the actual
revenue projections that you prepare.
Transcript
Keep in mind that there are really only two ways for a business
to grow at sales revenue over time. One way is to compete in a
market that's growing, a rising tide lifts all boats. The other way
is to steal customers away from your competitors. Successful
entrepreneurs usually have to do both of these things, but I can
tell you that rapid sales growth is much easier to achieve when
the market itself is growing rapidly. This is one of the key
features of an attractive market opportunity. Even in a static or a
shrinking market, there may be niches or segments that are
growing. These can also present opportunities for growth, if you
can find them.
Lesson 2-3 Industry Analysis
Our topic for this lesson is industry analysis. It's one thing to
have a large growing market for your startup company. In this
lesson, I'm going to share with you some ways to look at your
target market and assess how attractive it might be for a startup
company that's looking to gain traction and create value quickly.
As you can see from the word cloud for this lesson, our focus is
now shifting from market sizing to industry assessment. We're
going to discuss frameworks that you can use to assess the
industry and your competition all with the goal of creating value
in your business as quickly as possible.
The key questions for you to think about in this lesson are these:
How does the industry in which you plan to compete operate?
Do new entrants have a reasonable chance to acquire
customers and market share? Taking it a step further, which part
of the value chain should you attack in order to maximize your
value proposition?
PEST analysis
Five forces
Industry mapping
Transcript
I'm going to talk about three tools that you can use. You may be
familiar with some of them already, but I'll put them in the context
of a startup company addressing a new market opportunity.
PEST Analysis - Slide 43
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Government regulations
Tax policies
Employment laws
Political stability
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Economic growth
Interest rates
Inflation
Economic stability
Consumer confidence
Demographics
Population growth
Education
Lifestyle/fashion trends
Health consciousness
Work/career attitudes
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New inventions
Positive or negative?
Immediate or future?
Strongly or weakly?
Can you adapt your business/business model to take
advantage?
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The more powerful the force, the more pressure it will put on
prices, costs, or both
Not necessarily driven by industry growth rates, regulation,
technology adoption rates, etc.
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Undifferentiated
Expensive relative to their other inputs
Not a major contributor to their own performance
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Here's how the five forces framework looks when you put it all
together. The relative bargaining power of buyers and suppliers,
the threat of new entrants and substitutes, and the competitive
rivalry within an industry will all put pressure on a company to
lower prices or provide higher value products, ultimately driving
down profitability. An attractive industry is one where these Five
Forces are relatively weak. So, a competitor has a good chance
of implementing a profitable and scalable business model. Now,
before we finish this lesson let's talk about one more way to look
at an industry in order to determine not just it's overall
attractiveness, but to guide in the development of the value
proposition and the business model.
Plot the entire (or relevant part of) the value chain from supplier
to end consumer
Transcript
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Hopefully, when all is said and done, you're able to circle back to
your value proposition. You can now make some solid
assumptions about who your target customers should be, what
they really need, how you can design your product or service to
meet those needs, and how you can differentiate yourself in the
market. Now, it's time to start testing those assumptions in the
real world.
Interview with Entrepreneur
Transcript
Hi, and welcome back. Today I'm talking with Gideon DeClerq.
And Gideon is actually a recent grad of the University of Illinois
iMBA program and was a student in the entrepreneurship
program last year. He's the managing director of Dynovation,
which is based in Portsmouth in the United Kingdom. And
Dynovation is all about bringing new products, innovative new
products to the market in the UK. And we're going to talk about
the first of those products in this interview.
Interview - Slide 69
Transcript
Parkinson: So, Gideon, thanks very much for joining us. Why
don't you tell a little bit about your own background and then we
can start talking about this product.
Parkinson: So, tell us about Foldy and what's this product that
we're excited about here?
Parkinson: Right.
Parkinson: Okay.
DeClerq: Correct.
Parkinson: And so what do you think has to be done with this
product to make it work in your target market?
Parkinson: Okay.
Parkinson: Right.
Parkinson: Well, my wife and I have been doing that with our
station wagon, just over the course of the last few weeks.
DeClerq: Right.
Parkinson: Right.
DeClerq: So, there is latent need for this product, and the key
thing is occasional use. So, the fact that this product is foldable,
gets put away, it has a very small footprint, it's very easy to use,
it serves that occasional-use need.
Parkinson: So, the use case, and I'm focusing in on the value
proposition here, is you're looking at a consumer market, an
end-user market, who has not an everyday need for a trailer but
an occasional use for a trailer. So, it's really for residential,
consumer customers. It's not the kind of thing that a, you're not
really trying to position this as somebody who's operating a
delivery business or something that's going to be using this
trailer in a professional setting. Is that right?
Parkinson: Okay.
Parkinson: So, how did you come up with the Foldy brand, and
how are you trying to communicate this value proposition to your
customers?
Parkinson: Okay.
DeClerq: Yes.
DeClerq: Yes.
Parkinson: Great.
DeClerq: So, and therein lies the key advantage of this trailer
over and above other trailers and the other trailer distribution
models. Because I can ship directly from a central DC in the UK,
I have extensive reach of the entire market. And also, I can
leverage the scale of an integrated third-party logistics provider
to deliver to these customers at a cost that I could never do
myself.
DeClerq: Yes.
Parkinson: At least right now, during the early time when you're
getting this company off the ground, you are relying on third
party partners, like this distribution company, the third-party
logistics company, to manage some of the functions that you
might want to bring in house, once your business gets to scale.
Is that right?
Parkinson: Okay.
Parkinson: So, it sounds a lot like you've done a lot at this launch
stage to really minimize the expenses, the costs that are fixed for
you. And you've transformed a bunch of those by working with
these third-party partners into variable costs. Where you're
paying commissions or you're paying shipping fees and things
like that, rather than committing to paying a bigger amount of
fixed costs in house. Regardless of what kind of sales volume
you're achieving, is that right?
DeClerq: Correct.
Parkinson: Cover those costs and leave a decent margin still for
you to use for growth, right?
Parkinson: So, let's talk a little bit about what your expectations
are because you did quite a bit of thinking about what you think
the market size for this trailer is in the UK. And how much
traction you want to be able to generate over the next year or
two so that you can assess whether this is working for you as a
business or not. Tell me a little bit about your thinking about
market size.
DeClerq: When we reviewed this project, and we actually did this
during your course, our team, we did a feasibility study and what
the market potential was. We approached it from two different
perspectives. The first perspective was looking at the number of
personal vehicles in the UK that can actually tow a trailer. So,
there are 37 million cars in the UK, and approximately, well, just
under 1% of those cars have tow hitches, it's actually 0.9%. And
we use Auto Trader, which is a massive second-hand reseller,
looking at their listings of a four week period of what percentage
of the cars actually had tow hitches advertised? And it was
consistently around about 0.9%, so we used that as a proxy in
terms of, okay, out of the 37 million cars, how many of them
have tow hitches? So, it comes out to be about 300,000 cars.
And then we'd say, well, you know, what is the opportunity out of
the 300,000 cars that we could service? To basically get our
serviceable service, what do you call it, the service [laugh]
attainable market.
DeClerq: Thank you very much and thank you for having me.
References
1. Osterwalder, A., Y. Pigneur, A. Smith, G. Bernarda and P.
Papadakos2014. Value Proposition Design. John Wiley &
Sons [1 ↩]
2. Blank, S. 2011. How To Build a Web Startup – Lean
LaunchPad Edition, https://steveblank.com/2011/09/22/how-to-
build-a-web-startup-lean-launchpad-edition/ [2 ↩]
3. Moore, G. 1991. Crossing the Chasm, HarperBusiness, p.
100. [3 ↩]
4. Statista, “Quick Service Restaurants in the U.S.”
http://www.statista.com/topics/863/fast-food/ [4 ↩]
5. Porter, Michael E., 2008. “The Five Competitive Forces that
Shape Strategy,” Harvard Business Review [5 ↩]