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Statistics and Probability
Statistics and Probability
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Sum 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 12 45 18 14 8 597
µ = 10
+ 20
+ 20
+ 25
+ 50
= 100
𝑜𝑟 5. 9
No. of
Occurrence 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
Probability 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
(P(Z))
36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 The mean of the distribution is 5.97. Therefore, the average number of
chocolate chips in a chocolate-chip cookie baked in large commercial
quantities is 6.
➔ The sum of all probabilities must equal be “1”.
NOTE:
MEAN OF DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLE ● When writing the statement to present the mean, the first
mention should be the exact value while the second mention is
● The central value or the average of its corresponding its estimated whole number.
probability mass function (probability distribution).
● It is also the expected value of a random variable.
VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OF DISCRETE
● Computed through the formula:
RANDOM VARIABLE
● The variance and standard deviation are two values that
µ = ∑[𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] describe how scattered or spread out the scores are from
the mean value of the random variable.
STEP 1:
Page 2 of 9
Statistics and Probability
2 2
σ= ∑[𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] − µ
EXAMPLE:
STEP 1:
X 0 4 6 8
x•P(X) 0 1 1.5 2
µ = 0 + 1 + 1. 5 + 2 = 4. 5
STEP 2:
X P(X) 𝑋
2 2
𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)
0 0.25 0 0
4 0.25 16 4
EXAMPLE OF CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLE
6 0.25 36 9
8 0.25 64 16
STEP 3:
2
∑[/𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] = 0 + 4 + 9 + 16 = 29
STEP 4:
2 2 2
σ = ∑[𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] − µ
2 2
σ = 29 − (4. 5)
2
σ = 29 − 20. 25
2
σ = 8. 75
Page 3 of 9
Statistics and Probability
5. The median and mode of the distribution are also located at the
center of the graph. This implies that in a normal distribution, STANDARD NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
the mean, median, and mode are equal. ● Suppose the random variable Z is a standard normal variable.
6. The area under the curve bounded by the x-axis is equal to Then, 𝛍=0 and 𝛔=1 and the probability density function for Z is
1. Since the mean divides the curve into halves, then 50% of given by
2
the area is to the left of the mean and the other 50% is to its −
𝑧
right. 1 2
𝑓(𝑧) = 𝑒
7. The standard deviation affects both the width and the 2π
height of the curve. The figure below shows three graphs with
the same mean of 0 but with different standard deviations.
3. A standard normal score is selected at random. Find the 6. The area under the normal curve from -1.09 to 2.23.
probability that it falls between 0.13 and 2.28. 𝑃(− 𝑧1 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧2) = φ(𝑧1) + φ(𝑧2 )
𝑃(𝑧1 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧2) = φ(𝑧1) − φ(𝑧2 )
𝑃(−1.09 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.23) = 𝜑(−1.09) + 𝜑 (2.23)
𝑃(0.13 < 𝑍 < 2.28)= 𝜑(2.28) -𝜑(0.13) 𝑃(−1.09 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.23) = 0.3621 + 0.4871
𝑃(0.13 < 𝑍 < 2.28)= 0.4887-0.0517 𝑃(−1.09 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 2.23) = 0.8492
𝑃(0.13 < 𝑍 < 2.28)= 0.437 The area is 84.92%.
The probability is 43.7%
7. The probability that a number chosen at random on the
4. Find the area under the curve from z= -1.25 to z= 0.74 standard normal scores is less than or equal to -2.77
𝑃(− 𝑧1 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧2) = φ(𝑧1) + φ(𝑧2 ) 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ −2.77)= 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −2.77)
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −2.77) = 0.5 − 𝜑(−2.77)
𝑃(−1.25 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 0.74)= 𝜑(1.25) +𝜑(0.74) 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −2.77) = 0.5 − 0.4972
𝑃(−1.25 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 0.74)= 0.3944+ 0.2704 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −2.77) = 0.0028
𝑃(−1.25 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 0.74)= 0.6648 There is 0.28% chance that it is less than the given z-score.
The probability is 66.48%
STANDARDIZING ANY NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
5. Find the probability that a value in the standard normal
● Given a normal random variable X, with the mean µ and
distribution falls on the interval (-3.06, -1.41)
standard deviation 𝜎, each value of the variable x can be
𝑃(− 𝑧1 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧2) = φ(𝑧1) + φ(𝑧2 )
transformed into z-scores using the formula
𝑃(−3.06 < 𝑍 < −1.41)= 𝜑(3.06) -𝜑(1.41) 𝑥−µ
𝑃(−3.06 < 𝑍 < −1.41)= 0.4989– 0.4207 𝑍= σ
𝑃(−3.06 < 𝑍 < −1.41)= 0.0782
There is 7.82% chance that the number falls on the given interval.
EXAMPLE
NOTE: 1. A random variable X has a mean of 4 and a standard deviation
of 2. Find the corresponding z-score for x=7
● In other cases, you will be required to find the probabilities
involving the normal curve’s extremities. In these instances, 𝑥−µ
you either add or subtract 0.5 from the corresponding area or
𝑍= σ
probability of the z score. 7−4
𝑍= 2
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ 𝑧)= 0.5+𝜑(𝑧)
𝑃(−𝑧 ≤ 𝑍 < ∞)= 0.5+𝜑(𝑧) 3
𝑃(𝑧 ≤ 𝑍 < ∞)= 0.5-𝜑(𝑧) 𝑍= 2
𝑜𝑟 1. 5
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −𝑧)= 0.5-𝜑(𝑧)
2. Find the probability that one randomly selected value of x from
EXAMPLE: a normal distribution, with mean 584.2 and standard deviation
1. Find the probability that a number chosen at random on the 37.2, will have a value
standard normal scores is less than 1.35 a. less than 530
𝑃(𝑍 < 1.35)= 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < 1.35) 𝑥−µ
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < 1.35) = 0.5 +𝜑(1.35) 𝑍= σ
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < 1.35) = 0.5 +0.4115
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < 1.35) = 0.9115 530−584.2
𝑍= 37.2
= − 1. 46
2. Find the area under the normal curve from 2.09 and above.
𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 2.09)= 𝑃(2.09 ≤ 𝑍 < ∞) 𝑃(𝑍 < −1.46) = 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < −1.46)
𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 2.09) = 0.5 − 𝜑(2.09) 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < −1.46) = 0.5 − 𝜑(−1.46)
𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 2.09) = 0.5 − 0.4817 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < −1.46) = 0.5 – 0.4279
𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 2.09) = 0.0183 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < −1.46) = 0.0721
The probability is 7.21%
3. Find the probability that a standard normal score is less than
-0.18. b. of at least 590
𝑃(𝑍 < −0.18)= 𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 < −0.18)
Page 5 of 9
Statistics and Probability
𝑥−µ
𝑍= σ
STEP 3: MEAN of the Sample Means
590−584.2 ∑𝑥
𝑍= 37.2
= 0. 16
z = 0.16 µ 𝑥
= 𝑛
𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 0.16)= 𝑃(0.16 ≤ 𝑍 < +∞) 3+3.67+4.33+5 16
𝑃(0.16 ≤ 𝑍 < +∞) = 0.5 − 𝜑(0.16) µ 𝑥
= 4
= 4
= 4
𝑃(0.16 ≤ 𝑍 < +∞) = 0.5 – 0.0636
𝑃(−∞ < 𝑍 ≤ −1.46) = 0.4364
STEP 4: STANDARD ERROR of the Sample Means
The probability is 43.64%
𝑥−µ 2
𝑍= σ
σ 𝑥= 𝑛
525−584.2 2
2 2 2 2
𝑍= 37.2
= − 1. 59 σ 𝑥=
1(3−4) +1(3.67−4) +1(4.33−4) +1(5−4)
= 0. 55
4
589−584.2 2
𝑍 = 37.2
= 0. 13 σ 𝑥 = 0. 55 = 0. 55 = 0. 74
SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION STEP 1: Find all the possible combinations of the sample.
● It is a distribution that shows the frequency with which values
of statistics are observed when all the possible random 𝐶 = 6. It only implies that there 6 possible combinations of sample size
6 5
samples are drawn from a given population. n=5 from the given set of data (6, 8, 12, 14, 18, and 20).
● The difference between the value of a sample statistic and the
corresponding population parameter is called the sampling
error.
Possible Sample Median
EXAMPLE
6,8,12,14,18 12
1. A sample with size n= 3 is drawn from the set 1, 3, 5, 7.
a. Construct a sampling distribution of the sample 6,8,12,14,20 12
means.
b. Find the mean of the sample means. 6,8,12,18,20 12
c. Compute the standard error of the sample means.
6,8,14,18,20 14
STEP 1: Find all the possible combinations of the sample.
6,12,14,18,20 14
𝐶 = 4. It only implies that there 4 possible combinations of sample size
4 3
n=3 from the given set of data (1,3,5,and 7). 8,12,14,18,20 14
1,3,5 3
𝑥 12 14
1,3,7 3.67
𝑓 3 3
1,5,7 4.33
3,5,7 5
STEP 3: MEAN of the Sample Medians
𝑥 3 3.67 4.33 5 µ 𝑥
= 𝑛
3(12)+3(14) 78
𝑓 1 1 1 1 µ 𝑥
= 6
= 6
= 13
Page 6 of 9
Statistics and Probability
RELATION OF INTERVALS
Possible Sample Mean ● From and to / Less than or equal / Greater than or equal / More
than or equal / At least / At most = solid line for the graph
13, 16, 17 15.33 because it is part of the graph
● Between and to / Less than / Greater than / More than = broken
11, 16, 17 14.67 line for the graph because it is not part of the graph
● Intervals on the same side (either both positive or negative
11, 13, 17 13.67 integer) = subtract
● Intervals on the opposite sides (it does not matter which integer
is positive or negative) = addition
11, 13, 16 13.33
8, 16, 17 13.67
8, 13, 17 12.67
8, 13, 16 12.33
8, 11, 17 12
8, 11, 16 11.67
8, 11, 13 10.67
𝑓 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
∑𝑥
µ 𝑥
= 𝑛
130.01
µ 𝑥
= 10
= 13. 001
Page 7 of 9
QUESTIONS 12. 64.43%
13. 93.06%
14. 0.22%
1. φ (3. 05) 15. 82.89%
2. φ (0. 56) 16. 29.02%
3. φ (− 2. 64) 17. 4.01%
4. φ (1. 7) 18. 89.44%
5. φ (− 2. 91) 2
19. µ = 21. 2 / σ = 6. 36 / σ = 2. 52
6. between 0 and 0.49
7. from 2.71 and 1.22 Possible Sample Median
8. from -1.43 and -0.66
9. between -0.10 and 1 20, 25, 27 25
10. between 2.1 and -1.04
11. greater than or equal to 1.82
19, 25, 27 25
12. less than 0.37
13. at least -1.48
14. less than or equal to -2.85 19, 20, 27 20
15. greater than -0.95
19, 20, 25 20
Mean = 28 and Standard Deviation = 4
16. from 27 and 30 as x 15, 25, 27 25
17. greater than 35
18. less than or equal to 33 15, 20, 27 20
19. Random sample with size 3 are to be chosen from the 15, 20, 25 20
population containing the values 15, 19, 20 25, and 27.
a. Construct a sampling distribution of the medians.
15, 19, 27 19
b. Find the mean of the sample medians.
c. Compute the standard error of the sample medians
20. Random sample with size 3 are to be chosen from the 15, 19, 25 19
population containing the values 15, 19, 20 25, and 27.
a. Construct the distribution of the means of all the 15, 19, 20 19
samples.
b. Find the mean of the sample means.
c. Compute the standard error of the sample means.
𝑥 25 20 19
21. T/F: A continuous random variable can be determined by
measuring. 𝑓 3 4 3
22. T/F: The minimum point on the curve occurs at 𝑥 = µ.
23. T/F: When the two endpoints of the given interval are located
on the opposite sides of the mean, the individual probabilities
2
should be subtracted. 20. µ = 21. 2 / σ = 3. 09 / σ = 1. 76
24. T/F: Case 2: Two values on the same side Z=0 contain two
subcategories of cases, such as the due to the right and due to
the left. Possible Sample Mean 𝑓
25. T/F: The mean, median, and mode of a normal random
distribution are equal. 20, 25, 27 24 1
26. Identification: It is known as the shape of the graph of a normal 19, 25, 27 23.67 1
random distribution.
27. Identification: It is the most important of all continuous random 19, 20, 27 22 1
variables.
28. Identification: The range of this random variable is continuous 19, 20, 25 21.33 1
and would literally take forever to count.
29. Identification: It describes the spread of the normal curve. 15, 25, 27 22.33 1
30. Identification: A created table that contains the summary of the
approximate areas under the standard normal curve, given in
15, 20, 27 20.67 1
four decimal places.
15, 20, 25 20 1
ANSWER KEY
15, 19, 27 20.33 1
1. 49.89%
2. 21.23%
3. 49.59% 15, 19, 25 19.67 1
4. 45.54%
5. 49.82% 15, 19, 20 18 1
6. 18.79%
7. 10.78% 21. TRUE
8. 17.82% 22. FALSE
9. 38.11% 23. FALSE
10. 83.29% 24. TRUE
11. 3.44% 25. TRUE
Page 8 of 9
Statistics and Probability
26. Bell Curve
27. Normal Random Distribution
28. Continuous Random Variable
29. Standard Deviation
30. Z-Table
_____________________________________________
Page 9 of 9