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Ajcea 8 3 4
Ajcea 8 3 4
Ajcea 8 3 4
3, 105-118
Available online at http://pubs.sciepub.com/ajcea/8/3/4
Published by Science and Education Publishing
DOI:10.12691/ajcea-8-3-4
Received July 24, 2020; Revised August 26, 2020; Accepted September 04, 2020
Abstract Untimely maintenance activities resulting from budget fluctuations and improper prioritization can lead
to further pavement deterioration. Selecting the most cost-effective maintenance activities to control and minimize
road users' risk under current budget constraints is necessary. The study tried to fill the gap that decision-makers in
Addis Ababa City Road Authority often performed pavement repair and maintenance without considering a
systematic procedure. Ten road sections selected that are planned for pavement maintenance in the study area. The
most dominant distresses ranked in Decision Analysis Module in Excel, including road class, weights for each
criterion, and sub-criteria obtained using the Analytical Hierarchy Process approach and calculated in Super
Decision Software for maintenance prioritization. Results indicated that the developed analytical hierarchy process
model works sufficiently and yields adequate output for providing accurate decisions. Hence, considering the
multi-criteria to prioritize the pavement sections for maintenance, this model can give affirmative action for the
decision-maker.
Keywords: analytical hierarchy process, cost-effective maintenance, decision analysis module in excel, pavement
maintenance prioritization
Cite This Article: Hanna Mengistu, Emer Tucay Quezon, Markos Tsegaye, and Tegegn Markos, “Expert
Choice-Based Approach on Analytical Hierarchy Process for Pavement Maintenance Priority Rating Using Super
Decision Software in Addis Ababa City, Ethiopia.” American Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture,
vol. 8, no. 3 (2020): 105-118. doi: 10.12691/ajcea-8-3-4.
in the form of a priority index, computed utilizing an the Addis Ababa city. However, the city was unable to
empirical mathematical expression. Though convenient to cope with its maintenance duties due to a lack of resources,
use, practical numerical indices often do not have a clear particularly experienced personnel in road construction
physical meaning. They cannot accurately and effectively [11,12]. In Addis Ababa city, the road work funding is
convey the priority assessment or intention of highway allocated by the government. However, the new situation
agencies and engineers. In an attempt to overcome this shows that the allocated funds always do not meet the
limitation, this study explores using an Analytical financing needs. In other words, there is a lack of funding
Hierarchy Process (AHP) to prioritize pavement maintenance for effective road management. Decision-makers often
activities. The main aim is to identify an approach that can performed pavement repairs without considering the
reflect highway agencies' and engineers' engineering maintenance priority and without utilizing a systematic
judgment more closely. procedure. These kinds of arbitrary decisions do not
According to [6], the AHP method solves the complex usually guarantee the effectiveness of budget allocation.
decision making with pairwise comparison form a In this study, the prioritization of road sections
multilevel hierarchical structure through a set of pairwise for maintenance conducted using the approach of the
comparisons to solve complex problems. Score weights Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) in dealing with
derived from meeting the goal and sorted in ranking order different kinds of decision problems. AHP is a flexible,
[7]. Deferred maintenance activities resulting from budget straightforward, and provides a rational and consistent
fluctuations can lead to deteriorated pavement conditions way for decision-making; thus, complex decision-making
and expose road users to a higher risk level. As a simplified to many small comparison tasks. This study
result, there is a need for methods to select the tried to apply the expert choice approach based on the
most cost-effective maintenance projects to control and Analytical Hierarchy Process for the priority rating of
minimize the risk for road users under current budget pavement maintenance in Addis Ababa city. The study
constraints. By doing so, the agency can choose and determined the percentage of damage of distresses for the
implement the most profitable projects within the sample roads using a visual condition assessment survey.
budget constraints and revise their maintenance plans to It also included the ranking of the most dominant
accommodate budget fluctuations. distresses that govern the selection of maintenance
Nowadays, the rating approach in Analytical Hierarchy priorities for the selected roads using a decision analysis
Process (AHP) is one of the most effective techniques in module for excel. Aso, it included the ranking of sample
the decision-making process, which was used to facilitate roads for maintenance based on the weights of each
the prioritization of alternatives based on essential parameters criterion and sub criterion's using the Analytical Hierarchy
like pavement condition index, traffic volume, and road Process approach in Super Decision Software.
type [8].
Road authorities around the world emphasize more on
better efficiency and lower expenses due to limited funds. 2. Research Methodology
Since maintenance expenditures usually comprise half the
annual road infrastructure funds, it is essential to prioritize The study conducted at Addis Ababa City and found at
efficiency in road maintenance [9]. The inadequate road the Horn of the African continent with Geographical
infrastructure is also increasingly limiting farmers in coordinates 9o1’48’’ North and 38o44’24’’ East, and an
applying pesticides and fertilizers and transporting their average elevation of 2,355m above sea level. It has a total
produce on the harvest. To facilitate import and export area of about 530.14 Km2 and a population of more than
activities, the East African Community (EAC) identified 8.0 million, according to the 2018 Census. The city is
five major transport corridors in the East African region divided into ten administrative sub-cities and 99 Kebeles.
[10]. It was since 1942 that road maintenance and The ten sub-cities, the roads that are planned for
rehabilitation duty within Addis Ababa had become the maintenance during the study period, only ten road
responsibility of the Roads and Building Department of sections are selected.
Figure 1. Map of the Study Area (Source: AACRA Road Master Plan Road Network, 2018)
107 American Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture
The analysis of distresses data used Decision wisely compared to the alternatives mean the alternatives
Analysis Module for Excel (DAME). There were are pairwise compared as to which is more preferred
scenarios considered in getting the maximum occurrence for that criterion and sub-criterion. Thus, the hierarchy
of distress occurred on the selected roads. The framework showed the connectivity of other options, criteria, and
used was by taking an Area and the Severity of each sub-criteria to the goal-the weightage factors for each
distress and the Variants (distresses) prepared by preference calculated using a pairwise comparison matrix.
incorporating the visually observed distress on the study The matrix was filled using the AHP concept. In the
road sections. There are three different methods in DAME AHP, there are scales with values from 1 to 9 to rate the
for the evaluation weights of criteria, the variants as well relative preferences for the items. Based on the judgmental
as the scenarios/users. These are Saaty's Method, preference, questionnaires are distributed for the maintenance
Geometric Mean Method, and Fuller's Triangle Method. experts in the Addis Ababa City Road Authority(AACRA).
Among these three methods, the Geometric mean method Using the obtained questionnaires, the pairwise comparison
used in this study to rank the distresses. By taking the top matrix was filled in Super Decision Software, as shown in
five ranked distresses from DAME, the processing and Figure 4.
analysis for the prioritization of roads for maintenance The reliability of the data obtained was checked
are manipulated and performed on the Super Decision for consistency and sensitivity analysis. The consistency
Software. shows whether the questioner data can be logically
accepted or not using consistency ratio, accepted if it is
2.4.2. Prioritization of Pavement Sections for less than 0.1, and the sensitivity performed to analyze how
Maintenance on Super Decision Software the alternatives change as it varies the priority of a
The prioritization of maintenance road sections based criterion. A definite reciprocal matrix consisting of a
on the ranking was processed and analyzed the data different set of pairwise comparison is represented with i, j,
obtained from DAME. The data from DAME were used and n. Where n, indicates the number of alternatives being
as sub-criteria and road class. For each criterion and compared within one set of pairwise comparisons, aij
sub-criterion, pairwise comparison was employed to get denotes the importance of alternative i over alternative j.
the percentage influence in the prioritization of road The judgmental values to each element in matrix A
sections. To determine the weights for the alternatives on are assigned, and the priority vector w is determined.
Super Decision Software, the first step was to build a Saaty's Eigenvector method is often applied to derive the
hierarchy model. alternatives' priorities and compute the value of w0, the
principal Eigenvector. The vector corresponding to the
largest Eigenvalue, max of the matrix A [13,14,15].
The comparison among the Analytical Hierarchy
Process (AHP) and the current approach used by the
AACRA are compared in the fourth section of this study.
Road Sample-1 started at Sar Bet and ended at Minaye classification of Principal Arterial Street (PAS). Along
Building. It has a total length of 1410m and 7m carriage this road section, six types of distresses are observed and
width. The length between the two successive stations had recorded for each station, as shown above, the distress
400m except for the end station that was 212m. The road area and percent damage are calculated. Table 2 indicated
number assigned by AACRA as No.188.1. It has a the percent damage for Sample Road-1.
Table 3. Summary of Distress Data and Percentage Damage for Road-1 to Road-10
Road Section Distress Area (DA)
Road Hierarchy Total Area (m2) Distress Types Damage (%)
No. L*W of distress
Potholes 130 9.92
Alligator Cracking 130 9.923
Road-1 PAS 9870 Subsidence 150 11.45
Longitudinal Cracking 20 1.53
Raveling 230 17.56
Potholes 250 20.7
crocodile Cracking 16 1.32
Subsidence 24 1.99
Road-2 SAS 25900
Raveling 272 22.52
Shoving asphalt 436 36.09
Lacy Edge 210 17.38
Potholes 156 20.73
crocodile Cracking 47.5 6.312
Road-3 SAS 11942
Raveling 285 37.87
Lacy Edge 264 35.08
Potholes 561 30.1
crocodile Cracking 315 16.9
Road-4 Locale 6874
Raveling 888 47.64
Lacy Edge 100 5.36
Potholes 230.5 20.34
crocodile Cracking 3 0.26
Road-5 Locale 5719 Raveling 686 60.55
Shoving asphalt 202 17.83
Lacy Edge 11.5 1.02
Potholes 382 36.16
crocodile Cracking 96 9.09
Rutting 12 1.14
Road-6 Collector 7030
Subsidence 3 0.28
Raveling 521.5 49.36
Lacy Edge 42 3.98
Potholes 1161 72.47
crocodile Cracking 9 0.56
Road-7 Locale 5400 Rutting 141 8.80
Corrugation 21 1.31
Lacy Edge 270 16.85
Rutting 240 75.35
Longitudinal Cracking 34 10.68
Road-8 SAS 12250
Raveling 34 10.68
Lacy Edge 10.5 3.3
Potholes 695 14.15
crocodile Cracking 1301 26.5
Road-9 Collector 27000
Delamination 250 5.09
Raveling 2664 54.26
Rutting 710.5 46.33
Raveling 170 11.09
Road-10 PAS 42408
Shoving asphalt 397 25.89
Low Shoulder gravel 256 16.69
American Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture 110
The affected pavement area obtained by multiplying happens if anything is modified. A bar chart is used for
the length and width of each distress occurred on final ordering representation. The proposed software
the Road-1 section and TDA obtained by summing up package is demonstrated on a couple of illustrating
the DA values. Likewise, the percent damage was examples of real-life decision problems. Before the
obtained by dividing DA to TDA and multiplying by 100. distress types' ranking, first, the area and severity were
The same procedures applied for the succeeding Samples determined for each distress occurred at each road as
Road-2 to Road-10 of the study area. A summary is shown described above, and the area and severity of the distress
in Table 3. used as input in the decision analysis module for excel
After calculating the percent damage for all the ten road add-in.
sections, the next procedure applied was the analysis of To get the rank of each distress occurred at the selected
the recorded distresses data in the Decision Analysis roads, a new decision problem was generated by clicking
Module for Excel (DAME). on the "New problem" item in the main DAME menu.
In the top panel of the DAME Software, there are three
3.2. Identification of the Most Dominant basic settings named as a number of scenarios, criteria,
and variants. In the second panel, the methods that are
Distress Types used to compare scenarios/users and criteria were shown
In this study, a Microsoft Excel add-in called DAME either using pairwise comparison matrix or set weights
(Decision Analysis Module for Excel) was used to work directly. The following figure shows the process of new
with scenarios or multiple decision-makers. It allows for problem creation and shows or illustrates how to define
easy manipulation with data, utilizes Microsoft Excel the number of scenarios, criteria, and variants used in this
capabilities, and displays all intermediate calculations. study.
To apply the DAME analysis, the decision models are In this study, nine scenarios are considered. It was done
structured into three levels: by assuming that one variant (distress) occurred at nine
Scenarios times among the total ten road samples. The two criteria
Criteria (at this circumstances the Area and the that were used in this research are the area, and the
Severity of each distresses), and severity of the distresses that occurred at the sample roads.
Variants (At this scenario the visually identified Before the distresses' ranking, the severity of the distresses
distress types) are determined from the field condition survey. The area
Elements on all three levels are evaluated by direct of each distress that occurs at each sample road was
values obtained from the field condition survey for each calculated by multiplying the length and width of the distress.
distress type. There are three different methods for Generally, there are two methods for scenario and
assessing the weights of criteria, the variants, and the criteria comparisons. The first one is the pairwise
scenarios or users - these are Saaty's Method, Geometric comparison, in which each pair of variants is compared
Mean Method, and Fuller's Triangle Method. individually; and the second is weights in which the
This research aims to make the right decision among scenario and the criteria were compared based on the set
the alternatives based on the set of criteria and sub-criteria. of weights (value assigned for each scenario and criteria)
This contribution introduces a Microsoft Excel add-in and these values calculated in the DAME Software. In this
DAME, a Multiplicative and additive synthesis supported. study, the weights method is applied for both scenarios
All calculations are instant so users can easily see what and criteria comparison.
In the last panel (third panel), the criteria evaluation scenarios. The results of each scenario comparison based
was done to evaluate variants according to individual on the set of weights are discussed below.
criteria. For the criteria evaluation, there are three options. Scenario 1 is about to compare the maximum combination
Pairwise - each pair of variants is compared of the distresses that occur at each road. For each variant
individually. (distresses) in scenario 1, the values of area and severity
Values max - indicates maximization criterion obtained from field road condition surveys were entered
where a single value evaluates each variant, e.g., for each distress in Decision Analysis Module for Excel,
price. as shown in Table 5.
Values min - indicates a minimization criterion This procedure is repeated for 9 scenarios; inally, the
where a single value evaluates each variant, e.g., total weights are obtained, as shown in Table 6.
costs. In Table 6, Nine Scenarios were created for the
For this study, the values max option was selected for evaluations of eleven variants in decision analysis for
the criteria evaluation. This indicated that the distress with excel to get the weight and the ranking of each variant. It
the higher severity covering a large area (great extent) was done by assuming that one variant (distress) occurred
could have a higher influence (maximization) on the at nine roads among the total ten road samples. The two
criteria evaluation. criteria used in this study in DAME are the area and the
After the values max option is selected, a new Excel severity determined from the field road condition survey,
sheet with forms is created, as shown below. On this sheet, as discussed above. The result of the whole comparison of
the names of all elements were renamed and evaluation eleven variants (distresses) reveals that raveling distress
criteria and variants using weights, as shown in Table 4. was ranked. First, the rutting distress type was in second
As shown in Table 4, the eleven variants/alternatives place, potholes were in third place, and the other distress
were compared based on the two criteria for the nine also were ranked as shown in the above table.
Table 4. Shows the Scenarios, Criteria, and Variants
Weight
Ravelling
Rutting
Pothole
Shoving
Crocodile crack
Lacy edge
Delimnation
Subsidence
Low shoulder gravel
Long.crack
Corrugation
Table 7. Summary of Percentage Damage Area for the Ranked Distresses Comparison
PDA of PDA of PDA of PDA of PDA of
Road Name Origin-Destination
Raveling (%) Rutting (%) Shoving (%) Crocodile (%) Pothole (%)
Road-1: Sar Bet -Minaye Building 17.56 - - 9.92 9.92
Road-2: Alemtsehay Bridge-Wolega Hotel 22.52 - 36.09 1.32 20.70
Road-3: Adissu Gebeya-Comercial Bank Powlos Branch 37.87 - - 6.31 20.73
Road-4: Paster - Shewa Tsega (Mesalemiya) 47.64 - - 16.90 30.10
Road-5: Berbere Tera -Mola Maru (Kebele Meznagna) 60.55 - 17.83 0.26 20.34
Road-6: Debrezeit Menged -Sene Zetegn-Behere Steige 49.36 1.14 - 9.09 36.16
Road-7: Leadership Institute Jan Meda - 8.80 - 0.56 72.47
Road-8: Alert Round About -Fm Radio Station 10.68 75.35 - - -
Road-9: Asfaw Tekle Hotel - Ehil Berenda 54.25 - - 26.50 14.15
Road-10: Kolfe Coprative School - Filidoro School 11.09 46.33 25.89 - -
Figure 9 shows the network part of super decision with the parent node in the system. The second part of
software that expresses the flow from goal to criteria then the judgment was comparing five possible modes, i.e.,
criteria to sub-criteria & last sub-criteria to alternatives. graphical, verbal, matrix questionnaire, and direct for
Maintenance prioritization was put at the top level as an entering assessments. Judgments entered in one mode will
essential goal. Road type classification and pavement appear as equivalent judgments in any other mode except
surface distress are considered the modeling parameters of for the questionnaire that rounds off judgments from other
criteria and sub-criteria levels. The alternatives are the modes. It is an important part of Super Decision so that
sample of ten road sections that were ranked. From here, the output depends on it. The five parts are discussed
the road section that has maximum priority rating value below.
needs immediate attention from maintenance. The ranking
was done on Super Decision Software. After the hierarchy 3.3.1. Criteria Comparisons
was done, the second part was continued, which has three The graphical method of judgments comparison
sub-parts. shows the preferences, as shown in Figure 10. The higher
The first judgment was to choose a part that shows the the graph, the higher the preference, and the lower the
comparison to be made; a select node is a parent node in graph gets lower preference concerning the comparison
which choose cluster contains a children node compared criteria.
The more important, more preferred, or more likely, Rating Scales, as shown in Table 8 below.
node or criteria are entered. Suppose they have the same
value, just simply toggling on the no comparison to make Table 8. Scale for Rating Criteria
it equal. In the graphical method of judgment, only two Verbal Judgment of Preference Numerical Rating
criteria can be compared at once. The verbal method of Extremely preferred 9
judgments shows the preferences, as shown in Figure 11, Very strongly to extremely 8
based on the measures equal, moderately strongly, and
Very strongly preferred 7
extremely strongly and extremely preferences.
By clicking on the invert comparison button, it Strongly to very strongly 6
is possible to invert dominance. The comparison was Strongly preferred 5
written verbally on the above command. The matrix Moderately to strongly 4
judgments on the Super Decision Software was done by Moderately preferred 3
entering judgments in cells by typing numbers from the Equally to moderately 2
Fundamental 1-9 Scale. The direction of the arrow Equally preferred 1
indicated which criterion is more important. Double-click
arrow to change the dominant element. In the phrase
above the matrix, the first element was predominant. The fourth comparison judgment type was the questionnaire.
It was also done using the nine scales. The phrase above
the questionnaire showed the first element was dominant,
as shown in Figure 13 below.
The questionnaire was about to choose the judgment on
the left or right side of the zero on the questionnaire line
that is nearest to the more critical, more preferred, or more
likely, node. Then each node was pairwise compared
concerning goal on super decision media.
The fifth comparison judgment was the direct comparison
of nods; it recorded available real data for the judgment
comparison, which was not used in this study.
The third part of the judgment was the results which
were obtained from the five comparison judgments. It is
Figure 12. Matrix comparison representation of judgment
the percent influence weightage of criteria concerning the
The current parent node is the Goal node, and the goal to prioritize the pavements. The weights of the
Criteria nodes are being compared concerning the Goal for criteria were sum to be one. Figure 14 below shows the
importance. The matrix was done based on Satty’s Nine weightage for the criteria used.
115 American Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture
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© The Author(s) 2020. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).