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CFA Level III Mock Exam 4 June, 2018 Revision 1
CFA Level III Mock Exam 4 June, 2018 Revision 1
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CFA Level III Mock Exam 4
June, 2018
Revision 1
The morning session of the 2017 Level III CFA Examination has 8 questions. For
grading purposes, the maximum point value for each question is equal to the number of
minutes allocated to that question.
Total: 180
Dano Parker works as a portfolio manager at Picasso Investments (PICIN), a large and
reputable financial advisory firm offering a range of capital management services and
investment products to individual and institutional investors. Parker has been with the
firm for over five years now, and has managed more than fifteen client portfolios. As
such, PICIN has appointed Parker to appraise the performance of private wealth
portfolios at regular intervals. During his appraisals, and also as part of experience,
Parker notices that, in many instances, the assumptions of traditional finance with respect
to the behaviors of individuals do not hold true. Parker was not sure what effects this
might have on optimal portfolio construction by financial market participants. To discuss
this further, Parker invited David Hulsey, a behavioral financial analyst, to talk about
investor behavior in detail. During their conversation, Hulsey made the following
comment:
“I believe that investors behave rationally when making investment decisions and try to
maximize the expected utility, given their budget constraint. When faced with new
information, market participants revise expectations consistent with Bayes’ formula.
Also, investors are risk-averse, demanding more return for each unit of risk.”
Parker disagreed with Hulsey on the basis of the ‘Prospect Theory’, but was not sure how
this theory provided an alternative explanation to investor behavior. He was, however,
convinced that the theory explained apparent deviations in decision making from those
explained under the utility theory.
A. Justify how the prospect theory supports Parker’s notion of an apparent departure
of investor behavior from the behavior of the rational economic man. Give three
ways the prospect theory differs from the utility theory.
(6 minutes)
After his meeting with Hulsey, Parker proceeded with developing an earnings forecast for
Sparkle Fixtures Incorporated (SFI), a US firm famous for its lighting fixtures and
decorative lamps. The lighting industry has seen tremendous growth over the past decade
due to a rising trend of professional interior designing of homes and offices. Historical
data of the past 15 years shows earnings growth for SFI at 1.0-1.5% above the GDP
growth rate. Just recently, however, the firm reported a drop of 5.0% in earnings growth
due to a number concerns regarding the supply of raw materials. In addition, a few other
firms also reported losses for the recent quarter. In developing his forecasts, Parker
decided to revise his earnings estimate downward for the stock in order to avoid any
losses and keep his estimate conservative.
B. Determine the bias that Parker is most likely subject to while developing an
earnings estimate for SFI. Give one example where such a bias may result in
excessive trading by financial market participants.
(4 minutes)
While reviewing the asset allocation decisions of his clients, and their stated preferences
during regular meetings for updating their IPSs, Parker noticed that many portfolios
lacked the appropriate amount of diversification, as would be present if investors behaved
rationally and took a holistic view of their portfolios. Parker was assured that this was
due to the presence of behavioral biases.
(6 marks)
Before ending his day, Parker shortlisted five potential stock investments for his portfolio
that met his risk and return constraints and had approximately similar risk-return profiles.
Given his budget constraint, Parker decided to invest in two of the most well-known and
established firms amongst those he had shortlisted.
D. Determine, using behavioral finance, the behavior that guided Parker to select
stocks for his portfolio. State the bias leading to such a behavior. Justify your
response.
(4 marks)
A Solution:
Unlike the utility theory, the prospect theory considers how prospects are perceived based
on their ‘framing’, how ‘gains’ and ‘losses’ are evaluated, and how uncertain outcomes
are weighted.
The three ways in which the prospect theory differs from the utility theory are:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 3, Reading 5, LOS-b.
B Solution:
Parker is most likely subject to the representative bias. He is ignoring the base rate
information of an above average earnings growth rate for SFI for so many years and is
assuming that the small sample of firms that reported losses is representative of all firms
in the industry. Hence, he is guilty of both base-rate neglect and sample-size neglect.
Example:
Investors tend to buy a fund immediately following rapid price appreciation.
Representativeness causes them to categorize the funds as good investments based on this
recent information. Similarly, when prices fall, they sell their holdings. Moving in and
out of investments based on categorizations like these is likely to result in excessive
trading.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 3, Reading 6, LOS-c.
C Solution:
1. Illusion of Control bias: Investors tend to hold positions in companies they feel
they have some control over, leading them to hold concentrated positions.
2. Confirmation bias: FMPs may become convinced of the value of a single stock
and tend to ignore negative news about that stock. This can lead them to build a
large position in the stock and hold poorly diversified portfolios.
3. Availability bias: Since this bias leads FMPs to base investment choices on
information that can be easily recalled, their choices would reflect a narrow range
of experience. This can lead to overweighing securities and a lack of
diversification.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 3, Reading 6, LOS-d.
D Solution:
Parker is most likely engaging in herding behavior by investing in the most popular
investments. The regret-aversion bias leads to such a behavior. People prefer the stocks
of well-known companies even in the face of equal risk and return characteristics because
choosing less familiar stocks is perceived riskier and involves greater personal
responsibility and greater potential for regret.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 3, Reading 6, LOS-c.
Exhibit 1:
Financial Information of RTEL (Average of the past five years)
RTEL Industry Average
Exhibit 2:
Economic Data
Duration Interest Rate
25 year, US Treasury bonds 16 years 7.5%
35 year, US Treasury bonds 22 years 8.5%
Inflation rate:
5.0%
Utilizing the opportunity to work with the CFO of the firm, Russo also accumulates the
following facts:
• The projected benefit obligation (PBO) as reported on the current balance sheet,
dated 31 December 2013, equals $10 billion.
• The duration of the liabilities equals 22 years.
• The total value of the firm’s pension assets as of 31 December 2013 equal $13
billion.
• The ratio of the retired lives to active lives for the firm equals 0.33.
• The correlation between pension plan assets and plan liabilities is close to 0.33,
with pension assets invested mostly in growth oriented investments.
While talking to Russo about the pension plan’s objectives, Thorpe also states the
following:
“RTEL primary focus is to maintain the funded status of the plan at a level of at least
100% with respect to the PBO. The board has decided that a probability of 10% of falling
short of meeting this objective is reasonable. In addition, the plan’s objectives need to be
set so as to minimize the probability of making future contributions to the plan. Also,
since proficient human resource is a key element of success in this industry, to retain our
employees, we keep modifying our plan provisions according to changes in the industry.
This helps ensure retention of the best possible human resource in the face of
competition.”
“To meet our long-term objectives of minimizing contributions, the board has estimated
that a return of 2.5% over and above the minimum required return would be appropriate
for the fund.”
(8 marks)
(4 marks)
Ten years have passed, and Russo is still the manager of the RTEL pension fund. The
following changes have occurred during this time period:
For the current month, RTEL made a contribution to the pension plan of $10 million.
Given the number of retired employees, Russo estimates a cash disbursement of $60
million per month to satisfy obligations.
C. Determine the current liquidity requirement of the RTEL pension fund. Explain
whether the liquidity constraint for the fund has improved, remained stable, or
deteriorated. Justify your response with three reasons.
(5 marks)
D. Formulate the time horizon portion of the IPS of the RTEL pension fund as of
today and ten years ago.
(3 marks)
A Solution:
• High surplus.
• Higher financial profitability than the industry average.
• No current plan features that would require early disbursements.
• Greater number of active lives relative to retired lives.
• Long time horizon.
Risk objective:
“The probability that the funded status falls below 100% should be equal to 10% or less.
In addition, the portfolio should minimize the probability of making future
contributions.”
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 6, Reading 13, LOS-c.
B Solution:
Return requirement:
The discount rate applicable to RTEL’s pension liabilities will be the rate on U.S.
government bonds with the same duration as that of the liabilities (it will include
inflation). This rate equals 8.5% (rate on government bonds with a duration of 22). This
is the minimum return requirement. In addition, the board wants an additional 2.5% to
minimize the probability of making future contributions.
Return objective:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 6, Reading 13, LOS-b,d.
C Solution:
Liquidity requirement:
Cash payments: $60 million
Cash contribution: $10 million
Current liquidity requirement: 60-10 = $50 million
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 6, Reading 13, LOS-d.
D Solution:
RTEL’s pension fund has a long, multistage time horizon. The average duration of the
liabilities is 22 years:
• For the active lives the time horizon is the average time to the normal retirement
age.
• For the retired lives, the time horizon is a function of the average life expectancy
of retired plan beneficiaries.
RTEL’s pension fund has a long, multistage time horizon. However, due to an increase in
the number of retired lives, the duration of the plan has shortened. It is still, however,
long-term:
• For the active lives the time horizon is the average time to the normal retirement
age.
• For the retired lives, the time horizon is a function of the average life expectancy
of retired plan beneficiaries.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 6, Reading 13, LOS-d.
Channing is responsible for the medical expenses of his parents that amount to
approximately $40,000 per year. His business profits sufficiently cover his living
expenses, and also allow for a contribution to his savings. Channing now plans to invest
some of these savings in a fixed-income security that would complement his existing
portfolio. He wishes to cash out of the investment in a year, at which time he hopes to
earn a reasonable return from his outlay. For this purpose, Channing meets with Murphy
to discuss available options for investment. Murphy presents him with data on four
bonds. Exhibit 2 displays this data.
D 8.00% 2.75% 5 B3
To comprehensively present the risk inherent in each option, Murphy provides Channing
with estimated annual default rates and recovery rates data for each bond. Exhibit 3
provides this information based on empirical analysis. Murphy also states that he expects
spreads to narrow by almost 75bps over the holding period since he believes the economy
to pick up in the short-term.
B3 4.98% 40%
1. State the bond that Channing should purchase based on a relative value analysis
considering only the data given about the four bonds in isolation. Show your
calculations.
(9 minutes)
2. Recommend a bond that is most suitable for Channing. Justify your response
with three reasons.
(5 marks)
(5 marks)
Based on expected excess returns, Bond C offers the highest returns and so Channing
should invest in it.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 4, Study Session 11, Reading 24
B.
The most appropriate bond for Channing is Bond C because:
1. It offers the highest expected excess returns given the annual expected probability
of default, spread, spread duration and expected loss severity.
2. Most of Channing’s current fixed income portfolio is invested in investment grade
bonds of rating A3 or more. A rating of Baa3 would offer some diversification to
this portfolio without adding much risk (while adding additional yield).
3. Channing’s risk tolerance permits him to invest in bonds that are relatively risky.
Since most of his current portfolio is invested in high risk equities and alternative
investments, he should not take on too much risk. But his minimum liquidity
needs and long-time horizon are suggestive of his ability to take on considerable
risk. A rating of Baa3 seems most appropriate for Channing, since it falls in the
moderate risk range.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 4, Study Session 11, Reading 24
C.
Investment grade floating-rate bonds:
In investment grade bonds, there is more exposure to spread risk, credit migration risk
and interest rate risk. For spread risk inherent in investment grade floating-rate bonds, the
best measure is spread duration, not modified duration. This is because their modified
duration is usually very short.
High-yield bonds:
High yield bonds have a much greater exposure to credit risk and credit loss risk. Credit
spreads are a useful measure of risk for high yield bonds.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 4, Study Session 11, Reading 24
During the course of several meetings with Hart, Devlin accumulated the following facts:
With his hard work at the hospital, Hart has managed to accumulate a significant amount
of assets. Exhibit 1 displays details about them.
Exhibit 1:
Investable Assets
Investable Assets Amount
Stock holdings $50,000
Bond holdings $2,000,000
Co. Stock $500,000
**Cash $40,000
Home $1,200,000
Gold $200,000
*Stock holdings represent investments in stable, value stocks
**Investible assets have been adjusted for current year’s living expenses
Hart wants at least $3,000,000 in investable assets in 15 years. Even though his
employer’s stock forms a considerable portion of his investable assets, Hart wants Devlin
to carefully analyze the profitability and appropriateness of the investment. He is
prepared to liquidate the holding if circumstances suggested.
A. Formulate the return objective portion of Hart’s IPS. Show your calculations.
(10 marks)
B. Determine whether Hart’s ability and willingness to take risk are above-average,
average, or below-average. Justify your response with three reasons each. Use the
template on the following page to answer this question.
(8 marks)
(5 marks)
D. Determine the personality type that Hart would fall into. Justify your response
with three reasons.
(5 marks)
After his analysis, Devlin considers the asset allocations given in Exhibit 2 for Hart.
Exhibit 2:
Proposed Asset Allocation Alternatives
Asset Class Allocation A Allocation B Allocation C Allocation D
Cash 10% 5% 0% 5%
Corporate bonds 0% 20% 10% 15%
Government bonds 40% 15% 5% 10%
Large-cap US
20% 20% 25% 20%
stocks
Small-cap US
20% 20% 20% 30%
stocks
International
- 10% 20% 10%
stocks
Real estate 10% 10% 15% 5%
Venture Capital - 0% 5% 0%
Exhibit 3:
Data on the Asset Allocations
After-tax, Nominal
Allocation Standard Deviation
Expected Return
A 16.66% 22.0%
B 12.99% 14.50%
C 21.00% 29.90%
D 12.50% 18.40%
E. Determine the asset allocation that is most appropriate for Hart. Justify your
response with four reasons. For each of the allocations not selected, give one
reason each why they were not appropriate. Use the template on page – to answer
the question
(11 marks)
A Solution:
Return Calculations:
Total: $427,125
The required return to accumulate $3 million in 15 years with an investable asset base of
$2,530,000 and with annual outflows of $154,625 is 6.86% on a real after tax basis. The
nominal return after-tax return will equal (.0686)(1.03)-1 = 10.06%
Return objective:
To earn an after-tax, nominal return of 10.06% that would cover annual cash outflows of
$154,625 and would be sufficient to accumulate $3,000,000 in 15 years.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 4, Reading 8, LOS-g,i.
B Solution:
Above-
average,
Risk
average or Reasons
tolerance
below-
average
1.Long time horizon with good physical health.
Ability to Above- 2.Average return requirement relative to asset base.
take risk average
3.Minimum dependents, and a stable income flow for
the foreseeable future (stable job).
1.A higher percentage of fixed-income in its investable
asset base implies a risk-averse behavior.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 4, Reading 8, LOS-g.
C Solution
Liquidity constraint:
Hart owns a house worth $1.2 million that represents a significant illiquid holding.
Given Hart’s circumstances, an emergency reserve equal to three months of his expenses
would be sufficient.
D Solution
1. The equity portion of his portfolio is mostly invested in value stocks of stable
companies.
2. He refrains from developing emotional attachments to investment positions. Hart
instructed Devlin to research the appropriateness of the investment in his
company’s stock and retain the position only if it is supported by proper analysis
and research.
3. He holds a more risk-averse portfolio which is a trait of methodical investors.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 4, Reading 8, LOS-h.
E Solution:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 2, Study Session 4, Reading 8, LOS-j.
Preston has written a book on philosophy that is used as a textbook for first year college
students. With the help of his published book and some additional savings, Preston has
managed to accumulate a portfolio worth $15 million. The present value of his earnings
as a professor is estimated to total $12 million. Preston’s current residence is worth
$800,000 with around $2 million in mortgage loans. Other than the mortgage, Preston has
no other debt or liabilities. As a tribute to his late wife, Miranda Preston, James wishes to
make a contribution, worth $3 million, in ten years to a school for underprivileged
children. In addition, he wishes to leave $15 million as a bequest to his children at the
time of his death. Preston’s living expenses average $80,000 per year that he needs to
meet for his estimated life expectancy of 25 years.
Preston has hired Robert Stanton, a portfolio manager and research analyst, to manage his
financial assets and liabilities. While setting Preston’s investment policy statement,
Stanton determined the following probabilities of success for Preston’s stated goals:
(4 minutes)
A(ii). Present Preston’s economic balance sheet, detailing the components of his assets
and liabilities, and his total net worth.
(6 minutes)
To determine the appropriate asset allocation for Preston, Stanton requests the investment
department of his firm to provide him with a set of pre-optimized, sub-portfolio modules.
The department provides Stanton with details presented in Exhibit 1. In addition, Stanton
also requests data on expected returns of each module for a given time-frame and
probability of success.
Time 10 years
Horizon
95% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 1.8% -0.9%
85% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8%
75% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2%
Time 20 years
Horizon
95% 3.5%% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 4.4%
85% 3.8% 4.1% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7%
75% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9%
Time 25 years
Horizon
95% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.1%
85% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9%
B. Considering that only Preston’s financial assets are investable, determine the amount
of money that needs to be allocated to each goal in absolute terms as well as relative to
the total assets. State if any further goals can be met with the portfolio.
(6 minutes)
Once Stanton selected the optimal sub-portfolios for Preston, he worked towards deriving
an overall asset allocation. The detailed compositions of the sub-portfolios with respect to
five major areas of investment are given below:
Emerging market
30% 28% 37.4%
equities
At a final meeting with Preston, Stanton stated that even though goals were properly
articulated, and money was allocated to each goal, there is a high chance that the
portfolio would fall short of meeting the goals. Hence, a surplus fund is always necessary
to act as a buffer in case things do no turn out as anticipated.
C.(i). Derive the overall goal-based asset allocation for Preston. Justify your response.
C(ii). State whether Stanton’s comment about a surplus is accurate using empirical
evidence.
(6 minutes)
SOLUTION:
A. Part (i).
Four important goals for Preston are as follows:
1. He needs a 95% chance of being able to support Alyssa’s education and pay
$337,500 right now, and to make a down payment of $40,000 to support Justin.
2. He needs a 95% chance of being able to meet his living expenses over the coming
25 years which is an estimation of his life expectancy.
3. He wishes to have a 75% chance of being able to make a contribution of $3
million to a school, ten years from now.
4. He wishes have a 75% chance of being able to bequest $15 million to his children
at the time of his death, which is expected to be after 25 years (his estimated life
expectancy).
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 3, Study Session 8, Reading 17
A Part (ii).
Financial Assets:
Investment Portfolio: $15 million
Real estate: $0.8 million
Extended Assets:
Human Capital: $12 million
Financial Liabilities:
Mortgage loan: $2 million
Extended liabilities:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 3, Study Session 8, Reading 16
Solution B.
Total financial assets are $15 million
Goal Academic Down Contribution Bequest PV of
program cost Payment to school living
(Module E) expenses
Required 450,000×75% $0.04 $1.644 $2.6999 $1.116301
capital = $0.3375 million million million million
million
As a % of 2.25% 0.26667% 10.96% 17.999% 7.442%
total
A surplus of $9.1623 million remains, less $2 million of mortgage loan: $7.1623 which is
47.75% financial assets. Hence, further goals can be met, for example:
§ Capital preservation.
§ Return enhancement.
§ Any additional extended objectives.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 3, Study Session 8, Reading 17
Solution C.
Part (i).
For each goal, Module E is the most appropriate given their time horizons and
probabilities:
Goal 1: In present value terms, 2.6% in cash covers Alyssa’s academic cost and Justin’s
down payment.
Goal 2: Living expenses (95% chance and 25 years’ time horizon) is best covered by
Module E.
Goal 3: Contribution of $3 million ten years from now (75% probability) is also best
covered using Module E.
Goal 4: A bequest of $10 million after 25 years (75% probability) is best covered using
Module E.
Hence, Module E would be the goal-based asset allocation for Preston [no calculations
necessary].
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 3, Study Session 8, Reading 17
Part (ii).
The statement is inaccurate. Portfolios generally outperform the discount rate used to
compute the initial capital, leading to a surplus. This is because of:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 3, Study Session 8, Reading 17
• CEIG used trade date accounting to report transactions. Assets and liabilities were
recognized within a week of entering into a transaction.
• When reporting fixed-income securities, interest income earned but not yet
received was also included in their total value. For dividend paying equities,
dividends not yet paid were not accrued due to their uncertainty.
• CEIG has a fiscal year that corresponds to the calendar year. Consequently, every
portfolio within its composites was valued at the last business day of each year.
• When reviewing the frequency of portfolio valuations, Hollings discovered that
CEIG valued all portfolios at least monthly.
• When presenting net-of-fees returns, CEIG did not accrue investment
management fees, especially performance-based fees.
After the review, Hollings met with the CEO and posed the following question:
“In reporting portfolio values, which definition of value do you use?”
“Last year, we measured and reported all portfolio values at market value. However,
recently, we have started to use the ‘fair value’ of portfolios for reporting purposes. If fair
values are not easily obtainable, a best estimate of market value is used.”
A. List three ways in which CEIG’s procedures violate the GIPS requirements with
regards to input data. Support your answer with proper justifications for each
reason.
(6 marks)
After his review, Hollings proceeded with evaluating the performance of the portfolios
managed by CEIG’s portfolio managers. While doing so, Hollings met with Ricardo
Nadu, a portfolio manager who managed a few of the firm’s private wealth accounts.
Nadu told Hollings that all portfolio managers were required to measure the time-
weighted rates of return that adjusted for external cash flows. In addition, returns for
longer measurement periods were computed by geometrically linking the monthly
returns. Upon further questioning by Hollings, Nadu stated the following:
• Cash and cash equivalents were included in the total return calculations.
However, if the cash was not actually invested by the same group of portfolio
managers that managed the portfolio, it was excluded from the return calculations.
• In addition, returns were always calculated after the deduction of trading
expenses. To be conservative and ensure compliance with GIPS, if actual values
for such expenses were unavailable, estimated values were used based on
historical averages.
• Custody fees were not considered direct trading expenses. However, if they were
charged on a per-transaction basis, they were included in trading expenses.
• When trading expenses could not be broken out of bundled fees, gross-of-fee
returns were reduced by the entire amount of the bundled fee to estimate returns
gross of investment management fees.
• Withholding taxes were not considered when estimating net of fee returns.
• CEIG’s definition of what constituted ‘a large cash flow’ varied with each
composite depending on the nature of the investment strategy.
B. For each of the facts stated by Nadu, state whether they are in compliance with
the GIPS. For each of the procedures not in compliance, determine the changes
necessary to make them GIPS compliant. Use the template on the following page
to answer the question.
(6 marks)
Hollings knew that his analysis of CEIG would not be complete without assessing the
appropriateness of the construction of composites within CEIG. Specifically, Hollings
analyzed the following actual, fee-paying client portfolios:
Portfolio A The client specifically instructed not to invest more than 10% of the portfolio
value or 115% of the benchmark weight, whichever is greater, in any given
economic sector.
Portfolio B The client is the CEO of his firm and has holdings in his company’s stock.
He has instructed his portfolio manager not to sell any part of this holding,
even if capital market conditions stated otherwise.”
Portfolio C More than 60% of the client’s portfolio constitutes holdings in his
grandfather’s firm that has been managed by family over the course of many
years. Since the holding has a very low cost basis, the client has directed his
portfolio manager that it should not be sold.”
C. Select the portfolio that is likely to be not included in a composite under the
Global Investment Performance Standards. For the portfolio selected, list three
ways in which it can be handled with regards to GIPS compliant composite
construction.
(4 marks)
Hollings was particularly interested in the firm’s traditional asset class composites,
mainly:
The equity portions of the three funds were managed by a group of equity managers at
CEIG, whereas the fixed-income portions, along with cash and cash equivalents, were
managed by the fixed-income managers. Just recently, CEIG created a new composite by
the name of “Standard Equity Account Composite” that included only the equity
segments of the above-mentioned composites. This was created to ensure proper
performance evaluation of the equity managers of CEIG.
(4 marks)
A Solution:
Three ways in which CEIG’s procedures violate the GIPS requirements with regards to
input data are:
1. Although CEIG used trade date accounting, assets and liabilities are to be
recognized within three days of entering into a transaction (not a week)
2. CEIG did not accrue dividends not yet paid. GIPS standards recommend that
dividends be accrued as of the ex-dividend date.
3. CEIG valued all portfolios at least monthly. However, for periods beginning on or
after 1 January 2010, portfolios must be valued:
a. On the date of all large cash flows as defined by the firm for each
composite; and
b. As of each calendar month-end or the last business day of each month.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 18, Reading 34, LOS-c.
B Solution:
Custody fees were not considered Not in Custody fees are not to be
direct trading expenses. However, compliance considered direct trading
if they were charged on a per- expenses, even when they
transaction basis, they were are charged on a per-
included in trading expenses. transaction basis.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 18, Reading 34, LOS-d.
C Solution:
Since all portfolios are actual, fee-paying, the portfolio that is non-discretionary should
not be included in any composite. Portfolio C is likely to be considered non-
discretionary. This is because 60% of the portfolio’s value is not to be sold or managed
according to the portfolio manager’s intended strategy. 60% is considered a significant
amount.
The portfolio can be handled in the following three ways to be GIPS compliant:
1. The entire portfolio should be considered non-discretionary and removed from the
firm’s composites.
2. The individual assets over which the manager has no discretion should be
removed and the remaining assets could be added to a composite.
3. A materiality threshold could be stated in the policy, enabling the manager to
consider a portfolio discretionary if the non-discretionary assets consist of less
than a certain percentage of portfolio assets.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 18, Reading 34, LOS-f.
D Solution:
The GIPS Standards state, that for periods beginning on or after January 1 2010, a carve-
out must not be included in a composite unless it is managed separately with its own cash
balance. The construction of the new composite is not in compliance with GIPS because:
• In this case, it seems that the cash is pooled and is invested for the balanced funds
as a whole. The equity segments are not managed with their own cash balances.
• The equity segments do not seem to be managed separately from their fixed-
income counterparts (i.e. without keeping them in consideration).
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 18, Reading 34, LOS-i.
Mathews meant to use this data to calculate the implementation shortfall of his trade.
A. Calculate the total implementation shortfall for the trade in the stock of Stripes
Incorporated. Determine the contribution of the various cost components to the
total implementation shortfall. Show your calculations.
(6 marks)
Upon completion of his analysis, Mathews met with is fellow colleagues to share his
conclusion. They were all intrigued with the impact that trading costs could have on
investment results. As their discussion continued, each manager presented ways in which
they attempted to minimize trading expenses. They made the following comments:
Manager A: “I always use extensive competitor and industry data while screening
securities. A comprehensive fundamental analysis is a trialed and tested
method for selecting superior investments. While placing an order, I wait till
the price reaches the level I deem fit. “
Manager B: “I believe that markets are efficient, and costs to actively managed funds
overweight the benefits of doing so. Most of my investments are in indexed
funds. To minimize the costs of trading, I only trade at regular intervals for
rebalancing purposes.”
Manager C: “Just recently, I traded in the stock of Star Industries that I believed was
significantly overvalued. They had met fierce opposition from their largest
suppliers, which led to the cancellation of a supply contract just a few days
ago. My trading costs were quite low.”
B. Determine which category of traders types would each of the above managers fall
into. State the order type that they are most likely to use along with one limitation
for each order type.
(6 marks)
After their discussion, Jim McGraw (Manager B) stayed back to talk a little more about
rebalancing needs and methodologies. When Mathews inquired about the frequency of
his rebalancing trades, McGraw stated that he rebalanced his portfolio to target weights
on a semiannual basis; a choice linked to the schedule of his portfolio’s reviews. For
investment advice from Mathews, McGraw presented him with the following details of
his portfolio:
Exhibit 1:
Asset Class Weights (Strategic Asset Allocation)
Asset Class Weights
Domestic bonds 25%
International bonds 15%
Domestic Equities 40%
International Equities 20%
In addition, McGraw also mentioned that over the course of the previous year, some
economic, personal, and financial changes occurred, affecting each of these asset classes.
Specifically, he pointed out the following:
C. (i) State the rebalancing method used by McGraw. List two ways in which
percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing can mitigate the drawbacks of the rebalancing
method used by McGraw.
(3 marks)
C. (ii) Evaluate the implications of each of the above mentioned changes on the
tolerance bands of the asset classes assuming percentage-of-portfolio rebalancing
was used. Use the template on the following page to answer the question.
(5 marks)
A Solution:
Total: $43,005
Cost components:
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 16, Reading 31, LOS-g.
B Solution:
Manager A is a value-oriented trader since he/she only trades when the price moves into
his/her value range. Value-oriented traders use limit orders. One
disadvantage of the limit order is that it may fail to execute.
Manager B is a passive trader since he seeks liquidity in his rebalancing transactions and
is concerned with minimizing costs. They are likely to use portfolio trades or
limit orders. One disadvantage of such trades is the uncertainty of completion
within a given time frame.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 16, Reading 31, LOS-j.
C (i) McGraw uses the calendar rebalancing method since he balances his portfolio on a
periodic basis (semiannually). The percentage of portfolio rebalancing mitigates the
following drawbacks of calendar rebalancing:
C (ii)
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 16, Reading 32, LOS-f.
Susanne Karen is an architect who works for a prominent multinational firm in the
industry. Karen has managed to accumulate a portfolio worth $10 million with her annual
savings. The portfolio is invested to track a balanced fund with 50% invested in stocks
and 50% in bonds. To suitably manage her portfolio, Karen hired Robin Clark, a portfolio
manager and investment management expert. For estimating the expected performance of
Karen’s portfolio, Clark accumulated the information given in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1:
Annual Expected Return and Risk
Asset Class Standard Deviation Return
Stocks 22% 15%
Bonds 9% 6%
The correlation between stocks and bonds is 0.65. During a meeting with Karen, Clark
extracted all pertinent information about her financial situation and personal preferences.
This was then used to construct an appropriate IPS. Keeping the objectives, as stipulated
by the IPS, in mind, Clark suggested investing a small portion of her portfolio in
derivatives. Specifically, he proposed the following option:
‘A forward contract on the stock of Titan Enterprises with a maturity of 18 months. The
stock is currently worth $120/share. The risk-free rate is 5.5%.”
Clark is convinced that the stock price would rise in the coming year or so, due to a
change in the firm’s product strategy. He constructed a position for Karen which would
take advantage of this expectation.
A. Determine the 1 percent VAR of Karen’s portfolio before the addition of the
forward contract. Express it in the most conservative way.
(4 marks)
Nine months have passed since Clark has been managing Karen’s portfolio. Titan
Enterprises’ stock is now worth $135/share. The stock paid no dividends during this
period and is not expected to do so for the coming five years.
B. Evaluate the credit risk position of Karen in the forward contract. Determine the
new price of the forward contract if it were to be marked to market.
(4 marks)
After two years, Karen requested Clark to present her with a comprehensive analysis of
her portfolios performance. Displeased with the results, Karen instructed Clark to look
for other investment opportunities. Clark stated, that over a year ago, his investment
management firm introduced a new fund managed by a team of reputable portfolio
managers and invested in a number of financial sectors. The fund managers used their
skills and expertise to earn above-average returns for the fund. Upon further request,
Clark presented Karen with the information given in Exhibit 2.
Exhibit 2:
GHE Investment Fund Annual Performance Attribution
Beginning Value $150,000,000
C. (i) Determine how much of the total return was attributed to style bias. Show
your calculations.
(4 marks)
C. (ii) Determine how much value active stock selection added to the fund.
(2 marks)
Karen was greatly impressed with the fund’s performance. Convinced with the superior
stock picking ability of managers at the firm, she decided to give Clark more discretion in
making investment decisions for her portfolio. After six months, Karen’s portfolio earned
an unexpectedly higher return than its benchmark. To confirm the results, Karen
requested the details given in Exhibit 3.
Exhibit 3:
Portfolio Performance Results (Extract)
Sector Sector
Portfolio Weight Portfolio Return
Economic Sector Benchmark Benchmark
(%) (%)
weight (%) Return
Capital Goods 8.9 8.0 -0.55 -0.67
Consumer
7.5 8.5 0.30 -0.40
durables
Technology 12.0 10.5 3.95 2.90
The total portfolio earned a return of 2.12% whereas the total benchmark return was
0.70%.
D. Determine the within sector selection return and the pure sector allocation return
for each of the above mentioned economic sectors. Show your calculations. Use
the template on page number—to answer the question
(6 marks)
A Solution:
P = √0.0205650 = 0.143388
“The VAR for the portfolio is $2.291 million for one year with a probability of 0.01. This
means there is a 1% chance that the portfolio will lose at least $2.291 million in a year.”
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 1, Study Session 14, Reading 27, LOS-e.
B Solution:
Since Karen must have taken the long position to benefit from a rise in price, the contract
is positive to Karen and she faces a credit risk of $10.0833.
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 1, Study Session 14, Reading 27, LOS-i.
C Solution:
(ii) Since allocation effects are 0%, the total return less the return at the benchmark level
will give us the return to active managers (the incremental return at the investment
manager level). This is 11.05%-9.9768 = 1.0732%
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 17, Reading 33, LOS-l.
D Solution:
Pure Sector Within Sector
Allocation Selection
Capital Goods (8.9-8.0)(-0.67-0.70) 8.0[(-0.55-(-
= -1.23% 0.67)]=0.96%
Consumer (7.5-8.5)(-0.40- 8.5((0.30-(-
durables 0.70)=1.1% 0.40))=5.95%
Technology (12.0-10.5)(2.90- 10.5(3.95-2.90) =
0.70)=3.3% 11.025%
Reference:
CFA Level III, Volume 6, Study Session 17, Reading 33, LOS-l, m.