Professional Documents
Culture Documents
#Nestlénow: June 2018 July 2018
#Nestlénow: June 2018 July 2018
J JUULY
N E2 2
0011
88
Confidential
1
N E S T L É N OT L I V I N G U P T O I T S P OT E N T I A L
v Nestlé has been too slow to react to significant changes across the
consumer products industry given structural issues around strategy,
portfolio, and organization, and thus operates far below its potential
T HI R D POI N T , ON E OF N ES T L É’ S L A R GES T
v As a result, financial performance has been weak and shares have
I N V ES T OR S , OF F ER S T HI S R OA DMA P T O EN S UR E
underperformed
N ES T L É MA I N T A I N S I T S C OMPET I T I V E POS I T I ON
A N D A C HI EV ES L ON G- T ER M S UC C ES S
2
TO REVERSE UNDERPERFORMANCE, NESTLÉ MUST ADOPT A
#NestléNOW MINDSET
TO REVERSE UNDERPERFORMANCE, NESTLÉ MUST BECOME SHARPER, BOLDER, AND FASTER
Assessment Recommendation
Note: Nestlé management highlighted coffee, pet, nutrition, and water as key categories. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
3
P R O P O S E D C H A N G E S C A N M AT E R I A L LY I M P R O V E T H E LO N G -T E R M ,
O P E R AT I N G A N D F I N A N C I A L T R A J E C T O R Y O F T H E B U S I N E S S
Stronger and more sustainable growth Potential to double EPS over the next 5 years
Nestlé earnings per share, CHF
v Faster and more responsive organization with
more focused strategy
Note: Historical financials updated for restatements where applicable. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
4
Industry
L A R G E S T G LO B A LBackdrop
F O O D & B E V E R AG E C O M PA N Y
5
Industry
C O N S U M E R P R O DBackdrop
UCTS INDUSTRY HAS CHANGED
6
N E S T L É H A S B E E N L AT E T O PA R T I C I PAT E I N K E Y T R E N D S
D R I V I N G G R O W T H I N T H E F O O D A N D B E V E R AG E I N D U S T R Y
N EW ER BR A N DS T OOK S HA R E, W HI L E
N ES T L É HA S F A L L EN BEHI N D
7
Financial
S LO W R E S P O N S EPerformance
TO INDUSTRY CHANGES
HAS LED TO WEAK FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Note: Historical financials updated for restatements where applicable. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
8
D I V I D E N D G R O W T H H A S A L S O S TA L L E D
A N D PAY O U T R AT I O H A S M O V E D H I G H E R
Dividend now only growing ~2% Dividend now nearly 2/3 of EPS
Nestlé dividend per share and dividend growth Nestlé dividend payout ratio, %
Note: Historical financials updated for restatements where applicable. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials; Bloomberg
9
S H A R E S H AV E S I G N I F I C A N T LY U N D E R P E R F O R M E D
E U R O P E A N S TA P L E S P E E R S
Note: Total Shareholder Return (measured in local currency) includes dividends; Nestlé TSR on a 1, 3, 5, and 10 year basis was -5%, +22%, +45% and +135% respectively;
European Peer Index consists of SPDR MSCI European Consumer Staples Index members with market capitalization greater than $40 billion as of June 29, 2018; companies
include Anheuser-Busch InBev, British Tobacco, Danone, Diageo, Heineken, Henkel, L'Oréal, Reckitt Benckiser, Pernod Ricard, Unilever. Source: Third Point LLC; Bloomberg
10
T H I R D P O I N T O F F E R E D A PAT H F O R WA R D
FOR NESTLÉ IN JUNE 2017
SALES & MARGINS v Use (already announced) cost savings to invest in demand generation and improve margins
v Create formal margin target to reduce reinvestment risk
Note: Third Point letter available at https://www.thirdpointoffshore.com/portfolio-updates Source: Third Point LLC
11
M A N AG E M E N T R E S P O N D E D B Y A N N O U N C I N G
A S E R I E S O F N E W TA R G E T S
Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials; Financial Times (September 2017)
12
F I N A N C I A L TA R G E T S A H E L P F U L S TA R T, T H O U G H
L E S S A M B I T I O U S T H A N U N I L E V E R ’ S TA R G E T S
Unilever set bolder margin target and …while also delivering and targeting
is making faster progress to achieve it… stronger organic sales growth than Nestlé
Organic sales, % growth
2016 Base 2017 Actual 2020 Target
Note: Historical financials updated for restatements where applicable. Nestlé 2020 margin target based on midpoint of 17.5-18.5% range; 2018 organic sales based on
midpoint of company guidance (Nestlé targeting 2-4%, Unilever targeting 3-5%). Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé and Unilever company materials
13
FURTHERMORE, INTERNAL PROBLEMS
H AV E Y E T T O B E S U F F I C I E N T LY A D D R E S S E D
S T R AT E G Y PORTFOLIO O R G A N I Z AT I O N
14
S T R AT E G Y S T I L L VAG U E LY D E F I N E D
A N D P L AG U E D B Y I N C O N S I S T E N C I E S
15
B O A R D O F D I R E C T O R S R E S P O N S I B L E F O R S T R AT E G Y
Swiss boards set corporate strategy Nestlé Board missing key perspectives
Note: Swiss Code of Best Practice for Corporate Governance sets guidelines and recommendations for Swiss companies Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials; economiesuisse
16
S T R AT E G Y – R E C O M M E N D AT I O N :
B E S H A R P E R I N A R T I C U L AT I N G S T R AT E G Y
C L A R I F Y O V E R A L L C O R P O R AT E S T R AT E G Y
Clarify strategies
Add external food & Change category
within categories,
beverage expertise to financial reporting to
e.g., coffee,
Nestlé Board improve transparency
consumer health
17
PORTFOLIO STILL SUBOPTIMAL
Note: Nestlé sales mix disclosed at 2017 Investor Seminar. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
18
L A R G E E X P O S U R E O U T S I D E K E Y C AT E G O R I E S
WEIGHING ON GROWTH
C UR R EN T POR T F OL I O UN L I K EL Y T O S US T A I N A BL Y DEL I V ER
MI D- S I N GL E DI GI T % OR GA N I C S A L ES GR OW T H
Note: Using category results for Powdered and Liquid Beverages, Pet Care, Nutrition and Health Science, and Water as proxy for key categories; Historical financials updated
for restatements where applicable. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
19
D E S P I T E O W N I N G M A N Y U N D E R P E R F O R M I N G A N D N O N - S T R AT E G I C
B U S I N E S S E S , N E S T L É H A S B A R E LY M A D E A N Y S I Z A B L E D I V E S T I T U R E S
Note: US Confectionary sold to Ferrero in March 2018; strategic review underway for Gerber Life Insurance. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials; Google Images
20
P O R T F O L I O – R E C O M M E N D AT I O N :
BE BOLDER IN RE-SHAPING THE PORTFOLIO
21
SEGMENT PORTFOLIO INTO THREE BUCKETS:
F O C U S , D E V E LO P, D I V E S T
22
D I V E S T A N D AC Q U I R E B U S I N E S S E S T O B U I L D A M O R E AT T R AC T I V E
P O R T F O L I O W I T H G R E AT E R E X P O S U R E T O K E Y C AT E G O R I E S
Illustrative
Divest Acquire
23
T I M E T O M O N E T I Z E L' O R É A L
Note: L'Oréal CEO comments from February 2018 public interview. Source: Third Point LLC; Google Images
24
O P P O R T U N I T Y T O TA K E A D VA N TAG E O F S I G N I F I C A N T
VA L U AT I O N D I S PA R I T Y B E T W E E N N E S T L É A N D L’ O R É A L
Note: Multiples as of June 29, 2018; Nestlé owns 23.12% of L'Oréal; EPS accretion math assumes L'Oréal stake sold and Nestlé shares repurchased at market
prices as of June 29, 2018. Source: Third Point LLC; Bloomberg
25
NESTLÉ CAN USE PROCEEDS FROM ASSET SALES
F O R AC Q U I S I T I O N S A N D S H A R E R E P U R C H A S E S
v Leverage global scale and take smaller v Share repurchases are lower risk than
brands into new geographies acquisitions and less dilutive to return
on invested capital
v Drive earnings accretion
v Drive earnings accretion
26
O R G A N I Z AT I O N S T I L L T O O I N S U L A R
v Most notable executive change under Schneider has been internal promotion in key US market
• After years of disappointing performance, Nestlé (rather than hiring an outsider) promoted US
CFO Steve Presley to CEO and US CEO Paul Grimwood to Non-Executive Chairman
OR GA N I Z A T I ON W OUL D BEN EF I T F R OM
MOR E OUT S I DER PER S PEC T I V ES
27
O R G A N I Z AT I O N D E S I G N S T I L L T O O C O M P L E X A N D B U R E A U C R AT I C
28
O R G A N I Z AT I O N – R E C O M M E N D AT I O N :
B E FA S T E R I N O V E R H A U L I N G T H E O R G A N I Z AT I O N
29
R E I N V I G O R AT E N E S T L É S T R U C T U R E
B Y S E PA R AT I N G B U S I N E S S I N T O T H R E E D I V I S I O N S
v Separate business along category lines into Beverages, Nutrition, Grocery divisions
• Each group of categories has a different outlook and set of opportunities for sales growth and profitability
v Separation would allow Nestlé CEO to focus more on overall corporate strategy and capital allocation
N EW OR GA N I Z A T I ON A L S T R UC T UR E W I L L I MPR OV E
F OC US A N D S PEED T O MA R K ET F OR EA C H C A T EGOR Y
(A K EY OBJ EC T I V E OF C EO MA R K S C HN EI DER )
30
E AC H D I V I S I O N S H O U L D H AV E I T S O W N C E O, R E G I O N A L
S T R U C T U R E , A N D C AT E G O R Y M A R K E T I N G H E A D S
Illustrative
Nestlé pro-forma organizational chart
31
A D O P T I N G A # N e s t l é N O W M I N D S E T W I L L A L LO W N E S T L É T O
B E C O M E S H A R P E R , B O L D E R , A N D FA S T E R
32
T H I R D P O I N T R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S W I L L M AT E R I A L LY I M P R O V E T H E
LO N G -T E R M T R A J E C T O R Y O F T H E B U S I N E S S
Note: Historical financials updated for restatements where applicable. Source: Third Point LLC; Nestlé company materials
33
DISCLAIMER
THESE MATERIALS SHALL NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER TO SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY ANY INTERESTS IN ANY FUND THESE MATERIALS SHALL NOT
CONSTITUTE AN OFFER TO SELL OR THE SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY ANY INTERESTS IN ANY FUND MANAGED BY THIRD POINT LLC OR ITS AFFILIATES. SUCH AN
OFFER TO SELL OR SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY INTERESTS MAY ONLY BE MADE PURSUANT TO DEFINITIVE SUBSCRIPTIONS DOCUMENTS BETWEEN A FUND AND
AN INVESTOR.
The information contained herein reflects the opinions and projections of Third Point LLC and its affiliates (collectively “Third Point”) as of the date of publication, which is
subject to change without notice any time subsequent to the date of issue. Such opinions and projections reflect various assumptions by Third Point concerning anticipated
results that are inherently subject to significant economic, competitive, and other uncertainties and contingencies and have been included solely for illustrative purposes.
Third Point does not represent that any opinion or projection will be realized. While the information presented herein is believed to be reliable, no representation or
warranty, express or implied, is made concerning the accuracy or completeness of such opinions or projections, or with respect to any other materials herein and Third
Point disclaims any liability with respect thereto. All information provided in this presentation is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as investment
advice or a recommendation to purchase or sell any specific security. Third Point has an economic interest in the price movement of the securities of the company
discussed in this presentation, and may buy, sell, cover or otherwise change the form of its investment in the subject company for any or no reason. Third Point hereby
disclaims any duty to provide any updates or changes to the analyses contained here including, without limitation, the manner or type of any Third Point investment.
MANAGED BY THIRD POINT LLC OR ITS AFFILIATES. SUCH AN OFFER TO SELL OR SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY INTERESTS MAY ONLY BE MADE PURSUANT TO
DEFINITIVE SUBSCRIPTIONS DOCUMENTS BETWEEN A FUND AND AN INVESTOR.
The information contained herein reflects the opinions and projections of Third Point LLC and its affiliates (collectively “Third Point”) as of the date of publication, which is
subject to change without notice any time subsequent to the date of issue. Such opinions and projections reflect various assumptions by Third Point concerning anticipated
results that are inherently subject to significant economic, competitive, and other uncertainties and contingencies and have been included solely for illustrative purposes.
Third Point does not represent that any opinion or projection will be realized. While the information presented herein is believed to be reliable, no representation or
warranty, express or implied, is made concerning the accuracy or completeness of such opinions or projections, or with respect to any other materials herein and Third
Point disclaims any liability with respect thereto. All information provided in this presentation is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as investment
advice or a recommendation to purchase or sell any specific security. Third Point has an economic interest in the price movement of the securities of the company
discussed in this presentation, and may buy, sell, cover or otherwise change the form of its investment in the subject company for any or no reason. Third Point hereby
disclaims any duty to provide any updates or changes to the analyses contained here including, without limitation, the manner or type of any Third Point investment.
34