Chertow Et Al

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new england

The
journal of medicine
established in 1812 April 29, 2021 vol. 384  no. 17

Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and Non–Dialysis-


Dependent CKD
G.M. Chertow, P.E. Pergola, Y.M.K. Farag, R. Agarwal, S. Arnold, G. Bako, G.A. Block, S. Burke, F.P. Castillo,
A.G. Jardine, Z. Khawaja, M.J. Koury, E.F. Lewis, T. Lin, W. Luo, B.J. Maroni, K. Matsushita, P.A. McCullough,
P.S. Parfrey, P. Roy‑Chaudhury, M.J. Sarnak, A. Sharma, B. Spinowitz, C. Tseng, J. Tumlin, D.L. Vargo, K.A. Walters,
W.C. Winkelmayer, J. Wittes, and K.-U. Eckardt, for the PRO2TECT Study Group*​​

a bs t r ac t

BACKGROUND
Vadadustat is an oral hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor, a The authors’ full names, academic degrees,
class of drugs that stabilize HIF and stimulate erythropoietin and red-cell production. and affiliations are listed in the Appen‑
dix. Address reprint requests to Dr. Cher‑
METHODS tow at the Department of Medicine, Stan‑
In two phase 3, randomized, open-label, active-controlled, noninferiority trials, we ford University School of Medicine, 1070
Arastradero Rd., Suite 311, Palo Alto, CA
compared vadadustat with the erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) darbepoetin 94304, or at ­gchertow@​­stanford​.­edu.
alfa in patients with non–dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD)
*A complete list of the investigators in
not previously treated with an ESA who had a hemoglobin concentration of less the PRO2TECT Study Group is provided
than 10 g per deciliter and in patients with ESA-treated NDD-CKD and a hemo- in the Supplementary Appendix, available
globin concentration of 8 to 11 g per deciliter (in the United States) or 9 to 12 g per at NEJM.org.
deciliter (in other countries). The primary safety end point, assessed in a time-to- N Engl J Med 2021;384:1589-600.
event analysis, was the first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; a composite DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2035938
of death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke), pooled Copyright © 2021 Massachusetts Medical Society.

across the two trials. Secondary safety end points included expanded MACE
(MACE plus hospitalization for either heart failure or a thromboembolic event).
The primary and key secondary efficacy end points in each trial were the mean
change in hemoglobin concentration from baseline during two evaluation periods:
weeks 24 through 36 and weeks 40 through 52.
RESULTS
A total of 1751 patients with ESA-untreated NDD-CKD and 1725 with ESA-treated
NDD-CKD underwent randomization in the two trials. In the pooled analysis, in
which 1739 patients received vadadustat and 1732 received darbepoetin alfa, the
hazard ratio for MACE was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.36), which
did not meet the prespecified noninferiority margin of 1.25. The mean between-
group differences in the change in the hemoglobin concentration at weeks 24
through 36 were 0.05 g per deciliter (95% CI, −0.04 to 0.15) in the trial involving
ESA-untreated patients and −0.01 g per deciliter (95% CI, −0.09 to 0.07) in the
trial involving ESA-treated patients, which met the prespecified noninferiority
margin of −0.75 g per deciliter.
CONCLUSIONS
Vadadustat, as compared with darbepoetin alfa, met the prespecified noninferiority
criterion for hematologic efficacy but not the prespecified noninferiority criterion for
cardiovascular safety in patients with NDD-CKD. (Funded by Akebia Therapeutics
and Otsuka Pharmaceutical; PRO2TECT ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT02648347
and NCT02680574.)
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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

A
nemia is a common complication of Me thods
chronic kidney disease (CKD). Among
patients with moderate-to-advanced non– Trial Design and Oversight
dialysis-dependent CKD (NDD-CKD), the preva- The design and methods of these two trials have
lence of anemia, defined as a hemoglobin con- been described previously,11 and the protocols
centration below 13 g per deciliter in men and are available with the full text of this article at
below 12 g per deciliter in women, is approxi- NEJM.org. Both trials were randomized, open-
mately 30 to 40%.1,2 Conventional treatment of label, active-controlled, event-driven trials that
anemia in patients with NDD-CKD includes cor- were designed to evaluate the cardiovascular
rection of iron deficiency and the provision of safety and hematologic efficacy of vadadustat, as
recombinant erythropoietin and its analogues, compared with darbepoetin alfa, for the treat-
referred to as erythropoiesis-stimulating agents ment of anemia in patients with NDD-CKD: one
(ESAs), to maintain the hemoglobin concentra- trial (previously called “Correction”) involved
tion within the range of 9 to 12 g per deciliter. ESA-untreated patients, and the other (previously
Treatment with ESAs reduces the need for red- called “Conversion”) involved ESA-treated pa-
cell transfusion, but an increased risk of certain tients. In both trials, personnel at Akebia Thera-
cardiovascular events has been identified when peutics and Otsuka Pharmaceutical (the funders)
hemoglobin concentrations in the near-normal were unaware of the treatment assignments.
range are targeted.3-5 The target enrollment in each trial was ap-
Hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF) is a tran- proximately 1850 patients, randomly assigned in
scription factor that regulates many physiolog- a 1:1 ratio across the two treatments.11 The two
ical responses to hypoxia, including erythro- trials were designed similarly. The protocols
poietin production by the liver and kidneys. prespecified that the cardiovascular safety end
HIF is regulated by oxygen-dependent protea- points would be pooled across the two trials to
somal degradation, with a family of prolyl hy- achieve sufficient power. Hematologic efficacy
droxylases serving as oxygen sensors.6,7 HIF was prespecified to be assessed separately in
prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors comprise a new each trial (see the Supplemental Methods sec-
class of compounds that stabilize HIF, which tion in the Supplementary Appendix, available at
in turn stimulates endogenous erythropoietin NEJM.org).
production.8,9 Akebia Therapeutics designed the trials and
Vadadustat is an oral HIF prolyl hydroxylase protocols with input from an executive steering
inhibitor that is under investigation for the committee, and Otsuka Pharmaceutical partici-
treatment of anemia associated with CKD. We pated in the executive steering committee meet-
conducted four phase 3, international, random- ings and provided input on trial protocol amend-
ized, controlled trials: two trials involved pa- ments. An independent ethics committee approved
tients with dialysis-dependent (DD)–CKD (the the informed consent forms. Trial investigators
INNO2VATE trials), and two involved patients conducted the trials in collaboration with Ake-
with NDD-CKD (the PRO2TECT trials). The bia Therapeutics. The executive steering com-
­I NNO2VATE trials, which are also reported in mittee supervised the trial conduct and prog-
this issue of the Journal, showed that vadadustat ress. The trials were monitored by an independent
was noninferior to darbepoetin alfa with re- data and safety monitoring committee. The first
spect to cardiovascular safety (major adverse and last authors wrote the first draft of the
cardiovascular events [MACE]) and hematolog- manuscript and made final decisions regarding
ic efficacy.10 Here, we report the results of the the content of the submitted manuscript. All the
two trials that examined the cardiovascular safety authors had access to the trial data, critically
and hematologic efficacy of vadadustat in pa- reviewed the manuscript, and approved it for
tients with NDD-CKD; one trial involved patients submission. The investigators vouch for the ac-
with anemia who had not received previous curacy and completeness of the data; the au-
treatment with ESAs (ESA-untreated), and the thors and Akebia Therapeutics vouch for the fidel-
other involved patients with anemia actively ity of the trials to the protocols and for the
treated with ESAs (ESA-treated). analysis of the data.

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Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

Participants safety follow-up period. Figure S1 shows the


In both trials, eligible patients were at least 18 schema for both trials.
years of age and had NDD-CKD (defined as an
estimated glomerular filtration rate [GFR] of End Points
≤60 ml per minute per 1.73 m2 of body-surface The primary safety end point, assessed in a
area, as calculated with the use of the Chronic time-to-event analysis, was the first adjudicated
Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equa- MACE, which was a composite end point of
tion, incorporating a term for patient-reported death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial in-
race [Black or non-Black], as originally de- farction, or nonfatal stroke. Key secondary safety
fined12). In the trial involving ESA-untreated end points, assessed in time-to-event analyses,
patients, patients were required to have a hemo- were the first occurrence of expanded MACE
globin concentration of less than 10 g per deci- (defined as a MACE plus hospitalization for ei-
liter and were excluded if they had received any ther heart failure or a thromboembolic event,
ESA within 8 weeks before randomization. In excluding vascular access failure); a composite of
the trial involving ESA-treated patients, patients death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myo-
had to be actively receiving maintenance ESA cardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke (so-called
therapy, with at least one dose received within classic MACE); death from cardiovascular causes;
6 weeks before screening or during screening, and death from any cause. An independent
and were also required to have a hemoglobin clinical end-points committee, whose members
concentration of 8 to 11 g per deciliter (in the were unaware of the treatment assignments,
United States) or 9 to 12 g per deciliter (in other adjudicated MACE.
countries). The primary efficacy end point was the mean
In both trials, patients were required to have change in the hemoglobin concentration from
a serum ferritin concentration of at least 100 ng the baseline value to the mean concentration
per milliliter and a transferrin saturation of at during the primary evaluation period. The key
least 20%. Patients were excluded if the investi- secondary efficacy end point was the mean
gator judged that the anemia was due to causes change in the hemoglobin concentration from
other than CKD or if a potential participant had the baseline value to the mean concentration
uncontrolled hypertension or had had a recent during the secondary evaluation period.
cardiovascular event. Table S1 in the Supplemen-
tary Appendix lists all the inclusion and exclu- Intervention
sion criteria. All the patients provided written The starting dose of vadadustat was 300 mg
informed consent. orally once daily, with doses of 150 mg, 450 mg,
and 600 mg available for adjustment to a maxi-
Randomization and Trial Periods mum dose of 600 mg daily. Drug doses were
Eligible patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 adjusted according to protocol-specified dose-
ratio to receive vadadustat or darbepoetin alfa, adjustment algorithms to achieve target hemo-
with stratification according to geographic region globin concentrations (in the United States: 10 to
(United States vs. Europe vs. other), New York 11 g per deciliter; in other countries: 10 to 12 g
Heart Association (NYHA) congestive heart fail- per deciliter). Darbepoetin alfa was administered
ure class (0 or I vs. II or III), and hemoglobin subcutaneously or intravenously. In contrast to
concentration at entry (in ESA-untreated patients: the initial uniform dosing in the vadadustat
<9.5 vs. ≥9.5 g per deciliter; in ESA-treated pa- group, the initial dose of darbepoetin alfa was
tients: <10 vs. ≥10 g per deciliter). The trials had based on the patient’s previous dose of darbe-
four defined trial periods: a correction or con- poetin alfa or on the local product label for pa-
version period (weeks 0 through 23), a mainte- tients who had not been receiving darbepoetin
nance period (weeks 24 through 52) that com- alfa before randomization. Investigators were en-
prised both primary (weeks 24 through 36) and couraged to prescribe iron supplementation such
secondary (weeks 40 through 52) efficacy evalu- that a ferritin concentration of at least 100 ng
ation periods, a long-term treatment period per milliliter or a transferrin saturation of at
(weeks 53 to end of treatment), and a 4-week least 20% would be maintained.

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

Starting at week 6, patients in the two treat- R e sult s


ment groups could receive ESAs as rescue
therapy if they had worsening symptoms of Patients
anemia with a hemoglobin concentration of Across the two trials, 3476 patients underwent
less than 9.0 g per deciliter. In a post hoc randomization, with 1751 patients in the trial
analysis, patients who had been randomly as- involving ESA-untreated patients and 1725 in the
signed to receive darbepoetin alfa were also trial involving ESA-treated patients (Fig. S2). The
considered to have received rescue therapy with median duration of follow-up was 1.63 years
ESAs if the darbepoetin alfa dose was increased (interquartile range, 0.94 to 2.49) and 1.80 years
to at least double the previous dose. While re- (interquartile range, 0.97 to 2.67), respectively.
ceiving ESAs as rescue therapy, patients tempo- The randomized groups in both trials were
rarily discontinued vadadustat or darbepoetin generally well balanced (Table 1; Table S2 pro-
alfa, the latter only if the rescue therapy was an vides a more comprehensive comparison).
ESA other than darbepoetin alfa. Receipt of
red-cell transfusions did not require discontin- Primary and Key Secondary Safety End Points
uation of the trial drug. We conducted all the analyses related to MACE
safety end points using the safety population (all
Statistical Analysis patients who received at least one dose of the
All the safety and efficacy analyses were pre- trial drug), pooled across the two trials; there-
specified except where noted. Noninferiority fore, 1739 patients were included in the vadadu-
margins were an upper boundary of the 95% stat group and 1732 in the darbepoetin alfa
confidence interval not exceeding 1.25 or 1.3 group. Figure 1A shows the time to the first
(both margins were prespecified in consulta- MACE. A first MACE occurred in 382 of 1739
tion with U.S. and European Union regulators, patients (22.0%) in the vadadustat group and in
respectively) for the hazard ratio of the pri- 344 of 1732 patients (19.9%) in the darbepoetin
mary safety end point and a lower boundary of alfa group (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence
the 95% confidence interval for the hemo­ interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.36). The results of the
globin concentration that was not below −0.75 g prespecified subgroup analyses of MACE are
per deciliter for the primary efficacy end shown in Figure S3. With regard to the compo-
point. nents of MACE, death from any cause occurred
To evaluate the primary and key secondary in 319 patients (18.3%) in the vadadustat group
efficacy end points, we used analysis of covari- and in 307 (17.7%) in the darbepoetin alfa
ance with multiple imputation for missing data, group; nonfatal myocardial infarction in 67 (3.9%)
with baseline hemoglobin concentration (in and 48 (2.8%), respectively; and nonfatal stroke
ESA-untreated patients: <9.5 vs. ≥9.5 g per in 34 (2.0%) and 28 (1.6%), respectively.
deciliter; in ESA-treated patients: <10 vs. ≥10 g Figure 1B shows the time to the first ex-
per deciliter), geographic region (United States panded MACE, which occurred in 451 patients
vs. Europe vs. other), and NYHA class (0 or I vs. (25.9%) in the vadadustat group and in 424
II or III) as covariates. We used a Cox propor- (24.5%) in the darbepoetin alfa group (hazard
tional-hazards model stratified according to ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.27). Figures 1C and
trial to analyze the first MACE in a time-to- 1D show the time to death from cardiovascular
event analysis. The Cox model included the causes (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.29)
following covariates: baseline hemoglobin con- and the time to death from any cause (hazard
centration, geographic region, NYHA class, sex, ratio, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.93 to 1.27), respectively.
age (>65 vs. ≤65 years), race (White vs. non- Figure S4 shows the time to the composite of
White), cardiovascular disease (yes vs. no), and death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myo-
diabetes mellitus (yes vs. no). We conducted a cardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke (hazard
series of subgroup analyses, which included ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.42).
subgroups defined according to the stratifica- The time to CKD progression, which was
tion factors (see the Supplemental Methods defined as the provision of maintenance dialysis,
section). receipt of kidney transplant, or a decrease in the

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Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

Table 1. Selected Demographic, Clinical, and Laboratory Characteristics of the Patients at Baseline (Randomized Population).*

Characteristic ESA-Untreated NDD-CKD ESA-Treated NDD-CKD

Vadadustat Darbepoetin Alfa Vadadustat Darbepoetin Alfa


(N = 879) (N = 872) (N = 862) (N = 863)
Age — yr 65.2±14.3 64.9±13.7 67.3±13.1 66.5±13.5
Female sex — no. (%) 475 (54.0) 506 (58.0) 468 (54.3) 488 (56.5)
Race or ethnic group — no. (%)†
White 546 (62.1) 571 (65.5) 631 (73.2) 603 (69.9)
Black 188 (21.4) 172 (19.7) 93 (10.8) 131 (15.2)
Asian 48 (5.5) 37 (4.2) 62 (7.2) 55 (6.4)
American Indian 22 (2.5) 23 (2.6) 32 (3.7) 26 (3.0)
Other 75 (8.5) 69 (7.9) 44 (5.1) 48 (5.6)
Hispanic ethnic group — no. (%)†
Hispanic 306 (34.8) 310 (35.6) 255 (29.6) 255 (29.5)
Non-Hispanic 566 (64.4) 554 (63.5) 584 (67.7) 591 (68.5)
Not reported 2 (0.2) 5 (0.6) 8 (0.9) 5 (0.6)
Unknown 5 (0.6) 3 (0.3) 15 (1.7) 12 (1.4)
Estimated GFR — ml/min/1.73 m2 21.2±12.0 21.9±12.6 22.6±11.6 22.8±12.0
Disease history — no. (%)
Diabetes mellitus 581 (66.1) 599 (68.7) 517 (60.0) 518 (60.0)
Cardiovascular disease 406 (46.2) 412 (47.2) 375 (43.5) 402 (46.6)
Hemoglobin — g/dl 9.1±0.8 9.1±0.8 10.4±0.9 10.4±0.9
Blood pressure — mm Hg
Systolic 139.1±18.5 139.2±17.8 137.1±18.0 136.4±17.5
Diastolic 73.9±12.0 73.4±12.6 73.4±11.4 74.2±10.9
Serum potassium — mmol/liter‡ 4.9±0.8 4.9±0.7 4.9±0.7 4.9±0.8
Supplemental iron use — no. (%)
Not receiving any iron 483 (54.9) 467 (53.6) 418 (48.5) 459 (53.2)
Receiving intravenous iron only 22 (2.5) 20 (2.3) 43 (5.0) 49 (5.7)

* Plus–minus values are means ±SD. ESA denotes erythropoiesis-stimulating agent, GFR glomerular filtration rate, and NDD-CKD non–dialysis-
dependent chronic kidney disease.
† Race and ethnic group were reported by the patient.
‡ The serum potassium concentration was assessed in the safety population (i.e., all the patients who received at least one dose of the trial
drug). In the trial involving patients with ESA-untreated NDD-CKD, data were available for 878 patients in the vadadustat group and for 870
in the darbepoetin alfa group; in the trial involving patients with ESA-treated NDD-CKD, data were available for 861 and 862, respectively.

estimated GFR to below 15 ml per minute per Prespecified Subgroup Analyses of Safety End
1.73 m2 or a decrease of 40% or more in the Points According to Region
estimated GFR (with the two estimated GFR Figure 2 shows the time to the first MACE and
criteria confirmed after ≥4 weeks), was similar the time to the first expanded MACE in the U.S.
in the two treatment groups in the two trials and non-U.S. populations. Figure S8 shows the
(Fig. S5). The mean systolic and diastolic blood time to death from any cause in the U.S. and non-
pressures in the two treatment groups were U.S. populations. Table S3 shows a breakdown of
similar over the course of both trials (Fig. S6). first MACE events in these two populations, and
Figure S7 shows the median doses of the trial Table S4 shows the components of first MACE as
drugs in both trials. well as death from any cause in these populations.

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A MACE B Expanded MACE

1594
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 Vadadustat (382 events) 50 Vadadustat (451 events)
40 Hazard ratio, 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01–1.36) 40 Hazard ratio, 1.11 (95% CI, 0.97–1.27)
30 30
20 20 Darbepoetin alfa (424 events)

Cumulative Incidence (%)


Cumulative Incidence (%)
10 Darbepoetin alfa (344 events) 10
0 0
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58
Months since Randomization Months since Randomization
No. at Risk No. at Risk
Vadadustat 1739 1668 1587 1301 1108 931 759 588 459 311 185 97 30 4 1 0 Vadadustat 1739 1636 1535 1247 1057 882 718 554 429 296 175 91 30 4 1 0
Darbepoetin alfa 1732 1674 1618 1329 1129 961 774 621 505 346 213 103 43 6 0 Darbepoetin alfa 1732 1639 1565 1270 1070 906 722 573 462 320 193 91 35 6 0
The

C Death from Cardiovascular Causes D Death from Any Cause


100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60

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50 50
Vadadustat
40 40
30 Hazard ratio, 1.01 (95% CI, 0.79–1.29) 30 Hazard ratio, 1.09 (95% CI, 0.93–1.27)

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20 Vadadustat 20

Cumulative Incidence (%)


Cumulative Incidence (%)
Darbepoetin alfa
n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l

10 10

The New England Journal of Medicine


Darbepoetin alfa
of

0 0
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58
Months since Randomization Months since Randomization

April 29, 2021


No. at Risk No. at Risk
Vadadustat 1739 1689 1617 1329 1137 967 796 623 487 334 204 106 34 4 1 0 Vadadustat 1739 1689 1617 1329 1137 967 796 623 487 334 204 106 34 4 1 0

Copyright © 2021 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.


m e dic i n e

Darbepoetin alfa 1732 1686 1637 1349 1151 988 799 646 523 361 221 108 44 7 0 Darbepoetin alfa 1732 1686 1637 1349 1151 988 799 646 523 361 221 108 44 7 0

Figure 1. MACE, Expanded MACE, Death from Cardiovascular Causes, and Death from Any Cause in the Pooled Safety Population of the Two Trials.
Shown are the cumulative incidences of a first adjudicated major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE; a composite of death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or non‑
fatal stroke), a first adjudicated expanded MACE (MACE plus hospitalization for either heart failure or a thromboembolic event, excluding vascular access failure), death from car‑

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diovascular causes, and death from any cause. The safety end points were assessed in the safety population (all the patients who received at least one dose of trial drug) pooled
across the two trials. Tick marks indicate censored data. CI denotes confidence interval.
Vadadustat Darbepoetin alfa

A MACE, U.S. Population B MACE, Non-U.S. Population


100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 Hazard ratio, 1.06 (95% CI, 0.87–1.29) 40 Hazard ratio, 1.30 (95% CI, 1.05–1.62)
30 30
20 20

Cumulative Incidence (%)


Cumulative Incidence (%)
10 10
0 0
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 46
Months since Randomization Months since Randomization
No. at Risk No. at Risk
Vadadustat 861 824 778 677 575 505 421 342 276 203 139 87 30 4 1 0 Vadadustat 878 844 809 624 533 426 338 246 183 108 46 10 1
Darbepoetin alfa 862 826 792 674 583 510 424 346 302 235 168 96 43 6 0 Darbepoetin alfa 870 848 826 655 546 451 350 275 203 111 45 7 0

C Expanded MACE, U.S. Population D Expanded MACE, Non-U.S. Population


100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
Hazard ratio, 1.02 (95% CI, 0.86–1.21) 50

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50

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Hazard ratio, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.01–1.52)
40 40
30 30
20 20
Cumulative Incidence (%)
Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

Cumulative Incidence (%)


10 10
0 0

Copyright © 2021 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.


0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 58 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 46
Months since Randomization Months since Randomization
No. at Risk No. at Risk
Vadadustat 861 797 742 634 535 468 387 312 249 189 130 81 30 4 1 0 Vadadustat 878 839 793 613 522 414 331 242 180 107 45 10 1
Darbepoetin alfa 862 798 747 625 534 468 383 310 269 214 151 84 35 6 0 Darbepoetin alfa 870 841 818 645 536 438 339 263 193 106 42 7 0

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Figure 2. MACE and Expanded MACE in U.S. and Non-U.S. Populations.
Shown are the cumulative incidences of a first adjudicated MACE in the U.S. trial population and in the non-U.S. trial population (i.e., patients in Europe or elsewhere) and a first
adjudicated expanded MACE in the U.S. and non-U.S. trial populations. Tick marks indicate censored data.

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

Vadadustat Darbepoetin alfa

A Hemoglobin Concentration in ESA-Untreated Patients


4
Mean Change from Baseline (g/dl)

–1
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 64 76 88 104 116 128 140 156 168
Weeks since Randomization
No. at Risk
Vadadustat 821 804 776 779 742 770 750 734 712 676 675 641 594 555 543 530 469 396 334 252 201 148 110 76 48
Darbepoetin alfa 811 806 778 772 758 769 766 743 731 698 690 671 614 583 559 543 496 422 355 271 216 176 138 97 62

B Hemoglobin Concentration in ESA-Treated Patients


3
Mean Change from Baseline (g/dl)

–1
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 64 76 88 104 116 128 140 156 168
Weeks since Randomization
No. at Risk
Vadadustat 811 801 791 781 778 773 771 761 744 718 712 674 617 586 545 542 477 415 362 300 235 190 143 89 49
Darbepoetin alfa 811 807 792 799 781 794 786 773 767 751 744 713 637 604 573 519 519 459 399 326 276 234 181 107 46

Figure 3. Mean Change from Baseline in Hemoglobin Concentrations in the Randomized Populations of the Two Trials.
Shown are the mean changes in the hemoglobin concentrations in the trial involving patients who had not been treated with erythropoiesis-
stimulating agents (ESAs) (Panel A) and in the trial involving ESA-treated patients (Panel B). The figures are based on observed data only.
Given the large sample size, the mean values with standard deviations (I bars) are presented here to show the extent of variability, which
may have been less apparent if mean values with standard errors had been presented.

Efficacy End Points hemoglobin concentration from the baseline val-


Trial Involving ESA-Untreated Patients ue to the mean of the values in weeks 24 through
Figure 3A shows the mean hemoglobin concen- 36 were 1.43±0.05 g per deciliter in the vadadu-
trations over time in the two treatment groups. stat group and 1.38±0.05 g per deciliter in the
The least-squares mean (±SE) changes in the darbepoetin alfa group; the corresponding least-

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Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

squares mean difference between the groups was during weeks 24 through 36 and 2.4% and 1.9%,
0.05±0.05 g per deciliter (95% CI, −0.04 to 0.15). respectively, during weeks 40 through 52. Table
The least-squares mean (±SD) change in the hemo- S5 shows the percentages of patients with a mean
globin concentration from the baseline value to hemoglobin concentration within the region-
the mean of the values in weeks 40 though 52 was specific target range during weeks 24 through
1.52±0.05 g per deciliter in the vadadustat group 36 and weeks 40 through 52.
and 1.48±0.05 g per deciliter in the darbepoetin
alfa group; the corresponding least-squares mean Rescue Therapy with an ESA
between-group difference was 0.04±0.05 g per Table S6 shows the percentages of patients ran-
deciliter (95% CI, −0.06 to 0.14). Thus, for both domly assigned to receive vadadustat or darbe-
the primary and secondary efficacy end points, poetin alfa who received ESA rescue therapy for
the lower boundaries of the 95% confidence symptomatic anemia with a hemoglobin concen-
intervals (−0.04 and −0.06, respectively) were tration below the target range. The use of ESA
above −0.75 g per deciliter, which showed the rescue therapy was less common among patients
noninferiority of vadadustat to darbepoetin alfa. who had been randomly assigned to the vadadu-
The percentage of patients who received red- stat group than among those who had been ran-
cell transfusions was 2.7% in the vadadustat domly assigned to the darbepoetin alfa group.
group and 2.2% in the darbepoetin alfa group
during weeks 24 through 36. The corresponding Adverse Events
percentages were 2.4% and 2.2% during weeks Table 2 shows a summary of the adverse events
40 through 52. Table S5 shows the percentages of that occurred after the start of trial treatment,
patients with a mean hemoglobin concentration including the adverse events that were reported
within the region-specific target range during in at least 10% of the patients in either treatment
weeks 24 through 36 and weeks 40 through 52. group in both trials. A full list of all the adverse
events in the trials is provided in Table S7.
Trial Involving ESA-Treated Patients
Figure 3B shows the mean hemoglobin concen- Discussion
trations in the two treatment groups. The least-
squares mean (±SE) changes in the hemoglobin The pooled results from these two randomized
concentration from the baseline value to the trials involving patients with NDD-CKD in which
mean of the values in weeks 24 through 36 were we compared vadadustat, a HIF prolyl hydroxy-
0.41±0.04 g per deciliter in the vadadustat group lase inhibitor, with darbepoetin alfa, a commonly
and 0.42±0.04 g per deciliter in the darbepoetin prescribed ESA — with one trial involving pa-
alfa group; the corresponding least-squares mean tients who had not previously received treatment
difference between the groups was −0.01±0.04 g with ESAs and the other involving patients who
per deciliter (95% CI, −0.09 to 0.07). The least- were receiving active ESA therapy — showed that
squares mean (±SD) change in the hemoglobin vadadustat did not meet its prespecified nonin-
concentration from the baseline value to the feriority margin with respect to MACE, defined
mean of the values in weeks 40 through 52 was as death from any cause, nonfatal myocardial
0.43±0.04 g per deciliter in the vadadustat group infarction, or nonfatal stroke. Vadadustat met its
and 0.44±0.04 g per deciliter in the darbepoetin noninferiority margin with respect to hemato-
alfa group; the corresponding least-squares mean logic efficacy in each trial.
between-group difference was 0.00±0.05 g per The safety and efficacy of vadadustat in pa-
deciliter (95% CI, −0.10 to 0.09). Thus, for both tients with NDD-CKD have previously been ex-
the primary and secondary efficacy end points, amined in several smaller studies, none of which
the lower boundaries of the 95% confidence in- suggested a cardiovascular safety signal.13-15
tervals (−0.09 and −0.10, respectively) were above The pooled results of our trials contrast with
−0.75 g per deciliter, which showed the noninfe- those reported in patients with DD-CKD (the
riority of vadadustat to darbepoetin alfa. INNO2VATE trials),10 which compared vadadustat
The percentage of patients who received red- and darbepoetin alfa for the treatment of ane-
cell transfusions was 1.6% in the vadadustat mia in 3923 patients with DD-CKD, including
group and 1.2% in the darbepoetin alfa group 3554 patients who had been undergoing mainte-

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The n e w e ng l a n d j o u r na l of m e dic i n e

Table 2. Adverse Events and Serious Adverse Events (Safety Population).

Event ESA-Untreated NDD-CKD ESA-Treated NDD-CKD

Vadadustat Darbepoetin Alfa Vadadustat Darbepoetin Alfa


(N = 878) (N = 870) (N = 861) (N = 862)

number of patients (percent)


Any adverse event 798 (90.9) 797 (91.6) 767 (89.1) 756 (87.7)
Any drug-related adverse event 95 (10.8) 57 (6.6) 100 (11.6) 44 (5.1)
Any serious adverse event 573 (65.3) 561 (64.5) 504 (58.5) 488 (56.6)
Any drug-related serious adverse 23 (2.6) 15 (1.7) 13 (1.5) 9 (1.0)
event
Any adverse event leading to discon‑ 84 (9.6) 60 (6.9) 79 (9.2) 44 (5.1)
tinuation of trial treatment
Any drug-related adverse event lead‑ 13 (1.5) 4 (0.5) 16 (1.9) 2 (0.2)
ing to discontinuation of trial
treatment
Any adverse event leading to death 177 (20.2) 165 (19.0) 135 (15.7) 137 (15.9)
Death 180 (20.5) 168 (19.3) 139 (16.1) 139 (16.1)
Common adverse event*
Diarrhea 122 (13.9) 87 (10.0) 119 (13.8) 76 (8.8)
End-stage renal disease 305 (34.7) 306 (35.2) 237 (27.5) 245 (28.4)
Fall 84 (9.6) 87 (10.0) 69 (8.0) 65 (7.5)
Hyperkalemia 108 (12.3) 136 (15.6) 81 (9.4) 85 (9.9)
Hypertension 155 (17.7) 192 (22.1) 124 (14.4) 128 (14.8)
Peripheral edema 110 (12.5) 91 (10.5) 85 (9.9) 87 (10.1)
Pneumonia 86 (9.8) 75 (8.6) 86 (10.0) 84 (9.7)
Urinary tract infection 113 (12.9) 104 (12.0) 105 (12.2) 125 (14.5)
Nausea 88 (10.0) 71 (8.2) 73 (8.5) 58 (6.7)

* Common adverse events were those that occurred in at least 10% of the patients in either treatment group.

nance dialysis and had been receiving treatment Who Were Receiving Hemodialysis and Were Pre-
with ESAs and 369 patients who were new to viously Treated with Epoetin) trials, peginesatide,
dialysis and had had limited previous exposure a synthetic peptide-based erythropoietin receptor
to ESAs. Pooled across those two trials, the haz- agonist, was shown to be noninferior to epoetin
ard ratios for MACE and expanded MACE were alfa in patients with DD-CKD with respect to
0.96 (95% CI, 0.83 to 1.11) and 0.96 (95% CI, safety, on the basis of a composite end point that
0.84 to 1.10), respectively. Point estimates for all was not unlike our expanded MACE (death from
components of MACE, as well as cardiovascular any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction or
death, were below 1.0. stroke, or serious adverse events of congestive
The difference in outcomes between the current heart failure, unstable angina, or arrhythmia)
pooled trials involving patients with NDD-CKD (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.17).16 In
and the pooled trials involving patients with contrast, in the PEARL (Peginesatide for the
DD-CKD10 is not the first example in which the Correction of Anemia in Patients with Chronic
relative safety of drugs used to treat anemia dif- Renal Failure Not on Dialysis and Not Receiving
fered between DD-CKD and NDD-CKD popula- Treatment with Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents)
tions. In the EMERALD (Efficacy and Safety of trials, which involved patients with NDD-CKD,
Peginesatide for the Maintenance Treatment of peginesatide did not meet its noninferiority mar-
Anemia in Patients with Chronic Renal Failure gin for safety as compared with darbepoetin alfa

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Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

(hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.81).17 The ance from regulatory agencies, these two trials
reasons for these discrepant results among pa- were not placebo-controlled.
tients with DD-CKD and those with NDD-CKD In these two trials, we found that, among
remain unclear. patients with NDD-CKD, vadadustat was non-
Other studies of ESAs in patients with NDD- inferior to darbepoetin alfa with regard to hema-
CKD have shown higher risks with hemoglobin tologic efficacy but did not meet the prespecified
targets in the normal or near-normal range noninferiority criterion for cardiovascular safety,
than with lower targets3,4 or placebo.5 In the which was a composite of death from any cause,
PRO2TECT trials, we chose to use region-specific nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke.
hemoglobin target ranges to account for differ- Supported by Akebia Therapeutics and Otsuka Pharmaceutical.
ences in regional guidelines and usual clinical Dr. Chertow reports receiving advisory board fees and own-
ing stock options in Ardelyx, Miromatrix Medical, and Unicycive
practice. In the United States, the results of Therapeutics, receiving steering committee fees from AstraZen-
these trials were in line with what was observed eca, Gilead Sciences, Sanifit, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals, re-
in the INNO2VATE trials (hazard ratio for MACE, ceiving advisory board fees from Baxter, Cricket Health, Dia-
Medica Therapeutics, and Reata Pharmaceuticals, serving on an
1.00 [95% CI, 0.84 to 1.18]; hazard ratio for ex- advisory board and owning stock options in CloudCath, Durect,
panded MACE, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.85 to 1.15]). In and Outset Medical, receiving fees for serving on a data and
contrast, in the non-U.S. regions, the risks of safety monitoring board from Angion, Bayer, and ReCor Medi-
cal, and receiving grant support, paid to his institution, from
MACE and expanded MACE in the PRO2TECT Amgen; Dr. Pergola, receiving consulting fees and fees for serv-
trials were considerably higher among patients ing on a speaker’s bureau from AstraZeneca, consulting fees
who had been randomly assigned to the vadadu- and advisory board fees from Bayer, Gilead Sciences, Corvidia
Therapeutics, FibroGen, Tricida, Ardelyx, and Unicycive Thera-
stat group than among those assigned to the peutics, and consulting fees and honoraria from Reata Pharma-
darbepoetin alfa group. Whether this difference ceuticals and being employed by Renal Associates; Dr. Farag,
between regions is causally related to the differ- being employed by Akebia Therapeutics; Dr. Agarwal, receiving
steering committee fees, adjudication committee fees, consult-
ence in hemoglobin targets or other factors is ing fees, and travel support from Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceu-
unclear. ticals and Janssen Research and Development, steering commit-
Analysis of events in the current trials re- tee fees, consulting fees, and travel support from Vifor Fresenius
Medical Care Renal Pharma, Sanofi US Services, Sanofi Aventis
vealed that the higher risk that was observed US, and Reata Pharmaceuticals, adjudication committee fees,
among patients who had been randomly assigned consulting fees, and travel support from Boehringer Ingelheim
to the vadadustat group than among those in the International, consulting fees and travel support from Eli Lilly,
AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals, Boehringer Ingelheim, Boehringer
darbepoetin alfa group was due largely to an Ingelheim Pharma, and Merck, fees for serving on a data and
excess of nonfatal myocardial infarctions and a safety monitoring board from AstraZeneca, Ironwood Pharma-
higher incidence of death from noncardiovascu- ceuticals, and Chinook Therapeutics, lecture fees and travel
support from Fresenius USA Marketing, meal reimbursement
lar causes. We could not identify a reason for the from Otsuka America Pharmaceutical, OPKO Pharmaceuticals,
excess in noncardiovascular deaths. Adverse and E.R. Squibb and Sons, and consulting fees from Lexicon
events were evenly distributed between the vada- Pharmaceuticals and DiaMedica Therapeutics; Dr. Block, receiv-
ing grant support, steering committee fees, and travel support
dustat group and the darbepoetin alfa group. from Akebia Therapeutics and being employed by U.S. Renal
The cumulative incidences of pulmonary hyper- Care; Dr. Burke, being employed by and owning stock in Akebia
tension and cancer, which are theoretical conse- Therapeutics; Dr. Khawaja, being employed by Akebia Therapeu-
tics; Dr. Koury, receiving consulting fees from FibroGen, fees
quences of HIF pathway activation, were similar for serving on a data safety and management committee from
in the two treatment groups. TG Therapeutics, and consulting fees and fees for serving on a
The current trials have many strengths, in- data and safety management committee from Micelle BioPhar-
ma; Dr. Lewis, receiving grant support from Akebia Therapeu-
cluding — in combination — the relatively large tics; Dr. Luo, being employed by Akebia Therapeutics; Dr. Ma-
sample size, the diverse population of patients roni, being employed by and receiving consulting fees from
(according to age, sex, race or ethnic group, and Akebia Therapeutics and holding a pending patent (number, PCT/
US16/25235) on compositions and methods for treating anemia,
primary cause of kidney disease), and the inclu- licensed to Akebia Therapeutics; Dr. Matsushita, receiving grant
sion of a sizable fraction of patients with stage support and consulting fees from Kyowa Kirin and grant sup-
G4 or G5 CKD.18 The use of region-specific in- port and honoraria from Fukuda Denshi; Dr. Parfrey, receiving
advisory board fees from Vifor Pharma; Dr. Roy-Chaudhury, re-
clusion criteria and target hemoglobin concen- ceiving consulting fees from W.L. Gore, BD, Medtronic, Akebia
trations was a strength with respect to general- Therapeutics, Bayer, CorMedix, Reata Pharmaceuticals, Huma-
izability to different regions but hampered the cyte, and Eko and being employed by Inovasc; Dr. Sarnak, re-
ceiving advisory board fees from Bayer and consulting fees from
trial in that treatment was not uniform. Limita- Cardurion Pharmaceuticals; Dr. Sharma, being employed by
tions included the fact that, on the basis of guid- Bayer U.S. Pharma; Dr. Spinowitz, receiving advisory board fees

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Vadadustat in Patients with Anemia and NDD-CKD

from Akebia Therapeutics and Otsuka Pharmaceutical; Dr. Vargo, Astellas Pharma, grant support and lecture fees from Astra-
being employed by Akebia Therapeutics; Dr. Walters, being em- Zeneca, Bayer, and Genzyme, consulting fees from Boehringer
ployed by Statistics Collaborative; Dr. Winkelmayer, receiving Ingelheim, advisory board fees from Retrophin, and grant sup-
steering committee fees from Akebia, advisory fees from Astra- port, advisory board fees, and lecture fees from Vifor Pharma.
Zeneca, Janssen, Merck, Otsuka Pharmaceutical, and Reata No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was
Pharmaceuticals, steering committee fees and advisory fees from reported.
Bayer, and advisory fees and consulting fees from Vifor Fresenius Disclosure forms provided by the authors are available with
Medical Care Renal Pharma (including Relypsa); Dr. Wittes, being the full text of this article at NEJM.org.
employed by Statistics Collaborative; and Dr. Eckardt, receiving A data sharing statement provided by the authors is available
grant support from Amgen and Fresenius, lecture fees from with the full text of this article at NEJM.org.

Appendix
The authors’ full names and academic degrees are as follows: Glenn M. Chertow, M.D., M.P.H., Pablo E. Pergola, M.D., Ph.D.,
Youssef M.K. Farag, M.D., Ph.D., M.P.H., Rajiv Agarwal, M.D., Susan Arnold, M.B., B.Ch., M.Med., Gabriel Bako, M.D., Geoffrey A.
Block, M.D., Steven Burke, M.D., Fausto P. Castillo, M.D., Alan G. Jardine, M.B., Ch.B., M.D., Zeeshan Khawaja, M.D., Mark J. Koury,
M.D., Eldrin F. Lewis, M.D., M.P.H., Tim Lin, Ph.D., Wenli Luo, Ph.D., Bradley J. Maroni, M.D., Kunihiro Matsushita, M.D., Ph.D.,
Peter A. McCullough, M.D., Ph.D., Patrick S. Parfrey, M.B., B.Ch., Prabir Roy‑Chaudhury, M.D., Ph.D., Mark J. Sarnak, M.D., Amit
Sharma, M.D., Bruce Spinowitz, M.D., Carol Tseng, Ph.D., James Tumlin, M.D., Dennis L. Vargo, M.D., Kimberly A. Walters, Ph.D.,
Wolfgang C. Winkelmayer, M.D., M.P.H., Sc.D., Janet Wittes, Ph.D., and Kai‑Uwe Eckardt, M.D.
The authors’ affiliations are as follows: Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA (G.M.C., E.F.L.); Renal Associates, San
Antonio (P.E.P.), U.S. Renal Care, Plano (G.A.B.), Baylor University Medical Center, Baylor Heart and Vascular Hospital, Baylor Heart
and Vascular Institute, Dallas (P.A.M.), and the Section of Nephrology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston (W.C.W.) — all in Texas;
Akebia Therapeutics, Cambridge (Y.M.K.F., S.B., Z.K., W.L., B.J.M., A.S., D.L.V.), and the Division of Nephrology, Tufts Medical Cen-
ter, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston (M.J.S.) — both in Massachusetts; the Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrol-
ogy, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis (R.A.); Excellentis Clinical Trial Consultants, George, South Africa (S.A.);
Bihor County Hospital Oradea, Oradea, Romania (G.B.); Qway Research, Hialeah, FL (F.P.C.); the Institute of Cardiovascular and
Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom (A.G.J.); the Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medi-
cal Center, Nashville (M.J.K.); Firma Clinical Research, Hunt Valley (T.L.), and the Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloom-
berg School of Public Health, Baltimore (K.M.) — both in Maryland; the Department of Medicine, Memorial University of Newfound-
land, St. John’s, Canada (P.S.P.); the Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University of North Carolina Kidney Center, Chapel Hill,
and the W.G. (Bill) Hefner Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Salisbury — both in North Carolina (P.R.-C.); the Division of Nephrology,
New York–Presbyterian Queens, Flushing (B.S.); Firma Clinical Research, Chicago (C.T.); Emory University School of Medicine,
Atlanta (J.T.); Statistics Collaborative, Washington, DC (K.A.W., J.W.); and the Department of Nephrology and Medical Intensive Care,
Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin (K.-U.E.).

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