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Brightcom Group Limited: September 6, 2021
Brightcom Group Limited: September 6, 2021
STOCK SNAPSHOT:
CMP 37.25 Rs. | MCAP: 3880 Crore | EPS: 4.68 Rs (POST DILUTION)
EXPECTED EPS for FY2021-22: 8.85 Rs. | P/E: 7.59 | Dividend Yield: 0.11%
ROE: 15.9% | ROCE: 21.6% | BOOK VALUE: 31.3 Rs | P/BV: 1.1
1
September 6, 2021
Since we last published our fundamental and technical analysis of BCG, there have been
interesting developments on both fronts.
Before we dive into those developments, here is some additional research on the company.
We continue to study the industry and company to the granular levels with time.
We have identified some interesting facts about the company.
We wouldn't be wrong to call Brightcom a fast-growing SaaS player in AdTech sector.
It offers multiple platforms to monetize the Advertising traffic. A brief description and link to
details are below.
• Compass
It is their flagship platform/Ad Exchange,
which connects the publishers with
advertisers and all those in between for
exchange of traffic. It allows for easy
integration and maximum yield over video
and display, both on mobile and desktop. It
also provides facilities like Real Time
Bidding, Tag integration and Header Bidding
in it.
• B-Local
It is a Niche Platform (News media ad
Exchange) which partners with multiple
local news media publishers to monetize
their traffic by offering it to advertisers
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September 6, 2021
• AudienciAD
• VoloMP
With these multiple platforms, we believe Brightcom is technically well positioned to grow
exponentially in this sector. To give you the insight on their growth we are providing some
additional research data below.
In this Update we are adding some third-party data available freely on internet, that helped us
understand the scale/growth of the business.
Builtwith and Adauth offer extensive data on ad tech players which in a way authenticates the
business of these ad tech players.
Take a look at below shared images to which we have provided links, which show us that
Brightcom works with minimum 50000+ publishers of which ~90% are direct accounts, which
we understand provides handsome margins and better relationship with publishers.
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September 6, 2021
Below Builtwith data shows us the growth of the Brightcom's ad exchange since 2017 in the Top
10k, 100k and 1 M websites.
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September 6, 2021
Apart from this, on Builtwith one can access the list of websites Brightcom currently works
with. We recommend readers of this updated report to visit the website through the following
link provided below.
https://trends.builtwith.com/ads/Brightcom-Direct
To further add to this, Adzerk Report (Another third-party analytics had ranked Brightcom in
their ads.text report recently, the images to which we have added below.
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September 6, 2021
Fundamental Developments:
Gave LOI (Letter of Intent) to the target company due for Acquisition subject to due
diligence by E&Y.
Company is raising funds from FPIs to the scale of 370 Crore through preferential issue
at Rs. 31.2 / Share. (FPI’s will not be getting any Bonus shares.)
Company has declared Q4 FY21 results, audited annual results for FY21 and Q1 FY22
results (As disclosed to exchanges)
Most importantly, Company has provided the forward-looking Revenue and Earnings
Guidance for remaining quarters of FY 2021-22:
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September 6, 2021
QUARTER 3 | FY 2021-22
QUARTER 2 | FY 2021-22
QUARTER 4 | FY 2021-22
REVENUE AT 1100 - REVENUE AT 1890 - REVENUE AT 1350 -
1150 CRORE. 1970 CRORE. 1410 CRORE.
FY 2020-21 FY 2021-22
REVENUE TO REVENUE: EXPECTED REVENUE:
GROW BY 75% 2856 CRORE. 5000 CRORE.
FY 2020-21 FY 2021-22
PAT TO GROW PAT: EXPECTED PAT:
BY 97% 483 CRORE. 950 CORE
7
September 6, 2021
Based on current fundamentals of the company we are deriving the valuations as below:
Considering a Forward EPS of ~9 Rs, if we would discount the earnings in the range of
20-30(PE Ratio)
Valuation comes out to be USD 3 billion if we discount 9 months ahead earnings. i.e.
o A Market Capital of Rs. 22000 Crore and a Target Price of 188 Rs.
(Equity considered is 117 Crore after full dilution including FPI)
Technical Analysis:
After a decent correction, the 10 DMA has crossed over 21 DMA, once stock manages to cross 45 Rs. on weekly closing basis, it
should see a strong upward momentum immediately towards 65 - 75 Rs while maintaining a SL of Rs. 27.
Price has successfully moved and sustained above 30 Rs on monthly closing chart thanks
to significant buying demand.
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September 6, 2021
Rerating of the stock should continue with demand to get stronger and supply to remain
limited thanks to strong fundamentals and updates like Earnings guidance for FY22.
We chose to remain dynamic in assessing the move of the stock in staged manner.
Conservatively we are looking at an Immediate Target Price of Rs. 65 – 75 within a Time
Frame of 2 – 3 months.
Anticipated developments to look for, which may further strengthen the stock valuations are:
Acquisitions.
Over long term the stock should rerate to its fundamentally justifiable valuations and
future outlook.
Disclaimer: This Advice/ opinion /research /recommendation / document has been prepared and
issued by the above Author/ Analyst on the basis of publicly available information, Company
published Reports and other sources believed to be reliable. While all care has been taken to ensure
that the facts stated are accurate and the opinions given are reasonable, the analyst shall not be in
anyway responsible for the contents of this report. The Author/ Analyst, may have a position
and may perform buying / selling for itself or for its clients in any security mentioned in this report.
The analyst will not be entitled to the profit or loss incurred by reader of this research report.