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Ronan Champion - Hudson Formula Death by Footnote
Ronan Champion - Hudson Formula Death by Footnote
DEATH BY FOOTNOTE?
Ronan Champion
September 2021
230
www.scl.org.uk
THE HUDSON FORMULA:
DEATH BY FOOTNOTE?
Ronan Champion
Introduction
Just over a half-century ago the 10th edition of Hudson1 included a formula
that provided a means of calculating an amount representing a contractor’s lost
contribution to head-office overheads and profit as a result of delays to
completion of a construction project. The 14th edition of Hudson (‘H14’),
published in early 2020, faithfully reproduced that Hudson formula, as it had
come to be known.2
However, H14 added a footnote that stated that the percentages for overheads
and profit (on which the formula relied)
‘were originally those deducible from the Contractor’s tender. A more
modern assumption is to use the head office and profit contribution from
the contractor’s annual accounts’.3
After 50 years of usage and understanding that the Hudson Formula used
percentages derived from the contractor’s tender, this footnote introduced a
significant change.
One view is that the footnoted change to the Hudson formula in H14 is simply
part of an ongoing evolution in the calculation of loss of contribution claims in
construction delay cases. The change made, some might say, was a long time
coming and is hardly either controversial or surprising.
Another view, explored in this essay, is that the change is profound because
the ‘original’ Hudson Formula with its reliance on percentages derived from
tenders rather than company accounts is so well-known by construction
lawyers and professionals across the common law jurisdictions. If, as it
appears, the H14 Hudson formula is indistinguishable from Emden’s formula,
is the Hudson formula now redundant?
1
rarely available unless the matter is to be heard before a court. Is it satisfactory
for adjudicators, dispute boards and tribunals to be charged with assessment of
large claims based on a few lines from an unidentified auditor?
This paper seeks to address two questions: First, does the H14 footnote lead to
the death of the Hudson formula? Second, might parties be better served by
contractual provisions aimed at providing a basis for calculation of
compensation that is simple and predictable – much in the way that liquidated
delay damages saves parties from the ravages of assessing an employer’s
actual delay-related losses – and is any such solution available?
Head office overhead and profit % x Contract Sum x Period of delay (weeks)
Contract period
(e.g. in weeks)
Put simply, this formula calculated the contribution to head office overheads
and profit that the project in delay was expected to earn, per week. It then
relied on the fiction that if the project was delayed, the start of any future
project would be delayed and that project would generate the same level of
contribution as the delayed project i.e. there was a direct correlation between
the project in delay and the notional future project such that for each week of
delay, the opportunity to earn a contribution on the next project was lost.
The Emden formula is essentially identical save that the head office overhead
and profit percentage was to be derived from the contractor’s accounts. The
Eichleay formula is convoluted. For the purposes of this paper, it is only
necessary to note that amounts for overheads to be used in that formula were
to be derived from the contractor’s accounts.6
profit but the amount recovered, derived from annual accounts, was 9.6%: at paras [550]
and [553]. See also Norwest Holst Construction Ltd v Co-Operative Wholesale Society
Ltd [1998] EWHC Technology 339 at para 340 referring to Group company overheads of
a M&E subcontractor at 17.56%.
5
See note 1.
6
For the Emden Formula, see Alfred E Emden, S Bickford-Smith and Evelyn Freeth,
Emden’s Building Contracts and Practice, (8th edition, Volume 2, Butterworths, 1980)
page N/46, now Crown Office Chambers, Emden’s Construction Law (Looseleaf, Lexis
Nexis) from para 13.63; for the Eichleay Formula, see David Chappell, Building
Contract Claims (3rd edition, Powell Smith and Sims, Blackwells, 1997) page 133.
2
The terminology used by construction professionals is different using a three-
way split between direct costs on site, site overheads and head-office
overheads & profit. In a Bill of Quantities, the site overheads might be termed
Preliminaries7, a quantity surveying term derived from standard methods of
measurement of works. The contractor’s pricing might show the allowance for
head office overheads as a separate item. Equally, other parts of the
contractor’s pricing might include some allowances for overheads.
Some background
It is useful to review the context in which Hudson-type claims are made and
how context potentially influences how claims might be evaluated. Three
different circumstances are set out below.
First, take the example of a tunnelling contractor that owns one Tunnel Boring
Machine (TBM). This contractor can only work on one project at a time.
Every day the machine is working, and generating income, this provides a
contribution to the head office overheads. It is not difficult to see, in this
example, that a delay to a contract means the TBM will not be free to start on
the next project. In a stable market, a loss of opportunity to recovery
overheads for the period of delay can be assumed. An economist would say
the TBM is a scarce resource. If the scarce resource is held on project 1, it
cannot move to project 2. A critic might say that a second TBM could be hired
at short notice to overcome the delay issues. But on a closer view, TBMs
cannot be hired at short notice, and they need a team of engineers to direct
them, maintain them, etc. So the analysis of loss in the case of the TBM holds.
Third, consider a civils contractor engaged to build a new port jetty overseas.
The work is to be done in a joint venture with a local contractor. If this project
is delayed, one view is that the civils contractor has no future contracts in that
country so no loss arises. Or that there is no scarce resource involved – the
scarce resource might be a head-office based design director or project
manager. It may be difficult to show that the relevant manager or team was so
dedicated that they could not pick up a future contract.
From the above a number of propositions follow. First, if there was no scarce
resource (like the TBM) held on project 1, then the likelihood of loss might
not arise at all, in that no opportunity to gain further work is lost. Second,
7
In the US, the term General Items is used. In some countries, the term ‘Preliminaries and
General items’ or ‘Ps & Gs’ is used.
3
there may be a large number of businesses for whom the simple example of
the scarce resource does not easily apply.
Salmon LJ remarked that it might assist the future court seized of the matter to
have more than the evidence of an auditor; adding that an analysis of annual
turnover over several years might assist in forming an assessment of lost profit
which might have earned given Peak’s assertion that it was unable to take on
other work in that 58-week period.11
The 10th edition of Hudson (‘H10’) was published in the same year as the CA
judgment in Peak – 1970. Ian Duncan Wallace was the editor. He was also
junior counsel for Peak. H10 was the first edition of Hudson to include a
formula claim. It adopted the same formulation as used by the plaintiffs in
Peak that had been the subject of criticism in the Court of Appeal. Whilst
Duncan Wallace suggested in H10 that a suitable percentage for overheads
and profit might be between 3% and 7% (a far cry from the 9% gross profit
allowed in the original action), H10 made no reference to the use of
contractor’s accounts or evidence of an auditor which had been recommended
by the Court of Appeal in Peak. Rather, the explanation presented in H10 was
that contractors compile tenders by collating their prime costs and then add a
percentage to cover head office overheads and profit. It was that percentage
which was to be used in the Hudson formula, rather than the evidence of
auditors or accountants.
8
Peak v McKinney (1970) 69 LGR 1, 1 BLR 111.
9
With a contract period of 2 years that equates to c£200 per week and hence, for 58
weeks, the £11,619.
10
Peak v McKinney 1 BLR 111, page 126.
11
Peak v McKinney, note 10, page 122.
4
1. It was simple to use. One simply identified the overhead and profit
percentage addition from the contract documents and calculated the
amount based on the period of delay; and
2. It was price-based. It appeared to provide an approximation of the
amount that a contractor might reasonably be expected to lose by a
delayed start on its next project because it adopted an implicit
assumption that the overheads and profit percentage in the current
contract (as part of the contract sum) would be similar to those the next
one.
As noted above, the Emden formula is similar to Hudson save that Emden
utilises head office overhead and profit percentage derived from the
contractor’s accounts. The basis of the Emden calculation was therefore cost-
based, irrespective of contract pricing.
The question as to the source of the overhead percentage has bedevilled the
Hudson formula since its inception. Duncan Wallace’s view in H10 was that
the percentage was to be derived from contract pricing.
Writing in 1986 he noted it was the ‘return obtainable elsewhere’ that was
being calculated, but this ‘leaves unclear the particular percentage return to be
used’. But his summary view was that
‘the object of all these formulae is to reach a fair estimate of a particular
contract organisation’s profit and fixed overhead potential earning
capacity at the beginning of the period of delay’12.
The reference to ‘in the market’ might be read as referring to amounts derived
from tender submissions. But Duncan Wallace conceded that contract pricing
contained a ‘possibly relatively arbitrary percentage’ adding
‘There seems little doubt that where full accounts are available over a
period of, say, two or three years during and prior to the delayed
contract, reasonable precision might be expected in determining both the
extent of the fixed overheads themselves and the average margins of
both profit and overhead recovery actually obtained by the contractor’s
enterprise as a whole over the period.’
12
IN Duncan Wallace, Construction Contracts: Principles and Policies in Tort and
Contract (Sweet & Maxwell, 1986) page 132, para 8-36.
13
IN Duncan Wallace, Hudson’s Building and Engineering Contracts (11th edition, Sweet
& Maxwell, 1995) page 1076, para 8.182.
5
Despite this position, no formal change to the Hudson formula was made in its
11th, 12th or 13th edition.
Take for example Kier, the well-known UK construction group. In 1988 Kier
Construction’s accounts showed overheads and profit at 2.5% of turnover.
That was typical at the time: accounts for 1984 and 1985 showed 3%. In 2018,
the accounts for the Kier Southern were at around 11%. Kier Group plc’s 2019
accounts show a gross profit of about 10%. For contractors with complex
design or financing arrangements, as can occur in process engineering firms,
overheads at 20% might be expected. For specialist contractors that have a
central manufacturing division, complex design and low-cost construction the
percentage may be higher. In Euro Pools plc v RSA, overheads for a specialist
pool firm were running at over 40%.15 The reasons why contractors might
price work with overheads at 2% despite their accounts showing 10% or more
should not be interpreted as low-cost pricing but has more to do with
approaches to pricing. In practice the costs of some staff based in head office
may be allocated to projects, as can occur particularly with design managers,
temporary works engineering, in-house lawyers and more.
14
Hudson (2020), note 2, page 792, footnote 494.
15
Euro Pools plc v Royal and Sun Alliance Insurance plc [2018] EWHC 46 (Comm), paras
220 to 225.
6
When a contractor’s contract documents show an addition of 4.5% for
overheads and profit within the contract prices, but its annual accounts show
overheads and profit at 9% of turnover, the contractor’s selection of 9% (and
hence the Emden formula, as occurred in Walter Lilly16) to calculate a lost
contribution amount should not be a surprise. Discrepancies of this nature are
commonplace.17 Given the 2020 change to the Hudson formula pointing to
reliance on contractor’s accounts, the question arises whether contractor’s
published accounts are a reliable source to inform a tribunal of the overhead
percentage in its assessment of a lost opportunity claim.
The information that can properly be derived from published accounts raises a
number of issues:
1. What evidence is available? Statutory accounts typically show
overheads (administrative expenses) at summary level. At one extreme,
the only evidence available may be an accounts summary page and/or a
statement of an auditor18 confirming amounts are correct. Summary
pages are of little assistance in relation to one specific location or
business where the accounts are at Group level19 covering multiple
subsidiaries across multiple countries.
2. Is there an opportunity for review of underlying account details? A
contractor’s accounts may be available for inspection so that one can
assess the categories of expense included in overheads. That may be
significant where the entity has diverse operations and large exceptional
items arising from litigation, settlements, amalgamations and the like.20
3. Are accounts available for the relevant construction company? Where
work is carried out by a local subsidiary, the provision of group accounts
that covers a collection of business divisions and business interests
across several countries is unlikely to provide a reliable guide to the
level of overheads relevant to the subsidiary.
4. Do the overheads (administrative expenses) in statutory accounts include
items of cost that were allocated to projects and hence also recovered as
prolongation costs?
5. Are amounts in accounts reliable as a guide to costs incurred for the
project in question? Where a substantial difference is evident between an
overhead allowance in contract prices and those evident from accounts,
16
Walter Lilly v Mackay, note 4.
17
For a good example of this, see Walter Lilly v Mackay, note 4, paras 550 and 553.
18
For an early example of this, see Peak v McKinney, note 10, page 122 (Salmon LJ).
19
See for example Norwest Holst Construction Ltd v Co-Operative Wholesale Society Ltd,
note 4, a case concerning appeals from two awards of an arbitrator, referring to valuation
of work carried out by a M&E subcontractor. The judgment notes the arbitrator’s
findings which included: ‘I refer to the evidence from Mr. David Hampson, [CWS's]
Accountant, which I accept. I am aware that [CWS's] Company is part of a larger Group
of Companies and I appreciate that it is not possible to separate the Overhead costs of the
mechanical and electrical sections from the rest of the Group. I ... accept [Mr. Hampson's
evidence] that the Group Overheads … was … 17.56%’ at para 340.
20
In Fluor v Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industry Co Ltd [2018] EWHC 490 (TCC), there
was sufficient evidence available seemingly for one expert to attempt an allocation of
head office overhead costs to the particular project in contention, making some large-
scale adjustments.
7
why does that difference arise. A higher percentage in accounts may
indicate large scale design, manufacturing, process engineering and
licencing functions within a group head office not relevant to simple
construction works of a subsidiary.
6. What is the relevance, if any, of contract pricing? If overheads are
shown at 2% in a contract sum analysis but 12% in statutory accounts,
does this signal a level of recovery that was beyond the parties’
expectations when the contract was formed. This point can arise in a
significant way with joint venture contracting groups undertaking single
projects outside its usual home markets.
These points arise because contractors treat overheads in various ways. For
building projects, one might reasonably expect preliminaries at 12.5% of a
contract sum and head office overheads and profit at 2.5%. That points to
overheads overall at about 15% but only the latter 2.5% is relevant to a
Hudson-type calculation.21 Further, contractors often show tender price build-
ups with an addition for head office overheads and profit at 2 to 3%. Equally,
RICS cost analyses of actual projects repeatedly show percentages at about
these levels.
21
See for example AECOM, Spon’s Architects’ and Builders’ Price Book 2016 (CRC
Press, 2018) page xxxi.
22
See Fluor v Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industry Co Ltd [2018] EWHC 1 (TCC), 178 Con
LR 210, para 452.
23
Euro Pools v Royal and Sun Alliance Insurance, note 15, paras 220 to 225.
24
Per Edwards-Stuart J in Fluor v Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industry Co Ltd, note 20 (16
March 2018), para [32].
8
contract pricing by a large margin.25 A reluctance to disclose accounts is
apparently one reason why use of the Emden in UAE is not as prevalent as
elsewhere.26 Some contractors apparently preferred the Hudson Formula in its
original form, based on prices, not costs derived from accounts. And where
parties do have access to accounts, are they now driven to a forensic review,
making adjustments of the detailed nature seen in Fluor?
First, under the SCL Protocol the use of the Hudson formula is not supported
‘because it is dependent on the adequacy or otherwise of the tender in
question’.27 Quite why adequacy should be determinative is not explained. It
should not matter that a contractor consistently tenders with overheads at 2%
or 20%. The underlying tension may be one of concern that the tendered
amount does not mirror the level of overheads likely to be incurred in fact as
evident from accounts. An alternative view, however, is that if a contractor
consistently tenders with overheads shown as being 2%, is this not good
evidence of the amount likely to be lost if the successor contract is not
secured?
Second, the SCL Protocol suggests that the result of the use of one formula is
checked against others in order to avoid an anomalous result.28 The subtle
implication drawn is that the anomalous result should not be accepted. That in
turn suggests some equivocation; perhaps the result of Hudson is to be
preferred after all, as might occur where say a contract has overheads priced at
2% but the percentage evident from accounts is considerably higher. In fact,
what the Protocol hints at is that a result based on price (per Hudson) might
limit or be better evidence than a result derived from accounts (per Emden).
25
Walter Lilly v Mackay: note 4. See for example [2012] EWHC 1773 (TCC) where Lilly’s
Contract Price showed a 4.5% additional for overheads and profit but the amount
recovered, derived from annual accounts, was 9.6%: at paras 550 and 553.
26
C Gibson, ‘Damages and Delays: What Contractors are Due when Partnerships Sour’,
(2015) ME Construction News (28 December 2015): meconstructionnews.com.
27
SCL Delay and Disruption Protocol, (2nd edition, Society of Construction Law, 2017)
para 2.10.
28
SCL Delay and Disruption Protocol, note 27, para 2.12.
29
Hudson, 11th edition, note 13, page 1074, para 8.179.
9
One might conclude from the above that a conservative approach to assessing
loss via formulae might be to take the lower of the results from the original
Hudson and Emden formulae. The rationale for taking the higher result has not
been articulated.
Second, the parties could agree the percentage to be used for overheads and
profit, possibly with a default capped amount. The recently published PSC
standard forms in Ireland provide for compensation to contractors of delay-
related costs in either of two ways: a pre-agreed all-in rate covering site and
off-site overheads and profit; or a provision for payment of additional
expenses unavoidably incurred by the contractor, plus
‘The Contractor will in addition be entitled to 10% of the expenses to
compensate it fully for all entitlements by way of profit, loss of profit
and contribution to off-site overheads’.33
Although similar to the NEC provision, this form stipulates the off-site
overhead percentage as being 10%. That percentage appears to be low, the
equivalent of about 1% of the contract sum on a typical building contract.
Under the NEC forms, the addition of the Fee applies to any Compensation
Event, whether additional work, variation or delay-related matter. Under the
Irish PWC form, the 10% addition is specifically delay-related. In either case,
30
Engineers Ireland, Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland and the Construction Industry
Federation, Private Sector Contract (PSC): Conditions of Contract for Private Sector
Building and Engineering Works Designed by the Employer (2020).
31
NEC3 or NEC4, clause 63.1, Defined Cost plus Fee.
32
In NEC3, Contract Data, Part two the contractor provides the direct fee percentage and
the subcontracted fee percentage which together are components of the Fee: clause 11.2
(8). Under NEC4, Clause 11.2 (10) the Fee comprises a single fee percentage provided
by the contractor.
33
Conditions of Contract for Private Sector Building and Engineering Works Designed by
the Employer – Private Sector Contract (PSC) Clause 10.7.1.
10
such an allowance for additional overheads might appear odd because
additional overhead costs will not always be incurred; a contribution to
overheads will not always be lost. Going the other way, it is common practice
(and has been for over 30 years) to value additional work under JCT forms on
the basis of cost plus an allowance (at the contract percentage) for
‘preliminaries’. The effect of adding the Fee under NEC is essentially the
same, albeit under NEC forms it is adding an amount for off-site overheads.
Neither can it be said that the provisions noted above are perfect. Pre-pricing
of a fee within a tender submission risks abuse by insertion of high
percentages (and, in the case of NEC3 or NEC4, of staff and plant rates), a
practice encouraged by some claims consultants.34 That risk can be managed
by tendering authorities evaluating tenders where those rates and prices are
weighted within a contract sum or reviewed under an evaluation matrix.
Further, difficulties can arise in distinguishing between costs claimed as site-
based and those under the percentage addition, particularly when part of the
head-office staff are said to be partially site-based or, per NEC, in the
Working Area. The adoption by the Irish PWC form of a flat 10% addition
may reduce contention on that point.
The fee-type addition provides the simple formula for calculation, mirroring
the simplicity that was once available via the Hudson Formula. They provide a
mechanism that can be used without significant disputes. If the JCT and
FIDIC forms can provide in advance the percentage for (say) retention, why
not off-site overheads and profit too, for use as a percentage addition to other
prolongation costs? NEC3 and other forms have shown there is merit in
providing contractual mechanisms to address issues as they arise.
Conclusion
The Hudson formula and Emden formula formerly provided two different
bases for evaluation of lost overhead contributions. Hudson was price based;
abstraction of overheads from a pricing document risked distortion arising
34
See, for example, this ebriefing: ‘This is an opportunity for the contractor to maximise
his gain by inserting robust staff rates (as well as other cost’s mainly for People and
Equipment) in the Contract Data: Part 2. These rates can then be used in quotations for
compensation events without contest from the Project Manager’s team which could
enhance recovery.’: DGA group, Q2 2017: DGA-group.com.
11
from opportunistic pricing. Duncan Wallace concluded 35 years ago this may
be unreliable and abstraction of overhead levels from contractor’s accounts
may be preferable.
The Emden formula was cost based; it relies on abstraction of overhead levels
from accounts. The footnote in H14 means that Hudson is now
indistinguishable from Emden: it appears to be conceded by the authors of
Hudson that the Hudson formula has no place in the modern world.
This means that for any formula based claim the parties have to rely on
contractor’s accounts. But those accounts may be unavailable, in summary
form or compiled at group level and wholly unrelated to where the delayed
project was carried out. It does not provide a reliable basis for establishing the
actual loss that has been suffered.
The views expressed by the author in this paper are theirs alone, and do not
necessarily represent the views of the Society of Construction Law or the editor.
Neither the author, the Society, nor the editor can accept any liability in respect of
any use to which this paper or any information or views expressed in it may be put,
whether arising through negligence or otherwise.
12
‘The object of the Society
is to promote the study and understanding of
construction law amongst all those involved
in the construction industry’
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