8/17/2019 (2) Pankaj DP on Twitter: "Every now n then, some traders/friends keep asking... X co.

... X co. has bad news, shud I Short? Y co.'s no.s r gud, shud I Buy? …

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Pankaj DP
@voPAtrader

Every now n then, some traders/friends keep asking... X

2
co. has bad news, shud I Short? Y co.'s no.s r gud,
shud I Buy?
My ans wud b, if Good news mean price WILL rise &
bad news mean Fall, ten isn't tat sure way of making Welcome!
money? Twitter just got lots of new features. You can
personalize your color and the size of your text,
It doesn't work tat way. Let me elaborate... as well as control your dark mode selection, right
1/n now.

4:50 PM · Aug 17, 2019 · Twitter Web App Get started

15 Retweets 51 Likes
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Pankaj DP Following
@voPAtrader
Pankaj DP @voPAtrader · 2h
Replying to @voPAtrader Futures & Options Trader! MetaTrader4
Algo developer! Trading tools: Technical
Case 1. Sometimes, Price has factored in upcoming News/ Event. (EMH)
Analysis - Excel based Statistics &
Why this happens?
Derivative Analysis models!
Smart money/ Promoters/ Politicians hv faster access to information. They
create positions well before news is knowns to Panwallahs... n that time
biggies cover positions, trapping retail. 2/n
Trends for you
2 10
#SeizeTheDeal
Pankaj DP @voPAtrader · 2h
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E.g 1
Brand
Maruti declared July sales no.s on 1st Aug. Sales drop was massive 36%. Still,
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price made bottom on 31July itself & price rose since then.
Why?
Biggies anticipating weak no.s were Short in Jul. When actual no.s came, they Trending in India
covered. #Madhumitha
(PFA chart.) 3,972 Tweets
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Pankaj DP @voPAtrader · 2h Show more

E.g2
OPEC had imp meet on extending oil production cut on 1-2 Jul.
(Theory: Oil productn cut-> less supply-> Higher prices) Terms Privacy policy Cookies Ads info

But, oil rose for 10+ days BEFORE meeting. Post meeting, it resumed fall (US More © 2019 Twitter, Inc.
Shale prodn wasnt cut)
So traders who bought post meet, were trapped
4/N

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8/17/2019 (2) Pankaj DP on Twitter: "Every now n then, some traders/friends keep asking... X co. has bad news, shud I Short? Y co.'s no.s r gud, shud I Buy? …

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1 8

Pankaj DP @voPAtrader · 2h
Case 2.
News/ events not factored in (Inefficient price):
Market can't discount severity of every news/ event efficiently. Specially, wen
it comes to geopolitical issues/ decisions (for Economy) or Corporate
Governance/ Regulatory or structural changes- deals(for company)
5/n
1 7

Pankaj DP @voPAtrader · 2h
E.g 1:
DrReddy had US FDA CRL issue yest. Price was consolidating for prior 2
weeks. It gapped down n broke short term Supports AFTER news broke out.

6/n

1 8

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