ملف ثنائي - علوم إنسانية 1

‫اﻟﻮﺟﻪ اﻹﻧﺴﺎ� ﻟﻠﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﻨﺎﺟﻤﺔ ﻋﻦ ﺗﻐ� اﳌﻨﺎخ‬
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Meet the Human Faces of Climate Migration
STORY HIGHLIGHTS ‫ﻧﻘﺎط رﺋ�ﺴ�ﺔ‬
A new World Bank report has found that by 2050 the worsening � ‫ ﻗﺪ ﺗﺆدي اﻵﺛﺎر‬،2050 ‫ﺗﻮﺻﻞ ﺗﻘ��ﺮ ﺟﺪ�ﺪ ﻟﻠﺒﻨﻚ اﻟﺪو� إ� أﻧﻪ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬
‫اﻟﻤ�د�ﺔ‬
‫ن‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ن‬
impacts of climate change in three densely populated regions of �
‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن‬140 ‫ﻟﺘﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ي� ﺛﻼث ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﻜﺘﻈﺔ بﺎﻟﺴكﺎن ي� اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻢ إ� اﻧﺘﻘﺎل أ�� ﻣﻦ‬
‫ي‬
the world could see more than 140 million people move within .‫ﺷﺨﺺ داﺧﻞ ﺣﺪود بﻠﺪاﻧﻬﻢ‬
their countries’ borders.
‫ن‬
‫ بﻤﺎ ي� ذﻟﻚ اﻟﺠﻬﻮد اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻤ�ﺔ ﻟﺨﻔﺾ اﻧبﻌﺎﺛﺎت اﻟﻐﺎزات اﻟﺪﻓﻴﺌﺔ‬،‫وﻣﻊ ﺗﻀﺎﻓﺮ اﻟﻌﻤﻞ‬
With concerted action, however, including global efforts to cut
‫ �ﻤﻜﻦ ﺧﻔﺾ هﺬا اﻟﺴيﻨﺎر�ﻮ اﻷﺳﻮأ‬- ‫واﻟﺘﺨﻄ�ﻂ اﻟﻘﻮي ﻟﻠﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ ﻋ� اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﻘﻄﺮي‬
greenhouse gas emissions and robust development planning at
.‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن ﺷﺨﺺ‬100 ‫ أو‬،%80 �‫ ﺑنﺴبﺔ ﺗﺼﻞ إ‬،�‫ﻛﺒ‬ ‫�ﺸكﻞ ي‬
the country level – this worst-case scenario could be
dramatically reduced, by as much as 80 percent, or 100 million
people. ‫و� �ﺸﻤﻞ‬ ‫ ي‬.‫�ﺤﺪد اﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ "اﻟﺒﺆر اﻟﺴﺎﺧﻨﺔ" ﻟﻠﻤﻨﺎخ واﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ واﻟﺨﺎرﺟ�ﺔ‬
�
‫اﻟي ﺳ�ﺤﺎول اﻟﻨﺎس‬
‫ واﻟﻤﻮاﻗﻊ ي‬،‫ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﻌﺮﺿﺔ ﻟﻠﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ ﻳﺘﻮﻗﻊ أن ﻳنﺘﻘﻞ اﻟﻨﺎس ﻣﻨﻬﺎ‬
The report identifies “hotspots” of climate in- and out-migration. .‫اﻻﻧﺘﻘﺎل إﻟﻴﻬﺎ ﻟﺒﻨﺎء ﺣ�ﺎة وﻣﻮارد رزق ﺟﺪ�ﺪة‬
These include climate-vulnerable areas from which people are
expected to move, and locations into which people will try to
move to build new lives and livelihoods.
March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

1 March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/
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Humanity has always been on the move. .‫كﺎﻧﺖ اﻹ�ﺴﺎﻧ�ﺔ داﺋﻤﺎ ن ي� ﺣﺎﻟﺔ ﺗﻨﻘﻞ‬
People move for many reasons – economic, social, and political. ‫ ﺑﺮز ي‬،‫ اﻵن‬.‫ اﻗﺘﺼﺎد�ﺔ واﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋ�ﺔ وﺳ�ﺎﺳ�ﺔ‬- ‫ﻳنﺘﻘﻞ اﻟﻨﺎس ﻷﺳبﺎب ﻋﺪ�ﺪة‬
‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
Now, climate change has emerged as a major driver of ‫ﻣ�ا�ﺪة ﻣﻦ اﻟﻨﺎس ﻟﻼﻧﺘﻘﺎل ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﻃﻖ اﻟﻀﻌ�ﻔﺔ‬‫داﻓﻌ ﺎ أﻋﺪادا � ن‬
ً ،‫رﺋ�� ﻟﻠﻬﺠﺮة‬ ‫كﻤﺤﺮك‬
‫ي‬
migration, propelling increasing numbers of people to move from �
.‫إ� ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ أ�� ﻗﺎبﻠ�ﺔ ﻟﻠﻌ�ﺶ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ داﺧﻞ بﻠﺪاﻧﻬﻢ ﻟﺒﻨﺎء ﺣ�ﺎة ﺟﺪ�ﺪة‬
vulnerable to more viable areas of their countries to build new
lives.
ً
‫ اﻻﺳﺘﻌﺪاد ﻟﻠﻬﺠﺮات اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ‬:‫اﻟﺪو� اﻟﺬي ﺻﺪر ﺣﺪﻳﺜ ﺎ "اﻟﺘﺼﻮر اﻟﻌﺎم‬
‫ي‬ ‫إن ﺗﻘ��ﺮ اﻟﺒﻨﻚ‬
.2050 ‫ﺣى‬ � ‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ" �ﺤﻠﻞ هﺬە اﻟﻈﺎهﺮة اﻟﺤﺪﻳﺜﺔ واﻟﻤﺸﺎر�ـ ــﻊ اﻟﻘﺎدﻣﺔ‬
‫اﻟﻨﺎﺟﻤﺔ ﻋﻦ ي‬
The newly released World Bank report, Groundswell: Preparing
- ‫ أﻓ��ﻘ�ﺎ ﺟﻨﻮب اﻟﺼﺤﺮاء وﺟﻨﻮب آﺳ�ﺎ وأﻣ��كﺎ اﻟﻼﺗيﻨ�ﺔ‬- ‫ﻛ� ﻋ� ﺛﻼث ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬ �
‫بﺎﻟ� ي ن‬
for Internal Climate Migration, analyzes this recent phenomenon
and projects forward to 2050. Focusing on three regions — Sub- ‫ ﻓﺈن هﺬە‬،‫�ﺤﺬر اﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ ﻣﻦ أﻧﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻟﻢ ﻳﺘﻢ اﺗﺨﺎذ إﺟﺮاءات ﻣﻨﺎﺧ�ﺔ و�ﻧﻤﺎﺋ�ﺔ ﻋﺎﺟﻠﺔ‬
Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America – the report �‫ﺗﻐ‬
‫داﺧ� �ﺴبﺐ ي‬‫ي‬ ‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ‬140 ‫اﻟﻤﻨﺎﻃﻖ اﻟﺜﻼث �ﻤﻜﻦ أن ﺗﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻣﺎ ﻳ��ﺪ ﻋﻦ‬
warns that unless urgent climate and development action is ‫ وﻗﺼﻮر‬،‫ وﺳ�ﻀﻄﺮ هﺆﻻء اﻟﻨﺎس إ� اﻻﻧﺘﻘﺎل �ﺴبﺐ اﻟﺠﻔﺎف‬.2050 ‫اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬
taken, these three regions could be dealing with a combined .‫ وز�ﺎدة اﻟﻌﻮاﺻﻒ‬،‫ وارﺗﻔﺎع ﻣﺴﺘ��ﺎت اﻟبﺤﺎر‬،‫اﻟﻤﺤﺎﺻ�ﻞ‬
total of over 140 million internal climate migrants by 2050. These
people will be pushed out by droughts, failing crops, rising sea �
levels, and storm surges. ‫ بﻤﺎ ي� ذﻟﻚ اﻟﺠﻬﻮد اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻤ�ﺔ ﻟﺨﻔﺾ‬- ‫ ﻣﻊ اﻟﻌﻤﻞ اﻟﻤﺘﻀﺎﻓﺮ‬:‫وﻟ�ﻦ ﻻ ﻳﺰال هﻨﺎك ﻣﺨ�ج‬
‫ئ‬ � ،‫اﻧبﻌﺎﺛﺎت ﻏﺎزات اﻻﺣﺘبﺎس اﻟﺤﺮاري‬
‫اﻹﻧﻤﺎئ اﻟﻘﻮي ﻋ� اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻮى‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﻣﻘ�ﻧﺔ بﺎﻟﺘﺨﻄ�ﻂ‬
�‫ﺗﻐ‬
‫ �ﻤﻜﻦ ﺗﺨﻔ�ﺾ ﻋﺪد اﻷﺷﺨﺎص اﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﺳ�ﻀﻄﺮون إ� اﻻﻧﺘﻘﺎل �ﺴبﺐ ي‬- ‫اﻟﻘﻄﺮي‬
But there is still a way out: with concerted action – including .‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن ﺷﺨﺺ‬100 ‫ أو‬- %80 �‫اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ﺑنﺴبﺔ ﺗﺼﻞ إ‬
global efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions, combined with
robust development planning at the country level –the number of
people forced to move due to climate change could be reduced
by as much as 80 percent – or 100 million people.

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‫ن‬ ‫ اﻟﻮﺟﻪ‬:‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
Climate migrants: the human face of climate change ‫اﻹ�ﺴﺎي ي‬
‫ﻟﺘﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫اﻟﻤﻬﺎﺟﺮون �ﺴبﺐ ي‬
‫ن‬
The report looks closely at three country examples: Ethiopia, ‫ وﺟﻤ�ﻌﻬﺎ ذات‬،‫ إﺛﻴ��ﺎ و�ﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ واﻟﻤﻜﺴ�ﻚ‬:‫ﻳبﺤﺚ اﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ ﻋﻦ ﻛﺜﺐ ي� ﺛﻼﺛﺔ بﻠﺪان‬
‫ن‬
.‫و� ﻣﺠﺎل اﻟﻬﺠﺮة‬
Bangladesh and Mexico, all countries with very different climatic, ‫أﻧﻤﺎط ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻟﻠﻐﺎ�ﺔ ﻣﻨﺎﺧ�ﺔ وﻣﻌ�ﺸ�ﺔ ود�ﻤﻐﺮاﻓ�ﺔ و�ﻧﻤﺎﺋ�ﺔ ي‬
livelihood, demographic, migration and development patterns.
‫�ﺠﺪر ﺑﻨﺎ أن ﻧﺘﺬﻛﺮ أن وراء كﻞ اﻻﺗﺠﺎهﺎت أﻧﺎس ﺣﻘ�ﻘﻴﻮن ﻟﺪﻳﻬﻢ أﺣﻼم وآﻣﺎل‬
It is worth taking a moment to remember that behind all trends ‫ اﻟﺘﻘﻴﻨﺎ ﺛﻼﺛﺔ أﺷﺨﺎص ﺗﺤﻮﻟﺖ ﺣ�ﺎﺗﻬﻢ بﻄ��ﻘﺔ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻷﻧﻬﺎ واﺟﻬﺖ آﺛﺎر‬.‫وﻃﻤﻮﺣﺎت‬
there are real people with dreams, hopes, and aspirations. We .‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
‫ي‬
met three people whose lives have been transformed in different
ways as they have dealt with the impacts of climate change. ‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻗﺼﺔ ﻣﻨﻮرة‬
Watch Monoara's story
‫ ﻏﻤﺮت ﻣ�ﺎە‬.‫ ﺑﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ‬،‫ ﺳﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻮر�ﺠﺮام‬23 ‫� ﺧ�ﺎﻃﺔ ﻋﻤﺮهﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻮرة ﺧﺎﺗﻮن ي‬

‫اﻟﻔ�ﻀﺎن ﻗ��ﺘﻬﺎ ﻋﺪة ﻣﺮات ﻣﻤﺎ أدى إ� ز�ﺎدة اﻟبﻄﺎﻟﺔ وﻧﺪرة اﻟﻐﺬاء‬
Monoara Khatun is a 23-year-old seamstress from Kurigram,
Bangladesh. Her village has been flooded many times and this
has led to increasing unemployment and food scarcity.

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� � ‫ ﻟ�ﻦ اﻟﻮﺿﻊ هﺬا اﻟﻌﺎم‬،‫ "ﺗﻘﻊ اﻟﻔ�ﻀﺎﻧﺎت كﻞ ﻋﺎم‬:‫ﺗﻘﻮل ﻣﻨﻮرة‬
“Floods come every year, but this year the situation is worse,” ‫ و�ﻌ�ﺶ ﺟﻤﻴﻊ‬.‫أ�� ﺳﻮءا‬
�
‫ﺣﺎﻟ�ﺎ ن� ن ن‬ �
says Monoara. “Because of the flooding, there are not a lot of .‫ﻣ�ل ﻷﺣﺪ اﻷﻗﺎرب‬ ‫ي‬ ‫أ�ي‬
‫ي‬ ‫أﻓﺮاد‬
opportunities for work, especially for women in our village.
‫ن‬ ‫ن‬ �
‫�ﻤﻜﻨى اﻟﻌﻤﻞ واﻟﺤﺼﻮل‬
‫ي‬ ،‫و� دكﺎ‬ ‫ ي‬.‫ﻗ��ى ﻷﺳبﺎب أهﻤﻬﺎ اﻟﻔ�ﻀﺎﻧﺎت‬
‫ي‬ �‫ﻻ أر�ﺪ اﻟﻌﻮدة إ‬
My house is badly affected by this year’s flood, and many rice ‫ واﻧﺘﻘﻠﺖ ﻣﻨﻮرة إ� اﻟﻌﺎﺻﻤﺔ دكﺎ ﺣ�ﺚ كﺎﻧﺖ ﻣﺮﺗبﻄﺔ بﻤبﺎدرة‬."‫ﻋ� ﺣ�ﺎة ﺟ�ﺪة وآﻣﻨﺔ‬
paddies got washed away.” Monoara moved to the capital city, ‫ﻟﺘﻮﻓ� اﻟﺘﺪر�ﺐ واﻹﺳكﺎن اﻟﻤﺆﻗﺖ واﻟﻤﺸﻮرة وﺧﺪﻣﺎت‬ ‫ي‬ ‫اﻟﺪو� اﻟﻤﺼﻤﻤﺔ‬ ‫اﻟﺒﻨﻚ‬
‫ي‬
Dhaka where she was connected to the NARI project, a World ‫ي ن‬
‫ ﺗﻤﻜﻨﺖ ﻣﻦ إﻋﺎﻟﺔ أ�ﺗﻬﺎ ﻣﺮة‬، ‫اﻟﺤن‬ ‫ وﻣﻨﺬ ذﻟﻚ‬.‫اﻟﺘﻮﻇ�ﻒ ﻟﻠﻔﻘﺮاء واﻟﻀﻌﻔﺎء ﻣﻦ اﻟنﺴﺎء‬
Bank initiative designed to provide training, transitional housing, . �‫ﻣﺎ‬ �
‫ي‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻘﻼل‬ ‫ﻟﺪﻳﻬﺎ‬ ‫وأﺻﺒﺢ‬ ‫ام‬
‫ﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﻮر�ﺠ‬ �‫أﺧﺮى ي‬
counseling and job placement services for poor and vulnerable
women. Since then, she has been able to support her family
back in Kurigram and has gained financial independence. ‫اﻟﺪو� وذﻟﻚ‬ ‫ﻋ� ﺑﺮاﻣﺞ كﻤبﺎدرة اﻟﺒﻨﻚ‬
� ‫�ﺗ�ز ﻗﺼﺔ ﻣﻨﻮرة أهﻤ�ﺔ اﻟﺘﺨﻄ�ﻂ اﻟﺠ�ﺪ ﻟﻠﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ‬
‫ي‬
.‫ﻟﻤﺴﺎﻋﺪة اﻟبﻠﺪان اﻟﻤﻌﻨ�ﺔ ي� ﺗﺤﺴﻦ ﻣﻦ اﺳﺘﻌﺪادهﺎ ﻟ��ﺎدة اﻟﻬﺠﺮات‬
Monoara’s story highlights the importance of good development
planning through programs like NARI, helping countries be better
prepared for increased migration.

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�
According to the report’s “pessimistic” scenario, South Asia is ‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن‬40 ‫ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻊ أن �ﻜﻮن ﻟﺪى ﺟﻨﻮب آﺳ�ﺎ‬،"‫ووﻓﻘﺎ ﻟﺴيﻨﺎر�ﻮ اﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ "اﻟﻤتﺸﺎﺋﻢ‬
projected to have 40 million internal climate migrants by 2050, .‫ و�ﺴﺎهﻢ ﺑﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ ﺑﺜﻠﺚ هﺬا اﻟﻌﺪد‬،2050 ‫داﺧ� بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ ﻣﻨﺎخ‬
with Bangladesh contributing a third of that number.
‫ن‬
‫ﺘﺎ� ﻓﺈن‬
‫و�ﺎﻟ ي‬ ،‫ �ﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻣﺎ �ﻘﺮب ﻣﻦ ﻧﺼﻒ ﺳكﺎن ﺑﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ ﻋ� اﻟﺰراﻋﺔ‬،‫ي� اﻟﻮﻗﺖ اﻟﺮاهﻦ‬
‫ن‬ ‫ن‬
Right now, close to half of Bangladesh’s population depends on ‫ﻛﺒ�ة ي� ﻋﺪد‬
‫ﺗﻐ�ات ي‬‫اﻟﺘﻐ�ات ي� ﺗﻮاﻓﺮ اﻟﻤ�ﺎە و�ﻧﺘﺎﺟ�ﺔ اﻟﻤﺤﺎﺻ�ﻞ �ﻤﻜﻦ أن ﺗﺆدي إ� ي‬‫ي‬
‫ن‬
agriculture, so changes in water availability and crop productivity ‫ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺑﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ بﺎﻟﻔﻌﻞ بﻤبﺎدرات ي� ﻗﻄﺎﻋﺎت اﻟﻤ�ﺎە واﻟﺼﺤﺔ واﻟﻐﺎبﺎت‬.‫اﻟﺴكﺎن‬
could drive major shifts in population. Bangladesh has already .‫واﻟﺰراﻋﺔ واﻟﺒن�ﺔ اﻟﺘﺤﺘ�ﺔ ﻟﺘﻌﻤ�ﻢ اﻟﺘﻜ�ﻒ ﻣﻊ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ن ي� ﺧﻄﻂ اﻟﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ اﻟﻮﻃﻨ�ﺔ‬
undertaken initiatives in the water, health, forestry, agriculture,
and infrastructure sectors to mainstream climate adaptation into
‫ئ ن‬ ‫ن‬
its national development plans. �‫اﻟﻐﺬائ ي‬
‫ي‬ ‫اﻷﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﻟﺘﻌ��ﺰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ‬ ‫ذﻟﻚ‬ �
‫ بﻤﺎ ي‬،‫هﻨﺎك اﻟﻌﺪ�ﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺑﺮاﻣﺞ اﻟﺘﻜ�ﻒ ﻗ�ﺪ اﻟﺘﻨﻔ�ﺬ‬
‫اﻟﻐﺮي ﺧﻼل ﻣﻮﺳﻢ‬
‫�ي‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎل ﻏﺮب اﻟبﻼد وآﺧﺮ ﻟتﺸﺠﻴﻊ هﺠﺮة اﻟ�ﺪ اﻟﻌﺎﻣﻠﺔ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺸﻤﺎل‬
.‫اﻟﺠﻔﺎف‬
Several adaptation programs are underway, including a program
to enhance food security in the northwest of the country and
another to encourage labor migration from the northwest during
‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻗﺼﺔ ووﻟﺪ‬
the dry season.
Watch Wolde's story

20
21 22
.‫ﻟﺘﻐﻴ� ﻣﺠﺮى ﺣ�ﺎﺗﻪ‬ ‫ اﻟﻤﺼيبﺔ إ� ﻓﺮﺻﺔ‬،‫ ﺳﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ إﺛﻴ��ﺎ‬28 ،‫و�ﺤﻮل ووﻟﺪ دا�ﺲ‬ ّ
Wolde Danse, a 28-year-old from Ethiopia, is also turning ‫ي‬
adversity into a chance to change the course of his life. � � ً ‫وهﻮ اﻟﺜﺎﻣﻦ ﻣﻦ ي ن‬
�‫اﻟﺼﻐ�ة ي� ﺟﺰء ﻣﺪﻣﺮ بﺎﻟﺠﻔﺎف ي‬‫ي‬ ‫ ﻏﺎدر ﻣﺰرﻋﺔ واﻟﺪە‬،‫ ﻃﻔﻼ‬16 ‫ﺑن‬
‫ ن‬: ً
The eighth of 16 children, he left his father’s small farm in a ‫ ﻟﻢ ﺗﻜﻦ‬،‫"� ﻣﻮﺳﻢ اﻟﺰراﻋﺔ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﺟﺪ�ﺪة‬ ‫ﻓﺮص‬ ‫ﻋﻦ‬ ‫ﺎ‬ ‫بﺤﺜ‬ ‫بﻠﺪە واﻧﺘﻘﻞ إ� ﻣﺪﻳﻨﺔ هﺎواﺳﺎ‬
drought-stricken part of his country and moved to the city of .‫ ﻟ�ﻨﻬﺎ كﺎﻧﺖ �ﺴﻘﻂ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻟﻢ ﻧﻜﻦ ﻧ��ﺪ ذﻟﻚ‬،‫اﻷﻣﻄﺎر �ﺴﻘﻂ‬
Hawassa in search of new opportunities: “In the planting season,
it wouldn’t rain, but when we didn’t want it, it would rain.
."‫ وﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﻟﻢ أﻋﺪ أرﻏﺐ � ي� ﺗﺤ ﱡﻤ ﻞ اﻟﻤ��ﺪ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻌﺎﻧﺎة‬،‫وﻗﺪ أدى هﺬا إ� ﺣﺪوث ﺟﻔﺎف‬
‫ن‬ ‫ن‬
�‫اﻟﺤ��ﺔ اﻟﺸﺎﻣﻠﺔ ي‬ ‫ اﻟﺘﺤﻖ ووﻟﺪ �ﺑ�ﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﺷبﻜﺔ اﻷﻣﺎن‬،‫بﻌﺪ بﻌﺾ اﻟ�اﻋﺎت اﻷوﻟ�ﺔ‬
This created drought, and because of this, I didn’t want to suffer ‫ن‬
.‫ﻟﻺ�اف ﻋ� ﻋﻤﺎل اﻟﻨﻈﺎﻓﺔ ي� اﻟﺸﻮارع‬ � ‫ﺻﻐ�ا‬
ً‫ي‬ � ‫ وهﻮ اﻵن‬،‫إﺛﻴ��ﺎ‬
ً ‫ﻳﺘﻠ� ر‬
‫اﺗب ﺎ‬
anymore.” After some initial struggles, Wolde enrolled in
Ethiopia’s extensive urban safety net program, and now he
receives a small salary for supervising street cleaners. ‫ و�ﺨﻄﻂ‬،‫ �ﻤﻜﻦ ﻟﻮوﻟﺪ اﻻﻟﺘﺤﺎق بﺠﺎﻣﻌﺔ هﺎواﺳﺎ دون دﻓﻊ رﺳﻮم‬،‫اﻟ�ﻧﺎﻣﺞ‬
� ‫وﺿﻤﻦ‬
.‫ﻹﻧﻬﺎء دراﺳﺘﻪ ﻹﻓﺎدة بﻠﺪە وﻋﺎﺋﻠﺘﻪ‬
As part of the program, Wolde can attend Hawassa’s university
without paying tuition, and he’s planning to finish his studies to
‫ �ﻤﻜﻦ ﻷﻓ��ﻘ�ﺎ ﺟﻨﻮب اﻟﺼﺤﺮاء أن �ﻜﻮن‬،‫و�ﺪون ﻋﻤﻞ ﻣﻠﻤﻮس �ﺸﺄن اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ واﻟﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ‬
benefit his country and his family.
‫ ﺣ�ﺚ أن إﺛﻴ��ﺎ واﺣﺪة‬،2050 ‫داﺧ� �ﺴبﺐ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬
‫ي‬ ‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ‬86 ‫ﻟﺪﻳﻬﺎ‬
‫ن‬ �
‫ وذﻟﻚ �ﺴبﺐ اﻋﺘﻤﺎدهﺎ ﻋ� اﻟﺰراﻋﺔ‬،‫ﻟﺘﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ي� أﻓ��ﻘ�ﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻦ أ�� اﻟبﻠﺪان ﻋﺮﺿﺔ ي‬
Without concrete climate and development action, Sub-Saharan .‫اﻟبﻌﻠ�ﺔ‬
Africa could have 86 million internal climate migrants by 2050, ‫ ﻣﻤﺎ‬،2050 ‫ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬%85 �‫ إ‬60 ‫وﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺮﺟﺢ أن ﻳﻨﻤﻮ ﻋﺪد ﺳكﺎن إﺛﻴ��ﺎ ﺑنﺴبﺔ‬
with Ethiopia one of the most vulnerable countries to climate
‫ ﺗﺘﺨﺬ إﺛﻴ��ﺎ ﺧﻄﻮات ﻟﺘﻨ��ـ ــﻊ‬.‫ﻳ��ﺪ اﻟﻀﻐﻂ ﻋ� اﻟﻤﻮارد اﻟﻄﺒ�ﻌ�ﺔ ﻟﻠبﻠﺪ وﻣﺆﺳﺴﺎﺗﻪ‬
change in Africa, due to its reliance on rain-fed agriculture.
.‫اﻗﺘﺼﺎدهﺎ واﻻﺳﺘﻌﺪاد ﻟ��ﺎدة اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ‬
Ethiopia’s population is likely to grow by 60-85 percent by 2050,

placing additional pressure on the country’s natural resources
and institutions. Ethiopia is taking steps to diversify its economy
and prepare for increased internal migration.

22
23 24
‫ن‬
Sometimes, however, migration is not the answer ‫� اﻟﺤﻞ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﻟ�ﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻬﺠﺮة‬ ‫اﻟ‬ ،‫اﻷﺣ�ﺎن‬ ‫بﻌﺾ‬ �
‫ي‬
Watch Javier's story �‫ﺧﺎﻓﻴ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻗﺼﺔ‬
ً
Some communities are finding ways to deal with climate change �‫ﺧﺎﻓﻴ‬
‫ي‬ ‫اﺧﺘﺎر‬ . ‫اﻟﻬﺠﺮة‬ ‫ﺗﺘﻄﻠﺐ‬ ‫ﻻ‬ ‫اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬ �‫ﺗﻐ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﻣﻊ‬ ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ‬ ‫ﺎ‬ ‫ﻃﺮﻗ‬ ‫بﻌﺾ اﻟﻤﺠﺘﻤﻌﺎت ﺗﺠﺪ‬
� � ‫ين‬
that don’t require migration. Javier Martinez, 26, and his brother ‫ ﻋﺎﻣﺎ( وﺷﻘ�ﻘﻪ اﻟبﻘﺎء ي� ﻣﺠﺘﻤﻌﻬﻢ ي� أوا�ﺴﺎ�ﺎ بﺎﻟﻤﻜﺴ�ﻚ وﺗﻮﺳﻴﻊ أﻋﻤﺎﻟﻬﻢ‬26) �‫ﻣﺎرﺗيﻨ‬
have chosen to stay in their community in Oaxaca, Mexico and .‫ن ي� ﻣﺠﺎل اﻟﻨﺠﺎرة‬
expand their carpentry business.
They have been able to do so thanks to a sustainable forestry
‫وﻗﺪ ﺗﻤﻜﻨﻮا ﻣﻦ ذﻟﻚ بﻔﻀﻞ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ اﻟﻐﺎبﺎت اﻟﻤﺴﺘﺪاﻣﺔ اﻟﺬي ﺳﺎﻋﺪ ﻋ� ﺟﺬب‬
program that has helped to attract investors and enabled the
.‫اﻟﻤﺘﻐ� ﻣﻊ ﺑﻨﺎء اﻟﻔﺮص اﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎد�ﺔ‬
‫ي‬ ‫اﻟﻤﺴتﺜﻤ��ﻦ وﻣﻜﻦ اﻟﻤﺠﺘﻤﻊ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺘﻜ�ﻒ ﻣﻊ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
community to adapt to a changing climate while building
economic opportunities.
،‫ ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﻻ ﻳﻬﺎﺟﺮ ﺳﻮى ﻋﺪد ﻗﻠ�ﻞ ﻟﻠﻐﺎ�ﺔ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺴكﺎن‬،‫ " ﻟﺪﻳﻨﺎ وﻇﺎﺋﻒ هﻨﺎ‬:�‫ﺧﺎﻓﻴ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﻳﻮﺿﺢ‬
Javier explains: “At the forest level there is employment, in ‫ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻓﺮص ﻋﻤﻞ ﻣﺘﻨﻮﻋﺔ‬،‫ﻛﺒ�ة إ� اﻟﻬﺠﺮة ﻷﻧﻪ ﻋ� ﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﻐﺎبﺎت‬ ‫ﻓﻼ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ي‬
� ‫ن‬
businesses there is employment, so there is not a strong need to ‫ إن ﻣﺜﻞ هﺬە اﻟﺠﻬﻮد ي� ﺟﻤﻴﻊ أﻧﺤﺎء اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻢ ﻟﺒﻨﺎء ﺑﺮاﻣﺞ ﺣﺮﺟ�ﺔ أ�� اﺳﺘﺪاﻣﺔ‬."‫ﻛﺜ�ا‬
‫ي‬
go away, because in the community there is a wide range of �‫ﺨﺎﻓﻴ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ﺗﻔ�ﺪ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ﻋ� ﻣﺴﺘﻮى اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻢ وﺗﺪﻋﻢ ﻣﺠﺎﻻت اﻗﺘﺼﺎد�ﺔ ﻣﺜﻞ اﻟﻤﺠﺎل اﻟﺨﺎص ب‬
opportunities.” Efforts like these around the world to build more .‫ﻣﺤﻠ�ﺎ‬
sustainable forestry programs are paying climate dividends
globally and supporting economies like Javier’s locally.

24
25 26
�
According to the report’s worst-case scenario, Latin America is ‫ ﻣﻠﻴﻮن‬17 ‫ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻗﻊ أن �ﻜﻮن ﻟﺪى أﻣ��كﺎ اﻟﻼﺗيﻨ�ﺔ‬،‫ووﻓﻘﺎ ﻷﺳﻮأ ﺳيﻨﺎر�ﻮ بﺎﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ‬
projected to have 17 million internal climate migrants by 2050. .2050 ‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬
‫داﺧ� �ﺴبﺐ ي‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ‬
‫� ي‬
�‫اﻟﺒﻴﻮﻟﻮ‬ ‫ﻛﺒ� وﻣﺘﻨ�ع ﻣﻦ ﺣ�ﺚ اﻟﺠﻐﺮاﻓ�ﺎ اﻟﻄﺒ�ﻌ�ﺔ واﻟﻤﻨﺎخ واﻟﺘﻨ�ع‬
‫اﻟﻤﻜﺴ�ﻚ بﻠﺪ ي‬
Mexico is a large and diverse country in terms of physical
geography, climate, biodiversity, demographic and social �
‫ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺤﺘﻤﻞ أن‬.‫واﻟ�ﻛﻴبﺔ اﻟﺪ�ﻤﻮﻏﺮاﻓ�ﺔ واﻻﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋ�ﺔ واﻟﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ اﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎد�ﺔ واﻟﺜﻘﺎﻓﺔ‬
composition, economic development, and culture. ،"‫اﻟي ﺗﻌﺘﻤﺪ ﻋ� ﻣ�ﺎە اﻷﻣﻄﺎر أﻋﻈﻢ "اﻟﻬﺠﺮات إ� اﻟﺨﺎرج‬ �
‫�ﺸﻬﺪ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ اﻟﻤﺤﺎﺻ�ﻞ ي‬
.‫و�ﺮﺟﻊ ذﻟﻚ أﺳﺎﺳﺎ إ� اﻧﺨﻔﺎض إﻧﺘﺎﺟ�ﺔ اﻟﻤﺤﺎﺻ�ﻞ‬
Rain-fed cropland areas are likely to experience the greatest
“out-migration”, mainly as a result of declining crop productivity. ‫ن‬ ‫ن‬
�‫ ﻻ ﺳ�ﻤﺎ ي‬،‫وﺳﺘﻜﻮن هﻨﺎك أ�ﻀﺎ ز�ﺎدات ي� اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ ودرﺟﺎت اﻟﺤﺮارة اﻟﻘﺼﻮى‬
�
.‫ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺳﺎﺣﻞ اﻟﻤﻜﺴ�ﻚ وﺧﺎﺻﺔ ﻳﻮكﺎﺗﺎن‬،(‫اﻷ�� ﺳﺨﻮﻧﺔ‬ �‫)و�ﺎﻟﺘﺎ‬ ‫اﻟﻤﻨﺎﻃﻖ اﻟﻤﻨﺨﻔﻀﺔ‬
‫ي‬
There will also be increases in average and extreme
temperatures, especially in low-lying (and therefore hotter) � ‫ ﻛبﻠﺪ ﻣﻦ‬،‫ ﻓﺈن اﻟﻤﻜﺴ�ﻚ‬،‫وﻣﻊ ذﻟﻚ‬
regions, such as coastal Mexico and especially the Yucatan. ‫اﻟ��ﺤﺔ اﻟﻌﻠ�ﺎ ﻣﻦ اﻟبﻠﺪان اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻄﺔ اﻟﺪﺧﻞ ذات‬
‫ﻛﺒ� ﻣﻦ اﻟﺸبﺎب �ﺪﺧﻠﻮن‬
‫ وﻋﺪد ي‬،‫ﺣ��ﻮن ﻏﺎﻟﺒيﺘﻬﻢ‬ ‫ وﺳكﺎن ن‬،‫اﻗﺘﺼﺎد ﻣﺘﻨ�ع وﻣﺘﻮﺳﻊ‬
.‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
‫ ﻟﺪﻳﻬﺎ اﻟﻘﺪرة ﻋ� اﻟﺘﻜ�ﻒ ﻣﻊ ي‬،‫ﻗﻮة اﻟﻌﻤﻞ‬
However, as an upper-middle-income country with a diversified
and expanding economy, a predominantly urban population, and
a large youth population entering the labor force, Mexico has the ‫اﻟﺼﻐ�ة اﻟﻤﺘﺄﺛ��ﻦ‬
‫ي‬ ‫ بﺎﻟﻨﻈﺮ إ� أن أﺻﺤﺎب اﻟﺤ�ﺎزات‬،‫ ﺳتﺴﺘﻤﺮ ﺟﻴﻮب اﻟﻔﻘﺮ‬،‫وﻣﻊ ذﻟﻚ‬
potential to adapt to climate change. ‫ي ن‬
.‫اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﻠن ﻟﺪﻳﻬﻢ ﻣﻌﺪﻻت ﻓﻘﺮ أﻋ� ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺘﻮﺳﻂ‬ ‫ﺑﺘﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ واﻟﻤﺰ ي ن‬
‫ارﻋن‬ ‫ي‬
Still, pockets of poverty will persist, given that climate-sensitive

smallholders, self-employed farmers and independent farmers
tend to have higher than average poverty rates.

26
27 28
Taking action �‫ﺗﺪاﺑ‬

‫ي‬ ‫اﺗﺨﺎذ‬
Monoara, Wolde and Javier’s stories tell us that, while internal ‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬ ‫وﺧﺎﻓﻴ� أﻧﻪ ن� ي ن‬
‫ﺣن أن اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ �ﺴبﺐ ي‬ ‫ي‬
ّ ‫ﺗﺨ�ﻧﺎ ﻗﺼﺺ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻮرة ووﻟﺪ‬ �
‫ي‬ ‫ن‬
climate migration is a growing reality in many countries, it .‫ ﻓﺈﻧﻪ �ﺠﺐ أﻻ ﺗﻜﻮن هﻨﺎك أزﻣﺔ‬،‫� ﺣﻘ�ﻘﺔ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﻣ�ﺔ ي� اﻟﻌﺪ�ﺪ ﻣﻦ اﻟبﻠﺪان‬‫ي‬
doesn’t have to be a crisis.
ُ ‫ي ن‬
�‫ﺠ�ون ﻋ‬
� � ‫ ﺗﺘﺎح ﻟﻠبﻠﺪان ﻓﺮﺻﺔ ﻟﺘﻘﻠ�ﻞ ﻋﺪد اﻷﺷﺨﺎص اﻟﺬﻳﻦ‬،‫ﺑﺘﺤﺴن اﻟﺴ�ﺎﺳﺎت‬
With improved policies, countries have the chance to reduce the .2050 ‫ بﺤﻠﻮل ﻋﺎم‬%80 �‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ﺑنﺴبﺔ ﺗﺼﻞ إ‬‫اﻻﻧﺘﻘﺎل �ﺴبﺐ ي‬
number of people forced to move due to climate change by as
much as 80 percent by 2050.
:‫�ﺴتﻨﺘﺞ اﻟﺘﻘ��ﺮ أﻧﻪ �ﻤﻜﻦ ﻟﻠبﻠﺪان اﺗﺨﺎذ إﺟﺮاء ن ي� ﺛﻼﺛﺔ ﻣﺠﺎﻻت رﺋ�ﺴ�ﺔ‬
The report finds that countries can take action in three main
areas: :‫ﺧﻔﺾ ﻏﺎزات اﻻﺣﺘبﺎس اﻟﺤﺮاري اﻵن‬.1
‫ن‬
�‫ﻋﺎﻟ� ﻗﻮي �ﺸﺄن اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ﻟﺘﺤﻘﻴﻖ هﺪف اﺗﻔﺎق بﺎر�ﺲ اﻟﻤﺘﻤﺜﻞ ي‬
‫ي‬ ‫هﻨﺎك ﺣﺎﺟﺔ إ� إﺟﺮاء‬
‫ي ن‬ ‫ي ن‬ ‫ن‬
1 .Cut greenhouse gases now: ‫ﻣﺌ��ﺘن بﺤﻠﻮل ﻧﻬﺎ�ﺔ‬ ‫درﺟﺘن‬ ‫اﻟﺤﺪ ﻣﻦ ز�ﺎدة درﺟﺎت اﻟﺤﺮارة ي� اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘبﻞ إ� أﻗﻞ ﻣﻦ‬
Strong global climate action is needed to meet the Paris .‫هﺬا اﻟﻘﺮن‬
Agreement’s goal of limiting future temperature increase to less
than 2°C by the end of this century.
‫ ﺳﻮف ﻳﺘﻢ وﺿﻊ اﻟﺪول ن� ﻣﺴﺘﻮى ي ن‬،‫اﻻﺣ�ار‬
‫ﻣﻌن‬ � ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻮى‬ ‫هﺬا‬ �
‫� ن‬
‫ي‬ ‫ ﺣى ي‬،‫وﻣﻊ ذﻟﻚ‬
.‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
‫ﻣﻦ اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ �ﺴبﺐ ي‬
However, even at this level of warming, countries will be locked
into a certain level of internal climate migration.
�‫ ﻗﺪ ﺗﺆدي اﻟﻤﺴﺘ��ﺎت اﻷﻋ� ﻣﻦ اﻧبﻌﺎﺛﺎت ﻏﺎزات اﻻﺣﺘبﺎس اﻟﺤﺮاري إ‬،‫وﻣﻊ ذﻟﻚ‬
‫ن‬
‫ ﻣﻤﺎ ﻳ��ﺪ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻔﺎﻗﻢ اﻟﻈﺮوف‬،‫اﻻﺿﻄﺮاب اﻟﺸﺪ�ﺪ ي� ﺳبﻞ اﻟﻌ�ﺶ واﻟﻨﻈﻢ اﻹ�ﻜﻮﻟﻮﺟ�ﺔ‬
Still higher levels of greenhouse gas emissions could lead to the .‫ﻟ��ﺎدة اﻟﻬﺠﺮة �ﺴبﺐ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
severe disruption of livelihoods and ecosystems, further
exacerbating the conditions for increased climate migration.

28
29 30
2.Embed climate migration in development planning: :‫ﺗﻀﻤن اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺧ�ﺔ ن ي� اﻟﺘﺨﻄ�ﻂ اﻟﺘﻨﻤﻮي‬
‫ي ن‬ .2
There is an urgent need for countries to integrate climate
migration into national development plans. Most regions have ‫ن‬
‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ ي� ﺧﻄﻂ اﻟﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ‬ ‫هﻨﺎك ﺣﺎﺟﺔ ﻣﻠﺤﺔ ﻷن ﺗﺪﻣﺞ اﻟبﻠﺪان اﻟﻬﺠﺮة �ﺴبﺐ ي‬
laws, policies, and strategies that are poorly equipped to deal
‫ﻏ� ﻣﺠﻬﺰة �ﺸكﻞ ﺟ�ﺪ‬ � ‫ي ن‬ ‫ ﻟﺪى ﻣﻌﻈﻢ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬.‫اﻟﻮﻃﻨ�ﺔ‬
‫ﻗﻮاﻧن وﺳ�ﺎﺳﺎت واﺳ�اﺗ�ﺠ�ﺎت ي‬
with people moving from areas of increasing climate risk into ‫اﻟى � ن‬
�‫ﺗ�ا�ﺪ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮ اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ إ‬ �
areas that may already be heavily populated. ‫ﻟﻠﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ اﻷﺷﺨﺎص اﻟﺬﻳﻦ ﻳنﺘﻘﻠﻮن ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﻃﻖ ي‬
.‫ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻗﺪ ﺗﻜﻮن ﻣﻜﺘﻈﺔ بﺎﻟﺴكﺎن بﺎﻟﻔﻌﻞ‬
To secure resilience and development prospects for everyone ‫ن‬ ‫ن‬

‫ �ﻠﺰم اﺗﺨﺎذ إﺟﺮاءات ي� كﻞ‬،‫اﻟﻤﺘ�ر�ﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ أﺟﻞ ﺿﻤﺎن اﻟﻤﺮوﻧﺔ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﺘﻨﻤ�ﺔ ﻟ�ﻞ‬
affected, action is needed at every phase of migration (before,
during and after moving). .(‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ اﻟﻬﺠﺮة )ﻗبﻞ اﻻﻧﺘﻘﺎل وأﺛﻨﺎﺋﻪ و�ﻌﺪە‬
3.Invest now to improve data on the scale and scope of local ‫ي ن‬

‫ﻟﺘﺤﺴن اﻟﺒ�ﺎﻧﺎت اﻟﻤﺘﻌﻠﻘﺔ بﺤﺠﻢ وﻧﻄﺎق اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﻤﺤﻠ�ﺔ �ﺴبﺐ‬ ‫اﻻﺳتﺜﻤﺎر اﻵن‬.3
climate migration: :‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
‫ي‬
More investment is needed to better understand and ‫هﻨﺎك ﺣﺎﺟﺔ إ� ﻣ��ﺪ ﻣﻦ اﻻﺳتﺜﻤﺎر ﻟﻔﻬﻢ وﺗﺄﺻ�ﻞ ﻧﻄﺎق وﻃﺒ�ﻌﺔ وﺣﺠﻢ اﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﻨﺎﺟﻤﺔ‬
contextualize the scale, nature, and magnitude of climate ‫ اﻟﺬي �كﻤﻠﻪ اﻟﻨﻤﺬﺟﺔ ﻋ� اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻮى‬،‫ ﻓﺎﻟبﺤﺚ اﻟﻘﺎﺋﻢ ﻋ� اﻷدﻟﺔ‬.‫ﺗﻐ� اﻟﻤﻨﺎخ‬
‫ﻋﻦ ي‬
change-induced migration. Evidence-based research, .‫ أﻣﺮ ﺣﻴﻮي‬،‫اﻟﻘﻄﺮي‬
complemented by country-level modeling, is vital.
‫ن‬ �
�‫اﻟﺼﻨﺎ‬
‫ي‬ ‫اﻟﻘﻤﺮ‬ ‫ﺻﻮر‬ ‫ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ذﻟﻚ‬ �‫ي‬ ‫بﻤﺎ‬ ،‫اﻟﺠﺪ�ﺪة‬ ‫اﻟﺒ�ﺎﻧﺎت‬ ‫ﻟﻤﺼﺎدر‬ ‫�ﻤﻜﻦ‬ ،‫ﻟﺬﻟﻚ‬ ‫ودﻋﻤﺎ‬
In support of this, new data sources, including from satellite ‫ن‬
�‫ أن �ﺴﺎﻋﺪ اﻟبﻠﺪان ﻋ‬،‫ إ� ﺟﺎﻧﺐ اﻟﺘﻘﺪم ي� اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺧ�ﺔ‬،‫واﻟﻬﻮاﺗﻒ اﻟﻤﺤﻤﻮﻟﺔ‬
imagery and mobile phones, combined with advances in climate ‫ي ن‬
.‫ﺗﺤﺴن ﺟﻮدة اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﻤﺘﻌﻠﻘﺔ بﺎﻟﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﺪاﺧﻠ�ﺔ اﻟﻤﺤﺘﻤﻠﺔ‬
information, can help countries improve the quality of information
about likely internal migration.

30

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‫اﻟﻮﺟﻪ اﻹﻧﺴﺎ� ﻟﻠﻬﺠﺮة اﻟﻨﺎﺟﻤﺔ ﻋﻦ ﺗﻐ� اﳌﻨﺎخ‬

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

‫ ﻏﻤﺮت ﻣ�ﺎە‬.‫ ﺑﻨﻐﻼد�ﺶ‬،‫ ﺳﻨﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻛﻮر�ﺠﺮام‬23 ‫� ﺧ�ﺎﻃﺔ ﻋﻤﺮهﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻮرة ﺧﺎﺗﻮن ي‬

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

Ethiopia’s population is likely to grow by 60-85 percent by 2050,

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

Still, pockets of poverty will persist, given that climate-sensitive

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

Taking action �‫ﺗﺪاﺑ‬

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

To secure resilience and development prospects for everyone ‫ن‬ ‫ن‬

3.Invest now to improve data on the scale and scope of local ‫ي ن‬

March 30, 2018 Ali MMQE - http://translearner.weebly.com - https://www.facebook.com/Translearner/

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