2022-01-03 - 1822 - Ashika - Stock Picks - G R Infraprojects Ltd. - January 2022

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STOCK PICKS

G R Infraprojects Ltd.
Shareholding Pattern as on 30th Sept. 2021
CMP: Rs 1,740 Rating: BUY Target: Rs 2,029
Company Information
BSE Code 543317
NSE Code GRINFRA
Bloomberg Code GRINFRA IN
ISIN INE201P01022
Market Cap (Rs. Cr) 16,805
Outstanding shares(Cr) 9.66
52-wk Hi/Lo (Rs.) 2,267.3/1,543
Avg. daily volume (1yr. on NSE) 262,910
Promoters, 86.54% FIIs, 2.87%
Face Value(Rs.) 5.0
DIIs, 7.09% Others, 3.50%
Book Value (Rs) 410.5

Company overview services, Development of roads, have developed in-house resources


GR Infraprojects is an integrated highways on a Build Operate Transfer with key competencies to deliver
road EPC company with experience (BOT) basis, including under annuity a project from conceptualization
in design and construction of various and Hybrid Annuity Model (HAM) to completion that includes their
road/highway projects across 15 and Manufacturing activities, under design and engineering team, 3
States in India and recently forayed which they process bitumen, manu- manufacturing units at Udaipur,
into projects in the railway sector. facture thermoplastic road-marking Rajasthan, Guwahati, Assam and
The company undertakes construc- paint, electric poles and road signage Sandila, processing bitumen in UP,
tion business in an integrated man- and fabricate and galvanize metal thermoplastic road-marking paint
ner as the company has developed crash barriers. and road signage and a fabrication
key competencies and resources and galvanization unit at Ahmedabad,
in-house to deliver a project from
Investment Rationale manufacturing metal crash barriers
Integrated business model and electric poles at Gujarat. In
conceptualization until completion.
GR infra projects is an integrated addition, company’s equipment base
Its principal business operations are
EPC company, with 25 years of is comprised over 7,000 construction
broadly divided into three categories
proven track record. As part of their equipment and vehicles. GR infra’s
namely Civil construction activities,
in-house integrated model, they in-house integrated model reduces
under which they provide EPC

January 2022 INSIGHT 20


dependence on third party suppliers either independently or in partner-
for key raw materials, construction ship with other players. Further, as
GR infra has healthy
equipment and other products and part of their growth strategy, the
services required in the development
order book of Rs company intend to diversify and
and construction of their projects. 19,025 crore and will bid for, projects related to the
They also set up a central procure- comprised 16 EPC railways sector, including earthwork,
ment team that procures major projects, 10 HAM construction of bridges and supply
materials and engineering items projects and three of materials and track linking, and
required for their projects. Company laying of optical fibre cables. Healthy
other projects,
has also implemented SAP in all order book and company’s strategy
plants and installed GPRS in all fleet
which gives strong to diversify in other projects will
for transportation, which ensures revenue visibility amplify its revenue growth going
better operating efficiencies in all going forward. ahead.
its divisions. Its integrated busi- Further, the Government thrust on infra-
ness model facilitates execution of
company had made structure space to boost the
projects within scheduled timelines.
Further, company always strives to
the lowest bid of Rs. growth

complete the project within time or 592.18 crore for the In order to pull out the economy from
Covid led slowdown, government has
before the schedule time and all these proposed project.
committed large infrastructure spend
help in maintaining higher margins
over the next few years. Government
in the industry.
includes railway projects in Andhra healthy fiscal health will also support
Healthy order book Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh and an its infrastructure spend commitment.
GR infra has healthy order book of Rs optical fibre project spread across the In FY22, budget, government has
19,025 crore and comprised 16 EPC states of Bihar, Odisha, West Bengal, announced massive infrastructure
projects, 10 HAM projects and three Andaman and Nicobar Islands, spending. As per the budget, the total
other projects, which gives strong Jharkhand and Sikkim. The company investment in roads, railways, urban
revenue visibility going forward. in the past also executed projects infra, housing and water supply
Further, the company had made in Haryana, Punjab, Jharkhand and segments in FY22 is projected to be
the lowest bid of Rs. 592.18 crore Meghalaya. Over the next few years, around 30% higher than FY21 revised
for the proposed project. Its order the company will continue to focus estimate. In FY22 budget, government
book primarily comprised of EPC on construction of the existing has also announced capital outlay for
and HAM projects in the road sector projects while seeking opportu- various sectors for infra space. NHAI
across the states of Uttar Pradesh, nities to expand the portfolio of is targeting to award over 5000 km
Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, road projects. Though the company of road in FY22 after rewarding 4,788
Gujarat, Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, has the intention to focus on EPC km in FY21 and this is likely to drive
Bihar, Manipur, Odisha and Himachal contracts, it also plans to continue the order book momentum for infra
Pradesh. In addition, Order Book also BOT projects (including toll projects), companies. The 1QFY22 order book
position demonstrates that most of
GR Infra Price Chart the infra companies currently have
strong order books, which is nearly
2400 3.5x to book to sales. The net order
2200 inflow in 1QFY22 was Rs 138 billion
and including L1/New orders, the
2000
total order inflow stood at Rs 283
1800 billion which was up by 53% on YoY
1600 basis. During Q3FY21 and Q4FY21,
the road construction companies
1400
witnessed the highest order inflow
1200 in last nine quarters driven by strong
1000 order award momentum by NHAI.
Jul-21

Sep-21

Dec-21
Oct-21

The national highway awarding &


Nov-21
Aug-21

construction continues to improve


and stood at 10,965 km/13,327 km in

21 INSIGHT January 2022


FY21 vs 8,912 km/10,237 km in FY20. model with strong funding lines,
NHAI and MoRTH together plan to powered by low interest costs and
GR Infra’s financial
award/construct 11,000km/14,600km empowered by robust management
of NH in FY22, which will provide
performance depth and bandwidth. Its long term
a fillip to the infrastructure devel- has been quite growth story will be largely funded
opment. As a result of the robust impressive on all by internal accruals and asset
order inflows, revenue visibility for counts. Revenue and monetization. Diversification will also
the sector is at an all-time high. The EBITDA recorded not be a constraint as the company’s
book-to-bill for most infra compa- strong balance sheet, low levels of
a CAGR growth of
nies currently is the highest in more fund/non-fund based utilization, and
than a decade and also much higher
21.9% and 20.1%, strong cash flow generation bode well
than the FY15-18 period. respectively through for growth. Further, government’s

Maintain strong financial


FY18- FY21, its net increased focus on infrastructure

performance profit recorded development too provides tailwinds


on the macroeconomic front. NHAI’s
GR Infra’s financial performance has 15.3% CAGR over
plan to award Rs. 2.25 lakh crore of
been quite impressive on all counts. the same period. projects in FY22 (up from Rs. 1.7 lakh
Revenue and EBITDA recorded a Especially, its crore a year ago) and the Ministry of
CAGR growth of 21.9% and 20.1%,
EBITDA margin has Road Transport & Highways’ target
respectively through FY18- FY21,
its net profit recorded 15.3% CAGR
remains constant at to award projects worth Rs. 15 lakh

over the same period. Especially, its around 24% during crore projects in the next two years,
should help create a robust order
EBITDA margin has remains constant FY19-FY21.
pipeline for the companies in this
at around 24% during FY19-FY21.
space. Given the healthy growth
Company always strives to complete
their projects and also monetize the prospects and considering the strong
the project within time or before the
assets whenever there is requirement emerging opportunity for road
schedule time and all these help in
for fund. Hence, company has strong infrastructure, strong order book
maintaining higher margins in the
balance sheet to support its future with order book to sales ratio of 2.4x,
industry and company believes this
growth. timely execution of order, expand
EBITDA margin will sustain in future.
to new geographies and segments,
As per the management, the deep
focus on each part of construction Key risks strong financials and healthy balance
Any economic slowdown will have sheet will augur well for the compa-
and timely completion of project
adverse impact on its order inflow ny’s future performance. Hence, we
are the main reasons for sustaining
recommend to BUY the scrip with
higher EBITDA margins in the indus- Any delay in their execution could
target of Rs 2,029 from 12 months
try. Company has also maintained result in cost overrun in the project,
perspective. At the CMP the scrip
healthy balance sheet with low debt thus will be negative for healthy
is valued at P/E multiple of 17.1x on
equity ratio in the industry. GR Infra sustainable margins.
FY23E Bloomberg consensus EPS of
also generated more than 20% RoE
Rs 101.5.
on consistent basis. Company also Valuation
has the ability to generate enough GR infra project has established
cash, which they utilize in funding highly capital efficient business

Particulars (in Rs Cr) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E


Revenue 6,372.7 7,844.1 8,326.8 9,626.2
Growth (%) 20.6% 23.1% 6.2% 15.6%
EBITDA 1,589.8 1,853.2 1,419.5 1,644.7
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.9% 23.6% 17.0% 17.1%
Net profit 799.1 955.5 836.8 980.8
Net Profit Margin (%) 12.5% 12.2% 10.0% 10.2%
EPS (Rs) 82.4 98.6 86.6 101.5
Source: Bloomberg consensus

January 2022 INSIGHT 22


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January 2022 INSIGHT 68

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