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Expected Value Challenge Problems
Expected Value Challenge Problems
Expected Value Challenge Problems
ExpectedV
alueW
orksheet#
2
SHOWALLWORKFORCREDIT.AttheLEASTcomplete1-3. Extracredit:4&5.HintsonBACK.
Interprettheexpectedvalueusingthecontextoftheproblem&fillintheanswerstatements.
1. Astudentplaysthefollowinggame. Hetossedthreecoins. Ifhegetsexactlytwoheadshewins$5.
Ifhegetsexactlyoneheadhewins$3. Otherwise,heloses$2. Ontheaverage,howmuchshould
hewinorloseperplayofthegame?
Work: AnswerStatement:
Onaveragehewill
loseorwin
(CIRCLEONE)
$___________pergame.
2. AttheCharlotteMotorSpeedway,yourdriver,ZebulonSpeedDemonhasaprobablyof of
cominginfirstplace,aprobabilityof ofcominginsecond,andaprobabilityof ofcomingin
third. Firstplacewins$4500,secondplace$3500,andthirdplace$1500. Itcostsyou$1000to
entertherace. Whatistheexpectedvalueoftheracetoyou? Isitworthwhileforyoutoenterthe
race?Explain.
Work: AnswerStatement:
Itis
w
orthitornotworthit
(CIRCLEONE)
tobetonZebulonSpeed
Demon,becauseon
averageyouwill
loseorwin
(CIRCLEONE)
$_____________.
3. Youplantoinvestinacertainproject. Thereisa35%chancethatyouwilllose$30,000,a40%
chancethatyouwillbreakeven,anda25%chancethatyouwillmake$55,000. Whatisthe
expectedvalueinthisproblem? Shouldyouinvest?
Work: AnswerStatement:
Youshould
investornotinvest,
(CIRCLEONE)
becauseonaverageyou
will
loseorgain
(CIRCLEONE)
$________________.
ChallengeProblems!!!
4. Agameconsistsoftossingacointwice. Aplayerwhotossestwoofthesamefacewins$1. How
muchshouldorganizerschargetoenterthegameiftheywanttoaverage$1.00profitperperson?
Work: AnswerStatement:
Theorganizersshould
charge$___________toenter
thegameiftheywantto
average$1.00profitper
person.
5. AsocialclubhasadrawingeveryFridaynight. Theprobabilityofwinningthefirstprizeof$100is
0.002. Theprobabilityofwinningthesecondprizeof$80is0.01. Howmuchshouldtheclub
chargeforticketstoenterthedrawingsothattheclubbreakseven?
Work: AnswerStatement:
Thesocialclubshouldcharge
$___________perticketifthey
wanttobreakeven.