5 Exam Paper - IB HL - The Binomial Distribution

07/12/2018 5 Exam Paper - IB HL - The Binomial Distribution
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5 Exam Paper IB HL The Binomial Distribution
Syllabus: Edexcel ALevel Questions: 17 Time: 2 hours 37 minutes Total Marks: 130
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5 Exam Paper IB HL The Binomial Distribution
Questions: 17 Time: 2 hours 37 minutes Total Marks: 130
Q1 ID: 4572 [7 marks, 8 minutes]
(a) The random variable X has the distribution B(10 0 6). Using the
tables of cumulative binomial probabilities, or otherwise, find P (X 6).
(b)
The random variable Y has the distribution B(7 0 26). Find P (Y = 5).
(c) The random variable Z has the distribution B(n 0 26).
Find the smallest value of n such that P (Z 1) 0 96.
The random variable X has the distribution B(n 0 01). Given that the

mean and standard deviation of X are equal, find the value of n.
Bob plays 10 squash games. In each game he either wins or loses.

(a) State, in this context, two conditions needed for a binomial distribution to arise.
(b) Assuming these conditions are satisfied, define a variable in this context which

has a binomial distribution.
(c) The random variable X has the distribution B(32 p) where 0 p 1
Given that P (X = 13) = P (X = 12) find the value of p.
The random variable X has the distribution B(10 0 3).

Given
that Y = 4X + 4 find
(a) E(Y ), (b) Var(Y ), (c) P (Y = 24).
(a) The random variable X has the distribution B(12 0 65). Find
(a) P (X 10).
(b) P (X = 5).
(c)
P (2 X 6).
A random variable Y has the distribution B(13 38 ). Find
(d) P (Y = 2).
(e) Var(Y ).
Letters are sent by second class post unless they are

marked first class.
Over a long period of time it has been established that
25% of letters to be posted are marked first class.

In a random selection of 12 letters to be posted,
find the probability that the number marked first class is
(a) at least 7.
(b) fewer than 2.
A fair coin is tossed 8 times.

Find the probability that
an equal number of head and tails occur
(a)
(b) all the outcomes are the same,
(c) the first tail occurs on the third throw.
A call centre routes incoming telephone calls to agents who have specialist
knowledge to deal with the call. The probability of the caller being connected to
the wrong agent is 0.07.
(a)
Find the probability that 4 consecutive calls will be connected to the wrong agent.
(b) Find the probability that more than 2 call in 10 consecutive calls are connected to the wrong agent.
The call centre receives 1300 calls each day.
(c) Find the mean and variance of the number of wrongly connected calls.
On average, 35% of the packets of a certain kind of soup contain

a voucher. Kim buys one packet of soup each week for 30 weeks. The
number of vouchers she obtains is denoted by X. X is modelled by the
distribution B(30,0.35).
(a) Find P (X 17)

In order to claim a free gift, 18 vouchers are needed.
(b) Find the probability that Kim will be able to claim a free gift at
some time during the 30 weeks.
(c) Find the probability that Kim will be able to claim a free gift in
the 30th week but not before.
The probability of a bolt being faulty is 0.1. Find the probability

that in a random sample of 15 bolts there are
(a) exactly 9 faulty bolts,

(b) more than 5 faulty bolts.
These bolts are sold in bags of 15. John buys 10 bags.
(c) Find the probability that exactly 6 of these bags contain more than 5 faulty bolts.
A particular product is made from human blood given by donors.

The product is stored in bags. The production process is such that, on
average, 5% of bags are faulty. Each bag is carefully tested before use.
(a) 6 bags are selected at random.
(i) Find the probability that exactly 1 bag is faulty.

(ii) Find the probability that at least 2 bags are faulty.
(iii) Find the expected number of faulty bags in the sample.
(b) A random sample of n bags is selected. The production manager wishes there
to be a probability of 0.341 or less of finding any faulty bags in the sample.
Find the maximum possible value of n, showing your working clearly.
15% of people in the town of Repps support the Broads Party.

7 people from Repps are selected at random. Out of these
7 people, the number who support the Broads Party is denoted by B. Find
(a) P (B 2)
(b) P (B 2).
34% of people from Repps support the Fenn Party.
14 people from Repps are selected at random. Out of these
14 people, the number who support the Fenn Party is denoted by F . Find
(c) P (F = 5).
A travel agency in Tunisia offers customers a 3-day tour into the Sahara
desert by either coach or minibus.
The agency accepts bookings from 30 customers for seats on the coach.
The probability that a customer, who has booked a seat on the coach, will not
turn up to claim the seat is 0.12, and may be assumed to be independent of the
behaviour of other customers. Determine the probability that, of the customers
who have booked a seat on the coach:
(a) 2 or more will not turn up;

(b) 3 or more will not turn up;
The agency accepts bookings from 18 customers for seats on the minibus.
The probability that a customer, who has booked a seat on the minibus, will not
turn up to claim the seat is 0.023, and may be assumed to be independent of the
behaviour of other customers. Calculate the probability that, of the customers who
have booked a seat on the minibus:
(c) all will turn up;
(d) one or more will not turn up.
A salesman makes 25 house calls during a particular week. You may

assume that, independently for each house visited, the probability of a sale is 0.2.
Find the probability that, during this week, he makes
(a) exactly 8 sales,

(b) between 5 and 10 (both inclusive) sales.
(c) his first sale on the third house visited.
(d) At the end of the week, he is paid £100 plus a commission of £100 for every sale.
Find the mean and standard deviation of his total pay for this week.
A small business has 5 workers. On a given day the probability that any
particular worker is off sick is 0.04, independently of the other workers.
A day is selected at random., Find the probability that
no workers are off sick,
(a)
(b) more than 1 worker is off sick.
(c) There are 205 working days in a year. Find the expected number of
days in the year when more than 1 worker is off sick.
A fair die has one face numbered 1, one face numbered 3, two faces numbered 5
two faces numbered 6.
and
Find the probability of obtaining at least 3 odd numbers in 4 throws of the die.
A farmer notices that some of the chickens in his pens have

damaged limbs.
He estimated the probability of this happening to be 0.1.
Chickens live in pens of 10.
Find the probability that in a pen, the number of chickens with

damaged limbs will be
(a) exactly 1, (b) more than 3.
Another farmer took over 3 of these pens.
(c) Find the probability that only 2 of them contained
exactly 1 chicken with a damaged limb.
5 Exam Paper IB HL The Binomial Distribution Mark Scheme
A1 ID: 4572 [7 marks, 8 minutes]
(a) P (X 6) = 1 − P (X 5) B1
= 1 − 0 3669 = 0 6331 B1
7
(b) P (Y = 5) = (1 − 0 26)2 0 265 = 0 014 M 1A1
5
(c) P (Z 1) 0 96 P (Z = 0) 0 04
n
(1 − 0 26) 0 04
n
0 74 0 04 M1
n log 0 74 log 0 04
n 10 69
n = 11 M 1A1
mean = np = 0 01n B1
standard deviation = np(1 − p) = 0 0099n B1
0 01n = 0 0099n
0 0001n2 = 0 0099n M 1A1
0 0001n = 0 0099
n = 99 A1
(a) two conditions Results are independent B1

Probability of winning is constant B1
(b) variable : Number of wins B1
(c) P (X = 13) = P (X = 12) 32 C13 p13 (1 − p)19 =32 C12 p12 (1 − p)20 B1
32! 32!
p= (1 − p) M1
13! 19! 12! 20!
1 1
p= (1 − p) M1
13 20
20p = 13(1 − p)
33p = 13
13
p = M 1A1
33
(a) E (X) = np = 0 3 M 1A1

E(Y ) = 4E(X) + 4 = 16 M 1A1
(b) Var(X) = np(1 − p) = 2 1

VAR(Y ) = 16Var(X) = 33 6 M 1A1
(c) P (Y = 24) = P (X = 5) B1
= 0 103 M 1A1
(a) P (X 10) = P (X 9) = 0 8487 B1

12
(b) P (X = 5) = (1 − 0 65)7 0 655 = 0 0591 M 1A1
5
(c) P (2 X 6) = P (X 5) − P (X 1) M2

= 0 0846 − 0 0001 = 0 0845 A1
13 11 3 2
(d) P (Y = 2) = 1 − 38 8
= 0 0624 M 1A1
2
(e) Var(Y ) = 13 38 1 − 38 = 3 05 A1
B(n,p) : n = 12 p = 0 25
(a) P (X 7) = 1 − P (X 6) M1
= 1 − 0 9857 (Binomial tables)

= 0 0143 A1
(b) P (X 2) = P (X 1) M1
= 0 1584 (Binomial tables) A1
(a) model = B(8 0 5)

8
P (X = 4) = 0 54 0 54 = 0 2734375 M 1A1
4

(b) P (same) = P (X = 8) + P (X = 0) B1
= 2 0 58 = 0 0078125 M 1A1
(c) Probability = P (HHT ) M1
= 0 53 = 0 125 A1
(a) Probability = 0 074 = 0 00002 M 1A1

(b) X B(10 0 07) B1
P (X 2) = 1 − P (X 2) = 1 − 0 9717 (Binomial tables)
= 0 0283 M 1A1
(c) X B(1300 0 07) B1
mean = np = 91 B1
variance = np(1 − p) = 84 63 B1
(a) P (X 17) = 0 9955 (Binomial tables) B2

(b) P (B 18) = 1 − P (X 17)
= 1 − 0 9955 = 0 004 (Binomial tables) B1

(c) V B(n,p) : n = 29 p = 0 35
P (V = 17) = 29 C17 0 3517 0 6512 B1M 2
= 0 005239
P (18 in 30th) = 0 005239 0 35 = 0 00183 A1
(a) B(n,p), n = 15 p = 0 1
P (X = 9) = P (X 9) − P (X 8) = 1 − 1 (Binomial tables)
= 0 M 1A1
(b) P (X 5) = 1 − P (X 5)
= 1 − 0 9978 (Binomial tables) M1
= 0 0022 A1
(c) B(10 0 0022)
10!
P (X = 6) = 6!4! (0 0022)6 (1 − 0 0022)4 M 1A1
= 0 A1
(a) B(n,p), n = 6 p = 0 05 M1
(i) P (X = 1) = P (X 1) − P (X 0)
= 0 9672 − 0 7351 (Binomial tables)
= 0 2321 M 1A1
(ii) P (X 2) = 1 − P (X 1)
= 1 − 0 9672 (Binomial tables)

= 0 0328 M 1A1
(iii) E(X) = np = 0 3 M 1A1
(b) P (X 0) = 0 341 P (X = 0) = 0 659
0 95n = 0 659 M1
n = log 0 659 log 0 95 = 8 13 M1
n = 8 A1
(a) B(n,p) : n = 7 p = 0 15 B1
P (B 2) = 0 9262 (Binomial tables) A1
(b) P (B 2) = 1 − P (X 1) M 1A1
= 1 − 0 7166 = 0 283 (Binomial tables) A1
(c) B(n,p) : n = 14 p = 0 34
P (V = 5) = 14 C5 0 345 0 669 M2
= 0 216 A1
(a) B(n,p) : n = 30 p = 0 12 B1
P (B 2) = 1 − P (X 1)
= 1 − 0 11 = 0 89 (Binomial tables) A1
(b) P (B 3) = 1 − P (X 2)

= 1 − 0 2847 = 0 715 (Binomial tables) M 1A1
(c) B(n,p) : n = 18 p = 0 023
P (all) = (1 − 0 023)18 = 0 66 M 1A1
(d) P = 1 − P (all) = 0 34 M 1A1
https://www.mathsnetib.com/examprint.php?q=4371,4572,5369,5471,6094,539,910,2044,3137,3145,3146,4369,4376,4529,5377,5456,6193&t=5%20Exam%… 10/12
(a) S B (n p) : n = 25 p = 0 2 B1
P (S = 8) = P (S 8) − P (S 7)
= 0 9532 − 0 8909 = 0 0623 (Binomial tables) M 1A1
(b) P (5 S 10) = P (S 10) − P (S 4)
= 0 9944 − 0 4207 = 0 5737 (Binomial tables) B3
(c) P (third house) = (1 − 0 2)2 0 2 M 1A1

= 0 128 A1
(d) P = 100 + 100S B1
E(P ) = E(100 + 100S) = 100 + 100 25 0 2 = £600 M 1A1
Var(P ) = Var(100 + 100S) = 1002 25 0 2 (1 − 0 2)
= 40000
standard deviation = 40000 = 200 M 1A1
(a) W B (n p) : n = 5 p = 0 04

P (W = 0) = (1 − 0 04)5 = 0 8154 M 1A1
(b) P (W = 1) = 5 0 04 (1 − 0 04)4 = 0 1699 M1
P (W 1) = 1 − P (W = 0) − P (W = 1)
= 1 − 0 8154 − 0 1699 = 0 0148 M 1A1
(c) expected number = 205 0 0148
= 3 M 1A1
P (odd) = p = 23 B1
P(3 odds) = 4 C3 p3 (1 − p) = 0 395 M1

P(4 odds) = p4 = 0 198 M1
P(3 or 4 odds) = 0 593 A1
B(n,p), n = 10 p = 0 1 B1
(a) P (X = 1) = 0 3874 (Binomial tables) M 1A1
(b) P (X 3) = 1 − P (X 3)
= 1 − 0 9872 (Binomial tables) M1

= 0 0128 A1
(c) B(3,0.3874)
P (X = 2) = 3(0 3874)2 (1 − 0 3874) M 1A1
= 0 276 A1

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07/12/2018 5 Exam Paper - IB HL - The Binomial Distribution

Bob plays 10 squash games. In each game he either wins or loses.

The random variable X has the distribution B(10 0 3).

Letters are sent by second class post unless they are

A fair coin is tossed 8 times.

On average, 35% of the packets of a certain kind of soup contain

The probability of a bolt being faulty is 0.1. Find the probability

A particular product is made from human blood given by donors.

15% of people in the town of Repps support the Broads Party.

A salesman makes 25 house calls during a particular week. You may

A farmer notices that some of the chickens in his pens have

(a) two conditions Results are independent B1

(a) E (X) = np = 0 3 M 1A1

(a) P (X 10) = P (X 9) = 0 8487 B1

(a) model = B(8 0 5)

(a) Probability = 0 074 = 0 00002 M 1A1

(a) P (X 17) = 0 9955 (Binomial tables) B2

(a) W B (n p) : n = 5 p = 0 04

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