Final Exam - ISE 2019

THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics
Department of Industrial & System Engineering
FINAL EXAMINATION
Duration:
ENGINEERING PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
150 minutes
Student ID:
Head of ISE Dept. Lecturer:
Date:
January, 13,
Name:
2012
Dr. Nguyen Van Hop Assoc Prof. Ho Thanh Phong
INSTRUCTIONS:
1. There are two parts in this exam. Students do Part I in the question paper, Part II in the answer paper.
2. This is an open book examination. No laptors, PDA,
3. Use of calculator is allowed; discussion and material transfer are strictly prohibited.
Total pages: 11 (including this page)
PART I: Multiple Choice Questions (40%)

(Each question is assigned 2 points except the ones getting “1 point” remark)
1. In a statistical test of hypothesis, what happens to the rejection region when the level of significance is reduced?
a. The rejection region is reduced in size.
b. The rejection region is increased in size.
c. The rejection region is unaltered.
d. The answer depends on the form of the alternative hypothesis.
e. None of the above.
Using the following data for the next 3 questions:

A water filling machine that automatically controls the volume of water filled in a bottle. This machine will be
judged to be effective if the standard deviation σ of the volume of water is less than 10 ml. A sample of 10 water
bottles yields a sample standard deviation of s = 11 ml. Assume that the process has normal distribution.
2. The testing hypotheses are: (1 point)
a. H0: s2 ≤ 100 H1: s2 > 100
b. H0: s2 ≥ 100 H1: s2 < 100
c. H0: s2 = 100 H1: s2 ≠ 100
d. H0: s2 ≥ 121 H1: s2 < 121
e. None of the above, specify…………………………
3. With α = 0.1, the critical point would be:

a. 4.168
b. 14.684
c. 16.919
Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 1

d. 21.523
4. The test statistic value χt2 is:
a. 13.32
b. 18.56
c. 10.89
d. 15.27
5. Which of the following statements is correct?

a. An extremely small p-value indicates that the actual data differs markedly from that expected if the null
hypothesis were true.
b. The p-value measures the probability that the hypothesis is true.
c. The p-value measures the probability of making a Type II error.
d. The larger the p-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis
e. A large p-value indicates that the data is consistent with the alternative hypothesis.

An economist thinks that at least 60 percent of recently arrived immigrants who have been working in the health
profession in the United States for more than 1 year feel that they are underemployed with respect to their training.
Suppose a random sample of size 450 indicated that 294 individuals (65.3 percent) felt they were underemployed. Is
this strong enough evidence to prove that the economist is correct?
6. The testing hypotheses are: (1 point)
a. H0: p ≥ 0.6 H1: p < 0.6
b. H0: p = 0.6 H1: p ≠ 0.6
c. H0: p ≥ 0.653 H1: p < 0.653
d. H0: p < 0.6 H1: p ≥ 0.6
7. The test statistic value is:

a. 1.324
b. -2.309
c. 2.309
d. -1.324
8. The p-value is:

a. 0.0105
b. 0.0209

c. 0.4635
d. 1.4322
Using the following data for next 3 questions:

In an ANOVA testing, the number of treatments is 5, each treatment has 10 observations; complete the following
ANOVA table:
Degrees of
Source Sum of Squares Mean Square F ratio
Freedom
Treatmen
t
Error 13156.4
Total 17581.5
9. The value of the MSTR will be:
a. 4229.1
b. 17581.5
c. 292.4
d. 1106.3
10. The value of F ratio will be:

a. 4.123
b. 7.296
c. 2.619
d. 3.784
11. Using α = 0.05, the null hypothesis of the above ANOVA testing is not rejected: (1 point)
a. True
b. False

Traffic authorities claim that traffic lights are red for a time that is normal with mean 30 seconds and standard
deviation 2.4 seconds. To test this claim, a sample of 20 traffic lights was checked. If the average time of the 20
red lights observed was 31.2 seconds, can we conclude, at the 5 percent level of significance, that the authorities
are incorrect?
12. The Hypotheses should be: (1 point)
a. H0: µ ≥ 30 H1: µ < 30
b. H0: µ = 30 H1: µ ≠ 30
c. H0: µ ≤ 30 H1: µ > 30
d. H0: µ ≠ 30 H1: µ = 30

e. None of the above, specify…………………………….

a. 1.824
b. -2.042
c. 2.042
d. 2.236
14. Do not reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

a. True
b. False
15. To estimate μ, the average nicotine content of a newly marketed cigarette, 44 of these cigarettes are randomly
chosen, and their nicotine contents are determined. It is known from past experience that the standard deviation
of the nicotine content of a cigarette is equal to 0.7 milligrams. If the average nicotine finding is 1.74
milligrams, what is a 95% confidence interval estimator of μ??
a. (1.468 ; 2.012)
b. (1.533 ; 1.947)
c. (1.566 ; 1.914)
d. (1.588 ; 1.892)

To learn about the feeding habits of bats, a collection of 22 bats were tagged and tracked by radio. Of these 22 bats,
12 were female and 10 were male. The distances flown (in meters) between feedings were noted for each of the 22
bats, and the following summary statistics were obtained:
Female bats: nf = 12;

X f =180 ; Sf = 92
Male bats: nm = 10;
X m=136 ; Sm = 86
Assume that two populations are normally distributed with the same variance. Test the hypothesis that the mean
distance flown between feedings is the same for the populations of male and female bats.
16. The pooled variance is:
a. 7983.4
b. 4260.5
c. 7456.4
d. 6906.7

a. -1.15
b. -3.662
c. 3.662
d. 1.15
18. Reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

a. True
b. False
19. A random sample of 125 individuals working in a large city indicated that 42 are dissatisfied with their working
conditions. Construct a 90% confidence interval the percentage of all workers in that city who are dissatisfied
with their working conditions.
a. (0.2272 ; 0.4448)
b. (0.2532 ; 0.4188)
c. (0.2665 ; 0.4055)
d. (0.2819 ; 0.3901)
20. Since α = probability of Type I error, then 1 − α is

a. Probability of rejecting H0 when H0 is true.
b. Probability of not rejecting H0 when H0 is true.
c. Probability of not rejecting H0 when H1 is true.
d. Probability of rejecting H0 when H1 is true
e. 1 − β.

A random sample of 100 student absences yielded the following data on the days of the week on which the
absences occurred:
Day Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
Frequenc
27 19 13 15 26
y
Conduct the Chi-square test to check the same absences of students in all days.
21. What is the test statistics?
a. 8.5
b. 9.5
c. 8.0
d. 9.0

22. What is the critical value?

a. 8.523
b. 11.143
c. 9.488
d. 11.071
23. From past experience it is known that the weights of salmon grown at a commercial hatchery are normal with a
standard deviation that is 0.3 pounds. If we want to be 90% certain that our estimate of the mean weight of a
salmon is correct to within ±0.1 pounds, how large a sample is needed?
a. 20
b. 25
c. 30
d. 35
PART II (60%)
Question 1: (10 pts)
An article in Psychology and Marketing describes four variables that have been found to impact the effectiveness of
commercials for high-performance automobiles: sincerity, excitement, ruggedness, and sophistication. Suppose that
the random sample of size 13 leads to the outcome below:
ANOVA Table
Source SS df MS F
Regn.
Error
Total 1999.2
Coefficient Table
Intercep Sincerit Excitemen Sophisticatio
Ruggedness
t y t n
b -80.018 0.184 1.309 2.938 -0.330
s(b) 24.104 0.231 0.314 1.129 0.276
t
2
R =0.9533 . Given α=0 . 05
a. Fill in the tables above. Is there a regression relation here between commercial effectiveness and any of the
independent variables? Explain.
b. Write out the regression equation. Which independent variables should be removed from the equation?

A random sample of 220 female and 210 male coffee drinkers were questioned. The result was that 71 of the
women and 58 of the men indicated a preference for decaffeinated coffee. Do these data establish, at α = 0.05, that

the proportion of female coffee drinkers who prefer decaffeinated coffee differs from the corresponding proportion
for men? What is the p-value?

A company supplies plastic sheets for industrial use. A new type of plastic has been produced, and the company
would like to prove to an independent assessor that the average stress resistance of this new product is greater than
30.0, where stress resistance is measured in pounds per square inch necessary to crack the sheet. A random sample
of size 12 yielded the following values of stress resistance:
32.1 29.8 32.2 29.4 28.8 31.6 28.8 29.4 33.5 27.6 33.9 31.4
a. Conduct the test for this company with α = 5%.
b. Construct the 90% confident interval for the above data.

A random sample of 160 patients at a health maintenance organization yielded the following information about their
smoking status and blood cholesterol counts:
Blood cholesterol count
Smoking Lo Moderat Hig
status w e h
Heavy 6 14 24
Light 12 23 15
Nonsmoker 23 32 11
Conduct the test to check the independence between blood cholesterol count and smoking status. Using α = 5%.

An industrial safety program was recently instituted in the computer chip industry. The average weekly loss
(averaged over 1 month) in man-hours due to accidents in 10 similar plants both before and after the program are as
follows:
Plant 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Befor
Man- 30.5 18.5 24.5 32 16 15 23.5 25.5 28 18
e
Hours
15.
Loss After 23 21 22 28.5 14.5 24.5 21 23.5 16.5
5
Conduct the pairwise comparison to determine, at the 5% level of significance, whether the safety program has been
proven to be effective.

A mechanical factory wants to prove the efficiency of new method in their production system by comparing the
variance of the product dimensions between the new method and the old one. The method which has the smaller
variance is the better. They collect two random samples corresponding with two methods as following:
Old method: nold = 31, sold = 12 ; New method: nnew = 41, snew = 9
Assume that two populations follow Normal distribution. Given α = 5%.
Conduct the test for this factory. What is your conclusion?
Question 3:

A random sample of 100 student absences yielded the following data on the days of the week on which the
absences occurred:
Day Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
Frequenc
27 19 13 15 26
y
Conduct the Chi-square test to check the same absences of students in all days.
24. What is the test statistics?
a. 8.5
b. 9.5
c. 8.0
d. 9.0
25. What is the critical value?

a. 8.523
b. 11.143
c. 9.488
d. 11.071
26. From past experience it is known that the weights of salmon grown at a commercial hatchery are normal with a
standard deviation that is 0.3 pounds. If we want to be 90% certain that our estimate of the mean weight of a
salmon is correct to within ±0.1 pounds, how large a sample is needed?
a. 20
b. 25
c. 30
d. 35
To learn about the feeding habits of bats, a collection of 22 bats were tagged and tracked by radio. Of these 22 bats,
12 were female and 10 were male. The distances flown (in meters) between feedings were noted for each of the 22
bats, and the following summary statistics were obtained:
Female bats: nf = 12;

X f =180 ; Sf = 92
Male bats: nm = 10;
X m=136 ; Sm = 86

Assume that two populations are normally distributed with the same variance. Test the hypothesis that the mean
distance flown between feedings is the same for the populations of male and female bats.
27. The pooled variance is:
a. 7983.4
b. 4260.5
c. 7456.4
d. 6906.7

a. -1.15
b. -3.662
c. 3.662
d. 1.15
29. Reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

c. True
d. False

A random sample of 300 females and 250 males were surveyed whether they have positive response to a
new design of product. The result was that 165 women and 120 men have positive reaction to the new
design. Do these data establish, at α = 0.05, that the proportion of female like the new model differs from
the proportion of men?

Five samples of each brand were tested for sodium content. The following data (in sodium percentage per
gram) resulted. Test the hypothesis that the sodium quantities are equal at all three branches
Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3
32 38 26
34 38 28
31 37 27
35 37 29
33 39 27
Use
a) 5 percent level of significance
b) 1 percent level of significance.

A company supplies metal sheets for industrial use. It is expected that the average stress of these sheets
must be greater than 50 and their standard deviation must be smaller than 5. A random sample of size 12
yielded the following values of stress resistance:
48 50 46 52 47 46 51 46 45 43 49 51
a. Conduct the mean test for this company with α = 5%
b. Construct the 90% confident interval for the above data.
c. Construct the variance test for this company with α = 5%

An experiment surveyed five factors that have been suspected to impact the effectiveness of commercials for high-
performance automobiles: length, excitement, ruggedness, and sophistication. Suppose that the random sample of
size 13 leads to the outcome below:
ANOVA Table
Source SS df MS FF
Regn.
Error
Total 1999.2
Coefficient Table
Excitemen
Intercept Sincerity Ruggedness Sophistication
t
b -80.018 0.184 1.309 2.938 -0.330
s(b) 24.104 0.231 0.314 1.129 0.276
t
R2 =0.9533 . Given α=0 . 05

a) Fill in the tables above.
b) Write down the regression equation.
c) Is there a regression relation here between commercial effectiveness and any of the independent
variables? Explain.
d) Write out the regression equation. Which independent variables should be removed from the equation?
Question 4: (25pts)
A researcher used multiple regression analysis to study how 5 factors weight, length, blood pressure, heart
rate, and the glucose intensity in blood, influenced the length of life of a specific animal. A sample of 21
specimens is collected and analyzed. The estimate regression equation for the relationship among these
factors based on the sample is given as follows:
Life = 3 + 0.5×Weight + 0.8×Length – 0.2×Pressure – 0.4×HeartRate+0.8×Glucose
ANOVA TABLE
Sources of SS Dof MS F ratio
Variance
Regression
Errors 5
Total
R2 = 0.90.
COEFFICIENTS TABLE
Predictor Standard Error t

Constant
Weight 0.1
Length 0.32
Pressure 0.15
Heart rate 0.13
Glucose 0.22
 Fill in the ANOVA table and make the conclusion whether life is significantly related to the
independent variables. Use α= 0.05 level of significance.
 Given an animal has the following parameters( weight=1, length=1, pressure=0.8, heart rate=0.5,
glucose= 1). Find the expected life of this animal.
 Carry out the tests of the significance of individual regression parameters
GOOD LUCKS!

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Final Exam - ISE 2019

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THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics

Department of Industrial & System Engineering

Dr. Nguyen Van Hop Assoc Prof. Ho Thanh Phong

PART I: Multiple Choice Questions (40%)

Using the following data for the next 3 questions:

3. With α = 0.1, the critical point would be:

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 1

5. Which of the following statements is correct?

Using the following data for the next 3 questions:

7. The test statistic value is:

8. The p-value is:

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 2

Using the following data for next 3 questions:

10. The value of F ratio will be:

Using the following data for the next 3 questions:

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 3

e. None of the above, specify…………………………….

13. The test statistic value is:

14. Do not reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

Using the following data for the next 3 questions:

Female bats: nf = 12;

17. The test statistic value is:

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 4

18. Reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

20. Since α = probability of Type I error, then 1 − α is

Using the following data for the next 2 questions:

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 5

22. What is the critical value?

Question 2: (10 pts)

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 6

Question 3: (10 pts)

Question 4: (10 pts)

Question 5: (10 pts)

Question 6: (10 pts)

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 7

25. What is the critical value?

Female bats: nf = 12;

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 8

28. The test statistic value is:

29. Reject the null hypothesis with α = 5% is: (1 point)

Question 1: (10 pts)

Question 2: (15 pts)

Question 2: (15 pts)

Question 3: (15 pts)

R2 =0.9533 . Given α=0 . 05

Predictor Standard Error t

Engineering Probability and Statistics – Final Exam 11

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