Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IFT Summary Level 3
IFT Summary Level 3
IFT Summary Level 3
Rebalancing strategies: Two major strategies: calendar Approaches to liability-relative asset allocation
rebalancing and percent-range rebalancing. Surplus Hedging/return- Integrated asset–
▪ Calendar rebalancing rebalances the portfolio to target weights optimization seeking liability portfolios
periodically. portfolios
▪ Percent-range rebalancing sets a range with thresholds or Simplicity Simplicity Increased complexity
trigger points around target weights. A more disciplined tighter Linear Linear or non- Linear or non-linear
asset mix control than calendar rebalancing. correlation linear correlation correlation
All levels of Conservative All levels of risk
Strategic Considerations: risk level of risk
▪ Higher transaction costs for an asset class ⟶ wider rebalancing Any funded Positive funded Any funded ratio
ranges. ratio ratio for basic
▪ More risk-averse investors will have tighter rebalancing ranges approach
▪ Less correlated assets ⟶ tighter rebalancing ranges Single period Single period Multiple periods
▪ Beliefs in momentum favor wider rebalancing ranges, whereas
mean reversion encourages tighter ranges
▪ Illiquid investments complicate rebalancing. Percent-range rebalancing - Factors affecting the corridor
▪ Derivatives create the possibility of synthetic rebalancing. width of an asset class
Transaction The higher the High transaction costs set a
▪ Taxes discourage rebalancing and encourage asymmetric and costs transaction costs, the high hurdle for rebalancing
wider rebalancing ranges. wider the optimal benefits to overcome.
corridor.
Principles of Asset Allocation Risk The higher the risk Higher risk tolerance
tolerance tolerance, the wider the means less sensitivity to
Utility adjusted return: U = E(R) − 0.005λ σ2 optimal corridor. divergences from the target
allocation.
Criticisms of mean–variance optimization Correlation The higher the When asset classes move in
▪ The outputs (asset allocations) are highly sensitive to small with the rest correlation, the wider sync, further divergence
changes in the inputs. of the the optimal corridor. from target weights is less
▪ The asset allocations tend to be highly concentrated in a subset portfolio likely.
Volatility of The higher the Containing transaction
of the available asset classes.
an illiquid volatility, the wider the costs is more important
▪ Many investors are concerned about more than the mean and asset class optimal corridor. than expected utility losses.
variance of returns, the focus of MVO. Volatility of The higher the Higher volatility makes
▪ Although the asset allocations may appear diversified across the rest of volatility, the narrower large divergences from the
assets, the sources of risk may not be diversified. the portfolio the optimal corridor. strategic asset allocation
more likely.
Portfolio positioning strategy given forward rates and interest Risk considerations in investment-grade and high-yield bonds
rate view ▪ High-yield bonds have relatively high credit loss rates → credit
▪ Upward sloping yield curve which will remain stable→ Roll risk.
down the yield curve ▪ Investment-grade bonds have relatively low credit loss rates →
▪ Parallel shift up→ Lower duration credit migration risk and spread risk.
▪ Parallel shift down→ Higher duration
▪ High interest rate volatility→ Add convexity→Buy options, more Credit spreads
barbelled structure. If yield change does not materialize the ▪ Benchmark spread: Yield on credit security – yield on
higher convexity will cause a yield drag. benchmark bond.
▪ Low interest rate volatility→ Sell convexity→Sell options, More ▪ G-spread: Yield on credit security – yield on government bond
bulleted structure ▪ I-spread: Yield on credit security – swap rate
▪ Flatter yield curve→ Barbell ▪ Z-spread: Constant spread that must be added to each point of
▪ Steeper yield curve→ Bullet the implied spot yield curve to make the present value of a
bond’s cash flows equal its current market price; Works for
Use of derivatives to implement yield curve strategies bonds without embedded options.
Altering duration ▪ OAS: Constant spread that, when added to all the one-period
▪ Number of futures contracts = Required additional PVBP / PVBP forward rates on the interest rate tree, makes the arbitrage-free
of the futures contract value of the bond equal to its market price.
▪ Notional value of swaps = Additional PVBP / PVBP of swap Credit spread is equal to excess return if there is no change in the
Altering convexity security’s yield or in interest rates, and if the security does not
To add convexity of portfolio: Sell bonds and buy options default during the holding period
Par value of option needed = Par value of bonds being sold x XR ≈ (s × t) – (∆s × SD) assuming no default losses
(bond’s PVBP / option’s PVBP) EXR ≈ (s × t) – (∆s × SD) – (t × p × L)
To reduce convexity of portfolio: Sell options, buy callable bonds or
MBS. Spread curve: fitted curve of credit spread for each bond of an
issuer versus spread duration or maturity of each of those bonds.
Evaluating sensitivity to changes in slope using KRDs ▪ At a given spread duration, pick the bond with higher spread if
Key rate durations (KRD, partial durations) measure duration at credit worthiness is the same.
key points on the yield curve ▪ Evaluate bonds that are significantly above or below the fitted
▪ Used to identify bullets and barbells spread curves.
▪ Sum of KRDs ≈ effective duration
Predicted change = Portfolio par amount × Partial PVBP × (–Curve Tail risk: Tail risk is the risk that there are more actual events in
shift in bps) / 100 the tail of a probability distribution than probability models would
predict.
Inter-market curve strategies try to exploit the yield curve Comparing the bottom-up and top-down approaches
differences as well as the expected changes in the yield curve. Bottom-up approach Top-down approach
While engaging in inter-market strategies we should consider Advantage: Advantage:
several aspects such as: Easier to gain informational Sizable portion of credit
▪ Carry advantage in individual returns can be attributed
▪ Returns based on riding the curve companies or bonds to macro factors
▪ Returns based on anticipated spread changes Challenge: Challenge:
Difficult to earn substantial Difficult to gain
Constructing duration neutral portfolios to benefit from returns from bottom-up security informational advantage
change in curvature selection without exposing the
Long barbell and a short bullet portfolio to macro factors
▪ Benefit from flattening yield curve.
▪ Benefit from increase in curvature. Structured financial instruments
▪ More valuable when interest rate volatility is high. Advantages of using structured financial instruments in credit
portfolios
Short barbell and a long bullet ▪ Multiple tranches with different risk and return profiles
▪ Benefit from steepening yield curve. (potential for high returns).
▪ Benefit from decrease in curvature. ▪ Potential for relative value opportunities.
2. How to handle capital calls. Technical and Soft Skills for Wealth Managers
3. How to plan for the unexpected. Technical skills - capital markets proficiency, portfolio construction
ability, financial planning knowledge, quantitative skills,
technology skills, and language fluency.
If tax is paid by the recipient: Strategies for managing concentrated positions in privately
held businesses:
All three spending rules: SA = w × [SA × (1 + Inflation Rate)] + Evaluating Trade Execution
t+ 1 t
▪ Trade evaluation measures the execution quality of the trade
(1 – w) × Spending Rate × Average AUM and the performance of the trader, broker, and/or algorithm.
Banks and Insurers—Balance Sheet Management and ▪ Various techniques measure trade cost execution using different
Investment Considerations benchmarks (pre-trade, intraday, and post-trade).
The interest rate sensitivity of shareholder’s capital
𝐴 𝐴 ∆𝑖 ▪ Cost($) = Side × (𝑃̅ − 𝑃 ∗ ) × Shares
𝐷𝐸∗ = ( ) 𝐷𝐴∗ − ( − 1)𝐷𝐿∗ ( ) Cost($/share) = Side × (𝑃̅ − 𝑃 ∗ )
𝐸 𝐸 ∆𝑦
where 𝑃̅ = Average execution price; 𝑃 ∗ = Reference price →
Arrival price, or VWAP, or TWAP, or MOC;
Volatility of Shareholder’s Equity
𝐴 𝐴 𝐴 𝐴 Shares = Shares executed
2 2 2
𝜎∆𝐸 = ( )2 𝜎∆𝐴 + ( − 1)2 𝜎∆𝐿 − 2 ( ) ( − 1) 𝜌𝜎∆𝐴 𝜎∆𝐿
𝐸 𝐸 𝐴 𝐸 𝐿 𝐸 𝐸 𝐴 𝐿 𝑃̅−𝑃∗
Cost(bps) = Side × × 10,000 bps
𝑃∗
Trading, Performance Evaluation, and Manager Side = {+1 Buy order, −1 Sell order}
Selection
▪ Market-adjusted cost (bps) = Arrival cost (bps) - x Index cost
Trade Strategy and Execution (bps)
Commonly used benchmarks for trade execution include: • Index cost (bps) = Side x [(Index VWAP – Index arrival
▪ Pre-trade benchmarks - decision price, previous close, opening price)/Index arrival price] x 10^4
price, arrival price
▪ Intraday benchmarks - volume-weighted average price, time- ▪ Added value (bps) = Arrival cost (bps) – Est. pre-trade cost (bps)
weighted average price
Post-trade benchmarks – closing price Portfolio Performance Evaluation
▪ Price target benchmarks – fair value
The Components of Performance Evaluation: Performance
Trade Strategies measurement; Performance attribution; Performance appraisal.
▪ Short-term alpha trade, long-term alpha trade, risk rebalance
trade, client redemption trade, new mandate trade. Performance Attribution - includes return attribution and risk
attribution
Trade Implementation Choices
Quote-driven, over-the-counter, off-exchange markets Approaches to Return Attribution
▪ Large blocks of securities require a high touch approach Return attribution: a set of techniques used to identify the sources
▪ Principal trades or broker risk trades of excess return of a portfolio against its benchmark.
▪ Dealer or market maker becomes the counterparty Equity Return Attribution – The Brinson Model
▪ Request for quote is a variation of quote-driven markets Portfolio return R = ∑𝑖=𝑛
𝑖=1 𝑤𝑖 𝑅𝑖 Benchmark return B = ∑𝑖=1 𝑊𝑖 𝐵𝑖
𝑖=𝑛
▪ Properties of a Valid Benchmark - unambiguous, investable, Evaluation of Investment’s Terms (Management Fees)
measurable, appropriate, reflective of current investment ▪ Assets under management fees and performance fees
opinions, specified in advance, accountable. ▪ Performance-based fees can be structured in three ways
1. Fully exposed to upside and downside – symmetric structure
Evaluating Benchmark Quality: Analysis Based on a ⟶ Fee = Base + Sharing of performance.
Decomposition of Portfolio Holdings and Returns 2. Not fully exposed to downside but fully exposed to upside –
P = M + S + A; where A = P – B and S = B – M, S = style return, M = bonus structure⟶ Fee = Higher of either (1) Base or (2) Base
market index return plus sharing of positive performance]
If benchmark is broad market index, S = 0. 3. Not fully exposed to either the downside or the upside – bonus
structure ⟶ fee = Higher of (1) Base or (2) Base plus sharing of
Appraisal Measures performance, to a limit.
𝑅̅𝐴 − 𝑟̅𝑓 𝑅̅𝐴 − 𝑟̅𝑓
▪ The Sharpe Ratio 𝑆𝐴 = 𝜎
̂𝐴
; The Treynor Ratio 𝑇𝐴 = 𝛽𝐴
; ▪ Bonus-style fees are like a call option for the manager with base
𝐸(𝑟𝑃) – 𝐸(𝑟𝐵) fee ⟶ the strike price.
The Information Ratio IR = ;
𝜎(𝑟𝑃 −𝑟𝐵 )
𝛼 𝐸(𝑟𝑃 )− 𝑟𝑇
The Appraisal ratio AR = ; The Sortino Ratio SRD = ; Case Study in Portfolio Management: Institutional
𝜎𝜀 𝜎𝐷
∑𝑁 𝑚𝑖𝑛(𝑟𝑡 −𝑟𝑇)2 1/2
𝜎𝐷 = [ 𝑡=1 ] Institutional investors use several tools to manage a portfolio’s
𝑁
▪ Capture ratios: UC(m,B,t) = upside capture for manager m liquidity risk, such as:
relative to benchmark B for time t; DC(m,B,t) = downside ▪ Liquidity profiling and time-to-cash tables
capture for manager m relative to benchmark B for timet; ▪ Rebalancing and commitment strategies
CR(mB,t) = UC(m,B,t)/DC(m,B,t) ▪ Stress testing analyses
▪ Drawdown: cumulative peak-to-trough loss during a continuous ▪ Derivatives
period
Rebalancing, Commitments
Rebalancing mechanisms:
▪ Systematic rebalancing policies
• Calendar rebalancing
• Percent-range rebalancing
▪ Automatic adjustment mechanisms
Cash flow and commitment-pacing strategies/models enable
investors to
▪ Manage portfolio liquidity
▪ Reach desired asset class exposure
Stress Testing – seek to understand how a portfolio’s liquidity
profile and an institution’s liquidity needs may be impacted during
periods of stress.
Derivatives - can be used to manage cash flow needs and change
risk exposure, such as:
▪ futures overlay program can be used to rebalance exposures to
public asset classes and
▪ using leverage to modify the portfolio’s liquidity profile.
QUINCO Case:
This case covers important aspects of institutional portfolio
management, such as:
▪ Capturing illiquidity premium
▪ Liquidity management
▪ Asset allocation
▪ Use of derivatives versus the cash market for tactical asset
allocation and portfolio rebalancing. The case also covers
potential ethical violations in manager selection.
The case is based on the different life stages – from early career
phase to retirement of a married couple, the Schmitts.
In this case study:
▪ We identify and analyze the Schmitts’ risk exposures and
observe how the types of risk exposure change across their
different life stages. The analysis is conducted holistically
starting from the economic balance sheet, including human
capital.
▪ We recommend and justify methods to manage the Schmitt
family’s risk exposures at different stages of their professional
life. We use insurance, self-insurance, and adjustments to their
investment portfolio.
▪ We recommend and justify modifications to the Schmitts’ life
and disability insurance at different stages of the income
earners’ lives.
▪ Finally, we recommend and justify a plan to manage risk to the
Schmitts’ retirement lifestyle goals.