Professional Documents
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Unclassified: January 2000
Unclassified: January 2000
Version
Australian Greenhouse
Office
January 2000
Integrating Consultancy -
Efficiency Standards for
Power Generation
Report
Unclassified
Version
Australian Greenhouse
Office
January 2000
Integrating Consultancy -
Efficiency Standards for
Power Generation
Report
Definitions iv
Units vii
1. Executive Summary 1
1.1 Background and Terms of Reference 1
1.2 The Benchmarking Framework 2
1.3 The Survey Process 2
1.4 The Benchmarking Findings 3
1.5 Comparison with International Best Practice 5
1.6 Economic Analysis 10
1.7 Approach to Standards 12
1.8 Conclusions and Recommendations 14
2. Introduction 18
2.1 Background 18
2.2 Scope of Work 20
2.3 Teaming Arrangement 21
3. Approach to Benchmarking 22
3.1 Commonality in Approach 22
3.2 Questionnaire Development 24
3.3 Survey Process 24
5. International Benchmarking 46
5.1 North American Experience 46
5.1.1 Databases 46
5.1.2 Data extraction and analysis 47
5.1.3 Black coal units 49
5.1.4 Brown Coal Units 51
5.2 US Gas Fired Power Generation (PB Power/Radian) 53
5.2.1 Data Source, Analysis and Collation 53
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5.2.2 Data Analysis 56
5.3 Japanese Black Coal Fired Power Plants (EPDC) 56
5.4 Other International Coal Experience 57
5.4.1 Conventional Advanced Cycles 58
5.4.2 Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle 60
5.4.3 Pressurised Fluidised Bed Combustor 61
5.5 Worlds Best Practice Station Efficiency 61
5.5.1 Black Coal 61
5.5.2 Brown Coal 61
5.5.3 Natural Gas 62
5.6 International Best Practice for Brown Coal (HRL) 65
5.6.1 Background 65
5.6.2 PF – Boiler/Turbine Technology 66
5.7 Integrated Gasification and Combined Cycle (IGCC) 67
5.8 Pressurised Fluidised Bed Combustion (PFBC) 68
7. Approach to Standards 81
7.1 Operational vs Design Efficiency 81
7.2 Algorithms 82
7.2.1 Effect of Coal Quality on Station Efficiency 83
7.2.2 Black Coal 83
7.2.3 Brown Coal 84
7.2.4 Natural Gas 84
7.2.5 Site Temperatures and Humidity 85
7.2.6 Correction Algorithms 86
7.3 Gas Turbines 91
7.3.1 Open Cycle Gas Turbines 91
7.3.2 Combined Cycle Gas Turbines 92
7.4 Cogeneration 93
Available Hours (AH) Period Hours (PH) less Planned Outage Hours
(POH), Forced Outage Hours (FOH), and
Maintenance Outage Hours (MOH).
Availability Factor (AF) Available Hours (AH)/Period Hours (PH) x 100 (%)
Equivalent Availability Factor {(Available Hours (AH) less Equiv. Unplanned De-
(EAF) rated Hours (EUDH) less Equiv. Planned De-rated
Hours (EPDH) less Equiv. Seasonal De-rated Hours)
/ Period Hours (PH)} x 100 (%)
Best Practice Thermal Efficiency Best commercially proven thermal efficiency for each
class of fossil fuel power generation, adjusted to a
common basis for comparison, and corrected for
significant technical influencing factors.
Fuel Chargeable to Power (FCP Total fuel input less fuel otherwise required to
generate equivalent useful heat output without
cogeneration.
Gross Available Capacity Greatest capacity at which a unit can operate with a
(GAC) reduction imposed by a derating.
Gross Maximum Capacity Maximum capacity a unit can sustain over a specified
(GMC) period of time when not restricted by seasonal or other
deratings.
Higher Heating Value (HHV) Higher heating value (HHV) of the fuel including the
latent heat of vaporisation of moisture in the
combustion process.
Lower Heating Value (HHV) Lower heating value (LHV) of the fuel excluding the
latent heat of vaporisation of moisture in the
combustion process.
Net Dependable Capacity (NDC) GDC less the unit capacity utilised for that unit’s
station service or auxiliaries.
Net Maximum Capacity (NMC) GMC less the unit capacity utilised for that unit’s
station service or auxiliaries.
Period Hours (PH) Number of hours a unit was in the active state.
Planned Outage Hours (POH) Sum of all hours experienced during Planned Outages
(PO) and Planned Outage Extensions (SE of PO).
The units applied throughout this report generally conform to the Système
International (SI) with some limited reference to Imperial Units in relation to US
best practice.
Units Description
a annum (year) = 8760 h
bar bar (pressure) = 100 kPa
Btu 1 British thermal unit = 1.0555 kJ
GJ gigajoule = 109 joules = 278 kWh
GWh gigawatt hours = 106 kWh = 3.6 TJ
h hour = 60 min
J joule (energy)
kcal 1 kilocalorie = 4.187 kJ
kg kilogram (mass)
kJ kilojoule = 103 joules
km kilometre
kPa kilopascals (pressure)
kW kilowatts = 103 W
kWe kilowatts = 103 W (electrical)
kWh kilowatt hours = 3.6 MJ = 3,600 kJ
kWt kilowatts = 103 W (thermal)
L litre (volume)
m metre
min minute = 60 s
MJ megajoule = 106 joules
MW megawatts = 106 W = 103 kW
MWe megawatts = 106 W (electrical)
MWh megawatt hours = 103 kWh = 3.6 GJ
o
C degrees Celsius
PJ petajoule = 1015 joules
s second (time)
t tonne = 103 kg
TJ terajoule = 1012 joules
W watt (electric power: 1 Watt = 1 joule per second)
¨ benchmark all Australian generation plants over 20MW capacity and identify
Australian best practice, highlighting current plant achieving Australian best
practice;
¨ develop a framework for the four independent fossil fuel specific consultancies to
assess the best practice;
¨ review and integrate the work of the four fuel specific consultancy studies and
recommend appropriate emission standards for all relevant fossil-fuel classes
within Australia for both existing and new plant;
The more detailed Terms of Reference for each of the four consultancies and the
Integrating Consultancy can be found at Appendix A of this report.
Sinclair Knight Merz, as the Integrating Consultants, developed a framework for the
four independent fossil fuel specific consultancies within which current Australian
best practice in fossil-fuelled power generation could be assessed in a common
format.
A single survey form for all generators was initially contemplated, but it was found
to be too difficult to develop one questionnaire suitable for all four fuel groups, and
particularly when taking into account the diversity of technologies within each fuel
group. Instead a set of key performance parameters was developed to allow a
common approach. The individual questionnaires were developed around this
framework and Sinclair Knight Merz ensured, through a process of review and
comment, that the fuel specific questionnaires contained the essential information
and performance data for later integration and economic modelling of the impact of
the measure.
¨ fuel quality
¨ thermodynamic cycle and steam conditions
¨ operating regime (peak, intermediate or baseload)
¨ ambient conditions
¨ cooling and condensing systems.
The fuel specific consultants then prepared and issued questionnaires to the
generators identified in an earlier Sinclair Knight Merz report to the Australian
Greenhouse Office (AGO) in November 1998. These were supplemented with new
generators and/or modified by enquiries made to the industry by the consultants
during the process of the survey.
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The cut offs for inclusion in the measure were an aggregate fossil fuel generation
capacity on one site of greater than or equal to 20MW and greater than or equal to
50 GWh of annual generation. Our review of the data returns confirmed that this
removed from the measure generators that served emergency and standby duty only.
The questionnaires were variously issued in the period February to April 1999 and
were largely returned by June 1999, after an extended period of follow up, although
some still remain outstanding at the time of writing this report. The data collected
were verified and cross checked for consistency and an assessment made of the
current (1998 calendar year) performance at each generating site. In some cases
data were unavailable for the calendar year and it was necessary to work to another
time period (eg Financial Year).
The quality of the data returned was highly variable with some requiring extensive
research and follow-up with the respondents to clarify and gain confidence in the
final assessments of operating efficiency and emission rates. Other data returns
were of a very high standard of completeness and accuracy.
Power generation from black coal makes the greatest contribution at 92 million
tonnes of equivalent CO2 emissions (57% of total) due to the predominance of black
coal generation (56% of total).
Brown coal produces 60 million tonnes (37% of total) but at a higher carbon
intensity and lower electrical generation. Natural gas and other fuels are of much
lower significance; 4% and 2% respectively.
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The Australian current best performance for each fuel class was determined from an
analysis of the survey returns and is summarised in Table 1.1 Australian Current
Best Performance for Fuel Class below:
Notes: Thermal efficiency is expressed as net (sent out) on an higher heating value (HHV) basis. All data have
been obtained through surveys by the Fuel Specific Consultants.
The relative intensiveness of the various fuel classes is illustrated in Figure 1.2:
CO2 Emission Rate Versus Efficiency based on typical fuel qualities. The actual
Australian best practice (ABP) performance of generators and world best practice
(WBP) has been overlaid on each fuel class curve. Whilst the world’s best practice
for commercial plant has been corrected to Australian conditions for significant
technical differences, no corrections are made for economic and regulatory
differences which may have influenced progress towards international best practice.
¨ Australian current best practice in each fuel class is behind worlds current best
practice (supercritical), after adjusting for site specific technical differences,
however it should be noted that the most efficient Australian generators were
placed in service in the 1980’s and their age and vintage need to be taken into
account in any comparison with current world’s best practice generation;
¨ the higher moisture content of Australian brown coal places it higher up the CO2
curve (lower efficiency) than European and North American brown coal;
¨ The natural gas CO2 emission rate curve falls well below coal due to the lower
carbon to hydrogen ratio.
Brown coal
Black coal
2000
CO2 Emissions, kg/MWh
Natural gas
1500
ABP black coal
1000
ABP brown coal
Each consultant was required under their Terms of Reference to seek out measures
of International Best Practice of commercial plant and to make any adjustments
necessary to bring them on to a technically equivalent basis for comparison with
Australian generators. Under the Integrating Consultancy Sinclair Knight Merz
commissioned Sargent & Lundy of the US to provide data on the performance of
North American utility and non utility generators. In addition to this data on the
performance of plants in Europe and Japan were obtained from international sources
and literature.
The findings of these investigations are summarised in Table 1.2: Worlds Best
Practice Thermal Efficiency below. The thermal efficiencies have been adjusted
for known differences in technical parameters affecting efficiency to allow more
meaningful comparison with Australian generators. The North American generators
Table 1.2: Worlds Best Practice Thermal Efficiency (Fossil Fuels) – Sent Out
Black Coal WBP Efficiency Cycle Notes
HHV Basis
440MW 41.7% Supercritical # 27 MPag/580/600oC
Lubeck, GDR
405MW 37.7% Subcritical # 17 MPag/538oC/538oC
Brunner Is, USA
Brown Coal
850MW 31.4% * Supercritical # Schwarze Pumpe, GDR
25 MPag/544/562oC
500MW 29% Subcritical # International Literature
Gas Combined
Cycle
200MW 46.7% CCGT # International Literature
500MW 52.0% CCGT # International Literature
IGCC
Black Coal 49.4% Joule III Study
Brown Coal 44.7% Joule III Study
PFBC
Black Coal 38.2% International Literature
Brown Coal 34.2% International Literature
Note: Adjusted for typical Australian condenser pressure (8kPa) and Australian coals.
OCGT – Open cycle gas turbine; IGCC – Integrated gasification combined cycle;
FPFBC – Pressurised fluidised bed combustion.
* Adjusted to a Victorian brown coal basis for comparison.
# Plants in commercial operation.
Germany and Denmark have led the development of advanced cycles in coal fired
power generation over the last 15 years. Advances in thermal efficiency over time
are illustrated in Figure 1.3: Development of Thermal Efficiency of Black Coal
Power Plants for black coal power plants. Over the period 1970 to 1993 net plant
efficiencies rose from 33% to 42% (HHV basis) with efficiencies projected to reach
45% by 2005. The integration of gas turbine topping cycles with conventional coal
fired stations is illustrated in the higher efficiency line from the mid 1990’s to mid
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2006. These cycles combine gas turbine exhaust with furnace wind (called hot
windbox) to give even higher cycle efficiencies. These advances in Europe have
been primarily driven by high fuel prices and a tightening in environmental
regulation.
Less emphasis has been given to efficiency improvement in conventional coal fired
generation in the United States where there has been more of a shift to natural gas
for new power generation. Although there are over 100 supercritical coal fired units
in the US most of these were installed in the 1960’s and 1970’s with only a very
small number coming on line in the 1990’s (only 3 stations were identified).
The US has however been at the forefront of integrated gasification combined cycle
(IGCC) technology development with 250MW class plants installed and operating at
Tampa, Florida and Wabash River, Indiana. These are essentially demonstration
plants and are not able to be operated on a fully commercial basis. There are also
similar plants operating in Europe but again not on a fully commercial basis.
The Japanese have developed very high pressure supercritical plants with high steam
temperatures but the available performance data does not currently put these at the
worlds best practice efficiency levels of the German power plants.
2
40 27MPa / 540°C / 600°C
1
25MPa / 540°C / 560°C
based on HHV
35
30
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
The impact of moisture content on coal fired power plant emission rates is illustrated
in Figure 1.4: Effect of Coal Moisture on CO2 Emissions below. The thermal
efficiency (HHV basis) and CO2 emission rates are adversely impacted by high
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moisture due to the latent heat of evaporation needed to drive off the moisture during
the heat process (up to 20% on wettest coals). This is of particular significance to
the high moisture Victorian brown coals. However, technologies are emerging
which are aimed at capturing this latent heat in integrated fluid bed driers.
It should also be noted from Figure 1.4 that differences in the carbon/hydrogen
ratios of the various coals represented leave minor differences in emission rates after
adjustment to the common moisture basis (~60%).
The US, Europe and Japan have led the development of gas turbine technology.
Since the early 1950’s power turbine blade material temperature capability
advanced significantly (about 10oC per annum). The importance of this being that a
50oC increase in turbine firing temperature gives rise to an approximate increase of
10% in output and 3% in cycle efficiency.
¨ high enthalpy rise compressor stages (achieve required compression with fewer
rows of blades).
¨ improved cooling to turbine blades to permit higher turbine inlet gas temperature.
¨ inlet air cooling via evaporative effect of chilling to increase output and
efficiency.
¨ compressor on/off line blade washing systems to reduce performance
degradation.
¨ steam and water injection into the head end of combustors for NOx abatement,
increased mass flow and output.
¨ 2 and 3 pressure heat recovery steam generators to give optimised heat recovery
and overall combined cycle plant performance.
Open cycle gas turbine efficiencies have risen to as high as 37.6% (HHV basis) for
the latest aero-derivation designs and combined cycle efficiencies have reached 52%
(HHV basis).
CO2
(kg/MWh sent out)
emissions
1200
1150
1100
1050
1000
950
At this stage it has only been possible to undertake a broad economic and financial
analysis. Detailed evaluation of improvements at each plant has not been
undertaken; rather an analysis that provides broad trends and indicative estimates of:
¨ the relationship between net costs and GHG emission benefits as efficiency
improvements are implemented by plant in order of cost effectiveness (i.e. least
cost per tonne of emission saved).
¨ the net cost of the efficiency improvements which would need to be covered by
the community either in the form of tradeable permit costs and/or increases in
electricity prices (i.e a threshold analysis to indicate the payments required to
cover the net cost across the 4 fuel groups).
The measured impacts include the capital costs, additional operational costs where
identified, the fuel saving benefits and a simplified payback period. Quantified
impacts are converted to net present values across an evaluation period of 28 years,
using a range of discount rates, with 10% being used as the “central” rate. The
analysis should be interpreted with care, taking into account the various caveats
which are shown in the report.
¨ Black Coal: the fuel savings over the period more than pay for the capital cost,
at the 10% discount rate “no regrets”.
¨ Brown Coal: a cost of $5 per tonne of emissions saved.
¨ Gas: a high cost for the improvements at the gas fired power stations of around
$200 per tonne of emissions saved. These existing technology improvements have
a high capital cost (totalling $177 million) and a relatively small improvement in
GHG emissions (totalling 72,000 tonnes per annum). As contrast capital
expenditure on Black Coal plant improvements is slightly less than that for Gas
plants, but the emission savings for Black Coal are almost 25 times the
magnitude).
¨ Other Fuels: a net cost result of around $47 per tonne of emissions saved.
The average simple payback periods for the improvements (not including
discounting effect) are estimated for the fuel groups at:
¨ Black Coal 5 years
¨ Brown Coal 19 years
¨ Gas 36 years
¨ Other Fuels 15 years
It should be noted that the payback periods vary significantly between plants in each
group.
Net cost and emissions relationship: Implementing the efficiency measures in order
of cost effectiveness (i.e. cost per tonne of emissions saved), the table shows the
breakdown of cumulative costs and emission savings.
Note: (a) $0 or positive band refers to improvements that cost $0 or less to implement (i.e no regrets
position).
The net costs bands have been chosen on the basis of natural breaks in the result
data. Given the estimated nature of the data we do not feel it is appropriate to group
the data into narrower bands. The robustness of the data is such that policy
implications should not be based on narrower cost bands than those shown.
Key results:
¨ For the 39 plants for which data has been provided and analysed, these results
show that, of the maximum identified GHG emission savings (3.9 million tonnes
p.a.), about 2.1 million tonnes per annum (54%) can be achieved on a “no regrets
basis”. Black Coal plants dominate this area (results are using a 10% discount
rate).
¨ A level of net cost of $10 per tonne of CO2 would imply that 3.8 million tonnes
of GHG emission reduction could be achieved in this sector (98% of total
emission savings identified). This saving can be achieved for 59% of the total
cost of all the identified improvements. All the Black and Brown Coal Plants
analysed fall into this band, plus one plant in the Other Fuels Group.
¨ 41 % of the capital cost is accounted for by the 19 least cost efficient plant
improvements, and these only account for 2% of the emission reductions
identified (these plants are either in the Gas Group or the Other Fuels Group).
For new plants we recommend standards on a new plant design basis with economic
drivers associated with the cost of fuel saving also to maximise operational
efficiency. Standards for new plant will need to be set at the time of approval taking
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into account technology advances and best practical and commercial technology in
the Australian context. The formulation of commercial best practice will require an
extensive analysis and optimisation process taking into account the station specific
technologies and efficiency improvement opportunities and their cost benefit
analysis, including consideration of greenhouse emission costs if appropriate.
¨ Emission rates, in terms of kilograms of CO2 emitted per MWh of electricity sent
out.
The two standards are readily interchangeable through the application of fuel
specific emission factors (kg CO2/GJ).
Cogeneration
We recommend the inclusion of cogeneration in the measure and that the emission
standards be based on fuel chargeable to power bringing to full account the net
benefit of useful heat to delivered to an external process. The fuel chargeable to
power (FCP) is the actual fuel input less the fuel that would have otherwise been
used to generate the same amount of useful heat in the absence of cogeneration. The
emission rate is then calculated for the FCP generation in units of kg CO2/MWh.
Direct comparisons are possible with conventional generators within any fuel class.
Improvements for cogeneration most usefully apply to new plant where the heat to
power ratio can be optimised ahead of detailed design. There is much less that can
be achieved with existing plants with given heat to power ratios.
Adjustments for output factor can be made from manufacturers performance data
supplemented by station performance tests. Adjustments for other site specific
variables can be made using the algorithms proposed below to allow comparison
with other stations.
Algorithms
In Section 7 of this report we propose a series of algorithms for the correction of
efficiency for site specific conditions. These include consideration of:
¨ fuel quality
¨ site temperature and humidity
¨ cooling water temperature.
The algorithms cover black coal, brown coal and natural gas fired generation. The
correction factors proposed for fuel quality are readily applied across the range of
fuels encountered in Australia and allow adjustment away from best practice to a
site specific standard.
The correction factors for cooling water temperature are presented graphically and
include a curve fit algorithm. We would however recommend the use of
manufacturer supplied curves where these are available.
The correction factors and curves provided for gas turbines are typical and we
recommend either the application of manufacturers curves for specific machines or
gas turbine performance evaluation software available from suppliers and
thermodynamic software houses.
Existing Generators
The plant performance determined by the fuel specific consultants, as given in this
report, provides the thermal efficiency and emission rates for each generator over the
baseline time period (1998). These performance indicators are based on a particular
set of conditions applying over this time period; for example; the output factor,
quality of fuel supplied, non recoverable degradation and prevailing ambient
conditions. Whilst adjustments can be made for all of these significant performance
influencing factors, we consider that it will be necessary to not only establish a
baseline performance for this measure, but to agree with each generator a set of
New Generators
This study identifies Worlds best practice for newer generation and makes
adjustment to general Australian conditions for significant technical factors that
influence performance comparisons in the context of this study. It was beyond the
Terms of Reference to identify, analyse and adjust Worlds best practice performance
for commercial and other non-technical factors that may have led to the higher levels
of performance identified in some countries. The objectives of this study were to
identify what technology is currently available to significantly lift Australian new
plant performance providing the commercial and other non technical factors are in
place to support new technology uptake.
We recommend that a set of new plant performance standards be set for Australia
taking into account all known technical differences that would require adjustment of
Worlds best practice to Australian site specific conditions. The algorithms proposed
in Section 7.2 of this report can then be applied for this purpose by an experienced
power engineer. It would then be up to the new plant developer to present any
The standards will need to be reviewed regularly and we would recommend a short
review of international literature each year with a longer investigation, including
some further international benchmarking, every three years.
Refurbished Generators
Cogeneration
We support the inclusion of cogeneration into new plant standards on the basis of
fuel chargeable to power as described in this report. Its inclusion will ensure the
capture of all forms of generation that are capable of providing significant amounts
of export power to the grid. We propose that the standards for new cogeneration be
the same as for conventional generation within each fuel class. New cogeneration
plant developers would be required to demonstrate an FCP efficiency higher than the
best conventional plant standard within the fuel class or provide commercial and
other non-technical justification for anything less.
The key elements of monitoring and reporting that will be essential to this measure
are:
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¨ ensuring that existing and new plant measuring and metering accuracies are
sufficient to provide the required tolerances.
2.1 Background
Although Australia only contributes just over 1 % of total global greenhouse gas
emissions the per capita emissions are amongst the highest in the world. Without
targeted and specific actions Australia’s total emissions were expected to grow by
28% from 1990 to 2010 with emissions from the energy sector expected to grow by
40%.
The strategy includes the package of measures announced by the Prime Minister in
November 1997. This integrating consultancy has been formulated in response to
the Prime Minister’s November 1997 Statement; Safeguarding the Future:
Australia’s Response to Climate Change, which described a broad range of
initiatives aimed at addressing the issue of global warming. This statement
contained a package of measures to be adopted to demonstrate willingness to
effectively contribute to the global effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. One
of the measures; Efficiency Standards for Power Generation, was directed at
working towards best practice efficiency in the generation of electricity using fossil
fuels so as to deliver reductions in the greenhouse intensity of energy supply. The
measure is to apply to:
http://www.environment.gov.au.net/consulten.html.
¨ propose minimum sets of classes to produce the best outcome in terms of the
given criteria;
¨ minimum design standards for new generating plant including cogeneration plant;
¨ operating efficiency based standards for existing generators, with individual CO2
emission targets to capture the plant and site specific nature of emission levels
and improvement potential;
The Scope of Work for the four fuel specific consultancies was essentially identical
except for the fuel considered with the objectives of each consultancy being to:
¨ benchmark all Australian generation plants over 20MW capacity and identify
Australian best practice, highlighting current plant achieving Australian best
practice;
In addition to this the Other Fuels consultant was required to identify all other fuels
relevant to the measure and to recommend appropriate emission standards.
¨ review and integrate the work of the four fuel specific consultancy studies and
recommend appropriate emission standards for all relevant fossil-fuel classes
within Australia for both existing and new plant;
The more detailed Terms of Reference for each of the consultancies can be found at
Appendix A of this report.
It was important in developing the approach to the survey process to ensure that the
fuel specific consultants all worked to a common approach. It had been initially
contemplated that this would necessitate a common survey questionnaire for all
fuels. However, in developing the common approach, it soon became clear that it
would not be easy to accommodate, within one questionnaire, the diversity of data
across all fuels and technologies. To do so would have also made the document
large, unwieldy and more difficult for survey respondents to complete in a timely
manner.
Instead the approach taken was to set a minimum number of plant descriptive and
performance related parameters which were essential to analyse and benchmark
thermal efficiency and greenhouse gas emission rates and to allow financial and
economic analysis of the measure. The key parameters are set out in Table 3.1 –
Key Survey Parameters below.
Note: MCR – Maximum Continuous Rating; HHV – Higher Heat Value (also called gross calorific value of
fuel).
Net heat rate is a measure of the thermal efficiency of the plant expressed in terms of
the fuel energy input (kJ) per unit of net plant (sent out) electrical energy output
(kWh). This is the most common form of plant performance reporting
internationally, although the units are sometimes different, and lends itself towards
quick conversion to thermal efficiency as follows
Total fuel energy input is calculated from metered fuel consumption (eg tonnes)
and higher heating value (HHV) as received (eg MJ/kg). These values are
generally reported on a monthly basis for station performance monitoring and the
unit computer identifies deviations some of the key variables that impact
efficiency (eg losses in dry flue gas).
Net electrical energy output is calculated from the gross generation (MWh) as
metered at the start and finish of each monthly period less the auxiliary energy
(MWh) which is separately metered over the in service period. The boundary for
auxiliaries was defined as all station auxiliary users necessary for the operation
of the plant including coal and ash handling, water supply, waste water treatment
etc (where these are supplied by the station auxiliary electrical system). Energy
used in any mine associated with the station is not debited from the gross
generation.
We have elected to use the higher heating value (HHV) of fuel throughout this
report, unless otherwise specified, for consistency and for meaningful comparison.
The higher heating value includes the latent heat of vaporisation of moisture in the
fuel and the latent heat of moisture formed in the combustion reaction. The lower
heating value (LHV) excludes this latent heat. The use of HHV is also preferred as
it is in keeping with the Australian methodology for greenhouse gas emissions (ref.
NGGIC/AGO Workbooks).
Thermal Efficiency
The thermal efficiency of the plant in percentage terms can be calculated by bringing
the energy units to a common kJ/kJ basis as follows:
Net electrical energy output and total fuel energy input are as defined above.
Plant useful heat output is heat energy of all the process steam and water streams
(excluding gas turbine injection and inlet conditioning) plus all bled steam or
water; minus the heat energy of the process condensate return, process water
return, and the heat energy of any steam or water added from external sources.
The questionnaires were developed by each fuel specific consultant in keeping with
the common approach and incorporating the key survey parameters identified in
Table 3.1 above. The questionnaires were all prepared as an Excel 97 spreadsheet
to facilitate quick delivery and return by Email and to allow data to be cut and
pasted into other spreadsheets for thermal efficiency and CO2 emission analysis.
The spreadsheets were accompanied by a letter of introduction about the measure,
the purpose of the consultancies and technical background to the questionnaire.
Copies of the questionnaires are provided at Appendix I of this report.
The consultants made contact with each of the generators to determine the most
appropriate contact and survey respondent within each organisation. Where
generators were unaware of the measure, or concerned about its implication for their
industry, the Australian Greenhouse Office sent a letter clarifying the government’s
intentions relating to the measure and provided reassurances about the very strict
confidentiality provisions of each of the consultancy agreements. In most cases
these reassurances were sufficient to allay the generators’concerns but in some
cases generators declined to participate for reasons such as:
¨ a belief that the measure should not apply to them as they either didn’t believe
they made the 20MW aggregate site cut-offs and/or the minimum generation
level of 50GWh;
In some cases the consultants accepted these representations and noted the absence
of data returns for these organisations in the fuel specific consultants’reports.
The quality of survey responses was highly variable; some completed most of the
questionnaire to a high level of detail and accuracy and others were incomplete. In
the latter case, the consultants either followed up the data with the relevant
organisation or estimated thermal efficiency and emission rates. In some cases, sites
were visited to clarify the data. Respondents provided the least data in relation to
potential opportunities for improvement and associated plant capital and operating
costs. In many cases the consultants had to identify and develop best estimates of
potential improvements based on technical experience and public domain
information on each plant.
It was intended that data be collected for several years of operation to allow trend
analysis but these data were rarely provided. The consultants analysed the data,
compared it across classes of plant for consistency and with International Best
Practice. The consolidated data were then provided to Sinclair Knight Merz for the
purposes of integration.
The data provided by the fuel specific consultants were received progressively and
some were still outstanding at the time of finalising this report. Most generators had
not completed all of the survey questions and the consultants had to interpret the
data as best they could and develop estimates of key performance parameters
necessary for the determination of thermal efficiency and carbon dioxide emission
rates. The consultants also spent a considerable amount of time and effort in
developing opportunities for potential efficiency gains and emission reductions.
All data were consolidated into an Excel 97 spreadsheet; a reduced version of this
appears in Appendix B of this report. The spreadsheet has been designed to allow
efficient sorting of plant data by the adoption of a common set of acronyms and
nomenclature within each information group.
Each of the consultants adopted a slightly different approach to the analysis of the
raw data as summarised in Section 4.2 below.
4.2 Methodology
An estimate of the annual average CO2 emission rate was determined by calculating
the total amount of CO2 emission from the annual tonnage of coal delivered to the
power station and the carbon content of the coal. The annual average specific
emission rate was then calculated by dividing the annual CO2 emission by the annual
electrical energy sent out of the power station. A small correction was also made to
allow for any unburnt fuel.
An estimate of instantaneous CO2 emission rate was determined from test data
conducted under specific conditions. In the case of brown coal fired power plants,
conditions at or close to maximum continuous rating (MCR) were most desirable.
The coal quality data was used together with the coal flow rate to determine the
instantaneous rate of CO2 emission under the test condition. The specific emission
rate was then determined by dividing the CO2 emission rate by the rate of electrical
energy sent out by the power station. A small correction was made for any unburnt
fuel.
This method of analysis was used to calculate the specific emission rates of CO2
from readily available plant data, and applied to each unit that was surveyed
because of differences in design, fuel and operating conditions.
The coal analysis and exhaust gas oxygen content is used to perform a combustion
calculation, which provided the air-to-coal ratio, the flue gas-to-coal ratio and the
flue gas composition. These data were then used with the flue gas temperature to
calculate the boiler efficiency. A correction was needed for minor losses such as
heat lost from the outer surfaces of the boiler, but this correction was small.
The steam side plant data (flow rates, pressure and temperature) were used to
calculate the heat absorbed by the water and from this, the boiler efficiency, heat
input, and coal flow rate. The flue gas flow rate, flue gas composition, and CO2
flow rates were then calculated. Data on electrical output was then used to
determine the specific emission rate.
The data was analysed using each of these methodologies and the results were
provided to Sinclair Knight Merz for consolidation.
¨ Detailed study of the plant and its performance for all Australian black coal fired
plants (≥ 20 MW capacity) through the following five step process:
− Staff Interviews
− Staff Questionnaires
− Plant Walkdowns
− Records Review
− Data Verification
The plants surveyed were then classified using the following criteria:
¨ Size
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¨ Steam conditions (pressure and temperature)
¨ Coal quality including gross calorific value, volatile matter content and ash
characteristics
¨ Type of auxiliary plant (eg., airheaters, cooling towers and coal pulverising
mills)
The black coal fired generators were benchmarked against the following criteria:
¨ Boiler/combustion efficiency
¨ Turbo-generator efficiency
¨ Auxiliary plant energy consumption (eg., flue gas cleaning plant, coal pulverising
mills, fans, boiler feedwater pumps, cooling water pumps, compressors, etc)
¨ Configuration of critical plant items such as condensers, cooling towers and
airheaters; and power plant Unit cycle chemistry
¨ Load profile
¨ Geographical factors
¨ Commercial factors including electricity dispatch and market factors
¨ Power station licensing and legal factors
In addition, during the plant surveys, particular consideration was given to:
¨ Plant condition
¨ Plant performance being achieved
¨ Environmental performance
¨ Operation and maintenance practices
The data collection process was supplemented with site visits to, and/or face-to-face
meetings with representatives of the following power plants:
A review of established data and public data bases of Australia power generation
and emission standards was carried out leading to the compilation of a list of
Australian natural gas power generation units.
Questionnaire
Survey
PB Power established contact with all Australian natural gas fired power generators
with 20MW capacity or more and had them complete the survey questionnaire. An
extensive period of follow up and data verification led to the compilation of a
database of plant performance and potential improvements.
Radian’s work was based largely on a review of the very large US Department of
Energy data base along with input from recent projects undertaken by Radian.
Analysis
PB Power then sought to identify, analyse and describe variables which impact on
the achievement of world’s best practice conversion efficiencies, taking into account
the possible significance of technological factors, geographical implications, other
commercial factors, and legal factors such as local or State government
requirements.
Sinclair Knight Merz then established contact with all the “other fuelled” fired
power plants listed with 20MW or more installed capacity requesting them to
complete the survey questionnaire.
Data from the completed questionnaire were downloaded into a spreadsheet data
base. Many of the plants surveyed were found to be peak load units or emergency
sets which did not achieve the 50 GWh per year criteria and were deleted. As a
result only 9 plants were evaluated within the study.
The net generation (MWh) by fuel class is similarly illustrated in Figure 4.2: Net
Generation (MWh) by Fuel Class. Of interest here is that brown coal, whilst
accounting for 21% of total installed capacity accounts for 25% of total generation.
This reflects the current load duty and dispatch level achieved by the brown coal
fired power stations in the overall generation mix. Brown coal fired power
generation currently enjoys a lower short-run marginal cost and tends to secure base
load generation. With the introduction of higher efficiency combined cycle and
cogeneration plants it is expected that the natural gas will start to assume a greater
proportion of base loaded generation just as it has in the United Kingdom and the
USA.
The distribution of CO2 emissions across the four fuel classes is illustrated in Figure
4.3 CO2 Emissions (tonnes) by Fuel Class. It is interesting to note that brown coal
assumes a greater proportion of the total emissions (37%) due to the higher moisture
content and lower thermal efficiency. Natural gas is proportionally lower at 4% due
to its lower carbon to hydrogen ratio and CO2 intensity. Other fuels remain
relatively insignificant at 2% of total emissions.
Clearly the greater emphasis for overall emission improvement must be placed on
the existing black and brown coal fired generation if a significant reduction in CO2
emissions is to be achieved from this measure. It is however likely that natural gas
will play a greater role in the future and standards for new gas fired power plants
will have a more significant longer term impact.
40%
35%
30%
Thermal efficiency
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1
11
13
15
17
19
Station
1600
1400
1200
Emission rates
1000
kg/MWH
800
600
400
200
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Station
The distribution of thermal efficiency and CO2 intensities of the existing brown coal
generators is illustrated in Figure 4.6: Brown Coal Thermal Efficiencies and
Figure 4.7: Brown Coal CO2 Intensities. This distribution indicates that only 4
generators have an efficiency greater than 25% (HHV basis) and again suggests
some potential for improvement across the remaining group although account needs
to be taken of the age, vintage and cycle conditions. A range of potential
improvement opportunities are identified in Section 4.4 below. It is however
acknowledged that the greatest potential improvements are likely to be found in the
older plants and economic analysis will determine whether these measures are
attractive or, if CO2 targets are not being met, whether the lower efficiency stations
will in time need to be retired or placed on lower merit order of duty.
35%
30%
25%
Thermal efficiency
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Station
3000
2500
2000
Emission rates
kg/MWh
1500
1000
5 0 0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
S ta tio n
Note: Plant 8 is not representative of straight power generation as steam is also sent to process.
90.0%
Cogeneration plants
80.0%
70.0%
60.0%
Steam thermal
50.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
1
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
34
Station
1200
Combined cycle gas turbine
Steam thermal
1000
600
400
200
0
1
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
34
Station
The distribution of thermal efficiency and CO2 emission intensities of the existing
gas fired generators are given in Figures 4.8 and 4.9 for open cycle, steam, and
cogeneration plants. The open cycle gas turbine efficiencies range from 20 to 30%
with a mean of approximately 25%. These efficiencies are considered reasonable
taking into consideration the age, ambient condition, class and duty cycle of the
various plants. Newer aero-derivative and large heavy industrial turbines are
achieving higher efficiencies (up to 40%) but in an operating environment are less
due to the ambient conditions and duty cycles. It is expected that open cycle
efficiencies will continue to improve as newer plant comes on line and older plant is
overhauled and upgraded.
The Rankine cycle steam power plant efficiencies average around 31% which
compares reasonably well with similar class of plant internationally taking into
account age and cycle conditions. The major opportunities for improvement lie in
repowering these plants to include gas turbine exhaust heat recovery. There are only
two operating gas combined cycle power plants in Australia, excluding those which
incorporate cogeneration. The efficiencies of these plants are consistent with those
of comparable international plants of similar age and class.
For older plant overseas there has been a trend to undertake a major upgrade of the
turbine involving new high efficiency turbine blades together new rotors. The
resultant reduction in CO2 intensity has been claimed to be from between 3 and 5%
depending on the extent of the upgrade and the original design of the plant.
Such major upgrades can only be justified where the fuel cost is moderate to high
and the remaining life of the station is substantial. An examination of the economics
of this option for some of the black coal stations may show that it is economically
justified. The cost of such upgrades have been included in the economic evaluation
for the brown coal fired stations but information on such upgrades was not included
for the black coal fired stations.
The measure of ‘coal drying with heat recovery’is a capital intensive process and
the technology has not been used on a major utility boiler. Hence it should be viewed
as being not commercially nor technically proven at this stage.
Because of the different plant configuration and the variable condition of the each
station not every item can be implemented at each station. In addition a number of
the initiatives have already been implemented at some stations either before or as
part of the Greenhouse Challenge Program.
For a number of the initiatives the gain in efficiency stated would appear to be
optimistic. The improvement of 1.97% stated for the installation of variable speed
drives needs to be considered in relation to the overall auxiliary power usage,
approximately 8%, and the extent of variable speed drives already installed. The
motors without variable speed drives amount to less than 4% of generated output
and thus a saving of approximately 50% would seem to be unattainable. Variable
speed drives usually show an efficiency improvement only where the station
operates for a proportion of time at lower loads. Because of the economics, brown
coal fired stations do not normally operate for long periods at low loads.
One other efficiency improvement measure where the nominated gain would appear
to be optimistic is for the improvement of the cooling tower performance by the
inclusion of a film pack. A potential improvement of 1.97% has been stated. Based
on a theoretical thermodynamic calculation in order to achieve this improvement a
reduction in condenser pressure of 3.5 kPa would be required which in turn would
necessitate an 8oC reduction in cooling water temperature. A film pack is capable of
reducing the water temperature by only some 3oC. The foregoing analysis is based
on theoretical consideration. In practice because of the restriction of the exhaust
flow area the actual gain in efficiency due to an improvement in condenser pressure
will be below the theoretical predictions.
In order to advance the practical options for efficiency improvement a soundly based
engineering study with costings would need to be undertaken for each station.
Chillers, unlike evaporative coolers, are not limited by the ambient wet bulb
temperature. The achievable temperature is limited only by the capacity of the
chilling device to produce coolant and the ability of the coils to transfer heat.
PB Power has proposed that inlet air cooling could be added to many of the existing
gas turbine plants. PB has estimated an average efficiency gain of 0.5% and that an
aggregate 2000 tonnes of CO2 per annum could be saved through this measure.
These proposals will need to be subject to detailed investigation and cost analysis to
determine whether a significant improvement could be cost effectively achieved at
each site. An added benefit of inlet air chilling is the increased power output
achieved which would also need to be taken into account in the financial analysis.
It would also be possible to convert open cycle plants to combined cycle providing
this suited the duty cycle and was economically justifiable. PB Power has estimated
an efficiency gain of 25 to 50% with an aggregate 168,000 tonnes of CO2 saved
through this measure. Conversion to combined cycle will require substantial
changes to staffing, operations and maintenance and those plants will need to run at
much higher capacity factors to be commercially viable.
Feedwater repowering utilises the gas turbine exhaust to heat feedwater in the
existing steam plant.
Heat recovery repowering utilises gas turbines and heat recovery steam generators
(HRSG’s) to replace the power boiler in the existing steam plant. The steam supply
to the existing steam turbine is generated in the HRSG by energy recovered from the
gas turbine exhaust. The thermal efficiency gains are typically 50%. The
economics of repowering are primarily dependent upon the fit of the gas turbine -
HRSG system with the existing steam turbine generator, the incremental capital and
fuel cost and plant operating profile.
PB Power has estimated an aggregate CO2 reduction of 540,000 tonnes per annum
from repowering.
Cogeneration
Potential improvements for cogeneration lie in many of the areas identified above
and include:
The potential gains from these measures were not able to be assessed by PB Power.
The bagasse fired plant is a multi fuel plant which when fired on bagasse firing
alone, achieves the 20MW/50GWh threshold. If supplementary firing with fossil
fuel is used, it will extend its capability.
Only the first four met the criteria of installed capacity of 20MW or more and
generation of over 50GWh per year.
The performance of existing CSM generators was compared to world’s best practice
by obtaining test data from a range of engine manufacturers. The comparison was
made on the basis of low BTU fuels, and not natural gas. Consideration has also
been given to the next generation of gas engines and predicted efficiencies. The
results are present in Table 4.2 below.
Diesel Generators
Diesel stations of the size surveyed usually service a remote site without indigenous
fuels. These stations are normally not used for utility power generation and are
generally owned and operated by mining companies. Little data are available on
world’s best practice.
The best indication of world’s best practice can be obtained by comparing the
efficiencies of the installed diesel engines with the latest commercial engine
technology. A summary of current diesel engine performance and future engine
developments is given in Table 4.3 below.
Steam Generators
The steam generators using other fuels are either embedded cogeneration within an
industrial complex or located in a remote area and servicing mining or mineral
processing operations. There are no international benchmarking data for these types
of installations so we have therefore looked at the major elements of the generating
plants.
Boiler Performance
The efficiency of a boiler varies with the type of fuel. Some typical best practice
levels of efficiency are indicated below:
These efficiencies are at full load and the performance drops off approximately 1-
2% as the load reduces to 60% of full rated output. Other corrections for fuel
quality and site specific ambient conditions apply as described in Section 7.2 of this
report.
The units currently installed are generally of early vintage and a gain in efficiency
could be obtained by increasing the steam conditions. However, this change would
involve considerable capital cost as it requires essentially a new power plant with
new boilers, turbine generators and auxiliaries.
5.1.1 Databases
To assist in the task of benchmarking data collection and analysis SKM
commissioned Sargent & Lundy (S&L) of the US to undertake benchmarking of
North American fossil-fuel generators. S&L have reported on the heat rate data
available from two databases related to US electrical system demand planning, price
forecasting and environmental compliance requirements.
The UDI database contains data on 13,000 generating units including Utility
Generators, Non Utility Generators (NUG’s) and Canadian units. In most cases the
units need to be over 25MW in capacity. The database contains heat rate
information gathered from continuous emission monitoring systems (CEMS) and
Environmental Impact Appraisal (EIA) reports. All of the required heat rate data
required for thermal efficiency benchmarking are available from the RDI database,
and supplementary unit descriptive data from the UDI database which contains 1800
units.
We have been informed that the UDI database is being progressively replaced by the
RDI database which is no longer being kept up to date. S&L have therefore relied
more on the RDI data which is not only more extensive but is being kept up to date.
Most of the data are provided on multiple CDROM’s with quarterly updates.
Options for searching, sorting and filtering the data are available. The data can be
exported into an Excel spreadsheet format. A separate database program called
Powerdat is available to more easily provide much of the data contained in the
Basecase program.
The data available and of relevance to benchmarking for thermal efficiency included:
¨ Plant name and in some cases location (useful to establish site specific ambient
conditions)
¨ Unit number, type and duty (peak, cycling baseload)
¨ Date the unit went online
¨ Design steam conditions (main steam and reheat)
¨ Fuel type (black coal, lignite, gas)
¨ Full load tested, gross available capacities and net unit heat rates
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¨ Auxiliary power consumption
¨ Monthly operating fuel rates, generation (MWh) and load factors which allow
calculation of operating net unit heat rates
These data come from EIA Form 860. The most currently available values are in
the database. The values are based on full load conditions. If a reported value is not
available for a particular unit, a value is "assigned" based on the unit type and size.
A code identifies whether the value is a true reported value or an assigned one. Only
a small percentage of the units have an “assigned” value. These values are already
sorted and available for comparison to operating units. These “default” values are
based on data averages from all the industry units in 50 MW size increments.
Hourly unit load, and heat input data is collected by the continuous emission
monitoring systems (CEMS). Data are available for January 1995 through
September 1998. Basecase uses a curvefit procedure to derive a polynomial
relationship between heat rate and the MW load level of the unit, based on a year’s
collected data. The average gross plant heat rate can be determined for any
operating MW load level using the curvefit equation. The equation is given in terms
of the coefficients b, b1, b2, and b3.
The Powerdat program calculates average net unit heat rate on a monthly basis.
Data for 1994 through 1998 are currently available. The heat rate is calculated by
using the monthly net generation and fuel consumption, reported on EIA Form 759,
combined with the heat content of the fuel reported on FERC Form 423. The total
heat energy in fuel (Btu’s), calculated from the consumption and the heat content of
the fuel, is divided by the net generation to determine the average monthly net unit
heat rate value. The results will give low efficiency if significant low load operation
occurred during the month.
S&L has access to a database containing the UDI annual average net plant heat
rates for 1,807 units (665 stations) for the years 1985 through 1992. In all, the
database contains 10,565 recorded heat rate values. Unfortunately, UDI no longer
publishes updates to the unit level data. The only heat rate data currently available
from UDI is on a station level basis.
The UDI heat rates are based on information reported on EIA Forms. The net unit
generation and total fuel consumption comes from EIA Form 767. The net unit
capacity is the summer (net) value reported on EIA Form 860.
UDI has calculated arithmetic annual averages of monthly unit fuel heat content
rather than weighted averages. This introduces some error, particularly in instances
where units burn more than one type of fuel in a given year. Also, if capacity
factors are low, the heat rates will not be representative of design specifications
because extensive low-load operation could be included in the reported values.
Calculation of heat rates by this methodology results in an approximation of net
plant heat rate.
The data is in Access and dBase format. This can be converted and linked to other
UDI database files which give specific unit design information.
In summary, four industry net unit heat rate value options are available.
1. Fully Loaded Tested (Net Plant) Heat Rate (RDI, latest value, 13,000 units,
single value per unit)
2. Annual Average Net Heat Rate (RDI, 1995-1998, 13,000 units, one curve
equation/unit)
3. Monthly Average Net Plant Heat Rate (RDI, 1994-1998, 13000 units, one
value/unit/month)
4. Annual Average Net Plant Heat Rate (UDI, 1985-1992, 1,807 units, one
value/unit/year)
Option 1 and Option 2 were selected for benchmarking plants for this measure. The
curves obtained from the individual industry units have been combined (as required)
to create a single benchmark curve for each unit based on MW size, unit type, fuel,
and/or other criteria. These were then applied to the determination of the operating
heat rate for each calendar year.
S&L developed an Excel spreadsheet listing of all the required parameters described
above for each annual heat rate record (with the exception of the auxiliary power
information). Sinclair Knight Merz then re-organised this into a format suitable for
the purpose of the Integrating Consultancy.
Of the total population 558 units are sub-critical, 64 units are supercritical and 23
units are supercritical with high final superheater and reheater temperatures. Only
14 units are double reheat.
450
400
350
300
Number
250
200
150
100
50
0
1
<200 200 -2399 400 -3599 6004- 700 5
>700
Size of unit
The age profile of the 622 black coal units in the database is illustrated in Figure
5.2 - Age Profile Black Coal Units below. This indicates that over 80% of the
population were placed in service over 20 years ago which reflects a trend away
from coal fired power generation in the 1970’s and 1980’s due to the uptake of
nuclear power generation and then a more recent trend to natural gas fired combined
cycle power generation.
300
250
200
Number
150
100
50
0
1940s
1 1950s
2 1960s
3 1970s
4 1980s
5 1990s
6
Age
The distribution in terms of efficiency (net, HHV basis) is illustrated in Figure 5.3 –
Efficiency Distribution Black Coal.
1
38%
36%
Thermal efficiency
3
34%
32%
30%
5
28%
7
26%
24%
9
22%
20%
10
9
8
7
6
Number
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
<200 200 2
- 400 400 3
- 600 600 -4700 5
> 700
Size of unit
The age profile of the 20 brown coal units in the database is illustrated in Figure 5.5
– Unit Age Distribution Brown Coal Units below. This indicates that over 80% of
the population were placed in service over 20 years ago which again reflects a trend
away from coal fired power generation in the 1990’s due to a trend to natural gas
fired combined cycle power generation.
6
Number
0
1940s
1 1950s
2 1960s
3 1970s
4 1980s
5 1990s
6
Age
The distribution in terms of efficiency (net, HHV basis) is illustrated in Figure 5.6 –
Efficiency Distribution Brown Coal.
> 345
Thermal Efficiency (%)
> 324
> 303
> 282
> 261
The data on power plant performance was obtained by Radian through the US
Department of Energy (DOE) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
These data are available in the public domain and are reported monthly on the
following forms:
The databases were queried for plants that generated over 70% of their electricity
from natural gas. The fuel consumptions, heat rates and thermal efficiencies were
calculated for the plants before being sorted into the categories above. Some
contacts were made with the most efficient plants to confirm operating data and to
discuss potential improvement opportunities.
The results of this research are summarised in the following Tables 5.1, 5.2 and 5.3
for Steam, Combined Cycle and Open Cycle Gas Turbine Power Plants
respectively.
The thermal efficiencies and heat rates have been quoted by Radian on a lower
heating value basis (LHV) which is common practice for gas fired generation. To
adjust these to a higher heating value basis (HHV) for comparison with other data
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reported elsewhere in this report it is necessary to adjust the figures as follows for a
typical gas composition:
It should also be noted that the efficiencies and heat rates given in these tables are
operational and not design or full load tested values.
The highest reported combined cycle power plant efficiency is 49.5% (LHV) or
44.6% (HHV) for the Martin County plant placed in service by Florida Light and
Power in 1994. This efficiency is reasonable for a plant designed in the early 90’s
but is not indicative of current international best practice for combined cycle
generation which is now above 50% (HHV basis).
The open cycle gas turbine efficiencies are less than expected with the highest
efficiency of 35.8% (LHV) or 32.2% (HHV) being reported at the Woodland Plant
in Stranslaus County, CA. The explanation for this could be in the duty cycle as
Woodland Plant has a very low load factor of 10% which suggests it is a utility
peaking plant where operational efficiency would be much lower than at continuous
full load rating.
Sinclair Knight Merz has obtained some Japanese plant performance data from the
Electric Power Development Co. Ltd (EPDC) in Japan covering all of their black
coal fired power plants. The data provided is summarised in Table 5.4 : Japanese
Black Coal Plant Efficiencies (EPDC) below which gives plant technical
specifications and operational efficiencies for the most recent years operation.
It is interesting to note that the Matsuura 2 x 1000MW supercritical plant has high
steam temperatures but the operational efficiency reported is only marginally better
than that of the best black coal 660MW units in Australia. This may be due to the
duty cycle and higher FGD and SCR auxiliary losses.
The technologies that are available for improving the efficiency of generation for
both black and brown coal firing include:
In the last 5-10 years new higher efficiency technologies for power generation have
been developed (overseas) in sizes up to 250 MW but to date these new technologies
have generally only been used for demonstration plants and have not been adopted
on a commercial basis. On the other hand significant advances have been made with
conventional technology and plants of this type have been adopted on a commercial
basis.
The latter two technologies have been developed for black coal operation but could
also be developed for brown coal with some modifications.
In the fifteen years after the second world war significant gains were made in the
efficiency of utility power stations through the use of higher pressure and
temperature steam conditions, in the introduction of the reheat cycle and the
additional gains due to the use of larger turbine sizes. These changes became
possible due to the commercial availability of improved materials suitable for high
temperature operation. For the following 20-30 years little increase in average
steam conditions occurred although some developments in new materials and
welding techniques were spurred on by the oil crisis in the1970’s.
The general trend in pressures and temperatures are shown in Figures 5.7:
Development of Thermal Efficiency of Black Coal Power Plants for installations
mainly in Germany. The trends shown here are generally in line with those which
have occurred in countries with advanced technologies and where the fuel cost is
high or where there is a high level of environmental awareness.
2
40 27MPa / 540°C / 600°C
1
25MPa / 540°C / 560°C
based on HHV
35
30
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Note: ηth – net plant thermal efficiency HHV basis – sent out
Over the past 8 years a new generation of conventional coal fired stations has been
built, mainly in Europe and Japan. These show a significant improvement in
efficiency compared to those built in the previous three decades. The factors which
have influenced this trend to higher efficiency are:
Coal fired plants with steam cycle conditions of 25 MPa, 560/560oC giving a sent-
out efficiency of over 45% LHV basis, (43% HHV basis), are already in service. A
double reheat plant with steam conditions of 28.5 MPa, 580/580/580oC giving an
efficiency of over 47% LHV basis, (45% HHV basis) is already nearing completion.
Table 5.5: International Black Coal Power Plants lists some of the highest
efficiency plants in the world.
The high efficiencies in overseas plants have been achieved through the use of low
condenser pressures, high steam pressures and temperatures, double reheat cycles,
up to 10 stages of feed heating and other changes to station parameters and
configuration of equipment. The decisions to use such advanced conditions have
been made mainly on the basis of economics but have at least in part been justified
on the basis of minimising greenhouse gas and other emissions.
The technical issues associated with IGCC are being overcome with the consequent
lowering of operating costs. However there is still some way to go before the cost of
generation from such a plant is demonstrated to be comparable with alternative
plants. In addition the flexibility of the plant to meet the requirements of the
electrical system have yet to be demonstrated.
The efficiency of such plants is around 42% (HHV basis) on black coal with the
potential to move to 49% when higher efficiency gas turbines become available.
The above efficiencies have been quoted as design efficiencies when at maximum
continuous rated output. With reduced load the efficiency reduces. For conventional
plant the reduction of efficiency is around 3% at 50% load but for an IGCC plant
the reduction is around 13%. Hence for an IGCC plant, the operational efficiency
will be below the full load efficiency to a greater extent than for a plant using a
conventional cycle.
The high efficiency has been achieved through the incorporation of a number of
efficiency improvement measures some of which are related to the DeSOx
equipment required on the German stations. In particular a closed cycle heat
exchange system between the flue gas and the condensate is used involving very low
temperature differentials and corrosion resistant material. This is a system which
would not be economic on the lower cost brown coal which is available in
This benchmark applies to the quality of the coal as fired at Schwarze Pumpe,
namely 53.5% moisture and a LHV of 8.8 MJ/kg, HHV of 10.5 MJ/kg. This
benchmark efficiency will need to be corrected for coal moisture content and where
other cooling water conditions apply. When fired with coal of a Latrobe Valley
quality with moisture content over 60% the efficiency reduces to 31.4%. This
efficiency would have an emission intensity 9% lower than the best Latrobe Valley
stations.
¨ The Rankine cycle “engine” is an external combustion engine using steam as its
working fluid. The fuel is burned in air, in the combustion chamber (or, furnace)
of a boiler (or, steam generator) and the heat released is transferred to the steam
through the boiler heat exchange surfaces. The resulting high temperature steam
is used to drive a steam turbine, which, in turn, drives an electricity generator.
¨ The Brayton (or, gas turbine or, combustion turbine) cycle “engine” is an internal
combustion engine using air as the working fluid. The fuel is burned in air, in the
combustion chamber of a gas turbine and the heat released is transferred directly
to the air. The resulting high temperature air is used to drive a gas turbine,
which, in turn, drives an electricity generator.
Both “engines” have in common the concept of raising the pressure and temperature
of the working fluid and using an axial flow turbine to convert the heat energy in the
working fluid into useful “shaft power” which, in turn, drives the electricity
generator. Also common and fundamental to both “engines” is the direct
relationship between the highest temperature of the working fluid and the conversion
efficiency. This feature effectively caps the maximum conversion efficiency that can
be attained by these engines because of the availability of materials to handle fluids
at high temperatures and pressures, as follows.
For the Rankine cycle “engine” the temperature limit relates to the containment of
steam at high pressure and temperature. Conventional practice has been to limit
steam conditions to around 165 bar and 540°C, with a corresponding efficiency
limit of approximately 40%. Advances in materials technology have enabled “super
critical” steam conditions of 300 bar & 600°C to be used, lifting the efficiency limit
to approximately 45%. Research in Europe aims to demonstrate an efficiency of
55% by the year 2010 based on steam conditions of 375 bar and 700°C [OECD
Coal-fired Power Generation – Trends in the 1990’s, April 1997]. As with all
For the Brayton cycle “engine” the temperature limit relates to the strength and
durability of the gas turbine’s first stage blading at high temperatures. These
turbine blades are immediately downstream of the combustion chamber and in the
1950’s gas temperatures were limited to 650°C or less, with a corresponding
efficiency limit of 27%. The availability of high temperature materials and
improved cooling methods have resulted in the first stage turbine blades of modern
gas turbines working at around 980-1030°C, with inlet gas temperatures of 1100-
1450°C, with a corresponding efficiency limit of 40%.
Also common to both “engines” is the relationship between the lowest temperature
of the working fluid, or the temperature at which unused heat energy is dissipated to
the environment, and efficiency, as follows:
For the Rankine cycle “engine” the lower temperature limit relates to the availability
of a cooling medium or heat sink. This may be seawater, river water, ambient air,
or some type of evaporate cooling device.
For the Brayton cycle “engine” the lower temperature limit relates to the exhaust
pressure of the gas turbine, which is normally ambient air pressure. As a result, gas
turbine, exhaust temperatures are usually around 350-600°C. This feature of the
gas turbine “engine” gives rise to a third “engine” type.
A third type of “engine” combines the Rankine and Brayton cycle “engines” and is
hence known as “Combined Cycle” plant or Gas Turbine Combined Cycle (GTCC).
In this technology, the gas turbine exhaust provides a substitute “external
combustion” heat energy source for an adjacent Rankine cycle and the Rankine cycle
recovers heat energy from the gas turbine that would otherwise be dissipated into the
environment. Efficiencies exceeding 55% (LHV basis) are now achievable with
combined cycle plant.
A fourth “engine” type is Otto cycle with its 2-Stroke and Diesel counterparts,
commonly referred to as reciprocating engines. These well known internal
combustion engines differ from the gas turbine in that the heat is added to the
working fluid (air) at constant volume whereas in the gas turbine it is added at
constant pressure. The resulting high temperature air drives the reciprocating
engine, which, in turn, drives an electrical generator. There are only a limited
number of reciprocating engine plants in Australia that fall within the bounds of this
study. Reciprocating engines can also be used in a combined cycle configuration.
5.6.1 Background
HRL carried out a literature search of new technologies for brown coal suitable for
large scale power generation. Brown coal efficiencies and CO2 emission rates were
considered separately because of the effect of the high moisture content which has a
significant impact on the energy conversion process.
The most prospective countries were judged to be Germany and the USA as these
are highly developed countries with access to advanced power generation
technology. Germany was of particular relevance as it has large brown coal
resources and has been constructing new large scale power station over the last
decade. The German coals are also similar to the Victorian coals, typically with
over 50% moisture, and all of the Victorian stations have used German technology.
The USA has large resources of lignite in Texas and North Dakota and the coal is
most similar to South Australian coal with moisture content of around 35%. Few
lignite plants have however been constructed in recent years but there are some in
Texas that employ supercritical steam conditions.
The new generation of plant and technologies emerging for brown coal are:
¨ Pulverised fuel fired boiler with steam turbine cycle (pf-boiler/turbine). Unit
sizes up to 775MW (net) operating and 965MW (net) under construction for
brown coal in Germany.
No other brown coal based power generation technologies have been demonstrated
at larger than pilot scale and hence cannot be considered to be commercially
available.
The performance of recent German brown coal power stations is indicated in Table
5.7: Data on Recent German Brown Coal Power Stations. It should be noted
that:
¨ Latrobe Valley coal generally has higher moisture content than the German coal
which reduces efficiency.
¨ Condenser temperatures are higher in the Latrobe Valley than in Germany which
leads to lower turbine efficiency.
¨ The efficiencies given are based on lower heating value (LHV).
Source: HRL * - Allowing for district heating and/or process steam supply.
HRL believe that it is feasible that all of the above measures could be applied to new
brown coal fired power stations in Australia to achieve a similar result. However
the economic cost would be significant. Some of these measures could be applied to
a limited extent to existing power stations but the cost of this would be relatively
high.
There are four IGCC plants operating in the 250MW class that could be considered
to be commercially viable:
These plants are all designed to use black coal and are not suitable for operation on
brown coal. It is possible that they could be adapted for brown coal if the coal was
dried before feeding to the gasifier. HRL has developed the IDGCC process that
includes integrated drying for operation on brown coal. Another option is drying in
a steam fluidised bed (SFBD). Table 5.9: IGCC Overall Efficiency and CO2
Emissions compares the overall efficiency of the next generation of these plants
based on Electrical Power Research Institute (EPRI) and the European
Commission’s Joule III study.
Note: The plants indicated have not been built and are indicative.
* Includes recovery of heat from moisture in fuel.
HRL predicts that IGCC using Latrobe Valley coal could deliver a thermal
efficiency of 55.9% (LHV) and a CO2 emission rate of 854 kg/MWh. The main
drawback is the relatively high cost of the drying process but HRL believes that
their IDGCC variant of the normal IGCC process could ultimately overcome this
barrier but it has not yet been demonstrated on a commercial scale and is not
expected to be widely commercially available before the 2008-2012 potential Kyoto
commitment period.
PFBC has been demonstrated by ABB in the 80MW class and by Mitsubishi Heavy
Industries (MHI). A 350MW plant is under construction in Japan and is scheduled
to start operation in 2000. Most PFBC plants fire black coal but one is understood
to use high ash lignite.
It is unlikely that PFBC could be used to fire raw brown coal due to difficulty in
maintaining combustion in the bed but it is possible that it could fire dried brown
coal.
Table 5.10 PFBC Efficiency and CO2 Emissions below illustrates the overall
efficiency and CO2 emission rates for black and brown coal (HRL estimate) based
on the ABB P800 PFBC plant.
The overall purpose of the assignment is to derive thermal efficiency standards for
the range of electricity generating plants in Australia, so that in implementing these
new standards, greenhouse emission intensity is reduced.
The potential reductions in greenhouse emissions in the fossil fuel based electricity
generating sector have been estimated by:
¨ analysing world’s best practice to determine the appropriate standards for new
(or recommissioned) plants.
This has implications for the assessment of economic implications of the efficiency
measures which has been undertaken:
¨ It may be worth concentrating cost expenditure on plants where the benefits are
relatively greatest i.e. there may be economic benefit in one plant reducing
emissions by say 5%, but the same cost may not generate any appreciable benefit
at other plants.
The economic and financial aspects of the study are necessarily confined to a broad
generic assessment of the measures. The study does not include a detailed economic
and financial evaluation at the plant level. This would involve a more extensive
assessment of a range of costs and benefits of alternative approaches.
At the outset, the aim of the economic analysis was to compare the benefits of the
efficiency improvements for each fossil fuel group, as identified by the technical
component of this study, with the capital and recurrent costs of specifically meeting
those standards.
In recent years, much work has been undertaken to develop quantifiable economic
measures of greenhouse gas emissions. The first stage of the analysis was to review
It is very difficult to measure the true benefit of reducing carbon dioxide emissions.
This would require a detailed understanding of the impact of individual carbon
dioxide emissions on both natural and built environments. The Greenhouse Effect is
forecast to increase world temperatures which could impact on human, animal and
fauna environments. The temperature change may alter weather patterns, raise ocean
temperatures and thus levels.
The potential impacts are however very uncertain both in timing and magnitude. The
scientific analysis is far from conclusive ranging from potentially catastrophic for
certain regions of the world to minimal impacts, depending on the scale of the global
warming impact.
Therefore, the main focus of the economic analysis in this report is at the level of
least cost, or cost effectiveness analysis, rather than a cost benefit analysis.
Method 2 implies the need for data which allows a cost-emission function to be
derived i.e. how costs increase with emission reductions. This could have
implications for the early replacement of existing plants. It also implies that cost
inefficient emission reductions can be excluded if the given target can be achieved
via concentrating on more cost efficient reductions.
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We have compared the implementation of the identified efficiency improvements at
the plants against a base case of the existing situation (in terms of generated output
and GHG emissions).
¨ For the efficiency improvements at each plant, the associated capital costs and
emission reductions, we have been reliant on the data provided by the separate
source fuel consultancies.
These technology change improvements have been excluded from the economic
analysis on the basis there is insufficient data to undertake a similar assessment as
undertaken for existing technologies (in terms of net cost of emissions reductions).
The high capital cost of these major plant alterations needs to be offset against
revenue streams (from additional power generation) to provide a true picture of the
cost of emission reductions. Data for these revenue streams is not yet available.
It should be noted that such technology changes are likely however, to represent
significant, further potential to reduce GHG emissions above that shown for
existing plants, and this potential requires further investigation in the context of
moving towards Kyoto targets. The information collected on these improvements is
provided in Appendix F – Plants with Major Techonology Changes.
6.4.1 Impacts
For each plant the data collected has been used to identify:
¨ the technologies applicable to each plant and associated incremental capital and
operation costs
¨ emissions that are achieved at each plant will be estimated under the new
operating conditions for that plant (in effect the lowest technically achievable
emissions for that plant, given the efficiency measures introduced).
¨ Fuel savings. The reduction in fuel required for a given level of output, through
the efficiency measures, leads to the reduction in GHG emissions. In addition
there is financial benefit to the operators, from the fuel savings which result from
the implementation of the efficiency measures. The physical quantity of fuel
saved has been valued using average price data for the relevant fuels, as follows:
− Black Coal – ranging from $25 to $35 per tonne depending on the plant
− Brown Coal - $4 per tonne
− Other Fuels – ranging from $4.90 to $6.00 per gigajoule depending on the
plant and fuel type.
Sensitivity tests have been undertaken on the impact of the fuel price on the
results. Fuel prices have been increased by 10% and decreased by 10%,
compared with the levels shown above.
The analysis measures the net present value of the costs, less fuel savings, of the
reduction in GHG emissions (on a per tonnage basis) and then uses threshold
analysis to determine whether the net cost is likely to be acceptable in terms of what
additional benefits would need to accrue to the community for the net costs to be
covered (eg. in terms of a trading permit price or on terms of in additional costs to
consumers of generated power).
It should be noted that the analysis undertaken has standardised the treatment of the
efficiency measures so that all are expressed in terms of the fuel savings achieved
and therefore the GHG emission reductions achieved. In many cases the measures
will actually allow a higher output to be achieved for a given level of fuel input and
resultant GHG emissions. The standardised measure we have used is at a given
level of output for each plant (as under the base case and equivalent to existing
output levels).
¨ Net present values – these are required to convert the stream of costs and
benefits (fuel savings) to present day values, and are calculated at the following
assumed discount rates:
− 7% - standard central rate used in public sector appraisals (NSW Treasury
Guidelines)
− 10% and 15% rates chosen to reflect possible required rates of return in
commercial environments.
The impacts have been appraised across a 25 year period. The range of capital
works occur during the first five years of the period (according to the time scales
provided for each efficiency measure from the data survey). The operational
parameters (annual incremental operating and maintenance costs and fuel savings)
are then phased in depending on the timing of capital works and extended to the end
of the period – allowing a 20 year period of operation under the new conditions.
A discounted cash flow analysis is then undertaken to convert all values to a net
present value (costs less fuel cost savings). For each plant this allows calculation of
a unit (per tonne) net present value cost of emission reductions.
Excluded impacts
¨ combining the work periods with existing maintenance and overhaul periods
Residual values for the increased value of the plants, consequent on the efficiency
improvements undertaken, have not been incorporated into the economic analysis for
the following reason:
¨ Existing plants: the valuation period spans 28 years and it is uncertain as to the
changes in technology which may eventuate during that period. The life of
upgraded existing plants is therefore highly uncertain. We have assumed that the
evaluation period is long enough to discount any residual values for existing
plants.
Table 6.1: Summary Results By Fuel Type – All Identified Efficiency Improvements
Fuel type Output GHG reduction Capital Fuel saving NPV NPV per NPV per
(SO) Expenditure @ 10% tonne MWh
d-rate emissions
saved
GWh Tonnes % $M PJ $M $M $ $
pa 000’s (1999) pa (1999)
pa
Black Coal 96,231 1,787 2.0% 148.8 23.7 27.7 77.4 +$6 +$0.08
Brown Coal 44,260 2,027 3.4% 171.7 18.1 9.0 -64.5 -$5 -$0.14
Gas 9,600 72 1.2% 177.3 1.4 4.9 -99.0 -$205 -$1.01
Other Fuels 632 49 5.1% 54.6 0.7 3.7 -19.5 -$47 -$3.01
TOTAL 150,723 3,935 2.5% 552.4 43.9 45.3 -105.6 -$4 -$0.07
The results at this broad level should be interpreted with care since the plant level
data on which they aggregate shows a high degree of variability. The main results,
with caveats where necessary, are:
¨ The identified capital and incremental operating costs associated with these
efficiency improvements have a current cost of $552 million, which is equivalent
to a present value of $424 million dollars, at a 10% discount rate.
¨ Fuel savings of 43.9 petajoules per annum are associated with the efficiency
measures. Using the stated price assumptions these are valued at $45.3 million
per annum. Once the benefit of fuel savings are incorporated, the net present
value of the efficiency measures over the evaluation period at a10% discount rate
is a net cost of $106 million.
¨ At a 10% discount rate, the efficiency improvements result in net present values
for each fuel source (taken as a whole) as follows:
− for Black Coal the fuel savings over the period more than pay for the capital
cost, at the 10% discount rate. i.e. a “no regrets” position
− for Brown Coal Plants a cost of $5 per tonne of emissions saved.
− a high cost for the improvements at the gas fired power stations of around
$200 per tonne of emissions saved. These existing technology improvements
have a high capital cost (totalling $177 million) and a relatively small
improvement in GHG emissions (totalling 72,000 tonnes per annum). As
contrast capital expenditure on Black Coal plant improvements is slightly less
than that for Gas plants, but the emission savings for Black Coal are almost
25 times the magnitude).
− For the Other Fuels category the net cost result is around $47 per tonne of
emissions saved.
These results are sensitive to the discount rate used (in effect the required rate of
return) as shown in Table 6.2, but the general thrust of the results is not altered by
the different rates.
At all these levels of discount rates the fuel savings for Black Coal plants taken as a
whole across the evaluation period are greater than the capital and operational costs
and therefore a net benefit is achieved for this fuel source.
The next stage of analysis is to consider which are the most cost effective efficiency
measures to undertake and what that implies in terms of GHG emission savings
achieved.
Appendix E – Plant Data Spreadsheet presents the results at a plant level ranked
by the cost effectiveness of the efficiency measures for each plant (each plant is
taken as a whole - it is not, for this analysis, sub divided below the plant level).
The cost effectiveness of the efficiency measures varies widely, ranging from, (at a
10% discount rate):
¨ Black Coal plants: from a net measured benefit of $13 per tonne of emissions
saved to a net cost of $10 per tonne.
¨ Brown Coal plants: from a net benefit of $4 per tonne to a net cost of $9 per
tonne.
¨ Other Fuels plants: from a net benefit of $18 per tonne to a net cost of $185 per
tonne.
¨ Gas plants: net cost of $31 to over $2,000 per tonne. At the higher end of the
range, this indicates that these efficiency measures are not likely to be
economically or financially viable, even allowing for any additional benefit
measure for GHG savings to be incorporated.
Note: (a) $0 or positive band refers to improvements that cost $0 or less to implement (i.e no regrets
position).
Key results:
¨ For the 39 plants for which data has been provided and analysed, these results
show that, of the maximum identified GHG emission savings (3.9 million tonnes
p.a.), about 2.1 million tonnes per annum (54%) can be achieved on a “no regrets
basis”. Black Coal plants dominate this area (results are using a 10% discount
rate).
¨ A level of net cost of $10 per tonne of CO2 would imply that 3.8 million tonnes
of GHG emission reduction could be achieved in this sector (98% of total
emission savings identified). This saving can be achieved for 59% of the total
cost of all the identified improvements. All the Black and Brown Coal Plants
analysed fall into this band, plus one plant in the Other Fuels Group.
¨ 41 % of the capital cost is accounted for by the 19 least cost efficient plant
improvements, and these only account for 2% of the emission reductions
identified (these plants are either in the Gas Group or the Other Fuels Group).
¨ whether the costs associated with the maximum efficiency gains / new standards
can be borne by the industry/consumers
¨ whether the emission reductions achievable should be constrained in order to
limit the additional costs to a certain level.
¨ In terms of the costs per unit of generated output, the net costs for fuel groups
can be compared against the average unit prices for generated output to
determine whether the price increases which would be required to cover the net
costs are sustainable. For this threshold analysis of the potential impact on
electricity prices we have considered three scenarios for the improvements:
− All improvements undertaken
− $10 per tonne limit on net cost of improvements undertaken
− No Regrets – i.e improvements undertaken up to zero net cost position.
Assuming a full flow though of costs and benefits to prices, and if an assumed
average pool price of $30 per MWh is taken, the percentage change in prices
required to reach break even levels under these scenarios are:
Caveat: These overall thresholds are merely given to indicate the scale of price
changes required, but these will vary considerably between plants and the plant
specific impact on producer costs need also be investigated.
¨ The simple payback period, given the fuel price assumptions, averages 12 years
for all improvements taken together, but this varies significantly between fuel
groups (see Table 6.4) and by individual plant.
¨ For the “no regrets” scenario the simple payback period is estimated at an
average of 5 years.
¨ For the “$10 net cost limit” scenario the simple payback period is estimated at
an average 9 years.
We have run the following sensitivity tests on the impact of assumptions in regard to
fuel prices (and the valuation of fuel savings):
¨ Prices 10 % higher for all fuels compared to base price assumptions (as given in
section 6.4.1)
¨ Prices 10 % lower for all fuels compared to base price assumptions (as given is
section 6.4.1)
Table 6.5 summarises the results of the sensitivity tests. Detailed results by plant
are given in Appendix E.
As can be seen, the change in fuel prices by 10% in either direction does not have
significant impacts on the overall results.
The design efficiencies for the boiler and turbine, or for the plant as a whole, are
usually specified to apply at a set of standard operational conditions in order to
limit the number of variables and hence maximise the ‘tightness’of the contractual
guarantees. Some of these conditions are somewhat artificial in terms of normal
plant operation. This results in the operating efficiency of the station being normally
below that obtained under test conditions. Operational factors which affect actual
efficiencies relative to the design efficiencies are:
Changes in plant condition over time will adversely affect the station efficiency in
the following areas:
¨ Air in-leakage to the boiler gas enclosure will affect the dry flue gas loss and will
affect the auxiliary energy usage due to the higher power consumption of the
induced draft (ID) fans.
¨ Fouling on the boiler heating surfaces will tend to raise the final flue gas
temperature and increase the dry flue gas loss.
¨ Ash deposition on the boiler heating surface areas will lead to higher draft losses
and hence to higher ID fan power.
¨ Air heater leakage and any air leakage into the gas system downstream of the
airheater will mainly affect the power consumption of the air fans and ID fan.
¨ Deterioration of turbine steam path condition. This may be due to deposits on
the blades, blade erosion, increases in internal steam leakage and bypassing due
to increase in clearances.
¨ Condenser pressure will be affected by the extent of plugged tubes, the condenser
cleanliness, the air tightness and the efficacy of the air extraction system.
¨ Temporary outages on ancillary plant for repair, eg feed water heaters, condenser
passes.
¨ Steam and water leaks from drains and vents due deterioration of valves.
The magnitude of these effects will vary due to many different variables:
The widespread nature of the conditions that affect station efficiency means that it is
not practical nor economic to maintain the plant in an ‘as-new’condition to avoid
the off-design effects. Good management practice would involve the monitoring of
plant conditions such that the location of deterioration can be determined and, where
economic, repairs, refurbishment or changes to the operational approach which can
be undertaken as appropriate. Many of the remedial actions can only be undertaken
at major overhauls which occur every 4-8 years.
The extent to which the operational efficiency deviates from the design efficiency
will depend on factors such as the plant design, type of coal, site conditions and
operational variables such as output factor. Therefore because of the diversity of
factors that will apply to each of the new plants there is likely to be some difficulty
in mandating operational efficiencies for new plants. For new plant it would seem
that it would only be practical to mandate efficiencies on a new design basis with
economic drivers associated with the cost of fuel serving to maximise the operational
efficiency.
For black coal fired base load plant where the operational factor is high and there is
minimal requirement for sootblowing the operational efficiency in the new condition
will not vary greatly from the design efficiency. Typically a 3% difference may
apply.
For brown coal plant where the coal ash adheres to the heating surface and causes a
rise in the final flue gas temperature and where a high complement of sootblowers is
required, the operational efficiency may be some 5% worse than design.
7.2 Algorithms
The Best Australian Practice station efficiency for each fuel group will vary
depending on the fuel quality and the site conditions. Corrections in the form of an
algorithm have been developed to account for the major influencing factors.
¨ Losses due to the heat loss in the dry flue gas leaving the boiler. The main
variables which affect the magnitude of the loss are the excess air level and the
¨ Losses due to the moisture from combustion of hydrogen in the fuel and the
moisture in the fuel. This loss is marginally affected by the final flue gas
temperature and the extent of the unburnt carbon.
¨ Losses due to the heat loss from the exterior surface area of the boiler. The
magnitude of this loss is under 0.5% for utility sized boilers. The percentage loss
is a function of the boiler capacity and extent of auxiliary equipment on the
boiler. Losses from a boiler firing brown coal using flue gas as the drying
medium has the highest loss followed by black coal firing and then oil and gas
fired boilers. The variation of this loss is considered to be sufficiently small to
not warrant a specific correction factor.
¨ Unburnt losses can either be gaseous, CO and CH4, or in solid form as unburnt
carbon. These unburnt losses are practically zero for liquid and gaseous fuels,
but are of the order of 1% for coal. Unburnt losses have little effect on the
emission of CO2.
¨ Losses due to the heat loss in the ash and solid unburnts leaving the boiler. This
only applies to coal fired boilers where the loss is directly proportional to the ash
content and to the temperatures that apply at the points of extraction.
The coal quality factors that have the most significant effect on the station efficiency
are the coal moisture, the ash content and the low temperature fouling and corrosion
potential of the flue gases. If there is a significant range in the carbon to hydrogen
ratio then this variable can also be of relevance.
In addition to the heat losses associated with the boiler the power used for the drives
for the auxiliaries also contributes to the station inefficiency. The higher fluid flows
associated with a brown coal boiler make auxiliary power consumption high with
black coal and gas/oil fired boilers consuming a lower amount.
The ash content in the coal affects the efficiency in the way that it raises the coal
moisture content per MJ of heat in the coal and because of the heat loss in the ash
when the ash is removed. Typically for a 1% change in ash content there is a change
in station efficiency of about 0.025%.
The low temperature fouling properties of the fly ash in the flue gas may limit the
minimum operational temperature at the outlet of the airheater. In addition,
depending on the corrosion potential of the flue gas there may be a need to maintain
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the flue gas temperature at a given level in order to keep the corrosion rate on the
airheater and the downstream ductwork to an acceptable level. In this case the final
flue gas temperature will need to be above that which would provide the Australian
Best Practice efficiency. These limitations cannot be easily addressed in terms of a
corrective algorithm and therefore must be dealt with on a case by case basis. For
black coal the efficiency changes by approximately 0.5% for a 10oC change in final
flue gas temperature.
The high flue gas flow resulting from the high moisture content in the coal means
that a technical limit is approached as to the extraction of heat from the gas in the
air heater. This technical limit is due to the approach of the hot air temperature at
the outlet of the airheater to the inlet gas temperature, ie, the ‘pinch point’effect. In
addition the combination of high moisture content in the flue gas, SO2 and Cl content
results in a high acid dew point, necessitating high metal temperatures if corrosion
rates are to be manageable. As a result the final flue gas temperatures for brown
coal boilers are significantly above those for black coal fired boilers.
Hence there are two effects of the high moisture content in coal-
¨ greater heat loss due to the added mass flow and particularly the latent heat
involved and
¨ additional heat loss in both the dry flue gas and the vapour due to the necessarily
higher final flue gas temperature that brown coal boilers must operate at.
The ash content of most brown coals is lower than that of black coals and hence the
heat loss due to the ash is negligible. Only on some South Australian coal is the heat
loss of minor significance.
The most significant impact on efficiency in burning gas arises through the loss of
the latent heat of vaporisation of the moisture formed in the combustion reaction.
This heat is lost to the flue gas and typically represents about 9-10% of the heat
energy value of the fuel. The heating value, including the latent heat of vaporisation,
is often called the higher heating value (HHV) and after the loss is called the lower
heating value (LHV).
Any free moisture in the fuel is generally removed before combustion in knock out
chambers. The only particulate matter that can arise is in the form of soot from the
incomplete combustion of the gas due to poor air to fuel conditions. There is
negligible ash and the problems of slagging and fouling do not arise.
With respect to the boiler efficiency the moisture in the air that is used for
combustion is heated in the boiler and exhausted at a higher temperature than at the
inlet. This loss of heat is a function of the humidity in the ambient air and the final
flue gas temperature. This loss is usually in the range of 0.05 to 0.1% and is of
sufficiently small magnitude to not warrant a correction to be applied.
The heat loss in the boiler stack due to the sensible heat in the dry flue gas and in the
moisture is a function of difference between the final flue gas temperature and
ambient dry bulb temperature. In the design of the boiler plant this difference varies
little for a range of site temperature conditions. Average dry bulb temperatures of
most of the likely plant sites in Australia range from 13oC to 22oC and within this
range there will be little change in the difference between ambient and flue gas
temperature when the plant is designed for the appropriate conditions. Under the
colder conditions the limitations on lowering the gas temperature due to corrosion
considerations may make the maintenance of efficiency under cold conditions more
difficult. However because of the very site-specific nature of the corrosion potential,
The type of condenser cooling has a significant effect on the achievable condenser
pressure. Seawater, estuary water, natural or artificial cooling lake, evaporative or
dry cooling towers or air cooled condensers are the sources of cooling that may be
used depending on the site and the economics. The water temperatures available
from these cooling sources will depend on the location and the atmospheric
conditions.
The heat loss due to coal moisture and moisture of formation expressed as a
percentage of the gross heat input from the coal is:
Where
M moisture content of the as-fired coal, %
H2 hydrogen content of the as-fired coal, %
cpv specific heat of vapour kJ/kg K,
Tg final flue gas temperature, oC
hfg latent heat of vapour, kJ/kg,
Ta air inlet temperature, oC
cpw specific heat of water, kJ/kg K and
HHV gross specific energy or higher heating value of the fuel as fired, MJ/kg.
The dominant term in the above equation is the latent heat, and therefore the loss and
the efficiency is very closely a linear function of coal moisture plus moisture of
formation divided by the heating value of the fuel.
Brown Coal
1
Values as given in British Standard BS2885.
SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ Unclassified HA00316.0: R51IRMDMU.DOC 84
Version
For brown coal boilers with a final flue gas temperature of 170oC, ambient
temperature of 15oC the variation in boiler efficiency with coal moisture content
becomes:
Since as discussed above the optimum final flue gas temperature increases with an
increase in moisture content, when a correction is made for this effect the equation
becomes:
The efficiency of brown coal boilers operated with 15% excess air with 1% unburnts
loss can be written as:
ηb = -2.880[M+8.94H2]/HHV+93.32
This is applicable to boiler plant firing coals with moisture contents which range
form those 60-70% moistures to those which fire coal at around 31% moisture.
Minor approximations have been made in order to minimise the order of the
equation.
The best Australian Practice Efficiency based on ∼ 60% moisture Latrobe Valley
coal as determined from world wide experience has been assessed to be 31.4% with
a base-line condenser pressure of 8 kPa. The station efficiency for all Australian
brown coal fired plants can be determined from the following equation:
Table 7.2 shows for some typical brown coals the effect of coal quality on the
Australian Best Practice design efficiencies.
In a similar manner to that developed for brown coal a correction factor for the
effect of coal moisture and hydrogen content in the coal on efficiency has been
developed. In this case because the ratio of total moisture formed to heating value is
small the overall effect of the moisture on boiler efficiency is significantly reduced
compared to that on brown coal fired plant.
ηb = -2.642[M+8.94H2]/HHV+94.24
The station efficiency for all Australian black fired coals can be determined from the
following equation:
The effect of differing ash-in-coal contents on the boiler efficiency will also have a
minor effect. Within the variation of ashes experienced the effect on the plant will
only be of the order of 0.1 percentage point and thus no correction factors are
proposed on this account.
Table 7.3 shows for some typical black coals the effect of coal quality on the
Australian Best Practice design efficiencies.
The effect of variation in the quality of NSW and Queensland black coals will be
significantly smaller than that for brown coals.
Natural Gas
Correction factors for Australian natural gas quality parameters are not necessary
due to the consistency in gas quality and negligible impact on thermal efficiency.
¨ Output Factor
The above station efficiencies apply when the station operates at its full rated
output. When operating at reduced load the efficiency will be lower due to the
natural characteristic of the steam cycle, the boiler operation and the change in the
proportion of power used for auxiliary drives. The reduction in efficiency will
depend on, amongst other factors, the design of the turbine, the efficiency
characteristics of the auxiliary drives and the mode of operation of the steam cycle
with respect to pressure, ie, fixed or sliding pressure.
Note: The above mentioned reductions in efficiency are true percentage reductions
and are not percentage points reductions.
The steam cycle efficiency correction for changes to the condenser pressure was
based on the curve indicated in Figure 7.1: Heat Rate vs Condenser Pressure
derived fro a typical sub-critical steam cycle. The curve was compared to a high
pressure cycle with 10 stages of regenerative feed heating. The difference is small
for condenser pressures in the normal expected operating range of 6 to 12kPa.
10%
8%
6%
Heat Rate Correction
4%
16 MPa Cycle
26 MPa Cycle
2%
Poly. (16 MPa Cycle)
Poly. (26 MPa Cycle)
0%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
-2%
-4%
-6%
Condenser Pressure (kPa.abs) y = -9.795E-05x 2 + 7.985E-03x - 5.971E-02
A base condenser pressure of 8kPa was assumed. This is achievable on power plant
operating on natural draught towers in the south-eastern coastal areas of Australia.
For example La Trobe Valley power plant achieves around 8 to 8.5kPa with average
ambient air temperature and humidity. A slightly larger cooling tower and/or
condenser and/or an increase in CW flow would be required for the plant to fall
under the 8kPa limit with average conditions.
SINCLAIR KNIGHT MERZ Unclassified HA00316.0: R51IRMDMU.DOC 87
Version
A mathematical model of a CW system and condenser was used to develop the
relationship between atmospheric conditions and the achievable condenser pressure
for a natural draft tower and open cycle CW system. The performance parameters
of the cooling tower were taken to be slightly higher than those of the towers
currently in operation. Condenser pressure was corrected for changes in heat
transfer coefficient, inlet water temperature based on Heat Exchanger Institute
Standards, and also for changes in heat load as condenser pressure varies.
The resulting heat rate corrections are indicated in Figure 7.2: Heat Rate
Variation with Ambient Conditions. Also shown is the correction curve for the
cooling water inlet temperature associated with an open cycle CW system.
The annual average ambient air temperatures that apply to the normal sites for
major coal fired power stations range from around 13oC to 22oC. Typical correction
factors to be applied to standard best practice heat rate for stations with wet cooling
towers will typically be less than ±1%.
With respect to open cycle cooling system using sea water the correction factors to
be applied to standard best practice heat rate are likely to be in the range –2% to –
4%, ie, an improvement in efficiency.
These impacts on efficiency are indicated in Figure 7.3: Gas Turbine Heat Rate
Versus Ambient Conditions (Open Cycle).
Figure 7.3: Gas Turbine Heat Rate Versus Ambient Conditions (Open Cycle)
1.06
1.04
Heat rate correction
1.02
RH 20%
1.00
RH 40%
RH 60%
0.98 RH 80%
RH 100%
0.96
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
o
Dry bulb temp C
It is noted that the impact of temperature is much more significant than humidity
with a +4% correction between the ISO 15oC base rating and an inlet temperature of
35oC. The efficiency of a gas turbine decreases with increasing inlet temperature in
inverse proportion to heat rate.
The impact of relative humidity is less pronounced and most noticeable in its effect
at higher ambient temperatures (+1% correction between 20 and 100% RH at 35oC).
These curves generally vary only marginally between one machine and another but
some more significant differences arise with some aero-derivative gas turbines where
the curves can change slope either side of an optimum performance point.
1.05
1.04
1.03
1.02
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.98
0.97
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
The above curve is reasonably typical for combined cycle plants but we recommend
reference also be made to actual manufacturers performance documentation.
7.4 Cogeneration
However, for the purposes of calculating emission rates for setting standards we
recommend the adoption of the fuel chargeable to power methodology as described
below:
The concept of FCP is illustrated in the case of a gas turbine/heat recovery steam
generation plant in Figure 7.5: Fuel Chargeable to Power (FCP).
Fuel (2)
kW (2)
To determine the emission rates we recommend that the fuel energy chargeable to
power be converted to CO2 equivalent emission rates as for conventional generation.
The benefit of this approach is that the emission rates per MWh of electricity
generated in the cogeneration plant can be directly compared to emission rates for
conventional power generation technologies within each fuel class. A separate set of
cogeneration standards is therefore not required.
Table 7.4: Efficiencies and CO2 Emission Rates for Typical Cogeneration Plant
Plant Type Cogen Efficy (%) FCP Effcy (%) Emission Rate (FCP)
kgCO2/MWh
GT/HRSG 75 60 300
CCGT 60 55 325
POT 35 28 650
BPT 85 83 215
RECIP 70 60 300
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The following commentary discusses the scope that exists for improving the
efficiency of a station once the station has been designed and constructed.
The overall efficiency of the power station is determined by the three components
consisting of the steam cycle efficiency (ie the turbine steam conditions), the boiler
efficiency and the used-in-station-energy. There are other miscellaneous losses
which play only a minor role. Typical values for a recently installed a black coal
fired station in Australia for cycle and boiler efficiency and UISE are 45%, just
under 90% (HHV) and 5% respectively for a station using steam driven boiler feed
pumps. These figures indicate where the maximum loss occurs and hence the area
of maximum potential for any improvement in efficiency, namely the turbine cycle
efficiency. These figures give a overall set-out efficiency of 38% when at full load.
For brown coal fired boiler the boiler efficiency is much a lower and varies
significantly with coal moisture content. Typical values for a boiler operating on
Latrobe Valley brown coal is 70%. (HHV)
The prime variables which determine the efficiency of a steam cycle are, in
approximate order of significance:
Once the steam conditions and steam cycle are selected the design of the plant
components is tailored to suit those conditions. The material and component
strengths are selected to just match the selected pressure and temperature conditions.
Little or no margins are provided in the tube and pipe wall thicknesses or the type of
material selected which would allow the plant to operate at higher than the design
steam conditions. To provide a significant design margin between operating and
design conditions would add unnecessary capital costs.
The plant components which are affected by the steam cycle pressure and
temperature make up a major portion of the station. The major components
involved are:
In turn many of these components impact on other components in the station, eg, the
weight of the boiler pressure parts will affect the steel work necessary for their
support.
As will be appreciated once a station has been built there is no possibility to upgrade
the steam conditions without undertaking a rebuild of a major portion of the station,
perhaps accounting for half its original cost and requiring a shutdown period of 2 to
3 years.
However there are some other changes which can be made to an existing station to
achieve some small increases in the efficiency of the steam cycle.
¨ In recent years improvements have been made to the shape of the turbine blading
through the use of improved computational techniques and from advances in
aerodynamics. In older turbines the installation of this new design of blading can
increase the cycle efficiency by up to 2 percentage points, eg from 45% to 47%.
¨ The cycle efficiency can also be improved by reducing the condenser back
pressure. This can be achieved through the replacement of the condenser with a
larger size or an improved design, or by improving the performance of cooling
towers or cooling ponds such that lower temperature cooling water is returned to
the condenser.
The prime variables which determine the efficiency of a boiler are, in approximate
order of significance:
Although unburnts impact on the boiler efficiency they have little effect on the CO2
emissions as portion of the carbon in the coal is not converted to CO2. The unburnts
typically account for 0.5 to 1% of the heat in the fuel supplied.
The 5% loss due to moisture in the flue gas is mainly due to the latent heat of
vaporisation of the moisture and hence is not a controllable loss. The loss in the
sensible heat in the vapour will be influenced by the final flue gas temperature but
since this represents only 10% of the loss due to the moisture the impact of the final
flue gas temperature on the moisture loss is very small.
The 4.5% loss in the dry flue gas is a function of both the final flue gas temperature
and the level of excess air used. This is the loss where some gains can be made.
The final flue gas exit temperature can be adjusted by the inclusion of extra heating
surface area in the boiler, usually in the airheater. The limit to the lowest level of
the final flue gas temperature may be the corrosion of air heater or downstream
ductwork components or increasing fouling levels in the airheater causing draft
restrictions. For every 10oC change in the final flue gas temperature approximately
half of one percentage point change in boiler efficiency is achieved when firing black
coal. When firing brown coal a 10oC provides a 0.6 percentage point gain in
efficiency.(HHV basis)
For each case an economic assessment would need to be undertaken to determine the
economics of increasing the surface area of the airheater.
For a number of stations the current operational excess air levels are below the
original design levels. The reductions have been made for the purposes of increasing
boiler efficiency. Typically the black coal fired stations were designed with excess
air levels of 20%, and the brown coal fired stations with between 25 and 35%.
Reduced levels of excess air have the effect of lowering the mass flow of gas leaving
the boiler and hence lowering the heat losses up the stack. Lower excess air will
also lower the final flue gas temperature. The lower limit on excess air is the point
at which an increase in unburnts occurs, either CO or carbon in ash or both. At the
theoretical (stoichiometric) limit of zero excess air an improvement of around 1% in
boiler efficiency would occur for black coal firing. The practical limit would only
allow a fraction of this change, perhaps around 0.25%.
The degree of unburnts in the ash, although of significance with respect to station
efficiency is virtually irrelevant with respect to CO2 emissions.
The turbine steam cycle efficiency can be improved without any change to the steam
temperatures or pressures by increasing the internal efficiency of the turbine. Over
the past 30 years there have been advancements in the design of blading and gland
One station in Germany has replaced the internals of the 7 turbines within the station
and has improved the efficiency by just over 5%. The output increased from 2700
MW to 2840 MW.
Modifications to condensers, cooling water systems and cooling towers are possible
which will lower the condenser back pressure. The changes to condensers are
restricted by the physical limitations of the turbine house layout. Some gain may be
possible by an improvement in the performance of the cooling tower.
For those stations where HP heaters have been removed from service due to
unreliability the replacement with new heaters will restore the lost efficiency. A gain
of between 1.5 to 2% in station efficiency would be expected. The economics of this
will depend on the cost of the fuel.
The option would increase the station efficiency by the order of 0.5 to 1% (not
percentage points). Since the existing airheater elements are a replaceable item the
cost of an increase in area would be very variable depending on when the elements
are due to be replaced as the extra area can be incorporated into the replacements
elements. The cost may be in the range of $1- 2M per 500 MW unit with the cost
being variable with unit size.
Most of the used in station auxiliary energy is required for the movement of the
fluids, water, air and flue gas, in the power station systems. The major power users
are:
The feed pumps can either steam turbine driven or electric motor driven depending
on the design philosophy of the station. The station efficiency is marginally higher
with the use of steam driven feed pumps.
Because of the relationship between the fluid flow and power consumption the
potential for significant reductions in UISE is small. Also, since the UISE only
amounts to around 5% of the generated power in stations with steam turbine feed
pumps and up to 8% if electrically driven feed pumps are used, the scope for any
significant change in the station efficiency due to a change in UISE is limited.
In some stations variable speed drives have been applied to fans, mills and pumps.
This enhances the efficiency of the auxiliaries particularly when the plant operates at
reduced load. Variable speed fluid couplings or variable frequency drives can be
used to achieve the variable speed. Variable speed drives are usually shown to be
economically justified only if the station operates for long periods at substantially
reduced load.
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