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Article Wagner 2016 Technology Acquisitions
Article Wagner 2016 Technology Acquisitions
Marcus Wagner
To cite this article: Marcus Wagner (2016) Managing disruptive innovation with technology
acquisitions: the informing case of software-based high-technology industries, Technology Analysis
& Strategic Management, 28:8, 979-991, DOI: 10.1080/09537325.2016.1181736
Introduction
Innovation activities in high-technology industries pose considerable challenges for technology and
innovation management. These are linked to network effects from geographical clustering (e.g.
Silicon Valley), the increasing speed of the introduction of new technology (Galbraith and
McAdam 2013) and market exit caused by disruptive innovation (Christensen and Bower 1996).
This paper analyses the interplay of these factors (with a focus on the last one) in one software-
based industry, namely electronic design automation (EDA) which forms part of the semiconductor
ecosystem. This ecosystem has a long history of radical innovation taking place through distinct
industry cycles of high and low demand and features the aforementioned challenges strongly. The
acquisition of technology-rich targets can address these challenges, especially with regard to disrup-
tive innovation in an increasingly open business environment (Graebner, Eisenhardt, and Roundy
2010; Galbraith and McAdam 2011). Disruptive innovation has been defined as an innovation that
‘ … introduces a different set of features, performance, and price attributes relative to the existing
product, an unattractive combination for mainstream customers at the time of product introduction
… although a different customer segment may value the new attributes’ (Govindarajan and Kopalle
2006: 15).
The literature supports the suitability of acquisitions as a means to address disruptive innovation.
Specifically, large firms could be adopting an acquisition strategy targeting young firms to offset
lower and less radical innovation levels (Bertrand-Cloodt, Hagedoorn, and Van Kranenburg 2011).
However, the feasibility of this approach depends on the industry concerned. One important charac-
teristic of software-based industries is their low capital intensity, which means that start-ups do not
require large investments in fixed assets. As a result, the total asset value of the average entrant in a
software-based industry is relatively low. Therefore, a complete acquisition of a technology-rich
target is more feasible and hence more likely (compared to, e.g. the acquisition of just a minority
shareholding in such a target).
Addressing the issue of how an incumbent can combat disruptive innovation, this paper specifi-
cally analyses if, with the industry characteristics outlined in the last paragraph, acquisitions can
help to avoid incumbents exiting market because of disruptive innovation. It does so by simul-
taneously accounting for influences other than the incumbent’s own R&D weaknesses – such as
acquisition dynamics (e.g. herd effects) – and by accounting for variations in a firm’s internal weak-
nesses (in terms of output- and input-related weaknesses) and related differences in acquisition
motives.
The study adopts a mixed methods approach using nested econometric, large-scale descriptive
and case study analyses (based on one specific area in the EDA industry, namely design for manufac-
turability) to address a conundrum found in the literature on disruptive innovation, namely why the
Christensen and Bower (1996) logic applies in some instances more than in others. Addressing this
issue also responds to recent controversy and academic calls to more clearly identify the boundaries
of disruptive innovation (Danneels 2004; Spinardi 2012; Lepore 2014; de Langen 2014).
in the areas of their greatest weaknesses (Graebner 2009). As a second necessary condition for acqui-
sitions countering disruptive innovation, it is therefore also necessary to rule out institutional band-
wagon effects based on acquisition waves, institutional mimicry reacting to competitors’ acquisitions
or similar irrational behaviour driving innovation-related acquisitions.
This paper empirically tests these two conditions by analysing the determinants of the acquisition
of relatively young and technology-rich target firms, and how patterns of such acquisitions evolve.
This is done by distinguishing quantitative and qualitative dimensions of technological acquisitions
that have been identified in the literature, namely the number of acquisitions and their technological
value (Cloodt, Hagedoorn, and van Kranenburg 2006; Puranam, Singh, and Zollo 2006). Based on the
above considerations, two sets of research questions are derived to empirically test the correspond-
ing two conditions above:
(1) Is acquisition in software-based industries motivated by substitutivity with internal R&D (which
would be an indication that acquisitions mitigate disruptive innovation)? Does the association
differ depending on the dependent variable addressing the amount of intellectual property
residing in the target or not (i.e. are acquirers intent on addressing their main weaknesses)?
(2) Do acquisitions relate mainly to specific technology segments and when are targets acquired?
Can timing and segment specificity be related to acquisition waves, or acquisitions being trig-
gered by competitors (which would suggest that, in addition to disruptive innovation, other
potentially irrational determinants matter)?
Methodology
The empirical analysis of the above research questions centres on one specific field of the global
semiconductor industry, namely EDA which provides purely software-based tools for chip design
(rather than hardware-based tools for chip manufacturing) and has very beneficial characteristics
for the purpose of this study (compared to other industries, where fields cannot be delineated
and distinguished as clearly as in the semiconductor industry).
First, EDA is a relatively concentrated industry that is characterised by continued acquisition
activity and is described as fully based on software (rather than hardware). Second, because of its
embeddedness in the semiconductor industry, there is permanent demand for innovation from
EDA firms and as a result patenting is widespread. That practice provides objective data only available
to a far lesser degree in other industries. Third, EDA is in many respects paradigmatic for software-
based industries, and therefore is well suited to deliver generalisable results.
Given the necessary breadth of the above research questions, a multi-stage and multi-method
empirical strategy that allows for extensive triangulation was adopted (Miles and Huberman 1994).
The analysis therefore initially employs econometric analyses based on panel regression models of
the more aggregate quantitative aspects of the above research questions, which mainly relate to
determinants of acquisitions and the first necessary condition (and from which inferences of the suit-
ability of acquisitions for combatting disruptive innovation can be drawn).
This is based on primary data collected from established sources such as the SDC Platinum and
Worldscope Disclosure databases and the US Patent and Trademark Office, which covers the acqui-
sitions by the 14 largest firms in the EDA industry 1981–2005. These firms account for 80% of industry
sales, which confirms that this sample is highly representative (Wagner 2011). In addition, across all
years, over 600 acquisitions (of which 140 relate to targets holding at least one patent) by these 14
firms are included in the analysis. This reflects an even higher share of the cumulative total acqui-
sitions in the EDA industry than the sales share, given that the few smaller firms not included in
the data acquire with the lowest probability. Furthermore, over the above period, firms in high-
technology industries acquired three to five times more targets than in other industries (Inkpen,
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT 983
Sundaram, and Rockwood 2000), which suggests that focusing on EDA is a suitable choice for the
purposes of the current study.
For the set of firms, data were collected for each of the years 1981–2005 on a number of indepen-
dent variables relating to various firm characteristics (leverage, sales, R&D intensity as a measure for
R&D efforts and inputs, liquidity, patents granted and firm location), as defined in Table A1 of the
appendix. These independent variables are potential determinants of the dependent variables relat-
ing to acquisition behaviour, namely number of acquisitions and their technological content (as also
defined in Table A1).
While the former variable is a good activity measure that can help to understand dynamics, the
successful patenting of a target prior to acquisition can be used to assess the extent of its technologi-
cal base. Using a five-year timeframe prior to the acquisition year to measure the level of technologi-
cal knowledge is a method frequently utilised in the literature. Therefore, it is considered to offer a
suitable balance between the declining value of a target’s knowledge stock and patent protection
that increases with every year a patent ages, and the increasing level of knowledge stock with
every additional year included (Cloodt, Hagedoorn, and van Kranenburg 2006). Given that patent
data are prone to a truncation bias resulting from granted patents being customarily assigned to
the application year, 2005 was included as the last year of the analysis to ensure no issues arising
from this affected the findings (Hall, Jaffe, and Trajtenberg 2005).
To enable an analysis of the remaining aspects of the above research questions, which mainly
relate to dynamics and the second necessary condition, the aggregate quantitative analysis of acqui-
sition in the EDA industry at the first stage was supplemented at the second stage by a more fine-
grained analysis. It used a subset of the data augmented with secondary data from trade journals,
industry publications, company websites and a content analysis of Securities and Exchange Commis-
sion (SEC) filings. As part of this latter analysis, more detailed information was gathered, on the main
business segment the target was active in, its age at the time of acquisition and information on the
specific segment in which the acquisitions took place for the largest three firms in the industry.
These additional data collected on a subset of entries in the dataset that formed the basis for the
first stage of the empirical analysis helped to address whether acquisitions relate to specific technol-
ogies, and to determine the timing of acquisitions. Finally, a case study on one specific segment,
namely design for manufacturability, was undertaken in order to provide further insights into substi-
tutivity, and the timing of acquisitions to meet the challenges of disruptive innovation based on a
recent prominent and well-defined instance of disruptive innovation in the EDA industry. Figure 1
summarises this nested approach to the empirical analysis, and also shows how it ensures both
depth and representativeness.
Table A2 of the appendix summarises the descriptive statistics and correlations of the data used in
the analysis. It suggests that multicollinearity is not an issue, since all variance inflation factors for the
independent variables are smaller than 2.6, well below the critical value of 5.0 suggested in the lit-
erature (Judge et al. 1985).
Since both dependent variables used are count data, the negative binomial specification is used
(Cameron and Trivedi 1998). Two well-established models are available to analyse the panel data
available to this research, namely fixed and random effects (Johnston and DiNardo 1997). The differ-
ence between fixed and random effects lies in whether the time-invariant effects are correlated with
the regressors (which is the case for fixed effects) or not (which is the case for random effects).
To decide which of the two models is more appropriate, the Hausman test is conducted.
Results
Analysis of the first condition and set of research questions
In order to address the first set of research questions posed, namely what were the reasons for acqui-
sitions in the EDA industry (especially with regard to a substitutive relationship with the acquirers’
984 M. WAGNER
own innovation activities), panel regression models as described in the last paragraph were
estimated.
The information in Table 1 concerning the total number of acquisitions made shows a significant
positive association for acquirer sales levels. For the R&D and patenting intensities, the association is
significant and negative which confirms the existence of a substitutive relationship between internal
R&D and acquired knowledge. Since patents granted to acquirers are a measure of R&D output and
productivity (if normalised by sales for acquirers, see Huang 2011) and R&D intensity is a measure of
R&D input, these relationships suggest that acquirers compensate for R&D weaknesses.
As can be seen in Table 2, concerning the number of patents granted to the target in the five years
prior to acquisition, the main factors significantly associated with this dependent variable are sales
(positively), patenting intensity (negatively) and if the company is headquartered in Europe (posi-
tively). Furthermore, the coefficient of the patenting intensity in Table 2 is considerably greater, as
it is in Table 1.
Overall, the results show that patenting intensity consistently has a significant negative associ-
ation with two different measures of acquisition behaviour in the EDA industry. This supports the
notion that acquisitions substitute for weak innovation output, as indicated by lower levels of
acquirer patenting intensity. The significant negative association of R&D intensity with the dependent
variable in Table 1 shows that acquisition of innovation is a substitute for internal R&D efforts in quan-
titative terms as concerns the number of acquisitions. The significant negative association of patent-
ing intensity together with the non-significant association of R&D intensity with the dependent
variable in Table 2 indicates that firms whose major weakness is not R&D effort, but the output result-
ing from it, focus on the quality of their acquisitions in terms of the extent of innovation output (i.e.
number of patents) residing within their targets. Thus, the first condition formulated above is met.
Table 3. Homogeneity of acquisitions of the top three EDA firms based on technology field.
Year Company: Cadence (%) Company: Mentor (%) Company: Synopsys (%) % acquisitions in same segments out of total
1989 0 0 0 0
1990 100 100 0 67
1991 0 0 0 0
1992 0 0 0 0
1993 0 0 0 0
1994 100 100 0 67
1995 0 0 0 0
1996 100 63 100 70
1997 67 0 67 67
1998 14 100 33 36
1999 0 0 0 0
2000 0 0 0 0
2001 0 0 0 0
2002 33 25 33 30
2003 66 20 0 27
2004 40 50 0 27
2005 0 0 0 0
percentage of the total acquisitions of that firm that related to technology segments where the other
firms also made acquisitions. The right-hand column of Table 3 provides the ratio of acquisitions in
the overlapping technology segments by the total number of acquisitions of the three largest EDA
firms in the year. As can be seen, the overlap in technology segments is very limited. Only in 8 of
the 17 years analysed was an overlap found at all.
Even on these occasions, the overlap never constituted more than 70% of all acquisitions made by
the three largest EDA firms in that year and in half of these periods the overlap was below 40%. This
indicates that acquisition waves or competitor acquisitions are not driving a large proportion of
acquisitions. It follows that at least several reasons matter simultaneously and that firms did not
react irrationally in their acquisitions, for instance in terms of institutional mimicry.
This is also suggested by the total number of acquisitions per segment. In all segments bar one at
least two firms made acquisitions and in one-third of the segments identified all three large firms con-
ducted acquisitions. Furthermore, the number of acquisitions per segment differs only up to 60%
between firms. This rate however only applies to one segment (in four segments the difference
was 0%, in three it ranged between 28% and 50%). Each of the three largest firms acquired other
firms in three segments (in which, respectively, 11%, 50% and 14% of all acquisitions during this
period took place) from 1988 to 2005. Only in one segment did one of the three largest firms
acquire another firm (which represents only 2% of all acquisitions) and the other two never made
an acquisition.
Overall, there is thus no evidence of temporal clustering of acquisitions in specific technologies,
even though in some segments, acquisitions are concentrated in shorter time periods (in all seg-
ments acquisitions take place in at least 2 years, in 2 segments in 6 years, in 1 segment in 10
years and in 15 years, respectively). In 4 of the 9 segments, the time span between the first and
last acquisition is more than half of the 17 years studied. Only in four years (1989, 1990, 2000 and
2005) were all acquisition targets from only one segment, to which however the majority of
targets across all years also belonged. In all other years, acquisitions took place in at least two
(1991, 1992, 1994, 1995, 2001), three (1993, 1997), four (2002, 2003, 2004), five (1999), six (1996)
and seven (1998) segments, respectively. In summary, the findings from this detailed analysis
support that acquisitions are focused on the largest weaknesses of acquirers, which confirms that
the second condition derived above is met.
Finally, to illustrate further how acquisitions address disruptive innovation in the EDA industry, a
case study of one specific area of EDA that emerged only recently is presented. This new area, DFM,
was chosen because recently EDA became integrated into manufacturing processes to facilitate feed-
back from production to design. This indicates it is a disruptive innovation and hence a good example
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT 987
to study qualitative aspects related to technology acquisitions. While demand for DFM is largely
driven by electronic system level transitions to smaller chip geometries, it has also disruptive business
model implications, as encountered in similar contexts (DaSilva et al. 2013).
Because the segment has a short history of acquisitions, the case study also illustrates the inter-
action of some of the findings from the analysis reported previously. The number of DFM firms
was 15 (2004), 25 (2005), 25 (2006) and 23 (2007), respectively, with numbers being negligible
before 2004 (Gartner Dataquest 2008; Gary Smith EDA 2008). This indicates that incumbents acquired
DFM expertise rather than developing it themselves. Indeed, the three large incumbents in the EDA
industry (for which information on targets was gathered and analysed in Table 3) have acquired DFM
firms in recent years. For example, Synopsys acquired Numerical Technologies in 2003 and Cadence
acquired Clearshape in 2006. Mentor initially developed its DFM tools in-house, but in 2008 acquired
Ponte, suggesting the internal development was not satisfactory.
The temporal and sub-segmental spread of these DFM acquisitions of the three largest EDA firms
(DFM is currently concerned with four main sub-segments, namely critical area analysis, chemical
mechanical polishing, design flow transformation and lithography compliance check) confirms
that targets do not compete, that is, acquisition timing and focus are not driven by acquisition
waves or similar irrationality. The fact that several of the young firms active in DFM have been
acquired (with the three largest EDA firms all participating in this) indicates that the young firms
developed solutions that were technologically superior to those of the large firms in the industry.
For example, in the field of critical area analysis, Ponte developed the leading technology and was
subsequently acquired by Mentor. In chemical mechanical polishing, Clearshape developed the
best technology and was afterwards acquired by Cadence. Finally, in the field of lithography compli-
ance checking, while Synopsys developed the leading technology, its success was based on the 2004
acquisition of Integrated Systems Engineering (Goldman 2008; Nowak and Radojcic 2005). DFM being
a recent high-profile example illustrates how acquisition is a remedy to disruptive innovation in soft-
ware-based high-technology industries. Furthermore, the case study supports the findings that acqui-
sitions focus on substituting key weaknesses and are not driven by acquisition waves, or other
irrational reactions to competitor behaviour.
source technology (i.e. a substitute for internal innovation) and (2) rational acquisition behaviour (i.e.
acquisitions are not driven predominantly by acquisition waves, institutional mimicry or similar irra-
tionality). As concerns (1), the findings confirm that acquisition targets can provide technological
capabilities substituting for internal R&D activity of incumbents in the EDA industry. A need for acqui-
sition exists if for a disruptive innovation (e.g. DFM), none of the incumbents has access, or if only the
focal firm is lagging, whereas other incumbents possess it already. As concerns (2), in terms of path
dependencies, the EDA industry (and other software-based industries) can be characterised by a
number of structural features that support acquisition of disruptive innovations. First, in terms of
structure, the low capital intensity of the industry enables low investments. Related to this, in the soft-
ware-based EDA industry, radical potentially disruptive innovation largely originates with entrants
(Henkel, Rønde, and Wagner 2015). Hence the value of what can be gained by acquiring a target
is high and the low capital intensity of the industry generally makes acquisitions financially feasible
for large incumbents.
Finally, an important ingredient for the stability of incumbents in the EDA industry is that the cre-
ation of products is path dependent, providing incumbents with an advantage. This makes market
entry difficult for start-ups and in turn increases the likelihood of acquisition. As a result, an important
question to guide future research will be how markets for technology and technology intermediaries
matter in this situation (Katzy et al. 2013). In addition to answering this question and the aforemen-
tioned need for addressing linkages in industry networks more comprehensively, there is a need for
more research on how improved technical performance transforms into customer utility, and accord-
ingly future work should address in more depth the interaction of business models and disruptive
innovation (Oskarsson and Sjöberg 1994).
These areas of future research also indicate some limitations of the current research. More specifi-
cally, in order to avoid patent truncation bias, more recent data could inherently not be involved in
some of the analyses reported (even though this was not an issue for the DFM case study, which did
use recent data). However, structural features such as the EDA industry characteristics, the workings
of patent laws and the fact that acquisition patterns in the EDA industry did not change much after
2005 suggest that the gist of the analysis remains representative until today.
In addition, an analysis of the industry network at large could not be carried out since it was
beyond the scope of the data collected, but the potential for future research was highlighted
earlier. Finally, this paper could not address business model aspects in any detail, but highlighted
them for future research and touched on them in the context of the DFM case.
In terms of practical implications, the results provide a more nuanced perspective on managerial
options. For example, Christensen (1997) suggested that incumbents address disruptive innovations
by separating activities related to them organisationally from other activities within the firm. This pro-
posal relates to notions of corporate venturing to address a lack of capabilities (Dougherty 1995). One
variant of corporate venturing is corporate venture capital, that is, the investment by incumbents in
start-ups and smaller firms to meet the same objectives as through internal corporate venturing
(Birkinshaw, Van Basten Batenburg, and Murray 2002). Corporate venture capital investments can
therefore be understood as a first step towards acquisition, in that a small stake in a start-up and
its subsequent increase can ultimately lead to full acquisition. A related implication for practice is
then that incumbents should develop acquisition capabilities that enable periodic monitoring of
potential targets early on in order to make sufficiently informed decisions in the context of corporate
venture capital investment. That is, prior to an acquisition, incumbents can improve their negotiation
position and choice set by making seed investments, thereby funding experiments to illuminate
which are the best target firms to acquire.
In summary, this paper contributes by empirically analysing acquisition determinants and
dynamics in the EDA industry to derive conditions for when in software-based industries acquisitions
help to mitigate negative consequences of disruptive innovation experienced in other industries
(Christensen and Bower 1996). As mentioned in the introduction there is an on-going debate on dis-
ruptive innovation theory, as witnessed by recent Academy of Management conference workshop
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT 989
and plenary debates. This paper, by involving acquisitions, relates this to the role of innovation eco-
systems and suggests them as a mechanism that can explain why under certain conditions outcomes
differ to those originally predicted by disruptive innovation theory (Adner 2012).
Acknowledgements
Useful suggestions following presentations of earlier versions of this paper at the 2011 EMAEE Conference (14–16 Feb-
ruary, Pisa) and the 2013 ICSOB Conference (11–14 June, Potsdam) are gratefully acknowledged as are comments from
two reviewers and the editor-in-chief, Prof. James Fleck. This paper is dedicated to the memory of Gary Smith.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.
Notes on contributor
Marcus Wagner is a full professor at Augsburg University and visiting professor at International Hellenic University. His
research interests are innovation/entrepreneurship, sustainability and international business. He published on these in
journals such as Research Policy, Long Range Planning and Journal of Business Venturing.
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Appendix
(Continued)
TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT 991