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Stevenlevitsky 2009
Stevenlevitsky 2009
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DOI: 10.1353/jod.0.0148
sia under Yeltsin. They may also use state policy to punish businesses
that finance the opposition. In Ghana, for example, entrepreneurs who
backed opposition parties in 1992 “were blacklisted, denied government
contracts and [had] their businesses openly sabotaged.”4 In Cambodia,
the opposition Sam Rainsy Party (SRP) was “starved for funds by a
business community told by [the government] that financing SRP was
committing economic suicide.”5
The resource disparities in these cases exceed anything seen in demo-
cratic regimes. Ruling parties in Malaysia and Taiwan built multibillion-
dollar business empires. The estimated $3 billion in assets belonging
to Taiwan’s Kuomintang (KMT) made it the “richest party in the non-
communist world”; in the mid-1990s, its $450 million annual budget
exceeded that of the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) by
at least 50-to-1.6 In Mexico, the PRI reportedly spent up to twenty times
more than its two major opponents combined in the 1994 legislative
elections,7 and in Russia in 1996, the Yeltsin campaign spent at least
thirty times the amount permitted the opposition.8 In some cases, includ-
ing Belarus, Gabon, Malawi, Russia in the 2000s, and Senegal, opposi-
tion parties were so starved of resources that many either collapsed or
were coopted by the government. As Russian opposition leader Grigory
Yavlinsky complained, “How can we compete if one of the goals on a
football pitch is one meter long while the other is ten meters long?”9
Media Access. Media access also may be skewed in several ways.
In many cases, including those of Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique,
Senegal, and Zambia, the state either monopolizes broadcast media or
operates the only television and radio stations with a national audience.
Although independent newspapers often circulate freely, in many low-
income countries they reach only a small urban elite. This leaves the
state-run media—almost always biased toward the ruling party—as the
dominant (and in many rural areas, the only) source of news. Thus, even
after Malawi’s 1994 transition from dictator Hastings Kamuzu Banda to
elected president Bakili Muluzi, government control of the media was
such that one journalist complained, “Before it was Banda, Banda, Ban-
da—every day. Now it is Muluzi, Muluzi, Muluzi.”10
In other cases, private media exist but are closely linked to the gov-
erning party, via proxy ownership, bribery, or other corrupt means.
In Ukraine, President Leonid Kuchma controlled television coverage
through an informal network of private media entities. The head of the
Presidential Administration, who also owned the popular 1+1 television
station, issued orders to all major stations dictating how events should
be covered. In Peru in the late 1990s, television owners signed “con-
tracts” with state officials in which the former received up to $1.5 mil-
lion a month in exchange for limiting coverage of opposition parties. In
Malaysia, all major newspapers and television stations were controlled
by allies of the governing Barisan Nasional coalition.
60 Journal of Democracy
1990s. Yet in terms of the playing field, the two sets of cases differ
markedly. Whereas the Central American playing fields were reason-
ably level, in that private media and financing were accessible to two or
more competing parties, those in southern Africa were severely tilted:
State-owned media were the dominant news sources, and incumbents’
abuse of state resources and massive advantage in private-sector fund-
ing generated vast resource disparities.24
The consequences of these disparities are striking. With the excep-
tion of transitional elections in Zambia in 1991 and Malawi in 1994,
incumbents in the southern African cases have never lost. Ruling parties
have been re-elected four consecutive times in Mozambique, Namibia,
and Zambia and three times in Malawi. Overall, incumbents have won
15 of 17 elections and have not lost since 1994. In Central America, by
contrast, incumbents usually lose. In El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,
and Nicaragua, opposition candidates have won more than two-thirds
(13 of 18) of the presidential elections held since 1989. These contrast-
ing patterns suggest real differences in the level of democratic competi-
tion that standard measures fail to capture.
NOTES
1. For an excellent analysis of the causes and consequences of an uneven playing field,
see Kenneth F. Greene, Why Dominant Parties Lose: Mexico’s Democratization in Com-
parative Perspective (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2007).
4. Mike Oquaye, “Human Rights and the 1996 Elections,” in Joseph R.A. Ayee, ed.,
The 1996 General Elections and Democratic Consolidation in Ghana (Accra: University
of Ghana Department of Political Science, 1998), 109.
6. Julian Baum, “The Money Machine,” Far Eastern Economic Review, 11 August
2004, 62–64; Jaushieh Joseph Wu, Taiwan’s Democratization: Forces Behind the New
Momentum (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995), 79.
8. Michael McFaul, Russia’s 1996 Presidential Election: The End of Polarized Pol-
itics (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1997), 13.
11. Taylor Boas, “Television and Neopopulism in Latin America: Media Effects in
Brazil and Peru,” Latin American Research Review 40, no. 2 (2005): 36.
12. Ian Taylor, “As Good as It Gets? Botswana’s ‘Democratic Development,’” Journal
of Contemporary African Studies 21 (July 2003): 215–31.
14. John Holm and Staffan Darnolf, “Democratizing the Administrative State in Bot-
swana,” in York W. Bradshaw and Stephen N. Ndegwa, eds, The Uncertain Promise of
Southern Africa (Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 2000), 122.
15. Freedom House, “Freedom of the Press, 2008: Botswana”; available at www.
freedomhouse.org.
16. “Botswana Elections: Free but Not Fair,” Mmegi/The Reporter, 23 June 2004.
17. Lucan A. Way interview with Professor Stevfan Mushi, University of Dar es Sa-
laam, Tanzania, 23 November 2007.
18. Way interview with Wilbrod Slaa, Chadema opposition party, Arusha, Tanzania,
29 November 2007.
19. Barak Hoffman and Lindsay Robinson, “Tanzania’s Missing Opposition,” Journal
of Democracy 20 (October 2009): 130.
21. Jorge G. Casta~neda, The Mexican Shock: Its Meaning for the United States (New
York: New Press, 1995), 131.
22. Shelley Rigger, “The Democratic Progressive Party in 2000: Obstacles and Op-
portunities,” China Quarterly 168 (December 2001): 949.
24. See Levitsky and Way, Competitive Authoritarianism (forthcoming, 2010), ch. 6.
25. See David Collier and Steven Levitsky, “Democracy with Adjectives: Conceptual
Innovation in Comparative Research,” World Politics 49 (April 1997): 430–51.
26. See Valerie J. Bunce and Sharon L. Wolchik, “Favorable Conditions and Electoral
Revolutions,” Journal of Democracy 17 (October 2006): 5–18.