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Exit Human Resourcing
Exit Human Resourcing
Exit Human Resourcing
www.emeraldinsight.com/0142-5455.htm
Brexit
Brexit: human resourcing
implications
Maranda Ridgway
Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham, UK
1033
Abstract Received 29 November 2018
Purpose – Three years on from the Brexit vote, while it remains a central topic for debate in the media, there Revised 29 April 2019
has been limited discussion about the human resource (HR) implications. The purpose of this paper is to 9 May 2019
Accepted 17 May 2019
provide theoretical evaluation and informed discussion, distilled into four interconnected propositions, on
how employee resourcing as a HR practice may be impacted following actual Brexit decisions.
Design/methodology/approach – Drawing on the employee resourcing literature, the paper adopts a
discursive approach which examines how the UK’s decision to exit the European Union will affect HR
practice. The paper draws comparison with the global recession since 2008, a similarly unprecedented
development in its discussion of employee resourcing practices and draws parallels which may help to inform
the future of HR practices in the UK, because of Brexit.
Findings – This paper offers a set of propositions; the flow of talent into the UK may become more restricted
and reinvigorate the “war for talent” that followed the effects of the global financial crisis on the UK. To
attract and retain workers in relatively lower-skilled roles, employers may be faced with a need to re-skill such
roles and adopt more flexible working arrangements. Finally, to meet skilled employment requirements,
removal of restrictions to recruit from within the European Economic Area may trigger increased global
migration of skilled workers.
Originality/value – This paper contributes to the discussions regarding the implications of Brexit for HR
practice by offering propositions to shape future research agendas.
Keywords Migration, Labour market, Brexit, Employee resourcing, Human resource practice
Paper type Conceptual paper
Introduction
The recruitment and selection of workers, the practice of managing people and the working
lives of employees will all be affected fundamentally by Brexit. This paper offers informed
discussion of potential implications for human resource (HR) practices that flow from Brexit.
It does so by focussing on the economic impact of Brexit, its effects on workers’ rights and
xenophobia which Brexit has stimulated (Ford, 2016; Hatzigeorgiou and Lodefalk, 2016;
Stewart, 2017). The paper identifies four HR issues that are likely to be significantly affected
by Brexit, namely employee retention, labour market skillset, increased non-European
Union (EU) immigration and increased flexible working. The discussion of these four issues
culminates in four propositions that are likely to inform HR practice once the UK has
formally left the EU; each of these propositions is likely to shape future work and
employment research agendas. While the focus of this paper is on Brexit, wider implications
can be drawn regarding the ways that organisations respond to crises and uncertainty.
In June 2016, a national referendum resulted in the UK’s unprecedented decision to leave
the EU – a decision to “Brexit”. Article 50, the formal process of withdrawal from the EU,
has since been triggered and the official separation of the UK from the EU is now in motion.
While associated negotiations are underway, the distance between these and the
implications of the decision for employers going forward after Brexit becomes real are
uncertain and create associated economic, legal and political volatility for employers
(Linacre, 2017).
Employee Relations: The
International Journal
Vol. 41 No. 5, 2019
pp. 1033-1045
The author is grateful for the guidance received from Professor Ian Clark and Professor Daniel King © Emerald Publishing Limited
0142-5455
and for the valuable comments received from the anonymous reviewer. DOI 10.1108/ER-11-2018-0310
ER Due to the unprecedented nature of the event, there is currently no empirical research to
41,5 explain what Brexit means for HR practice. Despite this absence, informed discussion can
draw on the impact of other significant economic events, such as the recession of 2008–2009,
on HR practice. During the global financial crisis, many organisations were forced to reduce
headcount, yet talent was also seen as one of the “determining factors in turning the
downturn into long-term organizational sustainability and success” (Lea, 2018; McDonnell,
1034 2011, p. 169). The uncertainty caused by Brexit has already resulted in several organisations
downsizing their UK operations, for example, Airbus, Jaguar Land Rover and Nissan
(Chapman, 2019). In parallel, however, some organisations are reporting skills shortages
(CIPD, 2017b). There is an increasing number of academic and practitioner publications in
different fields (cf. Martin and Gardiner, 2019) which are using the impact of previous
recessions to assess the potential impact of Brexit. Furthermore, Wood and Budhwar (2016)
suggest positioning unexpected events, such as Brexit, in the context of historical crises.
Arguably, the 2008–2009 recession triggered the “euro crisis” which in turn kindled initial
discussions about Brexit (Startin, 2015; Capelos et al., 2018).
In this regard, the global financial crisis presents a useful comparison to the uncertainty
caused by Brexit to provide theoretical evaluation and informed discussion on its
implications for employee resourcing as an HR practice. For example, one feature of
employer reaction to the financial crisis was “labour hoarding” which in turn contributed to
the notion of “a jobless recovery” in more recent years as part of the UK’s productivity
puzzle (Dolphin and Hatfield, 2015), although, as Elsby and Smith (2010) suggest, the
volume of job loss implies that labour hoarding may not have contributed to increased
unemployment. Other impacts of the 2008–2009 recession, as reported by Bell and
Blanchflower (2010), included an increase in unemployment, notably in the youth labour
market, an increase in university applications despite only a limited increase in the number
of places, and fiscal stimulus by the government to increase employment levels. In more
recent years, we have also witnessed an increase in the number of self-employed jobs
facilitated by temporary work agencies (O’Reilly et al., 2016) indicating that while
employment levels may have increased, there is a subsequent reduction in employment
protection and stability.
The perceived levels of EU migration into the UK was one of the most contentious issues
underpinning the Brexit vote (Alfano et al., 2016); how immigration will be affected by
Brexit and the subsequent impact of Brexit on the mobility of talent from the EU into the UK
in the future remains unclear. The EU Settlement Scheme allows EU, European Economic
Area (EEA) and Swiss citizens who are currently living in the UK to apply to settle before
the UK leaves the EU. Indications from the government (2018) suggest that reciprocal
agreements between the UK and EU will allow UK citizens living in the EU the right to do
the same moving forwards. Widely varying speculations have been made as to the effect of
Brexit on the UK labour market with polarised opinions declaring the extent to which the
country will benefit or suffer detriment. Teague and Donaghey (2018, p. 515) for example,
suggest that the Brexit will lead to “wide-spread employment shortages and a significant
increase in labour costs”. What is clear is the instability caused by Brexit requires
businesses to make internal changes to remain competitive.
The last time that UK businesses experienced uncertainty was during the financial crisis.
This paper draws on the financial crisis as a comparator to examine how organisations
responded in novel ways to a volatile labour market. While the volatility of the labour market
can be likened to the recent recession (Teague and Roche, 2014), the practical implications for
HR practice are, as yet, unclear. Scholars have been criticised as being slow to respond to
unexpected events, such as Brexit (Wood and Budhwar, 2016); the continuing uncertainty is
having a profound effect on people’s lives and thus warrants discussion and consideration
despite the uncertainty. Academic work is conventionally produced after the event; however,
this paper seeks to learn from the literature relating to the last financial crisis to develop Brexit
propositions based on how employee resourcing may be impacted following Brexit.
The agreed delay of Brexit until 31 October 2019 points to the need to generate
momentum in the debate about the potential implications of Brexit through informed
discussion. In doing so, this paper presents practical HR implications, considers
organisational responses to uncertainty and offers an agenda for future research.
1035
Employee resourcing
Employee resourcing, as an HR practice, focuses on the strategic imperative to ensure that
an organisation can access the people necessary to achieve its objectives (Armstrong, 2017).
In the absence of detailed policy one notable outcome of Brexit is uncertainty about how the
movement of talent within the EU will change. Uncertainty, such as this, presents four
challenges for employee resourcing; each is outlined and then summarised in a proposition
on employee resourcing.
Discussion
Brexit is certainly unprecedented, and the recency and prolific nature of the event positions
it as a “hot topic” for discussion. To develop the propositions in this paper, it has been
necessary to draw on past insight and apply this to the current phenomena, in order to
predict future implications (Webster and Watson, 2002). For example, drawing on
comparisons from the 2008–2009 recession enables informed discussion of the economic
impact of Brexit and potential implications for HR practice. A conceptual approach is useful
to address the topic as there is, as yet, no empirical data available (Sutton and Staw, 1995).
Paradoxically, the younger generation who were more likely to vote Remain (Hobolt,
2016) will be most impacted by workplace changes due to the Leave vote prevailing.
The increased representation of Generation Y and Millennials in the workforce will place
a demand on organisations to demonstrate their social and economic responsibilities to
potential recruits (Kuron et al., 2015; Williams and Turnbull, 2015). The changing workforce
demography in the UK (Office for National Statistics, 2017) and anticipated reduction in
young migrant workers arriving from the EU is resulting in a tighter labour market. In
response to the tightening labour market, organisations will need to reimagine their
employer brand to retain their top talent and attract new talent.
Brexit negotiations are still underway and different scenarios (depending on whether the
UK remains a member of the customs union or EU single market or leaves without a deal)
will significantly influence the impact to human resourcing practices in different ways.
Regardless of the finite detail which emerges from Brexit, there has been, and arguably will
continue to be, a profound effect on the UK labour market. The volatility caused by Brexit
ER and current pace of change make it challenging to identify practical implications. Since this
41,5 paper was first drafted the discourse has shifted from a “hard” or “soft” Brexit to scenarios
ranging from a “no deal” Brexit, to another referendum, to a general election.
Conclusion
This paper has drawn past insight to present an informed discussion about the potential
implications of Brexit to HR practice. Four propositions have been offered as a starting point
to navigate the uncertainty about how the movement of talent within the UK will change.
The 2008–2009 recession, as a significant economic event, was a useful comparison to the
present climate; as can be expected established debates have resurfaced, for example the
war for talent. To help make sense of what Brexit means in practice, specifically in the case
of employee resourcing, Brexit may actually mean “nothing new”. The “war for talent” and
changing workplace demographics are not challenges born of Brexit exclusively, rather the
shifting political landscape has changed the perspective about how these challenges can be
approached. Contextually, however, Brexit is an extraordinary event and thus worthy of
discussion. The uncertainty caused by Brexit will continue to spark debate in relation to the
implications for people resourcing until negotiations have been completed and fully
disseminated. Uncertainty can cause employment relationships to become strained ( Jessop,
2011; Wood and Budhwar, 2016), signifying the importance of organisations maintaining
positive relations with employees during such ambiguous times.
Practical implications
It is difficult to solidify explicit recommendations in the face of the current uncertainty caused
by Brexit, yet there is speculation about how workers’ rights might be affected. Drawing on
the 2008–2009 recession, as a comparison, times of crisis can negatively impact employee
mindsets and their perception of opportunities in organisations (Markovits et al., 2014), calling
for employers to focus on drivers to improve mindsets. Following Brexit, while there may be Brexit
no immediate move to change UK legislation which is currently governed by the EU (Hodge,
2017), organisations could take policy decisions to honour EU standards. For example, a
future government may choose to rescind the working time limit, change holiday pay
calculations and remove the protection of part-time workers (Brodies, 2019); organisations
could act to build these entitlements into their policies to provide reassurance to employees.
Uncertainty calls for solidarity between employers and employees (Lulle et al., 2018); 1041
employers must take the lead by being transparent and proactively supporting employees.
As Macleavy (2018) highlights, Brexit could be a trigger to address existing equality
issues, such as the gender pay gap, by building on existing policies which exceed EU
standards (Suff, 2016), for example, parental leave. Taking proactive action now may help
employers to respond to the scenarios, alluded to in this paper, that they may face.
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Corresponding author
Maranda Ridgway can be contacted at: maranda.ridgway@ntu.ac.uk
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