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Case 12.

2: Weston Plastics Company

Years 1 - 10
Plant Cash
size outlay Demand Prob. NCF ENCF
H 0.5 12.50 6.25
Large 50 M 0.4 10.00 4.00
L 0.1 5.00 0.50
10.75
Discount rate 10% PVFA 10, 10% 6.145
PV (NCF) 66.05
NPV 16.05

Initial (1 - 2 years) Year 2 Years 3 - 10 Yr 3-10


Plant Cash Cash
size outlay Demand Prob. NCF Plant size outlay Demand Prob. NCF ENCF
H 0.6 14 8.40
H 0.5 8 Expansion 30 M 0.3 11 3.30
L 0.1 8 0.80
12.50
PVFA8,10% 5.335
Small 20 M 0.4 8 Expansion 15 H 0.6 11 6.6
M 0.3 8 2.4
L 0.1 2.5 0.25
9.25
PVFA8,10% 5.335
L 0.1 4 L 1 4 4
PVFA8,10% 5.335

Year 1 Year 2
Prob. NCF ENCF NCF ENCF
H 0.5 8 4 8+36.69 44.69 22.34
M 0.4 8 3.2 8+34.35 42.35 16.94
L 0.1 4 0.4 4+21.34 25.34 2.53
7.60 41.82

Year 0 1 2
ENCF -20 7.60 41.82
PVF 1.000 0.909 0.826
PV -20 6.91 34.56
NPV 21.47
Yr 3-10

NPV

36.69

34.35

21.34

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