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2022-01-Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios
2022-01-Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios
2022-01-Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios
T
Frederick E. Dopfel here has been extraordinary growth strategies. We then need to be explicit about
is a professor in the in the use of smart beta funds by our expectations for the performance of
Barowsky School of
institutional investors, both large each strategy, recognizing that an analyst’s
Business at Dominican
University of California and small.1 Many investors have judgment is always required. Finally, proce-
in San Rafael, CA. strategically allocated assets away from tra- dures for portfolio construction, built from
fred.dopfel@dominican.edu ditional index and active equity funds into standard methods, can be used to optimize
multiple smart beta funds by balancing their expected utility for the investor, based on our
Ashley L ester exposures across widely understood ideas, estimates and judgments.
is global head of multi-
asset research at Schroders
such as value, small (size), momentum, With this approach, we are better
in London, U.K. quality, and low volatility. Furthermore, equipped to answer the following questions:
ashley.lester@schroders.com they have included more complex multifactor
funds that combine multiple smart beta ideas • How do we discern whether a new
into a single portfolio that arguably improves smart beta fund may be a valuable
efficiency.2 It is unlikely that the evolution of addition to the portfolio?
these complex multifactor investments that we • When does a multifactor strategy add
call collectively advanced beta has resulted in value beyond a portfolio of simple factors?
portfolios for which the cumulative exposure • What is an efficient portfolio of smart
is known or in any way ideal. Because one of betas and advanced betas?
the important potential benefits of smart beta • When should smart beta and multifactor
investing is enhanced transparency of expo- portfolios be combined with traditional
sures and risks, this is a key problem for its indexes?
users. Now, with the ever-increasing alloca- • How does the investment policy affect
tion to advanced beta products, investors need the best allocation to advanced beta?
guidance on how to construct an overall port-
folio that improves the likelihood of attaining We begin with a framework to assess
better investment outcomes. the potential value-add of advanced beta
The good news is that standard appro candidates and to establish forward-looking
aches to investment performance analysis assumptions. This provides the essential
and portfolio construction can be adapted to information needed to understand the risk
integrate multiple smart beta approaches with and benefits of combining exposures. Next,
other assets. The first step is to understand we define an objective function that leads
the underlying exposures of each smart to the principles for optimal combinations
beta strategy and their correlations to other of smart betas and advanced betas. Finally,
94 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
should provide exposures beyond a simple combination framework for optimizing expected utility of returns
of what we already have readily available; otherwise, it 1
U = r − λσ 2 that produces mean–variance-efficient
cannot add value. A candidate strategy may add value 2
only if we expect it to yield a materially positive alpha allocations to advanced betas in the total portfolio con-
relative to other strategies already available to us. Our text. Here, we simplify the narrative by considering a
expectation may be based either on historical or sub- single asset class (e.g., global equity) with investments
jective estimates, a theme that we explore further in in several ESBs but with only a single advanced beta.
our case study. A positive expected alpha is not itself We also simplify by assuming that elementary smart
sufficient to justify investment in an advanced beta; betas are uncorrelated, assuming advanced beta residuals
the alpha must also be attractive relative to its residual are uncorrelated with ESBs, and ignoring budget con-
risk and within an overall active risk budget. This is straints. The total return of the portfolio is
analogous to a traditional active manager having a con-
vincing expected information ratio after controlling for r = {hb rb }policy + {∑ h i
r
esb ,i esb ,i } smart beta
its effective portfolio mix. Second, an investor who is
considering new smart beta strategies most likely already
{
+ hab ( f b rb + ∑ i f esb ,i resb ,i + α ab ) }
adv . beta
(2)
has a firm belief in the advantages of the elementary
smart betas, including an understanding of the range of
The total return is composed of the benchmark
expected premiums and volatility of ESBs. Therefore,
return (the first component), the direct exposure to
the choice of a small set of investible elementary smart
the elementary smart betas (the second component),
beta factors provides a logical foundation for portfolio
and additional exposures associated with advanced beta
construction.
(the next three components derived from the factor
Setting assumptions involves first establishing
model in Equation (1)). Allocations to advanced beta
expected return and covariance estimates for the ESBs.
modify exposure to the asset class (if strategies are
For candidate strategies, we also need to estimate factor
leveraged or deleveraged), add incidental exposure to
weights and residual risk and return. The latter involves
the ESBs, and add exposure to advanced beta residuals.
subjective estimates akin to evaluating an equity manag-
The expected return and variance, with rearrange-
er’s expected alpha—not an easy task. The factor model
ment, are
based on ESBs provides a structure for understanding
how combinations of smart beta and multifactor strate- r = (hb + hab f b )rb
gies accumulate in the portfolio and what changes in
portfolio weights might improve overall performance. + ∑ i (hesb ,i + hab f esb ,i )resb ,i + hab α ab (3)
Later, in the case study section of this article, a fully
worked example will show some reasonable assump- σ 2 = (hb + hab f b )2 σ b2
tions that are established as guidance. Of course, we
may be wrong about our factor weights (model uncer- + ∑ i (hesb,i + hab f esb,i )2 σ esb
2
,i + hab ω ab
2 2
(4)
tainty), and we may be wrong about our estimates of
the residual returns (parameter uncertainty); neverthe- where aab and ω ab2 are the residual return and variance
less, this ESB factor model helps reduce ambiguity in of advanced beta. This is a simplified version of the
candidate strategies and can lead to potentially more vector and matrix relationships (Equations (A-1) and
robust conclusions.7 (A-2)) for expected return and variance in the Technical
Appendix.
BLENDING ADVANCED BETAS
Optimal Allocations: Total Return
The objective of investing in smart betas, multi-
factor strategies, and other advanced betas is to improve We assume that investment policy is fixed but that
overall portfolio performance in terms of expected our holdings of ESBs and advanced beta are uncon-
return and risk. The Technical Appendix provides a strained. The optimal (mean–variance-efficient) holdings
then are determined by the first-order conditions
96 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
Exhibit 1
Active Efficient Frontier of Advanced Beta and Other Portfolios
Impact of Leveraged or Deleveraged benefit of neutralizing the leverage issue is that, in this
Advanced Beta case, the general problem of optimizing the alloca-
tions to active betas in the total portfolio context can
Advanced betas, and many well-known smart be simplified to the active-only case, as demonstrated
betas, as described in Equation (1), are frequently found in the Technical Appendix. In our case study, we will
to have factor weights with respect to the underlying investigate the impact of leverage adjustment on total
market index. For example, low-volatility smart betas— portfolio performance further.
and advanced betas built upon them—typically have a
large negative factor weight with respect to the equity
CASE STUDY
index ( f b < 0), and this may reduce the desirability of
the associated advanced beta. Allocations to smart betas An example will help demonstrate the principles
with this feature consume a large amount of active and practicality of blending advanced betas and smart
risk budget; in the total portfolio context, they effec- betas. We consider an institutional investor that is seeking
tively change the exposures set by investment policy. to improve investment performance of the total port-
If this exposure is well understood, then the impact folio via advanced beta, having already established an
can be reversed fairly cheaply via derivatives, by com- investment policy of 70% equities and 30% bonds (other
pensating adjustments to the strategic asset allocation asset classes are ignored for simplicity). We will set out
or by demanding strategies without leverage. A further the assumptions and then show the optimal holdings of
Assumptions
98 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
Exhibit 4
Forward-Looking Assumptions for Advanced Beta Candidates
Exhibit 5 shows the holdings and performance for the 3) refers to the case in which the cumulative leverage/
optimal (mean–variance-efficient) portfolios that were deleverage implicit in advanced betas is permissible in
determined from a standard optimizer. Using only the total portfolio. In this case, the holdings of advanced
elementary smart betas (column 1), the portfolio has betas effectively move the total portfolio asset alloca-
an expected active return of 1.4%. The portfolio allo- tion away from investment policy, and this presents a
cates most heavily to value and then momentum governance issue for the chief investment officer. The
and least heavily to small. To understand why this result indicated by “with leverage adjustment” (column
allocation makes sense, recall that we assume equal 4) refers to the case in which the leverage/deleverage
expected information ratios across the smart betas, so implicit in advanced betas is corrected to ensure that
the allocations are driven primarily by risk. Value and the total portfolio asset allocation is congruent with
momentum are negatively correlated, so allocating investment policy. This leverage adjustment may be
more to this pair of smart betas has a strong diversifi- accomplished in different ways—by the investor via
cation benefit. In balancing between these two, value derivatives or readjustment of the asset allocation to pre-
is given a higher allocation because it has less risk than cisely compensate, or by requiring the investment man-
momentum. Small also has a place in the portfolio, as ager to deliver a product that is on benchmark without
it is uncorrelated with value and momentum, and it any need for adjustment. Allowing for both advanced
has an intermediate level of risk. Because of diversifi- betas and direct investment in smart betas, the expected
cation benefits, the smart beta–only portfolio attains active return improves appreciably to 1.8% (without
an expected information ratio of 0.48, whereas the leverage adjustment) or 2.1% (with leverage adjust-
component smart betas have standalone information ment). The expected active return/risk ratio is 0.61
ratios of only 0.25. (without leverage adjustment) or 0.68 (with leverage
The portfolio with advanced beta only (column 2, adjustment), compared with 0.51 for the smart-beta-
with no direct allocation to ESBs) makes allocations to only portfolio and 0.48 for the advanced-beta-only
all four strategies. The allocation across advanced betas portfolio. In the case of leverage adjustment (B), the
is driven by the attractiveness of the residual return and allocations to advanced betas 3 and 4 are increased
risk, but also by the effective asset mixes, including compared with the case without leverage adjustment
(in advanced betas 3 and 4) some deleveraging. In our (A) because the penalty associated with deleverage is
framework, deleveraging consumes some of the active neutralized. In either case, by blending in the advanced
risk budget but also reduces risk in the total portfolio. beta, we gain additional return and diversification ben-
The performance of the advanced-beta-only portfolio is efits across the advanced beta residual returns, and we
slightly higher (expected active return of 1.5% compared are able to adjust the allocation to ESBs via a comple-
with 1.4%) than the smart-beta-only portfolio based on tion portfolio. The allocations to advanced betas add
our choices of advanced betas and incidental ESBs but significant incidental exposures to value and size but not
without allowing for direct adjustments in ESBs. to momentum; therefore, a larger, direct allocation to
Exhibit 5 also presents the results for combina- momentum is desirable as part of a completion portfolio.
tions of both smart beta and advanced beta. The result Considering both the direct and indirect allocations to
indicated by “without leverage adjustment” (column smart beta, the portfolio with advanced beta implies net
allocations to smart betas that move toward the optimal 0% and 3% within the equity asset class. As we increase
ESB allocations.10 the active risk level, the expected return increases along
the tail because of positive incremental returns from
Impact on Total Portfolio smart beta and advanced beta. Portfolios A (without
leverage adjustment) and B (with leverage adjustment)
Exhibit 5 also shows the total return and total are the optimal advanced beta and smart beta portfolios
risk of the three portfolios, when combined with the referred to in Exhibit 5.
policy portfolio, based on an active risk budget of 3% A notable feature of the advanced beta tail without
within the equity portfolio. It is possible to increase or leverage adjustment is that it bends leftward at first,
decrease the active risk budget, as discussed in the pre- showing that the inclusion of advanced beta reduces total
vious section. The investor’s decision should be based risk in this example. Risk reduction is caused by the
on a trade-off between what is needed to attain desired allocation to advanced betas 3 and 4. Because of the dele-
outcomes (total return and risk) and the investor’s con- veraging implicit in these strategies, we are effectively
fidence in his or her own skill in selecting strategies that reducing the overall portfolio allocation to equities. With
may outperform. leverage adjustment, the total risk always increases as we
Exhibit 6 displays the range of mean–variance- increase the active risk budget. Nevertheless, all portfo-
efficient portfolios that are possible for the investor at lios on the efficient frontiers with leverage adjustment
various active risk budgets. On top of an ordinary effi- (Active Tail B) have a higher total return at any given
cient frontier for traditional asset classes, we have placed active risk budget than portfolios without leverage
an active tail derived from the active efficient frontier adjustment (Active Tail A). For example, Portfolio B
introduced in the previous section. The base on the tail (with leverage adjustment) has higher expected return
represents an investment policy with a 70–30 stock– than Portfolio A (without leverage adjustment), although
bond allocation that is fully indexed (no smart beta or both portfolios have the same active risk of 3.0%. Under
advanced beta). Points along the active tail represent our assumptions, there is an active risk budget constraint
optimal portfolios for various active risk budgets between that effectively penalizes advanced beta strategies that
100 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
Exhibit 6
Efficient Frontier and Active Tail for Advanced Beta and Optimal Portfolios with 3% Active Risk
102 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
Objective Function with leveraging caused by advanced beta. This latter term
demonstrates that optimal allocations to advanced beta and
The investor seeks a portfolio that maximizes the smart beta depend on investment policy if Fb ≠ 0.
expected utility of total return and total risk. We take the In the case of active return optimization, our objective
1 1
investor’s objective function to be U = r − λσ 2.11 It is helpful is U A = rA − λσ 2A, and we modify Equations (A-3) and (A-4)
2 2
to parse the objective function into components associated by subtracting the investment policy term. The optimal active
with policy, smart beta, and advanced beta. Expected total holdings are then
return and risk is then expanded from Equations (A-1) and
(A-2) to 1 −1
∗
hesb = Vesb resb − Fesb′ hab∗ (A-9)
λ
r = {hb′ rb }policy + {hesb
′ resb }smart beta
−1 1 (A-10)
+ {hab′ [ Fb rb + Fesb resb + rabr ]}adv beta (A-3) hab∗ = [ FV
b b Fb′+ Vabr ] ( Fb rb + rabr )
λ
σ 2 = {hb′Vb hb }policy + {hesb
′ Vesb hesb }smart beta Conditions in Equation (A-9) for optimal holdings of
ESBs are the same as Equation (A-7) in the total return case,
+ {2hb′Vb Fb′hab + 2hesb
′ Vesb Fesb′ hab }cross terms except for any changes in hab∗ . Conditions in Equation (A-10)
+ {hab′ FV for the optimal holdings of advanced betas are simplified and
b b Fb′hab + hab
′ FesbVesb Fesb′ hab + hab′ Vabr hab }adv beta
do not include the leverage penalty term in Equation (A-8).
(A-4) Thus, if we have no leverage associated with advanced beta
(Fb = 0), the total return problem and the active-only problem
Optimization result in equivalent allocations under our assumptions.
104 Optimal Blending of Smart Beta and Multifactor Portfolios Quantitative Special Issue 2018
Kim, J.H., W. Kim, and F. Fabozzi. “Robust Factor-Based
Investing.” The Journal of Portfolio Management, Vol. 43, No. 5
(2017), pp. 157-164.