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Performance: Numerai's Relative Performance (Net of Costs and Fees)
Performance: Numerai's Relative Performance (Net of Costs and Fees)
Performance
In December, the fund returned +5.30% after costs and fees. For the year 2021, the
fund returned +15.86% after costs and fees.
1 We report metrics like Sharpe gross of fees, because not every investor is in the same fee class
2 Assuming Founding Class fees of 1% management fee
Numerai’s 2021 Growth
• The total number of Numerai models staking more than 0.1 NMR grew from 1,146 to
3,757 (3.3x)
• The total number of Numerai Signals models staking more than 0.1 NMR grew from
55 to 550 (10x)
• The total staked on all models grew from $4.7m to $23.5m (5x)
• Numerai’s dataset grew to 4x the number of rows and 3.3x the number of features
• The AUM grew from $8.5m to $51.6m as we closed our first institutional investor (6x)
Even though Numerai has some of the best performance in the market neutral category
already, the world hasn’t yet begun to see the power of a distributed internet hedge
fund where the expected growth of the core inputs (data, intelligence) are measured in
hundreds of percent per year.
AlphaGo’s trajectory:
It looks bad.
It looks human.
It looks as good as the best humans.
It looks like an alien super intelligence.
Numerai’s trajectory:
Numerai looks bad (pre-2019).
Numerai looks like a decent quant fund (2020).
Numerai looks like one of the best quant funds (2021).
Numerai looks like an alien super intelligence (20XX?).
Our primary goal for 2022 is to reach alien super intelligence.
Sincerely,
Richard Craib
Founder & CEO
Addendum 1
Portfolio Exposure
Regional Exposure
As of Date 12/31/21
Addendum 2
Bloomberg Risk Model
1 We report metrics like Sharpe gross of fees, because not every investor is in the same fee class
2 Assuming Founding Class fees of 1% management fee
This document is confidential, provided for information purposes only and may not be redistributed. This document does not contain all of the
information required to make investment decisions including a full accounting of the potential risks involved in any investment. Therefore, this
document alone should not be relied upon to make investment decisions. Investments in funds or accounts managed by Numerai GP, LLC
contain a high degree of risk including the risk of loss of principal. There can be no guarantee that any of the investment objectives described
will be achieved or that any of the forward looking projections described are accurate or complete. None of the statements contained in this
communication constitute a buy sell or hold recommendation for any financial instrument. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
To the extent that this document conflicts with the Confidential Offering Memorandum of any fund managed by Numerai GP, LLC , such
Confidential Offering document will prevail.
This document does not represent an offer to purchase or sell any security or the interests of any fund managed Numerai GP, LLC or its
affiliates. Such an offer may only be made to persons who qualify to invest and in jurisdictions in which such an offer is legal. Offers to invest in
funds or accounts managed by Numerai GP, LLC may only be made by individuals who are authorized to make such an offer and may only be
made pursuant to the delivery of a Confidential Offering Memorandum for such fund. As indicated, certain performance may be presented net
of management fees, incentive fees, taxes and other fund or account expenses; other performance may be presented gross of such fees and
expenses, which fees and expenses, when deducted, will materially lower performance. Returns reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other
earnings. Performance results may be based on unaudited, preliminary information and are subject to change. The investment performance of
the Fund summarized herein reflects an investment for a specific period of time. Actual performance results experienced by an investor may
vary significantly from the results shown for a number of reasons, including, without limitation, different investment periods, the timing of
capital subscriptions, withdrawals and/or redemptions, and different fees/allocations or expenses from those presented.
Unless otherwise indicated, market indices included in this letter are only intended to provide contextual general market results during the
stated period; such market indices do not represent an appropriate benchmark against which to compare the Fund’s performance. A comparison
of the Fund’s performance to a single market index may be inappropriate as the Fund engages in strategies that are not included in the index
and will not be as diversified as such comparative index, among other reasons, and such differences may result in material differences. Further,
the Fund is actively managed and intends to use leverage in connection with the investment strategy, while such indices are unmanaged, may
not employ leverage, and may not be subject to fees and expenses, including transaction costs, typical of private investment funds and accounts.
The estimated performance set forth herein are presented on a net of fee basis and reflect the deduction of, among other things: Management
Fees of 1%.